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#forecasting — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #forecasting, aggregated by home.social.

  1. Here is a curious idea: if we can somehow estimate the importance of trend/seasonal components for your data, you can use this in model building and forecasting. But how can we do this first step? Hans Levenbach has an answer with his simple EDA technique. Let me explain: openforecast.org/2026/05/18/ha

    #forecasting #datascience

  2. Here is a curious idea: if we can somehow estimate the importance of trend/seasonal components for your data, you can use this in model building and forecasting. But how can we do this first step? Hans Levenbach has an answer with his simple EDA technique. Let me explain: openforecast.org/2026/05/18/ha

    #forecasting #datascience

  3. Here is a curious idea: if we can somehow estimate the importance of trend/seasonal components for your data, you can use this in model building and forecasting. But how can we do this first step? Hans Levenbach has an answer with his simple EDA technique. Let me explain: openforecast.org/2026/05/18/ha

    #forecasting #datascience

  4. Here is a curious idea: if we can somehow estimate the importance of trend/seasonal components for your data, you can use this in model building and forecasting. But how can we do this first step? Hans Levenbach has an answer with his simple EDA technique. Let me explain: openforecast.org/2026/05/18/ha

    #forecasting #datascience

  5. Here is a curious idea: if we can somehow estimate the importance of trend/seasonal components for your data, you can use this in model building and forecasting. But how can we do this first step? Hans Levenbach has an answer with his simple EDA technique. Let me explain: openforecast.org/2026/05/18/ha

    #forecasting #datascience

  6. Starhotels Expands Into Luxury Resorts, Eyes Italian Growth

    MILAN — Starhotels Collezione, the Italian hospitality group known for infusing its Florentine saper fare and distinct sense of craftsmanship…
    #Italy #Europe #Europa #EU #Business #BusinessStrategy #CEOTalks #forecasting #growth #travel #trend
    europesays.com/italy/17912/

  7. Le 29 janvier, j'assistais pour la première fois aux Entretiens Albert-Kahn.
    « Anticiper et gouverner dans l'incertitude »
    Un sujet qui sonne juste en 2026.👍 👍

    Ce moment m'a laissé une conviction forte : l'incertitude n'empêche pas d'agir. Elle oblige même à mieux agir.

    Lire mon retour détaillé ici 👇
    [linkedin.com/posts/matthieu-co]
    #prospective #forecasting #management #administration #Hautsdeseine

  8. We continue our series of posts on the functions from the smooth package for Python/R. Today we will see how to enhance your exponential smoothing with explanatory variables. What? Yes, you heard me! Let’s dive in!

    openforecast.org/2026/05/05/sm

    #python #datascience #machinelearning #forecasting

  9. We continue our series of posts on the functions from the smooth package for Python/R. Today we will see how to enhance your exponential smoothing with explanatory variables. What? Yes, you heard me! Let’s dive in!

    openforecast.org/2026/05/05/sm

    #python #datascience #machinelearning #forecasting

  10. We continue our series of posts on the functions from the smooth package for Python/R. Today we will see how to enhance your exponential smoothing with explanatory variables. What? Yes, you heard me! Let’s dive in!

    openforecast.org/2026/05/05/sm

    #python #datascience #machinelearning #forecasting

  11. We continue our series of posts on the functions from the smooth package for Python/R. Today we will see how to enhance your exponential smoothing with explanatory variables. What? Yes, you heard me! Let’s dive in!

    openforecast.org/2026/05/05/sm

    #python #datascience #machinelearning #forecasting

  12. We continue our series of posts on the functions from the smooth package for Python/R. Today we will see how to enhance your exponential smoothing with explanatory variables. What? Yes, you heard me! Let’s dive in!

    openforecast.org/2026/05/05/sm

    #python #datascience #machinelearning #forecasting

  13. Can a geological thermometer help forecast hydrothermal explosions in Yellowstone?

    Yellowstone Caldera Chronicles is a weekly column written by scientists and collaborators of the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory. This…
    #NewsBeep #News #Science #CA #calderachronicles #Canada #Chemicalgeothermometers #forecasting #hydrothermalexplosion #PorkchopGeyser #Yellowstone #yellowstonenationalpark
    newsbeep.com/ca/646656/

  14. Can a geological thermometer help forecast hydrothermal explosions in Yellowstone?

    Yellowstone Caldera Chronicles is a weekly column written by scientists and collaborators of the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory. This…
    #NewsBeep #News #Science #AU #Australia #calderachronicles #Chemicalgeothermometers #Forecasting #hydrothermalexplosion #PorkchopGeyser #Yellowstone #YellowstoneNationalPark
    newsbeep.com/au/648384/

  15. Most people know that AI and technology go through ups and downs from hype peaks to quieter "winters." But many don’t have the right tools to truly understand or anticipate what comes next: trend analysis, scenario planning, early-signal monitoring and data-driven forecasting can close that gap. Without them, decision-makers risk missed opportunities and sudden surprises. #AI #TechTrends #Forecasting #ScenarioPlanning

  16. Most people know that AI and technology go through ups and downs from hype peaks to quieter "winters." But many don’t have the right tools to truly understand or anticipate what comes next: trend analysis, scenario planning, early-signal monitoring and data-driven forecasting can close that gap. Without them, decision-makers risk missed opportunities and sudden surprises. #AI #TechTrends #Forecasting #ScenarioPlanning

  17. Most people know that AI and technology go through ups and downs from hype peaks to quieter "winters." But many don’t have the right tools to truly understand or anticipate what comes next: trend analysis, scenario planning, early-signal monitoring and data-driven forecasting can close that gap. Without them, decision-makers risk missed opportunities and sudden surprises. #AI #TechTrends #Forecasting #ScenarioPlanning

  18. Most people know that AI and technology go through ups and downs from hype peaks to quieter "winters." But many don’t have the right tools to truly understand or anticipate what comes next: trend analysis, scenario planning, early-signal monitoring and data-driven forecasting can close that gap. Without them, decision-makers risk missed opportunities and sudden surprises. #AI #TechTrends #Forecasting #ScenarioPlanning

  19. Most people know that AI and technology go through ups and downs from hype peaks to quieter "winters." But many don’t have the right tools to truly understand or anticipate what comes next: trend analysis, scenario planning, early-signal monitoring and data-driven forecasting can close that gap. Without them, decision-makers risk missed opportunities and sudden surprises. #AI #TechTrends #Forecasting #ScenarioPlanning

  20. 🪴 Everybody thinks so! My forecasting system, with nearly 200 predictive models, provides an 82 per cent chance of RAISE! 🚀 This probability is in line with those provided by Australian analytical departments and expresses the market expectations ✅ The most recent readings of inflation above the target likewise suggest the same. Therefore, despite the predictive interval including the current cash rate value, I say it’s a likely RAISE.

    🌐 forecasting-cash-rate.github.i

  21. 🪴 Everybody thinks so! My forecasting system, with nearly 200 predictive models, provides an 82 per cent chance of RAISE! 🚀 This probability is in line with those provided by Australian analytical departments and expresses the market expectations ✅ The most recent readings of inflation above the target likewise suggest the same. Therefore, despite the predictive interval including the current cash rate value, I say it’s a likely RAISE.

    🌐 forecasting-cash-rate.github.i

    #forecasting #cashrate #rstats

  22. 🪴 Everybody thinks so! My forecasting system, with nearly 200 predictive models, provides an 82 per cent chance of RAISE! 🚀 This probability is in line with those provided by Australian analytical departments and expresses the market expectations ✅ The most recent readings of inflation above the target likewise suggest the same. Therefore, despite the predictive interval including the current cash rate value, I say it’s a likely RAISE.

    🌐 forecasting-cash-rate.github.i

    #forecasting #cashrate #rstats

  23. Last time we saw how to do automated model selection using the ES function from the smooth package. Now I want to show how to produce combined forecasts from ETS.

    openforecast.org/2026/04/27/sm

    #forecasting #datascience #machinelearning #ml #python

  24. Last time we saw how to do automated model selection using the ES function from the smooth package. Now I want to show how to produce combined forecasts from ETS.

    openforecast.org/2026/04/27/sm

    #forecasting #datascience #machinelearning #ml #python

  25. Last time we saw how to do automated model selection using the ES function from the smooth package. Now I want to show how to produce combined forecasts from ETS.

    openforecast.org/2026/04/27/sm

    #forecasting #datascience #machinelearning #ml #python

  26. Last time we saw how to do automated model selection using the ES function from the smooth package. Now I want to show how to produce combined forecasts from ETS.

    openforecast.org/2026/04/27/sm

    #forecasting #datascience #machinelearning #ml #python

  27. Last time we saw how to do automated model selection using the ES function from the smooth package. Now I want to show how to produce combined forecasts from ETS.

    openforecast.org/2026/04/27/sm

    #forecasting #datascience #machinelearning #ml #python

  28. The 1997 forecast for 2002 was reasonable, rigorous, and completely wrong. One black swan — September 11 — erased every trend line. This is the rule, not the exception.

    onlys.ky/black-swan/

    #Futurism #BlackSwan #Forecasting #CriticalThinking #Epistemology

  29. As some of you have heard, the smooth package is now on PyPI. So, I’ve decided to write a series of posts showcasing how some of its functions work. We start with the basics, ETS.

    openforecast.org/2026/04/22/sm

    #forecasting #datascience #machinelearning #python