#climatemodel — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #climatemodel, aggregated by home.social.
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Scientists say overlooked climate feedbacks could make global warming 30% worse by 2100
Scientists have found several often-overlooked chain reactions of the climate crisis that could make human-caused warming up to…
#UnitedStates #US #USA #america #climatechange #climatecrisis #Climatemodel #climatesystem #degreesFahrenheit #EnvironmentalDefenseFund #EnvironmentalResearchLetters #Greenhousegasemissions #science #technology #unitedstatesofamerica
https://www.europesays.com/3251491/ -
How will #ClimateChange affect the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)?🌧️
🌡️ According to long-term projections, the #ITCZ will narrow due to #GlobalWarming. However, it has shown signs of expansion. #MPIM researchers Jiayu Zhang&Sarah Kang resolved this using a virtual experiment w/ the MPI-ESM #ClimateModel. They show that the ITCZ responds to increased CO2 by initial expansion&long-term contraction. The current widening could persist for several more decades.↔️
🔗:https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aef2833
©️NASA -
How will #ClimateChange affect the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)?🌧️
🌡️ According to long-term projections, the #ITCZ will narrow due to #GlobalWarming. However, it has shown signs of expansion. #MPIM researchers Jiayu Zhang&Sarah Kang resolved this using a virtual experiment w/ the MPI-ESM #ClimateModel. They show that the ITCZ responds to increased CO2 by initial expansion&long-term contraction. The current widening could persist for several more decades.↔️
🔗:https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aef2833
©️NASA -
How will #ClimateChange affect the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)?🌧️
🌡️ According to long-term projections, the #ITCZ will narrow due to #GlobalWarming. However, it has shown signs of expansion. #MPIM researchers Jiayu Zhang&Sarah Kang resolved this using a virtual experiment w/ the MPI-ESM #ClimateModel. They show that the ITCZ responds to increased CO2 by initial expansion&long-term contraction. The current widening could persist for several more decades.↔️
🔗:https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aef2833
©️NASA -
How will #ClimateChange affect the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)?🌧️
🌡️ According to long-term projections, the #ITCZ will narrow due to #GlobalWarming. However, it has shown signs of expansion. #MPIM researchers Jiayu Zhang&Sarah Kang resolved this using a virtual experiment w/ the MPI-ESM #ClimateModel. They show that the ITCZ responds to increased CO2 by initial expansion&long-term contraction. The current widening could persist for several more decades.↔️
🔗:https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aef2833
©️NASA -
How will #ClimateChange affect the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)?🌧️
🌡️ According to long-term projections, the #ITCZ will narrow due to #GlobalWarming. However, it has shown signs of expansion. #MPIM researchers Jiayu Zhang&Sarah Kang resolved this using a virtual experiment w/ the MPI-ESM #ClimateModel. They show that the ITCZ responds to increased CO2 by initial expansion&long-term contraction. The current widening could persist for several more decades.↔️
🔗:https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aef2833
©️NASA -
Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00624-z <-- shared 2025 paper
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https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/floods-droughts-fires-hydroclimate-whiplash-speeding-up-globally <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
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H/T @Daniel Swain
“Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning -
Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00624-z <-- shared 2025 paper
--
https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/floods-droughts-fires-hydroclimate-whiplash-speeding-up-globally <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
--
H/T @Daniel Swain
“Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning -
Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
--
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00624-z <-- shared 2025 paper
--
https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/floods-droughts-fires-hydroclimate-whiplash-speeding-up-globally <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
--
H/T @Daniel Swain
“Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning -
Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
--
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00624-z <-- shared 2025 paper
--
https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/floods-droughts-fires-hydroclimate-whiplash-speeding-up-globally <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
--
H/T @Daniel Swain
“Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning -
Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
--
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00624-z <-- shared 2025 paper
--
https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/floods-droughts-fires-hydroclimate-whiplash-speeding-up-globally <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
--
H/T @Daniel Swain
“Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning -
Study Highlights Growing Importance Of Multi-Day Storms In Future U.S. Flood Risk
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https://news.okstate.edu/articles/engineering-architecture-technology/2026/study-highlights-growing-importance-of-multi-day-storms-in-future-u.s.-flood-risk <-- shared technical article
--
https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae4f14 <-- shared paper
--
“Extreme rainfall is projected to intensify as the climate warms, yet whether the greatest increases will occur in multi-day or single-day events remains uncertain. This knowledge gap is particularly pressing given recent catastrophic floods triggered by multi-day rainfall events, prompting the question of whether multi-day events could, in fact, intensify more than their daily counterparts, and by how much. This study addresses this question using an ensemble of 34 downscaled Earth System Models under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5), focusing on changes in extreme rainfall by the end of the century across ten regions of the contiguous United States. [Their] statistical framework evaluates model agreement, ensemble-mean changes, and the significance of these changes for both daily and multi-day rainfall extremes. Results show that extreme rainfall amounts are expected to increase for most regions and durations. The degree of intensification, however, depends strongly on event rarity and regional climate characteristics. Notably, in the U.S. western Gulf Coast region, very rare multi-day events (e.g., 500 year return period) are projected to intensify more than their daily counterparts, a phenomenon that could be explained by increased stalling of tropical cyclones, which can prolong heavy rainfall over multiple days. These results challenge the assumption that daily extremes dominate future risk and highlight the need to consider event duration when updating flood-hazard maps, design standards, and adaptation planning…”
#Flooding #FloodRisk #FloodInsurance #FloodAwareness #Explore #FloodPreparedness #FlashFlooding #ClimateResilience #climatechange #extremeweather #DisasterPreparedness #StormwaterManagement #FloodSafety #CommunityResilience #risk #hazard #model #modeling #floodrisk #multiday #rainfall #precipitation #storm #water #hydrology #hydrography #planning #policy #regulations #climatemodel #CONUS #USA #publicsafety #cost #economics #damage #loss #infrastructure #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis #earthsystemmodels #forecasting #meteorology #designstandards #floodmapping #mitigation #flood -
Study Highlights Growing Importance Of Multi-Day Storms In Future U.S. Flood Risk
--
https://news.okstate.edu/articles/engineering-architecture-technology/2026/study-highlights-growing-importance-of-multi-day-storms-in-future-u.s.-flood-risk <-- shared technical article
--
https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae4f14 <-- shared paper
--
“Extreme rainfall is projected to intensify as the climate warms, yet whether the greatest increases will occur in multi-day or single-day events remains uncertain. This knowledge gap is particularly pressing given recent catastrophic floods triggered by multi-day rainfall events, prompting the question of whether multi-day events could, in fact, intensify more than their daily counterparts, and by how much. This study addresses this question using an ensemble of 34 downscaled Earth System Models under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5), focusing on changes in extreme rainfall by the end of the century across ten regions of the contiguous United States. [Their] statistical framework evaluates model agreement, ensemble-mean changes, and the significance of these changes for both daily and multi-day rainfall extremes. Results show that extreme rainfall amounts are expected to increase for most regions and durations. The degree of intensification, however, depends strongly on event rarity and regional climate characteristics. Notably, in the U.S. western Gulf Coast region, very rare multi-day events (e.g., 500 year return period) are projected to intensify more than their daily counterparts, a phenomenon that could be explained by increased stalling of tropical cyclones, which can prolong heavy rainfall over multiple days. These results challenge the assumption that daily extremes dominate future risk and highlight the need to consider event duration when updating flood-hazard maps, design standards, and adaptation planning…”
#Flooding #FloodRisk #FloodInsurance #FloodAwareness #Explore #FloodPreparedness #FlashFlooding #ClimateResilience #climatechange #extremeweather #DisasterPreparedness #StormwaterManagement #FloodSafety #CommunityResilience #risk #hazard #model #modeling #floodrisk #multiday #rainfall #precipitation #storm #water #hydrology #hydrography #planning #policy #regulations #climatemodel #CONUS #USA #publicsafety #cost #economics #damage #loss #infrastructure #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis #earthsystemmodels #forecasting #meteorology #designstandards #floodmapping #mitigation #flood -
Study Highlights Growing Importance Of Multi-Day Storms In Future U.S. Flood Risk
--
https://news.okstate.edu/articles/engineering-architecture-technology/2026/study-highlights-growing-importance-of-multi-day-storms-in-future-u.s.-flood-risk <-- shared technical article
--
https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae4f14 <-- shared paper
--
“Extreme rainfall is projected to intensify as the climate warms, yet whether the greatest increases will occur in multi-day or single-day events remains uncertain. This knowledge gap is particularly pressing given recent catastrophic floods triggered by multi-day rainfall events, prompting the question of whether multi-day events could, in fact, intensify more than their daily counterparts, and by how much. This study addresses this question using an ensemble of 34 downscaled Earth System Models under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5), focusing on changes in extreme rainfall by the end of the century across ten regions of the contiguous United States. [Their] statistical framework evaluates model agreement, ensemble-mean changes, and the significance of these changes for both daily and multi-day rainfall extremes. Results show that extreme rainfall amounts are expected to increase for most regions and durations. The degree of intensification, however, depends strongly on event rarity and regional climate characteristics. Notably, in the U.S. western Gulf Coast region, very rare multi-day events (e.g., 500 year return period) are projected to intensify more than their daily counterparts, a phenomenon that could be explained by increased stalling of tropical cyclones, which can prolong heavy rainfall over multiple days. These results challenge the assumption that daily extremes dominate future risk and highlight the need to consider event duration when updating flood-hazard maps, design standards, and adaptation planning…”
#Flooding #FloodRisk #FloodInsurance #FloodAwareness #Explore #FloodPreparedness #FlashFlooding #ClimateResilience #climatechange #extremeweather #DisasterPreparedness #StormwaterManagement #FloodSafety #CommunityResilience #risk #hazard #model #modeling #floodrisk #multiday #rainfall #precipitation #storm #water #hydrology #hydrography #planning #policy #regulations #climatemodel #CONUS #USA #publicsafety #cost #economics #damage #loss #infrastructure #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis #earthsystemmodels #forecasting #meteorology #designstandards #floodmapping #mitigation #flood -
Study Highlights Growing Importance Of Multi-Day Storms In Future U.S. Flood Risk
--
https://news.okstate.edu/articles/engineering-architecture-technology/2026/study-highlights-growing-importance-of-multi-day-storms-in-future-u.s.-flood-risk <-- shared technical article
--
https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae4f14 <-- shared paper
--
“Extreme rainfall is projected to intensify as the climate warms, yet whether the greatest increases will occur in multi-day or single-day events remains uncertain. This knowledge gap is particularly pressing given recent catastrophic floods triggered by multi-day rainfall events, prompting the question of whether multi-day events could, in fact, intensify more than their daily counterparts, and by how much. This study addresses this question using an ensemble of 34 downscaled Earth System Models under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5), focusing on changes in extreme rainfall by the end of the century across ten regions of the contiguous United States. [Their] statistical framework evaluates model agreement, ensemble-mean changes, and the significance of these changes for both daily and multi-day rainfall extremes. Results show that extreme rainfall amounts are expected to increase for most regions and durations. The degree of intensification, however, depends strongly on event rarity and regional climate characteristics. Notably, in the U.S. western Gulf Coast region, very rare multi-day events (e.g., 500 year return period) are projected to intensify more than their daily counterparts, a phenomenon that could be explained by increased stalling of tropical cyclones, which can prolong heavy rainfall over multiple days. These results challenge the assumption that daily extremes dominate future risk and highlight the need to consider event duration when updating flood-hazard maps, design standards, and adaptation planning…”
#Flooding #FloodRisk #FloodInsurance #FloodAwareness #Explore #FloodPreparedness #FlashFlooding #ClimateResilience #climatechange #extremeweather #DisasterPreparedness #StormwaterManagement #FloodSafety #CommunityResilience #risk #hazard #model #modeling #floodrisk #multiday #rainfall #precipitation #storm #water #hydrology #hydrography #planning #policy #regulations #climatemodel #CONUS #USA #publicsafety #cost #economics #damage #loss #infrastructure #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis #earthsystemmodels #forecasting #meteorology #designstandards #floodmapping #mitigation #flood -
Study Highlights Growing Importance Of Multi-Day Storms In Future U.S. Flood Risk
--
https://news.okstate.edu/articles/engineering-architecture-technology/2026/study-highlights-growing-importance-of-multi-day-storms-in-future-u.s.-flood-risk <-- shared technical article
--
https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae4f14 <-- shared paper
--
“Extreme rainfall is projected to intensify as the climate warms, yet whether the greatest increases will occur in multi-day or single-day events remains uncertain. This knowledge gap is particularly pressing given recent catastrophic floods triggered by multi-day rainfall events, prompting the question of whether multi-day events could, in fact, intensify more than their daily counterparts, and by how much. This study addresses this question using an ensemble of 34 downscaled Earth System Models under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5), focusing on changes in extreme rainfall by the end of the century across ten regions of the contiguous United States. [Their] statistical framework evaluates model agreement, ensemble-mean changes, and the significance of these changes for both daily and multi-day rainfall extremes. Results show that extreme rainfall amounts are expected to increase for most regions and durations. The degree of intensification, however, depends strongly on event rarity and regional climate characteristics. Notably, in the U.S. western Gulf Coast region, very rare multi-day events (e.g., 500 year return period) are projected to intensify more than their daily counterparts, a phenomenon that could be explained by increased stalling of tropical cyclones, which can prolong heavy rainfall over multiple days. These results challenge the assumption that daily extremes dominate future risk and highlight the need to consider event duration when updating flood-hazard maps, design standards, and adaptation planning…”
#Flooding #FloodRisk #FloodInsurance #FloodAwareness #Explore #FloodPreparedness #FlashFlooding #ClimateResilience #climatechange #extremeweather #DisasterPreparedness #StormwaterManagement #FloodSafety #CommunityResilience #risk #hazard #model #modeling #floodrisk #multiday #rainfall #precipitation #storm #water #hydrology #hydrography #planning #policy #regulations #climatemodel #CONUS #USA #publicsafety #cost #economics #damage #loss #infrastructure #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis #earthsystemmodels #forecasting #meteorology #designstandards #floodmapping #mitigation #flood -
Multidecadal Reconstruction Of Terrestrial Water Storage Changes By Combining Pre-GRACE Satellite Observations And Climate Data
--
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-1747-2026 <-- shared paper
--
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15827789 <-- reconstructed fields and corresponding uncertainty datasets
--
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16643628 <-- corresponding time series datasets
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #earthobservation #GRACE #GRACEFO #water #hydrology #hydrography #waterresources #waterstorage #planning #monitoring #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #climatemodel #climatechange #extremeweather #regression #AI #machinelearning #rainfall #precipitation #remperatures #parameters #gravity #geodetic #satellite #orbitography #geomorphometry #DORIS #global #reconstruction #limitations #usecase -
Multidecadal Reconstruction Of Terrestrial Water Storage Changes By Combining Pre-GRACE Satellite Observations And Climate Data
--
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-1747-2026 <-- shared paper
--
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15827789 <-- reconstructed fields and corresponding uncertainty datasets
--
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16643628 <-- corresponding time series datasets
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #earthobservation #GRACE #GRACEFO #water #hydrology #hydrography #waterresources #waterstorage #planning #monitoring #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #climatemodel #climatechange #extremeweather #regression #AI #machinelearning #rainfall #precipitation #remperatures #parameters #gravity #geodetic #satellite #orbitography #geomorphometry #DORIS #global #reconstruction #limitations #usecase -
Multidecadal Reconstruction Of Terrestrial Water Storage Changes By Combining Pre-GRACE Satellite Observations And Climate Data
--
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-1747-2026 <-- shared paper
--
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15827789 <-- reconstructed fields and corresponding uncertainty datasets
--
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16643628 <-- corresponding time series datasets
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #earthobservation #GRACE #GRACEFO #water #hydrology #hydrography #waterresources #waterstorage #planning #monitoring #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #climatemodel #climatechange #extremeweather #regression #AI #machinelearning #rainfall #precipitation #remperatures #parameters #gravity #geodetic #satellite #orbitography #geomorphometry #DORIS #global #reconstruction #limitations #usecase -
Multidecadal Reconstruction Of Terrestrial Water Storage Changes By Combining Pre-GRACE Satellite Observations And Climate Data
--
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-1747-2026 <-- shared paper
--
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15827789 <-- reconstructed fields and corresponding uncertainty datasets
--
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16643628 <-- corresponding time series datasets
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #earthobservation #GRACE #GRACEFO #water #hydrology #hydrography #waterresources #waterstorage #planning #monitoring #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #climatemodel #climatechange #extremeweather #regression #AI #machinelearning #rainfall #precipitation #remperatures #parameters #gravity #geodetic #satellite #orbitography #geomorphometry #DORIS #global #reconstruction #limitations #usecase -
Multidecadal Reconstruction Of Terrestrial Water Storage Changes By Combining Pre-GRACE Satellite Observations And Climate Data
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https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-1747-2026 <-- shared paper
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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15827789 <-- reconstructed fields and corresponding uncertainty datasets
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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16643628 <-- corresponding time series datasets
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #earthobservation #GRACE #GRACEFO #water #hydrology #hydrography #waterresources #waterstorage #planning #monitoring #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #climatemodel #climatechange #extremeweather #regression #AI #machinelearning #rainfall #precipitation #remperatures #parameters #gravity #geodetic #satellite #orbitography #geomorphometry #DORIS #global #reconstruction #limitations #usecase -
Hydrological Response To Climate Change In An Ethiopian Rift Valley Basin - A Multi-Model Ensemble Analysis
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103483 <-- shared paper
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#climatechange #SWAT #multimodelensemble #hydrologicalresponse #water #hydrology #hydrography #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #Hamessa #watershed #Africa #EthiopianRiftValley #waterresources #watermanagement #climatemodel #evapotranspiration #ET #groundwater #watersecurity #CausalChainAnalysis #CCA #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #drought #wateryield #streamflow #planning #policy #forecasting -
Hydrological Response To Climate Change In An Ethiopian Rift Valley Basin - A Multi-Model Ensemble Analysis
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103483 <-- shared paper
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#climatechange #SWAT #multimodelensemble #hydrologicalresponse #water #hydrology #hydrography #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #Hamessa #watershed #Africa #EthiopianRiftValley #waterresources #watermanagement #climatemodel #evapotranspiration #ET #groundwater #watersecurity #CausalChainAnalysis #CCA #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #drought #wateryield #streamflow #planning #policy #forecasting -
Hydrological Response To Climate Change In An Ethiopian Rift Valley Basin - A Multi-Model Ensemble Analysis
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103483 <-- shared paper
--
#climatechange #SWAT #multimodelensemble #hydrologicalresponse #water #hydrology #hydrography #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #Hamessa #watershed #Africa #EthiopianRiftValley #waterresources #watermanagement #climatemodel #evapotranspiration #ET #groundwater #watersecurity #CausalChainAnalysis #CCA #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #drought #wateryield #streamflow #planning #policy #forecasting -
Hydrological Response To Climate Change In An Ethiopian Rift Valley Basin - A Multi-Model Ensemble Analysis
--
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103483 <-- shared paper
--
#climatechange #SWAT #multimodelensemble #hydrologicalresponse #water #hydrology #hydrography #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #Hamessa #watershed #Africa #EthiopianRiftValley #waterresources #watermanagement #climatemodel #evapotranspiration #ET #groundwater #watersecurity #CausalChainAnalysis #CCA #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #drought #wateryield #streamflow #planning #policy #forecasting -
Hydrological Response To Climate Change In An Ethiopian Rift Valley Basin - A Multi-Model Ensemble Analysis
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103483 <-- shared paper
--
#climatechange #SWAT #multimodelensemble #hydrologicalresponse #water #hydrology #hydrography #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #Hamessa #watershed #Africa #EthiopianRiftValley #waterresources #watermanagement #climatemodel #evapotranspiration #ET #groundwater #watersecurity #CausalChainAnalysis #CCA #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #drought #wateryield #streamflow #planning #policy #forecasting -
Climate Scientists Used the World’s Most Powerful Supercomputers to Find Out if Middle Earth and Westeros Could Actually Exist https://www.byteseu.com/1868327/ #Climate #ClimateChange #ClimateModel #fantasy #GlobalWarming #LordOfTheRings #MiddleEarth #westeros
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Past And Future Change In Global River Flows
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00745-z <-- shared paper
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#review #water #hydrology #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #waterresources #model #modeling #flow #global #watercycle #humanimpacts #climate #extremeweather #seasonal #dynamics #changes #riverflow #regional #fluvial #pluvial #cryosphere #climatemodel #climatechange #anthropogenic #landuse #watermanagement #model #modeling #terrestrial #ecosystems -
Past And Future Change In Global River Flows
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00745-z <-- shared paper
--
#review #water #hydrology #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #waterresources #model #modeling #flow #global #watercycle #humanimpacts #climate #extremeweather #seasonal #dynamics #changes #riverflow #regional #fluvial #pluvial #cryosphere #climatemodel #climatechange #anthropogenic #landuse #watermanagement #model #modeling #terrestrial #ecosystems -
Past And Future Change In Global River Flows
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00745-z <-- shared paper
--
#review #water #hydrology #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #waterresources #model #modeling #flow #global #watercycle #humanimpacts #climate #extremeweather #seasonal #dynamics #changes #riverflow #regional #fluvial #pluvial #cryosphere #climatemodel #climatechange #anthropogenic #landuse #watermanagement #model #modeling #terrestrial #ecosystems -
Past And Future Change In Global River Flows
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00745-z <-- shared paper
--
#review #water #hydrology #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #waterresources #model #modeling #flow #global #watercycle #humanimpacts #climate #extremeweather #seasonal #dynamics #changes #riverflow #regional #fluvial #pluvial #cryosphere #climatemodel #climatechange #anthropogenic #landuse #watermanagement #model #modeling #terrestrial #ecosystems -
Past And Future Change In Global River Flows
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00745-z <-- shared paper
--
#review #water #hydrology #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #waterresources #model #modeling #flow #global #watercycle #humanimpacts #climate #extremeweather #seasonal #dynamics #changes #riverflow #regional #fluvial #pluvial #cryosphere #climatemodel #climatechange #anthropogenic #landuse #watermanagement #model #modeling #terrestrial #ecosystems -
"Climate action saves lives. So why do climate models ignore well-being?"
https://phys.org/news/2025-11-climate-action.html?utm_source=mastodon
#physorg #science #climate #climatemodel -
"Climate action saves lives. So why do climate models ignore well-being?"
https://phys.org/news/2025-11-climate-action.html?utm_source=mastodon
#physorg #science #climate #climatemodel -
"Climate action saves lives. So why do climate models ignore well-being?"
https://phys.org/news/2025-11-climate-action.html?utm_source=mastodon
#physorg #science #climate #climatemodel -
"Climate action saves lives. So why do climate models ignore well-being?"
https://phys.org/news/2025-11-climate-action.html?utm_source=mastodon
#physorg #science #climate #climatemodel -
"Climate action saves lives. So why do climate models ignore well-being?"
https://phys.org/news/2025-11-climate-action.html?utm_source=mastodon
#physorg #science #climate #climatemodel -
🎉 Happy 70th Birthday to our former director Prof. Martin Claussen!
🔭 Martin Claussen, a true pioneer in Earth system research, did groundbreaking work on climate-vegetation interactions. He was the first to successfully couple a #ClimateModel with a vegetation zone model, a prerequisite for modeling climate periods of the past! Learn more: https://mpimet.mpg.de/en/communication/detail-view-news-homepage/martin-claussen-celebrates-his-70th-birthday
Thank you for your dedication, leadership, & unwavering commitment to science. Wishing you the very best!✨
-
🎉 Happy 70th Birthday to our former director Prof. Martin Claussen!
🔭 Martin Claussen, a true pioneer in Earth system research, did groundbreaking work on climate-vegetation interactions. He was the first to successfully couple a #ClimateModel with a vegetation zone model, a prerequisite for modeling climate periods of the past! Learn more: https://mpimet.mpg.de/en/communication/detail-view-news-homepage/martin-claussen-celebrates-his-70th-birthday
Thank you for your dedication, leadership, & unwavering commitment to science. Wishing you the very best!✨
-
🎉 Happy 70th Birthday to our former director Prof. Martin Claussen!
🔭 Martin Claussen, a true pioneer in Earth system research, did groundbreaking work on climate-vegetation interactions. He was the first to successfully couple a #ClimateModel with a vegetation zone model, a prerequisite for modeling climate periods of the past! Learn more: https://mpimet.mpg.de/en/communication/detail-view-news-homepage/martin-claussen-celebrates-his-70th-birthday
Thank you for your dedication, leadership, & unwavering commitment to science. Wishing you the very best!✨
-
🎉 Happy 70th Birthday to our former director Prof. Martin Claussen!
🔭 Martin Claussen, a true pioneer in Earth system research, did groundbreaking work on climate-vegetation interactions. He was the first to successfully couple a #ClimateModel with a vegetation zone model, a prerequisite for modeling climate periods of the past! Learn more: https://mpimet.mpg.de/en/communication/detail-view-news-homepage/martin-claussen-celebrates-his-70th-birthday
Thank you for your dedication, leadership, & unwavering commitment to science. Wishing you the very best!✨
-
🎉 Happy 70th Birthday to our former director Prof. Martin Claussen!
🔭 Martin Claussen, a true pioneer in Earth system research, did groundbreaking work on climate-vegetation interactions. He was the first to successfully couple a #ClimateModel with a vegetation zone model, a prerequisite for modeling climate periods of the past! Learn more: https://mpimet.mpg.de/en/communication/detail-view-news-homepage/martin-claussen-celebrates-his-70th-birthday
Thank you for your dedication, leadership, & unwavering commitment to science. Wishing you the very best!✨
-
🌱 IPSL-CM: Paris-built climate–biosphere integration links LMDZ atmosphere, ORCHIDEE land, NEMO ocean, and PISCES biogeochemistry.
Our updates: enhance ORCHIDEE land processes & develop LMDZ-ORC coupling for sharper climate–carbon feedbacks.
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🌱 IPSL-CM: Paris-built climate–biosphere integration links LMDZ atmosphere, ORCHIDEE land, NEMO ocean, and PISCES biogeochemistry.
Our updates: enhance ORCHIDEE land processes & develop LMDZ-ORC coupling for sharper climate–carbon feedbacks.
-
🌱 IPSL-CM: Paris-built climate–biosphere integration links LMDZ atmosphere, ORCHIDEE land, NEMO ocean, and PISCES biogeochemistry.
Our updates: enhance ORCHIDEE land processes & develop LMDZ-ORC coupling for sharper climate–carbon feedbacks.
-
🌎 ”A great day for climate science”
🙌 Last Friday, #exa_JUPITER—Europe’s first exascale supercomputer, the largest in Europe—was officially inaugurated. We’re super excited as we are among the first users of this fantastic facility with our #ICON #ClimateModel! In a panel discussion, our director Bjorn Stevens emphasized how #ClimateScience benefits from this fantastic infrastructure: https://vimeo.com/1116692844/f41fcf7b06?share=copy
The full recording can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijHwxnc98n8
📷 © FZ Jülich @fzj -
🌎 ”A great day for climate science”
🙌 Last Friday, #exa_JUPITER—Europe’s first exascale supercomputer, the largest in Europe—was officially inaugurated. We’re super excited as we are among the first users of this fantastic facility with our #ICON #ClimateModel! In a panel discussion, our director Bjorn Stevens emphasized how #ClimateScience benefits from this fantastic infrastructure: https://vimeo.com/1116692844/f41fcf7b06?share=copy
The full recording can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijHwxnc98n8
📷 © FZ Jülich @fzj -
🌎 ”A great day for climate science”
🙌 Last Friday, #exa_JUPITER—Europe’s first exascale supercomputer, the largest in Europe—was officially inaugurated. We’re super excited as we are among the first users of this fantastic facility with our #ICON #ClimateModel! In a panel discussion, our director Bjorn Stevens emphasized how #ClimateScience benefits from this fantastic infrastructure: https://vimeo.com/1116692844/f41fcf7b06?share=copy
The full recording can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijHwxnc98n8
📷 © FZ Jülich @fzj -
🌎 ”A great day for climate science”
🙌 Last Friday, #exa_JUPITER—Europe’s first exascale supercomputer, the largest in Europe—was officially inaugurated. We’re super excited as we are among the first users of this fantastic facility with our #ICON #ClimateModel! In a panel discussion, our director Bjorn Stevens emphasized how #ClimateScience benefits from this fantastic infrastructure: https://vimeo.com/1116692844/f41fcf7b06?share=copy
The full recording can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijHwxnc98n8
📷 © FZ Jülich @fzj -
🌎 ”A great day for climate science”
🙌 Last Friday, #exa_JUPITER—Europe’s first exascale supercomputer, the largest in Europe—was officially inaugurated. We’re super excited as we are among the first users of this fantastic facility with our #ICON #ClimateModel! In a panel discussion, our director Bjorn Stevens emphasized how #ClimateScience benefits from this fantastic infrastructure: https://vimeo.com/1116692844/f41fcf7b06?share=copy
The full recording can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijHwxnc98n8
📷 © FZ Jülich @fzj -
22-Aug-2025
Sea-level projections from the 1990s were spot on, Tulane study sayshttps://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1095672
#science #environment #ClimateCatastrophe #SeaLevelRise #oceans #ClimateModel
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22-Aug-2025
Sea-level projections from the 1990s were spot on, Tulane study sayshttps://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1095672
#science #environment #ClimateCatastrophe #SeaLevelRise #oceans #ClimateModel
-
22-Aug-2025
Sea-level projections from the 1990s were spot on, Tulane study sayshttps://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1095672
#science #environment #ClimateCatastrophe #SeaLevelRise #oceans #ClimateModel
-
22-Aug-2025
Sea-level projections from the 1990s were spot on, Tulane study sayshttps://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1095672
#science #environment #ClimateCatastrophe #SeaLevelRise #oceans #ClimateModel
-
22-Aug-2025
Sea-level projections from the 1990s were spot on, Tulane study sayshttps://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1095672
#science #environment #ClimateCatastrophe #SeaLevelRise #oceans #ClimateModel
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Sustained Decrease In Inland East Antarctic Surface Mass Balance Between 2005 And 2020
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01699-z <-- shared paper
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #Antarctic #EastAntarctic #icesheet #massbalance #spatialanalysis #model #modeling #spatiotemporal #water #climate #climatedynamics #monitoring #remotesensing #earthobservation #icecore #snowpit #wind #melting #water #ice #science #cryology #snow #weather #watervapour #climatemodel -
Sustained Decrease In Inland East Antarctic Surface Mass Balance Between 2005 And 2020
--
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01699-z <-- shared paper
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #Antarctic #EastAntarctic #icesheet #massbalance #spatialanalysis #model #modeling #spatiotemporal #water #climate #climatedynamics #monitoring #remotesensing #earthobservation #icecore #snowpit #wind #melting #water #ice #science #cryology #snow #weather #watervapour #climatemodel -
Sustained Decrease In Inland East Antarctic Surface Mass Balance Between 2005 And 2020
--
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01699-z <-- shared paper
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #Antarctic #EastAntarctic #icesheet #massbalance #spatialanalysis #model #modeling #spatiotemporal #water #climate #climatedynamics #monitoring #remotesensing #earthobservation #icecore #snowpit #wind #melting #water #ice #science #cryology #snow #weather #watervapour #climatemodel -
Sustained Decrease In Inland East Antarctic Surface Mass Balance Between 2005 And 2020
--
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01699-z <-- shared paper
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #Antarctic #EastAntarctic #icesheet #massbalance #spatialanalysis #model #modeling #spatiotemporal #water #climate #climatedynamics #monitoring #remotesensing #earthobservation #icecore #snowpit #wind #melting #water #ice #science #cryology #snow #weather #watervapour #climatemodel -
Sustained Decrease In Inland East Antarctic Surface Mass Balance Between 2005 And 2020
--
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01699-z <-- shared paper
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #Antarctic #EastAntarctic #icesheet #massbalance #spatialanalysis #model #modeling #spatiotemporal #water #climate #climatedynamics #monitoring #remotesensing #earthobservation #icecore #snowpit #wind #melting #water #ice #science #cryology #snow #weather #watervapour #climatemodel