#modeling — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #modeling, aggregated by home.social.
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I am starting to unroll a yarn on imaginaries: growth versus care 🧶
#imaginaries #beliefs #progress #polycrisis #commoditization #commodification #faith #hope #conversion #reconversion #climateMitigation #emissions #ecologicalTransition #transition #energyTransition #lockIns #power #knowledge #traditions #transformation #ecofeminism #technoCriticism #technique #development #sustainableDevelopment #hegemony #mindsets #ideologies #collectiveSafety #desire #narratives #growth #modeling #modelling #forecasting #exploitation #extraction #civilization #tech #technology #domination #philosophy #criticalThinking #resources #commodities #acceleration #criticalTheory #digitalization #engineers #separation #exploration #discovery #degrowth #growth
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I am starting to unroll a yarn on imaginaries: growth versus care 🧶
#imaginaries #beliefs #progress #polycrisis #commoditization #commodification #faith #hope #conversion #reconversion #climateMitigation #emissions #ecologicalTransition #transition #energyTransition #lockIns #power #knowledge #traditions #transformation #ecofeminism #technoCriticism #technique #development #sustainableDevelopment #hegemony #mindsets #ideologies #collectiveSafety #desire #narratives #growth #modeling #modelling #forecasting #exploitation #extraction #civilization #tech #technology #domination #philosophy #criticalThinking #resources #commodities #acceleration #criticalTheory #digitalization #engineers #separation #exploration #discovery #degrowth #growth
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🛠️ Title: Blockbench
🦊️ Idea: A libre low-poly 3D model editor
🏡️ https://www.blockbench.net/
🐣️ https://github.com/JannisX11/blockbench
🔖 #LinuxGameDev #GraphicsEditor #Modeling
📦️ #Libre #Arch #RPM #Deb #Flatpak #AppIm #Snap
📕️ https://lebottinlinux.vps.a-lec.org/LO.html🥁️ Update: 5.1.6
⚗️ Signific. vers. 🦍️
📌️ Changes: https://github.com/JannisX11/blockbench/releases
🦣️ From: 🛜️ https://github.com/JannisX11/blockbench/releases.atom🦉️ https://www.youtube.com/embed/WbyCbA1c8BM
🐹️ https://www.youtube.com/embed/RC1CYzAEgzE
🕯️https://www.youtube.com/embed/?list=PLvULVkjBtg2SezfUA8kHcPUGpxIS26uJR
🩳️ https://www.youtube.com/embed/TUDWayB009w
🩳️ https://www.youtube.com/embed/uLMosIJ1YM8 -
🛠️ Title: Blockbench
🦊️ Idea: A libre low-poly 3D model editor
🏡️ https://www.blockbench.net/
🐣️ https://github.com/JannisX11/blockbench
🔖 #LinuxGameDev #GraphicsEditor #Modeling
📦️ #Libre #Arch #RPM #Deb #Flatpak #AppIm #Snap
📕️ https://lebottinlinux.vps.a-lec.org/LO.html🥁️ Update: 5.1.6
⚗️ Signific. vers. 🦍️
📌️ Changes: https://github.com/JannisX11/blockbench/releases
🦣️ From: 🛜️ https://github.com/JannisX11/blockbench/releases.atom🦉️ https://www.youtube.com/embed/WbyCbA1c8BM
🐹️ https://www.youtube.com/embed/RC1CYzAEgzE
🕯️https://www.youtube.com/embed/?list=PLvULVkjBtg2SezfUA8kHcPUGpxIS26uJR
🩳️ https://www.youtube.com/embed/TUDWayB009w
🩳️ https://www.youtube.com/embed/uLMosIJ1YM8 -
I'm trying to learn nurbs surface modeling in #Blender, and it's much harder if compared to #CAD #modeling. So I try to learn the basics with simple models, but it will be a long journey. #SurfacePsycho #design
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I'm trying to learn nurbs surface modeling in #Blender, and it's much harder if compared to #CAD #modeling. So I try to learn the basics with simple models, but it will be a long journey. #SurfacePsycho #design
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Geospatial Analysis of Carbon Offset Projects - A Broader Scientific Outlook
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https://www.eldhollow.com/blogs/geospatial-analysis-of-carbon-offset-projects <-- shared technical blog
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[this post should not be considered an endorsement of a particular organisation, rather scrutinising the spatial use case & technical approach]
H/T @kyle Arvisais | Forest Carbon Scientist
“Geospatial analysis is at the core of [the H/T’s company’s] project quality assessments, and [the author is] constantly finding ways to make the pipeline better and ways to use it. [They are] obviously not the only one who uses these types of tools, but to be perfectly honest, the quality of models [they have] seen over the years has been all over the place.
This blog makes a casual introduction to [their] pipeline while talking about the field at large…”
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“The world has committed to protecting and restoring nature at an unprecedented scale. Whether that commitment delivers what it promises comes down project execution on the ground. Local socioeconomics and forest ecology intertwine to create complex challenges for projects to overcome during implementation, and at the end of the day, projects boil all of these complexities down to one single unit: the carbon credit. So the question becomes: can we actually measure what is happening to a forest, accurately and honestly, and everywhere at once?
For a long time, the honest answer has been no. Historically, many forest carbon projects overstated their impact. Usually it was because the baseline was too generous, or because the measurements underneath were flawed. For anyone with a stake in nature markets, that uncertainty is one of the core risks.
Robust geospatial analysis can help mitigate that risk. If you treat a carbon credit as what it really is, a scientific claim, then we can hold it to that standard and assess it objectively. [Their] geospatial pipeline turns satellite data and ground truth data into models about how much forest is standing, how it is changing, and what might put it at risk in the future. The pipeline does this anywhere on Earth…”
#GIS #spatial #mapping #usecase #carbonoffset #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #qualityassessment #objectivity #projectpipeline #model #modeling #application #nature #environment #ecosystems #ecology #local #regional #factors #socioeconomics #forestecology #vegetation #forest #tree #carboncredit #climatechange #climatecrisis #forestcarbonprojects #global -
Geospatial Analysis of Carbon Offset Projects - A Broader Scientific Outlook
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https://www.eldhollow.com/blogs/geospatial-analysis-of-carbon-offset-projects <-- shared technical blog
--
[this post should not be considered an endorsement of a particular organisation, rather scrutinising the spatial use case & technical approach]
H/T @kyle Arvisais | Forest Carbon Scientist
“Geospatial analysis is at the core of [the H/T’s company’s] project quality assessments, and [the author is] constantly finding ways to make the pipeline better and ways to use it. [They are] obviously not the only one who uses these types of tools, but to be perfectly honest, the quality of models [they have] seen over the years has been all over the place.
This blog makes a casual introduction to [their] pipeline while talking about the field at large…”
--
“The world has committed to protecting and restoring nature at an unprecedented scale. Whether that commitment delivers what it promises comes down project execution on the ground. Local socioeconomics and forest ecology intertwine to create complex challenges for projects to overcome during implementation, and at the end of the day, projects boil all of these complexities down to one single unit: the carbon credit. So the question becomes: can we actually measure what is happening to a forest, accurately and honestly, and everywhere at once?
For a long time, the honest answer has been no. Historically, many forest carbon projects overstated their impact. Usually it was because the baseline was too generous, or because the measurements underneath were flawed. For anyone with a stake in nature markets, that uncertainty is one of the core risks.
Robust geospatial analysis can help mitigate that risk. If you treat a carbon credit as what it really is, a scientific claim, then we can hold it to that standard and assess it objectively. [Their] geospatial pipeline turns satellite data and ground truth data into models about how much forest is standing, how it is changing, and what might put it at risk in the future. The pipeline does this anywhere on Earth…”
#GIS #spatial #mapping #usecase #carbonoffset #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #qualityassessment #objectivity #projectpipeline #model #modeling #application #nature #environment #ecosystems #ecology #local #regional #factors #socioeconomics #forestecology #vegetation #forest #tree #carboncredit #climatechange #climatecrisis #forestcarbonprojects #global -
Socio-Hydrology Modeling Captures How Inequalities Impact Community Flood Resilience
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2025WR041393 <-- shared paper
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https://www.americanprogress.org/article/how-fema-can-build-rural-resilience-through-disaster-preparedness/ <-- shared technical/opinion article
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https://www.carbonbrief.org/us-flooding-increase-will-disproportionately-impact-black-and-low-income-groups <-- shared technical/opinion article
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https://headwaterseconomics.org/natural-hazards/unequal-impacts-of-flooding/ <-- shared technical/opinion article
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https://youtu.be/8jVRsD8wgMM?si=qBHchWZWkYRGbTdE <-- shared opinion video
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https://fedcommunities.org/lower-income-neighborhoods-face-greater-flood-risk-tougher-recovery/ <-- shared technical/opinion article
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H/T @matthew Preisser | PhD Civil Engineering, Natural Hazard Modeler and Socio-Hydrologists
“How can we better understand the dynamic feedbacks between the environment and society?
Socio-hydrology models are often built around the assumption that cities act as homogeneous entities, without capturing the variable capacity of communities with different underlying socioeconomic characteristics to respond to and recover from disasters.
In this study, [the authors] developed a disaggregated approach to model community-specific adaptive capacity, allowing [them] to examine how inequalities influence flood recovery and resilience. This framework provide[d] a basis for exploring hypotheses about the relationships between growth, inequality, and community resilience in the face of flood hazards.
[Their] results highlighted] the importance of considering community-level dynamics when developing flood mitigation and disaster response strategies that balance economic growth with equity. Many challenges remain in applying socio-hydrology models to real-world settings, but this work takes a step toward incorporating more realistic representations of socioeconomic inequality into human–water systems while preserving the generality and flexibility that make conceptual models useful…”
#risk #hazard #water #hydrology #flood #society #flooding #USA #SocioHydrology #naturalhazard #socioeconomic #population #demographics #infrastructure #damage #disaster #disaggregated #model #modeling #community #adaptiveresponse #growth #inequality #communityresilience #floodhazard #floodmitigation #disasterresponse #equity #city #town #rural #urban #economy #cost -
Socio-Hydrology Modeling Captures How Inequalities Impact Community Flood Resilience
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2025WR041393 <-- shared paper
--
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/how-fema-can-build-rural-resilience-through-disaster-preparedness/ <-- shared technical/opinion article
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https://www.carbonbrief.org/us-flooding-increase-will-disproportionately-impact-black-and-low-income-groups <-- shared technical/opinion article
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https://headwaterseconomics.org/natural-hazards/unequal-impacts-of-flooding/ <-- shared technical/opinion article
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https://youtu.be/8jVRsD8wgMM?si=qBHchWZWkYRGbTdE <-- shared opinion video
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https://fedcommunities.org/lower-income-neighborhoods-face-greater-flood-risk-tougher-recovery/ <-- shared technical/opinion article
--
H/T @matthew Preisser | PhD Civil Engineering, Natural Hazard Modeler and Socio-Hydrologists
“How can we better understand the dynamic feedbacks between the environment and society?
Socio-hydrology models are often built around the assumption that cities act as homogeneous entities, without capturing the variable capacity of communities with different underlying socioeconomic characteristics to respond to and recover from disasters.
In this study, [the authors] developed a disaggregated approach to model community-specific adaptive capacity, allowing [them] to examine how inequalities influence flood recovery and resilience. This framework provide[d] a basis for exploring hypotheses about the relationships between growth, inequality, and community resilience in the face of flood hazards.
[Their] results highlighted] the importance of considering community-level dynamics when developing flood mitigation and disaster response strategies that balance economic growth with equity. Many challenges remain in applying socio-hydrology models to real-world settings, but this work takes a step toward incorporating more realistic representations of socioeconomic inequality into human–water systems while preserving the generality and flexibility that make conceptual models useful…”
#risk #hazard #water #hydrology #flood #society #flooding #USA #SocioHydrology #naturalhazard #socioeconomic #population #demographics #infrastructure #damage #disaster #disaggregated #model #modeling #community #adaptiveresponse #growth #inequality #communityresilience #floodhazard #floodmitigation #disasterresponse #equity #city #town #rural #urban #economy #cost -
CW: NSFW 18+
Model: K SZ
From: Club SeventeenThe essence of summer romance captured in a single frame! With his gaze brimming with undeniable desire, she meets him with a playful, sultry challenge. Lounging in the warm sunshine, this moment of intimate temptation feels irresistible. You can practically feel the heat radiating off this perfect couple on the orange couch!
#nsfw #beautiful #cute #lewd #tits #pussy #ass #blonde #outdoors #sexy #croptop #plaid #modeling #summer #sex
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RE: https://biologists.social/@Rxiv_mechanobio/117069212690349050
"The arrival of #machineLearning approaches that predict cellular behavior at scale and integrate a wide array of #biologicalData types makes the analytical demand on #mechanisticModels even more pressing. Prediction is increasingly available without #mechanistic #understanding. The central challenge is no longer building models that reproduce #biological behavior, but building #models from which causal structure can be inferred."
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RE: https://biologists.social/@Rxiv_mechanobio/117069212690349050
"The arrival of #machineLearning approaches that predict cellular behavior at scale and integrate a wide array of #biologicalData types makes the analytical demand on #mechanisticModels even more pressing. Prediction is increasingly available without #mechanistic #understanding. The central challenge is no longer building models that reproduce #biological behavior, but building #models from which causal structure can be inferred."
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CW: NSFW 18+
Model: Gracie
From: mplstudios.comPure, radiant temptation caught in the soft blue light. There's an intoxicating quiet confidence in her posture that demands attention. With her hands perfectly settled on that stunning curve, she seems to be beckoning you into a moment of warm, undeniable sensual intimacy.
#nsfw #beautiful #cute #lewd #tits #pussy #ass #brunette #sensual #modeling #bodygoals #glamour #bare
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From Fragmentation To Integration - A Review Of Data–Model Integration In Land Subsidence Research
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ancene.2026.100567 <-- shared paper
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H/T @manonzero current drought conditions, increasing pressure on ecosystems, and ongoing climate adaptation challenges, land subsidence is receiving growing attention worldwide.
For anyone wanting to learn more about land subsidence, or get a refresher, [the authors] provide an overview of the processes involved, the ways it can be measured or estimated, the models used to simulate it, and how observations and models can be combined, [their] new [#openaccess] review paper [link above] may be of interest!
A central message of the paper is that understanding and managing land subsidence requires bringing these different sources of information together…”
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“HIGHLIGHTS:
• Presents a comprehensive synthesis that unifies all major elements of integral land-subsidence research.
• Defines the methodological steps needed for full integration and positions them within the broader challenges posed by subsidence.
• Brings together and distills the key components of data, modelling, and integration into a coherent framework.
ABSTRACT: Land subsidence, the sinking of the Earth’s surface, is a multi-faceted hazard driven by both natural and anthropogenic factors, and poses significant risk to environments, ecosystems, and society. Despite decades of growing research output, substantial gaps persist between investigations on the diversity of causes, reflected in data and model insufficiency. These gaps hinder the understanding of the issue and impede the effectiveness of mitigation measures. Many studies have urged to include all identified subsidence processes acting in a single area in an integral framework, for which a complex analysis has not systematically been outlined before. Therefore, [they] focus here on bridging the gaps between various technical research disciplines involved. [They] stress the urgency for an integral approach that combines observations with subsurface information of all known subsidence processes in an area, and [they] appeal for utilizing them in physics-guided data integrations. Only then can all subsidence drivers be understood, and effective mitigation measures designed. [They] outline the elements for an integral approach in categorical tables and schematized figures, and [they] discuss the main opportunities and challenges in a stepwise workflow. Leveraging these opportunities naturally leads to more robust, scalable, and policy-relevant solutions and fosters a more sustainable future…”
#Land #subsidence #processes #Verticallandmotion #SLR #sealevel #sealevelrise #relativesealevelrise #modeling #data #model #InSAR #elevation #holistic #GIS #spatial #mapping #climate #drought #extremeweather #climatechange #climateadaption #ecosystems #measurement #monitoring #research #review #framework #overview #risk #hazard #anthropogenic #mitigation #engineering #water #hydrology #policy #planning #design #remotesensing #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal -
From Fragmentation To Integration - A Review Of Data–Model Integration In Land Subsidence Research
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ancene.2026.100567 <-- shared paper
--
H/T @manonzero current drought conditions, increasing pressure on ecosystems, and ongoing climate adaptation challenges, land subsidence is receiving growing attention worldwide.
For anyone wanting to learn more about land subsidence, or get a refresher, [the authors] provide an overview of the processes involved, the ways it can be measured or estimated, the models used to simulate it, and how observations and models can be combined, [their] new [#openaccess] review paper [link above] may be of interest!
A central message of the paper is that understanding and managing land subsidence requires bringing these different sources of information together…”
--
“HIGHLIGHTS:
• Presents a comprehensive synthesis that unifies all major elements of integral land-subsidence research.
• Defines the methodological steps needed for full integration and positions them within the broader challenges posed by subsidence.
• Brings together and distills the key components of data, modelling, and integration into a coherent framework.
ABSTRACT: Land subsidence, the sinking of the Earth’s surface, is a multi-faceted hazard driven by both natural and anthropogenic factors, and poses significant risk to environments, ecosystems, and society. Despite decades of growing research output, substantial gaps persist between investigations on the diversity of causes, reflected in data and model insufficiency. These gaps hinder the understanding of the issue and impede the effectiveness of mitigation measures. Many studies have urged to include all identified subsidence processes acting in a single area in an integral framework, for which a complex analysis has not systematically been outlined before. Therefore, [they] focus here on bridging the gaps between various technical research disciplines involved. [They] stress the urgency for an integral approach that combines observations with subsurface information of all known subsidence processes in an area, and [they] appeal for utilizing them in physics-guided data integrations. Only then can all subsidence drivers be understood, and effective mitigation measures designed. [They] outline the elements for an integral approach in categorical tables and schematized figures, and [they] discuss the main opportunities and challenges in a stepwise workflow. Leveraging these opportunities naturally leads to more robust, scalable, and policy-relevant solutions and fosters a more sustainable future…”
#Land #subsidence #processes #Verticallandmotion #SLR #sealevel #sealevelrise #relativesealevelrise #modeling #data #model #InSAR #elevation #holistic #GIS #spatial #mapping #climate #drought #extremeweather #climatechange #climateadaption #ecosystems #measurement #monitoring #research #review #framework #overview #risk #hazard #anthropogenic #mitigation #engineering #water #hydrology #policy #planning #design #remotesensing #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal -
Modeling Flood Susceptibility Utilizing Advanced Ensemble Machine Learning Techniques in the Marand Plain [Iran]
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https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences15030110 <-- shared paper
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H/T @Geosciences MDPI
“This study applies advanced machine learning algorithms to map flood susceptibility in northwest Iran. The results demonstrate strong predictive performance, with the Locally Weighted Linear model delivering the highest accuracy and providing valuable guidance for flood-risk management and disaster mitigation…”
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“Flooding is one of the most significant natural hazards in Iran, primarily due to the country’s arid and semi-arid climate, irregular rainfall patterns, and substantial changes in watershed conditions. These factors combine to make floods a frequent cause of disasters. In this case study, flood susceptibility patterns in the Marand Plain, located in the East Azerbaijan Province in northwest Iran, were analyzed using five machine learning (ML) algorithms: M5P model tree, Random SubSpace (RSS), Random Forest (RF), Bagging, and Locally Weighted Linear (LWL). The modeling process incorporated twelve meteorological, hydrological, and geographical factors affecting floods at 485 identified flood-prone points. The data were analyzed using a geographic information system, with the dataset divided into 70% for training and 30% for testing to build and validate the models. An information gain ratio and multicollinearity analysis were employed to assess the influence of various factors on flood occurrence, and flood-related variables were classified using quantile classification. The frequency ratio method was used to evaluate the significance of each factor. Model performance was evaluated using statistical measures, including the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. All models demonstrated robust performance, with an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) exceeding 0.90. Among the models, the LWL algorithm delivered the most accurate predictions, followed by RF, M5P, Bagging, and RSS. The LWL-generated flood susceptibility map classified 9.79% of the study area as highly susceptible to flooding, 20.73% as high, 38.51% as moderate, 29.23% as low, and 1.74% as very low. The findings of this research provide valuable insights for government agencies, local authorities, and policymakers in designing strategies to mitigate flood-related risks. This study offers a practical framework for reducing the impact of future floods through informed decision-making and risk management strategies…”
#FloodSusceptibility #FloodRisk #MachineLearning #GIS #NaturalHazards #DisasterManagement #FloodModeling #Hydrology #EnvironmentalMonitoring #RiskAssessment #GeospatialAnalysis #ClimateResilience #GIS #spatial #mapping #Iran #MarandPlain #EastAzerbaijan #machinelearning #AI #floodhazard #floodvulnerability #flood #flooding #water #hydrography #hydrology #model #modeling #risk #hazard #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #modelperformance #policy #planning #mitigation #design #riskmanagement -
Modeling Flood Susceptibility Utilizing Advanced Ensemble Machine Learning Techniques in the Marand Plain [Iran]
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https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences15030110 <-- shared paper
--
H/T @Geosciences MDPI
“This study applies advanced machine learning algorithms to map flood susceptibility in northwest Iran. The results demonstrate strong predictive performance, with the Locally Weighted Linear model delivering the highest accuracy and providing valuable guidance for flood-risk management and disaster mitigation…”
--
“Flooding is one of the most significant natural hazards in Iran, primarily due to the country’s arid and semi-arid climate, irregular rainfall patterns, and substantial changes in watershed conditions. These factors combine to make floods a frequent cause of disasters. In this case study, flood susceptibility patterns in the Marand Plain, located in the East Azerbaijan Province in northwest Iran, were analyzed using five machine learning (ML) algorithms: M5P model tree, Random SubSpace (RSS), Random Forest (RF), Bagging, and Locally Weighted Linear (LWL). The modeling process incorporated twelve meteorological, hydrological, and geographical factors affecting floods at 485 identified flood-prone points. The data were analyzed using a geographic information system, with the dataset divided into 70% for training and 30% for testing to build and validate the models. An information gain ratio and multicollinearity analysis were employed to assess the influence of various factors on flood occurrence, and flood-related variables were classified using quantile classification. The frequency ratio method was used to evaluate the significance of each factor. Model performance was evaluated using statistical measures, including the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. All models demonstrated robust performance, with an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) exceeding 0.90. Among the models, the LWL algorithm delivered the most accurate predictions, followed by RF, M5P, Bagging, and RSS. The LWL-generated flood susceptibility map classified 9.79% of the study area as highly susceptible to flooding, 20.73% as high, 38.51% as moderate, 29.23% as low, and 1.74% as very low. The findings of this research provide valuable insights for government agencies, local authorities, and policymakers in designing strategies to mitigate flood-related risks. This study offers a practical framework for reducing the impact of future floods through informed decision-making and risk management strategies…”
#FloodSusceptibility #FloodRisk #MachineLearning #GIS #NaturalHazards #DisasterManagement #FloodModeling #Hydrology #EnvironmentalMonitoring #RiskAssessment #GeospatialAnalysis #ClimateResilience #GIS #spatial #mapping #Iran #MarandPlain #EastAzerbaijan #machinelearning #AI #floodhazard #floodvulnerability #flood #flooding #water #hydrography #hydrology #model #modeling #risk #hazard #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #modelperformance #policy #planning #mitigation #design #riskmanagement -
[Open] Data Related To Flood Mapping [Canada]
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https://natural-resources.canada.ca/science-data/science-research/natural-hazards/flood-mapping/data-related-flood-mapping <-- shared link to technical details
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https://app.geo.ca/en-ca/map-browser/record/a13a2575-5bda-4bfd-a9b1-5bd2dd583f09 <-- shared map/data-portal link, Canada Flood Map Inventory (CFM)
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https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/1074f781-85d3-4c86-86cb-fd1c339197dc <-- shared data-portal link, Canada Flood Susceptibility Index
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https://doi.org/10.3390/ECWS-7-14235 <-- shared (2023) paper
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https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR020917 <-- shared (2017) paper
--
H/T @Michael DePue | VP & AtkinsRéalis Fellow for Water Resources Engineering | PE, PMP, CFM
“At the Canadian Water Resources Association National Conference in Winnipeg, colleagues shared insights from Canada's Flood Hazard Identification and Mapping Program. This initiative has seen over 400 flood mapping projects and more than 1,000 flood hazard maps produced, supported by a substantial investment of $164.2 million from 2024 to 2028.
Two key datasets:
• The Canada Flood Map Inventory, which records the locations of flood hazard maps and provides information on how to access them.
• The national Flood Susceptibility Index, a machine-learning assessment of flood-prone areas, including regions that have not been mapped in detail.
When these two layers are combined on a single screen, it becomes clear where future mapping efforts should be directed — specifically, areas with high susceptibility that currently lack detailed maps…”
#water #hydrography #flood #flooding #risk #hazard #model #modeling #fedscience #publicsafety #humaninpacts #opendata #Canada #GIS #spatial #mapping #damage #infrastructure #floodmapping #prediction #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #historic #current #future #preduction #extremeweather #metrology #rainfall #precipitation #atmosphericriver #FloodMapInventory #CFM #floodhazard #FloodSusceptibilityIndex #floodprone #research #susceptibility
@NRCAN -
[Open] Data Related To Flood Mapping [Canada]
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https://natural-resources.canada.ca/science-data/science-research/natural-hazards/flood-mapping/data-related-flood-mapping <-- shared link to technical details
--
https://app.geo.ca/en-ca/map-browser/record/a13a2575-5bda-4bfd-a9b1-5bd2dd583f09 <-- shared map/data-portal link, Canada Flood Map Inventory (CFM)
--
https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/1074f781-85d3-4c86-86cb-fd1c339197dc <-- shared data-portal link, Canada Flood Susceptibility Index
--
https://doi.org/10.3390/ECWS-7-14235 <-- shared (2023) paper
--
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR020917 <-- shared (2017) paper
--
H/T @Michael DePue | VP & AtkinsRéalis Fellow for Water Resources Engineering | PE, PMP, CFM
“At the Canadian Water Resources Association National Conference in Winnipeg, colleagues shared insights from Canada's Flood Hazard Identification and Mapping Program. This initiative has seen over 400 flood mapping projects and more than 1,000 flood hazard maps produced, supported by a substantial investment of $164.2 million from 2024 to 2028.
Two key datasets:
• The Canada Flood Map Inventory, which records the locations of flood hazard maps and provides information on how to access them.
• The national Flood Susceptibility Index, a machine-learning assessment of flood-prone areas, including regions that have not been mapped in detail.
When these two layers are combined on a single screen, it becomes clear where future mapping efforts should be directed — specifically, areas with high susceptibility that currently lack detailed maps…”
#water #hydrography #flood #flooding #risk #hazard #model #modeling #fedscience #publicsafety #humaninpacts #opendata #Canada #GIS #spatial #mapping #damage #infrastructure #floodmapping #prediction #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #historic #current #future #preduction #extremeweather #metrology #rainfall #precipitation #atmosphericriver #FloodMapInventory #CFM #floodhazard #FloodSusceptibilityIndex #floodprone #research #susceptibility
@NRCAN -
Using Geospatial Analysis and Explainable Machine Learning to Examine Risk Factors of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survival Outcome
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https://openscholar.uga.edu/record/26998/files/Zhang_uga_0077E_16145.pdf <-- shared technical publication / dissertation
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https://www.aag.org/award-grant/william-l-garrison-award-for-best-dissertation-in-computational-geography/ <-- shared @AAG William L. Garrison Award for Best Dissertation in Computational Geography
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[again, way outside any expertise I might have, but fascinating spatial analysis use case…]
H/T @Jielu Zhang | Postdoctoral Researcher @ Harvard University
“[The authors] Ph.D. dissertation "Using Geospatial Analysis and Explainable Machine Learning to Examine Risk Factors of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survival Outcome" [1st link above] has received the 2026 biennial William L. Garrison Award for Best Dissertation in Computational Geography from the American Association of Geographers… [2nd link above.]
In [their] research, [they] develop[ed] Explainable GeoAI and Causal GeoAI methods that combine geographic data and artificial intelligence to expose and ameliorate health disparities by delivering models that not only predict risks but also illuminate how and where to intervene. While [their] dissertation focused on cardiovascular disease, these approaches are broadly applicable to public health, medicine, urban planning, environmental exposure, and resilience research…”
#explainable #causal #AI #model #modeling #PublicHealth #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #AAG2026 #AAG #Award #geostatistics #Georgia #health #risk #hazard #cardiacarrest #cardiovacscular #usecase #metrics #midocine #urbanplanning #resilience #survival #OutofHospital #PhD #Dissertation #CardiacArrest #AutomatedExternalDefibrillator #SpatialOptimization #GeographicallyExplainableArtificialIntelligence #GeoAI #GeoXAI #SpatiallyAwareCausalInference #OverlayedSpatioTemporalOptimization #healthcare #medical #intervention #GIS #spatial #mappingt #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #heart #heartattack #AED #survival #survivaloutcomes #machinelearning #AI #publichealth #healthgeographers #counterfactual #explainable #deeplearning #model #modeling -
Using Geospatial Analysis and Explainable Machine Learning to Examine Risk Factors of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survival Outcome
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https://openscholar.uga.edu/record/26998/files/Zhang_uga_0077E_16145.pdf <-- shared technical publication / dissertation
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https://www.aag.org/award-grant/william-l-garrison-award-for-best-dissertation-in-computational-geography/ <-- shared @AAG William L. Garrison Award for Best Dissertation in Computational Geography
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[again, way outside any expertise I might have, but fascinating spatial analysis use case…]
H/T @Jielu Zhang | Postdoctoral Researcher @ Harvard University
“[The authors] Ph.D. dissertation "Using Geospatial Analysis and Explainable Machine Learning to Examine Risk Factors of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survival Outcome" [1st link above] has received the 2026 biennial William L. Garrison Award for Best Dissertation in Computational Geography from the American Association of Geographers… [2nd link above.]
In [their] research, [they] develop[ed] Explainable GeoAI and Causal GeoAI methods that combine geographic data and artificial intelligence to expose and ameliorate health disparities by delivering models that not only predict risks but also illuminate how and where to intervene. While [their] dissertation focused on cardiovascular disease, these approaches are broadly applicable to public health, medicine, urban planning, environmental exposure, and resilience research…”
#explainable #causal #AI #model #modeling #PublicHealth #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #AAG2026 #AAG #Award #geostatistics #Georgia #health #risk #hazard #cardiacarrest #cardiovacscular #usecase #metrics #midocine #urbanplanning #resilience #survival #OutofHospital #PhD #Dissertation #CardiacArrest #AutomatedExternalDefibrillator #SpatialOptimization #GeographicallyExplainableArtificialIntelligence #GeoAI #GeoXAI #SpatiallyAwareCausalInference #OverlayedSpatioTemporalOptimization #healthcare #medical #intervention #GIS #spatial #mappingt #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #heart #heartattack #AED #survival #survivaloutcomes #machinelearning #AI #publichealth #healthgeographers #counterfactual #explainable #deeplearning #model #modeling -
Identifying Agricultural Consumptive-Use Patterns To Support Adaptive Water Management In California’s Santa Clara Valley Via Remote Sensing And Machine Learning
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https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pwat.0000416 <-- shared paper
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H/T @Guillaume Wright | Executive Editor, PLOS
“💧 With drought [and high temperatures] gripping many areas of the world right now... [the H/T] wanted to highlight a new paper in PLOS Water this week with a very timely focus on hydroclimatic stresses and what can be done to mitigate this through water management practices when it comes to agriculture.
[The authors] investigate[d] adaptive water management practices in California’s Santa Clara Valley via remote sensing and machine learning techniques. They [found] good evidence for use of customized agricultural water-management plans for irrigation monitoring, conservation planning, and adaptive water management in groundwater-dependent regions such as is found in California…”
#GIS #spatial #mapping #California #SantaClara #SantaClaraValley #custom #watermanagement #practices #waterresources #agriculture #remotesensing #spatialanalysis #machinelearning #earthobservation #AI #planning #wateruse #efficiency #water #hydrology #irrigation #conservation #adaptivewatermanagement #model #modeling #drought #extremeweather #hydroclimate #stress #crop #cropland #evapotranspiration #ET #NDVI #PRISM #precipitation #rainfall #watermanagementplan #groundwater -
Identifying Agricultural Consumptive-Use Patterns To Support Adaptive Water Management In California’s Santa Clara Valley Via Remote Sensing And Machine Learning
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https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pwat.0000416 <-- shared paper
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H/T @Guillaume Wright | Executive Editor, PLOS
“💧 With drought [and high temperatures] gripping many areas of the world right now... [the H/T] wanted to highlight a new paper in PLOS Water this week with a very timely focus on hydroclimatic stresses and what can be done to mitigate this through water management practices when it comes to agriculture.
[The authors] investigate[d] adaptive water management practices in California’s Santa Clara Valley via remote sensing and machine learning techniques. They [found] good evidence for use of customized agricultural water-management plans for irrigation monitoring, conservation planning, and adaptive water management in groundwater-dependent regions such as is found in California…”
#GIS #spatial #mapping #California #SantaClara #SantaClaraValley #custom #watermanagement #practices #waterresources #agriculture #remotesensing #spatialanalysis #machinelearning #earthobservation #AI #planning #wateruse #efficiency #water #hydrology #irrigation #conservation #adaptivewatermanagement #model #modeling #drought #extremeweather #hydroclimate #stress #crop #cropland #evapotranspiration #ET #NDVI #PRISM #precipitation #rainfall #watermanagementplan #groundwater -
A National-Scale Database Of Groundwater Level Data For Switzerland
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-026-07353-6 <-- shared paper
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H/T @RaoulCollenteur | Groundwater Hydrologist at Collenteur HydroConsult GmbH
“Looking for a ready-to-use FAIR dataset with groundwater levels, signatures, and meteorological drivers to test new models and analysis methods to learn from groundwater level data? Why not try [the authors’] new Swiss Groundwater Database with almost 1,000 piezometers in diverse climatological and hydrogeological settings within Switzerland? 💡
💧 Long groundwater level time series with frequent measurements
💧 Meteorological drivers included
💧Unique dataset in terms of hydrogeological data in an alpine setting
… [They] hope [that they] can develop the database in the future with other variables (i.e., groundwater temperature, spring discharge, etc.) and welcome additions and collaborations to make this happen. 🌊…”
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“Groundwater is a vital component of the global supply of freshwater, playing a critical role for human populations, agriculture, and ecosystems. Due to the complex interactions between groundwater, surface water, climate, and human activity, these systems are frequently studied using advanced data analysis and modeling techniques. The effectiveness of these methods is generally enhanced by the availability and quality of data. In Switzerland, the focus area of this study, groundwater data is fragmented and lacks a standardized nationwide compilation. Consequently, the process of conducting nationwide studies with substantial sample sizes is both resource-intensive and time-consuming. In this paper, [they] introduce the Swiss Groundwater Database, a comprehensive compilation of groundwater time series and associated metadata throughout Switzerland. The current database consists of groundwater level data from 985 monitoring wells, which were completed with additional static and time-varying variables. The environmental characteristics and climate indices were compiled and determined for each monitoring well. The database is designed to facilitate and support large-sample hydrological research related to groundwater in Switzerland and beyond…”
#water #hydrography #database #GIS #spatial #mapping #groundwater #Switzerland #FAIR #SwissGroundwaterDatabase #opendata #hydrogeology #meteorology #weather #climate #alpine #waterresources #agriculture #ecosystems #humanimpacts #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #modeling #dataanalysis #nationwide #metadata #monitoring #wells
@Federal Office for the Environment FOEN | @Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss -
A National-Scale Database Of Groundwater Level Data For Switzerland
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-026-07353-6 <-- shared paper
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H/T @RaoulCollenteur | Groundwater Hydrologist at Collenteur HydroConsult GmbH
“Looking for a ready-to-use FAIR dataset with groundwater levels, signatures, and meteorological drivers to test new models and analysis methods to learn from groundwater level data? Why not try [the authors’] new Swiss Groundwater Database with almost 1,000 piezometers in diverse climatological and hydrogeological settings within Switzerland? 💡
💧 Long groundwater level time series with frequent measurements
💧 Meteorological drivers included
💧Unique dataset in terms of hydrogeological data in an alpine setting
… [They] hope [that they] can develop the database in the future with other variables (i.e., groundwater temperature, spring discharge, etc.) and welcome additions and collaborations to make this happen. 🌊…”
--
“Groundwater is a vital component of the global supply of freshwater, playing a critical role for human populations, agriculture, and ecosystems. Due to the complex interactions between groundwater, surface water, climate, and human activity, these systems are frequently studied using advanced data analysis and modeling techniques. The effectiveness of these methods is generally enhanced by the availability and quality of data. In Switzerland, the focus area of this study, groundwater data is fragmented and lacks a standardized nationwide compilation. Consequently, the process of conducting nationwide studies with substantial sample sizes is both resource-intensive and time-consuming. In this paper, [they] introduce the Swiss Groundwater Database, a comprehensive compilation of groundwater time series and associated metadata throughout Switzerland. The current database consists of groundwater level data from 985 monitoring wells, which were completed with additional static and time-varying variables. The environmental characteristics and climate indices were compiled and determined for each monitoring well. The database is designed to facilitate and support large-sample hydrological research related to groundwater in Switzerland and beyond…”
#water #hydrography #database #GIS #spatial #mapping #groundwater #Switzerland #FAIR #SwissGroundwaterDatabase #opendata #hydrogeology #meteorology #weather #climate #alpine #waterresources #agriculture #ecosystems #humanimpacts #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #modeling #dataanalysis #nationwide #metadata #monitoring #wells
@Federal Office for the Environment FOEN | @Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss -
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I will finally have a vertex paint tool that just works ;)
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How can we design for easier attendee participation? By modeling participation, creating a safe event environment, and making participation optional.
#meetings #EventDesign #improvement #participation #modeling #safety #OptOut #eventprofs
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3D Retro Max on EeePC
Intel Celeron M Processor ULV 373 a 900Mhz, 5.5W CPU from 2004
1GB RAM
Intel 915G Graphics (64MB VRAM)
Windows XP SP4 -
Unraveling The Drivers Of Water Shortage Across Spatial Scales And Sectors In Colorado's West Slope River Basins
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EF008137 <-- shared paper
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['sorry' about your Kentucky Bluegrass, almonds, etc... /s]
H/T Sai Veena Sunkara | Postdoctoral Associate
“…Colorado’s West Slope basins provide nearly 70% of the inflows to Lake Powell and are also essential to communities, agriculture, industry, hydropower, and downstream Colorado River users.
To examine the wide range of possible futures, [they] simulated 2.1 million years, defining 20,000 plausible scenarios applying changes to streamflow, snowmelt timing, drought persistence, and agricultural, municipal, and industrial water demand.
A key finding is that there is 𝗻𝗼 𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴𝗹𝗲 𝗰𝗮𝘂𝘀𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗳𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗴𝗲𝘀. The most influential drivers vary by basin, sector, and water user. In some areas, shortages are driven primarily by persistent low-flow conditions or changing snowmelt timing. In others, increasing municipal, industrial, or irrigation demand plays a larger role. This suggests that adaptation strategies must be tailored to specific basins and users rather than relying on a single, system-wide solution. Other major findings are
• West Slope deliveries to Lake Powell could fall more than 50% below the current median baseline
• Storage in major West Slope reservoirs could decline 40–55% below historical medians
These results underscore the need for water-planning approaches that account for deep uncertainty, persistent drought, shifting snowmelt patterns, and sector-specific demand…”
#Colorado #waterallocation #StateMod #USWest #USA #WesternSlope #waterresources #watersecurity #watershortage #drought #snowmelt #rainfall #precipitation #riverbasin #water #hydrography #hydrology #reasons #agriculture #industry #hydropower #streamflow #surfacewater #municipal #irrigation #adaptationstrategies #planning #policy #mitigation #ColoradoRiver #basins #climatechange #extremeweather #populationpressure #waterdemand #waterrights #model #modeling #HiddenMarkovModel #stochastic #projecteddemand #ColoradoRiverBasin #wateruse #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #strategy -
Anatomy Of A Seafloor Spreading Event Captured By In Situ Seismogeodesy
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10785-0 <-- shared paper
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https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/in-a-first-scientists-witness-the-seafloor-spread-in-real-time-giving-them-a-rare-glimpse-at-a-mysterious-geologic-process-180989123/ <-- shared technical media article
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H/T @Seabed 2030
“🔍 For the first time, scientists have observed seafloor spreading in real time.
Seafloor spreading is the process by which new oceanic crust is formed at mid-ocean ridges - a geological process that has shaped entire ocean basins over millions of years.
During a research expedition in the Indian Ocean, scientists had just deployed a suite of instruments when a series of earthquakes triggered a seafloor spreading event, allowing them to observe the process as it unfolded.
The findings offer rare new insights into how new oceanic crust forms and how the seafloor continues to evolve…”
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“Earth’s outermost layer - the crust - is constantly renewing itself. It’s broken into giant chunks called tectonic plates that pull apart, push against or slide past one another, creating grand geologic features.
Underwater mountain ranges, or mid-ocean ridges, for instance, generally take shape where two tectonic plates are moving away from each other. Magma can then bubble up in between, solidifying and turning into new oceanic crust as part of a process called seafloor spreading. Although the phenomenon has created entire ocean basins, it remains quite mysterious because it happens so deep in the water.
Now, for the first time, scientists have observed this dynamic activity happening in real time. They describe their findings - and their stroke of luck - in a study [link above], shedding light on a mechanism that made roughly two-thirds of Earth’s crust…”
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#Seabed2030 #OceanMapping #Hydrospatial #remotesensing #seafloor #seafloorspreading #oceanic #crust #geology #structuralgeology #IndianOcean #earthquake #midoceanridge #instrumentation #marine #seabed #hydrography #model #modeling #mapping #GIS #spatial #tectonicplates #magma #fortuitous #survey #seismogeodetic #monitoring #submarine #rifting #observation #volcanism #seismicity #dyke #fault #faulting #midoceanridge #MOR -
Sitting on a plane about to take off, during the usual safety instructions, I learned something about the importance of modeling listening.
https://www.conferencesthatwork.com/index.php/learning/2011/11/the-importance-of-modeling-listening
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Coupled Hydrological And Public Health Risks From Urban Flooding - Integrated Remote Sensing, Machine Learning, And Hydrodynamic–Ecological Modelling
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135999 <-- shared paper
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https://youtu.be/VHzYLvSYR7k?si=5oGGPeH6T0dFusfY <-- recent overview video created about the research
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wroa.2025.100396 <-- share (earlier) paper
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H/T @RAHUL DEOPA | Research Scholar (IIT Roorkee)
“… [U]rban floods are not merely hydraulic events; they also transport sewage, pathogens, and other contaminants across streets and communities, leading to significant public health risks…
How do we quantify microbial contamination in near real time during a flood event, when emergency conditions make field sampling unsafe, sparse, or even impossible?...
[The authors] explored whether Earth observation data, combined with machine learning, could bridge this critical monitoring gap. By combining Landsat-derived water surface temperature, machine learning, a coupled MIKE+ Flood–ECO Lab hydrodynamic–ecological model, and Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment (QMRA), [they] estimated microbial concentrations (𝘌. 𝘤𝘰𝘭𝘪), simulated their fate and transport during floods, and quantified the associated human health risks.
The takeaway: predicting flood risk isn't just about where the water goes; it's about what it's carrying and who it puts in harm's way. Earth observation and machine learning can help close that gap when it matters most, during the emergency, not weeks after…”
#publichealth #risk #hazard #watersecurity #Floodrisk #Humanhealthrisk #Urbanflooding #Hydrodynamicmodelling #waterquality #model #modeling #SupportVectorRegression #flood #flooding #urban #city #sewage #pathogens #contaminant #disease #streets #community #quantification #remotesensing #GIS #spatial #mapping #earthobservation #spatialanalysis #water #hydrology #climatechange #extremeweather #spatiotemporal #AI #machineleraning #fateandtransport #hydrodynamic #microbial #rainfall #drainage #streamflow #topography #hydrogeomorphology #Delhi #India #floodplain -
I've finally got a formal solicitation for the postdoc position on my new NSF-funded project—come help build a new method to study plant populations' responses to environmental variation in space and over time, and figure out interesting ways to use it! Apply by 23 August to ensure consideration.
Details here: https://lab.jbyoder.org/2026/07/28/yoder-lab-hiring-postdoctoral-research-fellow-ecology-data-science/
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Quantifying UK Coastal Flood Exposure Under Future Sea-Level Rise To [2100 and] 2300
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-74982-1 <-- shared paper
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https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jul/21/millions-long-term-coastal-flooding-risk-uk-climate-action <-- shared media article
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H/T @University of Bristol School of Geographical Sciences
“🌊 New research on long-term coastal flooding as a result of climate inaction 🌊
… The researchers found:
🔷 By 2100 at least an additional 0.5 million people exposed to the 1-in-200 year undefended flood extent - a 25% increase compared to present day.
🔷 Under the most pessimistic storyline by 2300 involving significant ice-sheet instability, an additional 13 million people could be exposed to the 1-in-200 year undefended flood event.
🔷 Under some scenarios there is a need for large-scale movement of populations and settlements away from the coast in the coming centuries…”
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“Up to 13 million people in the UK face the long-term risk of coastal flooding due to the climate crisis, scientists have warned, with a ‘reasonable worst-case scenario’ suggesting the need for the large-scale movement of populations away from a dramatically reshaped coast…
Sea level has risen by about 20cm around the UK in the last century and is accelerating. A further 40cm to 60cm by 2100 is already baked in, meaning about half a million more people will be at risk of their homes being flooded, on top of the 2.5 million already in danger near the coasts. Lincolnshire and the Humber estuary are most in danger…”
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“The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment report highlighted the potential for more than 15 metres of global sea-level rise by 2300. In this study, [the authors] explore the implications for UK coastal flood exposure by combining national-scale flood modelling with physically-based storylines of UK sea-level rise. By 2100 all storylines show broadly similar results with at least an additional ½ million people exposed to the 1-in-200 year undefended flood extent, which represents a 25% increase compared to present day. Under the most pessimistic storyline by 2300 involving significant ice-sheet instability, an additional 13 million people could be exposed to the 1-in-200 year undefended flood event. This would imply the potential need for large-scale movement of populations and settlements away from the coast in the coming centuries. Given current global emissions pledges, exposure increases by 1.7 million people by 2300, however up to 1 million could be avoided if Paris Agreement targets for greenhouse gas emissions are met…”
#coast #coastal #innundation #climatechange #global #sealevel #sealevelrise #SLR #flood #flooding #climatechange #population #infrastructure #UK #England #Scotland #Wales #NorthernIreland #Lincolnshire #Humber #estuary #settlement #city #urban #mitigation #planning #policy #infrastructure #risk #hazard #humanimpacts #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #GIS #spatial #mapping #coastalflooding #climatecrisis #model #modeling #elevation #DEM -
Impact Of Reservoir Storage On Propagation From Meteorological To Hydrological Drought
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.136061 <-- shared paper
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H/T @DrAjayGupta | Post Doctoral Fellow, IIT Bombay | Ph.D. in Hydrology, IIT Roorkee | Commonwealth Split-site Fellow, University of Birmingham I M.Tech in Water Resources Engineering, NIT Silchar | B.E. in Civil Engineering, PCE Nagpur.
“🌍 Why is this important?
While reservoirs are widely recognized for mitigating drought impacts, their role in controlling how drought propagates through the hydrological cycle has remained largely unexplored. In this study, [the authors] investigate how reservoir storage influences the transition of drought from meteorological to agricultural to reservoir to streamflow drought across the semi-arid Krishna River Basin, India.
🔍 THIS STUDY ADDRESSES TWO KEY RESEARCH QUESTIONS:
✅ How do drought propagation time (initiation, peak, and termination) change from meteorological to agricultural, reservoir, and streamflow droughts across different timescales and threshold values?
✅ How does reservoir storage influence drought propagation between upstream and downstream reservoirs using the Downstreamness concept?
📌 KEY FINDINGS
🔹 Drought propagation differs substantially across drought types because each component of the hydrological system responds at different rates.
🔹 Reservoirs significantly delay the propagation of drought by buffering water deficits, particularly between agricultural and streamflow drought.
🔹 Mild and moderate upstream reservoir droughts rarely propagate downstream, whereas severe upstream droughts consistently transmit downstream, leading to longer duration, greater severity, and delayed onset.
🔹 The downstreamness analysis reveals dynamic shifts in water storage between upstream and downstream reservoirs throughout drought development and recovery, providing valuable insights for reservoir operation and basin-scale drought management…”
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“HIGHLIGHTS
• Reservoir storage impact on drought propagation from meteorological-to-hydrological drought.
• Drought propagation timeframe: initiation, peak and termination are checked.
• Impact assessment using hydrological connection: upstream to downstream reservoirs.
• Severe upstream droughts propagate downstream with increased duration and severity.
• During drought periods water-storage concentration shifts from downstream to upstream..."
#Drought #DroughtPropagation #Reservoirs #WaterResources #WaterManagement #RiverBasinManagement #KrishnaRiverBasin #Downstreamness #India #climatechange #reservoir #storage #hydrology #water #hydrologiccycle #watersecurity #planning #policy #KrishnaRiver #weather #climate #metrology #agriculture #farming #streamflow #model #modeling #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis -
Accepting a hypothesis depends on the importance of being mistaken. It can be considered a judgment with ethics attached.
Without accounting for multiple values and preferences in policy design, scientific insights risk becoming politicized, potentially reinforcing dominant parties’ interests in funneling action while shifting risks to vulnerable populations.
Roger A. Pielke Jr. advocated for taking the role of saying "How about these other ideas?" instead of taking a position on currently debated topics.ref. (2007). "The Honest Broker: Making Sense of Science in Policy and Politics" 🧩 🧵
#policy #uncertainty #uncertainties #robustness #probabilities #futures #anticipation #IAMs #science #modelling #modeling #risks #riskAssessment #unknowns #governance #bias #workCollectives #institutions #Pielke
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Global Performance of #RemoteSensing Based and Reanalysis-Driven Models to Estimate Open Water Evaporation
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2025WR042363
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“ABSTRACT: Evaporation plays an essential role in the water cycle, influencing local and regional climates while directly impacting water availability in lakes. However, directly measuring evaporation over water bodies remains challenging due to the high costs of installing and maintaining the required in situ instrumentation. Although several remote sensing algorithms have been providing evaporation estimates, the lack of a global validation hinders our understanding of their relative uncertainties and performances across different regions. Here, [they] analyze[d] the performance of a suite of models that leverage satellite data and meteorological reanalysis to estimate evaporation over lakes worldwide. [They] compare[d] three remote sensing-based models, one reanalysis-driven model and one ensemble approach, using in situ observations from 27 lakes representing a diverse range of geographic and climatic regions. [Their] results demonstrate that, overall, the ensemble outperformed any individual model in terms of accuracy, with a RMSE and a bias of 1.3 and 0.3 mm/day, respectively. These findings highlight the benefits of using an ensemble approach to estimate open water evaporation with satellite-based models at the global scale, leveraging the unique strengths of each model. For the individual models, differences in the representation of heat storage changes and advection effects led to lower values of RMSE and bias, depending on the location and depth of the lakes. This study sets the path for future improvement of open water evaporation algorithms globally, while remote sensing techniques are proven satisfactory to monitoring of water loss in lakes globally, an essential step toward effective large-scale water resources management.
PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Water loss through evaporation in lakes and reservoirs directly affects water availability, which highlights the need to monitor these losses. However, measuring evaporation in situ is challenging and expensive. An alternative is to estimate evaporation using remote-sensing models and compare these estimates with in-situ data to verify their accuracy. Here, [they] evaluated four models and their ensemble (the models' mean value) using measurements from 27 lakes and reservoirs worldwide. [They] found that the ensemble presented higher accuracy and consistency than any individual model because it benefits from the strengths of each model. This approach can guide future improvements in estimating open-water evaporation, which is essential for large-scale water-resource management…”
#global #mapping #earthobservation #GIS #spatial #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #modeling #water #hydrology #surfacewater #waterbody #lake #reservoir #evaporation #evapotranspiration #watercycle #weather #meteorology #usecase #waterresources #watermanagement #waterloss #regional #estimate #policy #planning #instrumentation #comparasion
