#demographics — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #demographics, aggregated by home.social.
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Trump administration proposes excluding certain immigrants from US census | US Midterm Elections 2026 News
The administration of President Donald Trump is attempting a major overhaul of the United States census, submitting a…
#NewsBeep #News #Headlines #Civilrights #demographics #DonaldTrump #Government #Migration #Politics #UnitedStates #Us #US&Canada #USMidtermElections2026 #USA
https://www.newsbeep.com/725927/ -
Sumner’s theory of declining fertility as being driven primarily by increasingly good entertainment and leisure options makes sense. There are certainly other factors, but this focuses on broadening out the facile, “it’s the phones,” theory.
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Annual High-Resolution Global Ambient Population Estimates From 1975 To 2024
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https://doi.org/10.31223/X5MV3R <-- shared paper
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https://landscan.ornl.gov/ <-- shared webmap and data link (via download -> LandScan Mosaic Time Series)
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https://gee-community-catalog.org/projects/landcast/ <-- shared link to GEE community catalog collection ‘LandScan Mosaic Annual Global Ambient Population Time Series’
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H/T @andrew Zimmer || Geographer | Research Scientist @ Oak Ridge National Laboratory
“LSM-TS provides annual global estimates of ambient population from 1975–2024 at ~90 m resolution, creating a spatially and temporally consistent reconstruction of population change designed for longitudinal analysis. Reconstruction of historical populations are driven by current LandScan Mosaic building-level population distributions, scaled by built-surface change from #GHSL … and calibrated to annual national-level estimates from U.S. Census Bureau…”
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“LandScan is a globally recognized, R&D100-winning population data platform developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). Its datasets provide human population distribution estimates down to 100 meter grid resolution. LandScan supports disaster response, humanitarian aid, environmental analysis, and urban planning by providing insights into where people live and how they move…”
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“Gridded population data support assessments of human exposure, settlement change, infrastructure demand, and access to services, yet global datasets combining annual coverage over multiple decades with fine spatial resolution remain limited. LandScan Mosaic Time Series provides 50 annual estimates of global ambient population distribution at 3 arc-second resolution from 1975 through 2024. The series is anchored to the 2024 LandScan Mosaic surface, produced through a building-level population modeling workflow. Historical surfaces are reconstructed using annualized changes in built surface and derived first-level administrative population trajectories. Every layer, including 2024, is normalized to administrative targets scaled to annual country totals from the U.S. Census Bureau International Database. The dataset is distributed as 50 single-band Cloud Optimized GeoTIFFs on an identical WGS84 grid, with values representing estimated persons per cell. Its common grid and methodology support fine-scale longitudinal analysis of ambient population distribution while documented validation and limitations guide appropriate reuse…”
#demographics #change #spatiotemporal #1975 #2024 #population #change #grid #global #LandScan #POPGRID #LSMTS #ambientpopulation #GHSL #OakRidge #ORNL #usecase #opendata #disasterresponse #humanitarianaid #environmentalanalysis #urbanplanning #humanexposure #settlementchange #city #rural #infrastructure #demand #accesstoservices #GIS #spatial #mapping #building #outline #model #modeling
@OAK Ridge National Laboratory | National Security Sciences at ORNL | @POPGRID Data Collaborative -
It is seldom talked about...but I think one reason the American economy's #unfairness accelerated so much, during the prime years of #GenerationX, is that neither politicians nor businesses could justify speaking directly to that cohort and addressing its dissatisfaction and valid cynicism toward institutions.
Its population was undersized, compared to the two generations it got stuck between. So it wasn't profitable enough in terms of votes or market capture. Remember, the origin of its designation "X"—like, an unknown variable—was that it was too small for older leaders to comprehend; or really to bother trying to.
Hence, for decades, older people's self-interest went unchecked. And they got too powerful by the time Generation Y finally came of age.
❌
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Honolulu Civil Beat: Data For Dummies: Hawaiʻi Facts For Those Of Us Who Can’t Read Spreadsheets. “Now that another primary election has come and gone, I’ve been wondering: Is Hawaiʻi still the worst in the nation when it comes to voter turnout? Fortunately, the folks who built Hawaiʻi Dashboard, a cool new database of key Hawaiʻi facts, figures and trends, were reading my mind.”
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/08/29/data-for-dummies-hawai%ca%bbi-facts-for-those-of-us-who-cant-read-spreadsheets-honolulu-civil-beat/ -
StateScoop: Pennsylvania launches voter data dashboard. “Pennsylvania election officials on Monday launched a new data dashboard designed to make the state’s voter registration data easier for the public to access and track ahead of the November election.”
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/08/26/statescoop-pennsylvania-launches-voter-data-dashboard/ -
In #China, talking to #AI is normal. Now the government fears it might replace human intimacy - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/26/china-ai-companion-relationships-marriage-birth-rate-concern #chinese #demographics are about to get a lot worse...
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Young Australians' home ownership rate at an 80-year low, report shows
By Aoife HiltonA new report shows generational inequality is pushing young Australians out of the housing market.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-08-25/first-generation-in-australia-to-fall-behind/107077612
#HousingPolicy #YoungPeople #Demographics #BusinessEconomicsandFinance #PopulationGroups #AoifeHilton
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DATE: August 25, 2026 at 06:00AM
SOURCE: PSYPOST.ORG** Research quality varies widely from fantastic to small exploratory studies. Please check research methods when conclusions are very important to you. **
-------------------------------------------------TITLE: Individualism and income appear to shape relationship status across 59 countries
URL: https://www.psypost.org/personal-demographics-and-cultural-values-jointly-predict-singlehood/
Whether a person remains single is linked to a combination of personal circumstances and the cultural values of the country they live in. A large study published in PLOS One found that personal traits like age and income relate to relationship status differently depending on how much a society values individualism and adaptability. These findings suggest that singlehood is shaped by broad cultural environments rather than just individual choices.
Over the past few decades, the traditional family structure has shifted in many parts of the world. In the United States, Canada, and various European and Asian nations, the population of single adults has grown steadily. Researchers want to understand the broad societal forces driving this trend. Past sociological research has mostly focused on personal characteristics, such as education levels or economic stability.
Psychologists Marta Kowal and Katarzyna Adamczyk, based at the University of Wrocław and Adam Mickiewicz University respectively, wanted to expand on this past research. They suspected that personal demographic characteristics might operate differently depending on the surrounding culture. The researchers decided to examine how national culture interacts with personal circumstances to predict relationship status.
To measure culture, the researchers relied on a framework known as the Minkov-Hofstede model. This model divides national cultures into two main spectrums. The first spectrum is individualism versus collectivism. Individualistic cultures value personal freedom, independence, and self-reliance. Collectivistic cultures prioritize tradition, strict social rules, and group loyalty.
The second cultural spectrum is flexibility versus monumentalism. Flexible cultures, often found in East Asia, value adaptability, humility, self-control, and long-term goals like acquiring a good education. Monumentalist cultures, which the model associates with regions like Latin America and the Arab world, value an unchanging and proud sense of self. Monumentalist societies encourage people to follow their impulses, seek immediate gratification, and remain invariant in their values.
To conduct the study, Kowal and Adamczyk analyzed an existing dataset from the World Values Survey. The researchers utilized a large sample of 71,169 individuals across 59 countries. The data, collected between 2017 and 2021, included detailed interviews conducted at the participants’ homes.
The researchers categorized participants based on their relationship status. People who were married or living together as married were classified as partnered. Those who were single and never married were classified as single. For the main analysis, the researchers excluded people who were divorced, widowed, or separated.
The researchers then gathered personal details for each participant, including their age, sex, hometown size, education level, income, and employment status. Next, they assigned each participant a cultural score based on their country of residence. They used established national scores for both the individualism and flexibility spectrums.
Finally, the researchers used a statistical technique that allowed them to look at data on multiple levels at once. This method let them evaluate how national cultural trends might alter the effects of personal demographics on a person’s relationship status. A secondary analysis that included divorced and widowed individuals as single yielded the exact same statistical patterns.
The analysis revealed several consistent patterns across all countries. People were more likely to be single if they were younger, male, and living in larger towns. Higher education levels, lower income, and unemployment were also associated with a greater likelihood of being single.
These demographic associations align with expectations from past sociological research. Younger people are still in the phase of searching for a partner. Educational expansion delays entry into the workforce, which often pushes back the timeline for marriage. A lack of economic stability, characterized by unemployment or low income, can discourage people from committing to serious relationships.
The sex and location differences also matched established patterns. Women often face more social pressure to marry, which may make them less likely to remain single compared to men. Living in larger urban areas often correlates with a lower adherence to traditional family values, creating environments where singlehood is more socially accepted.
National culture also played a direct role in predicting relationship status. People living in highly individualistic countries were more likely to be single. Individualism grants people the freedom to behave according to their own beliefs, making a single lifestyle an easier path to choose.
People in less flexible, or more monumentalist, countries were also more likely to be single. Because monumentalist cultures encourage people to follow their immediate impulses and desires rather than prioritizing long-term goals, they may promote short-term dating over settling down into a long-term partnership.
The study uncovered notable interactions between personal traits and cultural values. In more individualistic countries, the link between being single and having a lower income or being unemployed was much stronger. Individualistic societies expect young people to become self-reliant and secure their own financial resources before starting a family. If a person lacks those resources in an individualistic culture, they are highly likely to remain single.
The connection between being male and being single was also stronger in individualistic nations. The researchers proposed that individualistic cultures emphasize independence. This cultural emphasis aligns with the traditional social expectation that men should be self-reliant, potentially making singlehood an expected path for men in those societies.
In monumentalist countries, older age was more strongly associated with singlehood than it was in flexible countries. Monumentalist cultures encourage people to live authentically according to their personal desires rather than conforming to societal expectations. Since older adults tend to conform less to social pressures as they age, they may be more inclined to live independently in societies that celebrate personal authenticity.
The researchers noted a few limitations to their work. The data used in the analysis was observational, meaning it cannot prove cause and effect. While lower income and unemployment predict a higher likelihood of singlehood, it is also possible that living alone leads to different financial outcomes. The relationship between these factors could go in both directions.
The analysis also grouped all single and never-married people into one unified category. Single individuals are a highly diverse group with different dating histories and personal desires. Some people actively choose to remain single, while others are involuntarily single.
Future research could expand on these findings by tracking people over time to observe how their relationship status evolves. Researchers could also look at other cultural dimensions to see how the freedom to choose new social groups affects the likelihood of finding a partner.
The study, “Sociodemographic and cultural factors are related to singlehood rates: A multilevel analysis across 59 countries from the World Values Survey,” was authored by Marta Kowal and Katarzyna Adamczyk.
URL: https://www.psypost.org/personal-demographics-and-cultural-values-jointly-predict-singlehood/
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Private, vetted email list for mental health professionals: https://www.clinicians-exchange.org
Unofficial Psychology Today Xitter to toot feed at Psych Today Unofficial Bot @PTUnofficialBot
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#psychology #counseling #socialwork #psychotherapy @psychotherapist @psychotherapists @psychology @socialpsych @socialwork @psychiatry #mentalhealth #psychiatry #healthcare #depression #psychotherapist #Singlehood #RelationshipStatus #Individualism #CulturalFactors #WorldValuesSurvey #Sociology #Demographics #Urbanization #MonumentalistCulture #FlexibilityVsMonumentalism
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Singapore has announced a package of childcare benefits to support families as the city-state grapples with a record-low birth rate and rising concerns over the cost and pressures of raising children. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/08/24/asia-pacific/singapore-family-support-births/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #asiapacific #babies #demographics #singapore #families #southeastasia #familyplanning
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Why extreme heat is much more dangerous for the elderly than we realised | Health News
A much higher number of elderly people than previously expected are at high risk of illness or death…
#NewsBeep #News #Headlines #Climate #ClimateCrisis #demographics #environment #Explainer #Health #scienceandtechnology #World
https://www.newsbeep.com/697978/ -
More than 1 million foreign residents now live in Taiwan.
As of June 2026, Taiwan had 1.07 million foreign residents with a valid residence permit, 10% more than a year earlier. The largest groups are from Indonesia, Vietnam, the Philippines and Thailand.
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In #Lithuania, the conservative #opposition Homeland Union has submitted to #parliament a draft national agreement on #demographics for 2026-2040. Earlier, PM Mindaugas Sinkevicius proposed such a cross-party agreement as well. Lithuania's #fertility rate is 0.99 #children per woman.
https://viabaltica.fi/lithuania-conservatives-submit-deal-on-demographics/
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Socio-Hydrology Modeling Captures How Inequalities Impact Community Flood Resilience
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2025WR041393 <-- shared paper
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https://www.americanprogress.org/article/how-fema-can-build-rural-resilience-through-disaster-preparedness/ <-- shared technical/opinion article
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https://www.carbonbrief.org/us-flooding-increase-will-disproportionately-impact-black-and-low-income-groups <-- shared technical/opinion article
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https://headwaterseconomics.org/natural-hazards/unequal-impacts-of-flooding/ <-- shared technical/opinion article
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https://youtu.be/8jVRsD8wgMM?si=qBHchWZWkYRGbTdE <-- shared opinion video
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https://fedcommunities.org/lower-income-neighborhoods-face-greater-flood-risk-tougher-recovery/ <-- shared technical/opinion article
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H/T @matthew Preisser | PhD Civil Engineering, Natural Hazard Modeler and Socio-Hydrologists
“How can we better understand the dynamic feedbacks between the environment and society?
Socio-hydrology models are often built around the assumption that cities act as homogeneous entities, without capturing the variable capacity of communities with different underlying socioeconomic characteristics to respond to and recover from disasters.
In this study, [the authors] developed a disaggregated approach to model community-specific adaptive capacity, allowing [them] to examine how inequalities influence flood recovery and resilience. This framework provide[d] a basis for exploring hypotheses about the relationships between growth, inequality, and community resilience in the face of flood hazards.
[Their] results highlighted] the importance of considering community-level dynamics when developing flood mitigation and disaster response strategies that balance economic growth with equity. Many challenges remain in applying socio-hydrology models to real-world settings, but this work takes a step toward incorporating more realistic representations of socioeconomic inequality into human–water systems while preserving the generality and flexibility that make conceptual models useful…”
#risk #hazard #water #hydrology #flood #society #flooding #USA #SocioHydrology #naturalhazard #socioeconomic #population #demographics #infrastructure #damage #disaster #disaggregated #model #modeling #community #adaptiveresponse #growth #inequality #communityresilience #floodhazard #floodmitigation #disasterresponse #equity #city #town #rural #urban #economy #cost -
“[…] fully remote work functioned as a particularly important buffer. In more rapidly shrinking cities, fully remote work was associated with greater life satisfaction, suggesting that digital work arrangements may help residents remain connected to broader labor markets even when local employment opportunities are fragile” 👉🏻 https://phys.org/news/2026-08-fully-remote-stable-term-buffer.html
An uncomfortable truth employers don't want to talk about: #Demographics of their own workforce.
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Half of Europe's towns and villages have fewer residents than 60 years ago
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49253813
#HackerNews #Europe #Population #Decline #Rural #Areas #Demographics #Urbanization #Community #Challenges
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In 2025, France recorded more deaths than births for the first time since WWII. Meanwhile, AI agents on Moltbook debate each other and build their own mythology. AI is accelerating. Humanity is slowing down. #AI #Demographics
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Your Pension Depends on Kids You Did Not Have
https://julienreszka.com/blog/your-pension-depends-on-kids-you-did-not-have/
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49243140
#HackerNews #pension #future #demographics #children #finance
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Not every Mount Barker business is reaping the boom town benefit
By Sophie LandauMount Barker is one of South Australia's fastest-growing districts, but while some businesses are excited about the prospect of more customers, others are competing with tightening wallets and operating pressures.
#SmallBusinesses #RegionalCommunities #Demographics #SophieLandau
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The 19 questions asked in Australia's first complete census
By Elissa FitzgeraldWhen you sit down to fill in the census, you will be taking part in an ancient human tradition.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-08-09/australian-census-world-history/106974682
#CommunityandSociety #History #GovernmentandPolitics #Demographics #ElissaFitzgerald
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Los Angeles Blade: HRC condemns DoE removal of LGBTQ+ bullying data from federal survey. “The Human Rights Campaign is slamming the White House — and the Department of Education — following their removal of some LGBTQ+ bullying data from federal data collection.”
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/08/08/los-angeles-blade-hrc-condemns-doe-removal-of-lgbtq-bullying-data-from-federal-survey/ -
'Coded to Chinese': Hongkongers unable to list their ancestry on census night
By Jason Fang and Erin HandleyPeople with Hong Kong heritage are frustrated that their ancestry will not be recognised as distinct from Chinese in the upcoming Australian census, despite years of lobbying and political turmoil.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-08-07/census-2026-hong-kong-ancestry-chinese-community/106998196
#Census #DiversityEquityandInclusion #Multiculturalism #Demographics #HumanInterest #JasonFang #ErinHandley
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So many church planting and ministry outreach efforts are aimed at young families. But what happens when the average age of new neighbors in your community is closer to 65 than 25? We must consider how the massive increase in post-retirement age groups impacts our Great Commission engagement. #ChurchPlanting #LocalChurch #MissionsStrategy #AgingPopulation
https://keelancook.com/great-commission-post-retirement#missiology #leadership #GreatCommission #demographics #strategy
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Sea Levels Rising Dramatically In Some Areas Due To Land Subsidence [global]
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https://phys.org/news/2026-05-sea-areas-due-subsidence.html <-- shared technical article
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-72293-z <-- shared paper
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[#VLM = vertical land motion; #ASL = absolute sea-level; #RSL = relative sea-level; #GIA = (global) Glacial Isostatic Adjustment; #inSAR = Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar; #GNSS = Global Navigation Satellite System (~GPS); #OE24 = paper, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2, interpolated VLM reconstruction based on the joint analysis of GNSS, tide gauges (TGs), and satellite altimetry]
#GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #earthobservation #sealevel #verticallandmotion #absolutesealevel #relativesealevel #GlacialIsostaticAdjustment #geomorphometry #SLR #sealevelrise #coast #coastal #flood #flooding #subsidence #landmass #landsubsidence #global #globalsealevelrise #climatechange #city #urban #farmlands #population #demographics #cities #planning #community #elevation #monitoring #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #altimetry -
The EU population is to fall by 12% by 2100: Which countries are most affected?
Projected population changes across Europe vary significantly, with the EU population set to fall by 53 million by 2100.
Experts point to the role of immigration in explaining differences between countries.
By 2100, one in three Europeans will be over 65.
#Europe #Depopulation #FertilityRate #Population #Demographics #Migration #EU
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Vertical Land Motion And Human Exposure Across India's Coastal Regions
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL120539 <-- shared paper 🔗
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https://www.indiaspend.com/climate-change/indias-coastal-cities-face-heavy-flooding-risk-due-to-sea-level-rise-970906 <-- shared media article 🔗
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#SeaLevelRise #Subsidence #India #InSAR #radar #Postdoc #GIS #spatial #mapping #inSAR #LandSubsidence #remotesensing #coast #coastal #coastline #India #earthobservation #subsidence #rise #urban #city #SLR #ClimateChange #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #marine #ocean #water #hydrology #risk #hazard #humanimpacts #flood #flooding #model #modeling #floodrisk #infrastructure #damage #costs #economics #verticallandmotion #VLM #ESA #Sentinel #Ahmedabad #Chennai #Amaravathi #Kochi #Kakinada #Kolkata #deltas #estuary #demographics #population #coastalsubsidence #landuse #planning #mitigation #farmland #agriculture #foodsecurity #groundwater #pumping #extraction -
“There’s never enough time to do all the nothing you want.”*…
Over the past two decades, we’ve been reallocating our time away from offices, malls, and classrooms… and toward home and solitude. Hyunsoo Rim illustrates…
With our Covid-induced lockdowns now a moderately foggy memory for most, the last few years have turned out to be a continued normalization for many of the habits that defined the pandemic era.
Peloton bikes are now doubling as coat racks; the banana bread craze has cooled; Zoom’s share price is almost back to where it started; millions of people have gone back to clothes shopping in person; and companies like Del Monte are stuck with mountains of unsold canned fruit that’s no longer flying off the shelves.
But one seismic lifestyle change has proven far more permanent than any fitness fad or panic-buying spree — and it turns out to be part of a much longer trend that’s been building for decades: Americans are spending more time at home, and alone. And not everyone has the means to break that growing trend…
[Rim uses infographics to chart American’s use of time…]
… According to the annual American Time Use Survey (ATUS) — a self-reporting survey conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics — an average American’s typical day still breaks down pretty much the same as it did 20 years ago. Roughly a third still goes to sleep, a fifth to leisure and sports, and, perhaps most surprising to anyone feeling burned out, just one-sixth to work. The rest goes to household chores, meals, and everything else. The survey does, of course, represent the average, with many retirees likely skewing the work figures down.
But if you look closer, the routines underneath tell a different story about how the collective American experience has changed.
Over the past two decades, Americans have gained about 30 minutes of sleep per day — now averaging over nine hours, more than ever — and spend roughly 11 more minutes on household activities such as cooking, cleaning, and pet care.
Where did those extra hours come from? It seems like we’ve carved them out of work commutes, mall trips, and in-person classes… activities that usually have us interacting with others out in public in some way.
Some of this shift can certainly be explained by demographic factors — America is an older country than it was in 2003, as birth rates have dropped. Nevertheless, on aggregate, the figures are pretty staggering for a nation of 340+ million people — and the sharp rise in the pandemic era suggests at least a decent amount of the shift is behavioral.
Indeed, in 2003, the average American spent 7.7 hours per day at home, according to the ATUS data compiled by IPUMS. By 2024, that rose to 9.1 hours, with the pandemic only accelerating the climb…
… what’s more striking is how time once spent outside or with others has steadily moved in the opposite direction…
… As more of our daily lives have moved home and online, the same shift is reshaping how we unwind. Since 2003, time spent socializing and communicating — from hanging out with family and friends to hosting events — has fallen 24%, while travel time is down 26%…
… But not everyone is experiencing the shift in the same way. As evidence for the K-shaped economy — where some groups thrive while others struggle — becomes harder to ignore, income is proving to be a strong differentiator.
In fact, households earning under $35,000 now spend about 10 hours a day at home, almost an hour and a half longer than those earning $150,000 or more. The pattern holds for time spent alone, too, with a two-hour daily gap between the lowest- and highest-income groups…
… wealthier Americans aren’t just spending less time at home; they’re more likely to pay their way out of it, with restaurant meals instead of cooking, pilates classes instead of home workouts, or washer-dryer combos instead of hours tied up in chores.
For the very wealthiest, that logic even goes further: according to a recent survey by Long Angle, nearly two-thirds of multimillionaires now outsource housekeeping, while about half pay for gardening services and two-fifths employ nannies.
Of course, time at home and alone isn’t inherently negative — as researchers note that, for many, solitude can be valued as a way to rest, think, or create. But when more of your day is taken up by unpaid chores and low-cost, home-bound leisure, that retreat indoors starts to look less like a choice…
Americans are spending more time at home and alone — and money determines who can opt out. Eminently worth reading in full: “Home. Alone.” from @sherwood.news.
* Bill Watterson, Calvin and Hobbes (August 28, 1988)
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As we contemplate our calendars, we might recall that it was on this date in 1967 that kids across America could “go out” even as they stayed in: they were invited for the first time into Mr. Roger’s Neighborhood, as the series premiered on NET (which later became PBS). The show had had earlier local incarnations in Canada, then in Pittsburgh, where the national show was birthed and produced. Michael Keaton, who worked for the Pittsburgh public television station WQED at the time, often helped out with Roger’s show. And future horror director George A. Romero worked on the show shooting short films.
#AmericansUseOfTime #culture #demographics #economcs #FredRogers #GeorgeRomero #history #inforgraphics #MichaleKeaton #MrRogersNeighborhood #NET #PBS #society #Technology #time #timeUse #useOfTime -
Hill Country vs. South Texas: A stark turnout divide before the primary
As early voting begins, wide gaps in participation between high-engagement counties and lower-turnout communities could shape the March 3 results.
#Texas #TXPol #MarbleFalls #EaglePass #AaronTorres #Austin #PrimaryElections #Demographics #HillCountry #SouthTexas
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“Whoever oppresses the poor shows contempt for their Maker, but whoever is kind to the needy honors God”*…
From the piece featured below: “GDP per capita in Madagascar is about the same today as it was in 1950. As a consequence, the number of people in extreme poverty increased in line with the country’s population growth” (image source)It’s easy to feel hope in the advances that the world has made in eraditcating extreme poverty over the last several decades. But as Max Roser writes, unless the poorest economies start growing, this period of progress against the worst form of poverty is over…
In the last decades, the world has made fantastic progress against extreme poverty. In 1990, 2.3 billion people lived in extreme poverty. Since then, the number of extremely poor people has declined by 1.5 billion people.
This means on any average day in the last 35 years, about 115,000 people left extreme poverty behind.1 Leaving the very worst poverty behind doesn’t mean a life free of want, but it does mean a big change. Additional income matters most for those who have the least. It means having the chance to leave hunger behind, to gain access to clean water, to access better healthcare, and to have at least some electricity — for light at night and perhaps even to cook and heat.
Can we expect this rapid progress to continue?
Unfortunately, we cannot. Based on current trends, progress against extreme poverty will come to a halt. As we’ll see, the number of people in extreme poverty is projected to decline, from 831 million people in 2025 to 793 million people in 2030. After 2030, the number of extremely poor people is expected to increase.
To understand why the rapid progress against deep poverty will not continue into the future, we need to know why the world made progress in the past.
Extreme poverty declined in the last three decades because, back in the 1990s, the majority of the poorest people on the planet lived in countries that subsequently achieved very fast economic growth. In Indonesia and China, more than two-thirds of the population lived in extreme poverty. But these economies then grew rapidly, so that by today, the share has declined to less than 10%. Other large Asian countries — including India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and the Philippines — also achieved strong growth, and as a consequence, the share living in extreme poverty declined rapidly. Much of the progress happened in Asia, but conditions in other regions improved too: the share living in extreme poverty also declined in Ghana, Cape Verde, Cameroon, Panama, Bolivia, Mexico, Brazil, and many other countries.
This chart shows the economic change in these countries over the past decades. As incomes increased, the share of people in extreme poverty declined.
Share of population living in extreme poverty vs. GDP per capita, 1990 to 2024 (World Bank, Eurostat, OECD, IMF)What is different today is that the majority of the world’s poorest people are stuck in economies that have been stagnating for a long time.Consider the case of Madagascar. In the long run, the country has not seen any growth at all: GDP per capita in Madagascar is about the same today as it was in 1950. As a consequence, the number of people in extreme poverty increased in line with the country’s population growth. In richer countries, it is possible to reduce poverty by reducing inequality through redistribution, but a country like Madagascar cannot reduce its share of people in extreme poverty through redistribution. This is because the mean income is lower than the poverty line; if everyone had the same income, everyone would be living in extreme poverty.
The situation is similar in other countries, as the chart below shows: in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mozambique, Malawi, Burundi, and the Central African Republic, more than half of the population lives in extreme poverty. As their economies have stagnated, the deep poverty that most people live in has remained largely unchanged for decades.
This is why we have to expect the end of progress against extreme poverty based on current trends. If the poorest economies remain stagnant, hundreds of millions of people will continue to live in extreme poverty.
Share of population living in extreme poverty, 1992-2022 (World Bank)I’m always skeptical when people say that we are at a juncture in history where the future looks much different than the past. But when it comes to the fight against extreme poverty, I fear it is true. Today, the majority of the world’s poorest people are living in economies that have not achieved economic growth in the recent past… Based on current trends, we have to expect the end of progress against extreme poverty…
… It’s no news that we should expect an end to progress against extreme poverty. This article is an update of an article I published in 2019, in which I wrote the same: the fact that the poorest economies are not growing means that the rapid progress against extreme poverty seen in the last decades will end.
Although this prospect has been known for years, it has hardly received the attention it deserves. Progress against extreme poverty was one of humanity’s most outstanding achievements of the past decades — the end of it would be one of the very worst realities of the coming ones.
Importantly, however, these projections are not predictions; their purpose is not to describe what the world in 2030 or 2040 will certainly look like. These projections describe what we have to expect based on current trends; they tell us about our present world rather than the reality of tomorrow. Current trends don’t have to become future facts: many countries left extreme poverty behind in the past, because they had a moment at which they broke out of stagnation.
What these projections tell us, however, is that if the poorest countries do not start to grow, a very bleak future is ahead of us: a future in which extreme poverty remains the reality for hundreds of millions for many years to come…
Eminently worth reading in full– and acting on: “The end of progress against extreme poverty?” from @maxroser.bsky.social and @ourworldindata.org.
* Proverbs 14:31, NIV
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As we put our shoulders to the wheel, we might spare a thought for a man who contributed mightily to our capacity to feed humanity, Kenneth V. Thimann; he died on this date in 1997. A microbiologist, he was a pioneer in plant physiology (especially the hormones that control the development of plants). Building on the thinking of Frits Went, he identified the first plant hormone to be discovered– the first auxin, a class of growth hormones, and revealed its chemical structure– which proved very important to agriculture and its yields.
#agriculture #auxin #culture #demographics #growthHormones #history #KennethThimann #KennethVThimann #microbiology #OurWorldInData #plantPhysiology #plants #politics #poverty -
Japan is one of the world’s safest countries. So why do so many people feel uneasy? This week, @AlexktMartin takes a look at crime, perception and the growing gap between data and fear. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/01/12/japan/society/japan-safety-security-crime/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #japan #society #demographics #crime #tokyo #adachiward #saitama #depopulation #elderly #expats
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The “Giant Chair Squad” Post
Preamble Individuals in society should be warned about the “Giant Chair Squad” post because of potential tensions that could result from viewing. While tensions resulting from opening the post up to public view may not be perfectly guaranteed, novaTopFlex worries about specific localities having access to the post. However, numerous other locales would not actually loathe the post in any way. The most significant places of interest for viewers of the “Giant Chair Squad” post are as […]https://novatopflex.wordpress.com/2025/10/01/the-giant-chair-squad-post/
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NASA Community Mapping Challenge [hackathon]
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https://go.nasa.gov/4fX47rX <-- background
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https://www.spaceappschallenge.org/nasa-space-apps-2024/ <-- to register
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[please share amongst your colleagues, children, friends, etc]
“A geographic information system (GIS) can create, manage, analyze, and map many types of data. With GIS and other mapping technologies, you can create a map of an area and layer open data over it spatially to reveal new, enriching insights. Your challenge is to create a map that incorporates open science data to explore how an issue in your community is shaped by the surrounding physical geography...”
#GIS #spatial #mapping #hackathon #mappingchallenge #community #communitymapping #opendata #opendata #community #social #demographics #neighbourhood #student #learning #NASASpaceApps #education #usecase #k12
@nasa -
A National-Scale Assessment Of Land Subsidence In China’s Major Cities
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https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adl4366 <-- shared paper
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #earthobservation #radar #satellite #insar #ifsar #monitoring #change #delta #subsidence #landsubsidence #city #cities #China #risk #hazard #flood #flooding #planning #urban #urbanplanning #construction #engineering #urbanisation #interferometry #geomorphometry #urbanlands #population #demographics #groundwater #pumping #overpumping #water #waterresources #elevation #vertical #coast #coastal #sealevelrise #SLR #climatechange #mitigation #model #modeling #spatialanalysis #3dmodeling -
A Map of Global Happiness By Country in 2024
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https://posts.voronoiapp.com/maps/A-Map-of-Global-Happiness-By-Country-in-2024-872 <-- shared technical article
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[“USA places 23rd overall, but drops 40 spots of individuals under 30 years old”]
#GIS #spatial #mapping #global #demographics #happy #happiness #survey #worldhappinessreport #Gallup #lifeevaluations #world #qualityoflife #lifequality #contentment #demography #population #age #disparities #agedisparities#GlobalHappiness