#earlywarningsystems — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #earlywarningsystems, aggregated by home.social.
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Spatiotemporal Distribution, Climatic Factors, And Seasonal Precipitation Patterns Characterizing 66 Years Of Widespread Shallow Landslide Events In Piedmont (Northwestern Italy)
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https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2026.1884300 <-- shared paper
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“Widespread shallow landslide events constitute one of the primary drivers of recurrent societal and economic losses in mountain regions. Although the influence of climate variability on landslide frequency and magnitude has been widely recognized, long-term, event-level analyses linking spatiotemporal landslide patterns to precipitation climatology at the regional scale remain scarce. This study presents a statistical analysis of 128 widespread shallow landslide events recorded in Piedmont, northwestern Italy, over the 66-year period 1960–2025, cross-referenced against the regional precipitation climatology. Events were characterized by season, primary physiographic unit, provincial coverage, and an ordinal magnitude index (scale 1–7) encoding combined spatial extent and estimated landslide count. Results indicate that no statistically significant monotonic trend in event frequency was detected over the study period (mean rate: 1.97 events yr⁻1); however, a moderate positive correlation was established between event magnitude and the number of provinces affected (R2 = 0.51, p < 0.00), validating the magnitude index as a proxy for spatial footprint. Mean event magnitude reached its highest value in the 2010s (3.71), while all five events of magnitude ≥ 6 occurred in autumn. The summer fraction of the catalogue increased markedly, from 6% in the 1960s to 31% in the 2000s and 25% in the 2020s, concurrent with stable or declining summer mean precipitation totals, consistent with Clausius–Clapeyron amplification of convective intensity under documented regional warming. Cross-analysis with regional records identifies three tiers of rainfall–landslide coupling: a stationary direct seasonal coupling; a non-stationary, strengthening intensity-mediated summer coupling; and a structural susceptibility-mediated spatial decoupling whereby the driest provinces generate the highest landslide occurrence frequencies due to the lower triggering thresholds characteristic of Tertiary Piedmont Basin sedimentary environments. A post-hoc assessment of the triggering thresholds used for regional shallow landslide early warning system demonstrates superior detection performance for high-magnitude autumn events (hit rate up to 89% for the 2000–2025 sub-period) and identifies sub-daily convective accumulation windows in summer as the primary domain requiring threshold recalibration…”
#massmovement #landslide #engineeringgeology #Italy #Piedmont #NorthernItaly #weather #rainfall #precipitation #climate #risk #hazard #corrleation #relationship #earlywarningsystems #damage #loss #community #infrastructure #mountain #spatiotemporal #mapping #spatialanalysis #statistics #geostatistics #climatology #regional #scale #weatherpatterns #physiography #geomorphology #water #hydrology #hydrogeomorphology #geology #soils -
Many new additions to:
1. Buy a Hazard https://www.ilankelman.org/buyahazard.html
2. Animal Signs https://www.ilankelman.org/animal-signs.html
#hazard #hazards #animal #animals #DisastersAreNotNatural #NoNaturalDisasters (avoid the phrases #NaturalDisaster #NaturalDisasters) #DRR #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterRisk #RiskReduction #DisasterRiskManagement #disaster #disasters #warning #warnings #WarningSign #WarningSigns #EWS #EarlyWarningSystems -
UCL Warning Research Centre Newsletter – May 2026
https://mailchi.mp/430d6df5e64a/warning-research-centre-may-2026-newsletter
#EWS #WarningSystems #Warning #DRR #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterWarning #EarlyWarning #EarlyWarningSystems -
Hanging Glaciers In Himalaya Reveal Rising Avalanche Risk
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https://www.nature.com/articles/d44151-026-00072-2 <-- shared technical article
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-00205-8 <-- shared paper
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #risk #hazard #monitoring #engineeringgeology #naturalhazard #Himalaya #Himalayas #Alaknanda #basin #Garhwal #India #ice #cryosphere #massmovement #avalanche #glacier #hangingglacier #cryosphere #remotesensing #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #sentinel2 #DEM #elevation #model #modeling #GlabTop2 #unstable #hanging #BadrinathMana #impact #infrastructure #damage #HEP #urbanisation #development #population #publicsafety #demographics #glacialretreat #melting #Chamoli #disaster #earlywarningsystems #Himalayan #glaciers #instability #warming #climatechange #riskassessment #riskclassification #framework #avaflow #runout #downstream #downslope #water #hydrology #planning #policy #mitigation #geomorphology #geomorphometry -
"Value Yes, Chain No: Warnings Beyond Linearity"
https://blogs.ucl.ac.uk/warning-research-centre/2026/01/21/value-yes-chain-no-warnings-beyond-linearity/
#EWS #WarningSystems #Warning #DRR #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterWarning #EarlyWarning #EarlyWarningSystems -
Early warnings save lives - but only if they reach the right people in time.
New research shows how WorldPop data and multi-hazard alerts reduce cyclone risk, exposure, and recovery time.
Learn more: https://www.worldpop.org/blog/the-data-behind-the-shield-how-early-warnings-and-population-maps-save-lives/
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Delighted and honoured to be working with the Royal College of Art on a three-year research project to investigate warning sounds:
"Scoring Warnings"
https://www.rca.ac.uk/news-and-events/news/rca-led-research-project-awarded-grant-to-investigate-emergency-signals
#ArtScience #ScienceArt #MusicArt #ArtMusic #EWS #WarningSystems #Warning #DRR #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterWarning #EarlyWarning #EarlyWarningSystems #EW4All #WarningsForAll #WarningForAll #Warning4All #Warnings4All -
"Tsunamis and atolls: why warnings must be locally meaningful"
https://www.preventionweb.net/drr-community-voices/tsunamis-and-atolls-why-warnings-must-be-locally-meaningful
#EWS #WarningSystems #Warning #DRR #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterWarning #EarlyWarning #EarlyWarningSystems #IslandStudies #Atolls #Tsunami #Tsunamis #NoNaturalDisasters #DisastersAreNotNatural #NaturalDisaster #NaturalDisasters -
New paper:
"From multi-hazard early warning systems (MHEWS) to all-vulnerability warning systems (AVWS)"
Free to download https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2025.112977#EWS #WarningSystems #Warning #DRR #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterWarning #EarlyWarning #EarlyWarningSystems #DisastersAreNotNatural #NoNaturalDisasters (avoid the phrases #NaturalDisaster #NaturalDisasters) #DisasterRisk #RiskReduction #DisasterRiskManagement #MHEWS
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From early Thursday to early Saturday, there have been over 1,500 #SevereWeather reports across 24 states. 9 states have been hit by at least one #tornado. The highest number of tornado & #wind damage reports have been in #Illinois, while the highest number of #hail reports have been in #Wisconsin.
#ExtremeWeather #ClimateChange #FEMA #NOAA #NWS #EarlyWarningSystems #DisasterRelief #Trump #DOGE #PublicDisservice
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The severe weather risk stretches more than 1,200 miles in total, with intense #storms predicted to reach as far as East #Texas to the Mid-#Atlantic through the weekend. After this #storm system winds down, another is expected to pick up to the west, with strong #tornadoes in the forecast by Sunday for parts of the #GreatPlains.
#ExtremeWeather #ClimateChange #FEMA #NOAA #NWS #EarlyWarningSystems #DisasterRelief #Trump #DOGE #PublicDisservice -
In #Wisconsin, a visibly striking #tornado spun through fields in New Richmond, while another caused significant damage in Hammond. In the capital of Madison, a hailstorm dropped #hail up to 2” in diameter.
The #NWS has issued #tornado & severe #storm warnings throughout the region, & cautioned that much of #Kentucky & parts of #Tennessee are also under a moderate risk for #flooding.#ExtremeWeather #ClimateChange #FEMA #NOAA #EarlyWarningSystems #DisasterRelief #Trump #PublicDisservice
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Friday’s destruction marked the 3rd-straight day of significant severe weather, w/more threats predicted through the weekend. Severe #thunderstorms across the #GreatLakes region late Thurs knocked out #power to some 315k customers as of early Saturday, w/ #Michigan suffering a large concentration of power loss, acc/to PowerOutage.us.
#ExtremeWeather #ClimateChange #FEMA #NOAA #NWS #EarlyWarningSystems #DisasterRelief #Trump #DOGE #PublicDisservice -
As #Trump dismantles #FEMA & guts #NOAA…
At least 16 dead in #Missouri, #Kentucky as severe #storms sweep central #US
At least 7 people have died in Missouri & 9 in Kentucky, authorities say, as severe weather including tornadoes, hail & storms sweeps through the #Midwest.#ExtremeWeather #ClimateChange #EarlyWarningSystems #DisasterRelief #USpol #DOGE #law #PublicDisservice
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/05/17/missouri-kentucky-tornado-weather-deaths/ -
Oh good: it's a sing-along!
Bob Marley - Babylon System (1979)
#sundaysermon #earlywarningsystems -
Flash droughts intensified by rising temperatures pose a significant threat to global food security. To address this, we need resilient farming methods, climate-smart agriculture, early warning systems, and improved water security infrastructure.
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"Ghana's flood victims blame government for overflowing dam destruction"
https://www.climatechangenews.com/2023/11/19/ghanas-flood-victims-blame-government-for-overflowing-dam-destruction
By Maxine Betteridge-Moes.
#Ghana #Volta #VoltaRiver #VoltaRiverAuthority #Akosombo #AkosomboDam #ControlledSpillage #flood #floods #floodrisk #floodriskmanagement #floodriskreduction #DRR #EWS #EarlyWarningSystems #WarningSystems -
The innovative #SUBMERSE project will leverage existing #subsea #infrastructure for exciting new fields of #research.
Using existing #submarine cables already used by the research & education networking community, SUBMERSE and its partners can monitor the Earth and its systems.
Join us as we dive into the future of ocean exploration and research. Read more at 👉 https://submerse.eu
#earthscience #oceanography #seismology #volcanology #earlywarningsystems #SubmarineCables #network @nordunet
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"Creating effective warnings for all"
-Videos and more https://www.ucl.ac.uk/sts/warning-research-centre/creating-effective-warnings-all/creating-effective-warnings-all-resources
-Summaries https://www.everbridge.com/blog/creating-effective-warnings-for-all and https://doctorswithafrica.org/en/whats-new/news/homenews/warnings-for-all
#EWS #WarningSystems #Warning #DRR #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterWarning #EarlyWarning #EarlyWarningSystems #SendaiFramework #Switch2Sendai #SFDRR #EarlyWarningsForAll #EarlyWarnings4All #WarningsForAll #Warnings4All -
A ToDo list for #ClimateResilience
– First, governments should build up #EarlyWarningSystems.
– Second, countries should work to enhance #CrossBorderResponse capabilities.
– Third, policymakers must commit to closing the #insurance protection gap.
– Fourth, governments must shift the paradigm for natural disasters to prioritize #RiskReduction over disaster recovery.
– Fifth, countries must collaboratively invest in enhancing global #FoodSecurity.https://www.foreignaffairs.com/world/age-climate-disaster-here-extreme-weather
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Preliminary programme for the "Creating Effective Warnings for All" #conference.
11-13 September, UCL, London, UK and online.
#EWS #WarningSystems #Warning #DRR #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterWarning #EarlyWarning #EarlyWarningSystems
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Poster submission is open for the "Creating Effective Warnings for All" #Conference
11-13 September 2023, University College London, UK.
https://www.ucl.ac.uk/sts/warning-research-centre/creating-effective-warnings-all/creating-effective-warnings-all-posters
#EWS #WarningSystems #Warning #Warnings #DRR #DisasterRisk #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterWarning #EarlyWarning #EarlyWarningSystems #SendaiFramework #Switch2Sendai #SFDRR #EWEA #EW4A -
'Creating Effective Warnings for All' #Conference
11-13 September 2023, University College London, UK
Registration is now open!
https://www.ucl.ac.uk/sts/warning-research-centre/creating-effective-warnings-all-conference
#EWS #WarningSystems #Warning #Warnings #DRR #DisasterRisk #DisasterRiskReduction #DisasterWarning #EarlyWarning #EarlyWarningSystems #SendaiFramework #Switch2Sendai #SFDRR #EWEA #EW4A