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#massmovement — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #massmovement, aggregated by home.social.

  1. A quotation from Hoffer

    The frustrated follow a leader less because of their faith that he is leading them to a promised land than because of their immediate feeling that he is leading them away from their unwanted selves. Surrender to a leader is not a means to an end but a fulfillment. Whither they are led is of secondary importance.

    Eric Hoffer (1902-1983) American writer, philosopher, longshoreman
    True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements, Part 3, ch. 14, § 94 (3.14.94) (1951)

    More about this quote: wist.info/hoffer-eric/11209/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #hoffer #erichoffer #frustration #follower #following #leader #massmovement

  2. A quotation from Hoffer

    The frustrated follow a leader less because of their faith that he is leading them to a promised land than because of their immediate feeling that he is leading them away from their unwanted selves. Surrender to a leader is not a means to an end but a fulfillment. Whither they are led is of secondary importance.

    Eric Hoffer (1902-1983) American writer, philosopher, longshoreman
    True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements, Part 3, ch. 14, § 94 (3.14.94) (1951)

    More about this quote: wist.info/hoffer-eric/11209/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #hoffer #erichoffer #frustration #follower #following #leader #massmovement

  3. A quotation from Hoffer

    The frustrated follow a leader less because of their faith that he is leading them to a promised land than because of their immediate feeling that he is leading them away from their unwanted selves. Surrender to a leader is not a means to an end but a fulfillment. Whither they are led is of secondary importance.

    Eric Hoffer (1902-1983) American writer, philosopher, longshoreman
    True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements, Part 3, ch. 14, § 94 (3.14.94) (1951)

    More about this quote: wist.info/hoffer-eric/11209/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #hoffer #erichoffer #frustration #follower #following #leader #massmovement

  4. A quotation from Hoffer

    The frustrated follow a leader less because of their faith that he is leading them to a promised land than because of their immediate feeling that he is leading them away from their unwanted selves. Surrender to a leader is not a means to an end but a fulfillment. Whither they are led is of secondary importance.

    Eric Hoffer (1902-1983) American writer, philosopher, longshoreman
    True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements, Part 3, ch. 14, § 94 (3.14.94) (1951)

    More about this quote: wist.info/hoffer-eric/11209/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #hoffer #erichoffer #frustration #follower #following #leader #massmovement

  5. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11600-022-009 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta | Geology-Earth Science
    “… In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains.
    Check out the [attached graphical abstract figure] for an integrated visual workflow of the entire disaster continuum from hillslope failure to floodplain transformation...”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km² of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm day−1) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R2 ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R2 ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades…”
    #EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #trigger #Flooding #massmovement #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #floodplain #innundation #hillslope #fluvial #pluvial #alluvial #sediment #sedimentation #hydrometeorology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #Brahmaputra #risk #hazard #geology #engineeringgeology #remotesensing #earthobservation #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #disaster #hydrogeomorphology #workflow

  6. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11600-022-009 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta | Geology-Earth Science
    “… In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains.
    Check out the [attached graphical abstract figure] for an integrated visual workflow of the entire disaster continuum from hillslope failure to floodplain transformation...”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km² of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm day−1) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R2 ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R2 ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades…”
    #EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #trigger #Flooding #massmovement #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #floodplain #innundation #hillslope #fluvial #pluvial #alluvial #sediment #sedimentation #hydrometeorology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #Brahmaputra #risk #hazard #geology #engineeringgeology #remotesensing #earthobservation #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #disaster #hydrogeomorphology #workflow

  7. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11600-022-009 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta | Geology-Earth Science
    “… In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains.
    Check out the [attached graphical abstract figure] for an integrated visual workflow of the entire disaster continuum from hillslope failure to floodplain transformation...”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km² of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm day−1) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R2 ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R2 ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades…”
    #EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #trigger #Flooding #massmovement #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #floodplain #innundation #hillslope #fluvial #pluvial #alluvial #sediment #sedimentation #hydrometeorology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #Brahmaputra #risk #hazard #geology #engineeringgeology #remotesensing #earthobservation #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #disaster #hydrogeomorphology #workflow

  8. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11600-022-009 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta | Geology-Earth Science
    “… In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains.
    Check out the [attached graphical abstract figure] for an integrated visual workflow of the entire disaster continuum from hillslope failure to floodplain transformation...”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km² of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm day−1) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R2 ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R2 ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades…”
    #EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #trigger #Flooding #massmovement #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #floodplain #innundation #hillslope #fluvial #pluvial #alluvial #sediment #sedimentation #hydrometeorology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #Brahmaputra #risk #hazard #geology #engineeringgeology #remotesensing #earthobservation #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #disaster #hydrogeomorphology #workflow

  9. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11600-022-009 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta | Geology-Earth Science
    “… In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains.
    Check out the [attached graphical abstract figure] for an integrated visual workflow of the entire disaster continuum from hillslope failure to floodplain transformation...”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km² of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm day−1) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R2 ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R2 ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades…”

  10. A quotation from Hoffer

    Passionate hatred can give meaning and purpose to an empty life. Thus people haunted by the purposelessness of their lives try to find a new content not only by dedicating themselves to a holy cause but also by nursing a fanatical grievance. A mass movement offers them unlimited opportunities for both.

    Eric Hoffer (1902-1983) American writer, philosopher, longshoreman
    True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements, Part 3, ch. 14, § 75 (3.14.75) (1951)

    More about this quote: wist.info/hoffer-eric/11110/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #hoffer #erichoffer #dedication #fanaticism #grievance #hatred #holywar #massmovement #meaning #meaningoflife #meaninglessness #purpose #purposelessness #truebeliever #follower

  11. A quotation from Hoffer

    Passionate hatred can give meaning and purpose to an empty life. Thus people haunted by the purposelessness of their lives try to find a new content not only by dedicating themselves to a holy cause but also by nursing a fanatical grievance. A mass movement offers them unlimited opportunities for both.

    Eric Hoffer (1902-1983) American writer, philosopher, longshoreman
    True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements, Part 3, ch. 14, § 75 (3.14.75) (1951)

    More about this quote: wist.info/hoffer-eric/11110/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #hoffer #erichoffer #dedication #fanaticism #grievance #hatred #holywar #massmovement #meaning #meaningoflife #meaninglessness #purpose #purposelessness #truebeliever #follower

  12. A quotation from Hoffer

    Passionate hatred can give meaning and purpose to an empty life. Thus people haunted by the purposelessness of their lives try to find a new content not only by dedicating themselves to a holy cause but also by nursing a fanatical grievance. A mass movement offers them unlimited opportunities for both.

    Eric Hoffer (1902-1983) American writer, philosopher, longshoreman
    True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements, Part 3, ch. 14, § 75 (3.14.75) (1951)

    More about this quote: wist.info/hoffer-eric/11110/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #hoffer #erichoffer #dedication #fanaticism #grievance #hatred #holywar #massmovement #meaning #meaningoflife #meaninglessness #purpose #purposelessness #truebeliever #follower

  13. A quotation from Hoffer

    Passionate hatred can give meaning and purpose to an empty life. Thus people haunted by the purposelessness of their lives try to find a new content not only by dedicating themselves to a holy cause but also by nursing a fanatical grievance. A mass movement offers them unlimited opportunities for both.

    Eric Hoffer (1902-1983) American writer, philosopher, longshoreman
    True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements, Part 3, ch. 14, § 75 (3.14.75) (1951)

    More about this quote: wist.info/hoffer-eric/11110/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #hoffer #erichoffer #dedication #fanaticism #grievance #hatred #holywar #massmovement #meaning #meaningoflife #meaninglessness #purpose #purposelessness #truebeliever #follower

  14. A Century Of Landslide Records In Calabria, Southern Italy, Looking For Changes And Trends Through A Dynamic Analysis
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3077- <-- shared paper / brief communication
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2313- <-- shared 2015 paper that this communication updates/adds-to
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s12665-023-108 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @StefanoLuigiGariano
    “This study updates an article published in NHESS journal in 2015 [link above] and investigates long-term changes in landslide-triggering rainfall conditions in Calabria (southern Italy) over 1921–2020. A catalogue of 3,006 rainfall events associated with landslides (RELs) was reconstructed using 9,530 landslide records and daily rainfall measurements from 318 gauges. Rainfall thresholds were calculated for 15 30-year moving windows to investigate the triggering conditions of the RELs. Results show a marked increase in the number of RELs after 2009, shifts in seasonal occurrence, and decreasing rainfall duration and cumulative amounts. Triggering rainfall shows an overall decreasing trend over the years…”
    #Calabria #Italy #massmovement #records #landslides #geology #engineeringgeology #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #trigger #monitoring

  15. A Century Of Landslide Records In Calabria, Southern Italy, Looking For Changes And Trends Through A Dynamic Analysis
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3077- <-- shared paper / brief communication
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2313- <-- shared 2015 paper that this communication updates/adds-to
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s12665-023-108 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @StefanoLuigiGariano
    “This study updates an article published in NHESS journal in 2015 [link above] and investigates long-term changes in landslide-triggering rainfall conditions in Calabria (southern Italy) over 1921–2020. A catalogue of 3,006 rainfall events associated with landslides (RELs) was reconstructed using 9,530 landslide records and daily rainfall measurements from 318 gauges. Rainfall thresholds were calculated for 15 30-year moving windows to investigate the triggering conditions of the RELs. Results show a marked increase in the number of RELs after 2009, shifts in seasonal occurrence, and decreasing rainfall duration and cumulative amounts. Triggering rainfall shows an overall decreasing trend over the years…”

  16. A Century Of Landslide Records In Calabria, Southern Italy, Looking For Changes And Trends Through A Dynamic Analysis
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3077- <-- shared paper / brief communication
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2313- <-- shared 2015 paper that this communication updates/adds-to
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s12665-023-108 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @StefanoLuigiGariano
    “This study updates an article published in NHESS journal in 2015 [link above] and investigates long-term changes in landslide-triggering rainfall conditions in Calabria (southern Italy) over 1921–2020. A catalogue of 3,006 rainfall events associated with landslides (RELs) was reconstructed using 9,530 landslide records and daily rainfall measurements from 318 gauges. Rainfall thresholds were calculated for 15 30-year moving windows to investigate the triggering conditions of the RELs. Results show a marked increase in the number of RELs after 2009, shifts in seasonal occurrence, and decreasing rainfall duration and cumulative amounts. Triggering rainfall shows an overall decreasing trend over the years…”
    #Calabria #Italy #massmovement #records #landslides #geology #engineeringgeology #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #trigger #monitoring

  17. A Century Of Landslide Records In Calabria, Southern Italy, Looking For Changes And Trends Through A Dynamic Analysis
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3077- <-- shared paper / brief communication
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2313- <-- shared 2015 paper that this communication updates/adds-to
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s12665-023-108 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @StefanoLuigiGariano
    “This study updates an article published in NHESS journal in 2015 [link above] and investigates long-term changes in landslide-triggering rainfall conditions in Calabria (southern Italy) over 1921–2020. A catalogue of 3,006 rainfall events associated with landslides (RELs) was reconstructed using 9,530 landslide records and daily rainfall measurements from 318 gauges. Rainfall thresholds were calculated for 15 30-year moving windows to investigate the triggering conditions of the RELs. Results show a marked increase in the number of RELs after 2009, shifts in seasonal occurrence, and decreasing rainfall duration and cumulative amounts. Triggering rainfall shows an overall decreasing trend over the years…”
    #Calabria #Italy #massmovement #records #landslides #geology #engineeringgeology #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #trigger #monitoring

  18. A Century Of Landslide Records In Calabria, Southern Italy, Looking For Changes And Trends Through A Dynamic Analysis
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3077- <-- shared paper / brief communication
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2313- <-- shared 2015 paper that this communication updates/adds-to
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s12665-023-108 <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @StefanoLuigiGariano
    “This study updates an article published in NHESS journal in 2015 [link above] and investigates long-term changes in landslide-triggering rainfall conditions in Calabria (southern Italy) over 1921–2020. A catalogue of 3,006 rainfall events associated with landslides (RELs) was reconstructed using 9,530 landslide records and daily rainfall measurements from 318 gauges. Rainfall thresholds were calculated for 15 30-year moving windows to investigate the triggering conditions of the RELs. Results show a marked increase in the number of RELs after 2009, shifts in seasonal occurrence, and decreasing rainfall duration and cumulative amounts. Triggering rainfall shows an overall decreasing trend over the years…”
    #Calabria #Italy #massmovement #records #landslides #geology #engineeringgeology #spatiotemporal #spatialanalysis #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #trigger #monitoring

  19. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-1281- <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-077 <-- shared paper
    --
    [I recognise that the photo is instead for the floods, etc in Lubra, Nepal - but felt it better showed the hydrogeomorphical setting (sic) for the 'casual' post viewer...]
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta
    “In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains…”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km2 of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm/day/) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R² ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R² ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades...”
    #EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #Flooding #alluvial #fluvial #water #hydrology #hydrography #flood #flooding #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #mountain #plain #hydrometeorological #hydrogeomorphology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #hillslope #floodplain #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #massmovement #landslide #debrisflow #risk #hazard #monitoring #GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #satellite #Sentinel #sedimentation #humanimpacts #infrastructure #damage #cost #economics #public #safety #model #modeling #downstream

  20. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-1281- <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-077 <-- shared paper
    --
    [I recognise that the photo is instead for the floods, etc in Lubra, Nepal - but felt it better showed the hydrogeomorphical setting (sic) for the 'casual' post viewer...]
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta
    “In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains…”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km2 of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm/day/) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R² ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R² ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades...”
    #EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #Flooding #alluvial #fluvial #water #hydrology #hydrography #flood #flooding #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #mountain #plain #hydrometeorological #hydrogeomorphology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #hillslope #floodplain #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #massmovement #landslide #debrisflow #risk #hazard #monitoring #GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #satellite #Sentinel #sedimentation #humanimpacts #infrastructure #damage #cost #economics #public #safety #model #modeling #downstream

  21. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-1281- <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-077 <-- shared paper
    --
    [I recognise that the photo is instead for the floods, etc in Lubra, Nepal - but felt it better showed the hydrogeomorphical setting (sic) for the 'casual' post viewer...]
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta
    “In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains…”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km2 of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm/day/) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R² ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R² ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades...”
    #EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #Flooding #alluvial #fluvial #water #hydrology #hydrography #flood #flooding #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #mountain #plain #hydrometeorological #hydrogeomorphology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #hillslope #floodplain #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #massmovement #landslide #debrisflow #risk #hazard #monitoring #GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #satellite #Sentinel #sedimentation #humanimpacts #infrastructure #damage #cost #economics #public #safety #model #modeling #downstream

  22. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-1281- <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-077 <-- shared paper
    --
    [I recognise that the photo is instead for the floods, etc in Lubra, Nepal - but felt it better showed the hydrogeomorphical setting (sic) for the 'casual' post viewer...]
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta
    “In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains…”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km2 of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm/day/) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R² ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R² ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades...”
    #EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #Flooding #alluvial #fluvial #water #hydrology #hydrography #flood #flooding #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #mountain #plain #hydrometeorological #hydrogeomorphology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #hillslope #floodplain #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #massmovement #landslide #debrisflow #risk #hazard #monitoring #GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #satellite #Sentinel #sedimentation #humanimpacts #infrastructure #damage #cost #economics #public #safety #model #modeling #downstream

  23. Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-529 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-1281- <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-077 <-- shared paper
    --
    [I recognise that the photo is instead for the floods, etc in Lubra, Nepal - but felt it better showed the hydrogeomorphical setting (sic) for the 'casual' post viewer...]
    H/T @Kuldeep Dutta
    “In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains…”
    --
    “Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km2 of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm/day/) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R² ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R² ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades...”

  24. Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-006 <-- shared 2025 paper
    --
    newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/flo <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
    --
    H/T @Daniel Swain
    “Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning

  25. Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-006 <-- shared 2025 paper
    --
    newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/flo <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
    --
    H/T @Daniel Swain
    “Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
    # ###

  26. Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-006 <-- shared 2025 paper
    --
    newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/flo <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
    --
    H/T @Daniel Swain
    “Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning

  27. Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-006 <-- shared 2025 paper
    --
    newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/flo <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
    --
    H/T @Daniel Swain
    “Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning

  28. Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-006 <-- shared 2025 paper
    --
    newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/flo <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
    --
    H/T @Daniel Swain
    “Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning

  29. Permafrost Distribution, Degradation, And Potential Mass Movement Cascades In The Western Himalaya Using Machine Learning And Numerical Models
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-002 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-220 <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1080/2150704X.2025. <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    H/T @abhinav Alangadan
    “Can we develop a first-order understanding of permafrost degradation and glacial lakes exposed to degradation-induced mass movements in the Himalaya?
    [The authors] tried to address this question. The study [first link above] integrates machine learning, statistical modeling, and numerical modeling to investigate high-resolution permafrost distribution, potential degradation, and associated mass-movement hazards in the Kinnaur district of Himachal Pradesh, India.
    Using rock glaciers as proxies, [they] generated a high-resolution permafrost distribution using machine learning, while potential degradation zones were delineated using the 0°C isotherm as a first-order indicator. [They] further identified glacial lakes located near potentially degrading permafrost zones and reconstructed their bathymetry. A detailed scenario-based GLOF process-chain simulation was then carried out for Kashang Lake using r.avaflow and HEC-RAS.
    [Their] results indicate that seven glacial lakes in #Kinnaur are located close to potentially degrading permafrost zones. The simulations further show that a potential GLOF from Kashang Lake could inundate critical downstream infrastructure, including nearly 11 km of National Highway 5…”
    #permafrost #distribution #GIS #spatial #mapping #Himalayas #India #Kinnaur #HimachalPradesh #KashangLake #massmovement #engineeringgeology #machinelearning #AI #model #modeling #numericalmodel #glaciallakes #glaciet #glacial #glaciallakeoutburstflood #GLOF #cryosphere #geostatistics #rockglaciers #GeoAI #bathymetry #processchainsimulation #HECRAS #avaflow #risk #hazard #mitigation #riskassessment #infrastructure #HEP #publicsafety #downstream #avalanche

  30. Permafrost Distribution, Degradation, And Potential Mass Movement Cascades In The Western Himalaya Using Machine Learning And Numerical Models
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-002 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-220 <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1080/2150704X.2025. <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    H/T @abhinav Alangadan
    “Can we develop a first-order understanding of permafrost degradation and glacial lakes exposed to degradation-induced mass movements in the Himalaya?
    [The authors] tried to address this question. The study [first link above] integrates machine learning, statistical modeling, and numerical modeling to investigate high-resolution permafrost distribution, potential degradation, and associated mass-movement hazards in the Kinnaur district of Himachal Pradesh, India.
    Using rock glaciers as proxies, [they] generated a high-resolution permafrost distribution using machine learning, while potential degradation zones were delineated using the 0°C isotherm as a first-order indicator. [They] further identified glacial lakes located near potentially degrading permafrost zones and reconstructed their bathymetry. A detailed scenario-based GLOF process-chain simulation was then carried out for Kashang Lake using r.avaflow and HEC-RAS.
    [Their] results indicate that seven glacial lakes in #Kinnaur are located close to potentially degrading permafrost zones. The simulations further show that a potential GLOF from Kashang Lake could inundate critical downstream infrastructure, including nearly 11 km of National Highway 5…”
    #permafrost #distribution #GIS #spatial #mapping #Himalayas #India #Kinnaur #HimachalPradesh #KashangLake #massmovement #engineeringgeology #machinelearning #AI #model #modeling #numericalmodel #glaciallakes #glaciet #glacial #glaciallakeoutburstflood #GLOF #cryosphere #geostatistics #rockglaciers #GeoAI #bathymetry #processchainsimulation #HECRAS #avaflow #risk #hazard #mitigation #riskassessment #infrastructure #HEP #publicsafety #downstream #avalanche

  31. Permafrost Distribution, Degradation, And Potential Mass Movement Cascades In The Western Himalaya Using Machine Learning And Numerical Models
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-002 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-220 <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1080/2150704X.2025. <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    H/T @abhinav Alangadan
    “Can we develop a first-order understanding of permafrost degradation and glacial lakes exposed to degradation-induced mass movements in the Himalaya?
    [The authors] tried to address this question. The study [first link above] integrates machine learning, statistical modeling, and numerical modeling to investigate high-resolution permafrost distribution, potential degradation, and associated mass-movement hazards in the Kinnaur district of Himachal Pradesh, India.
    Using rock glaciers as proxies, [they] generated a high-resolution permafrost distribution using machine learning, while potential degradation zones were delineated using the 0°C isotherm as a first-order indicator. [They] further identified glacial lakes located near potentially degrading permafrost zones and reconstructed their bathymetry. A detailed scenario-based GLOF process-chain simulation was then carried out for Kashang Lake using r.avaflow and HEC-RAS.
    [Their] results indicate that seven glacial lakes in #Kinnaur are located close to potentially degrading permafrost zones. The simulations further show that a potential GLOF from Kashang Lake could inundate critical downstream infrastructure, including nearly 11 km of National Highway 5…”
    #permafrost #distribution #GIS #spatial #mapping #Himalayas #India #Kinnaur #HimachalPradesh #KashangLake #massmovement #engineeringgeology #machinelearning #AI #model #modeling #numericalmodel #glaciallakes #glaciet #glacial #glaciallakeoutburstflood #GLOF #cryosphere #geostatistics #rockglaciers #GeoAI #bathymetry #processchainsimulation #HECRAS #avaflow #risk #hazard #mitigation #riskassessment #infrastructure #HEP #publicsafety #downstream #avalanche

  32. Permafrost Distribution, Degradation, And Potential Mass Movement Cascades In The Western Himalaya Using Machine Learning And Numerical Models
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-002 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-220 <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1080/2150704X.2025. <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    H/T @abhinav Alangadan
    “Can we develop a first-order understanding of permafrost degradation and glacial lakes exposed to degradation-induced mass movements in the Himalaya?
    [The authors] tried to address this question. The study [first link above] integrates machine learning, statistical modeling, and numerical modeling to investigate high-resolution permafrost distribution, potential degradation, and associated mass-movement hazards in the Kinnaur district of Himachal Pradesh, India.
    Using rock glaciers as proxies, [they] generated a high-resolution permafrost distribution using machine learning, while potential degradation zones were delineated using the 0°C isotherm as a first-order indicator. [They] further identified glacial lakes located near potentially degrading permafrost zones and reconstructed their bathymetry. A detailed scenario-based GLOF process-chain simulation was then carried out for Kashang Lake using r.avaflow and HEC-RAS.
    [Their] results indicate that seven glacial lakes in #Kinnaur are located close to potentially degrading permafrost zones. The simulations further show that a potential GLOF from Kashang Lake could inundate critical downstream infrastructure, including nearly 11 km of National Highway 5…”
    #permafrost #distribution #GIS #spatial #mapping #Himalayas #India #Kinnaur #HimachalPradesh #KashangLake #massmovement #engineeringgeology #machinelearning #AI #model #modeling #numericalmodel #glaciallakes #glaciet #glacial #glaciallakeoutburstflood #GLOF #cryosphere #geostatistics #rockglaciers #GeoAI #bathymetry #processchainsimulation #HECRAS #avaflow #risk #hazard #mitigation #riskassessment #infrastructure #HEP #publicsafety #downstream #avalanche

  33. Permafrost Distribution, Degradation, And Potential Mass Movement Cascades In The Western Himalaya Using Machine Learning And Numerical Models
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-002 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-220 <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    doi.org/10.1080/2150704X.2025. <-- shared (earlier) paper
    --
    H/T @abhinav Alangadan
    “Can we develop a first-order understanding of permafrost degradation and glacial lakes exposed to degradation-induced mass movements in the Himalaya?
    [The authors] tried to address this question. The study [first link above] integrates machine learning, statistical modeling, and numerical modeling to investigate high-resolution permafrost distribution, potential degradation, and associated mass-movement hazards in the Kinnaur district of Himachal Pradesh, India.
    Using rock glaciers as proxies, [they] generated a high-resolution permafrost distribution using machine learning, while potential degradation zones were delineated using the 0°C isotherm as a first-order indicator. [They] further identified glacial lakes located near potentially degrading permafrost zones and reconstructed their bathymetry. A detailed scenario-based GLOF process-chain simulation was then carried out for Kashang Lake using r.avaflow and HEC-RAS.
    [Their] results indicate that seven glacial lakes in are located close to potentially degrading permafrost zones. The simulations further show that a potential GLOF from Kashang Lake could inundate critical downstream infrastructure, including nearly 11 km of National Highway 5…”

  34. Climate Warming and Ice Weakening Trigger Alpine Glacier Collapses - The Marmolada Case [Dolomites, Northern Italy]
    --
    doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121279 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027- <-- shared technical article
    --
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Mar <-- shared Wikipedia page
    --
    [anecdotal – in the early 1990s, I chose to spend a winter as a ski bum/guide, living in Arabba, Dolomites, Sud Tyrol; I still remember the excellent days when I got to ski on the Marmolada]
    --
    “PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: On 3 July 2022, a portion of the Marmolada glacier, near Punta Rocca, collapsed and caused the death of 11 mountaineers. This dramatic event had a considerable impact on the media, and authorities were concerned about the risk that other collapses might occur in this and other glaciers of the Dolomites, a well-renowned mountain region of the southeastern Alps and one of the UNESCO World Heritage sites. [They] analyzed the possible causes of the collapse by developing a three-dimensional thermo-mechanical model. The analysis concluded that the collapse was caused by increased internal ice temperature and the development of a dense network of fractures, reducing the ice shear strength, with melting water that possibly contributed by increasing the basal pressure. [They] also showed that collapsing conditions can be identified with a simplified model version approximating the sliding basal surface as a plane with a slope equal to the surface slope. The developed approach can be used in hazard identification and risk analysis of mountain glaciers…”
    #EngineeringGeology #RockMechanics #GlacierCollapse #RiskAssessment #italy #Dolomites #SudTyrol #glacier #melting #massmovement #risk #hazard #analysis #Marmolada #glaciercollapse #cryosphere #warning #mitigation #hazardassessment #alpine #climatechange #globalwarming #massloss #instability #model #modeling #thermomechanical #spatialanalysis #temperature #parameters #ice #shearstrength #water #hydrology #hydrography #basal #waterpressure #meltwater #fracturing #riskanalysis #mountainglaciers

  35. Climate Warming and Ice Weakening Trigger Alpine Glacier Collapses - The Marmolada Case [Dolomites, Northern Italy]
    --
    doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121279 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027- <-- shared technical article
    --
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Mar <-- shared Wikipedia page
    --
    [anecdotal – in the early 1990s, I chose to spend a winter as a ski bum/guide, living in Arabba, Dolomites, Sud Tyrol; I still remember the excellent days when I got to ski on the Marmolada]
    --
    “PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: On 3 July 2022, a portion of the Marmolada glacier, near Punta Rocca, collapsed and caused the death of 11 mountaineers. This dramatic event had a considerable impact on the media, and authorities were concerned about the risk that other collapses might occur in this and other glaciers of the Dolomites, a well-renowned mountain region of the southeastern Alps and one of the UNESCO World Heritage sites. [They] analyzed the possible causes of the collapse by developing a three-dimensional thermo-mechanical model. The analysis concluded that the collapse was caused by increased internal ice temperature and the development of a dense network of fractures, reducing the ice shear strength, with melting water that possibly contributed by increasing the basal pressure. [They] also showed that collapsing conditions can be identified with a simplified model version approximating the sliding basal surface as a plane with a slope equal to the surface slope. The developed approach can be used in hazard identification and risk analysis of mountain glaciers…”
    #EngineeringGeology #RockMechanics #GlacierCollapse #RiskAssessment #italy #Dolomites #SudTyrol #glacier #melting #massmovement #risk #hazard #analysis #Marmolada #glaciercollapse #cryosphere #warning #mitigation #hazardassessment #alpine #climatechange #globalwarming #massloss #instability #model #modeling #thermomechanical #spatialanalysis #temperature #parameters #ice #shearstrength #water #hydrology #hydrography #basal #waterpressure #meltwater #fracturing #riskanalysis #mountainglaciers

  36. Climate Warming and Ice Weakening Trigger Alpine Glacier Collapses - The Marmolada Case [Dolomites, Northern Italy]
    --
    doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121279 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027- <-- shared technical article
    --
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Mar <-- shared Wikipedia page
    --
    [anecdotal – in the early 1990s, I chose to spend a winter as a ski bum/guide, living in Arabba, Dolomites, Sud Tyrol; I still remember the excellent days when I got to ski on the Marmolada]
    --
    “PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: On 3 July 2022, a portion of the Marmolada glacier, near Punta Rocca, collapsed and caused the death of 11 mountaineers. This dramatic event had a considerable impact on the media, and authorities were concerned about the risk that other collapses might occur in this and other glaciers of the Dolomites, a well-renowned mountain region of the southeastern Alps and one of the UNESCO World Heritage sites. [They] analyzed the possible causes of the collapse by developing a three-dimensional thermo-mechanical model. The analysis concluded that the collapse was caused by increased internal ice temperature and the development of a dense network of fractures, reducing the ice shear strength, with melting water that possibly contributed by increasing the basal pressure. [They] also showed that collapsing conditions can be identified with a simplified model version approximating the sliding basal surface as a plane with a slope equal to the surface slope. The developed approach can be used in hazard identification and risk analysis of mountain glaciers…”
    #EngineeringGeology #RockMechanics #GlacierCollapse #RiskAssessment #italy #Dolomites #SudTyrol #glacier #melting #massmovement #risk #hazard #analysis #Marmolada #glaciercollapse #cryosphere #warning #mitigation #hazardassessment #alpine #climatechange #globalwarming #massloss #instability #model #modeling #thermomechanical #spatialanalysis #temperature #parameters #ice #shearstrength #water #hydrology #hydrography #basal #waterpressure #meltwater #fracturing #riskanalysis #mountainglaciers

  37. Climate Warming and Ice Weakening Trigger Alpine Glacier Collapses - The Marmolada Case [Dolomites, Northern Italy]
    --
    doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121279 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027- <-- shared technical article
    --
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Mar <-- shared Wikipedia page
    --
    [anecdotal – in the early 1990s, I chose to spend a winter as a ski bum/guide, living in Arabba, Dolomites, Sud Tyrol; I still remember the excellent days when I got to ski on the Marmolada]
    --
    “PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: On 3 July 2022, a portion of the Marmolada glacier, near Punta Rocca, collapsed and caused the death of 11 mountaineers. This dramatic event had a considerable impact on the media, and authorities were concerned about the risk that other collapses might occur in this and other glaciers of the Dolomites, a well-renowned mountain region of the southeastern Alps and one of the UNESCO World Heritage sites. [They] analyzed the possible causes of the collapse by developing a three-dimensional thermo-mechanical model. The analysis concluded that the collapse was caused by increased internal ice temperature and the development of a dense network of fractures, reducing the ice shear strength, with melting water that possibly contributed by increasing the basal pressure. [They] also showed that collapsing conditions can be identified with a simplified model version approximating the sliding basal surface as a plane with a slope equal to the surface slope. The developed approach can be used in hazard identification and risk analysis of mountain glaciers…”
    #EngineeringGeology #RockMechanics #GlacierCollapse #RiskAssessment #italy #Dolomites #SudTyrol #glacier #melting #massmovement #risk #hazard #analysis #Marmolada #glaciercollapse #cryosphere #warning #mitigation #hazardassessment #alpine #climatechange #globalwarming #massloss #instability #model #modeling #thermomechanical #spatialanalysis #temperature #parameters #ice #shearstrength #water #hydrology #hydrography #basal #waterpressure #meltwater #fracturing #riskanalysis #mountainglaciers

  38. Climate Warming and Ice Weakening Trigger Alpine Glacier Collapses - The Marmolada Case [Dolomites, Northern Italy]
    --
    doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121279 <-- shared paper
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027- <-- shared technical article
    --
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Mar <-- shared Wikipedia page
    --
    [anecdotal – in the early 1990s, I chose to spend a winter as a ski bum/guide, living in Arabba, Dolomites, Sud Tyrol; I still remember the excellent days when I got to ski on the Marmolada]
    --
    “PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: On 3 July 2022, a portion of the Marmolada glacier, near Punta Rocca, collapsed and caused the death of 11 mountaineers. This dramatic event had a considerable impact on the media, and authorities were concerned about the risk that other collapses might occur in this and other glaciers of the Dolomites, a well-renowned mountain region of the southeastern Alps and one of the UNESCO World Heritage sites. [They] analyzed the possible causes of the collapse by developing a three-dimensional thermo-mechanical model. The analysis concluded that the collapse was caused by increased internal ice temperature and the development of a dense network of fractures, reducing the ice shear strength, with melting water that possibly contributed by increasing the basal pressure. [They] also showed that collapsing conditions can be identified with a simplified model version approximating the sliding basal surface as a plane with a slope equal to the surface slope. The developed approach can be used in hazard identification and risk analysis of mountain glaciers…”