#riskassessment — Public Fediverse posts

SAP adds TabPFN-3.5 Plus to AI Core for business data

JOSEPH GABRIEL LAGONSIN News Editor SAP has made Prior Labs’ T…
#Germany #DE #Europe #EU #Europa #SAP #AIModels #Benchmarking #BusinessIntelligence(BI) #CashFlow #ChiefTechnologyOfficers(CTO) #CustomerRelationshipManagement(CRM) #DataQuality #DataScience #EnterpriseResourcePlanning(ERP) #LargeLanguageModels(LLMs) #Machinelearning(ML) #Predictiveanalytics #Procurement #Riskassessment #sap #supplychain
https://www.europesays.com/germany/91955/

Flood And Landslide Susceptibility Assessment And Multi Hazard Interaction Mapping Using Machine Learning And GIS For Sustainable Settlement Planning In Nepal
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s44288-026-00670-8 <-- shared paper
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H/T @Narayan Thapa | Earth Data Modeling
“Nepal lies within an active seismic zone and is influenced by most dynamic climatic systems in the world. It faces compounding floods and landslide threats. Impacts are worst where multi-hazard interactions create spatially linked corridors. Despite frequent co-occurrence, national-scale assessments remain limited. This study presents machine learning and GIS-based approach to map nationwide susceptibility to floods, landslides, and identify their potential interaction zones, and delineate critical multi-hazard flow zones through spatial adjacency analysis. Using Google Earth Engine, the Random Forest model integrates topographic, climatic, environmental, and hydrological datasets to overcome subjective expert-driven methods. The model achieved strong predictive accuracy (AUC: 0.84 for floods, 0.85 for landslides). The results showed 19% of Nepal’s lowlands are medium to very highly susceptible to inundation, threatening approximately 900,000 people and over 3.4 million buildings; whilst in the hilly terrains, 40% is susceptible to slope-failure endangering 200,000 people and about 0.6 million buildings. K-means clustering followed by spatial adjacency analysis identified four spatial zonation: 81% of national area as low-hazard zone, 9% as flood-only zone, 5% as landslide-only zone, and 5% as interaction zones. Critical multi-hazard flow zone covering 7,588 km² represents spatially connected corridors linking interaction zones to downstream flood-prone populated areas, affecting 88 km² built-up land and 1,722 km² cropland. These zones represent susceptibility-based spatial connectivity rather than physically simulated cascading processes. These findings support recommendations for risk-informed land-use planning, resilient infrastructure development and climate adaptation aligned to sustainable development and investment risk screening…”
#GIS #spatial #mapping #GoogleEarthEngine #MachineLearning #RemoteSensing #GeospatialAI #DisasterRiskReduction #MultiHazard #ClimateAdaptation #climatechange #extremeweather #LandUsePlanning #SustainableDevelopment #InfrastructurePlanning #RiskAssessment #NaturalHazards #Nepal #EarthObservation #HinduKushHimalaya #HKH #HinduKush #Himalayas #risk #hazard #assessment #national #regional #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #massmovement #landslide #assessment #mitigation #water #hydrology #flood #flooding #sustainability

🚨 FEMA’s Hazus v7.2 Is Here — A Major Upgrade For Disaster Risk Modeling
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https://www.fema.gov/flood-maps/products-tools/hazus <-- shared link to FEMA HAZUS download, documentation, use case, etc
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[I used to work some with Hazus back in the back, but my career changed path; I still appreciate its strength and unity of purpose (sic) #alldataisspatial]
H/T @Laban "L.J." Johnson | Founder, LJ Learn & Concordia Initiative | Crisis Support · Leadership Development · Community Resilience | Bridging worlds to help people rise
“FEMA’s Hazus GIS platform has been updated with a new ArcGIS Pro–based version, bringing faster, more powerful tools for estimating losses from floods, hurricanes, earthquakes, and other natural hazards.
Key updates in Hazus 7.2 include:
• Streamlined workflows for flood and hurricane modeling
• New Earthquake ShakeMap integration using USGS data
• Expanded and improved results exports and reporting (including geodatabase outputs)
• Stronger security with known vulnerabilities addressed
• Performance improvements and optimized installation process
• [Significantly enhanced and comprehensive summary reports for flood and earthquake are now available for download.]
• Full integration with ArcGIS Pro (3.4–3.6) for a modern GIS experience
This release represents a significant step forward in how hazard planners, emergency managers, and GIS professionals analyze and prepare for disaster impacts…”
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“FEMA’s Hazus program provides software, data, methods, and guidance for estimating risk from natural hazards. Hazus can estimate building damages, economic losses, displaced households, casualties, debris generation and more resulting from a natural hazard event and can be used in all phases of emergency management…”
#HAZUS #fedservice #fedscience #oublicgood #publicsafety #emergencyresponse #software #spatialdata #GIS #spatial #mapping #risk #hazard #riskassessment #naturalhazard #humanimpacts #earthquake #wildfire #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #flood #flooding #cost #damage #economic #publicsafety #publichealth #emergencymanagement #opensource #opendata #tsunami #tornado #hurricane #ShakeMap #infrastructure #planning #policy #preparedness #impacts #geology #engineeringgeology #remotesensing #earthobservation
@FEMA

Climate Warming and Ice Weakening Trigger Alpine Glacier Collapses - The Marmolada Case [Dolomites, Northern Italy]
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121279 <-- shared paper
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https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027-2025 <-- shared technical article
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Marmolada_serac_collapse <-- shared Wikipedia page
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[anecdotal – in the early 1990s, I chose to spend a winter as a ski bum/guide, living in Arabba, Dolomites, Sud Tyrol; I still remember the excellent days when I got to ski on the Marmolada]
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“PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: On 3 July 2022, a portion of the Marmolada glacier, near Punta Rocca, collapsed and caused the death of 11 mountaineers. This dramatic event had a considerable impact on the media, and authorities were concerned about the risk that other collapses might occur in this and other glaciers of the Dolomites, a well-renowned mountain region of the southeastern Alps and one of the UNESCO World Heritage sites. [They] analyzed the possible causes of the collapse by developing a three-dimensional thermo-mechanical model. The analysis concluded that the collapse was caused by increased internal ice temperature and the development of a dense network of fractures, reducing the ice shear strength, with melting water that possibly contributed by increasing the basal pressure. [They] also showed that collapsing conditions can be identified with a simplified model version approximating the sliding basal surface as a plane with a slope equal to the surface slope. The developed approach can be used in hazard identification and risk analysis of mountain glaciers…”
#EngineeringGeology #RockMechanics #GlacierCollapse #RiskAssessment #italy #Dolomites #SudTyrol #glacier #melting #massmovement #risk #hazard #analysis #Marmolada #glaciercollapse #cryosphere #warning #mitigation #hazardassessment #alpine #climatechange #globalwarming #massloss #instability #model #modeling #thermomechanical #spatialanalysis #temperature #parameters #ice #shearstrength #water #hydrology #hydrography #basal #waterpressure #meltwater #fracturing #riskanalysis #mountainglaciers

A 481-Metre-High Landslide-Tsunami In A Cruise Ship–Frequented Alaska Fjord
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https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aec3187 <-- shared paper
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https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/06/science/tsunami-landslide-alaska-climate-arctic.html <-- shared media article
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#naturalhazard #glacier #glacial #melting #risk #hazard #climatechance #extremeweather #tsunami #runup #riskassessment #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #cryosphere #disaster #publicsafety #damage #infrastructure #Alaska #fjord #landslide #massmovement #engineeringeology #geology #cruiseship #humanimpacts #water #hydrology #caseexample #monitoring #coast #coastal #marine #wave #microseismicity #remotesensing #earthobservation #tourism #averteddisaster #readiness #awareness #planning #safety #deglaciating

Hanging Glaciers In Himalaya Reveal Rising Avalanche Risk
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https://www.nature.com/articles/d44151-026-00072-2 <-- shared technical article
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-00205-8 <-- shared paper
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #risk #hazard #monitoring #engineeringgeology #naturalhazard #Himalaya #Himalayas #Alaknanda #basin #Garhwal #India #ice #cryosphere #massmovement #avalanche #glacier #hangingglacier #cryosphere #remotesensing #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #sentinel2 #DEM #elevation #model #modeling #GlabTop2 #unstable #hanging #BadrinathMana #impact #infrastructure #damage #HEP #urbanisation #development #population #publicsafety #demographics #glacialretreat #melting #Chamoli #disaster #earlywarningsystems #Himalayan #glaciers #instability #warming #climatechange #riskassessment #riskclassification #framework #avaflow #runout #downstream #downslope #water #hydrology #planning #policy #mitigation #geomorphology #geomorphometry

#FYI #ClimateChat #DanMiller #LeonSimons #EliRabani #StaceyRandecker #strategy #sustainability #riskAssessment #profit #corruption #humanRights

Interview with #AlisonTaylor on #business #ethics and its impact on #climateChange

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4c2YT_pZZ8k

#climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

Karst Flash Floods - An Example From The Dinaric Karst (Croatia)
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https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-6-195-2006 <-- shared (older) paper
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#flood #flooding #pluvial #fluvial #subsurface #risk #hazard #naturalhazard #disaster #flashflood #infrastructure #damage #building #destabilisation #foundations #karstburst #Marina #Dinaric #Croatia #extremeweather #climatechange #intense #prolonged #rainfall #precipitation #speed #fast #caves #conduits #fractures #aquifers #water #hydrology #groundwater #hydrogeology #waterpressure #sinkhole #subsidence #massmovement #landslide #monitoring #mapping #geology #engineeringgeology #hydroseismic #humanimpacts #lossoflife #death #karstterrain #springs #debris #sediment #cavities #riskassessment #Grazalema #Andalusia #Cadíz #Spain #StormLeonard #emergencymanagement #planning

High Resolution Simulation Of Urban Compound Flooding Under Climate Impacts
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2026.102771 <-- shared paper
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#ClimateChange #FloodResilience #UrbanPlanning #ClimateAdaptation #HydrodynamicModeling #CompoundFlooding #SeaLevelRise #sealevel #Flood #flooding #depth #hazard #risk #riskassessment #Urban #urbanplanning #resilience #NewYorkCity #NYC #Hoboken #NewJersey #infrastructure #damage #cost #economics #vulnerability #urban #hydrodynamic #city #cities #climatechange #extremeweather #model #modeling #spatial #GIS #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #highresolution #pluvia #rainfall #precipitation #fluvial #HurricaneIda #stormsurge #building #structures #topography #drainagesystems #infiltration #emergencyservices #framework #workflow #methodology

A quotation from Terry Pratchett

And Sergeant Colon once again knew a secret about bravery. It was arguably a kind of enhanced cowardice — the knowledge that while death may await you if you advance it will be a picnic compared to the certain living hell that awaits should you retreat.

Terry Pratchett (1948-2015) English author
Discworld No. 21, Jingo (1988)

More about this quote: wist.info/pratchett-terry/8091…

#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #terrypratchett #discworld #alternatives #bravery #costbenefit #courage #cowardice #danger #death #informeddecision #punishment #retreat #riskanalysis #riskassessment

Mapping Current And Future Flood Exposure Using A 5 Metre Flood Model And Climate Change Projections [Vancouver, Canada]
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https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/699/2024/ <-- shared technical article
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https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/nov/17/pacific-north-west-flooding-british-columbia-washington-state-canada <-- shared 2021 technical media article, PNW flooding
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[this post should not be considered an endorsement of a specific vendor, etc]
#water #hydrology #flood #flooding #risk #hazard #Vancouver #BritishColumbia #Canada #climatechange #extremeweather #localfloods #GIS #spatial #mapping #riskassessment #spatialanalysis #floodexposure #riskmapping #model #modeling #floodriskmanagement #riskmanagement #naturaldisaster #rainfall #precipitation #stormsurge #hazardmapping #floodmapping #floodrisk #infrastructure #cost #economics #fluvial #pluvial #geomorphology #elevation #geomorphometry #regulatory #regulations #spatiotemporal

New Study Links Flood Risk And Hurricane Attributes In Southwest Florida
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https://coastalscience.noaa.gov/news/new-study-links-flood-risk-and-hurricane-attributes-in-southwest-florida/ <-- shared technical article
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-025-00141-z <-- shared paper
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #model #modeling #risk #hazard #building #damage #flood #flooding #hurricane #Florida #USA #economy #cost #infrastructure #extremeweather #HurricaneIrma #HurricaneIan #floodmodel #SLR #sealevelrise #stormsurge #vegetation #FEMA #NFIP #floodinsurance #HAZUS #opendata #stakeholders #riskassessment #propertyvalue
@NOAA

Microsoft’s New AI Risk Assessment Framework – A Step Forward – Source: securityboulevard.com https://ciso2ciso.com/microsofts-new-ai-risk-assessment-framework-a-step-forward-source-securityboulevard-com/ #rssfeedpostgeneratorecho #SecurityBloggersNetwork #Analytics&Intelligence #ArtificialIntelligence #CyberSecurityNews #SecurityBoulevard #riskassessment #Cybersecurity #CISOSuite #Microsoft #SBNNews #AI

New Research Aims To Better Predict And Understand Cascading Land Surface Hazards
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https://phys.org/news/2025-06-aims-cascading-surface-hazards.html <-- shared technical article
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https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adp9559 <-- shared paper
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#interconnected #geology #engineeringgeology #landcover #landsurface #GIS #spatial #mapping #landcover #hydrology #water #geomorphology # geomiorphmetry #risk #hazard #extremeweather #climatechange #cascading #cascadinghazards #debrisflow #wildfire #massmovement #landslides #flood #flooding #mudflow #susceptibility #chainreaction #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #prediction #management #planning #mitigation #multifactor #sediment #erosion #fluvial #earthquake #fault #faulting #hazardassessment #riskassessment #volcano #vulcanism #sealevelchange #cryosphere #ice #snow #GLOF #humanimpacts #urban #infrastructure #cost #economics #loss #damage #earthobservation #remotesensing #LiDAR #UAV

Towards A Simpler Assessment Of The Environmental Impact Of Hydrographic Echosounders
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https://ihr.iho.int/articles/towards-a-simpler-assessment-of-the-environmental-impact-of-hydrographic-echosounders/ <-- shared paper
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https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/s3/2024-05/NMSFAcousticGuidance-DraftTECHMEMOGuidance-3.0-FEB-24-OPR1.pdf <-- shared NOAA 2024 guidance
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https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2020.0070 <-- shared paper
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #communityhydrography #echosounder #environmentalimpact #hydrography #marinemammals #whales #cetaceans #survey #impacts #humanimpacts #logistics #management #planning #ecosystems #seafloor #sonar #remotesensing #marine #animals #risk #hazard #multibeam #model #modeling #impactassessment #riskassessment #auditory #fish #habitat #strandings

I'm going to take advantage of the current #eruption on Mt #Etna to discuss some of the challenges of #modelling #lava flows. Buckle up (or just silence me) because this is going to be a long thread.

First of all, why do we want to model lava flows? The answer most definitely isn't «because we can», since —as I'm going to explain momentarily— we actually cannot. Still having an idea about how lava flows and sets in place is a powerful tool for the assessment (and possibly mitigation) of the associated #hazard and #risk: if we can tell how lava flows, we can tell which areas are going to be reached by the lava, and hopefully also improve the design of tactical and strategic actions that can be taken to minimize the damage.

(Of course, whether or not those actions will then be taken is an entirely different matter, but that's mostly politics, not science.)

1/

#MtEtna #modelling #simulation #CFD #NaturalHazard #hazardAssessment #riskAssessment #riskMitigation

Ubiquity, Hazardous Effects, and Risk Assessment of #Fragrances in #Consumer Products

Published online 2021 Jan 23.

Purpose of review

The main aims of #fragrances are to create pleasing scents or to mask unpleasant odors. We hereby review their main exposure sources, presumed benefits, and unwanted effects, with special attention to #allergic contact #dermatitis (prevalence, regulatory environment, risk assessment methodology, and preventive measures).

Recent findings

"Fragrances elicit positive emotions and presumably have therapeutic benefits related to stress reduction and memory enhancement. However, they also cause detrimental health or environmental effects including contact dermatitis (irritant and/or allergic), non-eczematous contact reactions, photosensitivity, photo-allergy, and immediate contact reactions, which can negatively impact the quality of life.

"Fragrances are the most frequent chemicals causing contact dermatitis. Their main sources are #cosmetics, household products, industrial substances, food #flavorings, oral hygiene products, and topical medications. It is difficult for sensitized patients to avoid contact with fragrances, due to their ubiquity and because #manufacturers are not willing to volunteer information regarding fragrance ingredients.

Summary

The treatment of contact dermatitis relies on allergens avoidance which does not “cure” the disease (sensitization persists for life) but prevents disabling illness. The patient should understand that avoiding perfume means to avoid all scented goods and not just perfumes.

Labeling fragrances is key in primary prevention (by giving the healthy individual the chance to make an informed choice to avoid risky substances), diagnosis (by helping the practitioner to plan and interpret patch tests), secondary prevention, and prognosis (by allowing the sensitized patient to follow the avoidance instructions). However, only 26 fragrances are mandatory to be declared in cosmetics. The vague labeling of other fragrance ingredients as “perfume” or “fragrance” hampers the diagnostic and preventive approaches. Therefore, in our opinion, declaration should be mandatory for all fragrance ingredients as well as straightforward so most consumers can understand it. Moreover, legislation should be improved to prevent inappropriately high exposures by forbidding stronger allergens, restricting maximum concentrations in the finished product or fields of application, delivering information regarding the risks to the general public, and controlling the compliance of manufacturers with the regulations. Besides, manufacturers should share information regarding the composition in the final products and provide physicians with samples of all fragrance chemicals whenever needed for patch test investigations."

Read more:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7825391/

#Smellmaxxing #AllergicContactDermatitis #Perfume, #RiskAssessment, #Cosmetics #Proprietary #FDA #SecretativeCorporations

Flood Protection Based On Historical Records Is Flawed – We Need A Risk Model Fit For Climate Change
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https://theconversation.com/flood-protection-based-on-historical-records-is-flawed-we-need-a-risk-model-fit-for-climate-change-212454 <-- shared technical article
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #water #hydrospatial #hydrology #flood #flooding #model #modeling #planning #mitigation #naturalhazard #humanimpacts #climatechange #extremeweather #regulations #prediction #floodengineering #floodrisk #floodriskassessment #assessment #risk #hazard #riskassessment #floodmanagement #floodprotection #floodsafety #publicsafety #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherforecast #climatechangesolutions #climateadaptation #infrastructure #flooddamage