#riskassessment — Public Fediverse posts on home.social

"Out of 42 models, 10 models show climate outcomes at a 2 °C warming that are well beyond the multimodel mean at 4 °C of global warming (Fig. 3b). This stresses the need for a careful assessment of their plausibility by evaluating the underlying physical processes. Yet, regardless of pending plausibility checks, these results also call for examining the potential impacts of extreme climate outcomes on global crop production through crop modelling, which can incorporate factors such as irrigation, soil properties and complex management practices."

Emanuele Bevacqua, Erich Fischer, Jana Sillmann, Jakob Zscheischler (2026). "Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes" https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10237-9

#maize #wheat #soybean #rice #riskAssessment #anticipation #climateChange #futures #droughts #agriculture #food #inflation #foodSecurity

#maize #wheat #soybean #rice #riskassessment #anticipation

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-10 · 20:26 UTC

"Uncertainties in future food security will remain large."

"Out of 42 models, 10 models show climate outcomes at a 2 °C warming that are well beyond the multimodel mean at 4 °C of global warming (Fig. 3b). This stresses the need for a careful assessment of their plausibility by evaluating the underlying physical processes. Yet, regardless of pending plausibility checks, these results also call for examining the potential impacts of extreme climate outcomes on global crop production through crop modelling, which can incorporate factors such as irrigation, soil properties and complex management practices."

Emanuele Bevacqua, Erich Fischer, Jana Sillmann, Jakob Zscheischler (2026). "Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes" https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10237-9

#maize #wheat #soybean #rice #riskAssessment #anticipation #climateChange #futures #droughts #agriculture #food #inflation #foodSecurity

#maize #wheat #soybean #rice #riskassessment #anticipation

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-10 · 20:26 UTC

"Uncertainties in future food security will remain large."

"Out of 42 models, 10 models show climate outcomes at a 2 °C warming that are well beyond the multimodel mean at 4 °C of global warming (Fig. 3b). This stresses the need for a careful assessment of their plausibility by evaluating the underlying physical processes. Yet, regardless of pending plausibility checks, these results also call for examining the potential impacts of extreme climate outcomes on global crop production through crop modelling, which can incorporate factors such as irrigation, soil properties and complex management practices."

Emanuele Bevacqua, Erich Fischer, Jana Sillmann, Jakob Zscheischler (2026). "Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes" https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10237-9

#maize #wheat #soybean #rice #riskAssessment #anticipation #climateChange #futures #droughts #agriculture #food #inflation #foodSecurity

#maize #wheat #soybean #rice #riskassessment #anticipation

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-10 · 20:26 UTC

"Uncertainties in future food security will remain large."

"Out of 42 models, 10 models show climate outcomes at a 2 °C warming that are well beyond the multimodel mean at 4 °C of global warming (Fig. 3b). This stresses the need for a careful assessment of their plausibility by evaluating the underlying physical processes. Yet, regardless of pending plausibility checks, these results also call for examining the potential impacts of extreme climate outcomes on global crop production through crop modelling, which can incorporate factors such as irrigation, soil properties and complex management practices."

Emanuele Bevacqua, Erich Fischer, Jana Sillmann, Jakob Zscheischler (2026). "Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes" https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10237-9

#maize #wheat #soybean #rice #riskAssessment #anticipation #climateChange #futures #droughts #agriculture #food #inflation #foodSecurity

#foodsecurity #inflation #food #agriculture #droughts #futures

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-10 · 20:26 UTC

"Uncertainties in future food security will remain large."

"Out of 42 models, 10 models show climate outcomes at a 2 °C warming that are well beyond the multimodel mean at 4 °C of global warming (Fig. 3b). This stresses the need for a careful assessment of their plausibility by evaluating the underlying physical processes. Yet, regardless of pending plausibility checks, these results also call for examining the potential impacts of extreme climate outcomes on global crop production through crop modelling, which can incorporate factors such as irrigation, soil properties and complex management practices."

Emanuele Bevacqua, Erich Fischer, Jana Sillmann, Jakob Zscheischler (2026). "Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes" https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10237-9

#maize #wheat #soybean #rice #riskAssessment #anticipation #climateChange #futures #droughts #agriculture #food #inflation #foodSecurity

#maize #wheat #soybean #rice #riskassessment #anticipation

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 09:24 UTC

…

The 2026 episode questions the livability of territories.
"We do not rule out having temperatures around 48-50 degrees in a punctual and very regional manner in France."

"Climate change which is linked to our predatory and unsustainable lifestyles is emerging."

We need to quit management and embrace transformation.
"The priority no longer is to return to normal, no longer to do things as before, it is to change."

There are worldviews to transform.

Christophe Cassou researches climate. Listen to him in French: https://www.radiofrance.fr/franceculture/podcasts/l-invite-e-des-matins-d-ete/christophe-cassou-face-a-l-ete-cataclysmique-vivre-ce-que-l-on-a-passe-sa-vie-a-annoncer-2357103

…

#foresight #adaptation #habitability #livability #climateForcing #carbon #climateDrift #wildfires #climateChange #climate #ecologicalTransition #greenTransition #anticipation #forests #pines #France #risks #riskAssessment

#foresight #adaptation #habitability #livability #climateforcing #carbon

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 09:24 UTC

…

The 2026 episode questions the livability of territories.
"We do not rule out having temperatures around 48-50 degrees in a punctual and very regional manner in France."

"Climate change which is linked to our predatory and unsustainable lifestyles is emerging."

We need to quit management and embrace transformation.
"The priority no longer is to return to normal, no longer to do things as before, it is to change."

There are worldviews to transform.

Christophe Cassou researches climate. Listen to him in French: https://www.radiofrance.fr/franceculture/podcasts/l-invite-e-des-matins-d-ete/christophe-cassou-face-a-l-ete-cataclysmique-vivre-ce-que-l-on-a-passe-sa-vie-a-annoncer-2357103

…

#foresight #adaptation #habitability #livability #climateForcing #carbon #climateDrift #wildfires #climateChange #climate #ecologicalTransition #greenTransition #anticipation #forests #pines #France #risks #riskAssessment

#foresight #adaptation #habitability #livability #climateforcing #carbon

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 09:24 UTC

…

The 2026 episode questions the livability of territories.
"We do not rule out having temperatures around 48-50 degrees in a punctual and very regional manner in France."

"Climate change which is linked to our predatory and unsustainable lifestyles is emerging."

We need to quit management and embrace transformation.
"The priority no longer is to return to normal, no longer to do things as before, it is to change."

There are worldviews to transform.

Christophe Cassou researches climate. Listen to him in French: https://www.radiofrance.fr/franceculture/podcasts/l-invite-e-des-matins-d-ete/christophe-cassou-face-a-l-ete-cataclysmique-vivre-ce-que-l-on-a-passe-sa-vie-a-annoncer-2357103

…

#foresight #adaptation #habitability #livability #climateForcing #carbon #climateDrift #wildfires #climateChange #climate #ecologicalTransition #greenTransition #anticipation #forests #pines #France #risks #riskAssessment

#foresight #adaptation #habitability #livability #climateforcing #carbon

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 09:24 UTC

…

The 2026 episode questions the livability of territories.
"We do not rule out having temperatures around 48-50 degrees in a punctual and very regional manner in France."

"Climate change which is linked to our predatory and unsustainable lifestyles is emerging."

We need to quit management and embrace transformation.
"The priority no longer is to return to normal, no longer to do things as before, it is to change."

There are worldviews to transform.

Christophe Cassou researches climate. Listen to him in French: https://www.radiofrance.fr/franceculture/podcasts/l-invite-e-des-matins-d-ete/christophe-cassou-face-a-l-ete-cataclysmique-vivre-ce-que-l-on-a-passe-sa-vie-a-annoncer-2357103

…

#foresight #adaptation #habitability #livability #climateForcing #carbon #climateDrift #wildfires #climateChange #climate #ecologicalTransition #greenTransition #anticipation #forests #pines #France #risks #riskAssessment

#riskassessment #risks #france #pines #forests #anticipation

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 09:24 UTC

…

The 2026 episode questions the livability of territories.
"We do not rule out having temperatures around 48-50 degrees in a punctual and very regional manner in France."

"Climate change which is linked to our predatory and unsustainable lifestyles is emerging."

We need to quit management and embrace transformation.
"The priority no longer is to return to normal, no longer to do things as before, it is to change."

There are worldviews to transform.

Christophe Cassou researches climate. Listen to him in French: https://www.radiofrance.fr/franceculture/podcasts/l-invite-e-des-matins-d-ete/christophe-cassou-face-a-l-ete-cataclysmique-vivre-ce-que-l-on-a-passe-sa-vie-a-annoncer-2357103

…

#foresight #adaptation #habitability #livability #climateForcing #carbon #climateDrift #wildfires #climateChange #climate #ecologicalTransition #greenTransition #anticipation #forests #pines #France #risks #riskAssessment

#foresight #adaptation #habitability #livability #climateforcing #carbon

Eric Maugendre about emissions @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:33 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#livability #climatePolicy #riskManagement #riskAssessment #policy #adaptation #forests #climateDrift #climateChange #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #wildfires #poliSky #foresight

#livability #climatepolicy #riskmanagement #riskassessment #policy #adaptation

Eric Maugendre about emissions @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:33 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#livability #climatePolicy #riskManagement #riskAssessment #policy #adaptation #forests #climateDrift #climateChange #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #wildfires #poliSky #foresight

#livability #climatepolicy #riskmanagement #riskassessment #policy #adaptation

Eric Maugendre about emissions @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:33 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#livability #climatePolicy #riskManagement #riskAssessment #policy #adaptation #forests #climateDrift #climateChange #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #wildfires #poliSky #foresight

#livability #climatepolicy #riskmanagement #riskassessment #policy #adaptation

Eric Maugendre about emissions @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:33 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#livability #climatePolicy #riskManagement #riskAssessment #policy #adaptation #forests #climateDrift #climateChange #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #wildfires #poliSky #foresight

#foresight #polisky #wildfires #agriculture #resilience #naturaldisasters

Eric Maugendre about emissions @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:33 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#livability #climatePolicy #riskManagement #riskAssessment #policy #adaptation #forests #climateDrift #climateChange #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #wildfires #poliSky #foresight

#livability #climatepolicy #riskmanagement #riskassessment #policy #adaptation

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:03 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#futures #risks #risk #riskManagement #riskAssessment #livability #habitability #climatePolicy #policy #adaptation #plantations #forestry #climateDrift #climateChange #climateFailure #climateCollapse #drought #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #megafires #wildfire #wildfires

#futures #risks #risk #riskmanagement #riskassessment #livability

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:03 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#futures #risks #risk #riskManagement #riskAssessment #livability #habitability #climatePolicy #policy #adaptation #plantations #forestry #climateDrift #climateChange #climateFailure #climateCollapse #drought #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #megafires #wildfire #wildfires

#futures #risks #risk #riskmanagement #riskassessment #livability

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:03 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#futures #risks #risk #riskManagement #riskAssessment #livability #habitability #climatePolicy #policy #adaptation #plantations #forestry #climateDrift #climateChange #climateFailure #climateCollapse #drought #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #megafires #wildfire #wildfires

#futures #risks #risk #riskmanagement #riskassessment #livability

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:03 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#futures #risks #risk #riskManagement #riskAssessment #livability #habitability #climatePolicy #policy #adaptation #plantations #forestry #climateDrift #climateChange #climateFailure #climateCollapse #drought #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #megafires #wildfire #wildfires

#wildfires #wildfire #megafires #agriculture #resilience #naturaldisasters

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-09 · 08:03 UTC

Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵

#futures #risks #risk #riskManagement #riskAssessment #livability #habitability #climatePolicy #policy #adaptation #plantations #forestry #climateDrift #climateChange #climateFailure #climateCollapse #drought #heatwaves #naturalDisasters #resilience #agriculture #megafires #wildfire #wildfires

#futures #risks #risk #riskmanagement #riskassessment #livability

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:09 UTC

#weather #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment #AttributionScience

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine August 4th, 2026

Attribution of Extreme Weather and Climate Events and their Impacts

https://www.nationalacademies.org/projects/DELS-BASCPR-23-02

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#weather #extremeweather #riskassessment #attributionscience #climate #climatescience

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:09 UTC

#weather #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment #AttributionScience

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine August 4th, 2026

Attribution of Extreme Weather and Climate Events and their Impacts

https://www.nationalacademies.org/projects/DELS-BASCPR-23-02

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#weather #extremeweather #riskassessment #attributionscience #climate #climatescience

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:09 UTC

#weather #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment #AttributionScience

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine August 4th, 2026

Attribution of Extreme Weather and Climate Events and their Impacts

https://www.nationalacademies.org/projects/DELS-BASCPR-23-02

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#weather #extremeweather #riskassessment #attributionscience #climate #climatescience

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:09 UTC

#weather #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment #AttributionScience

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine August 4th, 2026

Attribution of Extreme Weather and Climate Events and their Impacts

https://www.nationalacademies.org/projects/DELS-BASCPR-23-02

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#polycrisis #globalheating #globalwarming #climatedisruption #climatebreakdown #climatecrisis

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:09 UTC

#weather #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment #AttributionScience

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine August 4th, 2026

Attribution of Extreme Weather and Climate Events and their Impacts

https://www.nationalacademies.org/projects/DELS-BASCPR-23-02

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#weather #extremeweather #riskassessment #attributionscience #climate #climatescience

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:08 UTC

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/117055792281374330

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment

Beckwith, Paul Beckwith climate detective investigates the new Extreme Event Attribution Report

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#riskassessment #climate #climatescience #climatechange #climateemergency #climatecrisis

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:08 UTC

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/117055792281374330

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment

Beckwith, Paul Beckwith climate detective investigates the new Extreme Event Attribution Report

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#riskassessment #climate #climatescience #climatechange #climateemergency #climatecrisis

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:08 UTC

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/117055792281374330

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment

Beckwith, Paul Beckwith climate detective investigates the new Extreme Event Attribution Report

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#riskassessment #climate #climatescience #climatechange #climateemergency #climatecrisis

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:08 UTC

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/117055792281374330

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment

Beckwith, Paul Beckwith climate detective investigates the new Extreme Event Attribution Report

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#extremeweather #paulbeckwith #fyi #polycrisis #globalheating #globalwarming

Ivi Choc @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 20:08 UTC

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/117055792281374330

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment

Beckwith, Paul Beckwith climate detective investigates the new Extreme Event Attribution Report

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis

#riskassessment #climate #climatescience #climatechange #climateemergency #climatecrisis

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:45 UTC

…
The EU's adaptation framework serves as a distraction. The cover for treating adaptation as purely technical is thinner than it has been in years. This summer ongoing disasters offer an opening to:
* discuss adaptation;
* look at the perpetrators: https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:ghfylraepxvzz7zjex4nelzw/post/3msbmrpwlhc2v

_References_

The present thread was inspired by two other voices about the same technocratic output: http://strategicclimaterisks.substack.com/p/how-the-eu-adaptation-framework-vastly

Here is the announcement of the report from the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change, 'Strengthening resilience to climate change – Recommendations for an effective EU adaptation policy framework': https://climate-advisory-board.europa.eu/news/escalating-climate-impacts-demand-urgent-coordinated-adaptation-across-the-eu

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #governance #uncertainty #EU #EuropeanUnion #Europe

#climatepolicy #adaptation #climatechange #livability #policy #climate

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:45 UTC

…
The EU's adaptation framework serves as a distraction. The cover for treating adaptation as purely technical is thinner than it has been in years. This summer ongoing disasters offer an opening to:
* discuss adaptation;
* look at the perpetrators: https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:ghfylraepxvzz7zjex4nelzw/post/3msbmrpwlhc2v

_References_

The present thread was inspired by two other voices about the same technocratic output: http://strategicclimaterisks.substack.com/p/how-the-eu-adaptation-framework-vastly

Here is the announcement of the report from the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change, 'Strengthening resilience to climate change – Recommendations for an effective EU adaptation policy framework': https://climate-advisory-board.europa.eu/news/escalating-climate-impacts-demand-urgent-coordinated-adaptation-across-the-eu

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #governance #uncertainty #EU #EuropeanUnion #Europe

#climatepolicy #adaptation #climatechange #livability #policy #climate

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:45 UTC

…
The EU's adaptation framework serves as a distraction. The cover for treating adaptation as purely technical is thinner than it has been in years. This summer ongoing disasters offer an opening to:
* discuss adaptation;
* look at the perpetrators: https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:ghfylraepxvzz7zjex4nelzw/post/3msbmrpwlhc2v

_References_

The present thread was inspired by two other voices about the same technocratic output: http://strategicclimaterisks.substack.com/p/how-the-eu-adaptation-framework-vastly

Here is the announcement of the report from the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change, 'Strengthening resilience to climate change – Recommendations for an effective EU adaptation policy framework': https://climate-advisory-board.europa.eu/news/escalating-climate-impacts-demand-urgent-coordinated-adaptation-across-the-eu

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #governance #uncertainty #EU #EuropeanUnion #Europe

#climatepolicy #adaptation #climatechange #livability #policy #climate

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:45 UTC

…
The EU's adaptation framework serves as a distraction. The cover for treating adaptation as purely technical is thinner than it has been in years. This summer ongoing disasters offer an opening to:
* discuss adaptation;
* look at the perpetrators: https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:ghfylraepxvzz7zjex4nelzw/post/3msbmrpwlhc2v

_References_

The present thread was inspired by two other voices about the same technocratic output: http://strategicclimaterisks.substack.com/p/how-the-eu-adaptation-framework-vastly

Here is the announcement of the report from the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change, 'Strengthening resilience to climate change – Recommendations for an effective EU adaptation policy framework': https://climate-advisory-board.europa.eu/news/escalating-climate-impacts-demand-urgent-coordinated-adaptation-across-the-eu

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #governance #uncertainty #EU #EuropeanUnion #Europe

#europe #europeanunion #eu #uncertainty #governance #riskassessment

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:45 UTC

…
The EU's adaptation framework serves as a distraction. The cover for treating adaptation as purely technical is thinner than it has been in years. This summer ongoing disasters offer an opening to:
* discuss adaptation;
* look at the perpetrators: https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:ghfylraepxvzz7zjex4nelzw/post/3msbmrpwlhc2v

_References_

The present thread was inspired by two other voices about the same technocratic output: http://strategicclimaterisks.substack.com/p/how-the-eu-adaptation-framework-vastly

Here is the announcement of the report from the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change, 'Strengthening resilience to climate change – Recommendations for an effective EU adaptation policy framework': https://climate-advisory-board.europa.eu/news/escalating-climate-impacts-demand-urgent-coordinated-adaptation-across-the-eu

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #governance #uncertainty #EU #EuropeanUnion #Europe

#climatepolicy #adaptation #climatechange #livability #policy #climate

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:15 UTC

#Adaptation gets treated as technical work when it's extremely political. Someone decides which communities are defended, which regions are given up, and who pays.
France's mega-basin enforcers show how such centralization triggers organised resistance: https://climatejustice.social/@breton/112934411029720286

Whatever gets planned has to be delivered inside worsening instability.
Budgets raided by the latest emergency, civil services running on depleted trust, supply chains competing against reconstruction elsewhere.
Researchers call this derailment risk, and every plan should account for it: https://scri.org.uk/publications/report-derailment-risk
…

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #derailment #climateEmergency #agriculture

#adaptation #climatepolicy #climatechange #livability #policy #climate

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:15 UTC

#Adaptation gets treated as technical work when it's extremely political. Someone decides which communities are defended, which regions are given up, and who pays.
France's mega-basin enforcers show how such centralization triggers organised resistance: https://climatejustice.social/@breton/112934411029720286

Whatever gets planned has to be delivered inside worsening instability.
Budgets raided by the latest emergency, civil services running on depleted trust, supply chains competing against reconstruction elsewhere.
Researchers call this derailment risk, and every plan should account for it: https://scri.org.uk/publications/report-derailment-risk
…

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #derailment #climateEmergency #agriculture

#adaptation #climatepolicy #climatechange #livability #policy #climate

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:15 UTC

#Adaptation gets treated as technical work when it's extremely political. Someone decides which communities are defended, which regions are given up, and who pays.
France's mega-basin enforcers show how such centralization triggers organised resistance: https://climatejustice.social/@breton/112934411029720286

Whatever gets planned has to be delivered inside worsening instability.
Budgets raided by the latest emergency, civil services running on depleted trust, supply chains competing against reconstruction elsewhere.
Researchers call this derailment risk, and every plan should account for it: https://scri.org.uk/publications/report-derailment-risk
…

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #derailment #climateEmergency #agriculture

#adaptation #climatepolicy #climatechange #livability #policy #climate

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:15 UTC

#Adaptation gets treated as technical work when it's extremely political. Someone decides which communities are defended, which regions are given up, and who pays.
France's mega-basin enforcers show how such centralization triggers organised resistance: https://climatejustice.social/@breton/112934411029720286

Whatever gets planned has to be delivered inside worsening instability.
Budgets raided by the latest emergency, civil services running on depleted trust, supply chains competing against reconstruction elsewhere.
Researchers call this derailment risk, and every plan should account for it: https://scri.org.uk/publications/report-derailment-risk
…

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #derailment #climateEmergency #agriculture

#agriculture #climateemergency #derailment #riskassessment #climate #policy

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:15 UTC

#Adaptation gets treated as technical work when it's extremely political. Someone decides which communities are defended, which regions are given up, and who pays.
France's mega-basin enforcers show how such centralization triggers organised resistance: https://climatejustice.social/@breton/112934411029720286

Whatever gets planned has to be delivered inside worsening instability.
Budgets raided by the latest emergency, civil services running on depleted trust, supply chains competing against reconstruction elsewhere.
Researchers call this derailment risk, and every plan should account for it: https://scri.org.uk/publications/report-derailment-risk
…

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #riskAssessment #derailment #climateEmergency #agriculture

#adaptation #climatepolicy #climatechange #livability #policy #climate

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:02 UTC

The EU report is detailed and gives an impression that a 3°C planet would be harsh but manageable under the same institutions.
The report does not wonder about unknown unknowns. It does not address supply-chain disruption, financial contagion or people displacement. It lives in a fancy Fortress Europe.

The report also never mentions #AMOC once, even as the evidence for the risk of its collapse to Europe hardens and Iceland starts treating it as a national security threat:
https://mas.to/@maugendre/111917327688619004 🧵

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #futures #EUPol #Europe #risks #riskAssessment

#amoc #climatepolicy #adaptation #climatechange #livability #policy

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:02 UTC

The EU report is detailed and gives an impression that a 3°C planet would be harsh but manageable under the same institutions.
The report does not wonder about unknown unknowns. It does not address supply-chain disruption, financial contagion or people displacement. It lives in a fancy Fortress Europe.

The report also never mentions #AMOC once, even as the evidence for the risk of its collapse to Europe hardens and Iceland starts treating it as a national security threat:
https://mas.to/@maugendre/111917327688619004 🧵

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #futures #EUPol #Europe #risks #riskAssessment

#amoc #climatepolicy #adaptation #climatechange #livability #policy

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:02 UTC

The EU report is detailed and gives an impression that a 3°C planet would be harsh but manageable under the same institutions.
The report does not wonder about unknown unknowns. It does not address supply-chain disruption, financial contagion or people displacement. It lives in a fancy Fortress Europe.

The report also never mentions #AMOC once, even as the evidence for the risk of its collapse to Europe hardens and Iceland starts treating it as a national security threat:
https://mas.to/@maugendre/111917327688619004 🧵

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #futures #EUPol #Europe #risks #riskAssessment

#amoc #climatepolicy #adaptation #climatechange #livability #policy

Eric Maugendre on adapting @[email protected] · 2026-08-08 · 07:02 UTC

The EU report is detailed and gives an impression that a 3°C planet would be harsh but manageable under the same institutions.
The report does not wonder about unknown unknowns. It does not address supply-chain disruption, financial contagion or people displacement. It lives in a fancy Fortress Europe.

The report also never mentions #AMOC once, even as the evidence for the risk of its collapse to Europe hardens and Iceland starts treating it as a national security threat:
https://mas.to/@maugendre/111917327688619004 🧵

#climatePolicy #adaptation #climateChange #livability #policy #climate #futures #EUPol #Europe #risks #riskAssessment

#riskassessment #risks #europe #eupol #futures #climate