#riskassessment — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #riskassessment, aggregated by home.social.
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#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment
Paul about the necessity to account for #WorstCase scenarios
Supported by Sir Isaac Newton ESP*
(*Emotional Support Puppy)
#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis
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RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/117055792281374330
#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ExtremeWeather #RiskAssessment
Beckwith, Paul Beckwith climate detective investigates the new Extreme Event Attribution Report
#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #polycrisis
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Flood And Landslide Susceptibility Assessment And Multi Hazard Interaction Mapping Using Machine Learning And GIS For Sustainable Settlement Planning In Nepal
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s44288-026-00670-8 <-- shared paper
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H/T @Narayan Thapa | Earth Data Modeling
“Nepal lies within an active seismic zone and is influenced by most dynamic climatic systems in the world. It faces compounding floods and landslide threats. Impacts are worst where multi-hazard interactions create spatially linked corridors. Despite frequent co-occurrence, national-scale assessments remain limited. This study presents machine learning and GIS-based approach to map nationwide susceptibility to floods, landslides, and identify their potential interaction zones, and delineate critical multi-hazard flow zones through spatial adjacency analysis. Using Google Earth Engine, the Random Forest model integrates topographic, climatic, environmental, and hydrological datasets to overcome subjective expert-driven methods. The model achieved strong predictive accuracy (AUC: 0.84 for floods, 0.85 for landslides). The results showed 19% of Nepal’s lowlands are medium to very highly susceptible to inundation, threatening approximately 900,000 people and over 3.4 million buildings; whilst in the hilly terrains, 40% is susceptible to slope-failure endangering 200,000 people and about 0.6 million buildings. K-means clustering followed by spatial adjacency analysis identified four spatial zonation: 81% of national area as low-hazard zone, 9% as flood-only zone, 5% as landslide-only zone, and 5% as interaction zones. Critical multi-hazard flow zone covering 7,588 km² represents spatially connected corridors linking interaction zones to downstream flood-prone populated areas, affecting 88 km² built-up land and 1,722 km² cropland. These zones represent susceptibility-based spatial connectivity rather than physically simulated cascading processes. These findings support recommendations for risk-informed land-use planning, resilient infrastructure development and climate adaptation aligned to sustainable development and investment risk screening…”
#GIS #spatial #mapping #GoogleEarthEngine #MachineLearning #RemoteSensing #GeospatialAI #DisasterRiskReduction #MultiHazard #ClimateAdaptation #climatechange #extremeweather #LandUsePlanning #SustainableDevelopment #InfrastructurePlanning #RiskAssessment #NaturalHazards #Nepal #EarthObservation #HinduKushHimalaya #HKH #HinduKush #Himalayas #risk #hazard #assessment #national #regional #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #massmovement #landslide #assessment #mitigation #water #hydrology #flood #flooding #sustainability -
Climate Warming and Ice Weakening Trigger Alpine Glacier Collapses - The Marmolada Case [Dolomites, Northern Italy]
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121279 <-- shared paper
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https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027-2025 <-- shared technical article
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Marmolada_serac_collapse <-- shared Wikipedia page
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[anecdotal – in the early 1990s, I chose to spend a winter as a ski bum/guide, living in Arabba, Dolomites, Sud Tyrol; I still remember the excellent days when I got to ski on the Marmolada]
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“PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: On 3 July 2022, a portion of the Marmolada glacier, near Punta Rocca, collapsed and caused the death of 11 mountaineers. This dramatic event had a considerable impact on the media, and authorities were concerned about the risk that other collapses might occur in this and other glaciers of the Dolomites, a well-renowned mountain region of the southeastern Alps and one of the UNESCO World Heritage sites. [They] analyzed the possible causes of the collapse by developing a three-dimensional thermo-mechanical model. The analysis concluded that the collapse was caused by increased internal ice temperature and the development of a dense network of fractures, reducing the ice shear strength, with melting water that possibly contributed by increasing the basal pressure. [They] also showed that collapsing conditions can be identified with a simplified model version approximating the sliding basal surface as a plane with a slope equal to the surface slope. The developed approach can be used in hazard identification and risk analysis of mountain glaciers…”
#EngineeringGeology #RockMechanics #GlacierCollapse #RiskAssessment #italy #Dolomites #SudTyrol #glacier #melting #massmovement #risk #hazard #analysis #Marmolada #glaciercollapse #cryosphere #warning #mitigation #hazardassessment #alpine #climatechange #globalwarming #massloss #instability #model #modeling #thermomechanical #spatialanalysis #temperature #parameters #ice #shearstrength #water #hydrology #hydrography #basal #waterpressure #meltwater #fracturing #riskanalysis #mountainglaciers -
#NoNaturalDisasters [UN]
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https://www.undrr.org/our-impact/campaigns/no-natural-disasters | https://www.nonaturaldisasters.com/ <-- shared technical articles
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#Resilience #ClimateAction #Governance #risk #hazard #riskassessment #naturalhazard #disaster #humanimpacts #engineeringgeology #NoNaturalDisasters #natural #nature #earthquake #storm #flood #flooding #tsunami #volcano #desertification #wildfire #fires #publicsafety #planning #policy #preparedness #ISO31000 #monitoring #buildingcodes #engineering #landuse #earlywarning #humanmaderisk #exposure #vulnerability #socioeconomic #ecosystems #habitat #livelihoods #farming #infrastructure #buildings #structures #industrial #cost #recovery #economics #homes #extremeweather #hurricane #tornado #resilience #sustainability #poverty #assessment #UNDRR #UN #riskreduction
@United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction -
Karst Flash Floods - An Example From The Dinaric Karst (Croatia)
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https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-6-195-2006 <-- shared (older) paper
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#flood #flooding #pluvial #fluvial #subsurface #risk #hazard #naturalhazard #disaster #flashflood #infrastructure #damage #building #destabilisation #foundations #karstburst #Marina #Dinaric #Croatia #extremeweather #climatechange #intense #prolonged #rainfall #precipitation #speed #fast #caves #conduits #fractures #aquifers #water #hydrology #groundwater #hydrogeology #waterpressure #sinkhole #subsidence #massmovement #landslide #monitoring #mapping #geology #engineeringgeology #hydroseismic #humanimpacts #lossoflife #death #karstterrain #springs #debris #sediment #cavities #riskassessment #Grazalema #Andalusia #Cadíz #Spain #StormLeonard #emergencymanagement #planning -
Unveiling The Environmental Impact Of Earthquakes In Europe
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📄 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-68120-6 <-- shared paper
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🗺️ https://embodiedcarbon.builtenvdata.eu/ <-- shared interactive platform
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📦 https://github.com/gem/global_embodied_carbon_model <-- shared github ‘code base’
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🌍 https://www.globalquakemodel.org/gemevents/gem2026-conference-from-faults-to-future-scenarios <-- shared details of 2026 GEM Conference: From Faults To Future Scenarios, June 2026, Croatia
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#EmbodiedCarbon #service #GlobalEarthquakeModel #earthquake #damage #europe #carbon #GEM #data #maps #opendata #openspatial #GIS #spatial #mapping #seimsic #damage #buildings #urban #residential #commercial #industrial #replacement #infrastructure #typologies #naturalhazard #fault #faulting #geology #global #carbonbudget #climate #climatechange #carboncost #CO2 #carbondioxide #openscience #database #spatialdata #carbonfootprint #seismicrisk #planning #risk #hazard #factors #riskassessment #𝘀𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 #engineering #design
@gem -
Imagine your security team reacting in minutes instead of days—even against emerging threats like "BlackFrost." AI-powered breach and attack simulation is turning cyber defense into a proactive edge in 2025. Curious how it's reshaping the playbook?
#aiincybersecurity
#breachandsimulation
#cybersecuritytrends
#threatintelligence
#riskassessment -
Weather-Induced Landslide Activity In Clayey Slopes - Modeling For The Design Of Site-Scale Early Warning Systems [Italy]
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https://doi.org/10.1061/JGGEFK.GTENG-13248 <-- shared paper
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#geology #engineeringgeology #massmovement #landslide #clay #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #geotechnical #geotechnicalengineering #model #modeling #statistics #soil #topsoil #seepage #water #hydrology #infiltration #porewater #pressure #slope #clay #clayey #safetyfactor #mitigation #management #numericalanalyses #extremeweather #weather #rainfall #precipitation #earlywarning #risk #hazard #riskassessment #italy -
Population Vulnerability Of Residents, Employees, And Cruise-Ship Passengers To Tsunami Hazards Of Islands In Complex Seismic Regions - A Case Study Of The U.S. Virgin Islands
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105289 <-- shared paper
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #Tsunami #Evacuation #Mitigation #Risk #Hazard #Modeling #Island #publicsafety #USVI #VirginIslands #damage #loss #infrastructure #cost #economics #humanimpacts #publicsafety #lossoflife #death #earthquake #fault #mitigation #monitoring #warning #response #tourists #locals #employees #cruiseships #population #community #vulnerability #USVirginIslands #ships #vessels #docks #inundation #flood #flooding #waves #maritime #port #scenario #riskassessment #model #modeling #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal -
More Faults, More Resolution, More Features - The New Zealand Active Faults Database Webmap Gets A Major Upgrade
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https://www.gns.cri.nz/news/more-faults-more-resolution-more-features-the-nz-active-faults-database-webmap-gets-a-major-upgrade/ <-- shared technical article
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https://data.gns.cri.nz/af/ <-- New Zealand Active Faults home page/ webmap
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #spatiotemporal #fault #faulting #NewZealand #earthquake #geology #risk #hazard #groundsurface #webmap #record #database #surfacetrace #geomorphology #geomorphmetry #NZAFD #infrastructure #earthquakeengineering #engineeringgeology #planning #urbanplanning #regulations #geotechnical #landuse #permits #slip #frequency #riskassessment #GNS
@gnsscience -
Ubiquity, Hazardous Effects, and Risk Assessment of #Fragrances in #Consumer Products
Published online 2021 Jan 23.
Purpose of review
The main aims of #fragrances are to create pleasing scents or to mask unpleasant odors. We hereby review their main exposure sources, presumed benefits, and unwanted effects, with special attention to #allergic contact #dermatitis (prevalence, regulatory environment, risk assessment methodology, and preventive measures).
Recent findings
"Fragrances elicit positive emotions and presumably have therapeutic benefits related to stress reduction and memory enhancement. However, they also cause detrimental health or environmental effects including contact dermatitis (irritant and/or allergic), non-eczematous contact reactions, photosensitivity, photo-allergy, and immediate contact reactions, which can negatively impact the quality of life.
"Fragrances are the most frequent chemicals causing contact dermatitis. Their main sources are #cosmetics, household products, industrial substances, food #flavorings, oral hygiene products, and topical medications. It is difficult for sensitized patients to avoid contact with fragrances, due to their ubiquity and because #manufacturers are not willing to volunteer information regarding fragrance ingredients.
SummaryThe treatment of contact dermatitis relies on allergens avoidance which does not “cure” the disease (sensitization persists for life) but prevents disabling illness. The patient should understand that avoiding perfume means to avoid all scented goods and not just perfumes.
Labeling fragrances is key in primary prevention (by giving the healthy individual the chance to make an informed choice to avoid risky substances), diagnosis (by helping the practitioner to plan and interpret patch tests), secondary prevention, and prognosis (by allowing the sensitized patient to follow the avoidance instructions). However, only 26 fragrances are mandatory to be declared in cosmetics. The vague labeling of other fragrance ingredients as “perfume” or “fragrance” hampers the diagnostic and preventive approaches. Therefore, in our opinion, declaration should be mandatory for all fragrance ingredients as well as straightforward so most consumers can understand it. Moreover, legislation should be improved to prevent inappropriately high exposures by forbidding stronger allergens, restricting maximum concentrations in the finished product or fields of application, delivering information regarding the risks to the general public, and controlling the compliance of manufacturers with the regulations. Besides, manufacturers should share information regarding the composition in the final products and provide physicians with samples of all fragrance chemicals whenever needed for patch test investigations."
Read more:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7825391/#Smellmaxxing #AllergicContactDermatitis #Perfume, #RiskAssessment, #Cosmetics #Proprietary #FDA #SecretativeCorporations
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AirNow Fire And Smoke Map [North America]
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https://fire.airnow.gov/ <-- online interactive map
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #online #webmaps #interactivemaps #opendata #crowdsourcing #smoke #fire #airquality #northamerica #environmental #health #publichealth #publicsafety #situationalawareness #hazard #planning #data #events #riskassessment #riskmanagement #communityhealth #communityawareness #climatechange #citizenscience #pollution #wildfires #wildfires2023 #fireriskassessment #quality #help #USA #canada #mexico #puertorico #AirNow