#fluvial — Public Fediverse posts on home.social

ÉricMSM🇧🇪🥾🚆🚊🌼🐑🐞📷 @[email protected] · 2026-08-10 · 15:44 UTC

🇫🇷 Une petite journée tranquille au bord du Rhin, une balade sans trop d'effort pour une fois et un peu de #shipSpotting

Le niveau de l'eau est très bas, ce qui rend la circulation fluviale compliquée et même le bac connaît des restrictions de poids quant aux véhicules transportés.

🇬🇧 A quite day at the Rhine, a quite walk for once and a bit of #shipSpotting

The water level is very low, which makes river traffic complicated and even the ferry has weight restrictions on the vehicles transported.

#ships #Schiffe #Bateaux #Barge #Péniche #fluvial

#shipspotting #ships #schiffe #bateaux #barge #peniche

💧🌏 Greg Cocks @[email protected] · 2026-07-17 · 01:49 UTC

Beyond The 100-Year Flood - Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment For King And Pierce Counties Under Future Climate Scenarios
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https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231-2026 <-- shared #openacess paper
--
[part of my old stomping ground as an engineering geologist]
H/T @Kees Nederhoff
“Flood maps are usually built from a single design storm. For King and Pierce Counties in the Pacific Northwest (USA), [the authors] tried the opposite - simulate 82 years of actual coastal and river conditions (plus 18 synthetic years) with SFINCS and let the statistics fall out cell by cell. That took about 5,400 yearly simulations and 194,000 CPU hours on USGS's Hovenweep HPC. Worth it!
The design-event shortcut turns out to hide a real hazard. A deterministic 10-year event underestimated flood depths by up to half a meter compared to the continuous runs.
The bigger surprise [to the authors] was how one-sided the climate signal is. One metre of sea level rise takes King County's expected annual flooded area from 161 --> 787 hectares, almost a factor of five. Changes in storminess over the same horizon barely register. And somewhere between 100 and 150 cm of SLR, land that never floods today starts flooding fast. If you plan adaptation in Puget Sound, that threshold matters more than any single return-period map.
[They] also propose Expected Annual Flooded Area (EAFA) as a probability-weighted alternative to the binary "inside or outside the 100-year zone" label…”
#USGS #supercomputing #Hovenweep #HPC #coast #coastal #PNW #Seattle #PacificNorthwest #risk #hazard #riskmanagement #model #modeling #CFRM #deterministic #probabilistic #climatechange #extremeweather #fedscience #WA #KingCounty #PierceCounty #WashingtonState #USA #flood #flooding #compoundflooding #floodmaps #SFINCS #storm #weather #climate #climatechange #rainfall #precipitation #sealevel #sealevelrise #SLR #100yearflood #floodhazardmapping #returnperiods #pluvial #fluvial #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #remotesensing #streamgage #history #historicflooding #projections #predictions
#USGS

#openacess #usgs #supercomputing #hovenweep #hpc #coast

💧🌏 Greg Cocks @[email protected] · 2026-07-14 · 02:51 UTC

Watching A #NOAA #Webinar on Flash Droughts
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https://noaaresearch.webex.com/wbxmjs/joinservice/sites/noaaresearch/meeting/download/9b3e684d45ca47fc9469070eabd9a142?MTID=m2fa4a8af7bd8647fc48619af5eeecb5a <-- shared NOAA Summer Science Series individual webinar
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https://www.drought.gov/what-is-drought/flash-drought <-- shared NOAA overview technical article
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https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/star/NOAAScienceSeminars.php <-- subscribe to the NOAA Summer Science Series
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00618-0 <-- shared paper
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https://communities.springernature.com/posts/the-prevalent-life-cycle-of-agricultural-flash-droughts <-- shared technical article (derived from paper above)
H/T @Jeffrey Basara PhD, MBA | Chair and Professor - Department of Environmental, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Massachusetts Lowell | Co-Founder - American Prime Sustainable Solutions
[Flash floods? not TOO hard to conceptualise.
Flash drought? harder to 'get my head around', but H/T / presenter does an excellent job!]
"Not all droughts are the same. In some cases, drought rapidly intensifies at subseasonal to seasonal scales with significant impacts to agriculture and water resources along with the increased propensity for heatwaves and wildfires. Like all droughts, flash drought begins with a precipitation deficit. However, both evaporative demand and soil moisture are critical flash drought variables, and identifying and monitoring the desiccation of the terrestrial surface is key for determining flash drought development and associated impacts. While recent advances in knowledge and monitoring of flash drought have occurred, fundamental questions remain in the state of the science. What are the overall mechanistic relationships between atmospheric demand, evaporative stress, terrestrial desiccation, and precipitation that drive the progression of flash drought? Do regional characteristics of the environment impact the evolution of flash drought? What are the scales of predictability for flash drought? Finally, how will flash drought frequency and intensity evolve in a changing climate system"
--
"Flash drought intensifies rapidly due to changes in precipitation, temperature, wind, and radiation. These changes in the weather increase evapotranspiration and lower soil moisture. Flash droughts can cause extensive damage to agriculture, economies, and ecosystems if they are not predicted and discovered early..."
#water #hydrology #fedscience #publicgood #hydrologicdrought #waterdeficit #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #watersecurity #risk #hazard #humanimpacts #streamflow #riverflow #groundwater #surfacewater #climate #weather #climatechange #extremeweather #atmosphere #metrology #regional #global #farming #agriculture #fluvial #pluvial #rainfall #precipitation #cloudcover #energy #heat #temperature #ET #evapotranspiration #farming #agriculture #foodsecurity #waterresources #dynamicsystems #watermanagement #flashdrought #drought #susceptibility #monitoring #prediction #model #modeling
@noaa

#noaa #webinar #water #hydrology #fedscience #publicgood

💧🌏 Greg Cocks @[email protected] · 2026-07-10 · 22:36 UTC

Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-52915-8 <-- shared paper
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-022-00943-z <-- shared paper
--
H/T @Kuldeep Dutta | Geology-Earth Science
“… In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains.
Check out the [attached graphical abstract figure] for an integrated visual workflow of the entire disaster continuum from hillslope failure to floodplain transformation...”
--
“Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km² of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm day−1) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R2 ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R2 ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades…”
#EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #trigger #Flooding #massmovement #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #floodplain #innundation #hillslope #fluvial #pluvial #alluvial #sediment #sedimentation #hydrometeorology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #Brahmaputra #risk #hazard #geology #engineeringgeology #remotesensing #earthobservation #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #disaster #hydrogeomorphology #workflow

#earthscience #remotesensing #himalayas #naturalhazards #climatechange #scientificreports

💧🌏 Greg Cocks @[email protected] · 2026-07-07 · 19:33 UTC

Comparative Hydro-Climatic Datasets For Catchment-Wise Linked Water Fluxes And Storage Changes Across South America
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https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2026.1764771 <-- shared paper
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03661-2 <-- shared paper
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https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6443 <-- shared paper
--
https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/latest-news/from-droughts-to-floods-climate-change-and-migration-in-peru | https://publications.iom.int/books/evaluacion-de-la-evidencia-cambio-climatico-y-migracion-en-el-peru <-- shared 2021 Peru hydroclimate technical article | report
--
https://youtu.be/Ngbm0gsmYAw?si=haqV7t15pGkEmJB8 <-- shared overview video
--
#water #GIS #spatial #mappping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #remotesensing #earthobservation #Hydrology #Hydroclimatology #ClimateChange #extremeweather #WaterResources #WaterSecurity uncertainity #SouthAmerica #ClimateData #PeerReview #OpenScience #Hydrometeorology #opendata #datasets #rainfall #precipitation #fluvial #heatwave #temperature #changing #consistency #flood #flooding #drought #riskmanagement #risk #hazard #earthsystems #resilience #waterquality #waterpollution #model #modeling #monitoring #records #hydroclimate #hydrogeomorphology #review #SouthAmerica #planning #policy #sustainability #evapotranspiration #runoff #waterstorage #SAHCD

#water #gis #spatial #mappping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal

💧🌏 Greg Cocks @[email protected] · 2026-07-02 · 19:26 UTC

Flood Vulnerability And Load Capacity Assessment Of Historic Masonry Arch Bridges In Ireland Under Changing Climates
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eve.2026.100153 <-- shared paper
--
H/T @Upaka Rathnayake
“HIGHLIGHTS:
• Field surveys and flood modelling were used to evaluate the resilience of eight historic masonry arch bridges in County Offaly, Ireland, under projected fluvial flooding conditions.
• Results indicate that increased flood levels and hydraulic forces can significantly reduce bridge load-carrying capacity, with potential reductions of up to 40% due to buoyancy effects during extreme flood events.
• The study demonstrates a clear relationship between flood exposure and structural deterioration, emphasizing the need for structural health monitoring, maintenance strategies, and climate-resilient infrastructure management…
ABSTRACT: Masonry bridges, predominantly constructed from stone or brick, were a common feature of bridge engineering during the 18th and 19th centuries. However, these historic bridges are still in use today, but they are at risk due to various extreme climate conditions. Thus, these bridges are vulnerable to damage and needy for investigation. This paper offers an in-depth analysis of the projected impacts of fluvial flooding stemming from climate change on a number of masonry arch bridge structures located in county Offaly, Ireland. It evaluates bridge resilience by examining estimated flood levels alongside the overall condition of the structures. These assessments play a crucial role in determining the load-bearing capacity of the bridges and whether adjustment factors should be implemented. Particularly for bridges situated on primary and secondary roads with consistent heavy goods vehicle (HGV) traffic, the potential decrease in load-bearing capabilities warrants significant consideration. This study highlights concerns regarding the resilience of these historic structures and presents a valid argument regarding their suitability for contemporary environmental conditions and present-day activities…”
#bridge #resilience #climatechange #impacts #loadcarrying #capacity #masonry #archbridges #fluvial #flood #flooding #Ireland #casestudies #transportation #bridges #historicbridges #history #survey #model #modeling #floodmodeling #CountyOffaly #ContaeUíbhFhailí #hydraulics #engineering #chokepoint #constraint #constriction #hydraulicforce #bridgeload #carryingcapacity #buoyancyeffects #damage #structuraldeterioration #structuralhealth #monitoring #maintenance #planning #policy #climateresilience #infrastructure #management #water #hydrography

#bridge #resilience #climatechange #impacts #loadcarrying #capacity

💧🌏 Greg Cocks @[email protected] · 2026-07-01 · 03:09 UTC

Impact Of Floods On Surface Water Quality - A Systematic Review And Comprehensive Assessment
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135916 <-- shared paper
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https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2024-12/2024-12.pdf <-- shared paper
--
“Floods, as extreme flow events, are among the costliest and devastating natural hazards. Among the various domains impacted by flooding, environmental degradation, particularly the deterioration of water quality (WQ), is one of the most impacted yet often overlooked. Therefore, it is essential to understand the nature and source of water pollution associated with flooding. This study aims to evaluate and assess multiple studies conducted globally to determine the impact of floods on WQ. A literature review and assessment of 66 studies published between 2007 and 2026 was conducted using the total comprehensiveness score (TCS). To support the scoring process, studies that scored more than 70% of the maximum achievable TCS (15.4) are considered the most detailed and comprehensive in addressing the objectives of this review. 16 studies achieved a TCS above 15.4, indicating that a limited number of studies incorporate a broader set of factors in this domain. A higher number of studies were conducted post the year 2021, highlighting both scientific progress and a growing focus on WQ impacts from disasters such as floods, beyond the traditionally emphasized socio-economic loss. Among the shortlisted studies, fluvial floods are the most frequently examined, followed by pluvial floods and coastal floods. During fluvial floods, turbidity increased by up to two orders of magnitude, while nutrient concentrations (TN, TP) typically rose by ∼ 10–30%. In contrast, pluvial floods were characterised by dilution-driven decreases in EC and TDS, with DOX, BOD and COD showing variable responses across flood types. This review evaluates flood impacts on WQ, catchment characteristics, and sources of WQ modification. The findings of the research reveal that not all WQ parameters are responsible for WQ degradation during every flood event. Rather, it is a combination of certain parameters that leads to deteriorated WQ. WQ degradation depends on interacting factors such as flood duration, extent, depth, and flow dynamics. In overall, this study provides an overview of the multiple cascading impacts of floods on WQ, along with a detailed perspective on the set of criteria that should be considered in future research…”
#water #hydrology #hydrography #flood #flooding #criteriaassessment #waterpollution #waterquality #parameters #extremeflow #waterresources #extremeweather #waterresources #watermanagement #global #literaturereview #morphology #source #type #watersecurity #research #papers #compilation #humanimpacts #PRISMA #spatiotemporal #fluvial #pluvial #coast #coastal #risk #hazard #riverine #climatechange #EnvironmentalScience #Research #ClimateResilience #floodtype #pollution #naturalhazard

#water #hydrology #hydrography #flood #flooding #criteriaassessment

💧🌏 Greg Cocks @[email protected] · 2026-06-25 · 03:43 UTC

Compound Hydrogeomorphic Cascades And Rapid Upstream To Downstream Hazard Coupling In The Eastern Himalaya
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-52915-8 <-- shared paper
--
https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-1281-2025 <-- shared paper
--
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07766-3 <-- shared paper
--
[I recognise that the photo is instead for the floods, etc in Lubra, Nepal - but felt it better showed the hydrogeomorphical setting (sic) for the 'casual' post viewer...]
H/T @Kuldeep Dutta
“In hilly regions transitioning rapidly to low gradient alluvial plains, localized hydrometeorological triggers can instantly scale into devastating basin wide disasters. This study dissects the September 2020 cascading hazard in parts of the Arunachal Pradesh-Assam corridor to quantify the rapid coupling between upstream hillslopes and downstream floodplains…”
--
“Extreme precipitation in the Eastern Himalaya is increasingly associated with coupled hillslope-floodplain hazards. This study examines the 17th-18th September 2020 rainfall event in Arunachal Pradesh initiating landslides and its downstream impacts in Assam, India, using multi-sensor satellite data and long-term rainfall records. Sentinel-2 imagery was used to map landslides and debris flows, Sentinel-1 SAR data to delineate flood extent, and IMD gridded rainfall (1996–2020) to analyse rainfall spell characteristics. The event triggered widespread slope failures, localized landslide damming, and a subsequent breach, generating sediment-laden flows that inundated ~ 100 km2 of the Dhemaji floodplain. A backscatter-derived Relative Flood Volume Index (RFVI) indicates spatial variability in inundation intensity, although it does not represent absolute flood volume. Rainfall analysis suggests that antecedent wetness from preceding spells preconditioned slopes, while peak daily rainfall (> 170 mm/day/) initiated landsliding. Power-law scaling shows negligible dependence of intensity on duration (R² ≈ 0.0004), whereas cumulative rainfall exhibits a stronger relationship with duration (R² ≈ 0.54). These results indicate distinct roles of rainfall intensity and accumulation in controlling landslide initiation and downstream flooding, respectively, highlighting the importance of compound rainfall forcing in rapid hydrogeomorphic cascades...”
#EarthScience #RemoteSensing #Himalayas #NaturalHazards #ClimateChange #ScientificReports #GeospatialAnalysis #DisasterMitigation #Landslide #Flooding #alluvial #fluvial #water #hydrology #hydrography #flood #flooding #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #mountain #plain #hydrometeorological #hydrogeomorphology #ArunachalPradesh #Assam #India #hillslope #floodplain #rainfall #precipitation #extremeweather #engineeringgeology #massmovement #landslide #debrisflow #risk #hazard #monitoring #GIS #spatial #mapping #remotesensing #satellite #Sentinel #sedimentation #humanimpacts #infrastructure #damage #cost #economics #public #safety #model #modeling #downstream

#earthscience #remotesensing #himalayas #naturalhazards #climatechange #scientificreports

💧🌏 Greg Cocks @[email protected] · 2026-06-13 · 05:44 UTC

Late Miocene Euphrates River Drained Into A Partially Desiccated Eastern Mediterranean
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-01962-x <-- shared paper
--
[the paleogeographic reconstruction is outstanding, including the strength and information conveyed so well in that figure, kudos!]
H/T @lina Jakaitė-Darkšė
“Although the Euphrates River - stretching ~3,000 km across Western Asia - has shaped the region’s geology for millions of years, the timing of its origin and the evolution of its course remain enigmatic. So far, two contrasting hypotheses have been proposed to explain the fluvial system’s Late Neogene path: termination in Anatolia at a palaeo-lake or the Mediterranean, or a southeastward continuation to Arabia. Here [they] use seismic-reflection and topographic data to show that two previously identified sedimentary accumulations - deposited during the terminal phase of the Late Miocene Messinian salinity crisis - resulted from dual riverine systems that drained into a partially desiccated eastern Mediterranean before avulsing toward the Persian Gulf and converging to form the modern Euphrates River. From probabilistic sediment-budget modelling, [they] show that although the latest Messinian drainage basins were an order of magnitude smaller than their present-day extents, the total palaeo-discharge exceeded that of the modern Tigris, Euphrates and Nile rivers combined, indicating intense palaeo-precipitation and high palaeo-relief. These results suggest that plate-margin deformation both controlled the fluvial avulsions that diverted the Euphrates River from the Anatolian–Eurasian Plate to the Arabian Plate, and established the conditions necessary for the development of the alluvial Fertile Crescent…”
#water #hydrology #hydrography #paleogeography #Euphrates #river #Miocene #reconstruction #spatialreconstruction #geology #change #erosion #MiddleEast #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #Neogene #Anatolia #paleolake #Mediterranean #Arabia #Messinian #remotesensing #model #modeling #topography #hydrogeomorphology #geomorphology #PersianGulf #sediment #paleodischarge #volume #Tigris #elevation #platetectonics #structuralgeology #platemargin #fluvial #avulsion #FertileCrescent