#overshoot — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #overshoot, aggregated by home.social.
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If temperatures were ever to stabilize, impacts do not reverse.
A community displaced by repeated drought does not return home. A farming household that sold its land after successive crop failures has no capital base to re-enter. Lives lost to heat extremes are not restored.A scientific framework traces #overshoot impacts through a 3-layer #cascade:
1. the temperature path (how high, how long, how fast),
2. the biophysical response,
3. the socioeconomic outcome that follows.
Livability at one layer does not guarantee it at the next.3 mechanisms make loss permanent:
• Non-substitutability: some losses are forever. Lives, species, cultural heritage.
• Threshold-crossing: repeated shocks exhaust a community's coping.
• Lock-in: adapting to peak conditions creates barriers to reversal even if well designed.Hence a #governance gap: containing temperatures may be read as a solution precisely while permanent harm accumulates fastest, weakening political will.
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RE: https://mastodon.green/@gerrymcgovern/117121851604215664
About 3 years after I promote "LESS" in my book, the concept slowly gains more ground.
The concept 'ecological overshoot' dates back at least 45 years, when William Catton published its famous book withe the title "Overshoot"
If you want to read my freely available book on our current predicament and the course of our civilisation, you can download it from here:
https://kolektiva.social/@nan_ano/115724266478085106
#Collapse #Overshoot #Ecology #EcologicalOvershoot #CrashCourse #Extinction #CO2 #ClimateChange
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Which means Honduras is functionally subsidizing the American driveway, and not one person in Washington has ever said thank you.
Tha an talamh a' cumail cunntais — the earth keeps accounts.
She's been keeping them a long while, and she didn't raise her voice about it today.
https://twp.ai/9OZaJo
#EarthOvershootDay #MoveTheDate #ClimateCrisis #Climate #Ecology #Overshoot #Environment #News #Journalism #Politics #Solarpunk #MutualAid #MutualAidRequest
2/2 -
The country breakdown is where the arithmetic stops being abstract.
Qatar's overshoot day: February 4. Luxembourg, February 17. Singapore, February 23. The United States: March 14 — we burned through our share before the daffodils came up.
Honduras doesn't reach its day until November 27.
https://twp.ai/4huL7k
#EarthOvershootDay #MoveTheDate #ClimateCrisis #Climate #Ecology #Overshoot #Environment #News #Journalism #Politics #Solarpunk #MutualAid #MutualAidRequest
1/2 -
Global Footprint Network says the shift came almost entirely from a revised estimate of how much carbon the ocean absorbs. A spreadsheet moved. The real footprint grew. 2026 is the highest overshoot ever recorded, and it got announced like an improvement.
#EarthOvershootDay #MoveTheDate #ClimateCrisis #Climate #Ecology #Overshoot #Environment #News #Journalism #Politics #Solarpunk #MutualAid #MutualAidRequest
2/2 -
Donella Meadows, lecture at Dartmouth in 1977.
"Systems: Overshoot and Collapse"
https://youtu.be/f9g4-5-GKBc -
Iran is running out of water. The problem goes far beyond policy failure
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Apparently there's another anti-degrowth article in the FT today.
I've yet to see it but here's what I wrote in response to the Guardian piece in December.
These articles appear with monotonous regularity.We are in disastrous #overshoot
Decoupling …… again – degrowthUK
https://degrowthuk.org/2025/12/16/decoupling-again/ -
Nandita Bajaj: Confronting patriarchy, pronatalism, and population denial
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Dépassement de capacité et correction démographique
Plusieurs études convergent vers l’idée d’un monde déjà en #Overshoot : limites planétaires franchies, capacité de charge dépassée, risque de #Collapse au milieu du XXIe siècle. Certaines modélisations évoquent même une forte contraction démographique si aucune transformation majeure n’intervient. #PlanetaryBoundaries #SystemicRisk #ClimateCrisis Un ensemble d’études récentes dessine une même toile de fond :…
https://homohortus31.wordpress.com/2026/06/08/depassement-de-capacite-et-correction-demographique/
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The current state of ‘carbon dioxide removal’ around the world
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Life without oil: The Strait of Hormuz crisis is a warning for global systems under strain
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In conversation: Dave Murphy and Tom Murphy – Can modernity become sustainable?
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Als we de komende jaren evenveel CO2 blijven uitstoten als in 2025 dan is het resterende ‘koolstofbudget’ – de hoeveelheid CO2 die we nog mogen uitstoten om onder een opwarming van 1,5°C te blijven – uitgeput binnen de vier jaar.
Nu al wordt de gemiddelde globale temperatuurstijging geschat op ongeveer 1,4°C boven het pre-industriële niveau. De gevolgen van die opwarming draaien we niet zomaar even terug. En alle ellende die dit veroorzaakt evenmin. De planeet heeft geen thermostaat die je naar believen kan instellen.
Begrotingsdiscipline blijkt in het geval van koolstof minder dwingend dan wanneer het over overheidsfinanciën gaat.
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In conversation: Dave Murphy and Tom Murphy – if modernity can’t last forever, what comes next?
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In conversation: Dave Murphy and Tom Murphy – can modernity survive planetary limits?
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Bill Rees: A childhood moment on a Canadian farm led to ecological footprint analysis
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[P] I think it's callous to bring a child into this cruelty. Thanks to monsters, ours is a dying world, and a cruel one. Everything is worse for each new generation. As it stands, without extreme population degrowth? There is no future. It'll only get worse. How could one look at such a cruel, dying world and think "Gosh, what a perfect environment for a child!" without being a monster?
#psychology #actuallyautistic #neurotypicals #science #childfree #overpopulation #overshoot
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[P] I'm curious about the intersection of the normalised monster traits of humanity and breeding. To begin, the world is clearly overpopulated, claiming otherwise is spreading wealthy whitey billionaire propaganda.
https://www.sciencealert.com/earths-population-has-surpassed-the-planets-capacity-study-suggests
The earth IS grossly overpopulated. This is science fact. So why is it denied? Why is the propaganda believed? I want to examine that a little bit.
#psychology #actuallyautistic #neurotypicals #science #childfree #overpopulation #overshoot
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@b_age Ich erzähle den Leuten ja immer sehr gerne, daß unsere moderne Zivilisation gerade kollabiert, daß das Industriezeitalter wahrscheinlich keine hundert Jahre mehr weitergehen wird und todsicher weniger als dreihundert, und daß die Chancen der Spezies Homo sapiens, die nächsten tausend Jahre oder so zu überleben relativ mies stehen und sich jeden Tag ein wenig verschlechtern. Die meisten antworten dann irgendwas mit Klimaschutz hier und Energiewende da und Geoengineering und hastenichtgesehen, und ich erkläre denen dann, daß die Klimakrise nur eine Teilkrise einer viel umfassenderen komplexen Polykrisis ist, und daß das Artensterben, das 6. Massenaussterben der Erdgeschichte, eine weit schlimmere Teilkrise der Polykrisis ist. Ich erzähle ihnen davon, daß Wachstum vorbei ist, weil wir die Grenzen des Wachstums längst überschritten haben und immer tiefer in den ökologischen Overshoot rutschen, daß die Weltwirtschaft quasi sofort um mehr als die Hälfte schrumpfen müßte (und anschließend natürlich nie wieder wachsen), um irgendeine Chance auf Nachhaltigkeit zu haben, und daß diese Schrumpfung unvermeidlich früher oder später so oder so kommen wird.
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I absolutely hate, hate, HATE how software environments are often called "ecosystems".
An ecosystem is a living organic structure on a living planet (more specifically, Earth, since we haven't found any other living planets yet), made from all kinds of organisms -- bacteria, archaea, fungi, all kinds of arthropods from tiny mites to big beetles and bumblebees, and far too few vertebrates nowadays because of the fucking Industrial Age. We've been ruining ecosystems at high speed ever since Columbus kickstarted colonialism, but then the steam engine came, constantly accelerating the growth our cancer of an economy, and after WW2 we started the afterburner. We've been destroying ecosystems at supersonic speed for eight decades, we can see them fall apart before our eyes. People have been seing the living world around them getting killed since the dirty old mills of the Black Country, and since the 1960s, a growing green movement all over the planet has been trying to stop the madness. And we aren't really very good at it, are we? This entire mess of a civilisation is running out of control, collapse has probably already begun, we're in ecological overshoot like Wile E. Coyote hanging in midair. Capitalism won't last much longer because it becomes dysfunctional when there isn't any real growth left, and we have not only reached the global growth limits, we have exceeded them, which means that the economy will eventually shrink by more than half, which isn't a recession or even a Second Great Depression, it is an utter collapse of the economy. If those of us who survive that can somehow built a sustainable type of economy from the leftovers, this industrial civilisation might not collapse completely just yet, entering a time of slow decline instead, and an entire new civilisation might grow in some other parts of the world, maybe in Africa, maybe in Asia, and spread across the world as the European type of civilisation slowly vanishes. Who knows? Right now, we need to learn how to survive in times of collapse. And the best way to do so is to learn how to do things properly which will still be relevant when there are no more computers or big factories or giant office buildings.I am part of an ecosystem, as I am one of many, many animals who live in this landscape. And like other animals, I need to eat some of the organisms who live here in order to survive. I'm a huge threat to every individual potato or chicken, yet my presence leads to the presence of more potatoes and chickens, which is one of all my interactions with the ecosystem. I can't do anything without my actions having consequences for the ecosystem of which I am but a tiny part. Some people today are as afraid of the ongoing global climate catastrophe as they should be, but only very few realise that the biodiversity crisis aka the Sixth Extinction is far worse and far more frightening.
And some IT guys who know fucking zilch about ecology have the bloody audacity to call some software environment an "ecosystem". I find it very annoying. Fucking techbros should think more and talk less.
#biodiversitycrisis #extinction #sixthextinction #globalwarming #climatecrisis #biospheredecline #capitalism #economicgrowth #limitstogrowth #overshoot #collapse #πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #polycrisis #ecosystem
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...👉There simply is no other possibility if we are to withstand once more the #Kassandra predictions👈 like mine here, or e.g. quite some time ago, about the #Overshoot, the #PopulationBomb, the #GreenRevolution, and the importance of the so-called #PhantomCarryingCapacity:
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/112047709692840344.
As I summed up in this in this thread here, I guess, is the best example of 👉the imminent reality of this #PhantomCarryingCapacity is deep-well...
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Hannah Spencer's speech.
Good speech.One criticism: why is it called the Green party? What about the ecosystem and climate emergency? You have to use opportunities like this to level with people.
"Working hard used to get you a house, a nice life, holidays": Green's new Gorton and Denton MP Hannah Spencer rails against life in modern Britain as she vows to do things differently - Manchester Evening News
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/working-hard-used-you-house-33499412 -
Meiner Meinung nach hat dieser Artikel immer noch nicht genügend Resonanz erfahren. Alle die hier vom Ausbau der EE in China sprechen und von Hoffnung, mögen sich doch jetzt langsam mal mit dem Konzept der Kipppunkte auseinandersetzen. #overshoot e360.yale.edu/features/1.5...
Overshoot: The World Is Hittin...