#overshoot — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #overshoot, aggregated by home.social.
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UN-Report: Überschreiten von 1,5 Grad unvermeidlich – und nun?
„Es gibt keine guten Szenarien oberhalb von 1,5 Grad“, erklärt #UNEP-Exekutivdirektor Inger Andersen. „Jeder Bruchteil eines Grades zählt und jedes Jahr im #Overshoot erhöht die #Klimarisiken sowie die Gefahr irreversibler Verluste.“ Schon jetzt haben sich #Wetterextreme wie #Hitzewellen, #Dürren, #Starkregen, #Hochwasser und #Stürme deutlich verstärkt. Die 1,5-Grad-Grenze wurde bewusst gewählt, weil solche #Klimafolgen darunter noch halbwegs handhabbar bleiben. Wird die Schwelle jedoch überschritten, verstärken sich diese #Klimagefahren den Prognosen zufolge deutlich.
„Jahrelanges Nichtstun hat zur Folge, dass selbst bei einer Rückkehr zu einer Erwärmung von unter 1,5 Grad irreversible Verluste und dauerhaft veränderte Bedingungen unvermeidlich sind“, erklärt die UNEP. Das Überschreiten der 1,5-Grad-Grenze dürfe daher nicht als neues Ziel und Ausrede zu laxem Klimaschutz betrachtet werden. Es sei ein Zustand, dessen Ausmaß wir dringend minimieren und den wir umkehren müssen.
https://wissenschaft.de/artikel/un-report-ueberschreiten-von-1-5-grad-unvermeidlich-und-nun
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...👉There simply is no other possibility if we are to withstand once more the #Kassandra predictions👈 like mine here, or e.g. quite some time ago, about the #Overshoot, the #PopulationBomb, the #GreenRevolution, and the importance of the so-called #PhantomCarryingCapacity:
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/112047709692840344.
As I summed up in this in this thread here, I guess, is the best example of 👉the imminent reality of this #PhantomCarryingCapacity is deep-well...
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It all became very clear to me, when I read this insightful article about #Overshoot:
[CW: This is a quintessential article, however, I strongly recommend *not* reading it if you're suffering from a depression, etc.!]
After further reading and contemplation, I wrote this thread about the the #PhantomCarryingCapacity and the quintessential #SecondGreenRevolution:
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#ClimateCatastrophe #Overshoot #PhantomCarryingCapacity
(9/9)
...That said, there is a lot we could do, apart from #PopulationControl, rethinking building construction (e.g. using #WindCatchers*), but first and foremost, a #SecondGreenRevolution, using a combination of #Agrivoltaics and #WaruWaru:
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/109972629386382918
*
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/110624369550177707//
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#ClimateCatastrophe #Overshoot #PhantomCarryingCapacity
(8/9)
...the #ExtinctionLevelEvent will most likely not be limited to plants and animals...
(2) https://www.counterpunch.org/2022/08/23/is-there-enough-metal-to-replace-oil/
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#ClimateCatastrophe #Overshoot #PhantomCarryingCapacity
(7/n)
"...is created this way. There is 👉no substitute.👈 This is why fertilizer prices (and thus, food prices) are getting higher and higher, because #NaturalGas has gotten so expensive..."
Instead of using natural gas exclusively for fertilizer production, we are just "firing away"
Humans have essentially painted themselves into a corner." (1)
Another #overshoot seems hard to avoid.
This time, the
#PhantomCarryingCapacity... -
#ClimateCatastrophe #Overshoot #PhantomCarryingCapacity
(6/n)
"...about #oil is [in contrast] that all of the #energy is already stored inside of it." (1)
"Is There Enough Metal to Replace #Oil?" asked #RobertHunziker in 2022.
"The short answer: No, not even close!" (2)
And then, there's the food issue:
"About 👉50% of the world’s #food production depends on #fertilizer👈 that...
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#ClimateCatastrophe #Overshoot #PhantomCarryingCapacity
(5/n)
"...8 billion people is 👉completely dependent on #FossilFuels👈 such as #oil and natural #gas."
"Without plenty of affordable energy, we cannot continue to grow our population or even maintain it."
"...all this #GreenEnergy requires another finite resource:
#RareEarthMetals. The great thing..."
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#ClimateCatastrophe #Overshoot #PhantomCarryingCapacity
(3/n)
"...anticipate the #GreenRevolution, which took off in the 1970s.
👉#Farmers began to use new chemical #fertilizers such as #phosphorous and #ammonia (which is derived from #NaturalGas), and #agrochemicals such as #pesticides and #herbicides [#oil derivatives]).👈
In addition, they began to use new types of #farming equipment that mechanized #cultivation and harvesting.But that’s not all. In the past, a #drought...
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#ClimateCatastrophe #Overshoot #PhantomCarryingCapacity
(2/n)
"...In an early edition, the preface read:
“The battle to feed all of #humanity is over. In the 👉1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death👈 in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate.”
"#Ehrlich was [only] wrong because he didn’t..."
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* #ClimateCatastrophe #Overshoot #PhantomCarryingCapacity *
(1/n)
The #AngloSaxon capitalist model ruined earth for humanity and many other species. #BigOil has been its undertaker, b/c #BigOilKnew.
If capitalism hadn't made the #GreenRevolution possible, human society would already have reached the #overshoot (1) point at the end of the last century:
In 1968, the #biologists Paul and Anne #Ehrlich wrote the book The #PopulationBomb"... -
#BigOil has brought humanity to the brink, heating up the globe and creating the illusion that it could be fed. This is called the #PhantomCarryingCapacity.
Some scientists think that #overshoot has already happened:https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/110521005050210310
I agree, if you throw in the #nationalization of #BigOil to pay for the #EnergyTransition and damages.
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This depends on the country (#CarbonBudget):
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/110723585564071989
Furthermore, there are 9 known #TippingPoints so far (7 here):
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/111541294917227129
"Major climate tipping points could be triggered within a decade:"
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/111541302400354972
But yes, #overshoot already happened. The #GreenRevolution created an illusion which led to a #PhantomCarryingCapacity of Earth: