#polykrisis — Public Fediverse posts

Ich will diesen 1. Mai zurückgeben. Er ist schlecht geschnitten und sitzt völlig falsch. Er fühlt sich an wie ein 15. Juli.

#klimakatastrophe #klimachaos #monsterhoch #dürre #duerre #polykrisis

@b_age Ich erzähle den Leuten ja immer sehr gerne, daß unsere moderne Zivilisation gerade kollabiert, daß das Industriezeitalter wahrscheinlich keine hundert Jahre mehr weitergehen wird und todsicher weniger als dreihundert, und daß die Chancen der Spezies Homo sapiens, die nächsten tausend Jahre oder so zu überleben relativ mies stehen und sich jeden Tag ein wenig verschlechtern. Die meisten antworten dann irgendwas mit Klimaschutz hier und Energiewende da und Geoengineering und hastenichtgesehen, und ich erkläre denen dann, daß die Klimakrise nur eine Teilkrise einer viel umfassenderen komplexen Polykrisis ist, und daß das Artensterben, das 6. Massenaussterben der Erdgeschichte, eine weit schlimmere Teilkrise der Polykrisis ist. Ich erzähle ihnen davon, daß Wachstum vorbei ist, weil wir die Grenzen des Wachstums längst überschritten haben und immer tiefer in den ökologischen Overshoot rutschen, daß die Weltwirtschaft quasi sofort um mehr als die Hälfte schrumpfen müßte (und anschließend natürlich nie wieder wachsen), um irgendeine Chance auf Nachhaltigkeit zu haben, und daß diese Schrumpfung unvermeidlich früher oder später so oder so kommen wird.

#πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #polycrisis #overshoot

I absolutely hate, hate, HATE how software environments are often called "ecosystems".
An ecosystem is a living organic structure on a living planet (more specifically, Earth, since we haven't found any other living planets yet), made from all kinds of organisms -- bacteria, archaea, fungi, all kinds of arthropods from tiny mites to big beetles and bumblebees, and far too few vertebrates nowadays because of the fucking Industrial Age. We've been ruining ecosystems at high speed ever since Columbus kickstarted colonialism, but then the steam engine came, constantly accelerating the growth our cancer of an economy, and after WW2 we started the afterburner. We've been destroying ecosystems at supersonic speed for eight decades, we can see them fall apart before our eyes. People have been seing the living world around them getting killed since the dirty old mills of the Black Country, and since the 1960s, a growing green movement all over the planet has been trying to stop the madness. And we aren't really very good at it, are we? This entire mess of a civilisation is running out of control, collapse has probably already begun, we're in ecological overshoot like Wile E. Coyote hanging in midair. Capitalism won't last much longer because it becomes dysfunctional when there isn't any real growth left, and we have not only reached the global growth limits, we have exceeded them, which means that the economy will eventually shrink by more than half, which isn't a recession or even a Second Great Depression, it is an utter collapse of the economy. If those of us who survive that can somehow built a sustainable type of economy from the leftovers, this industrial civilisation might not collapse completely just yet, entering a time of slow decline instead, and an entire new civilisation might grow in some other parts of the world, maybe in Africa, maybe in Asia, and spread across the world as the European type of civilisation slowly vanishes. Who knows? Right now, we need to learn how to survive in times of collapse. And the best way to do so is to learn how to do things properly which will still be relevant when there are no more computers or big factories or giant office buildings.

I am part of an ecosystem, as I am one of many, many animals who live in this landscape. And like other animals, I need to eat some of the organisms who live here in order to survive. I'm a huge threat to every individual potato or chicken, yet my presence leads to the presence of more potatoes and chickens, which is one of all my interactions with the ecosystem. I can't do anything without my actions having consequences for the ecosystem of which I am but a tiny part. Some people today are as afraid of the ongoing global climate catastrophe as they should be, but only very few realise that the biodiversity crisis aka the Sixth Extinction is far worse and far more frightening.

And some IT guys who know fucking zilch about ecology have the bloody audacity to call some software environment an "ecosystem". I find it very annoying. Fucking techbros should think more and talk less.

#biodiversitycrisis #extinction #sixthextinction #globalwarming #climatecrisis #biospheredecline #capitalism #economicgrowth #limitstogrowth #overshoot #collapse #πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #polycrisis #ecosystem

The climate goals are dead. The only way this planet stays below +2°C (or simply +2K) warming is if we can somehow artificially cool it with aerosol injection, and if we suddenly stop putting aerosols into our atmosphere, global warming will simply resume, so unless we can somehow remove a hilarious mass of carbon from our atmosphere, it will get hot no matter what.

However, that doesn't mean that we can just let reactionary politicians (including Merz and much of the current German government) decide that we can just keep going on as before, since we're not going to keep below the +2K line anyway. Every tonne of unburnt carbon matters, every tonne of carbon sequestered in the soil as biochar matters. But what also matters is that we stop looking at the #polycrisis as just a bunch of separate problems, we need to be aware of the whole shape and size of the monster instead of just looking at a single limb. If some alleged technological solution to climate change puts too much additional stress on already badly damaged natural systems (like ecosystems or biogeochemical cycles), it is not a viable solution because the climate isn't the only natural system we have been destabilising over the past few centuries since the steam engines changed everything. Every proposal for a solution to any component of the polycrisis must consider the whole picture, must take into account how it will affect the other component crises. We can't treat the economic woes caused by running into the global growth limits at full speed, the ongoing #BiodiversityCrisis aka the #SixthExtinction, the growing weather weirdness due to #GlobalWarming, the ecological troubles with #microplastics and with agricultural and industrial synthetic toxins killing all kinds of lifeforms, as separate problems that need separate solutions, but as symptoms of the sickness which is killing our entire civilisation.

We need to be prepared for things to fall apart faster than we can repair them. We need to understand that our high-tech civilisation has quite likely peaked already, and whether it slowly declines (leaving room for the birth of future civilisations that are radically sustainable right from the beginning) or whether it rapidly collapses, leaving the survivors (if any) on a planet utterly incapable of supporting complex civilisations for tens of thousands of years, maybe even a million years or more, depends on how fast we can stop this madness.

And the first thing we must stop is the global economy. It cannot grow anymore, it can only shrink, and now it needs to shrink as fast as possible until it gets small enough to be sustainable. I'm talking about the real economy, of course, not the one measured in money but the one measured in how much energy and raw materials it needs to process, and how much entropy it dumps onto the living world to swallow. It just can't stay at its current size; shrinking to a bit under half its current size won't be enough to make it sustainable, but unless it does, it simply cannot ever become sustainable. Growth is over, and the longer the economy even stays at its current size, the worse every part of the polycrisis gets. Market-based economies can't work properly unless they are growing, which means that we need a different type of economy, one that distributes resources according to the needs of the people instead of according to the numbers on their bank accounts.

Seriously, people, we need to get ready to switch to survival mode, but not like all those right-wing preppers who think that we need to fight one another for the last remaining resources, that kind of thinking leads straight into a #MadMax scenario. No, we need to switch into survival mode by helping one another so that as many as possible of us make it. If by the end of this century there are 4 billion humans left alive, it will be horrible, but it would be enough of us to build a halfway decent new world out of the rubble of the old one. If less than a billion are alive by then, there won't be enough gardeners to help all those damaged ecosystems heal. We won't need any fancy machines to fix this planet, we just need a lot of capable gardeners with rakes and shovels, we need capable foresters who can keep the forests alive by slowly replacing tree species that can't thrive under the new climate with others that can. We will most likely lose at least 50% of all the species that live today, but as highly intelligent omnivores, our chances of survival as a biological species is pretty high, even if many of us won't make it. If we let the biodiversity loss escalate any further, we will eventually hit a point where this planet loses 80% or more of its species, and in that case we'll go extinct because we're too big and heavy to survive something like that. Mammals will most likely still survive, but I don't think primates will. We need to dismantle Capitalism before it kills us all.
#πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #climatecrisis

Since I refuse to go back to bed, Prince has decided that sleeping on top of the human bed isn't going to be as nice as he had thought, and he has retreated to his little kitty bed in the cave underneath the human bed.

Meanwhile, I'm thinking about the weird weather. Those who still think that #ClimateChange isn't going to be a big problem in Central Europe have no idea what's coming. A day ago we thought we might get temperatures as low as -20°C very soon, today it looks more like we're going to have +20°C instead.
This is the current state of the global climate regime, and it's not going to get much better for hundreds of years, provided we do everything we can to help the biosphere heal itself and sequester carbon while doing so; otherwise it'll be thousands or even tens of thousands of years before it gets any better. Just think about it.
We're lucky if we get only the +20°C _or_ the -20°C this time. Getting hit first with one and then with the other is something we will have to deal with in the future, as it will eventually happen in late winters and early springs in the future. And it will be fucking deadly to many organisms out there, including our food. If you think food is too expensive now, just wait and see. Heatwaves with extremely high temperatures over a couple of weeks are also good at killing crops. Or long periods of rain that drown anything. It's not just sudden extreme weather that's a problem, it's also extremely long periods of exactly the same bloody weather.
If we don't want to starve, we need to remember that we're omnivores. Very few animals can eat such a wide range of foods as we can, yet we eat only a tiny, ever shrinking window of organisms. We grow fewer and fewer species of plants for food, and we grow fewer and fewer cultivars of each species. We replace robust old breeds of pigs or chickens with new ones that are suffering from hereditary diseases which make them grow faster (as long as they get their antibiotics so they don't die from a random germ that's making the rounds). And most of us in the West don't even think about eatings worms or grubs or snails.
Do you know why traditional Chinese cuisine is so full of recipes that use ingredients which seem weird and disgusting to Westerners? It's because there were so many famines in Chinese history that they never forgot that humans are omnivores. When the weird and disgusting stuff is all you have left, you can at least use every trick in your sleeve to make it as tasty as possible. And many ingredients only seem disgusting if you have never tasted them. Anyway, we really need to find out how not to starve when #ClimateChaos and #WeatherWhiplash kill our crops. We need to work on it before it happens. We haven't got much time left, we don't know how much.

And now we need to #FightFascism while trying to survive #GlobalWeirding at the same time, because one global catastrophe isn't enough, so we get at least half a dozen catastrophes at once, the most deadly of which is the #SixthExtinction , of course. And fascism, one of those catastrophes, will blame the foreigners, socialists, Muslims, Jews, the brown-skinned Untermenschen, the liberals, the queers, and the catastrophe will "solve" the other catastrophes by killing "useless eaters" in death camps, we've seen it before. Maybe they'll sell them as Soylent Green afterwards.

We're headed in this completely atrocious direction, and we got here because we always wanted only the moderate futures, the ones that weren't radically different from the present. Moderate futures are completely sold out though, all possible futures are radical ones.
And I really wish I was a cat and didn't have to think about all this shit.

#πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #polycrisis

Since I refuse to go back to bed, Prince has decided that sleeping on top of the human bed isn't going to be as nice as he had thought, and he has retreated to his little kitty bed in the cave underneath the human bed.

Meanwhile, I'm thinking about the weird weather. Those who still think that #ClimateChange isn't going to be a big problem in Central Europe have no idea what's coming. A day ago we thought we might get temperatures as low as -20°C very soon, today it looks more like we're going to have +20°C instead.
This is the current state of the global climate regime, and it's not going to get much better for hundreds of years, provided we do everything we can to help the biosphere heal itself and sequester carbon while doing so; otherwise it'll be thousands or even tens of thousands of years before it gets any better. Just think about it.
We're lucky if we get only the +20°C _or_ the -20°C this time. Getting hit first with one and then with the other is something we will have to deal with in the future, as it will eventually happen in late winters and early springs in the future. And it will be fucking deadly to many organisms out there, including our food. If you think food is too expensive now, just wait and see. Heatwaves with extremely high temperatures over a couple of weeks are also good at killing crops. Or long periods of rain that drown anything. It's not just sudden extreme weather that's a problem, it's also extremely long periods of exactly the same bloody weather.
If we don't want to starve, we need to remember that we're omnivores. Very few animals can eat such a wide range of foods as we can, yet we eat only a tiny, ever shrinking window of organisms. We grow fewer and fewer species of plants for food, and we grow fewer and fewer cultivars of each species. We replace robust old breeds of pigs or chickens with new ones that are suffering from hereditary diseases which make them grow faster (as long as they get their antibiotics so they don't die from a random germ that's making the rounds). And most of us in the West don't even think about eatings worms or grubs or snails.
Do you know why traditional Chinese cuisine is so full of recipes that use ingredients which seem weird and disgusting to Westerners? It's because there were so many famines in Chinese history that they never forgot that humans are omnivores. When the weird and disgusting stuff is all you have left, you can at least use every trick in your sleeve to make it as tasty as possible. And many ingredients only seem disgusting if you have never tasted them. Anyway, we really need to find out how not to starve when #ClimateChaos and #WeatherWhiplash kill our crops. We need to work on it before it happens. We haven't got much time left, we don't know how much.

And now we need to #FightFascism while trying to survive #GlobalWeirding at the same time, because one global catastrophe isn't enough, so we get at least half a dozen catastrophes at once, the most deadly of which is the #SixthExtinction , of course. And fascism, one of those catastrophes, will blame the foreigners, socialists, Muslims, Jews, the brown-skinned Untermenschen, the liberals, the queers, and the catastrophe will "solve" the other catastrophes by killing "useless eaters" in death camps, we've seen it before. Maybe they'll sell them as Soylent Green afterwards.

We're headed in this completely atrocious direction, and we got here because we always wanted only the moderate futures, the ones that weren't radically different from the present. Moderate futures are completely sold out though, all possible futures are radical ones.
And I really wish I was a cat and didn't have to think about all this shit.

#πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #polycrisis

Since I refuse to go back to bed, Prince has decided that sleeping on top of the human bed isn't going to be as nice as he had thought, and he has retreated to his little kitty bed in the cave underneath the human bed.

Meanwhile, I'm thinking about the weird weather. Those who still think that #ClimateChange isn't going to be a big problem in Central Europe have no idea what's coming. A day ago we thought we might get temperatures as low as -20°C very soon, today it looks more like we're going to have +20°C instead.
This is the current state of the global climate regime, and it's not going to get much better for hundreds of years, provided we do everything we can to help the biosphere heal itself and sequester carbon while doing so; otherwise it'll be thousands or even tens of thousands of years before it gets any better. Just think about it.
We're lucky if we get only the +20°C _or_ the -20°C this time. Getting hit first with one and then with the other is something we will have to deal with in the future, as it will eventually happen in late winters and early springs in the future. And it will be fucking deadly to many organisms out there, including our food. If you think food is too expensive now, just wait and see. Heatwaves with extremely high temperatures over a couple of weeks are also good at killing crops. Or long periods of rain that drown anything. It's not just sudden extreme weather that's a problem, it's also extremely long periods of exactly the same bloody weather.
If we don't want to starve, we need to remember that we're omnivores. Very few animals can eat such a wide range of foods as we can, yet we eat only a tiny, ever shrinking window of organisms. We grow fewer and fewer species of plants for food, and we grow fewer and fewer cultivars of each species. We replace robust old breeds of pigs or chickens with new ones that are suffering from hereditary diseases which make them grow faster (as long as they get their antibiotics so they don't die from a random germ that's making the rounds). And most of us in the West don't even think about eatings worms or grubs or snails.
Do you know why traditional Chinese cuisine is so full of recipes that use ingredients which seem weird and disgusting to Westerners? It's because there were so many famines in Chinese history that they never forgot that humans are omnivores. When the weird and disgusting stuff is all you have left, you can at least use every trick in your sleeve to make it as tasty as possible. And many ingredients only seem disgusting if you have never tasted them. Anyway, we really need to find out how not to starve when #ClimateChaos and #WeatherWhiplash kill our crops. We need to work on it before it happens. We haven't got much time left, we don't know how much.

And now we need to #FightFascism while trying to survive #GlobalWeirding at the same time, because one global catastrophe isn't enough, so we get at least half a dozen catastrophes at once, the most deadly of which is the #SixthExtinction , of course. And fascism, one of those catastrophes, will blame the foreigners, socialists, Muslims, Jews, the brown-skinned Untermenschen, the liberals, the queers, and the catastrophe will "solve" the other catastrophes by killing "useless eaters" in death camps, we've seen it before. Maybe they'll sell them as Soylent Green afterwards.

We're headed in this completely atrocious direction, and we got here because we always wanted only the moderate futures, the ones that weren't radically different from the present. Moderate futures are completely sold out though, all possible futures are radical ones.
And I really wish I was a cat and didn't have to think about all this shit.

#πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #polycrisis

Since I refuse to go back to bed, Prince has decided that sleeping on top of the human bed isn't going to be as nice as he had thought, and he has retreated to his little kitty bed in the cave underneath the human bed.

Meanwhile, I'm thinking about the weird weather. Those who still think that #ClimateChange isn't going to be a big problem in Central Europe have no idea what's coming. A day ago we thought we might get temperatures as low as -20°C very soon, today it looks more like we're going to have +20°C instead.
This is the current state of the global climate regime, and it's not going to get much better for hundreds of years, provided we do everything we can to help the biosphere heal itself and sequester carbon while doing so; otherwise it'll be thousands or even tens of thousands of years before it gets any better. Just think about it.
We're lucky if we get only the +20°C _or_ the -20°C this time. Getting hit first with one and then with the other is something we will have to deal with in the future, as it will eventually happen in late winters and early springs in the future. And it will be fucking deadly to many organisms out there, including our food. If you think food is too expensive now, just wait and see. Heatwaves with extremely high temperatures over a couple of weeks are also good at killing crops. Or long periods of rain that drown anything. It's not just sudden extreme weather that's a problem, it's also extremely long periods of exactly the same bloody weather.
If we don't want to starve, we need to remember that we're omnivores. Very few animals can eat such a wide range of foods as we can, yet we eat only a tiny, ever shrinking window of organisms. We grow fewer and fewer species of plants for food, and we grow fewer and fewer cultivars of each species. We replace robust old breeds of pigs or chickens with new ones that are suffering from hereditary diseases which make them grow faster (as long as they get their antibiotics so they don't die from a random germ that's making the rounds). And most of us in the West don't even think about eatings worms or grubs or snails.
Do you know why traditional Chinese cuisine is so full of recipes that use ingredients which seem weird and disgusting to Westerners? It's because there were so many famines in Chinese history that they never forgot that humans are omnivores. When the weird and disgusting stuff is all you have left, you can at least use every trick in your sleeve to make it as tasty as possible. And many ingredients only seem disgusting if you have never tasted them. Anyway, we really need to find out how not to starve when #ClimateChaos and #WeatherWhiplash kill our crops. We need to work on it before it happens. We haven't got much time left, we don't know how much.

And now we need to #FightFascism while trying to survive #GlobalWeirding at the same time, because one global catastrophe isn't enough, so we get at least half a dozen catastrophes at once, the most deadly of which is the #SixthExtinction , of course. And fascism, one of those catastrophes, will blame the foreigners, socialists, Muslims, Jews, the brown-skinned Untermenschen, the liberals, the queers, and the catastrophe will "solve" the other catastrophes by killing "useless eaters" in death camps, we've seen it before. Maybe they'll sell them as Soylent Green afterwards.

We're headed in this completely atrocious direction, and we got here because we always wanted only the moderate futures, the ones that weren't radically different from the present. Moderate futures are completely sold out though, all possible futures are radical ones.
And I really wish I was a cat and didn't have to think about all this shit.

#πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #polycrisis

Since I refuse to go back to bed, Prince has decided that sleeping on top of the human bed isn't going to be as nice as he had thought, and he has retreated to his little kitty bed in the cave underneath the human bed.

Meanwhile, I'm thinking about the weird weather. Those who still think that #ClimateChange isn't going to be a big problem in Central Europe have no idea what's coming. A day ago we thought we might get temperatures as low as -20°C very soon, today it looks more like we're going to have +20°C instead.
This is the current state of the global climate regime, and it's not going to get much better for hundreds of years, provided we do everything we can to help the biosphere heal itself and sequester carbon while doing so; otherwise it'll be thousands or even tens of thousands of years before it gets any better. Just think about it.
We're lucky if we get only the +20°C _or_ the -20°C this time. Getting hit first with one and then with the other is something we will have to deal with in the future, as it will eventually happen in late winters and early springs in the future. And it will be fucking deadly to many organisms out there, including our food. If you think food is too expensive now, just wait and see. Heatwaves with extremely high temperatures over a couple of weeks are also good at killing crops. Or long periods of rain that drown anything. It's not just sudden extreme weather that's a problem, it's also extremely long periods of exactly the same bloody weather.
If we don't want to starve, we need to remember that we're omnivores. Very few animals can eat such a wide range of foods as we can, yet we eat only a tiny, ever shrinking window of organisms. We grow fewer and fewer species of plants for food, and we grow fewer and fewer cultivars of each species. We replace robust old breeds of pigs or chickens with new ones that are suffering from hereditary diseases which make them grow faster (as long as they get their antibiotics so they don't die from a random germ that's making the rounds). And most of us in the West don't even think about eatings worms or grubs or snails.
Do you know why traditional Chinese cuisine is so full of recipes that use ingredients which seem weird and disgusting to Westerners? It's because there were so many famines in Chinese history that they never forgot that humans are omnivores. When the weird and disgusting stuff is all you have left, you can at least use every trick in your sleeve to make it as tasty as possible. And many ingredients only seem disgusting if you have never tasted them. Anyway, we really need to find out how not to starve when #ClimateChaos and #WeatherWhiplash kill our crops. We need to work on it before it happens. We haven't got much time left, we don't know how much.

And now we need to #FightFascism while trying to survive #GlobalWeirding at the same time, because one global catastrophe isn't enough, so we get at least half a dozen catastrophes at once, the most deadly of which is the #SixthExtinction , of course. And fascism, one of those catastrophes, will blame the foreigners, socialists, Muslims, Jews, the brown-skinned Untermenschen, the liberals, the queers, and the catastrophe will "solve" the other catastrophes by killing "useless eaters" in death camps, we've seen it before. Maybe they'll sell them as Soylent Green afterwards.

We're headed in this completely atrocious direction, and we got here because we always wanted only the moderate futures, the ones that weren't radically different from the present. Moderate futures are completely sold out though, all possible futures are radical ones.
And I really wish I was a cat and didn't have to think about all this shit.

#πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #polycrisis

A Massachusetts city deluged by 'catastrophic' flooding faces more danger as homes near a precarious dam get evacuated

September, 12, 2023

"'Leominster is about 26 square miles. We have 12 hills, and obviously from those hills comes the water,' the mayor said. 'And with 11 inches of rain, it just adds to the … water (going) downhill.'"

https://www.accuweather.com/en/severe-weather/a-massachusetts-city-deluged-by-catastrophic-flooding-faces-more-danger-as-homes-near-a-precarious-dam-get-evacuated/1578628

#ClimateCrisis #Polycrisis #Polykrisis #Massachusetts #Leominster #FlashFlood #Flooding #HeavyRain #ClimateChange #ClimateCatastrophe

We Are Witnessing the First Stages of Civilization’s #Collapse

Will our own elites perform any better than the rulers of Chaco Canyon, the Mayan heartland, and Viking Greenland?

by Michael T. Klare, August 22, 2023

"The question today is: Will our own elites perform any better than the rulers of Chaco Canyon, the Mayan heartland, and Viking Greenland?

"As Diamond argues, each of those civilizations arose in a period of relatively benign climate conditions, when temperatures were moderate and food and water supplies adequate. In each case, however, the climate shifted wrenchingly, bringing persistent drought or, in Greenland’s case, much colder temperatures. Although no contemporary written records remain to tell us how the ruling elites responded, the archaeological evidence suggests that they persisted in their traditional ways until disintegration became unavoidable."

Read more:
https://www.thenation.com/article/environment/civilization-collapse-climate-change/

#Polykrisis
#Polycrisis #ClimateCrisis #ClimateChange #CivilizationCollapse