#system-dynamics — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #system-dynamics, aggregated by home.social.
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EFU: When We Stop Merely Measuring Reality and Start Learning Its Language
There are moments when a new unit of measurement seems, at first glance, like a technical detail. Later, it turns out to be something much more important: a change in how we think. I believe EFU may be exactly that kind of shift. It is not just another number. It is a new language for describing the flows that sustain human civilization — material, energetic, ecological, and social.
The real importance of EFU is not only what it measures, but what it reveals. It invites us to stop seeing the world as a collection of isolated data points and start seeing it as a connected system of flows. Water, energy, materials, waste, agriculture, transport, and environmental pressure are not separate stories. They are chapters of the same larger story. EFU helps make that story visible.
A New Unit, Not Just a New Label
The most interesting thing about EFU is not the number itself, but the way of thinking it encourages. When we begin to look at a problem through EFU, we no longer see only statistics. We see relationships. We see dependencies. We see thresholds, bottlenecks, imbalances, and patterns of stress that are otherwise easy to miss.
That is why EFU matters. It does not merely describe the present. It helps us ask whether a system is stable, whether it is being overburdened, and whether it can remain viable over time. In that sense, EFU is not only a measuring tool. It is a tool for understanding resilience.
Why This Could Matter More Than It First Appears
Every major historical era has had its own dominant way of measuring reality. The industrial age centered on mass, energy, and power. The digital age elevated information, data, and connectivity. The next era may well revolve around flows, pressures, limits, and ecological coherence.
EFU fits naturally into that future. It suggests that the question is not merely “how much is there?” but also:
- How does it move?
- What system is it part of?
- What does it cost?
- How long can it continue?
That is a much deeper way of thinking. It is not just accounting. It is civilizational self-awareness.
The Future Vision: When Measurement Becomes Thoughtful
What makes EFU especially exciting is that it points beyond itself. If some of the most advanced ideas in modern physics suggest that spacetime, locality, and even causality may not be fundamental, but rather emergent from a deeper layer of reality, then we are already living in a world where our old intuitions may not be enough.
EFU belongs to that broader intellectual horizon. It does not need to claim that it is “new physics.” But it can certainly be understood as a step toward a new kind of structured thinking: a way of measuring reality that is more aligned with systems, thresholds, and hidden dependencies.
In that future, artificial intelligence could become a particularly powerful partner. Not because it merely computes faster, but because it may detect patterns that are too complex for human intuition alone. If EFU is paired with AI-driven symbolic reasoning, we may not just analyze data more efficiently — we may discover new kinds of relationships:
- hidden ratios,
- tipping points,
- structural imbalances,
- and system-level laws that are difficult to express in ordinary terms.
The Intuitive Advantage
One of the strongest qualities of EFU may be its intuitive power. A good unit of measurement does not oversimplify reality. It organizes it. It makes complexity legible without distorting it.
That is especially valuable in areas like:
- water management,
- agriculture,
- energy systems,
- waste treatment,
- urban planning,
- and environmental policy.
In these fields, raw numbers often fail to communicate what is really happening. EFU can help bridge that gap. It can create a shared framework in which experts, decision-makers, and ordinary citizens can discuss the same problem in the same conceptual language.
That is a rare and valuable thing. A unit that improves understanding is more than a unit. It becomes a bridge.
A Small Concept With a Large Horizon
EFU may still be an emerging idea. It may need refinement, testing, and better formalization. That is not a weakness. In fact, it is often the mark of a genuinely important idea. The most transformative concepts rarely arrive in finished form. They begin as a direction, a hunch, an intuition that something essential is missing.
And perhaps that is what EFU is really pointing to: a civilization that no longer measures only what it extracts, consumes, or produces, but also what it sustains, balances, and preserves.
If that is true, then EFU is not a side project. It is a possible step toward a new intellectual culture — one that understands that the future will not be shaped only by growth, but by balance.
#aNewLanguageForMeasuringReality #abstractReality #AIAndScience #beyondNumbersUnderstandingSystemsThroughEFU #circularEconomy #conceptualShift #dimensionalAnalysis #ecologicalFlows #EFU #EFUAsAFrameworkForSustainability #emergentReality #emergentSpacetime #energyFlows #environmentalPressure #fromDataToMeaningInEnvironmentalSystems #futureOfScience #futureVision #hiddenStructures #howAICanHelpDiscoverSystemLevelLaws #HumanFluxUnit #humanCenteredMeasurement #interdisciplinaryFramework #materialFlows #measuringHumanCivilizationThroughFlows #newEpistemology #newUnitOfMeasurement #pregeometricReality #quantumGravity #resilience #resourceManagement #scientificParadigmShift #sustainability #symbolicReasoning #systemDynamics #SystemsThinking #theFutureOfMeasurementAndReality #waterManagement #whyEFUMattersForTheFuture -
Passend zum heutigen #DigitalIndependenceDay:
Dieser etwas längere, aber dafür inhaltlich umso reichhaltigere Artikel aus #Noema zieht Parallelen von Plantagen, #Massentierhaltung und der autogerechten top-down #Stadtplanung zur monopolistischen Struktur des Internets und schlägt analog zum #Rewilding von Naturgebieten ein Rewilding des Internets vor.
"The story of German scientific forestry transmits a timeless truth: When we simplify complex systems, we destroy them, and the devastating consequences sometimes aren’t obvious until it’s too late. …
Internet infrastructure is a degraded ecosystem, but it’s also a built environment, like a city. Its unpredictability makes it generative, worthwhile and deeply human. In 1961, #JaneJacobs, an American-Canadian activist and author of “The Death and Life of Great American Cities,” argued that mixed-use neighborhoods were safer, happier, more prosperous, and more livable than the sterile, highly controlling designs of urban planners like New York’s #RobertMoses."
"Technologists are great at incremental fixes, but to regenerate entire habitats, we need to learn from ecologists who take a whole-systems view. Ecologists also know how to keep going when others first ignore you and then say it’s too late, how to mobilize and work collectively, and how to build pockets of diversity and resilience that will outlast them, creating possibilities for an abundant future they can imagine but never control. We don’t need to repair the internet’s infrastructure. We need to rewild it."
https://www.noemamag.com/we-need-to-rewild-the-internet/
#DIDay #DigitalIndependence #RewildTheInternet #systemsthinking #systemdynamics #complexsystems #Decentralisation #Interoperability #Portability #OpenSource #Resilience #Longread #Enshittification #Broligarchy #NoOligarchy #NoKings #StopTheBillionaireTakeover
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Just out: A fresh, slightly extended look at Causal Loop Diagramming (CLD+), which might eventually inspire new modeling workflows.
#systemdynamics -
📊 Rethinking inventory strategy — new system dynamics research challenges retail norms.
A recent study shows that introducing a competing product earlier during an existing product’s decline phase can lead to higher long-term revenue. 🤯
Key insights for retail leaders:
🛒 Inventory decisions must model real substitution behavior
🔁 Early introductions can phase out old products more profitably
🧮 Demand forecasting should include stockout effects
📦 Safety stock planning and shorter review cycles reduce lost sales
🧠 Dynamic, not static, strategies win in FMCG and tech retailThis is a must-read for anyone managing product portfolios, especially in fast-moving markets where demand shifts fast and substitution patterns aren't predictable.
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Maybe in my #systemdynamics bubble someone can answer this question regarding #elasticity in a continuous-time dynamical systems context (i.e., it is a factor scaling fractional rates)?
Why is this (very natural) momentum-related formulation not more widespread in models?
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John Scales Avery (1933-2024) was an American theoretical chemist. In his book "Civilization's Crisis" he argues that civilization as a whole faces a set of linked challenges. #ClimateChange is caused by consumption of non-renewable #FossilFuels but it is just one aspect of a bigger crisis. Other aspects are #Deforestation, #OceanAcidification, #NuclearWaste and #pollution in general. #ResourceDepletion and #VanishingResources in combination with #OverPopulation will eventually lead to a #collapse of #civilization in this century according to #systemdynamics and classic #limitstogrowth models. The turning point is #PeakOil or the #HubbertPeak which we are reaching now.
https://www.worldscientific.com/worldscibooks/10.1142/10501More articles from John can be found here
https://www.johnavery.info/ -
Prof Steve Keen recommended this short climate film to the seminars. So glad he did - I echo his recommendation! Strong shared themes with the climate elements of his critique of mainstream econ, incl. feedback loops, tipping points, and complex systems. And yet, accessible! An important film.
#ClimateExtremes:AtTheAbyss #SteveKeen #climatechange #systemdynamics #feedbackloops #tippingpoints #amoc
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Whew! Steve Keen's legacy seminar was a real treat today! Watching him building data-analysis models on-the-fly in his own systems dynamics & double-entry accounting program - Ravel - is poetry in motion!
He mentioned recently that he now has a promotions assistant who helps maintain his social media accounts; today I asked him if he and/or the assistant could set up an account on Mastodon. He said, "That's a good idea!" So, fingers crossed...
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The MIT Team of The Limits to Growth. From left to right: Jørgen Randers, Jay Forrester, Donella Meadows, Dennis Meadows, William Behrens. 🙌🏻
Photo grabbed @Academy_Change
#SystemDynamics #systemsthinking #LTG50 -
"Ecological collapse is likely to start sooner than previously believed, according to a new study that models how #TippingPoints can amplify and accelerate one another" #biodiversity #ClimateChange #SystemDynamics #WickedProblems
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(17/17)
...want to have a glance at the #SystemDynamics, #robotics , #AIEthics, among other things, aspects of these #GAI's, you might like to read on here:
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Hydropolitical System Archetypes - Feedback Structures, Physical Environments, Unintended Behaviors, And A Diagnostic Checklist
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https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology9120207 <-- shared paper
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https://www.unwater.org/water-facts/transboundary-waters <-- UN definitions & backgrounds of transboundary waters
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#hydropoliticalsystemarchetype #transboundarybasin #upstreamstate #downstreamstate #hydropolitical #hydropolitics #water #hydrology #international #resources #waterresources #transboundary #watersecurity #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #global #watersheds #drainageareas #systemdynamics #systemarchetypes #feedbackloop #model #modeling #riparian #policy #planning #agreements -
Post Growth and the North-South Divide: a post-Keynesian stock-flow consistent analysis—New CUSP working paper by Dario Leoni, Andrew Jackson and
@ProfTimJackson
→ https://cusp.ac.uk/themes/s2/wp38cc #PostGrowth #Degrowth #BeyondGrowth #PostCroissance #Decroissance #Decrecimiento #Decrescenza #ProsperityWithoutGrowth #SystemDynamics #PostKeynesian #Globalisation #Growth #Transition #GlobalSouth #NorthSouthDivide
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The latest antlerboy / RedQuadrant recommended! https://paper.li/antlerboy/recommended?edition_id=5c318fc0-cb44-11ed-81ea-fa163ed80008 Thanks to @pw_pwd @systemdynamics_ @davidsim #systemdynamics #polio
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Towards a Model of Baumol’s Cost Disease in a #PostGrowth Economy—New CUSP working paper by @ProfTimJackson, Ben Gallant and @simon_mair → https://cusp.ac.uk/themes/aetw/tj_baumol_wp37/
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cc #BaumolCostDisease #CareEconomy #Degrowth #Productivity #MacroEconomics #SystemDynamics #ISEE #ESEE #EcologicalEconomics -
A Philosophical Look at #SystemDynamics
A 1977 Video of a Donella Meadows talk, asking the question:
How can we bring ourselves to be aware of the assumptions we make as systems thinkers?
#Complexity #Science #Models #Philosophy #Economy #Limits #Growth #Sustainability #Environment #Governance @philosophy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XL_lOoomRTA -
"10 simple steps for increasing your chances for displacement & ruination" #ClimateEmergency #SystemDynamics #Resilience
PS @[email protected], as you keep showing, root causes are "power & paralysis"
⭐️ YOU, TOO, CAN BE A CLIMATE REFUGEE!, by @[email protected] https://open.substack.com/pub/alexsteffen/p/you-too-can-be-a-climate-refugee
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My new article is about opportunity and #hope, which people need in order for societies and economies to work.
The way out of a downward spiral isn’t to fuel anger by taking away the remaining opportunities and flexibility that people have or perceive they have. The way out is to invest in creating better opportunities with real and significant and lasting returns for people and thus, eventually, for societies.
More: https://riskmusings.substack.com/p/opportunity-and-hope
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100th post, as fine a time as any to do the traditional #introduction before nobody on #mastodon does them anymore.
I’m a #hacker , a parent, a founder & CEO, government advisory board member, cat food servant, defender and participant in democracy, & an arm wrestling and karaoke enthusiast — not necessarily at the same time, but not opposed to trying it all at once either.
Carpe brachium karaoke as they say. 💪🏼🎤
Here we go. Get a snack & some water, this is long. 🍪 🥛
My professional passions include #SystemDynamics & #security with my #focus on helping organizations & governments develop healthy sustainable #VulnerabilityDisclosure programs that may end up growing into a #BugBounty program, or helping existing programs mature & evolve.
🌺🏝️ 🌺🏝️ 🌺🏝️ 🌺🏝️
🌺I founded & run https://www.Lutasecurity.com & we employ dozens of people, mostly in the US, to help some of our customers manage their #VDPs and #BugBounties as internally-placed personnel.
📜Services: https://www.lutasecurity.com/services
💻Hiring: https://www.lutasecurity.com/careers
💵Referral bounties: https://www.lutasecurity.com/referralbounty
🌺🏝️ 🌺🏝️ 🌺🏝️ 🌺🏝️
👩🏻💻💰🛡️ 👩🏻💻💰🛡️ 👩🏻💻💰🛡️
I helped launch #HackThePentagon in 2016, which was the first bug bounty of the US government & the first time it was legal to hack the USG.
👩🏻💻💰🛡️ 👩🏻💻💰🛡️ 👩🏻💻💰🛡️
This was after I created Microsoft’s first bug bounty programs in 2013, paying out the most at the time for brand new exploitation techniques, which would later lead to me directly helping the US renegotiate the #Wassenaar Arrangement to clarify “intrusion software” and “intrusion software technology” export control exemptions to more easily allow for hassle-free exchange of 0day & malware samples across borders for vulnerability disclosure & incident response.
🛠️💻 🛠️💻 🛠️💻 🛠️💻
I also started two vulnerability research programs, Symantec Vulnerability Research & Microsoft Vulnerability Research. The latter was also the first formal major vendor multiparty #SupplyChain vulnerability coordination & disclosure program.
🛠️💻 🛠️💻 🛠️💻 🛠️💻
I now serve on 3 Federal advisory boards in cyber.
⚖️NIST ISPAB: https://csrc.nist.gov/Projects/ispab/members
💱Commerce ISTAC: https://tac.bis.doc.gov/index.php/documents/members-listing/422-istac-website-listing/file
🚨DHS CSRB: https://www.dhs.gov/news/2022/02/03/dhs-launches-first-ever-cyber-safety-review-board
🎙️Fun fact: Despite mainstream media lip service about getting diverse voices on TV, and my extensive direct experience in US domestic & foreign cyber policy & norm-setting, I have *never* been invited to be on broadcast news to talk about it. Not one time. But there are the same dudes with none of my experience showing up on TV all the time.
📺 Email [email protected] if you can change that.
📺📺📺📺📺📺📺📺
⚖️💸 ⚖️💸 ⚖️💸 ⚖️💸
👩🏻⚖️ Speaking of gender equity, I was the lead plaintiff in the attempted class action gender pay and promotion discrimination lawsuit against Microsoft.
💵💪🏼 https://www.theverge.com/22331972/pay-equity-now-pledge-katie-moussouris-microsoft-lawsuit
When it failed to get class certified due to some legal gotchas, NOT because of lack of data and evidence, I decided to drop my case and founded https://www.payequitynowfoundation.org/blog & created
https://www.manglonalab.org/ to fight for #PayEquity in our lifetime.
⚖️💸 ⚖️💸 ⚖️💸 ⚖️💸
🌸Another fun fact: I’m asked about the gender stuff way more often than any of my professional work or national security work. I view this as The Lady Tax & I’m all paid up thanks.
🙅🏻♀️Don’t ask me about how to attract more diverse candidates, don’t ask me to mentor your mentee, and don’t ask me for any more free labor. Don’t ask any historically marginalized people to do free labor, especially to solve your diversity puzzle.
👏🏼I highly recommend https://blacktechpipeline.com/ if you are serious about not just hiring but welcoming more black workers into your company. There are specialty recruiters out there for you to pay, so don’t ask every woman or person of color you know to help you with that unless they are being paid to do it.
👏🏼💰👏🏼💰👏🏼💰👏🏼💰
🧩 Miscellaneous bits if you’ve made it this far is that I studied molecular biology, biochemistry & mathematics but dropped out to become a systems administrator, a professional Linux developer, then a hacker for hire.
🔐 I still hack by accident (because hacksidents happen), and nobody should have to be the coauthor/coeditor of the International Standards on how to do Vulnerability Disclosure to get an organization’s attention.
👩🏻🏫 ISO standards overview: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-L3DNZtK8lc📲 Clubhouse hack: https://www.wired.com/story/clubhouse-bug-lurkers-ghost/
🔐🔐🔐🔐🔐🔐🔐
💸💸💸💸💸💸💸
🙄 Despite my entire career being technical, when my company tried for venture capital funding to build something cool, we were met with sexism & lack of imagination & I was hilariously asked more than once if I had a technical cofounder.
It’s cool, joke’s on them. We’re #profitable and growing.
🤨https://www.vice.com/en/article/xgyvza/this-hacker-is-trying-to-close-the-gender-pay-gap-in-cybersecurity
💸💸💸💸💸💸💸
🏛️🏛️🏛️🏛️🏛️🏛️🏛️
I participate in Democracy with more than voting. Anyone with the bandwidth should look into doing it too.
1. Google “find my Legislative district”
2. Go to your State website & search by your address
3. Look up your Legislative District’s (LD) website to find out how to join
4. Attend monthly LD meetings
5. Run for Delegate per LD or be appointed like me when not enough people do 1-4
🏛️🏛️🏛️🏛️🏛️🏛️🏛️
👋🏼✌🏼👋🏼✌🏼👋🏼✌🏼👋🏼✌🏼
🛑Ending abruptly is on brand for me as a neuroatypical person, so I’ll leave you with this thought:
🐈 I named my 17 year old cat Scapy (rhymes with happy) after the Python tool of the same name. Because he is dumb & fuzzy.
😸If you get that joke, you pretty much get me.
🤙🏽🤙🏽🤙🏽🤙🏽🤙🏽🤙🏽🤙🏽🤙🏽
✌🏼Be kind, drink water, touch grass, save the planet, save Democracy, pet cute animals. ✌🏼 -
Recent work presented at the Eating Disorders Research Society #EDRS2022:
We built a stock/flow #systemdynamics model to understand the structural processes that maintain low #mentalhealth service use among men with #eatingdisorders.
Intervention tests: We found that primary prevention had the greatest impact on reducing ED prevalence, while an awareness campaign increased #mentalhealth service use. However, complex system behavior (feedback loops, adaptations) limited their impact.
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CW: From twitter
The latest antlerboy / RedQuadrant recommended! https://paper.li/antlerboy/recommended?edition_id=3f97da40-62c1-11ed-9d70-fa163ed80008 Thanks to @[email protected] @[email protected] @[email protected] #systemdynamics #systemsthinking
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I'm Stephanie, an operational #riskmanagement consultant who worked in IT risk regulation in finance. I studied #journalism initially, then #infosec before focusing on risk.
I'm interested in #climate and #ai risk, #systemdynamics, low-level #programming, #markets, and explaining complex topics in simple ways. In my spare time, I enjoy #songwriting, #poems, #sff, and visual #art. I love #tea, #chocolate, and #slowtravel.
Happy to be here and looking forward to conversations!
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Way back in 1999, the late Donella Meadows wrote a wonderful essay "Leverage Points: Places to intervene in systesm". IMO this is a MUST READ for anyone who's tried to bring about change in complex systems or organizations. As a bit of a marketing tool for the paper and the 12 places mentioned in it, I've created a diagram of these 12 leverage points, 12 being the easiest to bring about, 1 (paradigms) being the most difficult to change. Essay: http://www.donellameadows.org/wp-content/userfiles/Leverage_Points.pdf #systemdynamics
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It's interesting that the generation that would be celebrating graduating high school right now... this generation that has for its whole existence been neck-deep as unwitting participants ("lab rats") in the biz model of neurosis-based advertisment assault by corrupt for-profit "social media" machines... this generation that has been psychologically profiled with individually-tailored and targeted political messages, coerced into being more disposable (brainwashed thinking in default terms of "u gotta rent and buy disposable everything") ... it's interesting that this generation is taking the biggest risks to overthrow the capitalistic machine that is enslaving us all.
In #Portland and #Seattle, the PNW Youth Liberation Front[1] organized vigils and protests (including the 2000+ person lay-down on Burnside Bridge). Is it working? Is it going to work?
Did you know that HALF of Los Angeles' city budget goes to funding militant police forces and cops?[2]
Generational pushback can't happen soon enough, it seems. Every new crop of youth helps... but seriously: How many generations have to scream that we don't want the racist, sexist, patriarchal garbage of the delusional settler colonialism of the 20th century ... how many voices[3] before the supposed adults running the country start to listen?
I've studied system dynamics as a hobby pretty much my whole life, and I dont have the answer. I do, however, have observation from many iterations of restrospective: it takes a LOT of time, energy, effort, money, and people to hold up broken and defective systems. Those most invested in keeping the broken things have the most to lose when they break.
[2] https://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2020/06/03/los-angeles-lapd-budget-la-city-council-george-floyd/
[3] https://www.radical-guide.com
#Decolonize #PNW #PNWYLF #Resist #SystemDynamics
[Edit repost to fix missing source / link]
