#over-confidence — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #over-confidence, aggregated by home.social.
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Report links Starliner problems to overconfidence and unrealistic schedules
https://atlas.whatip.xyz/post.php?slug=report-links-starliner-problems-to-overconfidence-and-unrealistic-schedules
<p>A new report links the long-running technical problems with Boeing’s CST-100 Starliner commercial
#overconfidence #unrealistic #starliner #schedules -
Sadagoppan Ramesh slams Indian team: ‘…Ireland series was a picnic tour’ https://www.byteseu.com/?p=2144775 #belfast #cricket #fielding #history #india #Ireland #overconfidence #SadagoppanRamesh #t20i #WorldCup
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Human–AI Evaluation and Gender Transparency: Application Decisions in Competitive Hiring
https://docs.iza.org/dp18517.pdf
#AI involvement deters applicants, particularly women, across both pure algorithmic and hybrid human-in-the-loop regimes. This effect is driven by non-competitive candidates; non-competitive women apply least despite receiving the strongest objective evaluations under AI assessment. Competitive men exhibit #overconfidence -driven selection, while competitive women remain resilient and well-calibrated under AI assessment. Notably, randomizing candidate #gender disclosure does not significantly impact application behavior in any evaluation category.
#hiring #llms #algorithmaversion #LaborMarkets #jobtech #ExperimentalEcon -
Human–AI Evaluation and Gender Transparency: Application Decisions in Competitive Hiring
https://docs.iza.org/dp18517.pdf
#AI involvement deters applicants, particularly women, across both pure algorithmic and hybrid human-in-the-loop regimes. This effect is driven by non-competitive candidates; non-competitive women apply least despite receiving the strongest objective evaluations under AI assessment. Competitive men exhibit #overconfidence -driven selection, while competitive women remain resilient and well-calibrated under AI assessment. Notably, randomizing candidate #gender disclosure does not significantly impact application behavior in any evaluation category.
#hiring #llms #algorithmaversion #LaborMarkets #jobtech #ExperimentalEcon -
Human–AI Evaluation and Gender Transparency: Application Decisions in Competitive Hiring
https://docs.iza.org/dp18517.pdf
#AI involvement deters applicants, particularly women, across both pure algorithmic and hybrid human-in-the-loop regimes. This effect is driven by non-competitive candidates; non-competitive women apply least despite receiving the strongest objective evaluations under AI assessment. Competitive men exhibit #overconfidence -driven selection, while competitive women remain resilient and well-calibrated under AI assessment. Notably, randomizing candidate #gender disclosure does not significantly impact application behavior in any evaluation category.
#hiring #llms #algorithmaversion #LaborMarkets #jobtech #ExperimentalEcon -
Human–AI Evaluation and Gender Transparency: Application Decisions in Competitive Hiring
https://docs.iza.org/dp18517.pdf
#AI involvement deters applicants, particularly women, across both pure algorithmic and hybrid human-in-the-loop regimes. This effect is driven by non-competitive candidates; non-competitive women apply least despite receiving the strongest objective evaluations under AI assessment. Competitive men exhibit #overconfidence -driven selection, while competitive women remain resilient and well-calibrated under AI assessment. Notably, randomizing candidate #gender disclosure does not significantly impact application behavior in any evaluation category.
#hiring #llms #algorithmaversion #LaborMarkets #jobtech #ExperimentalEcon -
Human–AI Evaluation and Gender Transparency: Application Decisions in Competitive Hiring
https://docs.iza.org/dp18517.pdf
#AI involvement deters applicants, particularly women, across both pure algorithmic and hybrid human-in-the-loop regimes. This effect is driven by non-competitive candidates; non-competitive women apply least despite receiving the strongest objective evaluations under AI assessment. Competitive men exhibit #overconfidence -driven selection, while competitive women remain resilient and well-calibrated under AI assessment. Notably, randomizing candidate #gender disclosure does not significantly impact application behavior in any evaluation category.
#hiring #llms #algorithmaversion #LaborMarkets #jobtech #ExperimentalEcon -
Manajemen Modal Saat Terjebak Overconfidence Phase dalam Trading
#Tradingan - #Manajemen Modal Saat Terjebak #Overconfidence Phase dalam Trading - Dalam dunia #trading, tantangan terbesar sering kali bukan berasal dari #market, melainkan dari diri sendiri. Salah satu kondisi #psikologis yang paling berbahaya adalah overconfidence phase, yaitu fase ketika trader merasa terlalu percaya diri setelah mengalami serangkaian kemenangan. Sekilas, kondisi ini terlihat positif.
https://tradingan.com/manajemen-modal-saat-terjebak-overconfidence-phase-dalam-trading
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Manajemen Modal Saat Terjebak Overconfidence Phase dalam Trading
#Tradingan - #Manajemen Modal Saat Terjebak #Overconfidence Phase dalam Trading - Dalam dunia #trading, tantangan terbesar sering kali bukan berasal dari #market, melainkan dari diri sendiri. Salah satu kondisi #psikologis yang paling berbahaya adalah overconfidence phase, yaitu fase ketika trader merasa terlalu percaya diri setelah mengalami serangkaian kemenangan. Sekilas, kondisi ini terlihat positif.
https://tradingan.com/manajemen-modal-saat-terjebak-overconfidence-phase-dalam-trading
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Let us learn our lessons. Never, never, never believe any war will be smooth and easy, or that anyone who embarks on the strange voyage can measure the tides and hurricanes he will encounter. The statesman who yields to war fever must realise that once the signal is given, he is no longer the master of policy but the slave of unforeseeable and uncontrollable events. Antiquated War Offices, weak, incompetent, or arrogant Commanders, untrustworthy allies, hostile neutrals, malignant Fortune, ugly surprises, awful miscalculations — all take their seats at the Council Board on the morrow of a declaration of war. Always remember, however sure you are that you could easily win, that there would not be a war if the other man did not think he also had a chance.
Winston Churchill (1874-1965) British statesman and author
My Early Life: A Roving Commission, ch. 18 “With Buller to the Cape” (1930)More about this quote: wist.info/churchill-winston/11…
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #churchill #winstonchurchill #control #declarationofwar #error #events #expectations #fortune #hubris #misfortune #overconfidence #perspective #presumption #surprises #uncontrolled #unexpected #victory #war
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Let us learn our lessons. Never, never, never believe any war will be smooth and easy, or that anyone who embarks on the strange voyage can measure the tides and hurricanes he will encounter. The statesman who yields to war fever must realise that once the signal is given, he is no longer the master of policy but the slave of unforeseeable and uncontrollable events. Antiquated War Offices, weak, incompetent, or arrogant Commanders, untrustworthy allies, hostile neutrals, malignant Fortune, ugly surprises, awful miscalculations — all take their seats at the Council Board on the morrow of a declaration of war. Always remember, however sure you are that you could easily win, that there would not be a war if the other man did not think he also had a chance.
Winston Churchill (1874-1965) British statesman and author
My Early Life: A Roving Commission, ch. 18 “With Buller to the Cape” (1930)More about this quote: wist.info/churchill-winston/11…
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #churchill #winstonchurchill #control #declarationofwar #error #events #expectations #fortune #hubris #misfortune #overconfidence #perspective #presumption #surprises #uncontrolled #unexpected #victory #war
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Let us learn our lessons. Never, never, never believe any war will be smooth and easy, or that anyone who embarks on the strange voyage can measure the tides and hurricanes he will encounter. The statesman who yields to war fever must realise that once the signal is given, he is no longer the master of policy but the slave of unforeseeable and uncontrollable events. Antiquated War Offices, weak, incompetent, or arrogant Commanders, untrustworthy allies, hostile neutrals, malignant Fortune, ugly surprises, awful miscalculations — all take their seats at the Council Board on the morrow of a declaration of war. Always remember, however sure you are that you could easily win, that there would not be a war if the other man did not think he also had a chance.
Winston Churchill (1874-1965) British statesman and author
My Early Life: A Roving Commission, ch. 18 “With Buller to the Cape” (1930)More about this quote: wist.info/churchill-winston/11…
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #churchill #winstonchurchill #control #declarationofwar #error #events #expectations #fortune #hubris #misfortune #overconfidence #perspective #presumption #surprises #uncontrolled #unexpected #victory #war
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Let us learn our lessons. Never, never, never believe any war will be smooth and easy, or that anyone who embarks on the strange voyage can measure the tides and hurricanes he will encounter. The statesman who yields to war fever must realise that once the signal is given, he is no longer the master of policy but the slave of unforeseeable and uncontrollable events. Antiquated War Offices, weak, incompetent, or arrogant Commanders, untrustworthy allies, hostile neutrals, malignant Fortune, ugly surprises, awful miscalculations — all take their seats at the Council Board on the morrow of a declaration of war. Always remember, however sure you are that you could easily win, that there would not be a war if the other man did not think he also had a chance.
Winston Churchill (1874-1965) British statesman and author
My Early Life: A Roving Commission, ch. 18 “With Buller to the Cape” (1930)More about this quote: wist.info/churchill-winston/11…
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #churchill #winstonchurchill #control #declarationofwar #error #events #expectations #fortune #hubris #misfortune #overconfidence #perspective #presumption #surprises #uncontrolled #unexpected #victory #war
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Let us learn our lessons. Never, never, never believe any war will be smooth and easy, or that anyone who embarks on the strange voyage can measure the tides and hurricanes he will encounter. The statesman who yields to war fever must realise that once the signal is given, he is no longer the master of policy but the slave of unforeseeable and uncontrollable events. Antiquated War Offices, weak, incompetent, or arrogant Commanders, untrustworthy allies, hostile neutrals, malignant Fortune, ugly surprises, awful miscalculations — all take their seats at the Council Board on the morrow of a declaration of war. Always remember, however sure you are that you could easily win, that there would not be a war if the other man did not think he also had a chance.
Winston Churchill (1874-1965) British statesman and author
My Early Life: A Roving Commission, ch. 18 “With Buller to the Cape” (1930)More about this quote: wist.info/churchill-winston/11…
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #churchill #winstonchurchill #control #declarationofwar #error #events #expectations #fortune #hubris #misfortune #overconfidence #perspective #presumption #surprises #uncontrolled #unexpected #victory #war
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A quotation from Josh Billings
The time tew be karefullest iz when we hav a hand full ov trumps.
[The time to be carefullest is when we have a hand full of trumps.]Josh Billings (1818-1885) American humorist, aphorist [pseud. of Henry Wheeler Shaw]
Josh Billings’ Farmer’s Allminax, 1870-06 (1870 ed.)More about this quote: wist.info/billings-josh/75899/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #joshbillings #advantage #care #carefulness #caution #certainty #confidence #control #expectations #overconfidence #winning
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A quotation from Josh Billings
The time tew be karefullest iz when we hav a hand full ov trumps.
[The time to be carefullest is when we have a hand full of trumps.]Josh Billings (1818-1885) American humorist, aphorist [pseud. of Henry Wheeler Shaw]
Josh Billings’ Farmer’s Allminax, 1870-06 (1870 ed.)More about this quote: wist.info/billings-josh/75899/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #joshbillings #advantage #care #carefulness #caution #certainty #confidence #control #expectations #overconfidence #winning
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Can #Diamonds Save The #Planet? : Medium
#Trust, but verify: Leading in the age of #AI #Overconfidence : Misc
One hundred years of #QuantumMechanics ($) : Science
Latest #KnowledgeLinks
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Can #Diamonds Save The #Planet? : Medium
#Trust, but verify: Leading in the age of #AI #Overconfidence : Misc
One hundred years of #QuantumMechanics ($) : Science
Latest #KnowledgeLinks
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Can #Diamonds Save The #Planet? : Medium
#Trust, but verify: Leading in the age of #AI #Overconfidence : Misc
One hundred years of #QuantumMechanics ($) : Science
Latest #KnowledgeLinks
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Can #Diamonds Save The #Planet? : Medium
#Trust, but verify: Leading in the age of #AI #Overconfidence : Misc
One hundred years of #QuantumMechanics ($) : Science
Latest #KnowledgeLinks
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Can #Diamonds Save The #Planet? : Medium
#Trust, but verify: Leading in the age of #AI #Overconfidence : Misc
One hundred years of #QuantumMechanics ($) : Science
Latest #KnowledgeLinks
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How Overconfidence Cost One Bank $1.3 Billion - YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9M_QK4stCJU
#Veritasium #Banking #Overconfidence #Errors #Finances -
How Overconfidence Cost One Bank $1.3 Billion - YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9M_QK4stCJU
#Veritasium #Banking #Overconfidence #Errors #Finances -
How Overconfidence Cost One Bank $1.3 Billion - YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9M_QK4stCJU
#Veritasium #Banking #Overconfidence #Errors #Finances -
How Overconfidence Cost One Bank $1.3 Billion - YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9M_QK4stCJU
#Veritasium #Banking #Overconfidence #Errors #Finances -
How Overconfidence Cost One Bank $1.3 Billion - YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9M_QK4stCJU
#Veritasium #Banking #Overconfidence #Errors #Finances -
Bagaimana Mengelola Overconfidence Setelah Serangkaian Profit
#Tradingan - Bagaimana Mengelola #Overconfidence Setelah Serangkaian Profit - Dalam dunia #trading, setiap trader pasti pernah merasakan euforia setelah serangkaian profit. Rasanya luar biasa ketika #strategi yang dijalankan berhasil memberikan hasil positif, #grafik saldo akun meningkat, dan kepercayaan diri melonjak. Namun, di balik momen kemenangan itu, tersembunyi ancaman #psikologis yang sering kali…
https://tradingan.com/bagaimana-mengelola-overconfidence-setelah-serangkaian-profit
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Bagaimana Mengelola Overconfidence Setelah Serangkaian Profit
#Tradingan - Bagaimana Mengelola #Overconfidence Setelah Serangkaian Profit - Dalam dunia #trading, setiap trader pasti pernah merasakan euforia setelah serangkaian profit. Rasanya luar biasa ketika #strategi yang dijalankan berhasil memberikan hasil positif, #grafik saldo akun meningkat, dan kepercayaan diri melonjak. Namun, di balik momen kemenangan itu, tersembunyi ancaman #psikologis yang sering kali…
https://tradingan.com/bagaimana-mengelola-overconfidence-setelah-serangkaian-profit
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🎉 Ah, yes, the classic tale where #AI models are the ultimate enablers of delusional self-confidence! 🤖 Clearly, #ChatGPT is the proud sponsor of every amateur philosopher's journey into the abyss of misguided wisdom 💡—because who needs facts when you have overconfident ignorance? 😂
https://bytesauna.com/post/dunning-kruger #Delusions #AmateurPhilosophy #MisguidedWisdom #Overconfidence #HackerNews #ngated -
🎉 Ah, yes, the classic tale where #AI models are the ultimate enablers of delusional self-confidence! 🤖 Clearly, #ChatGPT is the proud sponsor of every amateur philosopher's journey into the abyss of misguided wisdom 💡—because who needs facts when you have overconfident ignorance? 😂
https://bytesauna.com/post/dunning-kruger #Delusions #AmateurPhilosophy #MisguidedWisdom #Overconfidence #HackerNews #ngated -
🎉 Ah, yes, the classic tale where #AI models are the ultimate enablers of delusional self-confidence! 🤖 Clearly, #ChatGPT is the proud sponsor of every amateur philosopher's journey into the abyss of misguided wisdom 💡—because who needs facts when you have overconfident ignorance? 😂
https://bytesauna.com/post/dunning-kruger #Delusions #AmateurPhilosophy #MisguidedWisdom #Overconfidence #HackerNews #ngated -
🎉 Ah, yes, the classic tale where #AI models are the ultimate enablers of delusional self-confidence! 🤖 Clearly, #ChatGPT is the proud sponsor of every amateur philosopher's journey into the abyss of misguided wisdom 💡—because who needs facts when you have overconfident ignorance? 😂
https://bytesauna.com/post/dunning-kruger #Delusions #AmateurPhilosophy #MisguidedWisdom #Overconfidence #HackerNews #ngated -
Are we teaching students AI competence or dependence? https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsocialsciences/2025/10/17/are-we-teaching-students-ai-competence-or-dependence/
"Universities face a clear decision: do we want graduates who can merely use #AI, or citizens who can think with it?The first path—continuing current approaches—produces students who appear competent but cannot function intellectually without AI assistance. They become sophisticated content consumers rather than independent thinkers.
The second path requires courage to acknowledge current failures and commitment to genuine educational reform. It means prioritising intellectual struggle over efficient content production, critical evaluation over polished outputs, and sustainable learning over short-term performance gains."
#metacognitiveLaziness #overconfidence #education -
Are we teaching students AI competence or dependence? https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsocialsciences/2025/10/17/are-we-teaching-students-ai-competence-or-dependence/
"Universities face a clear decision: do we want graduates who can merely use #AI, or citizens who can think with it?The first path—continuing current approaches—produces students who appear competent but cannot function intellectually without AI assistance. They become sophisticated content consumers rather than independent thinkers.
The second path requires courage to acknowledge current failures and commitment to genuine educational reform. It means prioritising intellectual struggle over efficient content production, critical evaluation over polished outputs, and sustainable learning over short-term performance gains."
#metacognitiveLaziness #overconfidence #education -
Are we teaching students AI competence or dependence? https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsocialsciences/2025/10/17/are-we-teaching-students-ai-competence-or-dependence/
"Universities face a clear decision: do we want graduates who can merely use #AI, or citizens who can think with it?The first path—continuing current approaches—produces students who appear competent but cannot function intellectually without AI assistance. They become sophisticated content consumers rather than independent thinkers.
The second path requires courage to acknowledge current failures and commitment to genuine educational reform. It means prioritising intellectual struggle over efficient content production, critical evaluation over polished outputs, and sustainable learning over short-term performance gains."
#metacognitiveLaziness #overconfidence #education -
Are we teaching students AI competence or dependence? https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsocialsciences/2025/10/17/are-we-teaching-students-ai-competence-or-dependence/
"Universities face a clear decision: do we want graduates who can merely use #AI, or citizens who can think with it?The first path—continuing current approaches—produces students who appear competent but cannot function intellectually without AI assistance. They become sophisticated content consumers rather than independent thinkers.
The second path requires courage to acknowledge current failures and commitment to genuine educational reform. It means prioritising intellectual struggle over efficient content production, critical evaluation over polished outputs, and sustainable learning over short-term performance gains."
#metacognitiveLaziness #overconfidence #education -
Are we teaching students AI competence or dependence? https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsocialsciences/2025/10/17/are-we-teaching-students-ai-competence-or-dependence/
"Universities face a clear decision: do we want graduates who can merely use #AI, or citizens who can think with it?The first path—continuing current approaches—produces students who appear competent but cannot function intellectually without AI assistance. They become sophisticated content consumers rather than independent thinkers.
The second path requires courage to acknowledge current failures and commitment to genuine educational reform. It means prioritising intellectual struggle over efficient content production, critical evaluation over polished outputs, and sustainable learning over short-term performance gains."
#metacognitiveLaziness #overconfidence #education -
Menghindari Bias Emosi dalam Trading Setelah Profit Besar (Overconfidence Trap)
#Tradingan - Menghindari #Bias Emosi dalam #Trading Setelah Profit Besar (#Overconfidence Trap) - Dalam dunia trading, setiap #trader tentu menginginkan momen ketika grafik bergerak sesuai prediksi dan akun mereka menunjukkan angka profit besar. Momen ini sering kali menimbulkan rasa bangga dan kepercayaan diri tinggi, seolah semua #analisis dan #strategi akhirnya membuahkan hasil. Namun,…
https://tradingan.com/menghindari-bias-emosi-dalam-trading-setelah-profit-besar-overconfidence-trap
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Menghindari Bias Emosi dalam Trading Setelah Profit Besar (Overconfidence Trap)
#Tradingan - Menghindari #Bias Emosi dalam #Trading Setelah Profit Besar (#Overconfidence Trap) - Dalam dunia trading, setiap #trader tentu menginginkan momen ketika grafik bergerak sesuai prediksi dan akun mereka menunjukkan angka profit besar. Momen ini sering kali menimbulkan rasa bangga dan kepercayaan diri tinggi, seolah semua #analisis dan #strategi akhirnya membuahkan hasil. Namun,…
https://tradingan.com/menghindari-bias-emosi-dalam-trading-setelah-profit-besar-overconfidence-trap
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Kanga said to Roo, “Drink up your milk first, dear, and talk afterwards.” So Roo, who was drinking his milk, tried to say that he could do both at once … and had to be patted on the back and dried for quite a long time afterwards.
A. A. Milne (1882-1956) English poet and playwright [Alan Alexander Milne]
Winnie-the-Pooh, ch. 10 “Christopher Robin Gives a Pooh Party” (1926)More info about this quote: wist.info/milne-a-a/2842/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #aamilne #winniethepooh #kanga #roo #milk #drinking #eating, #mouth #overconfidence #mess
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Kanga said to Roo, “Drink up your milk first, dear, and talk afterwards.” So Roo, who was drinking his milk, tried to say that he could do both at once … and had to be patted on the back and dried for quite a long time afterwards.
A. A. Milne (1882-1956) English poet and playwright [Alan Alexander Milne]
Winnie-the-Pooh, ch. 10 “Christopher Robin Gives a Pooh Party” (1926)More info about this quote: wist.info/milne-a-a/2842/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #aamilne #winniethepooh #kanga #roo #milk #drinking #eating, #mouth #overconfidence #mess
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Kanga said to Roo, “Drink up your milk first, dear, and talk afterwards.” So Roo, who was drinking his milk, tried to say that he could do both at once … and had to be patted on the back and dried for quite a long time afterwards.
A. A. Milne (1882-1956) English poet and playwright [Alan Alexander Milne]
Winnie-the-Pooh, ch. 10 “Christopher Robin Gives a Pooh Party” (1926)More info about this quote: wist.info/milne-a-a/2842/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #aamilne #winniethepooh #kanga #roo #milk #drinking #eating, #mouth #overconfidence #mess
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Kanga said to Roo, “Drink up your milk first, dear, and talk afterwards.” So Roo, who was drinking his milk, tried to say that he could do both at once … and had to be patted on the back and dried for quite a long time afterwards.
A. A. Milne (1882-1956) English poet and playwright [Alan Alexander Milne]
Winnie-the-Pooh, ch. 10 “Christopher Robin Gives a Pooh Party” (1926)More info about this quote: wist.info/milne-a-a/2842/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #aamilne #winniethepooh #kanga #roo #milk #drinking #eating, #mouth #overconfidence #mess
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#Conspiracy theorists don’t realize they’re on the #fringe
Belief in conspiracy theories is often attributed to some form of motivated reasoning: People want to believe a conspiracy because it reinforces their worldview, for example, or doing so meets some deep psychological need, like wanting to feel unique. However, it might also be driven by #overconfidence in their own cognitive abilities
#conspiracytheories #perceptionhttps://arstechnica.com/science/2025/07/conspiracy-theorists-think-their-views-are-mainstream/
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#Conspiracy theorists don’t realize they’re on the #fringe
Belief in conspiracy theories is often attributed to some form of motivated reasoning: People want to believe a conspiracy because it reinforces their worldview, for example, or doing so meets some deep psychological need, like wanting to feel unique. However, it might also be driven by #overconfidence in their own cognitive abilities
#conspiracytheories #perceptionhttps://arstechnica.com/science/2025/07/conspiracy-theorists-think-their-views-are-mainstream/
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#Conspiracy theorists don’t realize they’re on the #fringe
Belief in conspiracy theories is often attributed to some form of motivated reasoning: People want to believe a conspiracy because it reinforces their worldview, for example, or doing so meets some deep psychological need, like wanting to feel unique. However, it might also be driven by #overconfidence in their own cognitive abilities
#conspiracytheories #perceptionhttps://arstechnica.com/science/2025/07/conspiracy-theorists-think-their-views-are-mainstream/
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#Conspiracy theorists don’t realize they’re on the #fringe
Belief in conspiracy theories is often attributed to some form of motivated reasoning: People want to believe a conspiracy because it reinforces their worldview, for example, or doing so meets some deep psychological need, like wanting to feel unique. However, it might also be driven by #overconfidence in their own cognitive abilities
#conspiracytheories #perceptionhttps://arstechnica.com/science/2025/07/conspiracy-theorists-think-their-views-are-mainstream/
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#Conspiracy theorists don’t realize they’re on the #fringe
Belief in conspiracy theories is often attributed to some form of motivated reasoning: People want to believe a conspiracy because it reinforces their worldview, for example, or doing so meets some deep psychological need, like wanting to feel unique. However, it might also be driven by #overconfidence in their own cognitive abilities
#conspiracytheories #perceptionhttps://arstechnica.com/science/2025/07/conspiracy-theorists-think-their-views-are-mainstream/
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Here’s Why You Should Hate Your Writing
Or at least not love it… Continue reading on The Writing Cooperative »
https://writingcooperative.com/heres-why-you-should-hate-your-writing-07a3c54957b#ohsoclear #overconfidence #creativeprocess #writingadvice #writinglife
@indieauthors -
Here’s Why You Should Hate Your Writing
Or at least not love it… Continue reading on The Writing Cooperative »
https://writingcooperative.com/heres-why-you-should-hate-your-writing-07a3c54957b#ohsoclear #overconfidence #creativeprocess #writingadvice #writinglife
@indieauthors -
Here’s Why You Should Hate Your Writing
Or at least not love it… Continue reading on The Writing Cooperative »
https://writingcooperative.com/heres-why-you-should-hate-your-writing-07a3c54957b#ohsoclear #overconfidence #creativeprocess #writingadvice #writinglife
@indieauthors -
Here’s Why You Should Hate Your Writing
Or at least not love it… Continue reading on The Writing Cooperative »
https://writingcooperative.com/heres-why-you-should-hate-your-writing-07a3c54957b#ohsoclear #overconfidence #creativeprocess #writingadvice #writinglife
@indieauthors -
Israel seems to be wanting a war on all sides, there's a word for that; 'Surrounded'.
#DefeatistTactics #WarOnAllFronts #OverConfidence #Arrogance #Israel #IDF #Genocide #War
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Israel seems to be wanting a war on all sides, there's a word for that; 'Surrounded'.
#DefeatistTactics #WarOnAllFronts #OverConfidence #Arrogance #Israel #IDF #Genocide #War
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Israel seems to be wanting a war on all sides, there's a word for that; 'Surrounded'.
#DefeatistTactics #WarOnAllFronts #OverConfidence #Arrogance #Israel #IDF #Genocide #War
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Israel seems to be wanting a war on all sides, there's a word for that; 'Surrounded'.
#DefeatistTactics #WarOnAllFronts #OverConfidence #Arrogance #Israel #IDF #Genocide #War
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“Lucky we know the forest so well, or we might get lost,” said Rabbit half an hour later, and he gave the careless laugh which you give when you know the Forest so well that you can’t get lost.
A. A. Milne (1882-1956) English poet and playwright [Alan Alexander Milne]
House at Pooh Corner, ch. 7 “Tigger Is Unbounced” (1928)Sourcing, notes: wist.info/milne-a-a/76865/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #aamilne #pooh #confidence #devilmaycare #doubt #facade #lost #overconfidence #pretense #uncertainty #worry #unconfident #insecure
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“Lucky we know the forest so well, or we might get lost,” said Rabbit half an hour later, and he gave the careless laugh which you give when you know the Forest so well that you can’t get lost.
A. A. Milne (1882-1956) English poet and playwright [Alan Alexander Milne]
House at Pooh Corner, ch. 7 “Tigger Is Unbounced” (1928)Sourcing, notes: wist.info/milne-a-a/76865/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #aamilne #pooh #confidence #devilmaycare #doubt #facade #lost #overconfidence #pretense #uncertainty #worry #unconfident #insecure
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“Lucky we know the forest so well, or we might get lost,” said Rabbit half an hour later, and he gave the careless laugh which you give when you know the Forest so well that you can’t get lost.
A. A. Milne (1882-1956) English poet and playwright [Alan Alexander Milne]
House at Pooh Corner, ch. 7 “Tigger Is Unbounced” (1928)Sourcing, notes: wist.info/milne-a-a/76865/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #aamilne #pooh #confidence #devilmaycare #doubt #facade #lost #overconfidence #pretense #uncertainty #worry #unconfident #insecure
-
“Lucky we know the forest so well, or we might get lost,” said Rabbit half an hour later, and he gave the careless laugh which you give when you know the Forest so well that you can’t get lost.
A. A. Milne (1882-1956) English poet and playwright [Alan Alexander Milne]
House at Pooh Corner, ch. 7 “Tigger Is Unbounced” (1928)Sourcing, notes: wist.info/milne-a-a/76865/
#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #aamilne #pooh #confidence #devilmaycare #doubt #facade #lost #overconfidence #pretense #uncertainty #worry #unconfident #insecure