#riskanalysis — Public Fediverse posts

A quotation from Ellis Peters

You do what you must do, and pay for it. So in the end all things are simple.

Ellis Peters (1913-1995) English writer, translator [pseud. of Edith Mary Pargeter]
Brother Cadfael’s Penance, ch. 16 (1994)

More about this quote: wist.info/peters-ellis/75756/

#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #ellispeters #cadfael #brothercadfael #consequences #cost #costbenefit #decision #decisionmaking #must #necessity #riskanalysis #simplicity

A quotation from Ellis Peters

You do what you must do, and pay for it. So in the end all things are simple.

Ellis Peters (1913-1995) English writer, translator [pseud. of Edith Mary Pargeter]
Brother Cadfael’s Penance, ch. 16 (1994)

More about this quote: wist.info/peters-ellis/75756/

#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #ellispeters #cadfael #brothercadfael #consequences #cost #costbenefit #decision #decisionmaking #must #necessity #riskanalysis #simplicity

A quotation from Ellis Peters

You do what you must do, and pay for it. So in the end all things are simple.

Ellis Peters (1913-1995) English writer, translator [pseud. of Edith Mary Pargeter]
Brother Cadfael’s Penance, ch. 16 (1994)

More about this quote: wist.info/peters-ellis/75756/

#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #ellispeters #cadfael #brothercadfael #consequences #cost #costbenefit #decision #decisionmaking #must #necessity #riskanalysis #simplicity

A quotation from Ellis Peters

You do what you must do, and pay for it. So in the end all things are simple.

Ellis Peters (1913-1995) English writer, translator [pseud. of Edith Mary Pargeter]
Brother Cadfael’s Penance, ch. 16 (1994)

More about this quote: wist.info/peters-ellis/75756/

#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #ellispeters #cadfael #brothercadfael #consequences #cost #costbenefit #decision #decisionmaking #must #necessity #riskanalysis #simplicity

“(...) One day, while I was at work, I started a conversation with one of the customers who eventually started telling me about a degree in mathematics she was doing. I was so intrigued by the things she said that a few days later we ended up talking about ring theory over ramen.” - Aleksandra Brodowy

➡️ https://hermathsstory.eu/aleksandra-brodowy

#Academia #Industry #Mathematics #RingTheory #AbstractAlgebra #Uncertainty #RiskAnalysis #Student #AccountManager #WomenInMaths #WomenInSTEM #HerMathsStory

“(...) One day, while I was at work, I started a conversation with one of the customers who eventually started telling me about a degree in mathematics she was doing. I was so intrigued by the things she said that a few days later we ended up talking about ring theory over ramen.” - Aleksandra Brodowy

➡️ https://hermathsstory.eu/aleksandra-brodowy

#Academia #Industry #Mathematics #RingTheory #AbstractAlgebra #Uncertainty #RiskAnalysis #Student #AccountManager #WomenInMaths #WomenInSTEM #HerMathsStory

“(...) One day, while I was at work, I started a conversation with one of the customers who eventually started telling me about a degree in mathematics she was doing. I was so intrigued by the things she said that a few days later we ended up talking about ring theory over ramen.” - Aleksandra Brodowy

➡️ https://hermathsstory.eu/aleksandra-brodowy

#Academia #Industry #Mathematics #RingTheory #AbstractAlgebra #Uncertainty #RiskAnalysis #Student #AccountManager #WomenInMaths #WomenInSTEM #HerMathsStory

“(...) One day, while I was at work, I started a conversation with one of the customers who eventually started telling me about a degree in mathematics she was doing. I was so intrigued by the things she said that a few days later we ended up talking about ring theory over ramen.” - Aleksandra Brodowy

➡️ https://hermathsstory.eu/aleksandra-brodowy

#Academia #Industry #Mathematics #RingTheory #AbstractAlgebra #Uncertainty #RiskAnalysis #Student #AccountManager #WomenInMaths #WomenInSTEM #HerMathsStory

“(...) One day, while I was at work, I started a conversation with one of the customers who eventually started telling me about a degree in mathematics she was doing. I was so intrigued by the things she said that a few days later we ended up talking about ring theory over ramen.” - Aleksandra Brodowy

➡️ https://hermathsstory.eu/aleksandra-brodowy

#Academia #Industry #Mathematics #RingTheory #AbstractAlgebra #Uncertainty #RiskAnalysis #Student #AccountManager #WomenInMaths #WomenInSTEM #HerMathsStory

A thorough risk-factor assessment of $TSLA going beyond the usual narratives — FSD regulatory exposure, the $20B+ Terafab bet, China concentration, and how these risks cascade together. Worth reading if you hold or are sizing a position. 📉

https://post.kapualabs.com/d27atwez

#TSLA #Investing #RiskAnalysis #AutonomousVehicles

A thorough risk-factor assessment of $TSLA going beyond the usual narratives — FSD regulatory exposure, the $20B+ Terafab bet, China concentration, and how these risks cascade together. Worth reading if you hold or are sizing a position. 📉

https://post.kapualabs.com/d27atwez

#TSLA #Investing #RiskAnalysis #AutonomousVehicles

A thorough risk-factor assessment of $TSLA going beyond the usual narratives — FSD regulatory exposure, the $20B+ Terafab bet, China concentration, and how these risks cascade together. Worth reading if you hold or are sizing a position. 📉

https://post.kapualabs.com/d27atwez

#TSLA #Investing #RiskAnalysis #AutonomousVehicles

DATE: April 24, 2026 at 05:26PM
SOURCE: HEALTHCARE INFO SECURITY

Direct article link at end of text block below.

Poor #RiskAnalysis Cost 4 Firms $1.7 Million in #HIPAA Fines https://t.co/9lusmOOCEi @HHSOCR

Here are any URLs found in the article text:

https://t.co/9lusmOOCEi

Articles can be found by scrolling down the page at https://www.healthcareinfosecurity.com/ under the title "Latest"

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Private, vetted email list for mental health professionals: https://www.clinicians-exchange.org

Healthcare security & privacy posts not related to IT or infosec are at @HIPAABot . Even so, they mix in some infosec with the legal & regulatory information.

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#security #healthcare #doctors #itsecurity #hacking #doxxing #psychotherapy #securitynews #psychotherapist #mentalhealth #psychiatry #hospital #socialwork #datasecurity #webbeacons #cookies #HIPAA #privacy #datanalytics #healthcaresecurity #healthitsecurity #patientrecords @infosec #telehealth #netneutrality #socialengineering

One strategic waterway handles 20% of global oil transit. When geopolitical ultimatums target it, markets price binary risk in real-time. New analysis examines how the Strait of Hormuz became a leverage point for coercive diplomacy and global economic instability. https://post.kapualabs.com/yxv7326p #Geopolitics #EnergyMarkets #GlobalEconomy #RiskAnalysis

A ceasefire headline can calm markets fast—but credibility is the real story. This piece argues the U.S.-Iran truce looks more like a tactical pause unless verification, sanctions timelines, and enforcement become concrete. Worth reading if you track oil, risk, or geopolitics. https://post.kapualabs.com/2p8undxr #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #OilMarkets #RiskAnalysis

Ein Wochenende mit strategischer Sprengkraft: Ungarn, Pakistan und der USA–Iran-Konflikt
https://dauckchristian.home.blog/2026/04/10/ein-wochenende-mit-strategischer-sprengkraft-ungarn-pakistan-und-der-usa-iran-konflikt/ #Ungarn #UngarnWahl #Europa #EU #Deutschland #Sicherheitspolitik #Geopolitik #Außenpolitik #Pakistan #Iran #USAIran #NaherOsten #NATO #Krisendiplomatie #Hungary #HungaryElection #Europe #EU #Germany #SecurityPolicy #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #Pakistan #Iran #USAIran #MiddleEast #NATO #CrisisDiplomacy #StrategicAnalysis #EuropeanSecurity #InternationalPolitics #RiskAnalysis

Ein Wochenende mit strategischer Sprengkraft: Ungarn, Pakistan und der USA–Iran-Konflikt
https://dauckchristian.home.blog/2026/04/10/ein-wochenende-mit-strategischer-sprengkraft-ungarn-pakistan-und-der-usa-iran-konflikt/ #Ungarn #UngarnWahl #Europa #EU #Deutschland #Sicherheitspolitik #Geopolitik #Außenpolitik #Pakistan #Iran #USAIran #NaherOsten #NATO #Krisendiplomatie #Hungary #HungaryElection #Europe #EU #Germany #SecurityPolicy #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #Pakistan #Iran #USAIran #MiddleEast #NATO #CrisisDiplomacy #StrategicAnalysis #EuropeanSecurity #InternationalPolitics #RiskAnalysis

Ein Wochenende mit strategischer Sprengkraft: Ungarn, Pakistan und der USA–Iran-Konflikt
https://dauckchristian.home.blog/2026/04/10/ein-wochenende-mit-strategischer-sprengkraft-ungarn-pakistan-und-der-usa-iran-konflikt/ #Ungarn #UngarnWahl #Europa #EU #Deutschland #Sicherheitspolitik #Geopolitik #Außenpolitik #Pakistan #Iran #USAIran #NaherOsten #NATO #Krisendiplomatie #Hungary #HungaryElection #Europe #EU #Germany #SecurityPolicy #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #Pakistan #Iran #USAIran #MiddleEast #NATO #CrisisDiplomacy #StrategicAnalysis #EuropeanSecurity #InternationalPolitics #RiskAnalysis

Ein Wochenende mit strategischer Sprengkraft: Ungarn, Pakistan und der USA–Iran-Konflikt
https://dauckchristian.home.blog/2026/04/10/ein-wochenende-mit-strategischer-sprengkraft-ungarn-pakistan-und-der-usa-iran-konflikt/ #Ungarn #UngarnWahl #Europa #EU #Deutschland #Sicherheitspolitik #Geopolitik #Außenpolitik #Pakistan #Iran #USAIran #NaherOsten #NATO #Krisendiplomatie #Hungary #HungaryElection #Europe #EU #Germany #SecurityPolicy #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #Pakistan #Iran #USAIran #MiddleEast #NATO #CrisisDiplomacy #StrategicAnalysis #EuropeanSecurity #InternationalPolitics #RiskAnalysis

Beyond headlines: Iran conflict risk premiums reveal civilizational fault lines in financial markets. New analysis quantifies $8-12/barrel oil impacts, 50-100% insurance spikes, and the critical 7-14 day decision window. https://post.kapualabs.com/mpbp9956 #Geopolitics #EnergyMarkets #Iran #RiskAnalysis

⚠️ A Clausewitzian assessment reveals the Iran conflict has crossed into 'real war' territory - intelligence shows EXTREME risk ratings (90-93/100) as proxy warfare gives way to direct military engagement. Analysis of the dangerous escalation. https://post.kapualabs.com/mu26hry3 #Geopolitics #IranConflict #RiskAnalysis #MiddleEast

The new handshake for analysis is a binary choice: Shape vs. Explicit.

​🔷 The Shape (Free): Surface-level telemetry for those with the expertise to interpret the diagnostic from the architecture alone.

​🔶 The Explicit (1 Token): Deep-stack data injection. No ambiguity. For those requiring the "Great Spear" of concurrency and definitive validation.

​#SystemsArchitecture #RiskAnalysis #TechUpdate #Data

Geopolitical risk has migrated from the battlefield to oil trading pits. The Iran conflict now represents a dual threat: physical disruption to energy infrastructure AND market psychology driving price volatility. Analysis: https://post.kapualabs.com/24vz54z2 #Geopolitics #EnergyMarkets #OilPrices #RiskAnalysis

Diving into the complex risk landscape at the Strait of Hormuz: Our latest analysis examines how geopolitical tensions translate into maritime insurance premiums and oil market risk pricing. Discover the difference between 'managed escalation' and full closure scenarios. https://post.kapualabs.com/yckwvjms #Geopolitics #EnergyMarkets #MaritimeInsurance #RiskAnalysis

Clausewitzian assessment: Iran conflict represents EXTREME escalation risk (90-92/100). Analysis reveals shift to state-on-state engagements, asymmetric economic warfare, and implications for defense contractors like $BA. https://post.kapualabs.com/2p84t4dc #Geopolitics #IranConflict #RiskAnalysis

5 things that could break the tech growth thesis:

1. AI bubble burst if ROI disappoints
2. Power grid cannot keep pace (most likely)
3. US-China chip war escalation
4. Regulatory backlash against AI/data
5. Sustained high interest rates

I assessed probability for each. Number 2 is already happening in Northern Virginia, Dublin, and Singapore.

Full counter-argument analysis:
https://resistancezero.com/geopolitics-2.html

#AIBubble #TechInvestment #Geopolitics #SemiconductorWar #EnergyConstraints #RiskAnalysis

5 things that could break the tech growth thesis:

1. AI bubble burst if ROI disappoints
2. Power grid cannot keep pace (most likely)
3. US-China chip war escalation
4. Regulatory backlash against AI/data
5. Sustained high interest rates

I assessed probability for each. Number 2 is already happening in Northern Virginia, Dublin, and Singapore.

Full counter-argument analysis:
https://resistancezero.com/geopolitics-2.html

#AIBubble #TechInvestment #Geopolitics #SemiconductorWar #EnergyConstraints #RiskAnalysis

5 things that could break the tech growth thesis:

1. AI bubble burst if ROI disappoints
2. Power grid cannot keep pace (most likely)
3. US-China chip war escalation
4. Regulatory backlash against AI/data
5. Sustained high interest rates

I assessed probability for each. Number 2 is already happening in Northern Virginia, Dublin, and Singapore.

Full counter-argument analysis:
https://resistancezero.com/geopolitics-2.html

#AIBubble #TechInvestment #Geopolitics #SemiconductorWar #EnergyConstraints #RiskAnalysis

5 things that could break the tech growth thesis:

1. AI bubble burst if ROI disappoints
2. Power grid cannot keep pace (most likely)
3. US-China chip war escalation
4. Regulatory backlash against AI/data
5. Sustained high interest rates

I assessed probability for each. Number 2 is already happening in Northern Virginia, Dublin, and Singapore.

Full counter-argument analysis:
https://resistancezero.com/geopolitics-2.html

#AIBubble #TechInvestment #Geopolitics #SemiconductorWar #EnergyConstraints #RiskAnalysis

5 things that could break the tech growth thesis:

1. AI bubble burst if ROI disappoints
2. Power grid cannot keep pace (most likely)
3. US-China chip war escalation
4. Regulatory backlash against AI/data
5. Sustained high interest rates

I assessed probability for each. Number 2 is already happening in Northern Virginia, Dublin, and Singapore.

Full counter-argument analysis:
https://resistancezero.com/geopolitics-2.html

#AIBubble #TechInvestment #Geopolitics #SemiconductorWar #EnergyConstraints #RiskAnalysis

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture and literature review #satellite #collision #cascade #space #CarringtonEvent #RiskAnalysis #CRASHclock

Apocalypse bingo 16. February 2026... Who has the satellites?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LuVOM067OOo

Yeah Y'all know what this is.

#Zajey #Science #Research #ScientificMethod #SystemsThinking #Causality #CausalInference #DecisionScience #ComplexityScience #ComplexSystems #NonlinearDynamics #ChaosTheory #Probability #Statistics #Uncertainty #RiskAnalysis #Modeling #Inference
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Thousands of studies describe Rayleigh–Taylor instability, and most hydrogeological models acknowledge its importance in contaminant transport.

However, in studies of the Svystunova gully mine-water storage pond, I have not seen density explicitly accounted for — despite highly mineralized waters where this factor can fundamentally change plume behaviour.
By calculating solution density within the contamination halo, I demonstrated a real risk of gravity-driven sinking of the contamination plume to the base of the aquifer. This finding adds a critical dimension to impact assessment and is now documented as a standalone section in my ongoing report.

If you work with mine water, aquifers contamination, or long-term contamination modelling, this is a parameter worth revisiting.

#Hydrogeochemistry #Groundwater #MineWater #PHREEQC #RStats #QGIS #EnvironmentalRisk #Contamination #RiskAnalysis #SvystunovaGully

Thousands of studies describe Rayleigh–Taylor instability, and most hydrogeological models acknowledge its importance in contaminant transport.

However, in studies of the Svystunova gully mine-water storage pond, I have not seen density explicitly accounted for — despite highly mineralized waters where this factor can fundamentally change plume behaviour.
By calculating solution density within the contamination halo, I demonstrated a real risk of gravity-driven sinking of the contamination plume to the base of the aquifer. This finding adds a critical dimension to impact assessment and is now documented as a standalone section in my ongoing report.

If you work with mine water, aquifers contamination, or long-term contamination modelling, this is a parameter worth revisiting.

#Hydrogeochemistry #Groundwater #MineWater #PHREEQC #RStats #QGIS #EnvironmentalRisk #Contamination #RiskAnalysis #SvystunovaGully

Thousands of studies describe Rayleigh–Taylor instability, and most hydrogeological models acknowledge its importance in contaminant transport.

However, in studies of the Svystunova gully mine-water storage pond, I have not seen density explicitly accounted for — despite highly mineralized waters where this factor can fundamentally change plume behaviour.
By calculating solution density within the contamination halo, I demonstrated a real risk of gravity-driven sinking of the contamination plume to the base of the aquifer. This finding adds a critical dimension to impact assessment and is now documented as a standalone section in my ongoing report.

If you work with mine water, aquifers contamination, or long-term contamination modelling, this is a parameter worth revisiting.

#Hydrogeochemistry #Groundwater #MineWater #PHREEQC #RStats #QGIS #EnvironmentalRisk #Contamination #RiskAnalysis #SvystunovaGully

6/🧵Concluding this #2026predictions thread with additional background. Here is a link to my 2023 long-format essay on global risks and threats identification generated for Green Econometrics. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis https://docs.google.com/document/d/1v8rIvD8kS8uQRtHEq3b1qz4JNUodRgNh/edit?usp=drivesdk&ouid=117879364199236598894&rtpof=true&sd=true

6/🧵Concluding this #2026predictions thread with additional background. Here is a link to my 2023 long-format essay on global risks and threats identification generated for Green Econometrics. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis https://docs.google.com/document/d/1v8rIvD8kS8uQRtHEq3b1qz4JNUodRgNh/edit?usp=drivesdk&ouid=117879364199236598894&rtpof=true&sd=true

6/🧵Concluding this #2026predictions thread with additional background. Here is a link to my 2023 long-format essay on global risks and threats identification generated for Green Econometrics. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis https://docs.google.com/document/d/1v8rIvD8kS8uQRtHEq3b1qz4JNUodRgNh/edit?usp=drivesdk&ouid=117879364199236598894&rtpof=true&sd=true

6/🧵Concluding this #2026predictions thread with additional background. Here is a link to my 2023 long-format essay on global risks and threats identification generated for Green Econometrics. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis https://docs.google.com/document/d/1v8rIvD8kS8uQRtHEq3b1qz4JNUodRgNh/edit?usp=drivesdk&ouid=117879364199236598894&rtpof=true&sd=true

6/🧵Concluding this #2026predictions thread with additional background. Here is a link to my 2023 long-format essay on global risks and threats identification generated for Green Econometrics. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis https://docs.google.com/document/d/1v8rIvD8kS8uQRtHEq3b1qz4JNUodRgNh/edit?usp=drivesdk&ouid=117879364199236598894&rtpof=true&sd=true

5/🧵My #2026predictions are based on my ongoing research begun in 2022 for Green Econometrics. Here is my long-format essay on the subject of global risk and threat analysis generated in 2022. I got some things wrong of course, the stock market is at an all time high currently (probably artificially due to the AI exuberance), seeming to discount and under value the emergent and obvious headwinds. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis #ThreatIntel

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1E1zs1ysahaovmgphhV_6nShZuNcIKnsgPqGM1u5oHEg/edit?usp=drivesdk

5/🧵My #2026predictions are based on my ongoing research begun in 2022 for Green Econometrics. Here is my long-format essay on the subject of global risk and threat analysis generated in 2022. I got some things wrong of course, the stock market is at an all time high currently (probably artificially due to the AI exuberance), seeming to discount and under value the emergent and obvious headwinds. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis #ThreatIntel

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1E1zs1ysahaovmgphhV_6nShZuNcIKnsgPqGM1u5oHEg/edit?usp=drivesdk

5/🧵My #2026predictions are based on my ongoing research begun in 2022 for Green Econometrics. Here is my long-format essay on the subject of global risk and threat analysis generated in 2022. I got some things wrong of course, the stock market is at an all time high currently (probably artificially due to the AI exuberance), seeming to discount and under value the emergent and obvious headwinds. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis #ThreatIntel

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1E1zs1ysahaovmgphhV_6nShZuNcIKnsgPqGM1u5oHEg/edit?usp=drivesdk

5/🧵My #2026predictions are based on my ongoing research begun in 2022 for Green Econometrics. Here is my long-format essay on the subject of global risk and threat analysis generated in 2022. I got some things wrong of course, the stock market is at an all time high currently (probably artificially due to the AI exuberance), seeming to discount and under value the emergent and obvious headwinds. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis #ThreatIntel

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1E1zs1ysahaovmgphhV_6nShZuNcIKnsgPqGM1u5oHEg/edit?usp=drivesdk

5/🧵My #2026predictions are based on my ongoing research begun in 2022 for Green Econometrics. Here is my long-format essay on the subject of global risk and threat analysis generated in 2022. I got some things wrong of course, the stock market is at an all time high currently (probably artificially due to the AI exuberance), seeming to discount and under value the emergent and obvious headwinds. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis #ThreatIntel

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1E1zs1ysahaovmgphhV_6nShZuNcIKnsgPqGM1u5oHEg/edit?usp=drivesdk

4/🧵3rd risk I’d add to my growing list of #2026predictions is around failed states, and the geopolitical, cultural and conflict disruptions they could easily cause. To wit, Iran and Pakistan are both hovering perilously close to the brink of state failure. Pakistan is nuclear-armed, and Iran is nuclear-ready (even after US and Israeli strikes). Both face seemingly unsolvable financial, energy, food and water crises currently unfolding; not to mention the threats both countries face from internal unrest driven by oppressed minorities seeking autonomy or statehood. in South America, several countries are perpetually on the brink of failure. Venezuela and Cuba come to mind. Likewise in #MENA and sub-Saharan Africa, states like Sudan and Yemen are currently collapsing. A few west African military dictatorships are also suspect. Failed states mean mass migrations, the spread of disease, the collapse of infrastructure and agriculture - resulting in regional disruptions and global risk. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis

4/🧵3rd risk I’d add to my growing list of #2026predictions is around failed states, and the geopolitical, cultural and conflict disruptions they could easily cause. To wit, Iran and Pakistan are both hovering perilously close to the brink of state failure. Pakistan is nuclear-armed, and Iran is nuclear-ready (even after US and Israeli strikes). Both face seemingly unsolvable financial, energy, food and water crises currently unfolding; not to mention the threats both countries face from internal unrest driven by oppressed minorities seeking autonomy or statehood. in South America, several countries are perpetually on the brink of failure. Venezuela and Cuba come to mind. Likewise in #MENA and sub-Saharan Africa, states like Sudan and Yemen are currently collapsing. A few west African military dictatorships are also suspect. Failed states mean mass migrations, the spread of disease, the collapse of infrastructure and agriculture - resulting in regional disruptions and global risk. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis

4/🧵3rd risk I’d add to my growing list of #2026predictions is around failed states, and the geopolitical, cultural and conflict disruptions they could easily cause. To wit, Iran and Pakistan are both hovering perilously close to the brink of state failure. Pakistan is nuclear-armed, and Iran is nuclear-ready (even after US and Israeli strikes). Both face seemingly unsolvable financial, energy, food and water crises currently unfolding; not to mention the threats both countries face from internal unrest driven by oppressed minorities seeking autonomy or statehood. in South America, several countries are perpetually on the brink of failure. Venezuela and Cuba come to mind. Likewise in #MENA and sub-Saharan Africa, states like Sudan and Yemen are currently collapsing. A few west African military dictatorships are also suspect. Failed states mean mass migrations, the spread of disease, the collapse of infrastructure and agriculture - resulting in regional disruptions and global risk. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis

4/🧵3rd risk I’d add to my growing list of #2026predictions is around failed states, and the geopolitical, cultural and conflict disruptions they could easily cause. To wit, Iran and Pakistan are both hovering perilously close to the brink of state failure. Pakistan is nuclear-armed, and Iran is nuclear-ready (even after US and Israeli strikes). Both face seemingly unsolvable financial, energy, food and water crises currently unfolding; not to mention the threats both countries face from internal unrest driven by oppressed minorities seeking autonomy or statehood. in South America, several countries are perpetually on the brink of failure. Venezuela and Cuba come to mind. Likewise in #MENA and sub-Saharan Africa, states like Sudan and Yemen are currently collapsing. A few west African military dictatorships are also suspect. Failed states mean mass migrations, the spread of disease, the collapse of infrastructure and agriculture - resulting in regional disruptions and global risk. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis

4/🧵3rd risk I’d add to my growing list of #2026predictions is around failed states, and the geopolitical, cultural and conflict disruptions they could easily cause. To wit, Iran and Pakistan are both hovering perilously close to the brink of state failure. Pakistan is nuclear-armed, and Iran is nuclear-ready (even after US and Israeli strikes). Both face seemingly unsolvable financial, energy, food and water crises currently unfolding; not to mention the threats both countries face from internal unrest driven by oppressed minorities seeking autonomy or statehood. in South America, several countries are perpetually on the brink of failure. Venezuela and Cuba come to mind. Likewise in #MENA and sub-Saharan Africa, states like Sudan and Yemen are currently collapsing. A few west African military dictatorships are also suspect. Failed states mean mass migrations, the spread of disease, the collapse of infrastructure and agriculture - resulting in regional disruptions and global risk. #NewYear2026 #RiskAnalysis