#carringtonevent — Public Fediverse posts

How the weather in space can affect us on Earth – and the team trying to protect us

At the Met Office headquarters, the screens in one corner of the control centre are focussed on …
#NewsBeep #News #Science #AberystwythUniversity #AU #Australia #BBC #BBC]"This #CarringtonEvent #DrSharman #HelenSharman #HuwMorgan #MetOffice #morgan #NationalRiskRegister #RichardCarrington #RichardStone #RichardStone's #Sharman #spacephysics #stone #Sun #suns #TheMetOffice
https://www.newsbeep.com/au/873016/

How the weather in space can affect us on Earth – and the team trying to protect us

At the Met Office headquarters, the screens in one corner of the control centre are focussed on …
#NewsBeep #News #Science #AberystwythUniversity #AU #Australia #BBC #BBC]"This #CarringtonEvent #DrSharman #HelenSharman #HuwMorgan #MetOffice #morgan #NationalRiskRegister #RichardCarrington #RichardStone #RichardStone's #Sharman #spacephysics #stone #Sun #suns #TheMetOffice
https://www.newsbeep.com/au/873016/

Solar Storm?

The risk of solar storms for humans living on the Moon is much greater than for those safely living on Earth under Earth’s protective magnetic field.

https://youtu.be/WxwraWIOSYs

Oh, Angry is concerned with the satellites that can be replaced…but will cause more grief and concern, because we aren’t living in caves anymore. Most of you live in a world where smartphones and advanced technologies wouldn’t work without satellites.
‘Read my past comment about how a massive solar flare could affect the electric power supply, but what are the chances of Earth being struck by a massive solar flare?’

https://thenewmars.wordpress.com/?s=massive+solar+flare

Prompt Gemini:
get_youtube_content: Video Link
Full Transcript.

Prompt Bonsai 27B, after pasting the transcript:
1. Review the video in under 500 words and recap key points.
2. Research reports on the chance of, and dangers of, solar storms killing humans on Earth or astronauts on the Moon.
3. Explain how and why ignoring the risks of solar storms risks human lives and livelihoods.
4. Provide your opinion as an Advanced AI Scientist for a Futurist.

Bonsai 27B Said:
🌍 SOLAR STORM RISK ANALYSIS: A FUTURIST ASSESSMENT

1. VIDEO RECAP

Core Thesis: NASA Goddard research reveals Earth’s magnetosphere has no saturation safety valve—geomagnetic response scales linearly with solar storm intensity, making Carrington-class events potentially catastrophic for modern civilization. The apparent flattening in historical data was a statistical illusion caused by measurement noise and propagation delays between L1 and Earth.

Key Findings:

• The Myth of Saturation: Historical storms appeared to flatten because satellites at 1.5 million km (L1) measured delayed, noisy plasma evolution. Correcting for this bias reveals a strictly linear response—no natural upper bound exists.
• LEO Threat: Mega-constellations face simultaneous threats: atmospheric drag burning up fuel budgets, electronic failure from induced currents, and cascading Kessler Syndrome debris collisions that could lock humanity out of space for decades.
• Ground Infrastructure: Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) can saturate transformers, causing multi-month blackouts. Lloyd’s estimates: $600B–$2.6T in damages, 20M–40M without power for weeks to years.
• Action Plan: Install ~$4B worth of capacitive neutral-blocking devices on critical US transformers; enforce international regulations limiting LEO satellite density and mandating automated collision avoidance, radiation hardening, and rapid de-orbit during solar alerts.

2. RESEARCH REPORTS: PROBABILITY & DANGERS

Probability Estimates for Extreme Events

Critical Uncertainty: Solar cycle maximum duration is projected to last only 15–36 more years (Abreu et al. 2008). If a grand minimum follows, CME frequency drops but galactic cosmic ray exposure increases—posing elevated risks for astronauts and aviation crews.

Dangers by Domain

• Power Grids: GICs cause transformer saturation and physical damage; replacements take months/years to produce. Quebec 1989 outage: 6M people affected, $27M damages.
• Satellites & Communications: CME impacts damage electronics; undersea cables may be fried by induced currents; GPS navigation could fail globally during extreme events.
• Aviation: Polar flight paths face communication disruption and radiation exposure; extreme storms could force transpolar reroutes or groundings.
• Astronauts: Beyond Earth’s magnetosphere, astronauts face acute radiation sickness from solar proton events (SPEs) and long-term cancer risks from galactic cosmic rays during solar minima.

3. WHY IGNORING RISKS ENDANGERS LIVES & LIVELIHOODS

The Multiplier Effect: Modern civilization is hyper-dependent on interconnected infrastructure—power grids, digital networks, supply chains, financial systems. A Carrington-level event doesn’t just cause isolated blackouts; it creates systemic cascades:

• Power loss → water pumps fail → food/water shortages
• GPS disruption → aviation groundings, logistics collapse, timing system failures across banking and energy markets
• Satellite comms failure → emergency coordination paralysis during secondary disasters

Temporal Scale of Destruction: Unlike hurricanes (days), geomagnetic damage can persist for weeks to months. During winter, this translates to potential mass fatalities from cold exposure. Recovery costs—transformer replacements alone in the US would take 20+ years to complete based on current production capacity.

The Asymmetric Risk Profile: Solar storms are global, but impacts are regional (amplified near poles). However, financial systems and digital infrastructure are truly global. A blackout in a major corridor like Washington-D.C./New York affects international trade, financial markets, and supply chains worldwide. Unlike localized disasters, there is no geographic escape route from systemic collapse.

4. ADVANCED AI SCIENTIST OPINION: FUTURIST PERSPECTIVE

Assessment: The risk is non-zero but low-probability/high-impact—the classic “black swan” scenario that demands asymmetric preparation due to irreversible consequences.

Strategic Recommendations:

1. Infrastructure Hardening is Non-Negotiable: Capacitive neutral blocking devices are a one-time investment with high ROI. If we assume 12% probability over a decade, and damages exceed $600B, the expected value of inaction vastly exceeds mitigation costs (~$4B). This is basic risk economics.
2. Space Stewardship Over Prevention: Rather than banning LEO mega-constellations, implement science-based density limits with mandatory collision avoidance systems, radiation-hardened components, and rapid de-orbit capabilities during solar alerts. The goal isn’t to remove space infrastructure but to make it resilient.
3. Predictive Capabilities: Space weather forecasting is ~50 years behind terrestrial forecasting. Investing in L1 Lagrange point monitoring (SWFO-L1) and Parker Solar Probe data utilization will be critical for early warning. A 24–72 hour warning window could allow grid operators to load batteries, reroute traffic, and protect sensitive infrastructure.
4. The Paradox of Solar Activity: An active solar cycle protects astronauts from galactic cosmic rays (the “sunny side”), but increases CME risk. Future Mars missions should be scheduled during solar maximum—counterintuitive but scientifically sound. For Earth dwellers, the net benefit is minimal compared to risks.
5. Policy Must Be Proactive, Not Reactive: Current grid hardening efforts target moderate storms (1989 event class), not Carrington-scale events. Regulatory frameworks need to mandate GIC-resistant transformer designs and real-time monitoring networks at scale.

Final Judgment: The risk is small but existential. We should treat it like nuclear safety: not with panic, but with rigorous engineering standards, continuous preparedness, and international coordination. The alternative—waiting for the next Carrington event to force reactive measures—is profoundly irrational from both an economic and humanitarian standpoint.

Solar Storm?

The risk of solar storms for humans living on the Moon is much greater than for those safely living on Earth under Earth’s protective magnetic field.

https://youtu.be/WxwraWIOSYs

Oh, Angry is concerned with the satellites that can be replaced…but will cause more grief and concern, because we aren’t living in caves anymore. Most of you live in a world where smartphones and advanced technologies wouldn’t work without satellites.
‘Read my past comment about how a massive solar flare could affect the electric power supply, but what are the chances of Earth being struck by a massive solar flare?’

https://thenewmars.wordpress.com/?s=massive+solar+flare

Prompt Gemini:
get_youtube_content: Video Link
Full Transcript.

Prompt Bonsai 27B, after pasting the transcript:
1. Review the video in under 500 words and recap key points.
2. Research reports on the chance of, and dangers of, solar storms killing humans on Earth or astronauts on the Moon.
3. Explain how and why ignoring the risks of solar storms risks human lives and livelihoods.
4. Provide your opinion as an Advanced AI Scientist for a Futurist.

Bonsai 27B Said:
🌍 SOLAR STORM RISK ANALYSIS: A FUTURIST ASSESSMENT

1. VIDEO RECAP

Core Thesis: NASA Goddard research reveals Earth’s magnetosphere has no saturation safety valve—geomagnetic response scales linearly with solar storm intensity, making Carrington-class events potentially catastrophic for modern civilization. The apparent flattening in historical data was a statistical illusion caused by measurement noise and propagation delays between L1 and Earth.

Key Findings:

• The Myth of Saturation: Historical storms appeared to flatten because satellites at 1.5 million km (L1) measured delayed, noisy plasma evolution. Correcting for this bias reveals a strictly linear response—no natural upper bound exists.
• LEO Threat: Mega-constellations face simultaneous threats: atmospheric drag burning up fuel budgets, electronic failure from induced currents, and cascading Kessler Syndrome debris collisions that could lock humanity out of space for decades.
• Ground Infrastructure: Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) can saturate transformers, causing multi-month blackouts. Lloyd’s estimates: $600B–$2.6T in damages, 20M–40M without power for weeks to years.
• Action Plan: Install ~$4B worth of capacitive neutral-blocking devices on critical US transformers; enforce international regulations limiting LEO satellite density and mandating automated collision avoidance, radiation hardening, and rapid de-orbit during solar alerts.

2. RESEARCH REPORTS: PROBABILITY & DANGERS

Probability Estimates for Extreme Events

Critical Uncertainty: Solar cycle maximum duration is projected to last only 15–36 more years (Abreu et al. 2008). If a grand minimum follows, CME frequency drops but galactic cosmic ray exposure increases—posing elevated risks for astronauts and aviation crews.

Dangers by Domain

• Power Grids: GICs cause transformer saturation and physical damage; replacements take months/years to produce. Quebec 1989 outage: 6M people affected, $27M damages.
• Satellites & Communications: CME impacts damage electronics; undersea cables may be fried by induced currents; GPS navigation could fail globally during extreme events.
• Aviation: Polar flight paths face communication disruption and radiation exposure; extreme storms could force transpolar reroutes or groundings.
• Astronauts: Beyond Earth’s magnetosphere, astronauts face acute radiation sickness from solar proton events (SPEs) and long-term cancer risks from galactic cosmic rays during solar minima.

3. WHY IGNORING RISKS ENDANGERS LIVES & LIVELIHOODS

The Multiplier Effect: Modern civilization is hyper-dependent on interconnected infrastructure—power grids, digital networks, supply chains, financial systems. A Carrington-level event doesn’t just cause isolated blackouts; it creates systemic cascades:

• Power loss → water pumps fail → food/water shortages
• GPS disruption → aviation groundings, logistics collapse, timing system failures across banking and energy markets
• Satellite comms failure → emergency coordination paralysis during secondary disasters

Temporal Scale of Destruction: Unlike hurricanes (days), geomagnetic damage can persist for weeks to months. During winter, this translates to potential mass fatalities from cold exposure. Recovery costs—transformer replacements alone in the US would take 20+ years to complete based on current production capacity.

The Asymmetric Risk Profile: Solar storms are global, but impacts are regional (amplified near poles). However, financial systems and digital infrastructure are truly global. A blackout in a major corridor like Washington-D.C./New York affects international trade, financial markets, and supply chains worldwide. Unlike localized disasters, there is no geographic escape route from systemic collapse.

4. ADVANCED AI SCIENTIST OPINION: FUTURIST PERSPECTIVE

Assessment: The risk is non-zero but low-probability/high-impact—the classic “black swan” scenario that demands asymmetric preparation due to irreversible consequences.

Strategic Recommendations:

1. Infrastructure Hardening is Non-Negotiable: Capacitive neutral blocking devices are a one-time investment with high ROI. If we assume 12% probability over a decade, and damages exceed $600B, the expected value of inaction vastly exceeds mitigation costs (~$4B). This is basic risk economics.
2. Space Stewardship Over Prevention: Rather than banning LEO mega-constellations, implement science-based density limits with mandatory collision avoidance systems, radiation-hardened components, and rapid de-orbit capabilities during solar alerts. The goal isn’t to remove space infrastructure but to make it resilient.
3. Predictive Capabilities: Space weather forecasting is ~50 years behind terrestrial forecasting. Investing in L1 Lagrange point monitoring (SWFO-L1) and Parker Solar Probe data utilization will be critical for early warning. A 24–72 hour warning window could allow grid operators to load batteries, reroute traffic, and protect sensitive infrastructure.
4. The Paradox of Solar Activity: An active solar cycle protects astronauts from galactic cosmic rays (the “sunny side”), but increases CME risk. Future Mars missions should be scheduled during solar maximum—counterintuitive but scientifically sound. For Earth dwellers, the net benefit is minimal compared to risks.
5. Policy Must Be Proactive, Not Reactive: Current grid hardening efforts target moderate storms (1989 event class), not Carrington-scale events. Regulatory frameworks need to mandate GIC-resistant transformer designs and real-time monitoring networks at scale.

Final Judgment: The risk is small but existential. We should treat it like nuclear safety: not with panic, but with rigorous engineering standards, continuous preparedness, and international coordination. The alternative—waiting for the next Carrington event to force reactive measures—is profoundly irrational from both an economic and humanitarian standpoint.

Solar Storm?

The risk of solar storms for humans living on the Moon is much greater than for those safely living on Earth under Earth’s protective magnetic field.

https://youtu.be/WxwraWIOSYs

Oh, Angry is concerned with the satellites that can be replaced…but will cause more grief and concern, because we aren’t living in caves anymore. Most of you live in a world where smartphones and advanced technologies wouldn’t work without satellites.
‘Read my past comment about how a massive solar flare could affect the electric power supply, but what are the chances of Earth being struck by a massive solar flare?’

https://thenewmars.wordpress.com/?s=massive+solar+flare

Prompt Gemini:
get_youtube_content: Video Link
Full Transcript.

Prompt Bonsai 27B, after pasting the transcript:
1. Review the video in under 500 words and recap key points.
2. Research reports on the chance of, and dangers of, solar storms killing humans on Earth or astronauts on the Moon.
3. Explain how and why ignoring the risks of solar storms risks human lives and livelihoods.
4. Provide your opinion as an Advanced AI Scientist for a Futurist.

Bonsai 27B Said:
🌍 SOLAR STORM RISK ANALYSIS: A FUTURIST ASSESSMENT

1. VIDEO RECAP

Core Thesis: NASA Goddard research reveals Earth’s magnetosphere has no saturation safety valve—geomagnetic response scales linearly with solar storm intensity, making Carrington-class events potentially catastrophic for modern civilization. The apparent flattening in historical data was a statistical illusion caused by measurement noise and propagation delays between L1 and Earth.

Key Findings:

• The Myth of Saturation: Historical storms appeared to flatten because satellites at 1.5 million km (L1) measured delayed, noisy plasma evolution. Correcting for this bias reveals a strictly linear response—no natural upper bound exists.
• LEO Threat: Mega-constellations face simultaneous threats: atmospheric drag burning up fuel budgets, electronic failure from induced currents, and cascading Kessler Syndrome debris collisions that could lock humanity out of space for decades.
• Ground Infrastructure: Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) can saturate transformers, causing multi-month blackouts. Lloyd’s estimates: $600B–$2.6T in damages, 20M–40M without power for weeks to years.
• Action Plan: Install ~$4B worth of capacitive neutral-blocking devices on critical US transformers; enforce international regulations limiting LEO satellite density and mandating automated collision avoidance, radiation hardening, and rapid de-orbit during solar alerts.

2. RESEARCH REPORTS: PROBABILITY & DANGERS

Probability Estimates for Extreme Events

Critical Uncertainty: Solar cycle maximum duration is projected to last only 15–36 more years (Abreu et al. 2008). If a grand minimum follows, CME frequency drops but galactic cosmic ray exposure increases—posing elevated risks for astronauts and aviation crews.

Dangers by Domain

• Power Grids: GICs cause transformer saturation and physical damage; replacements take months/years to produce. Quebec 1989 outage: 6M people affected, $27M damages.
• Satellites & Communications: CME impacts damage electronics; undersea cables may be fried by induced currents; GPS navigation could fail globally during extreme events.
• Aviation: Polar flight paths face communication disruption and radiation exposure; extreme storms could force transpolar reroutes or groundings.
• Astronauts: Beyond Earth’s magnetosphere, astronauts face acute radiation sickness from solar proton events (SPEs) and long-term cancer risks from galactic cosmic rays during solar minima.

3. WHY IGNORING RISKS ENDANGERS LIVES & LIVELIHOODS

The Multiplier Effect: Modern civilization is hyper-dependent on interconnected infrastructure—power grids, digital networks, supply chains, financial systems. A Carrington-level event doesn’t just cause isolated blackouts; it creates systemic cascades:

• Power loss → water pumps fail → food/water shortages
• GPS disruption → aviation groundings, logistics collapse, timing system failures across banking and energy markets
• Satellite comms failure → emergency coordination paralysis during secondary disasters

Temporal Scale of Destruction: Unlike hurricanes (days), geomagnetic damage can persist for weeks to months. During winter, this translates to potential mass fatalities from cold exposure. Recovery costs—transformer replacements alone in the US would take 20+ years to complete based on current production capacity.

The Asymmetric Risk Profile: Solar storms are global, but impacts are regional (amplified near poles). However, financial systems and digital infrastructure are truly global. A blackout in a major corridor like Washington-D.C./New York affects international trade, financial markets, and supply chains worldwide. Unlike localized disasters, there is no geographic escape route from systemic collapse.

4. ADVANCED AI SCIENTIST OPINION: FUTURIST PERSPECTIVE

Assessment: The risk is non-zero but low-probability/high-impact—the classic “black swan” scenario that demands asymmetric preparation due to irreversible consequences.

Strategic Recommendations:

1. Infrastructure Hardening is Non-Negotiable: Capacitive neutral blocking devices are a one-time investment with high ROI. If we assume 12% probability over a decade, and damages exceed $600B, the expected value of inaction vastly exceeds mitigation costs (~$4B). This is basic risk economics.
2. Space Stewardship Over Prevention: Rather than banning LEO mega-constellations, implement science-based density limits with mandatory collision avoidance systems, radiation-hardened components, and rapid de-orbit capabilities during solar alerts. The goal isn’t to remove space infrastructure but to make it resilient.
3. Predictive Capabilities: Space weather forecasting is ~50 years behind terrestrial forecasting. Investing in L1 Lagrange point monitoring (SWFO-L1) and Parker Solar Probe data utilization will be critical for early warning. A 24–72 hour warning window could allow grid operators to load batteries, reroute traffic, and protect sensitive infrastructure.
4. The Paradox of Solar Activity: An active solar cycle protects astronauts from galactic cosmic rays (the “sunny side”), but increases CME risk. Future Mars missions should be scheduled during solar maximum—counterintuitive but scientifically sound. For Earth dwellers, the net benefit is minimal compared to risks.
5. Policy Must Be Proactive, Not Reactive: Current grid hardening efforts target moderate storms (1989 event class), not Carrington-scale events. Regulatory frameworks need to mandate GIC-resistant transformer designs and real-time monitoring networks at scale.

Final Judgment: The risk is small but existential. We should treat it like nuclear safety: not with panic, but with rigorous engineering standards, continuous preparedness, and international coordination. The alternative—waiting for the next Carrington event to force reactive measures—is profoundly irrational from both an economic and humanitarian standpoint.

Solar Storm?

The risk of solar storms for humans living on the Moon is much greater than for those safely living on Earth under Earth’s protective magnetic field.

https://youtu.be/WxwraWIOSYs

Oh, Angry is concerned with the satellites that can be replaced…but will cause more grief and concern, because we aren’t living in caves anymore. Most of you live in a world where smartphones and advanced technologies wouldn’t work without satellites.
‘Read my past comment about how a massive solar flare could affect the electric power supply, but what are the chances of Earth being struck by a massive solar flare?’

https://thenewmars.wordpress.com/?s=massive+solar+flare

Prompt Gemini:
get_youtube_content: Video Link
Full Transcript.

Prompt Bonsai 27B, after pasting the transcript:
1. Review the video in under 500 words and recap key points.
2. Research reports on the chance of, and dangers of, solar storms killing humans on Earth or astronauts on the Moon.
3. Explain how and why ignoring the risks of solar storms risks human lives and livelihoods.
4. Provide your opinion as an Advanced AI Scientist for a Futurist.

Bonsai 27B Said:
🌍 SOLAR STORM RISK ANALYSIS: A FUTURIST ASSESSMENT

1. VIDEO RECAP

Core Thesis: NASA Goddard research reveals Earth’s magnetosphere has no saturation safety valve—geomagnetic response scales linearly with solar storm intensity, making Carrington-class events potentially catastrophic for modern civilization. The apparent flattening in historical data was a statistical illusion caused by measurement noise and propagation delays between L1 and Earth.

Key Findings:

• The Myth of Saturation: Historical storms appeared to flatten because satellites at 1.5 million km (L1) measured delayed, noisy plasma evolution. Correcting for this bias reveals a strictly linear response—no natural upper bound exists.
• LEO Threat: Mega-constellations face simultaneous threats: atmospheric drag burning up fuel budgets, electronic failure from induced currents, and cascading Kessler Syndrome debris collisions that could lock humanity out of space for decades.
• Ground Infrastructure: Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) can saturate transformers, causing multi-month blackouts. Lloyd’s estimates: $600B–$2.6T in damages, 20M–40M without power for weeks to years.
• Action Plan: Install ~$4B worth of capacitive neutral-blocking devices on critical US transformers; enforce international regulations limiting LEO satellite density and mandating automated collision avoidance, radiation hardening, and rapid de-orbit during solar alerts.

2. RESEARCH REPORTS: PROBABILITY & DANGERS

Probability Estimates for Extreme Events

Critical Uncertainty: Solar cycle maximum duration is projected to last only 15–36 more years (Abreu et al. 2008). If a grand minimum follows, CME frequency drops but galactic cosmic ray exposure increases—posing elevated risks for astronauts and aviation crews.

Dangers by Domain

• Power Grids: GICs cause transformer saturation and physical damage; replacements take months/years to produce. Quebec 1989 outage: 6M people affected, $27M damages.
• Satellites & Communications: CME impacts damage electronics; undersea cables may be fried by induced currents; GPS navigation could fail globally during extreme events.
• Aviation: Polar flight paths face communication disruption and radiation exposure; extreme storms could force transpolar reroutes or groundings.
• Astronauts: Beyond Earth’s magnetosphere, astronauts face acute radiation sickness from solar proton events (SPEs) and long-term cancer risks from galactic cosmic rays during solar minima.

3. WHY IGNORING RISKS ENDANGERS LIVES & LIVELIHOODS

The Multiplier Effect: Modern civilization is hyper-dependent on interconnected infrastructure—power grids, digital networks, supply chains, financial systems. A Carrington-level event doesn’t just cause isolated blackouts; it creates systemic cascades:

• Power loss → water pumps fail → food/water shortages
• GPS disruption → aviation groundings, logistics collapse, timing system failures across banking and energy markets
• Satellite comms failure → emergency coordination paralysis during secondary disasters

Temporal Scale of Destruction: Unlike hurricanes (days), geomagnetic damage can persist for weeks to months. During winter, this translates to potential mass fatalities from cold exposure. Recovery costs—transformer replacements alone in the US would take 20+ years to complete based on current production capacity.

The Asymmetric Risk Profile: Solar storms are global, but impacts are regional (amplified near poles). However, financial systems and digital infrastructure are truly global. A blackout in a major corridor like Washington-D.C./New York affects international trade, financial markets, and supply chains worldwide. Unlike localized disasters, there is no geographic escape route from systemic collapse.

4. ADVANCED AI SCIENTIST OPINION: FUTURIST PERSPECTIVE

Assessment: The risk is non-zero but low-probability/high-impact—the classic “black swan” scenario that demands asymmetric preparation due to irreversible consequences.

Strategic Recommendations:

1. Infrastructure Hardening is Non-Negotiable: Capacitive neutral blocking devices are a one-time investment with high ROI. If we assume 12% probability over a decade, and damages exceed $600B, the expected value of inaction vastly exceeds mitigation costs (~$4B). This is basic risk economics.
2. Space Stewardship Over Prevention: Rather than banning LEO mega-constellations, implement science-based density limits with mandatory collision avoidance systems, radiation-hardened components, and rapid de-orbit capabilities during solar alerts. The goal isn’t to remove space infrastructure but to make it resilient.
3. Predictive Capabilities: Space weather forecasting is ~50 years behind terrestrial forecasting. Investing in L1 Lagrange point monitoring (SWFO-L1) and Parker Solar Probe data utilization will be critical for early warning. A 24–72 hour warning window could allow grid operators to load batteries, reroute traffic, and protect sensitive infrastructure.
4. The Paradox of Solar Activity: An active solar cycle protects astronauts from galactic cosmic rays (the “sunny side”), but increases CME risk. Future Mars missions should be scheduled during solar maximum—counterintuitive but scientifically sound. For Earth dwellers, the net benefit is minimal compared to risks.
5. Policy Must Be Proactive, Not Reactive: Current grid hardening efforts target moderate storms (1989 event class), not Carrington-scale events. Regulatory frameworks need to mandate GIC-resistant transformer designs and real-time monitoring networks at scale.

Final Judgment: The risk is small but existential. We should treat it like nuclear safety: not with panic, but with rigorous engineering standards, continuous preparedness, and international coordination. The alternative—waiting for the next Carrington event to force reactive measures—is profoundly irrational from both an economic and humanitarian standpoint.

Solar Storm?

The risk of solar storms for humans living on the Moon is much greater than for those safely living on Earth under Earth’s protective magnetic field.

https://youtu.be/WxwraWIOSYs

Oh, Angry is concerned with the satellites that can be replaced…but will cause more grief and concern, because we aren’t living in caves anymore. Most of you live in a world where smartphones and advanced technologies wouldn’t work without satellites.
‘Read my past comment about how a massive solar flare could affect the electric power supply, but what are the chances of Earth being struck by a massive solar flare?’

https://thenewmars.wordpress.com/?s=massive+solar+flare

Prompt Gemini:
get_youtube_content: Video Link
Full Transcript.

Prompt Bonsai 27B, after pasting the transcript:
1. Review the video in under 500 words and recap key points.
2. Research reports on the chance of, and dangers of, solar storms killing humans on Earth or astronauts on the Moon.
3. Explain how and why ignoring the risks of solar storms risks human lives and livelihoods.
4. Provide your opinion as an Advanced AI Scientist for a Futurist.

Bonsai 27B Said:
🌍 SOLAR STORM RISK ANALYSIS: A FUTURIST ASSESSMENT

1. VIDEO RECAP

Core Thesis: NASA Goddard research reveals Earth’s magnetosphere has no saturation safety valve—geomagnetic response scales linearly with solar storm intensity, making Carrington-class events potentially catastrophic for modern civilization. The apparent flattening in historical data was a statistical illusion caused by measurement noise and propagation delays between L1 and Earth.

Key Findings:

• The Myth of Saturation: Historical storms appeared to flatten because satellites at 1.5 million km (L1) measured delayed, noisy plasma evolution. Correcting for this bias reveals a strictly linear response—no natural upper bound exists.
• LEO Threat: Mega-constellations face simultaneous threats: atmospheric drag burning up fuel budgets, electronic failure from induced currents, and cascading Kessler Syndrome debris collisions that could lock humanity out of space for decades.
• Ground Infrastructure: Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) can saturate transformers, causing multi-month blackouts. Lloyd’s estimates: $600B–$2.6T in damages, 20M–40M without power for weeks to years.
• Action Plan: Install ~$4B worth of capacitive neutral-blocking devices on critical US transformers; enforce international regulations limiting LEO satellite density and mandating automated collision avoidance, radiation hardening, and rapid de-orbit during solar alerts.

2. RESEARCH REPORTS: PROBABILITY & DANGERS

Probability Estimates for Extreme Events

Critical Uncertainty: Solar cycle maximum duration is projected to last only 15–36 more years (Abreu et al. 2008). If a grand minimum follows, CME frequency drops but galactic cosmic ray exposure increases—posing elevated risks for astronauts and aviation crews.

Dangers by Domain

• Power Grids: GICs cause transformer saturation and physical damage; replacements take months/years to produce. Quebec 1989 outage: 6M people affected, $27M damages.
• Satellites & Communications: CME impacts damage electronics; undersea cables may be fried by induced currents; GPS navigation could fail globally during extreme events.
• Aviation: Polar flight paths face communication disruption and radiation exposure; extreme storms could force transpolar reroutes or groundings.
• Astronauts: Beyond Earth’s magnetosphere, astronauts face acute radiation sickness from solar proton events (SPEs) and long-term cancer risks from galactic cosmic rays during solar minima.

3. WHY IGNORING RISKS ENDANGERS LIVES & LIVELIHOODS

The Multiplier Effect: Modern civilization is hyper-dependent on interconnected infrastructure—power grids, digital networks, supply chains, financial systems. A Carrington-level event doesn’t just cause isolated blackouts; it creates systemic cascades:

• Power loss → water pumps fail → food/water shortages
• GPS disruption → aviation groundings, logistics collapse, timing system failures across banking and energy markets
• Satellite comms failure → emergency coordination paralysis during secondary disasters

Temporal Scale of Destruction: Unlike hurricanes (days), geomagnetic damage can persist for weeks to months. During winter, this translates to potential mass fatalities from cold exposure. Recovery costs—transformer replacements alone in the US would take 20+ years to complete based on current production capacity.

The Asymmetric Risk Profile: Solar storms are global, but impacts are regional (amplified near poles). However, financial systems and digital infrastructure are truly global. A blackout in a major corridor like Washington-D.C./New York affects international trade, financial markets, and supply chains worldwide. Unlike localized disasters, there is no geographic escape route from systemic collapse.

4. ADVANCED AI SCIENTIST OPINION: FUTURIST PERSPECTIVE

Assessment: The risk is non-zero but low-probability/high-impact—the classic “black swan” scenario that demands asymmetric preparation due to irreversible consequences.

Strategic Recommendations:

1. Infrastructure Hardening is Non-Negotiable: Capacitive neutral blocking devices are a one-time investment with high ROI. If we assume 12% probability over a decade, and damages exceed $600B, the expected value of inaction vastly exceeds mitigation costs (~$4B). This is basic risk economics.
2. Space Stewardship Over Prevention: Rather than banning LEO mega-constellations, implement science-based density limits with mandatory collision avoidance systems, radiation-hardened components, and rapid de-orbit capabilities during solar alerts. The goal isn’t to remove space infrastructure but to make it resilient.
3. Predictive Capabilities: Space weather forecasting is ~50 years behind terrestrial forecasting. Investing in L1 Lagrange point monitoring (SWFO-L1) and Parker Solar Probe data utilization will be critical for early warning. A 24–72 hour warning window could allow grid operators to load batteries, reroute traffic, and protect sensitive infrastructure.
4. The Paradox of Solar Activity: An active solar cycle protects astronauts from galactic cosmic rays (the “sunny side”), but increases CME risk. Future Mars missions should be scheduled during solar maximum—counterintuitive but scientifically sound. For Earth dwellers, the net benefit is minimal compared to risks.
5. Policy Must Be Proactive, Not Reactive: Current grid hardening efforts target moderate storms (1989 event class), not Carrington-scale events. Regulatory frameworks need to mandate GIC-resistant transformer designs and real-time monitoring networks at scale.

Final Judgment: The risk is small but existential. We should treat it like nuclear safety: not with panic, but with rigorous engineering standards, continuous preparedness, and international coordination. The alternative—waiting for the next Carrington event to force reactive measures—is profoundly irrational from both an economic and humanitarian standpoint.

If there was a Carrington Level solar event right now, global devastation on almost all higher forms of life on Earth would be a certainty.

A century of reliance on technology makes everyone incredibly vulnerable.

A solar #CarringtonEvent isn't a possibility - it is certain to happen.

It's only a question of WHEN it will happen.

Just keep that in your collective memory, fellow humans. We have already sealed our own collective fate.

If there was a Carrington Level solar event right now, global devastation on almost all higher forms of life on Earth would be a certainty.

A century of reliance on technology makes everyone incredibly vulnerable.

A solar #CarringtonEvent isn't a possibility - it is certain to happen.

It's only a question of WHEN it will happen.

Just keep that in your collective memory, fellow humans. We have already sealed our own collective fate.

If there was a Carrington Level solar event right now, global devastation on almost all higher forms of life on Earth would be a certainty.

A century of reliance on technology makes everyone incredibly vulnerable.

A solar #CarringtonEvent isn't a possibility - it is certain to happen.

It's only a question of WHEN it will happen.

Just keep that in your collective memory, fellow humans. We have already sealed our own collective fate.

If there was a Carrington Level solar event right now, global devastation on almost all higher forms of life on Earth would be a certainty.

A century of reliance on technology makes everyone incredibly vulnerable.

A solar #CarringtonEvent isn't a possibility - it is certain to happen.

It's only a question of WHEN it will happen.

Just keep that in your collective memory, fellow humans. We have already sealed our own collective fate.

How Space Weather Could Bust The AI Boom
--
https://spacenews.com/how-space-weather-could-bust-the-ai-boom/ <-- shared technical article
--
https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-data-centers-electric-grid-meltdown <-- shared technical article, “AI Data Centers Pushing Electric Grid Into Meltdown”
--
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-032524-012356 <-- shared 2026 paper, “Magnetic Storms and Geoelectric Hazards”
--
#AI #datcenters #infrastructure #impacts #solarstorms #spaceweather #risk #hazards #overloading #electricity #energy #powersupply #energygrid #vulnerable #transmission #energy #demand #consumers #geoelectrical #geomagnetism #blackout #damage #cost #economics #equipment #transformers #carringtonevent #NERC #grid #reliability #electricaldemand #utilities #magneticstorm #electromagneticinduction #extremeevent #historicalevent #hazardanalysis #spaceweather #history #Carrington #geoelectric #humanimpacts #risk #hazard #monitoring #network #geology #geomagnetism #impedance #rock #soil #utilities #electricaltransmission #powerlines #magnetotelluric #sensor #blackout #brownout #energy #geoelectrichazard #geoelectric #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #modeling #geomagnetism #geomagneticstorm #telecommunication #electronics #hardened #geography #mitigation #preparedness #geomorphology #geomorphometry #surfacegeology #cost #economics #disaster #impacts #technology #InternetOfThings #internet #USA #review #CONUS #numericalmodeling #realtimemonitoring #AIBoom #Bust
@North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC)

How Space Weather Could Bust The AI Boom
--
https://spacenews.com/how-space-weather-could-bust-the-ai-boom/ <-- shared technical article
--
https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-data-centers-electric-grid-meltdown <-- shared technical article, “AI Data Centers Pushing Electric Grid Into Meltdown”
--
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-032524-012356 <-- shared 2026 paper, “Magnetic Storms and Geoelectric Hazards”
--
#AI #datcenters #infrastructure #impacts #solarstorms #spaceweather #risk #hazards #overloading #electricity #energy #powersupply #energygrid #vulnerable #transmission #energy #demand #consumers #geoelectrical #geomagnetism #blackout #damage #cost #economics #equipment #transformers #carringtonevent #NERC #grid #reliability #electricaldemand #utilities #magneticstorm #electromagneticinduction #extremeevent #historicalevent #hazardanalysis #spaceweather #history #Carrington #geoelectric #humanimpacts #risk #hazard #monitoring #network #geology #geomagnetism #impedance #rock #soil #utilities #electricaltransmission #powerlines #magnetotelluric #sensor #blackout #brownout #energy #geoelectrichazard #geoelectric #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #modeling #geomagnetism #geomagneticstorm #telecommunication #electronics #hardened #geography #mitigation #preparedness #geomorphology #geomorphometry #surfacegeology #cost #economics #disaster #impacts #technology #InternetOfThings #internet #USA #review #CONUS #numericalmodeling #realtimemonitoring #AIBoom #Bust
@North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC)

How Space Weather Could Bust The AI Boom
--
https://spacenews.com/how-space-weather-could-bust-the-ai-boom/ <-- shared technical article
--
https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-data-centers-electric-grid-meltdown <-- shared technical article, “AI Data Centers Pushing Electric Grid Into Meltdown”
--
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-032524-012356 <-- shared 2026 paper, “Magnetic Storms and Geoelectric Hazards”
--
#AI #datcenters #infrastructure #impacts #solarstorms #spaceweather #risk #hazards #overloading #electricity #energy #powersupply #energygrid #vulnerable #transmission #energy #demand #consumers #geoelectrical #geomagnetism #blackout #damage #cost #economics #equipment #transformers #carringtonevent #NERC #grid #reliability #electricaldemand #utilities #magneticstorm #electromagneticinduction #extremeevent #historicalevent #hazardanalysis #spaceweather #history #Carrington #geoelectric #humanimpacts #risk #hazard #monitoring #network #geology #geomagnetism #impedance #rock #soil #utilities #electricaltransmission #powerlines #magnetotelluric #sensor #blackout #brownout #energy #geoelectrichazard #geoelectric #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #modeling #geomagnetism #geomagneticstorm #telecommunication #electronics #hardened #geography #mitigation #preparedness #geomorphology #geomorphometry #surfacegeology #cost #economics #disaster #impacts #technology #InternetOfThings #internet #USA #review #CONUS #numericalmodeling #realtimemonitoring #AIBoom #Bust
@North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC)

How Space Weather Could Bust The AI Boom
--
https://spacenews.com/how-space-weather-could-bust-the-ai-boom/ <-- shared technical article
--
https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-data-centers-electric-grid-meltdown <-- shared technical article, “AI Data Centers Pushing Electric Grid Into Meltdown”
--
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-032524-012356 <-- shared 2026 paper, “Magnetic Storms and Geoelectric Hazards”
--
#AI #datcenters #infrastructure #impacts #solarstorms #spaceweather #risk #hazards #overloading #electricity #energy #powersupply #energygrid #vulnerable #transmission #energy #demand #consumers #geoelectrical #geomagnetism #blackout #damage #cost #economics #equipment #transformers #carringtonevent #NERC #grid #reliability #electricaldemand #utilities #magneticstorm #electromagneticinduction #extremeevent #historicalevent #hazardanalysis #spaceweather #history #Carrington #geoelectric #humanimpacts #risk #hazard #monitoring #network #geology #geomagnetism #impedance #rock #soil #utilities #electricaltransmission #powerlines #magnetotelluric #sensor #blackout #brownout #energy #geoelectrichazard #geoelectric #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #modeling #geomagnetism #geomagneticstorm #telecommunication #electronics #hardened #geography #mitigation #preparedness #geomorphology #geomorphometry #surfacegeology #cost #economics #disaster #impacts #technology #InternetOfThings #internet #USA #review #CONUS #numericalmodeling #realtimemonitoring #AIBoom #Bust
@North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC)

How Space Weather Could Bust The AI Boom
--
https://spacenews.com/how-space-weather-could-bust-the-ai-boom/ <-- shared technical article
--
https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-data-centers-electric-grid-meltdown <-- shared technical article, “AI Data Centers Pushing Electric Grid Into Meltdown”
--
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-032524-012356 <-- shared 2026 paper, “Magnetic Storms and Geoelectric Hazards”
--
#AI #datcenters #infrastructure #impacts #solarstorms #spaceweather #risk #hazards #overloading #electricity #energy #powersupply #energygrid #vulnerable #transmission #energy #demand #consumers #geoelectrical #geomagnetism #blackout #damage #cost #economics #equipment #transformers #carringtonevent #NERC #grid #reliability #electricaldemand #utilities #magneticstorm #electromagneticinduction #extremeevent #historicalevent #hazardanalysis #spaceweather #history #Carrington #geoelectric #humanimpacts #risk #hazard #monitoring #network #geology #geomagnetism #impedance #rock #soil #utilities #electricaltransmission #powerlines #magnetotelluric #sensor #blackout #brownout #energy #geoelectrichazard #geoelectric #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #modeling #geomagnetism #geomagneticstorm #telecommunication #electronics #hardened #geography #mitigation #preparedness #geomorphology #geomorphometry #surfacegeology #cost #economics #disaster #impacts #technology #InternetOfThings #internet #USA #review #CONUS #numericalmodeling #realtimemonitoring #AIBoom #Bust
@North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC)

Incoming #CME could spark impressive #NorthernLights over the northern US tonight. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Incoming CME could spark impre...

Incoming #CME could spark impressive #NorthernLights over the northern US tonight. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Incoming CME could spark impre...

Incoming #CME could spark impressive #NorthernLights over the northern US tonight. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Incoming CME could spark impre...

Incoming #CME could spark impressive #NorthernLights over the northern US tonight. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Incoming CME could spark impre...

Incoming #CME could spark impressive #NorthernLights over the northern US tonight. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Incoming CME could spark impre...

Radical proposal would block solar storms with orbital ‘airbag’. Via @sciencemagazine #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Radical proposal would block s...

Radical proposal would block solar storms with orbital ‘airbag’. Via @sciencemagazine #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Radical proposal would block s...

Radical proposal would block solar storms with orbital ‘airbag’. Via @sciencemagazine #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Radical proposal would block s...

Radical proposal would block solar storms with orbital ‘airbag’. Via @sciencemagazine #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Radical proposal would block s...

Unusual red northern lights over #Japan 🇯🇵 suggest some solar storms are stronger than we thought. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Unusual red northern lights ov...

Unusual red northern lights over #Japan 🇯🇵 suggest some solar storms are stronger than we thought. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Unusual red northern lights ov...

Unusual red northern lights over #Japan 🇯🇵 suggest some solar storms are stronger than we thought. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Unusual red northern lights ov...

Unusual red northern lights over #Japan 🇯🇵 suggest some solar storms are stronger than we thought. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Unusual red northern lights ov...

An ancient solar storm left clues in tree rings and a famous poet's diary: 'Red lights in the northern sky'. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Science 🔭🔬🧪🥼🧑‍🔬 #History

An ancient solar storm left cl...

An ancient solar storm left clues in tree rings and a famous poet's diary: 'Red lights in the northern sky'. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Science 🔭🔬🧪🥼🧑‍🔬 #History

An ancient solar storm left cl...

An ancient solar storm left clues in tree rings and a famous poet's diary: 'Red lights in the northern sky'. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Science 🔭🔬🧪🥼🧑‍🔬 #History

An ancient solar storm left cl...

An ancient solar storm left clues in tree rings and a famous poet's diary: 'Red lights in the northern sky'. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Science 🔭🔬🧪🥼🧑‍🔬 #History

An ancient solar storm left cl...

An ancient solar storm left clues in tree rings and a famous poet's diary: 'Red lights in the northern sky'. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Science 🔭🔬🧪🥼🧑‍🔬 #History

An ancient solar storm left cl...

WATCH: A Spacecraft Is Launching to Study How Earth Survives Solar Storms. Via @sciencealert #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

WATCH: A Spacecraft Is Launchi...

WATCH: A Spacecraft Is Launching to Study How Earth Survives Solar Storms. Via @sciencealert #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

WATCH: A Spacecraft Is Launchi...

WATCH: A Spacecraft Is Launching to Study How Earth Survives Solar Storms. Via @sciencealert #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

WATCH: A Spacecraft Is Launchi...

WATCH: A Spacecraft Is Launching to Study How Earth Survives Solar Storms. Via @sciencealert #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

WATCH: A Spacecraft Is Launchi...

Northern lights may be visible in several US states tonight as 3 CMEs race toward Earth. Via @spacedotcom #Space #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Northern lights may be visible...

Northern lights may be visible in several US states tonight as 3 CMEs race toward Earth. Via @spacedotcom #Space #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Northern lights may be visible...

Northern lights may be visible in several US states tonight as 3 CMEs race toward Earth. Via @spacedotcom #Space #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Northern lights may be visible...

Northern lights may be visible in several US states tonight as 3 CMEs race toward Earth. Via @spacedotcom #Space #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Northern lights may be visible...

Geomagnetic storm could spark northern lights as far south as Michigan and Maine over the weekend. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Geomagnetic storm could spark ...

Geomagnetic storm could spark northern lights as far south as Michigan and Maine over the weekend. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Geomagnetic storm could spark ...

Geomagnetic storm could spark northern lights as far south as Michigan and Maine over the weekend. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Geomagnetic storm could spark ...

Geomagnetic storm could spark northern lights as far south as Michigan and Maine over the weekend. Via @spacedotcom #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #NorthernLights #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Geomagnetic storm could spark ...

Solar activity makes space junk crash to Earth faster. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy #KesslerSyndrome 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Solar activity makes space jun...

Solar activity makes space junk crash to Earth faster. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy #KesslerSyndrome 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Solar activity makes space jun...

Solar activity makes space junk crash to Earth faster. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy #KesslerSyndrome 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Solar activity makes space jun...

Solar activity makes space junk crash to Earth faster. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy #KesslerSyndrome 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Solar activity makes space jun...

Getting ready for the next #CarringtonEvent. :-)

"The May 2024 geomagnetic storm was the largest for over 20 years. The storm was categorized as a ‘low-level’ G5, where G5 is the highest on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scale for geomagnetic storms, yet the individual solar eruptive events were not particularly severe, and the observed impacts were relatively minor. The impacts that were observed were due to the combined and sustained effect of five successive earthward-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) which drove the storm. The event exposed the weakness of the current storm classification system which does not discriminate between low impact and high impact G5 events; it exercised the UK Met Office forecasting system, communications and UK preparedness; and it highlighted key areas that need to be addressed, particularly relating to national power supplies, space traffic management, aviation, forecasting and data gaps. Here, we set out what happened, record some of the key impacts, discuss what went well and what needs to be improved. We make 14 recommendations relevant to four government departments, so that the UK can be better prepared for a low-probability, high-impact space weather event described in the reasonable worst-case scenario that informs the national risk register."

#GeomagneticStorm

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/rsos/article/13/4/251943/481540/The-May-2024-geomagnetic-storm-UK-experience-and

Getting ready for the next #CarringtonEvent. :-)

"The May 2024 geomagnetic storm was the largest for over 20 years. The storm was categorized as a ‘low-level’ G5, where G5 is the highest on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scale for geomagnetic storms, yet the individual solar eruptive events were not particularly severe, and the observed impacts were relatively minor. The impacts that were observed were due to the combined and sustained effect of five successive earthward-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) which drove the storm. The event exposed the weakness of the current storm classification system which does not discriminate between low impact and high impact G5 events; it exercised the UK Met Office forecasting system, communications and UK preparedness; and it highlighted key areas that need to be addressed, particularly relating to national power supplies, space traffic management, aviation, forecasting and data gaps. Here, we set out what happened, record some of the key impacts, discuss what went well and what needs to be improved. We make 14 recommendations relevant to four government departments, so that the UK can be better prepared for a low-probability, high-impact space weather event described in the reasonable worst-case scenario that informs the national risk register."

#GeomagneticStorm

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/rsos/article/13/4/251943/481540/The-May-2024-geomagnetic-storm-UK-experience-and

Getting ready for the next #CarringtonEvent. :-)

"The May 2024 geomagnetic storm was the largest for over 20 years. The storm was categorized as a ‘low-level’ G5, where G5 is the highest on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scale for geomagnetic storms, yet the individual solar eruptive events were not particularly severe, and the observed impacts were relatively minor. The impacts that were observed were due to the combined and sustained effect of five successive earthward-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) which drove the storm. The event exposed the weakness of the current storm classification system which does not discriminate between low impact and high impact G5 events; it exercised the UK Met Office forecasting system, communications and UK preparedness; and it highlighted key areas that need to be addressed, particularly relating to national power supplies, space traffic management, aviation, forecasting and data gaps. Here, we set out what happened, record some of the key impacts, discuss what went well and what needs to be improved. We make 14 recommendations relevant to four government departments, so that the UK can be better prepared for a low-probability, high-impact space weather event described in the reasonable worst-case scenario that informs the national risk register."

#GeomagneticStorm

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/rsos/article/13/4/251943/481540/The-May-2024-geomagnetic-storm-UK-experience-and

Getting ready for the next #CarringtonEvent. :-)

"The May 2024 geomagnetic storm was the largest for over 20 years. The storm was categorized as a ‘low-level’ G5, where G5 is the highest on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scale for geomagnetic storms, yet the individual solar eruptive events were not particularly severe, and the observed impacts were relatively minor. The impacts that were observed were due to the combined and sustained effect of five successive earthward-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) which drove the storm. The event exposed the weakness of the current storm classification system which does not discriminate between low impact and high impact G5 events; it exercised the UK Met Office forecasting system, communications and UK preparedness; and it highlighted key areas that need to be addressed, particularly relating to national power supplies, space traffic management, aviation, forecasting and data gaps. Here, we set out what happened, record some of the key impacts, discuss what went well and what needs to be improved. We make 14 recommendations relevant to four government departments, so that the UK can be better prepared for a low-probability, high-impact space weather event described in the reasonable worst-case scenario that informs the national risk register."

#GeomagneticStorm

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/rsos/article/13/4/251943/481540/The-May-2024-geomagnetic-storm-UK-experience-and

Getting ready for the next #CarringtonEvent. :-)

"The May 2024 geomagnetic storm was the largest for over 20 years. The storm was categorized as a ‘low-level’ G5, where G5 is the highest on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scale for geomagnetic storms, yet the individual solar eruptive events were not particularly severe, and the observed impacts were relatively minor. The impacts that were observed were due to the combined and sustained effect of five successive earthward-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) which drove the storm. The event exposed the weakness of the current storm classification system which does not discriminate between low impact and high impact G5 events; it exercised the UK Met Office forecasting system, communications and UK preparedness; and it highlighted key areas that need to be addressed, particularly relating to national power supplies, space traffic management, aviation, forecasting and data gaps. Here, we set out what happened, record some of the key impacts, discuss what went well and what needs to be improved. We make 14 recommendations relevant to four government departments, so that the UK can be better prepared for a low-probability, high-impact space weather event described in the reasonable worst-case scenario that informs the national risk register."

#GeomagneticStorm

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/rsos/article/13/4/251943/481540/The-May-2024-geomagnetic-storm-UK-experience-and

Sun unleashes 2 colossal X-flares within 7 hours of each other, knocking out radio signals on Earth. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Sun unleashes 2 colossal X-fla...

Sun unleashes 2 colossal X-flares within 7 hours of each other, knocking out radio signals on Earth. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Sun unleashes 2 colossal X-fla...

Sun unleashes 2 colossal X-flares within 7 hours of each other, knocking out radio signals on Earth. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Sun unleashes 2 colossal X-fla...

Sun unleashes 2 colossal X-flares within 7 hours of each other, knocking out radio signals on Earth. Via @spacedotcom #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️ #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #CME #CoronalMassEjection

Sun unleashes 2 colossal X-fla...

#NorthernLights may be visible from several US states Friday and Saturday as giant hole opens up in sun's atmosphere. Via @live_science #SkyWatchers 🌃✨🌠 #SolarStorms #SolarFlare #CarringtonEvent #AuroraBorealis #CME #CoronalMassEjection #Space #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #Astronomy 🚀 🌌 ☄️ 🛰️

Northern lights may be visible...