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1000 results for “Impossible_PhD”

  1. 🎧 Currently Playing • Roar's 2016 album "Impossible Animals" 🎧

    Another new band, or should I saw single person project, I've recently discovered.

    Very much digging Owen Evans' work.

    youtube.com/watch?v=_I3sySF_dg

    #Roar #OwenEvans #music

  2. @caohuak @silverpill Well, to be honest, that crypto stuff doesn't have its bad rep entirely undeservedly. It appears to be used as a cash grab or for get-rick-quick schemes more often than not.

    The massive gambling with the big cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and Ethereum that causes both to be highly volatile.

    Gigantic Ethereum mining farms with countless high-end graphics cards that eat up more electricity than a bigger town, often even fossil or nuclear energy because there simply isn't enough renewable energy available where they're located.

    NFT hypes. Masses of NFTs that were procedurally generated and sold for insane amounts of money. See Bored Apes. They've made a few people very rich with next to zero effort. Others have lost a lot of money because these NFTs are literally absolutely worthless today.

    And this is a field that I'm pretty familiar with: The Metaverse. Mind you, I'm not talking about Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and Threads. That isn't the Metaverse. I'm not talking about "the Metaverse" a.k.a. "the Meta Metaverse" a.k.a. "the Facebook Metaverse" a.k.a. "Zuckerberg's Metaverse" either which, by the way, is actually named Horizon.

    No, I'm talking about cryptobros jumping upon the Metaverse bandwagon, hoping to squeeze some money out of it.

    The blueprint of this all has to be a virtual world named Decentraland which was opened in February, 2020, just in time for the COVID-19 pandemic that caused real-life social interaction to grind to a complete halt and made virtual worlds the more popular.

    In fact, it was a crypto platform before it became a virtual world. In 2017 already, its own cryptocurrency MANA, which is on the Ethereum blockchain, was first traded to raise money to get the world itself started. And even as a virtual world, it's a crypto platform because Decentraland is pretty much all about minting and selling NFTs.

    Part of its concept is that deeds to parcels of land are minted as NFTs and then sold. And these parcels aren't even that big. Better yet, they were sold before they even existed as actual virtual land. Basically, Decentraland sold deeds to something that they yet had to make. But they got enough customers to bite, including big fashion brands, but also real-estate companies that scooped up land to sell it with a big profit.

    Users, especially right-wing extremists, created avatars with slurs for names just to mint them as NFTs and sell them for a fortune. Nothing was done against it. I mean, the more NFTs were sold for MANA, the more MANA was traded, the more volatile it became, the higher profits one could make by trading it.

    Decentraland advertises itself as "the first decentralised Metaverse". This is nonsense. Yes, it's "decentralised" in the sense that MANA is not running on the Bitcoin blockchain. Yes, it's also "decentralised" in the sense of being governed by a DAO.

    But the virtual world system itself is a centralised, monolithic silo owned and operated by one and the same entity. The actual "first decentralised Metaverse" is made up of the worlds based on OpenSimulator from as early as 2007. This, by the way, is where I regularly am.

    It's every bit as decentralised as any Fediverse software out there. As in, you can have an avatar in one world and teleport to another world, on another server, under another domain, owned and operated by other people, appearance, inventory and all. As in, the five developers, including only one actual coder, don't own anything beyond their own patches of land.

    Another aspect that makes blatantly clear just how Decentraland is a crypto cash grab more than anything else: The actual world itself is buggy as hell. And precious little is done to fix these bugs. In fact, they don't even seem to matter because Decentraland is not about spending time in-world, which is why it's rather deserted and empty, but about minting, selling and buying NFTs.

    As COVID brought with itself a virtual world boom from which even Second Life could profit, crypto-based virtual world started spreading. For example, The Sandbox had already been bought out, and it came back in March as a crypto-based world.

    Hundreds of virtual worlds were at least announced in the early 2020s, all copying Decentraland's concept of minting deeds to virtual land as NFTs, backed by nothing more than an announcement and a promise, before even getting started with the actual virtual world. The latter was to be quickly and cheaply cobbled together using some 3-D game engine like Unity or Unreal Engine, neither of which is really fit for virtual worlds in which users can build stuff.

    The best outcome was an actual virtual world which was barely in a functional state. It only existed for there to be something backing the NFTs. Oftentimes, the financial assets behind the world were kept in cryptocurrencies, hoping that they rise in value which would create more financial assets out of nothing. But when the cryptocurrency crashed, it became impossible to pay for the operation of the world or whatever employees it had. Crypto crashes kept killing crypto-based worlds left and right. It didn't help that most crypto-based virtual worlds used existing cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin.

    In many other cases, however, there never was an actual virtual world to begin with. They never got it running. So their customers were sitting their with their expensive NFT land deeds and waiting for the actual land to be made. The longer it took for an announced virtual world to materialise, the harder it got to sell more NFT land deeds because the more unlikely it became that the actual land would ever exist. If plummeting land sales didn't put an end to the endeavour, the next crypto crash did.

    I think there were even scammers among these cryptobros. They, too, announced a hot new crypto-based virtual world. They, too, started selling land deeds as NFTs. But they never had the intention to actually create and launch a virtual world. They sold shit-tons of NFTs for shit-tons of crypto money. Then they waited for the cryptocurrency to soar. If they were smart, they traded it all for millions in fiat money and made away with it to someplace offshore. If they weren't, if they wanted to keep on gambling, they, too, lost almost everything in a crypto crash.

    Lastly: Around 2021/2022, many cryptobros staunchly insisted in virtual worlds absolutely requiring a blockchain, a cryptocurrency and NFTs for everything. According to them, it's technologically absolutely impossible to build virtual worlds without even only one of these. This was to keep people from getting interested (and invested) in non-crypto virtual worlds.

    As a matter of fact, however, there are lots of virtual worlds that don't use a blockchain, that don't have a cryptocurrency, that don't have NFTs for anything. Second Life doesn't, and it never has since its launch in 2002. And Second Life still generates more revenue per user and month than Facebook, legally even.

    OpenSim doesn't anywhere. Sansar didn't. High Fidelity didn't. Vircadia doesn't. Overte doesn't. Roblox doesn't. VRChat doesn't. Rec Room didn't. (Formerly Mozilla) Hubs doesn't. Horizon doesn't. Just to name a few. Some of these don't have any in-world payment system at all.

    All these blatant lies, the total neglect of the actual virtual worlds and their misuse as a money printer don't really make me trust in crypto. Neither do the rampant gambling and the volatility.

    Oh, and don't get me started about land prices in Decentraland vs Second Life vs OpenSim.

    #Long #LongPost #CWLong #CWLongPost #FediMeta #FediverseMeta #CWFediMeta #CWFediverseMeta #VirtualWorlds #Metaverse #TheMetaverse #Decentraland #TheSandbox #Blockchain #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #Cryptocurrencies #NFT #NFTs #Cryptobros #Cryptomining #CryptoScam #CryptoCrash #NFTCrash
  3. Third time lucky for Google's creepy glasses that make you look like Brains from Thunderbirds?

    Would you be happy to have a conversation with someone wearing these without knowing what information about you might be being presented to the wearer?

    Of course it's got #AI now so it's bound to be reliable [insert sarcasm emoji]

    Is this sort of thing for people who like to think they're a character in a Mission Impossible film?

    #Google #GoogleGlass #technology

    bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwyx83

  4. Looking for Vargr character art for my game, and even adding -AI to my searches and the results are half generated images. How long before it’s nearly impossible to find art from a real artist?

    #TTRPG #AIArt #AI #AutomatedPlagarism #Plagarism #Vargr #Traveller #TravellerRpg #ClassicTraveller #Traveller5 #GMPrep

  5. A question for all my #trans and #NonBinary friends out there...

    If I were to refer colloquially to someone who does or is something, and whom I know is male, I would probably refer to them as, "the *guy* who does this". I may also use "chap", "fellow", or "fella". I've even been known to use "bloke", "cat", "dude", "yob", whatever, depending on how obtuse I'm feeling at the time. "Man" of course is acceptable but I wouldn't consider it colloquial.

    In the similar situation but instead knowing the person is female, I'd say "the *woman* who does this" - or, often, "gal" or "lady". I use "girl" very, very seldom because of the connotations, and in the same circumstance where I would use "boy" for a male. I've also heard "guy" used interchangeably, and may have done so once or twice, but I don't really consider it a solution.

    It's a bit more stilted with women overall, but that's a level of etiquette that is absolutely impossible for me to decouple from my being. Gentility 101.

    If I were to refer to a non-binary person, what word should I use? Of course, the polite thing would be to ask first, and I would certainly do so if I had the opportunity, but the idea of etiquette has traditionally been that there's a proscribed way to do things so you don't have to ask. "Person" seems too clinical, and I'm not aware of any widely-accepted neologisms - though I wouldn't be.

    To consider the source, here: I'm an older #NorthAmerican cis-gendered #GeneticLotteryWinner - and I'm sometimes cited as being "old-fashioned" in my manners and outlook, even by those in my age cohort.
  6. a few years ago i imported a copy of Cadaver from the UK.

    it's one of those beautifully animated Bitmap Brothers games that was impossible to find on this side of the pond, so we grew up without the finer things in life

    only today did i notice it has the most british promotion on the front cover.

    buy 5 mirrorsoft games, and get a 2 night stay at some mortifying seaside hotel with human stains on the walls.

    "You just pay for the meals!" has this perfect british skinflintery to it that i adore. like paying for the dessert and then asking your date to pay for the entrée. 🤌

    #atari #amiga #dosGaming #uk

  7. A quotation from Bertrand Russell

    Neither acquiescence in skepticism nor acquiescence in dogma is what education should produce. What it should produce is a belief that knowledge is attainable in a measure, though with difficulty; that much of what passes for knowledge at any given time is likely to be more or less mistaken, but that the mistakes can be rectified by care and industry. In acting upon our beliefs, we should be very cautious where a small error would mean disaster; nevertheless it is upon our beliefs that we must act. This state of mind is rather difficult: it requires a high degree of intellectual culture without emotional atrophy. But though difficult it is not impossible; it is in fact the scientific temper. Knowledge, like other good things, is difficult, but not impossible; the dogmatist forgets the difficulty, the skeptic denies the possibility. Both are mistaken, and their errors, when wide-spread, produce social disaster.

    Bertrand Russell (1872-1970) English mathematician and philosopher
    Education and the Good Life, Part 1, ch. 2 “The Aims of Education” (1926)

    More about this quote: wist.info/russell-bertrand/826…

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #bertrandrussell #action #caution #dogma #dogmatism #education #knowledge #rationality #science #selfawareness #skeptic #skepticism #truthseeking #pedagogy

  8. Journal, Day 1776
    Tuesday, 28 January 2025
    Ukraine War: Day 1081
    Hamas-Israel War: Day 478
    Mass shootings in the USA in 2025: 20

    #DeathOfDemocracy #grants #medicaid
    #stupidity #schadenfreude

  9. Avec la fin des DM #e2ee en plus de toutes les merdes inhérentes à #meta , j'aimerais tellement que mes gosses arrêtent totalement d'utiliser #instagram 😨

    Je n'aurais jamais du les y autoriser, c'est ma faute, mais je n'avais pas conscience de la gravité de la chose à l'époque...

    Et maintenant, à 15 et 16 ans, alors qu'ils y maintiennent tellement de leur vie social en ligne (😞), les arrêter en plein vol relève de l'impossible, je trouve. Je vais les isoler à fond, de #meta mais aussi de 90% de leurs amis...

    A moins de convertir les groupes d'amis avec 😅
    Quel challenge...

  10. Marvelous Market: Best New Comics May 13

    After a few low weeks, I’m buying too many comics again

    Do the publishers collaborate in picking what week they release comics I’m interested in? Two weeks ago there was only one or two books I wanted even a little. This week there are like a dozen. I’m tyring to buy a house bro, I don’t have this kind of budget.

    Hello and welcome to the Marvelous Market, my weekly guide for anyone interested in going to a comic book store today. In addition to a full list of new # 1s and new volume 1s, I’ll be giving you my top 4 recommendations in 4 categories. Like Houston legend Mike Jones rapped, “We’re still tippin’ on four-fours.” I’m going to give you the top four new comics, top four ongoing comics, the top four graphic novels, and the top 4 preorders.

    The work going into this curation is made possible by readers like you. For less than the cost of a cup of coffee a month, you can help make this work possible.

    New Issue # 1s

    BARBARA GORDON: BREAKOUT # 1

    SOLICIT COPY:

    LEAPING FROM THE PAGES OF MAY’S BATMAN #9 INTO THE NEXT LEVEL! Framed. Outlawed. Hunted. The extralegal activities of Gotham’s vigilantes have never been more dangerous. After Barbara Gordon is arrested for aiding the Bat-Family, she is shipped off to Supermax, GCPD Commissioner Vandal Savage’s pet-project prison for all who oppose him. She will find herself alone, surrounded by dangerous criminals and equally dangerous guards, in a place where nothing is what it seems. The true danger is just beginning…

    Eisner Award-winning writer Mariko Tamaki and fan-favorite artist Amancay Nahuelpan reunite to deliver a twisty, unexpected Bat-book for DC Next Level.

    GOZILLA VS AMERICA: GODZILLA VS TEXAS # 1

    SOLICIT COPY:

    Everything is bigger in Texas.

    Godzilla couldn’t settle for one city in the Lone Star State, so it’s going to trample over all of them. Hopefully those cowboys have a saddle big enough for the King of the Monsters… or else things are about to get ugly.

    Join Godzilla and a cast of comic book creators from this great state on a whirlwind tour of Texas! Featuring four 10-page stories by comic book legends like Matt Frank (Mothra, Godzilla: Rulers of Earth) and more!

    IF DESTRUCTION BE OUR LOT # 1

    SOLICIT COPY:

    While on a retirement community field trip, a group of aging ex-Hollywood stars encounter a baby kaiju on the run from military agents. Bonding quickly with the creature, the cantankerous cadre of former celebrities have to somehow get the kaiju to safety—before it causes the end of the world!

    SPECTACULAR SPIDER-MAN: BRAND NEW DAY # 1

    SOLICIT COPY:

    BRAND NEW BRAND NEW DAY! Spider-Man discovers one of the most valuable items the Kingpin, A.K.A. Wilson Fisk, possesses — THE LEXICON. This directory of the Kingpin’s criminal enterprise could destroy the criminal landscape of New York City and that’s Spider-Man’s goal when he takes it. But Fisk isn’t the only person who wants the Lexicon… Mr. Negative would love his competitor’s secret information, but so would Frank Castle himself, the Punisher. Taking the Lexicon sure seemed like a good idea to make the city safer, but it’s painted the biggest target ever on Spider-Man’s back! 

    ONGOING SERIES

    ABSOLUTE BATMAN # 20

    SOLICIT COPY:

    A TRAGIC LOSS ROCKS GOTHAM CITY! As the dust settles in the city of Gotham after the loss of [redacted], Robins enter the scene ready to hunt and more than one secret will be revealed in this seminal issue.

    BLEEDING HEARTS # 4

    SOLICIT COPY:

    WILL POKE’S BEST FRIEND BETRAY HIM? How do you bond with a human when you have little humanity yourself? Poke is figuring it out firsthand, but his best friend Mush is starting to notice. Poke is disappearing all the time, and when he’s around, he’s barely interested in preparing for the joyous holiday of Out-Break. Doesn’t he want to celebrate the devouring of Live One flesh? Poke has a tough decision to make… but the collision of his two worlds might end up making it for him!

    BLOOD & THUNDER # 13

    SOLICIT COPY:

    NEW STORY ARC BLOOD IS IN THE LAST PLACE SHE EXPECTED! After the surprising conclusion of the previous issue, Blood finds herself in an impossible situation and desperate to get the odds back in her favor. But without Thunder, the galaxy’s most wanted woman will need to find new allies…

    ULTIMATE ENDGAME # 4

    SOLICIT COPY:

    SPIDER-MAN MEETS HIS MAKER! Time is ticking on the Ultimate Universe!!! In this penultimate issue of the most climactic super-hero event EVER(!)… heroes will fall, villains will rise and your favorite characters will be forced to make difficult sacrifices!

    Trade Paperbacks, Hardcovers, and OGNs

    DETECTIVE KAIJU vol. 1 TP

    SOLICIT COPY:

    Detective Kaiju, the grizzled investigator of the hit-series Quested, finally takes center stage in his own thrilling murder mystery. Known for his relentless pursuit of the truth, Kaiju’s latest case will force him to confront the buried secrets of his past.

    With danger closing in and time running out, Detective Kaiju must navigate a treacherous web of lies, alien conspiracy theory, a film industry underbelly, and long-buried secrets. On an island built on illusion, who can he really trust? And will solving this case finally give him the answers he’s been searching for—or destroy him in the process?

    Gritty, atmospheric, and packed with twists, Detective Kaiju volume one is a must-read noir thriller that dives deep into the origins of crime fiction’s most larger-than-life investigators.

    IMMORTAL LEGEND BATMAN TP

    SOLICIT COPY:

    From the void between our universe and its shadow come horrific apparitions craving nothing but destruction. But from this terror… an immortal legend known as Batman is born. Aided by Nightwing and Robin, this Dark Knight battles unceasingly against deadly shadow monsters who want to destroy our universe. But to fully triumph against a rogues gallery of cosmic evil, Batman must face how his incredible abilities are tied to the shadow universe itself!

    Collecting Immortal Legend Batman #1-6.

    LOBSTER JOHNSON Omnibus vol. 1

    SOLICIT COPY:

    Unconventional pulp hero Lobster Johnson keeps the streets of New York clean in this comics collection of his earliest supernatural, slick, and surprising misadventures.

    After years of captivating fans’ imaginations from the pages of Hellboy and B.P.R.D., the pulp-style adventures of Lobster Johnson took the limelight in their own series of comics adventures. From gangsters to Nazis to an army of monkeys, the Lobster faces classic foes in strange new ways.

    His adventures are now collected for the first time in a paperback omnibus edition, collecting trade volumes The Burning Hand, Satan Smells a Rat, and Get the Lobster and the short story “Lobster Johnson: The Empty Chair” featuring writing by Mike Mignola, John Arcudi and Tonci Zonjic with art by Zonjic, Joe Querido, Sebastián Fiumara, and more!

    STAR TREK: RED SHIRTS TP

    SOLICIT COPY:

    The doomed Starfleet crew members, the red shirts, must track down spies on an isolated planet in this graphic novel.

    Stranded on the snow-ridden planet Arkonia 89, the crew of the U.S.S. Warren has a small window in which to pin down spies seeking to steal classified secrets and keep Starfleet data out of their nefarious hands.

    They face threats not only from their faceless enemies but from the brutalizing elements and wildlife of a planet far from home. In this complicated story of betrayal, loss, and redemption, the red shirts’ lives and Starfleet’s sanctity are on the line… and no one is safe.

    This heartrending story by writer Christopher Cantwell (Star Trek: Defiant) and artist Megan Levens (Star Trek) marks a new beginning for the Star Trek universe, featuring Starfleet’s most intrepid and doomed crew members: red shirts. Now, finally, they get their own story.

    Collects the complete miniseries Star Trek: Red Shirts #1–5. 

    Preorders on Final Order Cutoff

    ABSOLUTE CATWOMAN # 1

    SOLICIT COPY:

    WITH ALL THE WEALTH… WITH ALL THE GEAR… WITH ALL THE SKILLS, SHE IS THE ABSOLUTE APEX PREDATOR! Selina Kyle has carved a good life for herself. Through her ingenuity and skills, she’s become the greatest thief the world has ever known. With high-tech gear and weaponry, there’s no place too secure for Catwoman. Selina has built this life for herself and thoroughly escaped Gotham. But when someone from her past comes knocking at her door, Selina’s life comes crashing down around here. She’ll need to get to the bottom of a mystery taking her all around the globe! Written by Che Grayson and Scott Snyder with art by Bengal, Catwoman bursts onto the scene in the Absolute Universe!

    ASSORTED CRISIS EVENTS # 9

    SOLICIT COPY:

    Are you poor, desperate, huddled, massive? Do you live in a dark age, a depression, one of the many historical periods of slim pickings and no options? Welcome to the TEMPS, the first cross-temporal employment app! The past and future are filled with low skill, low wage gigs! Gigs such as: Cobbler’s assistant in plague-era Europe! Salvager in the ruins of New York, 2832! Soldier in Krang’s Cross-Time Army! Temp is shattering the temporal ceiling!

    BETAS

    SOLICIT COPY:

    Roommates Xavier, Doug, and Tim are just regular guys trying to make it on the dating scene. Meeting women isn’t easy, they might even call it impossible! Changing social mores, dating apps, and good old-fashioned shyness cause misstep after misstep. Recent mixed signals at the restaurant all three work at cause a cascading series of rules and regulations, putting everyone on edge. Some people adapt, others dig their heels in fleshing out a hilarious comedy about modern communication where bad faith arguments and self-serving directives clash leading to HR reprimands and ever-expanding apologies. As friends and co-workers struggle to connect under these conditions, some become lovers while others become mortal enemies. In Betas, Nick Maandag lampoons popular ideas around free speech, consent, and scold culture all while asking: can ever learn to talk to one another? And can we ever feel safe?

    STARSHIP GODZILLA: FIRST WARS TP

    SOLICIT COPY:

    Join a crew of cosmic misfits as they soar through the stars in Mechagodzilla in this series that ties in with the all-new Kai-Sei Era of Godzilla comics!

    You didn’t think kaiju were only on Earth, did you? 

    In the fight for galactic supremacy, no weapon is more powerful than a kaiju…and no team is better equipped to capture and transport these titanic monsters than the crew of Starship Godzilla!

    This ragtag group flies through space in Mechagodzilla and takes high-risk, high-reward missions across the galaxy. A kaiju heading toward your planet? Give them a call. A colossal space pest clogging up your trade route? They’ll get rid of it. A galactic civil war utilizing kaiju on both sides? They’ll…uh…do their best to stay out of it. But where there’s a galactic war, there’s a galactic conspiracy, and our crew members may not all land on the same side of this fight. 

    A brand-new kaiju space epic starts here in Starship Godzilla from Chris Gooch (In Utero, Under-Earth) and Oliver Ono (Godzilla: Monster Island Summer Camp)! Part of the new Godzilla connected comic book universe with Godzilla (Kai-Sei Era) and Godzilla: Escape the Deadzone!

    What did I miss?

    If there are some great comics, collected or in single issues, that you think I should be reading, tell me about them! And if you do try out any of these series, let me know how you liked them, or didn’t. This is a safe space for haters. If you enjoy this service, please share this article on social media or tell someone that you know reads comics about it.

    Divining Comics is brought to you by generous support from the “Best Friends of Divining Comics,” Alex Seubert.

    Divining Comics is also brought to you by the support of the “Friends of Divining Comics,” Comic Book Herald.

    If you would like to add your name to the list of friends, best friends, or best friends forever, support this work for less than the cost of one cup of coffee a month at patreon.com/diviningcomics. You can also leave a one-time tip/buy my zines at ko-fi.com/spikestonehand. Or, if you can’t afford to support me financially at this time, simply follow me on Twitter, Instagram, and Bluesky and share my posts there.

    #art #books #ComicBooks #comics #DC #dcComics #marvel #marvelComics #MarvelousMarket #NewComicDay
  11. New instance, new #introduction part 3 (the last of these previous instance reposts, promise):

    #15FilmsToKnowMe (because #7FilmsToKnowMe is impossible)

    #Orlando (1992)
    #BladeRunner (1982) + Blade Runner 2049 (2017)
    #OnlyLoversLeftAlive (2013)
    #Brick (2005)
    #TheAdventuresOfPriscillaQueenOfTheDesert (1994)
    #UnderTheSkin (2003)
    #WithnailAndI (1987)
    #TheVVitch (2015)
    #TheThirdMan (1949)
    #GhostInTheShell (1995)
    #AGirlWalksHomeAloneAtNight (2014)
    #YoungFrankenstein (1974)
    #Suspiria (1977)
    #MontyPythonAndTheHolyGrail (1975)

  12. Mission Impossible

    Trump’s Hormuz blockade is live. Oil is at $102. China’s Defence Minister says the strait is open for Chinese ships and dares the US to stop them. A forty-nation coalition is forming against the blockade. And one of the last two tankers carrying pre-war oil on earth is heading to Australia. Urban Wronski on the war Trump cannot win.

    urbanwronski.com/2026/04/14/mi

  13. gilles geirnaert wrote the following Beitrag Fri, 08 May 2026 13:48:10 +0200

    **Bombardements américains sur l'Iran – reprise de la guerre***


    Sous couvert de « non-reprise de la guerre », Washington relance les bombardements contre l’Iran. Ripostes, escalade, cessez-le-feu rompu : la spirale guerrière est enclenchée. Une fuite en avant stratégique qui menace de faire tomber l’économie mondiale dans les abysses.

    Par Georges Renard-Kuzmanovic

    Le porte-parole des Gardiens de la Révolution déclare que les Etats-Unis ont violé le cessez-le-feu qui tenait depuis 30 jours suite à leurs attaques contre l'Iran, d'abord en s'attaquant à deux pétroliers iraniens et ensuite en bombardant plusieurs villes en Iran. Les Etats-Unis affirment qu'ils n'ont fait que riposter (massivement) à une attaque iranienne qui aurait touché trois destroyers américains (attaque confirmée par le USCENTCOM par biais de missiles, drones et vedettes rapides mais... sans que les destroyers n'aient subi de dégât ni de blessés).

    De facto, les États-Unis, avec l’appui des Émirats arabes unis et de partenaires régionaux, viennent de lancer une nouvelle campagne de frappes massive contre l’Iran, visant plusieurs localités : Téhéran, Bandar Abbas, l’île de Qeshm, Minab (où furent tuées les 168 écolières iraniennes) ou encore Sirik. Officiellement, selon des responsables Républicains à Washington, il ne s’agirait pas d’une reprise de la guerre (sic!). Dans les faits, tout indique le contraire. Les frappes ont touché des zones sensibles, parfois civiles selon Téhéran, tandis que l’Iran a immédiatement riposté en ciblant des navires américains à proximité du détroit d’Ormuz et en lançant des missiles et drones vers les Émirats. Des explosions sont signalées à Abou Dhabi et Dubaï. Le cessez-le-feu de trente jours, déjà précaire, a cessé d’exister dans la nuit du 7 au 8 mai 1945 – étonnante manière de célébrer la fin de la deuxième guerre mondiale.

    Cette séquence n’a rien d’un accident. Elle s’inscrit dans une dynamique désormais bien rodée dans l'administration Trump : frapper en pleine négociation, tout en maintenant l'illusion d’une désescalade. Cette dissonance n’est pas seulement rhétorique, elle est stratégique, en tout cas elle est perçue ainsi à Washington, car elle permettrait de conserver une marge diplomatique tout en modifiant le rapport de force sur le terrain. Rien n'est moins sûr. Mais à force de jouer sur les mots, la réalité finit par s’imposer ; il y a bien une reprise du conflit, même si personne ne souhaite officiellement l’assumer.

    Une guerre qui ne dit pas son nom

    Ce qui frappe dans cette nouvelle phase, c’est, à nouveau, l’écart entre le discours et les faits. Washington affirme répondre à des attaques iraniennes contre ses navires. Téhéran soutient que ces frappes sont une riposte à des bombardements américains sur ses infrastructures et ses zones civiles, et d'abord une attaque directe contre deux de ses pétroliers. Chacun revendique la légitimité de l’action défensive, mais les deux contribuent à une escalade qui devient de plus en plus difficile à contenir, d'autant que lors des fragiles négociations, les positions et demandes iraniennes et américaines sont très largement antinomiques.

    Dans ce contexte, la notion même de « reprise de la guerre » devient secondaire. Ce qui importe, c’est la réalité opérationnelle, des frappes directes, des ripostes, des dégâts confirmés, et une extension progressive du théâtre des opérations. En l'état de nos connaissances, dans la nuit du 7 au 8 mai, nous ne savons pas pas l'envergure de l'attaque américaine. Compte tenu de la préparation militaire américaine durant ces trente derniers jours de cessez-le-feu, en particulier avec la concentration de forces spéciales, ce ne serait pas une surprise que d'apprendre qu'une opération au sol a été lancée au sol, par exemple sur l'île de Qeshm qui est un des verrou du détroit d'Ormuz. L’activation de défenses aériennes dans le ciel des Émirats et les frappes iraniennes contre des groupes kurdes à ses frontières témoignent d’une régionalisation du conflit qui dépasse largement le cadre initial.

    L’impasse stratégique américaine

    Au cœur de cette séquence se trouve une contradiction majeure du côté américain. Les États-Unis prétendent contenir l’escalade tout en renforçant leur présence militaire dans la région. Durant les trente jours de cessez-le-feu, loin d’un apaisement, Washington a accru ses capacités navales et aériennes dans le Golfe. Cette montée en puissance n’était pas neutre, elle préparait le terrain à une reprise des hostilités. Les Etats-Unis et Trump ne peuvent pas concéder une défaite, ni affaiblir le pétrodollar, ni perdre le contrôle géostratégique du Golfe persique et, en même temps, les Etats-Unis ne peuvent pas se permettre un enlisement de type Irak ou Afghanistan et encore moins l'effondrement de l'économie mondiale que cela entraînerait.

    Cette ambiguïté traduit très exactement l'impasse stratégique dans laquelle s'enfoncent les États-Unis. L’administration américaine, sous l’impulsion de Donald Trump, oscille entre démonstration de force et absence de cap politique clair – mêmes les buts de guerre semblent chaotiques, hier encore, le 6 mai, Marco Rubio déclarait que l'objectif de la guerre est... de rendre le détroit d'Ormuz libre et ouvert à la circulation maritime sans entraves, c'est-à-dire sa condition avant l'attaque illégale et unilatérale des Etats-Unis et d'Israël contre l'Iran. Ni renversement du régime iranien, ni stabilisation durable de la région, ni contrôle du nucléaire iranien, ni sécurisation complète du détroit d’Ormuz ne semblent réellement atteignables à court terme. La stratégie se réduit alors à une succession d’actions tactiques, destinées à préserver la crédibilité immédiate, mais sans vision stratégique, ni réelle option de sortie de guerre la tête haute.

    Cette instabilité est perçue jusque chez certains alliés traditionnels des Etats-Unis. Le cas saoudien est révélateur : irritée par l'attitude des Etats-Unis, le manque de communication, l'entraînement dans une guerre non souhaitée, les risques majeurs pour son économie, l’Arabie saoudite a restreint l’accès à certaines de ses bases. Ce geste, rapidement corrigé, rappelle que les partenaires régionaux ne sont pas alignés de manière automatique et qu’ils entendent peser sur les décisions américaines.

    Pression ou fuite en avant ?

    Mais qu'en est-il réellement ? S’agit-il d’une stratégie de pression maîtrisée et donc de teste ou d’une fuite en avant avec escalade et extension du conflit ? Les frappes en pleine négociation pourraient être interprétées comme un levier pour contraindre Téhéran, mais cela serait alors un vœux pieux considérant que les négociations ont été utilisées à deux reprises par la Maison Blanche pour lancer une guerre contre l'Iran et deux tentatives de changement de régime. Leurs répétitions et leur intensité suggèrent plutôt une dynamique d’escalade difficile à contrôler. Les jours qui suivent nous le diront.

    Chaque acteur est enfermé dans une logique de maintient de crédibilité. L’Iran ne peut se permettre de ne pas répondre sans apparaître vulnérable. Les États-Unis ne peuvent laisser des attaques contre leurs forces sans réaction sans affaiblir leur posture. Cette mécanique produit une spirale où la désescalade devient politiquement coûteuse, voire impossible à court terme, et où la moindre erreur peut être l'étincelle qui embrase toute la région.

    A l'heure où nous écrivons, Donald Trump déclare que ces attaques américaines seraient « une petite tape sur la main et que le cessez-le-feu est toujours en vigueur ». C'est une gestion chaotique de la guerre.

    Dans ce cadre, affirmer qu’il ne s’agit pas d’une guerre permet de retarder certaines conséquences politiques et juridiques, en particulier aux Etats-Unis, où après 60 jours, Donald Trump est censé recevoir l'aval formel du Congrès des Etats-Unis. Mais cette fiction s’effrite à mesure que les événements s’enchaînent. À partir d’un certain seuil, la réalité opérationnelle prend le dessus sur la communication.

    Une onde de choc économique mondiale

    Le baril de dollar Brent, le « pétrole papier » est passé dans la soirée de 97$ à plus de 103$... Les conséquences de cette reprise des frappes dépassent largement le cadre militaire. Le Golfe persique est un point névralgique de l’économie mondiale, en particulier pour les flux énergétiques. Toute perturbation durable dans la zone du détroit d’Ormuz entraîne mécaniquement une hausse des prix du pétrole et du gaz, une augmentation des coûts logistiques et une instabilité accrue des marchés.

    Or cette nouvelle escalade intervient dans un contexte déjà dégradé. La guerre en Iran a enclenché une crise systémique combinant tensions énergétiques, perturbations industrielles et hausse des coûts agricoles. Les engrais, les carburants et les produits dérivés du pétrole voient leurs prix augmenter, affectant directement la production et les chaînes d’approvisionnement mondiales.

    L’imprévisibilité américaine constitue ici un facteur aggravant. Les marchés doivent intégrer des décisions politiques fluctuantes, des annonces contradictoires et des escalades ponctuelles. Cette volatilité rend toute projection économique incertaine et fragilise davantage un système déjà sous tension.

    Une crise appelée à durer

    Ce nouvel affrontement n'est pas un épisode ponctuel, mais le révélateur d'une crise durable ; le détroit d'Ormuz ne sera pas libre à la circulation avant longtemps. Même en cas d’accalmie, les destructions d’infrastructures, les désorganisations logistiques et les recompositions géopolitiques auront des effets prolongés. Le retour à la normale, s’il intervient, prendra des années. Voir ici le dernier article de Jacques Sapir sur les conséquences économiques de la guerre pour la France, en l'état du conflit.

    Dans ce contexte, la reprise des bombardements apparaît comme une mauvaise nouvelle majeure. Elle confirme que les principaux acteurs sont incapables de sortir de l’impasse stratégique dans laquelle ils se sont enfermés, et elle rappelle une réalité fondamentale, à savoir qu'une guerre peut être niée politiquement, mais ses effets, eux, sont toujours bien réels pour les peuples.

    #^https://www.fpop.media/bombardements-americains-sur-liran-reprise-de-la-guerre/

    #iran #IranUSAwar #USA #WWIII
  14. #WWIII #China #Iran

    "Think of a violin made by a master craftsman: beautiful, precise, capable of extraordinary performance, but impossible to produce quickly or cheaply. It takes time, rare expertise, and materials that cannot be sourced at scale. You would not equip an entire orchestra with instruments like that. Yet that is essentially what the United States has attempted with its tactical air fleet.

    The F-35 program’s total lifetime cost is projected to exceed two trillion dollars, the most expensive Major Defense Acquisition Program in history. The United States plans to purchase thousands of them. Meanwhile, modern conflict, from Ukraine’s drone war to naval engagements in the Red Sea to Iran’s own mass missile and drone salvos, increasingly favors systems that can be produced at scale and replaced when lost. The F-35 is a masterpiece. But a force designed around a masterpiece is not designed for long, protracted wars, and U.S. adversaries know this.

    (. . .)

    None of this should suggest that the F-35 is a bad aircraft. Rather, the argument is that a force designed predominantly around the F-35 is a brittle force. The joint force should cover a wide spectrum of contingencies, from permissive raids against isolated adversaries to sustained, high-attrition campaigns against nuclear-armed peers fielding dense defenses across vast distances. No single platform covers all of that, and budgets are finite.

    The problem is not unique to the F-35. The Pentagon’s requirements process is built to maximize desired performance, not to discipline design by what the industrial base can actually produce at scale. The acquisition system then attempts to execute against those unconstrained demands, turning production realities into a downstream problem rather than a governing input at the outset. The same issue plagues or threatens to doom other tactical aviation programs, shipbuilding, and much more. Just as it took the brutal reality of naval warfare in the Pacific to shift the Navy’s love from the battleship to the aircraft carrier, it may take the catastrophic failure for limitations of exquisite tactical aircraft to overwhelm the forces keeping them drinking up most of the trough."

    warontherocks.com/cogs-of-war/

  15. #WWIII #China #Iran

    "Think of a violin made by a master craftsman: beautiful, precise, capable of extraordinary performance, but impossible to produce quickly or cheaply. It takes time, rare expertise, and materials that cannot be sourced at scale. You would not equip an entire orchestra with instruments like that. Yet that is essentially what the United States has attempted with its tactical air fleet.

    The F-35 program’s total lifetime cost is projected to exceed two trillion dollars, the most expensive Major Defense Acquisition Program in history. The United States plans to purchase thousands of them. Meanwhile, modern conflict, from Ukraine’s drone war to naval engagements in the Red Sea to Iran’s own mass missile and drone salvos, increasingly favors systems that can be produced at scale and replaced when lost. The F-35 is a masterpiece. But a force designed around a masterpiece is not designed for long, protracted wars, and U.S. adversaries know this.

    (. . .)

    None of this should suggest that the F-35 is a bad aircraft. Rather, the argument is that a force designed predominantly around the F-35 is a brittle force. The joint force should cover a wide spectrum of contingencies, from permissive raids against isolated adversaries to sustained, high-attrition campaigns against nuclear-armed peers fielding dense defenses across vast distances. No single platform covers all of that, and budgets are finite.

    The problem is not unique to the F-35. The Pentagon’s requirements process is built to maximize desired performance, not to discipline design by what the industrial base can actually produce at scale. The acquisition system then attempts to execute against those unconstrained demands, turning production realities into a downstream problem rather than a governing input at the outset. The same issue plagues or threatens to doom other tactical aviation programs, shipbuilding, and much more. Just as it took the brutal reality of naval warfare in the Pacific to shift the Navy’s love from the battleship to the aircraft carrier, it may take the catastrophic failure for limitations of exquisite tactical aircraft to overwhelm the forces keeping them drinking up most of the trough."

    warontherocks.com/cogs-of-war/

  16. #WWIII #China #Iran

    "Think of a violin made by a master craftsman: beautiful, precise, capable of extraordinary performance, but impossible to produce quickly or cheaply. It takes time, rare expertise, and materials that cannot be sourced at scale. You would not equip an entire orchestra with instruments like that. Yet that is essentially what the United States has attempted with its tactical air fleet.

    The F-35 program’s total lifetime cost is projected to exceed two trillion dollars, the most expensive Major Defense Acquisition Program in history. The United States plans to purchase thousands of them. Meanwhile, modern conflict, from Ukraine’s drone war to naval engagements in the Red Sea to Iran’s own mass missile and drone salvos, increasingly favors systems that can be produced at scale and replaced when lost. The F-35 is a masterpiece. But a force designed around a masterpiece is not designed for long, protracted wars, and U.S. adversaries know this.

    (. . .)

    None of this should suggest that the F-35 is a bad aircraft. Rather, the argument is that a force designed predominantly around the F-35 is a brittle force. The joint force should cover a wide spectrum of contingencies, from permissive raids against isolated adversaries to sustained, high-attrition campaigns against nuclear-armed peers fielding dense defenses across vast distances. No single platform covers all of that, and budgets are finite.

    The problem is not unique to the F-35. The Pentagon’s requirements process is built to maximize desired performance, not to discipline design by what the industrial base can actually produce at scale. The acquisition system then attempts to execute against those unconstrained demands, turning production realities into a downstream problem rather than a governing input at the outset. The same issue plagues or threatens to doom other tactical aviation programs, shipbuilding, and much more. Just as it took the brutal reality of naval warfare in the Pacific to shift the Navy’s love from the battleship to the aircraft carrier, it may take the catastrophic failure for limitations of exquisite tactical aircraft to overwhelm the forces keeping them drinking up most of the trough."

    warontherocks.com/cogs-of-war/

  17. #WWIII #China #Iran

    "Think of a violin made by a master craftsman: beautiful, precise, capable of extraordinary performance, but impossible to produce quickly or cheaply. It takes time, rare expertise, and materials that cannot be sourced at scale. You would not equip an entire orchestra with instruments like that. Yet that is essentially what the United States has attempted with its tactical air fleet.

    The F-35 program’s total lifetime cost is projected to exceed two trillion dollars, the most expensive Major Defense Acquisition Program in history. The United States plans to purchase thousands of them. Meanwhile, modern conflict, from Ukraine’s drone war to naval engagements in the Red Sea to Iran’s own mass missile and drone salvos, increasingly favors systems that can be produced at scale and replaced when lost. The F-35 is a masterpiece. But a force designed around a masterpiece is not designed for long, protracted wars, and U.S. adversaries know this.

    (. . .)

    None of this should suggest that the F-35 is a bad aircraft. Rather, the argument is that a force designed predominantly around the F-35 is a brittle force. The joint force should cover a wide spectrum of contingencies, from permissive raids against isolated adversaries to sustained, high-attrition campaigns against nuclear-armed peers fielding dense defenses across vast distances. No single platform covers all of that, and budgets are finite.

    The problem is not unique to the F-35. The Pentagon’s requirements process is built to maximize desired performance, not to discipline design by what the industrial base can actually produce at scale. The acquisition system then attempts to execute against those unconstrained demands, turning production realities into a downstream problem rather than a governing input at the outset. The same issue plagues or threatens to doom other tactical aviation programs, shipbuilding, and much more. Just as it took the brutal reality of naval warfare in the Pacific to shift the Navy’s love from the battleship to the aircraft carrier, it may take the catastrophic failure for limitations of exquisite tactical aircraft to overwhelm the forces keeping them drinking up most of the trough."

    warontherocks.com/cogs-of-war/

  18. World Events and Writing

    First, I could write another blog about the new spam I was exposed to just this week. Two different ones. But I'm not going to. They already waste my time on social media and email (and now discord), so I'm going to look on other topics. The World I'm reluctant to talk about anything going on in the world because I recognize I don't have enough information before my particular situation, because focusing on all issues is impossible, because focusing on even one issue is exhausting. Is it […]

    telinartho.wordpress.com/2026/

  19. World Events and Writing

    First, I could write another blog about the new spam I was exposed to just this week. Two different ones. But I'm not going to. They already waste my time on social media and email (and now discord), so I'm going to look on other topics. The World I'm reluctant to talk about anything going on in the world because I recognize I don't have enough information before my particular situation, because focusing on all issues is impossible, because focusing on even one issue is exhausting. Is it […]

    telinartho.wordpress.com/2026/

  20. World Events and Writing

    First, I could write another blog about the new spam I was exposed to just this week. Two different ones. But I'm not going to. They already waste my time on social media and email (and now discord), so I'm going to look on other topics. The World I'm reluctant to talk about anything going on in the world because I recognize I don't have enough information before my particular situation, because focusing on all issues is impossible, because focusing on even one issue is exhausting. Is it […]

    telinartho.wordpress.com/2026/

  21. World Events and Writing

    First, I could write another blog about the new spam I was exposed to just this week. Two different ones. But I'm not going to. They already waste my time on social media and email (and now discord), so I'm going to look on other topics. The World I'm reluctant to talk about anything going on in the world because I recognize I don't have enough information before my particular situation, because focusing on all issues is impossible, because focusing on even one issue is exhausting. Is it […]

    telinartho.wordpress.com/2026/

  22. World Events and Writing

    First, I could write another blog about the new spam I was exposed to just this week. Two different ones. But I'm not going to. They already waste my time on social media and email (and now discord), so I'm going to look on other topics. The World I'm reluctant to talk about anything going on in the world because I recognize I don't have enough information before my particular situation, because focusing on all issues is impossible, because focusing on even one issue is exhausting. Is it […]

    telinartho.wordpress.com/2026/

  23. A quotation from Jean Kerr

    We are being very careful with our children. They’ll never have to pay a psychiatrist twenty-five dollars an hour to find out why we rejected them. We’ll tell them why we rejected them. Because they’re impossible, that’s why.

    Jean Kerr (1922-2003) American author and playwright [b. Bridget Jean Collins]
    Essay (1957), “Please Don’t Eat the Daisies,” Please Don’t Eat the Daisies

    More about this quote: wist.info/kerr-jean/82455/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #jeankerr #childrearing #children #parenting #psychiatrist #rejection #trauma

  24. A quotation from Jean Kerr

    We are being very careful with our children. They’ll never have to pay a psychiatrist twenty-five dollars an hour to find out why we rejected them. We’ll tell them why we rejected them. Because they’re impossible, that’s why.

    Jean Kerr (1922-2003) American author and playwright [b. Bridget Jean Collins]
    Essay (1957), “Please Don’t Eat the Daisies,” Please Don’t Eat the Daisies

    More about this quote: wist.info/kerr-jean/82455/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #jeankerr #childrearing #children #parenting #psychiatrist #rejection #trauma

  25. A quotation from Jean Kerr

    We are being very careful with our children. They’ll never have to pay a psychiatrist twenty-five dollars an hour to find out why we rejected them. We’ll tell them why we rejected them. Because they’re impossible, that’s why.

    Jean Kerr (1922-2003) American author and playwright [b. Bridget Jean Collins]
    Essay (1957), “Please Don’t Eat the Daisies,” Please Don’t Eat the Daisies

    More about this quote: wist.info/kerr-jean/82455/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #jeankerr #childrearing #children #parenting #psychiatrist #rejection #trauma

  26. A quotation from Jean Kerr

    We are being very careful with our children. They’ll never have to pay a psychiatrist twenty-five dollars an hour to find out why we rejected them. We’ll tell them why we rejected them. Because they’re impossible, that’s why.

    Jean Kerr (1922-2003) American author and playwright [b. Bridget Jean Collins]
    Essay (1957), “Please Don’t Eat the Daisies,” Please Don’t Eat the Daisies

    More about this quote: wist.info/kerr-jean/82455/

    #quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #jeankerr #childrearing #children #parenting #psychiatrist #rejection #trauma

  27. Why is man so hard of heart? It is because he does not yet know God. If he had knowledge of God he could not act in direct opposition to His laws; if he were spiritually minded such a line of conduct would be impossible to him. If only the laws and precepts of the prophets of God had been believed, understood and followed, wars would no longer darken the face of the earth.

    ‘Abdu’l‑Bahá
    Paris Talks
    www.bahai.org/r/148105928
    #bahai #bahaifaith #bahaiquotes #quotes

  28. Why is man so hard of heart? It is because he does not yet know God. If he had knowledge of God he could not act in direct opposition to His laws; if he were spiritually minded such a line of conduct would be impossible to him. If only the laws and precepts of the prophets of God had been believed, understood and followed, wars would no longer darken the face of the earth.

    ‘Abdu’l‑Bahá
    Paris Talks
    www.bahai.org/r/148105928
    #bahai #bahaifaith #bahaiquotes #quotes