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#precautionaryprinciple — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #precautionaryprinciple, aggregated by home.social.

  1. @shinmera
    This same approach & ‘costing’ apply to public health and also public libraries. Invisible when working well, costly failures when not.

    #costBenefit #publicHealth #publicLibraries #invisibility #failure #precautionaryPrinciple #publicGoods

  2. @shinmera
    This same approach & ‘costing’ apply to public health and also public libraries. Invisible when working well, costly failures when not.

    #costBenefit #publicHealth #publicLibraries #invisibility #failure #precautionaryPrinciple #publicGoods

  3. @theguardian_us_environment "The goal of Sea Shepherd’s latest campaign is to stop all krill fishing in the Antarctic... the industry’s expansion is outpacing the time needed to gather information to assess consequences of the trade... risks irreversible damage."

    #PrecautionaryPrinciple #overfishing #krill #Antarctic #ocean #fisheries

  4. @theguardian_us_environment "The goal of Sea Shepherd’s latest campaign is to stop all krill fishing in the Antarctic... the industry’s expansion is outpacing the time needed to gather information to assess consequences of the trade... risks irreversible damage."

    #PrecautionaryPrinciple #overfishing #krill #Antarctic #ocean #fisheries

  5. @theguardian_us_environment "The goal of Sea Shepherd’s latest campaign is to stop all krill fishing in the Antarctic... the industry’s expansion is outpacing the time needed to gather information to assess consequences of the trade... risks irreversible damage."

    #PrecautionaryPrinciple #overfishing #krill #Antarctic #ocean #fisheries

  6. Earth system models have generally been on track with unfolding reality, and they get better all the time.

    Anyway, here's more of what Russell Vought calls "alarmism" but is better thought of as information for applying the #PrecautionaryPrinciple. These are very high stakes.

    "Simultaneous droughts across multiple maize-producing regions can strike record-shattering portions of the global maize agricultural area, threatening global food security as the system is poorly adapted to large shocks. Yet the future probability of such global droughts remains unknown. Here, we close this gap by analyzing surface soil moisture data from large ensemble climate models under future emission scenarios. During 2026-2099, the chance of at least one such event is 52% (32–80%, range across models) under an intermediate emission scenario and 60% (32–100%) under high emissions, about seven to eleven times higher than expected if there were no long-term trends in soil moisture. These elevated probabilities are primarily driven by long-term drying in Brazil, Europe, and the USA. Interestingly, global record-shattering droughts do not emerge from simultaneous regional record-shattering events, but they mostly occur when several regions simultaneously face moderately extreme droughts relative to the new climate. These results demonstrate a high potential for an upcoming global record-shattering drought in crop-producing areas, an under-recognized risk for food security."

    Sadly it appears the authors are unable to pay the ransom demanded by Springer-Nature so as to free their findings.

    [HT to @anlomedad for pointing out that the article is indeed open access. And Springer Nature is that little bit richer. :-) ]

    #ClimateChange.

    nature.com/articles/s41467-026

  7. Earth system models have generally been on track with unfolding reality, and they get better all the time.

    Anyway, here's more of what Russell Vought calls "alarmism" but is better thought of as information for applying the #PrecautionaryPrinciple. These are very high stakes.

    "Simultaneous droughts across multiple maize-producing regions can strike record-shattering portions of the global maize agricultural area, threatening global food security as the system is poorly adapted to large shocks. Yet the future probability of such global droughts remains unknown. Here, we close this gap by analyzing surface soil moisture data from large ensemble climate models under future emission scenarios. During 2026-2099, the chance of at least one such event is 52% (32–80%, range across models) under an intermediate emission scenario and 60% (32–100%) under high emissions, about seven to eleven times higher than expected if there were no long-term trends in soil moisture. These elevated probabilities are primarily driven by long-term drying in Brazil, Europe, and the USA. Interestingly, global record-shattering droughts do not emerge from simultaneous regional record-shattering events, but they mostly occur when several regions simultaneously face moderately extreme droughts relative to the new climate. These results demonstrate a high potential for an upcoming global record-shattering drought in crop-producing areas, an under-recognized risk for food security."

    Sadly it appears the authors are unable to pay the ransom demanded by Springer-Nature so as to free their findings.

    [HT to @anlomedad for pointing out that the article is indeed open access. And Springer Nature is that little bit richer. :-) ]

    #ClimateChange.

    nature.com/articles/s41467-026

  8. Earth system models have generally been on track with unfolding reality, and they get better all the time.

    Anyway, here's more of what Russell Vought calls "alarmism" but is better thought of as information for applying the #PrecautionaryPrinciple. These are very high stakes.

    "Simultaneous droughts across multiple maize-producing regions can strike record-shattering portions of the global maize agricultural area, threatening global food security as the system is poorly adapted to large shocks. Yet the future probability of such global droughts remains unknown. Here, we close this gap by analyzing surface soil moisture data from large ensemble climate models under future emission scenarios. During 2026-2099, the chance of at least one such event is 52% (32–80%, range across models) under an intermediate emission scenario and 60% (32–100%) under high emissions, about seven to eleven times higher than expected if there were no long-term trends in soil moisture. These elevated probabilities are primarily driven by long-term drying in Brazil, Europe, and the USA. Interestingly, global record-shattering droughts do not emerge from simultaneous regional record-shattering events, but they mostly occur when several regions simultaneously face moderately extreme droughts relative to the new climate. These results demonstrate a high potential for an upcoming global record-shattering drought in crop-producing areas, an under-recognized risk for food security."

    Sadly it appears the authors are unable to pay the ransom demanded by Springer-Nature so as to free their findings.

    [HT to @anlomedad for pointing out that the article is indeed open access. And Springer Nature is that little bit richer. :-) ]

    #ClimateChange.

    nature.com/articles/s41467-026

  9. Earth system models have generally been on track with unfolding reality, and they get better all the time.

    Anyway, here's more of what Russell Vought calls "alarmism" but is better thought of as information for applying the #PrecautionaryPrinciple. These are very high stakes.

    "Simultaneous droughts across multiple maize-producing regions can strike record-shattering portions of the global maize agricultural area, threatening global food security as the system is poorly adapted to large shocks. Yet the future probability of such global droughts remains unknown. Here, we close this gap by analyzing surface soil moisture data from large ensemble climate models under future emission scenarios. During 2026-2099, the chance of at least one such event is 52% (32–80%, range across models) under an intermediate emission scenario and 60% (32–100%) under high emissions, about seven to eleven times higher than expected if there were no long-term trends in soil moisture. These elevated probabilities are primarily driven by long-term drying in Brazil, Europe, and the USA. Interestingly, global record-shattering droughts do not emerge from simultaneous regional record-shattering events, but they mostly occur when several regions simultaneously face moderately extreme droughts relative to the new climate. These results demonstrate a high potential for an upcoming global record-shattering drought in crop-producing areas, an under-recognized risk for food security."

    Sadly it appears the authors are unable to pay the ransom demanded by Springer-Nature so as to free their findings.

    [HT to @anlomedad for pointing out that the article is indeed open access. And Springer Nature is that little bit richer. :-) ]

    #ClimateChange.

    nature.com/articles/s41467-026

  10. Earth system models have generally been on track with unfolding reality, and they get better all the time.

    Anyway, here's more of what Russell Vought calls "alarmism" but is better thought of as information for applying the #PrecautionaryPrinciple. These are very high stakes.

    "Simultaneous droughts across multiple maize-producing regions can strike record-shattering portions of the global maize agricultural area, threatening global food security as the system is poorly adapted to large shocks. Yet the future probability of such global droughts remains unknown. Here, we close this gap by analyzing surface soil moisture data from large ensemble climate models under future emission scenarios. During 2026-2099, the chance of at least one such event is 52% (32–80%, range across models) under an intermediate emission scenario and 60% (32–100%) under high emissions, about seven to eleven times higher than expected if there were no long-term trends in soil moisture. These elevated probabilities are primarily driven by long-term drying in Brazil, Europe, and the USA. Interestingly, global record-shattering droughts do not emerge from simultaneous regional record-shattering events, but they mostly occur when several regions simultaneously face moderately extreme droughts relative to the new climate. These results demonstrate a high potential for an upcoming global record-shattering drought in crop-producing areas, an under-recognized risk for food security."

    Sadly it appears the authors are unable to pay the ransom demanded by Springer-Nature so as to free their findings.

    [HT to @anlomedad for pointing out that the article is indeed open access. And Springer Nature is that little bit richer. :-) ]

    #ClimateChange.

    nature.com/articles/s41467-026

  11. “Courts have concluded that the #PrecautionaryPrinciple must be respected when there is scientific uncertainty about how to effectively prevent significant or irreversible harm to the environment and to human health of present and future generations, as in the case of #DeepSeabedMining" 🦑

  12. “Courts have concluded that the #PrecautionaryPrinciple must be respected when there is scientific uncertainty about how to effectively prevent significant or irreversible harm to the environment and to human health of present and future generations, as in the case of #DeepSeabedMining" 🦑

  13. @PeterRu Who bans whom, using what power- and who decides on safety? Getting a bit late for the #precautionaryprinciple

  14. @PeterRu Who bans whom, using what power- and who decides on safety? Getting a bit late for the #precautionaryprinciple

  15. @PeterRu Who bans whom, using what power- and who decides on safety? Getting a bit late for the #precautionaryprinciple

  16. @PeterRu Who bans whom, using what power- and who decides on safety? Getting a bit late for the #precautionaryprinciple

  17. @PeterRu Who bans whom, using what power- and who decides on safety? Getting a bit late for the #precautionaryprinciple

  18. COVID is not just a respiratory virus. It’s not a cold. It’s not “mild”.

    It’s a multi system vascular virus that can do damage throughout your body.

    It’s also a novel virus. Five years is not a lot of time in the lifecycle of a new disease. The more we learn, the more obvious it becomes that avoiding infection is critical for long term health.

    The precautionary principle should have been applied. We need to be humble and realize that we don’t know how bad things will be in another few years.

    So wear a mask. Clean and ventilate the air. Avoid high risk settings. Do whatever you can to minimize your risk of infection. Protect yourself and your communities.

    link.springer.com/article/10.1

    #covidisairborne #covidisnotover #sarscov2 #longcovid #heartdamage #disability #wearamask #PrecautionaryPrinciple

  19. COVID is not just a respiratory virus. It’s not a cold. It’s not “mild”.

    It’s a multi system vascular virus that can do damage throughout your body.

    It’s also a novel virus. Five years is not a lot of time in the lifecycle of a new disease. The more we learn, the more obvious it becomes that avoiding infection is critical for long term health.

    The precautionary principle should have been applied. We need to be humble and realize that we don’t know how bad things will be in another few years.

    So wear a mask. Clean and ventilate the air. Avoid high risk settings. Do whatever you can to minimize your risk of infection. Protect yourself and your communities.

    link.springer.com/article/10.1

    #covidisairborne #covidisnotover #sarscov2 #longcovid #heartdamage #disability #wearamask #PrecautionaryPrinciple

  20. COVID is not just a respiratory virus. It’s not a cold. It’s not “mild”.

    It’s a multi system vascular virus that can do damage throughout your body.

    It’s also a novel virus. Five years is not a lot of time in the lifecycle of a new disease. The more we learn, the more obvious it becomes that avoiding infection is critical for long term health.

    The precautionary principle should have been applied. We need to be humble and realize that we don’t know how bad things will be in another few years.

    So wear a mask. Clean and ventilate the air. Avoid high risk settings. Do whatever you can to minimize your risk of infection. Protect yourself and your communities.

    link.springer.com/article/10.1

    #covidisairborne #covidisnotover #sarscov2 #longcovid #heartdamage #disability #wearamask #PrecautionaryPrinciple

  21. COVID is not just a respiratory virus. It’s not a cold. It’s not “mild”.

    It’s a multi system vascular virus that can do damage throughout your body.

    It’s also a novel virus. Five years is not a lot of time in the lifecycle of a new disease. The more we learn, the more obvious it becomes that avoiding infection is critical for long term health.

    The precautionary principle should have been applied. We need to be humble and realize that we don’t know how bad things will be in another few years.

    So wear a mask. Clean and ventilate the air. Avoid high risk settings. Do whatever you can to minimize your risk of infection. Protect yourself and your communities.

    link.springer.com/article/10.1

    #covidisairborne #covidisnotover #sarscov2 #longcovid #heartdamage #disability #wearamask #PrecautionaryPrinciple

  22. COVID is not just a respiratory virus. It’s not a cold. It’s not “mild”.

    It’s a multi system vascular virus that can do damage throughout your body.

    It’s also a novel virus. Five years is not a lot of time in the lifecycle of a new disease. The more we learn, the more obvious it becomes that avoiding infection is critical for long term health.

    The precautionary principle should have been applied. We need to be humble and realize that we don’t know how bad things will be in another few years.

    So wear a mask. Clean and ventilate the air. Avoid high risk settings. Do whatever you can to minimize your risk of infection. Protect yourself and your communities.

    link.springer.com/article/10.1

    #covidisairborne #covidisnotover #sarscov2 #longcovid #heartdamage #disability #wearamask #PrecautionaryPrinciple

  23. The EU's #NovelFood framework is fit for regulating cultivated #meat; the use of the #PrecautionaryPrinciple to ban #CultivatedMeat is not justified (provisional & proportionate). Existing #regulations provide the EU gastronomic #heritage with adequate safeguards: doi.org/10.1038/s41538-025-003 #cleanmeat

  24. The EU's #NovelFood framework is fit for regulating cultivated #meat; the use of the #PrecautionaryPrinciple to ban #CultivatedMeat is not justified (provisional & proportionate). Existing #regulations provide the EU gastronomic #heritage with adequate safeguards: doi.org/10.1038/s41538-025-003 #cleanmeat

  25. The EU's #NovelFood framework is fit for regulating cultivated #meat; the use of the #PrecautionaryPrinciple to ban #CultivatedMeat is not justified (provisional & proportionate). Existing #regulations provide the EU gastronomic #heritage with adequate safeguards: doi.org/10.1038/s41538-025-003 #cleanmeat

  26. The EU's #NovelFood framework is fit for regulating cultivated #meat; the use of the #PrecautionaryPrinciple to ban #CultivatedMeat is not justified (provisional & proportionate). Existing #regulations provide the EU gastronomic #heritage with adequate safeguards: doi.org/10.1038/s41538-025-003 #cleanmeat

  27. The EU's #NovelFood framework is fit for regulating cultivated #meat; the use of the #PrecautionaryPrinciple to ban #CultivatedMeat is not justified (provisional & proportionate). Existing #regulations provide the EU gastronomic #heritage with adequate safeguards: doi.org/10.1038/s41538-025-003 #cleanmeat

  28. @Nonilex

    “There are no control groups,” Campen said. “Everyone is exposed.”

    And that's a real problem - I recall the story breaking that second hand smoke was contributing to breast cancer - but it took many years of reduced smoking rates before enough women had NOT been exposed to second hand smoke so that they could compare groups in a meaningful way.

    One of the reasons I am heartbroken that the #PrecautionaryPrinciple has been rejected by the US. By the time you find the harm, and demonstrate linkages, the damage is done.

  29. @Nonilex

    “There are no control groups,” Campen said. “Everyone is exposed.”

    And that's a real problem - I recall the story breaking that second hand smoke was contributing to breast cancer - but it took many years of reduced smoking rates before enough women had NOT been exposed to second hand smoke so that they could compare groups in a meaningful way.

    One of the reasons I am heartbroken that the #PrecautionaryPrinciple has been rejected by the US. By the time you find the harm, and demonstrate linkages, the damage is done.

  30. @Nonilex

    “There are no control groups,” Campen said. “Everyone is exposed.”

    And that's a real problem - I recall the story breaking that second hand smoke was contributing to breast cancer - but it took many years of reduced smoking rates before enough women had NOT been exposed to second hand smoke so that they could compare groups in a meaningful way.

    One of the reasons I am heartbroken that the #PrecautionaryPrinciple has been rejected by the US. By the time you find the harm, and demonstrate linkages, the damage is done.

  31. @Nonilex

    “There are no control groups,” Campen said. “Everyone is exposed.”

    And that's a real problem - I recall the story breaking that second hand smoke was contributing to breast cancer - but it took many years of reduced smoking rates before enough women had NOT been exposed to second hand smoke so that they could compare groups in a meaningful way.

    One of the reasons I am heartbroken that the #PrecautionaryPrinciple has been rejected by the US. By the time you find the harm, and demonstrate linkages, the damage is done.

  32. @Nonilex

    “There are no control groups,” Campen said. “Everyone is exposed.”

    And that's a real problem - I recall the story breaking that second hand smoke was contributing to breast cancer - but it took many years of reduced smoking rates before enough women had NOT been exposed to second hand smoke so that they could compare groups in a meaningful way.

    One of the reasons I am heartbroken that the #PrecautionaryPrinciple has been rejected by the US. By the time you find the harm, and demonstrate linkages, the damage is done.

  33. I urge everyone to read this - especially if you live in LA (or have loved ones there).

    I appreciate Isabel mentioning the early days of the Covid pandemic and how we were told masks weren’t necessary. How public officials didn’t model mask wearing or precautions until much much later.

    It’s fitting perhaps that the folks doing the heavy lifting to protect people from the LA wildfires are disability and Covid activists.

    They’ve been boots on the ground since day one, with the government even going to them for masks and clean air supplies.

    The same government that tried to ban masks a few months ago, that discarded the disabled as “acceptable losses” are now asking for their help.

    And they’re showing up. Because that’s what this incredible community does. It shows up for people.

    If you’ve been Covid aware these last five years you’ve no doubt learned a ton about air quality. I know I have.

    You know about CO2, PMs and VOCs. You know about the difference between an N95 and a P100 and why gas filters are necessary for wildfires.

    You know to listen to the air quality experts who have been trying to warn us for years about the dangers of COVID and wildfire smoke.

    Listen to them now. The air isn’t safe. The water isn’t safe. The homes that are still standing aren’t safe.

    Even if the air quality is “ok” in Los Angeles, it’s anything but. It’s just like when we were told we didn’t have to wear masks for Covid. It’s early days and the info being given is incomplete (and best) and outright wrong (at worst).

    Mask up. Engage with a local mask bloc if you can’t afford a respirator or don’t know what kind to get. Pay attention to the air quality experts.

    Apply the precautionary principle. It may save your life.

    open.substack.com/pub/isabelka

    #la #losangeles #wildfires #california #wearamask #airquality #precautionaryprinciple

  34. I urge everyone to read this - especially if you live in LA (or have loved ones there).

    I appreciate Isabel mentioning the early days of the Covid pandemic and how we were told masks weren’t necessary. How public officials didn’t model mask wearing or precautions until much much later.

    It’s fitting perhaps that the folks doing the heavy lifting to protect people from the LA wildfires are disability and Covid activists.

    They’ve been boots on the ground since day one, with the government even going to them for masks and clean air supplies.

    The same government that tried to ban masks a few months ago, that discarded the disabled as “acceptable losses” are now asking for their help.

    And they’re showing up. Because that’s what this incredible community does. It shows up for people.

    If you’ve been Covid aware these last five years you’ve no doubt learned a ton about air quality. I know I have.

    You know about CO2, PMs and VOCs. You know about the difference between an N95 and a P100 and why gas filters are necessary for wildfires.

    You know to listen to the air quality experts who have been trying to warn us for years about the dangers of COVID and wildfire smoke.

    Listen to them now. The air isn’t safe. The water isn’t safe. The homes that are still standing aren’t safe.

    Even if the air quality is “ok” in Los Angeles, it’s anything but. It’s just like when we were told we didn’t have to wear masks for Covid. It’s early days and the info being given is incomplete (and best) and outright wrong (at worst).

    Mask up. Engage with a local mask bloc if you can’t afford a respirator or don’t know what kind to get. Pay attention to the air quality experts.

    Apply the precautionary principle. It may save your life.

    open.substack.com/pub/isabelka

    #la #losangeles #wildfires #california #wearamask #airquality #precautionaryprinciple

  35. I urge everyone to read this - especially if you live in LA (or have loved ones there).

    I appreciate Isabel mentioning the early days of the Covid pandemic and how we were told masks weren’t necessary. How public officials didn’t model mask wearing or precautions until much much later.

    It’s fitting perhaps that the folks doing the heavy lifting to protect people from the LA wildfires are disability and Covid activists.

    They’ve been boots on the ground since day one, with the government even going to them for masks and clean air supplies.

    The same government that tried to ban masks a few months ago, that discarded the disabled as “acceptable losses” are now asking for their help.

    And they’re showing up. Because that’s what this incredible community does. It shows up for people.

    If you’ve been Covid aware these last five years you’ve no doubt learned a ton about air quality. I know I have.

    You know about CO2, PMs and VOCs. You know about the difference between an N95 and a P100 and why gas filters are necessary for wildfires.

    You know to listen to the air quality experts who have been trying to warn us for years about the dangers of COVID and wildfire smoke.

    Listen to them now. The air isn’t safe. The water isn’t safe. The homes that are still standing aren’t safe.

    Even if the air quality is “ok” in Los Angeles, it’s anything but. It’s just like when we were told we didn’t have to wear masks for Covid. It’s early days and the info being given is incomplete (and best) and outright wrong (at worst).

    Mask up. Engage with a local mask bloc if you can’t afford a respirator or don’t know what kind to get. Pay attention to the air quality experts.

    Apply the precautionary principle. It may save your life.

    open.substack.com/pub/isabelka

    #la #losangeles #wildfires #california #wearamask #airquality #precautionaryprinciple

  36. I urge everyone to read this - especially if you live in LA (or have loved ones there).

    I appreciate Isabel mentioning the early days of the Covid pandemic and how we were told masks weren’t necessary. How public officials didn’t model mask wearing or precautions until much much later.

    It’s fitting perhaps that the folks doing the heavy lifting to protect people from the LA wildfires are disability and Covid activists.

    They’ve been boots on the ground since day one, with the government even going to them for masks and clean air supplies.

    The same government that tried to ban masks a few months ago, that discarded the disabled as “acceptable losses” are now asking for their help.

    And they’re showing up. Because that’s what this incredible community does. It shows up for people.

    If you’ve been Covid aware these last five years you’ve no doubt learned a ton about air quality. I know I have.

    You know about CO2, PMs and VOCs. You know about the difference between an N95 and a P100 and why gas filters are necessary for wildfires.

    You know to listen to the air quality experts who have been trying to warn us for years about the dangers of COVID and wildfire smoke.

    Listen to them now. The air isn’t safe. The water isn’t safe. The homes that are still standing aren’t safe.

    Even if the air quality is “ok” in Los Angeles, it’s anything but. It’s just like when we were told we didn’t have to wear masks for Covid. It’s early days and the info being given is incomplete (and best) and outright wrong (at worst).

    Mask up. Engage with a local mask bloc if you can’t afford a respirator or don’t know what kind to get. Pay attention to the air quality experts.

    Apply the precautionary principle. It may save your life.

    open.substack.com/pub/isabelka

    #la #losangeles #wildfires #california #wearamask #airquality #precautionaryprinciple