#actuarial — Public Fediverse posts

#Actuarial nature of the problem.

##THE #MIS #EDUCATION OF ##THE #NEGRO multi-search-tag-explorer.aepiot.ro/advanced-sea... #ACTUARIAL #CREDENTIALING #AND #EXAMS multi-search-tag-explorer.aepiot.com/advanced-sea... opentip.kaspersky.com/headlines-wo... aePiot: Superior SEO through Web 4.0 semantic nodes.

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##THE #MIS #EDUCATION OF ##THE #NEGRO multi-search-tag-explorer.aepiot.ro/advanced-sea... #ACTUARIAL #CREDENTIALING #AND #EXAMS multi-search-tag-explorer.aepiot.com/advanced-sea... opentip.kaspersky.com/headlines-wo... aePiot: Superior SEO through Web 4.0 semantic nodes.

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# updated_april_15 #automated government profit center
#forensic actuarials
#fintech
#CADT Pillar 4,3
#Mekong Mesh
#updated_April_15
#CADT Pillar 4.3
#Relativistic Epistemic Geometric Logic #Actuarial Intelligence #@[email protected]
@attie.bsky.social #AtProto
did:plc:7vknci6jk2jqfwxglsq6gkzu
https://jamesdumar.com/at-proto-kills-troll-farms/
@attie.ai
did:plc:7vknci6jk2jqfwxglsq6gkzu
https://jamesdumar.com/automated-profitable-government-defense-economic-at-proto-xrpc/

#Relativistic Geometric Logic Produces #Actuarial Intelligence by Epistemic Proof of Truth. This #Operational Intelligence is Anchored in our #Knowledge Graphs
did:plc:7vknci6jk2jqfwxglsq6gkzu
https://jamesdumar.com/at-proto-kills-troll-farms/

#Relativistic Geometric Logic Produces #Actuarial Intelligence by Epistemic Proof of Truth. This #Operational Intelligence is Anchored in our #Knowledge Graphs
did:plc:7vknci6jk2jqfwxglsq6gkzu
https://jamesdumar.com/at-proto-kills-troll-farms/

#Relativistic Geometric Logic Produces #Actuarial Intelligence by Epistemic Proof of Truth. This #Operational Intelligence is Anchored in our #Knowledge Graphs
did:plc:7vknci6jk2jqfwxglsq6gkzu
https://jamesdumar.com/at-proto-kills-troll-farms/

#Relativistic Geometric Logic Produces #Actuarial Intelligence by Epistemic Proof of Truth. This #Operational Intelligence is Anchored in our #Knowledge Graphs
did:plc:7vknci6jk2jqfwxglsq6gkzu
https://jamesdumar.com/at-proto-kills-troll-farms/

Why does #Japan , an #Earthquake prone country, have 2-phase wiring?

Surely it's cheaper to re-wire the country for 3-phase wiring than to risk the added cost of the #electric #fire #hazard ?

#question #actuary #actuarial #riskmanagement

Why does #Japan , an #Earthquake prone country, have 2-phase wiring?

Surely it's cheaper to re-wire the country for 3-phase wiring than to risk the added cost of the #electric #fire #hazard ?

#question #actuary #actuarial #riskmanagement

Why does #Japan , an #Earthquake prone country, have 2-phase wiring?

Surely it's cheaper to re-wire the country for 3-phase wiring than to risk the added cost of the #electric #fire #hazard ?

#question #actuary #actuarial #riskmanagement

Why does #Japan , an #Earthquake prone country, have 2-phase wiring?

Surely it's cheaper to re-wire the country for 3-phase wiring than to risk the added cost of the #electric #fire #hazard ?

#question #actuary #actuarial #riskmanagement

Barton Keyes could tell us all about this, mechanics being unusually likely to die by gunshot.
https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/cwc/occupational-injuries-illnesses-and-fatalities-to-automotive-service-technicians-and-mechanics-2003-to-2005.pdf
#actuarial #noir

@glyph
I hear you.

My favourite (perhaps less jarring?) example is when a court declares they have found someone guilty, and that their threshold of guilt is "on balance of odds".

I look at the lawyers and the witnesses and realise that none of them has studied actuarial or probability mathematics. I wouldn't even trust them to understand a bet on the horses. For a scientist to watch them is like observing a cargo cult. Worse, I am sure, is for a scientist to find themselves on the receiving end of such a court.

I would offer the meagre consolation that you can see the feedback loops that drive them to behave so, where they think themselves to have free will.

#cybernetics #actuarial #odds #maths #math #statistics #science #scientificInquiry #systemsArchitecture #justice #law #policing #cargoCult

@glyph
I hear you.

My favourite (perhaps less jarring?) example is when a court declares they have found someone guilty, and that their threshold of guilt is "on balance of odds".

I look at the lawyers and the witnesses and realise that none of them has studied actuarial or probability mathematics. I wouldn't even trust them to understand a bet on the horses. For a scientist to watch them is like observing a cargo cult. Worse, I am sure, is for a scientist to find themselves on the receiving end of such a court.

I would offer the meagre consolation that you can see the feedback loops that drive them to behave so, where they think themselves to have free will.

#cybernetics #actuarial #odds #maths #math #statistics #science #scientificInquiry #systemsArchitecture #justice #law #policing #cargoCult

@glyph
I hear you.

My favourite (perhaps less jarring?) example is when a court declares they have found someone guilty, and that their threshold of guilt is "on balance of odds".

I look at the lawyers and the witnesses and realise that none of them has studied actuarial or probability mathematics. I wouldn't even trust them to understand a bet on the horses. For a scientist to watch them is like observing a cargo cult. Worse, I am sure, is for a scientist to find themselves on the receiving end of such a court.

I would offer the meagre consolation that you can see the feedback loops that drive them to behave so, where they think themselves to have free will.

#cybernetics #actuarial #odds #maths #math #statistics #science #scientificInquiry #systemsArchitecture #justice #law #policing #cargoCult

@glyph
I hear you.

My favourite (perhaps less jarring?) example is when a court declares they have found someone guilty, and that their threshold of guilt is "on balance of odds".

I look at the lawyers and the witnesses and realise that none of them has studied actuarial or probability mathematics. I wouldn't even trust them to understand a bet on the horses. For a scientist to watch them is like observing a cargo cult. Worse, I am sure, is for a scientist to find themselves on the receiving end of such a court.

I would offer the meagre consolation that you can see the feedback loops that drive them to behave so, where they think themselves to have free will.

#cybernetics #actuarial #odds #maths #math #statistics #science #scientificInquiry #systemsArchitecture #justice #law #policing #cargoCult

@glyph
I hear you.

My favourite (perhaps less jarring?) example is when a court declares they have found someone guilty, and that their threshold of guilt is "on balance of odds".

I look at the lawyers and the witnesses and realise that none of them has studied actuarial or probability mathematics. I wouldn't even trust them to understand a bet on the horses. For a scientist to watch them is like observing a cargo cult. Worse, I am sure, is for a scientist to find themselves on the receiving end of such a court.

I would offer the meagre consolation that you can see the feedback loops that drive them to behave so, where they think themselves to have free will.

#cybernetics #actuarial #odds #maths #math #statistics #science #scientificInquiry #systemsArchitecture #justice #law #policing #cargoCult

@Simon318ppm @urlyman

- I agree that:
- the fundamental question might be of almost existential importance to organised groups, and humans who wish to form and maintain them.
- finding common ground is essential, as is nurturing empathy in all parties.

- I sumbit that:
- enquiring minds might enjoy examining the findings (or what we might divine of them, for such firms, if they have any sense, have long since obfuscated their work) of Cambridge Analytica and their ilk: https://research.bangor.ac.uk/portal/files/35063914/2020_Psychological_Operations.pdf although please note that state-of-the-art circa 10 years ago may now be old hat.
- theologans are a fine source of information regarding tried-and-tested methods of creating inclusive "in-groups".
- lesser groups that depend upon cohesive thinking like cults, militaries, resistance or political groups, corporate entities, and so forth, are all worthy of consideration too. The real nuggets of gold are finding the "happy-clappy" groups that manage to absorb & bestow happiness upon their adversaries. Not sure where one finds such groups though (outside http://mathstodon.xyz obviously).

- I'd love to know if anyone has come across any "threads" that are interesting to pull at, or salient web-search terms that are a good start, in reading about such things.
- I'd be curious to know how folks (eg in NATO, CCP, etc) taking high-level geopolitical perspectives might view this problem.

#Peace #Love #War #Psychology #Groupthink #Totalitarianism #Advertising #ManufacturingConsensus #CambridgeAnalytica #DataAnalysis #Actuarial #Math #Maths #Data #BigData #Inclusion #EqualRights #HumanRights #Geography #Sharing #Conflict #Atrocities #Crime #Law #Government #Civics #Legal #CND #Theology

@Simon318ppm @urlyman

- I agree that:
- the fundamental question might be of almost existential importance to organised groups, and humans who wish to form and maintain them.
- finding common ground is essential, as is nurturing empathy in all parties.

- I sumbit that:
- enquiring minds might enjoy examining the findings (or what we might divine of them, for such firms, if they have any sense, have long since obfuscated their work) of Cambridge Analytica and their ilk: https://research.bangor.ac.uk/portal/files/35063914/2020_Psychological_Operations.pdf although please note that state-of-the-art circa 10 years ago may now be old hat.
- theologans are a fine source of information regarding tried-and-tested methods of creating inclusive "in-groups".
- lesser groups that depend upon cohesive thinking like cults, militaries, resistance or political groups, corporate entities, and so forth, are all worthy of consideration too. The real nuggets of gold are finding the "happy-clappy" groups that manage to absorb & bestow happiness upon their adversaries. Not sure where one finds such groups though (outside http://mathstodon.xyz obviously).

- I'd love to know if anyone has come across any "threads" that are interesting to pull at, or salient web-search terms that are a good start, in reading about such things.
- I'd be curious to know how folks (eg in NATO, CCP, etc) taking high-level geopolitical perspectives might view this problem.

#Peace #Love #War #Psychology #Groupthink #Totalitarianism #Advertising #ManufacturingConsensus #CambridgeAnalytica #DataAnalysis #Actuarial #Math #Maths #Data #BigData #Inclusion #EqualRights #HumanRights #Geography #Sharing #Conflict #Atrocities #Crime #Law #Government #Civics #Legal #CND #Theology

@Simon318ppm @urlyman

- I agree that:
- the fundamental question might be of almost existential importance to organised groups, and humans who wish to form and maintain them.
- finding common ground is essential, as is nurturing empathy in all parties.

- I sumbit that:
- enquiring minds might enjoy examining the findings (or what we might divine of them, for such firms, if they have any sense, have long since obfuscated their work) of Cambridge Analytica and their ilk: https://research.bangor.ac.uk/portal/files/35063914/2020_Psychological_Operations.pdf although please note that state-of-the-art circa 10 years ago may now be old hat.
- theologans are a fine source of information regarding tried-and-tested methods of creating inclusive "in-groups".
- lesser groups that depend upon cohesive thinking like cults, militaries, resistance or political groups, corporate entities, and so forth, are all worthy of consideration too. The real nuggets of gold are finding the "happy-clappy" groups that manage to absorb & bestow happiness upon their adversaries. Not sure where one finds such groups though (outside http://mathstodon.xyz obviously).

- I'd love to know if anyone has come across any "threads" that are interesting to pull at, or salient web-search terms that are a good start, in reading about such things.
- I'd be curious to know how folks (eg in NATO, CCP, etc) taking high-level geopolitical perspectives might view this problem.

#Peace #Love #War #Psychology #Groupthink #Totalitarianism #Advertising #ManufacturingConsensus #CambridgeAnalytica #DataAnalysis #Actuarial #Math #Maths #Data #BigData #Inclusion #EqualRights #HumanRights #Geography #Sharing #Conflict #Atrocities #Crime #Law #Government #Civics #Legal #CND #Theology

@Simon318ppm @urlyman

- I agree that:
- the fundamental question might be of almost existential importance to organised groups, and humans who wish to form and maintain them.
- finding common ground is essential, as is nurturing empathy in all parties.

- I sumbit that:
- enquiring minds might enjoy examining the findings (or what we might divine of them, for such firms, if they have any sense, have long since obfuscated their work) of Cambridge Analytica and their ilk: https://research.bangor.ac.uk/portal/files/35063914/2020_Psychological_Operations.pdf although please note that state-of-the-art circa 10 years ago may now be old hat.
- theologans are a fine source of information regarding tried-and-tested methods of creating inclusive "in-groups".
- lesser groups that depend upon cohesive thinking like cults, militaries, resistance or political groups, corporate entities, and so forth, are all worthy of consideration too. The real nuggets of gold are finding the "happy-clappy" groups that manage to absorb & bestow happiness upon their adversaries. Not sure where one finds such groups though (outside http://mathstodon.xyz obviously).

- I'd love to know if anyone has come across any "threads" that are interesting to pull at, or salient web-search terms that are a good start, in reading about such things.
- I'd be curious to know how folks (eg in NATO, CCP, etc) taking high-level geopolitical perspectives might view this problem.

#Peace #Love #War #Psychology #Groupthink #Totalitarianism #Advertising #ManufacturingConsensus #CambridgeAnalytica #DataAnalysis #Actuarial #Math #Maths #Data #BigData #Inclusion #EqualRights #HumanRights #Geography #Sharing #Conflict #Atrocities #Crime #Law #Government #Civics #Legal #CND #Theology

@Simon318ppm @urlyman

- I agree that:
- the fundamental question might be of almost existential importance to organised groups, and humans who wish to form and maintain them.
- finding common ground is essential, as is nurturing empathy in all parties.

- I sumbit that:
- enquiring minds might enjoy examining the findings (or what we might divine of them, for such firms, if they have any sense, have long since obfuscated their work) of Cambridge Analytica and their ilk: https://research.bangor.ac.uk/portal/files/35063914/2020_Psychological_Operations.pdf although please note that state-of-the-art circa 10 years ago may now be old hat.
- theologans are a fine source of information regarding tried-and-tested methods of creating inclusive "in-groups".
- lesser groups that depend upon cohesive thinking like cults, militaries, resistance or political groups, corporate entities, and so forth, are all worthy of consideration too. The real nuggets of gold are finding the "happy-clappy" groups that manage to absorb & bestow happiness upon their adversaries. Not sure where one finds such groups though (outside http://mathstodon.xyz obviously).

- I'd love to know if anyone has come across any "threads" that are interesting to pull at, or salient web-search terms that are a good start, in reading about such things.
- I'd be curious to know how folks (eg in NATO, CCP, etc) taking high-level geopolitical perspectives might view this problem.

#Peace #Love #War #Psychology #Groupthink #Totalitarianism #Advertising #ManufacturingConsensus #CambridgeAnalytica #DataAnalysis #Actuarial #Math #Maths #Data #BigData #Inclusion #EqualRights #HumanRights #Geography #Sharing #Conflict #Atrocities #Crime #Law #Government #Civics #Legal #CND #Theology

Check https://ActuarialPlayground.com to play with a visual and interactive actuarial cashflow model

A model exploration directly connected to it's calculang formulas. Manipulate formulas as well as parameters: the visualization reactively updates ⚡

Under '❓', some notes about calculang model and composition

Tell me if you want my 'recipes' to add different term insurance features (and different life insurance products entirely: such as annuities)

#actuarial #Visualization #Transparency #math

Unit-linked #actuarial modelling, proof of life

#math

The 2024 #Asian #Actuarial #Conference (#AAC), organized by the Actuarial Society of #HongKong (#ASHK), commenced today at the Ocean Park Marriott Hotel in Hong Kong. Themed “Exploring the #Future of #Insurance and Beyond: #Innovation, #International #Hubs, and Hong Kong,” this prestigious three-day #event has attracted over 1,000 participants, including internationally renowned #experts, #actuaries, and thought #leaders from #Asia and beyond. https://cnbusinessforum.com/2024-asian-actuarial-conference-kicks-off-in-hong-kong-focusing-on-insurance-innovation-and-growth/

Term insurance stresses #patterns #finance

For an intro to some #actuarial terminology, see my blog post: https://calcwithdec.dev/posts/actuarial-terms-i/ (followup soon!)

San Diego condo owners hit by high wildfire insurance to get some relief from state.

Insurance charters are commissioned at the state level. The taxpayers of the state backstop the insurance industry.

The state’s fiscal base has incentivized poor developing and planning decisions for 50 years.

https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/business/story/2023-03-30/san-diego-condo-owners-hit-by-high-insurance-costs-to-get-relief-from-the-california-fair-plan-deal

#riskmanagement #insurance #actuarial

Get involved with the #IFoA #Sustainability Finance Newsletter https://mailchi.us5.list-manage.com/track/click?u=36026d1c718c63a68ae7c578a&id=ee142ffb7a&e=6237edde25. Volunteering opportunities for Digital co-lead and Digital team member. Be part of the growing #actuarial sustainability community, meet other like-minded individuals, and to help promote wider engagement and understanding of fundamental #environmental, #social and #governance concepts. Details at https://www.actuaries.org.uk/sustainability-volunteer-group-opportunities

@Cmastication out of curiosity, roughly what proportion of actuaries use R (/ python) at your work? Saw your post the other week on the bird site about users of analytics being ~80% basic, 16% power users, and 4% gurus. Does that translate to programmatic approaches by the actuaries? #rstats #actuarial

#python Q:
I'm writing a class that users will inherit from and add their own methods (for building #actuarial models).

I have a few special methods in the base class - one to run/evaluate the instance, and one to convert results to dataframe.

I'm currently using underscore at start of these:
_run(args)
_to_dataframe(columns)

However this hides them from autocomplete in most IDEs. Any suggested alternatives?