#odds — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #odds, aggregated by home.social.
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The #Beauty and #Biodiversity of a “#Dead” #Forest : Medium
The Most Famous #AI #Writing Tic Is Also the Most #Mysterious : Misc
The #Odds of a #Super #ElNiño just got higher : Sci Am
Latest #KnowledgeLinks
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The #Beauty and #Biodiversity of a “#Dead” #Forest : Medium
The Most Famous #AI #Writing Tic Is Also the Most #Mysterious : Misc
The #Odds of a #Super #ElNiño just got higher : Sci Am
Latest #KnowledgeLinks
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FYI: då jag igår låg 4h i bagaget på en Volvo s40 för att försöka fixa låsproblemet avbokade jag imorse den tvättidd jag bokat till idag.
För att vara hemma och städa istället.
Det finns säkert någon spelbörs i något obskyrt no-tax-haven som låter er satsa era surt förvärvade pengar på sannolikheten att jag i praktiken kommer att städa idag.
Det sprids ett rykte att sannolikheten i liknande situationer är <10%.
Lycka till!!
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LeBron James loves Bojangles — could it be enough to lure him to the Charlotte Hornets? https://www.rawchili.com/nba/774676/ #Basketball #bball #bojangles #Charlotte #for #get #go #Hornets #James #LA #Lakers #LAL #latest #LeBron #LosAngeles #NBA #NC #News #next #NorthCarolina #odds #play #played #player #sign #Sports #team #To #update #updates #what #who
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Erika Hilton aciona MPF para barrar propaganda de bets por comentaristas em transmissões esportivas
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Erika Hilton aciona MPF para barrar propaganda de bets por comentaristas em transmissões esportivas
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2026 U.S. Open predictions, picks: One of these nine will win at Shinnecock Hills https://www.rawchili.com/5024598/ #AaronRai #BrooksKoepka #favorites #FavoritesToWin #golf #JJSpaun #MattFitzpatrick #odds #Picks #predictions #RetiefGoosen #RickieFowler #RoryMcilroy #ScottieScheffler #sports #SportsTopics #USOpen #UsOpenExpertPredictions #WhoWillWinTheUsOpenUsOpenExpertPicks #WyndhamClark #XanderSchauffele
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2026 RBC Canadian Open predictions: Tommy Fleetwood, Sam Burns seek momentum https://www.rawchili.com/5017318/ #CanadianOpen #golf #odds #Picks #predictions #preview #RBCCanadianOpen
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2026 PGA Championship picks, odds: Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm among 9 who can catch leader https://www.rawchili.com/5002205/ #AaronRai #AlexSmalley #ChrisKirk #DonaldRoss #golf #JoaquinNiemann #JonRahm #JordanSpieth #JustinRose #leader #leaderboard #LudvigÅberg #LudvigAberg #NickTaylor #odds #PatrickReed #PgaChampionship #Picks #predictions #RoryMcilroy #ScottieScheffler #TigerWoods #XanderSchauffele
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Yllättävää liikehdintää kertoimissa finaalin lähestyessä sitten Britanian herättyä
Pari riviä sinistyi kunnolla ja loput tietty punastuu
Bulgarian kerroin on tippunut aamun ±25:stä kymmenen kipenille ja sijoitus noussut 4 sijaa
#EurovisionSongContest #Eurovisio26 #Eurovision #Beting #odds #Euroviisut
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Ihan logistisesta mielenkiinnosta, mitä jos Australia voittaisi Euroviisut?
- Järjestettäisiinkö kisat silloin siellä alhaalla ja tulisko ne edelleen eurooppalaiseen vakioaikaan eli alkaisivat kymmeneltä
Suomen each-way kerroin on tippunut edelleen nyt 1.75 - 1.95 välillä
#EurovisionSongContest #Eurovisio26 #Eurovision #Beting #odds #Euroviisut #Australia
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Nyt alkaa näyttää jo pahalta
Vedonlyönnin kertoimet Suomen voitolle tippui toisen seminaalin jälkeen ja nyt kertoimet ovat 1.84 - 2.1 välillä
Toisesta seminaalista finaaliin selviytyneiden kertoimissa näkyy sinistä myös - luonnollisesti
#EurovisionSongContest #Eurovisio26 #Eurovision #Beting #odds #Euroviisut
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Sinistä puski Suomen Euroviisuvoittokertoimeen sitten semifinaalin
Nyt se on jo aivan kahden pinnassa, jopa alle
> Odds Shortening - kerroin laskee, kansa lyö vetoa Suomen voitosta, todennäköisyys nousee, takaisinmaksun riski kasvaa
#EurovisionSongContest #Eurovisio26 #Eurovision #Beting #odds #Euroviisut
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Who leads the early odds for No. 1 pick in 2027 NFL Draft https://www.rawchili.com/nfl/877384/ #2026NFLDraft #ArchManning #CJCarr #DanteMoore #DrewAllar #FernandoMendoza #Football #JeremiahSmith #JulianSayin #JulioJones #LasVegasRaiders #LeonardMoore #LosAngelesRams #NFL #NotreDameFootball #odds #OhioState #oregon #OregonDucks #quarterbacks #SpringGame #Steelers #texas #TexasA&MAggies #TexasLonghorns #TySimpson
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So far Kalshi has only found/admitted to three instances of “political insider trading” >> what are the odds that this is rampant on the platform? (pun intended!) https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/22/politics/kalshi-prediction-site-suspend-political-candidates #Kalshi #Predictions #PredictionMarkets #Gambling #Odds #InsiderTrading #Politics #Elections
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So far Kalshi has only found/admitted to three instances of “political insider trading” >> what are the odds that this is rampant on the platform? (pun intended!) https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/22/politics/kalshi-prediction-site-suspend-political-candidates #Kalshi #Predictions #PredictionMarkets #Gambling #Odds #InsiderTrading #Politics #Elections
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The winning numbers drawn for the Tuesday Eurojackpot were 31, 32, 36, 39, and 47, with the two "Euro numbers" being 7 and 8. Please note that these figures are... https://news.osna.fm/?p=42775 | #news #game #odds #payouts #understanding
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@munin maybe "why is your average Joe more likely to die in a car accident than in a cage-fighting deathmatch?"
I suppose this assumes your interlocutor has some modest amount of wit to think it through, and of course they have to understand they're comparing something that's survived by 99.978% of participants (US motoring, lifetime risk) to something that's survived by 50% of participants (assuming one is only dumb enough to try a 1-on-1 deathmatch once in one's life). But you get the jist.
It's tricky because the person to whom you're explaining this is the sort of person who is trying to infer meaning from a string of statistically-interrelated word-fragments generated by an algorithm, and terrifyingly (to me at least), thinks the database of statistical-interrelationships of word-fragments has an understanding of the world. So my heart goes out to you, because you've chosen a real uphill struggle here. A worthy cause! But an uphill struggle.
#statistics #math #communication #teaching #maths #odds #risk #mathematics #AI #LLM
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@munin maybe "why is your average Joe more likely to die in a car accident than in a cage-fighting deathmatch?"
I suppose this assumes your interlocutor has some modest amount of wit to think it through, and of course they have to understand they're comparing something that's survived by 99.978% of participants (US motoring, lifetime risk) to something that's survived by 50% of participants (assuming one is only dumb enough to try a 1-on-1 deathmatch once in one's life). But you get the jist.
It's tricky because the person to whom you're explaining this is the sort of person who is trying to infer meaning from a string of statistically-interrelated word-fragments generated by an algorithm, and terrifyingly (to me at least), thinks the database of statistical-interrelationships of word-fragments has an understanding of the world. So my heart goes out to you, because you've chosen a real uphill struggle here. A worthy cause! But an uphill struggle.
#statistics #math #communication #teaching #maths #odds #risk #mathematics #AI #LLM
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2026 March Madness picks: Predictions against the spread, odds for Final Four games Saturday https://www.rawchili.com/nba/698569/ #ArizonaVsMichigan #ArizonaWildcats #Basketball #CollegeBasketball #ConnecticutHuskies #FinalFour #IllinoisFightingIllini #KeatonWagler #MarchMadness #MichiganWolverines #ncaa #NCAABasketball #NCAATournament #ncaab #odds #picks #predictions #Spread #UconnVsIllinois
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Here’s what oddsmakers say about the Royals’ 2026 season https://www.rawchili.com/mlb/646948/ #AaronJudge #Baseball #BobbyWittJr #CarterJensen #ColeRagans #KansasCityRoyals #MaikelGarcia #MLB #MLBSeason2026 #Odds #VinniePasquantino
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Against the odds, olive oil, ceramics reach Palestinian exhibition in Kuwait
KUWAIT: Following the challenges faced by Palestinian farmers during the olive oil harvestin…
#dining #cooking #diet #food #mediterranean #MediterraneanDiet #MediterraneanFood #MediterraneanOliveOil #OliveOil ##Kuwait #ceramics #Exhibition #kuwaitnews #kuwaittimes #Mediterranean #odds #Olive #palestinian
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2506570/against-the-odds-olive-oil-ceramics-reach-palestinian-exhibition-in-kuwait/ -
Against the odds, olive oil, ceramics reach Palestinian exhibition in Kuwait
KUWAIT: Following the challenges faced by Palestinian farmers during the olive oil harvesting season, olive oil products were still able to reach…
#dining #cooking #diet #food #MediterraneanOliveOil #OliveOil ##Kuwait #ceramics #Exhibition #kuwaitnews #kuwaittimes #Mediterranean #odds #Olive #palestinian
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2506570/against-the-odds-olive-oil-ceramics-reach-palestinian-exhibition-in-kuwait/ -
Prediction markets coming up fast on he outside!
Traders on Kalshi and Polymarket, have executed more than $800M of contracts tied to the Super Bowl - so far.
Compare that to $1.8B Americans are expected to wager on the game through regulated sports books. The $$ flowing to prediction markets is sucking up $$ that would likely otherwise have ended up on traditional gambling forums - Ouch!
The other interesting aspect, multi-person betting syndicates are now emerging as the way to leverage predication market betting at scale. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-05/super-bowl-lx-is-bringing-professional-gamblers-to-prediction-markets?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc3MDM4MzUwNSwiZXhwIjoxNzcwOTg4MzA1LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUQTBBR1NLR0lGUFgwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiI0NTI0NTM5OEREMTU0RDE0Qjg2QjZBMUI5REIxQTBDQSJ9.niFjAVkJMhSZzNPmQI9dL2PsbdwlWD34YEB8T-LmNt8&leadSource=uverify%20wall #PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #PolyMarket #SuperBowl #Betting #Gambling #SportsBooks #Odds #Wagers #Probabilities #Prediction
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Show HN: Website that plays the lottery every second
https://lotteryeverysecond.lffl.me/
#ycombinator #lottery #powerball #eurojackpot #odds #probability #statistics #live_lottery -
The Importance of an Independent Model
Most bettors use probabilities from bookmaker odds — but those include the margin.
Liverpool vs Aston Villa
🏠 Home 1.54 → 64.9%
🤝 Draw 4.45 → 22.5%
🛫 Away 5.45 → 18.3%
Total = 105.8% → 5.8% marginAn independent model removes that bias. Bookmakers often adjust odds unevenly based on market pressure, giving a distorted view of true probabilities.
🔗 playaiodds.com
offers one + a margin calculator after login.
#Football #PlayAiOdds #SportsBetting #Odds -
My home consumed exactly the same amount of electricity this week as it did the week before. The odds. 🤓
(At home both weeks and did very different things each week. Yet.)
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Klif's Advice: If you’re playing the lottery, buy four tickets with the same numbers. That way, if someone else also wins with those numbers, you’ll walk away with 80% instead of 50%.
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Betting odds revealed for Great British Bake Off season 16 - Betting odds have been revealed for the Great British Bake Off season 16, as the n... - https://readwrite.com/betting-odds-great-british-bake-off-season-16/ #unitedkingdom #betting #odds
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New entry of AI-generated #comics and #jokes added to our #website:
comics.lucentinian.com/8734
#AIJokes #DailyComedy #AIGeneratedJokes #NewsJokes #VisitNow -
Dubious Math in Infinite Jest (2009)
https://www.thehowlingfantods.com/dfw/dubious-math-in-infinite-jest.html
#ycombinator #theorem #odds #number #108 #integrals #mathematical #math #reading #mike #tie #39 #errors #states #match #page
