home.social

#exponential — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #exponential, aggregated by home.social.

  1. Im Sorry, I wasn’t aware it was that easy.

    I’m sure there is more in the article. But seeing that picture had me #ROFL (metaphorically).

    Timeline: Tech is About to Accelerate Because AI Scales Itself web-strategist.com/blog/2026/0

    #AI #acceleration #exponential #genAI

  2. "At any given moment, you are standing on the edge of massive opportunity!" - Futurist Jim Carroll

    I just finished writing a massive series about exponential trends and opportunities in 2026 and beyond.

    As I was writing it, I couldn't help but think that the series had opportunity written all over it!

    And then I began thinking that many folks won't see those opportunities because they are too focused on the barriers that get in the way.

    After that, I began thinking that it's also true that some people won't be able to achieve those opportunities because some unwanted barriers get in the way.

    And that led me to the idea that for some, life is a series of opportunities interrupted by momentary setbacks!

    And then I realized that many of my daily posts lately have become far too long, and so I need to shorten the message!

    So I'll leave today's post at that! 

    ---

    Futurist Jim Carroll thinks it's better to focus on the opportunities in front of you rather than the barriers that get in the way.

    **#Opportunity** **#Barriers** **#Setbacks** **#Exponential** **#Mindset** **#Perspective** **#Momentum** **#Focus** **#Potential** **#Optimism**

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2026/01/decodin

  3. "Don't be average. Don’t be boring. Be bold. Be fascinating!" - Futurist Jim Carroll

    2025 is almost a wrap.

    And that brings me to 279 days of my Daily Inspiration post in 2025, continuing the tradition that began early in August 2016, where each workday involves a bit of fresh new insight.

    Since then, I have not missed ONE single workday. Come hell or high water, power failure or jet lag, the post has gone out!

    Here's a slideshow of what I wrote in 2025. 279 inspirations! Today marks 280!

    youtube.com/watch?v=lJpEdbKByL

    And then it starts all over again tomorrow, on Thursday, January 1, 2026 - with my "10 Great Words for 2026," which itself began in 2006.
    If you haven't signed up, join the 1/4 million who get it every day.

    Do so at subscribe.jimcarroll.com

    ----
    There's no doubt that there's a lot of challenge to come in 2026, but there's also a lot of opportunity.

    Opportunities become even bigger when exponential trends become a reality.

    But here's the thing - it's up to you whether you will turn it into an opportunity, or whether the challenge will bury you.

    It depends on the choices you make and the actions you take.

    But there is a dark side to velocity.

    If you choose to let the challenges rule, you'll slide into mediocrity like
    everyone else - you'll embrace it.

    But if you decide to be bold, be daring, you'll escape it - and you'll find it absolutely fascinating!

    So what's your choice - are you going to embrace, or escape, the potential for mediocrity that is in front of us with this exponential world?

    You need to think about the issue of mediocrity in terms of your personal choice and the company you are involved with. If you decide to do boring things and chase average, you'll be mediocre. If you choose to be bold, you'll find things to be far more fascinating! If you take a mediocre organization and give it average tools and vague objectives, you don't get innovation. You get accelerated incompetence.

    I explored this side of the equation in my satire "Embracing Mediocrity"—a guide on how to do the bare minimum—and its antidote, "Escaping Mediocrity." In the past, you could survive being "average" because the market moved slowly. You could hide in the margins.

    You should choose to buy the books right now. Be bold! You'll find them to be fascinating!

    Visit mediocirity.jimcarrolll.com. Use the code BEBOLD, and you'll get 20% off!

    Here's what you need to think about.

    Read the full post.

    ----

    Futurist Jim Carroll will resume his Daily Inspiration tomorrow with his 10 Great Words for 2026.

    **#Mediocrity** **#Bold** **#Fascinating** **#Average** **#Uniqueness** **#Creativity** **#Exponential** **#Leadership** **#Moonshot** **#Excellence**

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  4. “If you are the fastest person in the room, you are in the wrong room.” - Futurist Jim Carroll

    ---
    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
    ---

    The 1987 editorial "Tomorrow's Company Won't Have Walls" stands as one of the most accurate corporate prophecies of the modern era.

    And it had a profound impact on my life.

    It's probably fair to say that if I hadn't read it, I wouldn't have stepped out on my own to start my own company, chase my own career, do my own thing - and become a global freelancer, a nomadic worker, a lone wolf, long before the trend became real and the idea fashionable. Like I've said - I haven't had a job for 35 years, and I work really hard to not have to get a job!

    It's worth reading, because it predicted with precision the modern organization of today.

    Think about where we are now: many organizations don't define themselves by the depth of their staff - they do so by the reach of their skills network.

    But in 2026 and beyond, the sophisticated reach of a networked organization is not enough.

    It's no longer about the reach of your skills network, but also the speed with which they operate.

    If they aren't as fast as you, it will slow you down even further, stunt your progress, and ruin your ability to align with exponential trends.

    That's why, in 2026 and beyond, you have to stop letting slow partners kill your speed.
    The Issue of Network Velocity

    We are on Day 20. We have built your internal engine: You have the Unapologetic Uniqueness (Day 17), an Antifragile Mindset (Day 18), and Optionality Architecture (Day 19).

    Do those things, and you are getting ready for our exponential world.

    But as they say, "but wait, there's more!" Now, we must look outside.

    You can have a Ferrari engine (your mindset), but if you are driving in a convoy of tractors (your partners), you are going to move at the speed of a tractor!

    And here's the thing about what this means to the networked organization, and perhaps your role in it as a freelancer: in a linear world, we picked partners based on stability, history, and comfort. We stuck with the vendor we’d used for 20 years because "they know us."

    In an exponential world, loyalty to the past is a guarantee for failure. If your supply chain, your technology vendors, or your peer group are evolving linearly while the market accelerates exponentially, they aren't just slowing you down.

    They are anchors.

    This means that another discipline you must master going forward is Network Velocity.

    Learn why.

    --
    **#Velocity** **#Network** **#Freelance** **#Speed** **#Agility** **#Partners** **#Scale** **#Synchronization** **#Exponential** **#Frictionless**

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  5. Folks wanted cheaper egThrow out the roadmap. Build a portfolio of instant pivots instead.” - Futurist Jim Carroll

    ---
    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
    ---

    Build options, not plans!

    We are on Day 19 of this series and have covered a lot of ground. We’ve established the necessary foundation: the future is terrifyingly fast (Day 16), your only defense is being (Day 17), and you must adopt an "antifragile" mindset to feed on the chaos (Day 18).

    The question today is this: How do you plan when you can’t predict? Or when what you predict doesn't happen because something else does. Or a trend is too complex 

    Welcome to the idea of Optionality Architecture. Instead of building a plan, build a series of pivots, so that you are ready for whatever the hell happens!

    Think about this idea. Planning is dead. Reacting with prebuilt plans is in.

    Here's why.

    In a linear world, the five-year plan was the gold standard. It was a single, rigid path based on the comforting (but false) assumption that the future would look mostly like the past. Strategy was about prediction and sticking to pre-determined plans.

    A five-year plan today? Laughable! In an exponential world, a single, fixed plan is a strategic liability. The moment you commit to one path, a technology curve goes vertical, or a Black Swan event lands. The old strategy instantly becomes an anchor that guarantees you miss the shift.

    The winning move is to stop worshipping the plan and start architecting the possible.

    That's why the new principle you must master for 2026 and beyond is Optionality Architecture.

    Beyond being a cool phrase that rolls off your tongue, it's a critical survival and success strategy you need to go forward.

    To get it, you must understand what it is.

    The most successful individuals and organizations in an exponential world don't just have options. They systematically construct portfolios of options.

    Keep reading - learn your options!

    ----
    **#Optionality** **#Pivots** **#Portfolio** **#Flexibility** **#Adaptability** **#Diversification** **#Strategy** **#Career** **#Revenue** **#Exponential**

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  6. "Always remember that conformity is where tomorrow's greatness goes to die." - Futurist Jim Carroll

    ----

    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
    ---

    I've long suggested that one of the best ways to align with the future is through this thinking: when everybody is running one way, run the other way!

    Be the contrarian. The hole in the bucket, the square peg with a bunch of round holes, the one who says "why not?' when everyone else is saying 'why?'

    We are on Day 17. Yesterday, we looked at the terrifying math of the future—the sheer scale of change that is coming. 1-2-4-16-64 vs. 1-2-3-45.

    When faced with that kind of overwhelming scale, the natural human instinct is to feel overwhelmed. And I am willing to admit that one reaction I see in common with all of my audiences is that this feeling is universal. I've been doing text-message-based polling from the stage for over 15 years, and one overwhelmingly consistent attitude is that people feel universally overwhelmed by the speed of the future.

    So they try to avoid it. They try to fit in. They take the cautious route.

    They choose the comfortable over discomfort.

    The result? When we feel a need for comfort, to fit in, to follow the herd instinct, we try to be like everyone else. We look for safety in numbers. Case in point: we look at our competitors and say, "Well, they are doing AI this way, so we should too." Korn Ferry made this observation about AI: "Among the most expensive keeping-up-with-the-Joneses games in corporate history."

    Need more proof? We seek out "best practices," which is usually just a fancy word for "copying the average."

    I rest my case.

    In a linear world, fitting in was a survival strategy. You survived by being a cog that fit perfectly into the machine.

    In an exponential world, conformity is a death sentence.

    Here's why: read the full post at the link below.

    ----

    **#Uniqueness** **#Conformity** **#Contrarian** **#Rebellion** **#Innovation** **#Curiosity** **#Differentiation** **#Misfits** **#Authenticity** **#Exponential**

    The story of Oblio has defined much of Futurist Jim Carroll’s approach to life.

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  7. "Always remember that conformity is where tomorrow's greatness goes to die." - Futurist Jim Carroll

    ----

    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
    ---

    I've long suggested that one of the best ways to align with the future is through this thinking: when everybody is running one way, run the other way!

    Be the contrarian. The hole in the bucket, the square peg with a bunch of round holes, the one who says "why not?' when everyone else is saying 'why?'

    We are on Day 17. Yesterday, we looked at the terrifying math of the future—the sheer scale of change that is coming. 1-2-4-16-64 vs. 1-2-3-45.

    When faced with that kind of overwhelming scale, the natural human instinct is to feel overwhelmed. And I am willing to admit that one reaction I see in common with all of my audiences is that this feeling is universal. I've been doing text-message-based polling from the stage for over 15 years, and one overwhelmingly consistent attitude is that people feel universally overwhelmed by the speed of the future.

    So they try to avoid it. They try to fit in. They take the cautious route.

    They choose the comfortable over discomfort.

    The result? When we feel a need for comfort, to fit in, to follow the herd instinct, we try to be like everyone else. We look for safety in numbers. Case in point: we look at our competitors and say, "Well, they are doing AI this way, so we should too." Korn Ferry made this observation about AI: "Among the most expensive keeping-up-with-the-Joneses games in corporate history."

    Need more proof? We seek out "best practices," which is usually just a fancy word for "copying the average."

    I rest my case.

    In a linear world, fitting in was a survival strategy. You survived by being a cog that fit perfectly into the machine.

    In an exponential world, conformity is a death sentence.

    Here's why: read the full post at the link below.

    ----

    **#Uniqueness** **#Conformity** **#Contrarian** **#Rebellion** **#Innovation** **#Curiosity** **#Differentiation** **#Misfits** **#Authenticity** **#Exponential**

    The story of Oblio has defined much of Futurist Jim Carroll’s approach to life.

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  8. "Always remember that conformity is where tomorrow's greatness goes to die." - Futurist Jim Carroll

    ----

    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
    ---

    I've long suggested that one of the best ways to align with the future is through this thinking: when everybody is running one way, run the other way!

    Be the contrarian. The hole in the bucket, the square peg with a bunch of round holes, the one who says "why not?' when everyone else is saying 'why?'

    We are on Day 17. Yesterday, we looked at the terrifying math of the future—the sheer scale of change that is coming. 1-2-4-16-64 vs. 1-2-3-45.

    When faced with that kind of overwhelming scale, the natural human instinct is to feel overwhelmed. And I am willing to admit that one reaction I see in common with all of my audiences is that this feeling is universal. I've been doing text-message-based polling from the stage for over 15 years, and one overwhelmingly consistent attitude is that people feel universally overwhelmed by the speed of the future.

    So they try to avoid it. They try to fit in. They take the cautious route.

    They choose the comfortable over discomfort.

    The result? When we feel a need for comfort, to fit in, to follow the herd instinct, we try to be like everyone else. We look for safety in numbers. Case in point: we look at our competitors and say, "Well, they are doing AI this way, so we should too." Korn Ferry made this observation about AI: "Among the most expensive keeping-up-with-the-Joneses games in corporate history."

    Need more proof? We seek out "best practices," which is usually just a fancy word for "copying the average."

    I rest my case.

    In a linear world, fitting in was a survival strategy. You survived by being a cog that fit perfectly into the machine.

    In an exponential world, conformity is a death sentence.

    Here's why: read the full post at the link below.

    ----

    **#Uniqueness** **#Conformity** **#Contrarian** **#Rebellion** **#Innovation** **#Curiosity** **#Differentiation** **#Misfits** **#Authenticity** **#Exponential**

    The story of Oblio has defined much of Futurist Jim Carroll’s approach to life.

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  9. "Always remember that conformity is where tomorrow's greatness goes to die." - Futurist Jim Carroll

    ----

    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
    ---

    I've long suggested that one of the best ways to align with the future is through this thinking: when everybody is running one way, run the other way!

    Be the contrarian. The hole in the bucket, the square peg with a bunch of round holes, the one who says "why not?' when everyone else is saying 'why?'

    We are on Day 17. Yesterday, we looked at the terrifying math of the future—the sheer scale of change that is coming. 1-2-4-16-64 vs. 1-2-3-45.

    When faced with that kind of overwhelming scale, the natural human instinct is to feel overwhelmed. And I am willing to admit that one reaction I see in common with all of my audiences is that this feeling is universal. I've been doing text-message-based polling from the stage for over 15 years, and one overwhelmingly consistent attitude is that people feel universally overwhelmed by the speed of the future.

    So they try to avoid it. They try to fit in. They take the cautious route.

    They choose the comfortable over discomfort.

    The result? When we feel a need for comfort, to fit in, to follow the herd instinct, we try to be like everyone else. We look for safety in numbers. Case in point: we look at our competitors and say, "Well, they are doing AI this way, so we should too." Korn Ferry made this observation about AI: "Among the most expensive keeping-up-with-the-Joneses games in corporate history."

    Need more proof? We seek out "best practices," which is usually just a fancy word for "copying the average."

    I rest my case.

    In a linear world, fitting in was a survival strategy. You survived by being a cog that fit perfectly into the machine.

    In an exponential world, conformity is a death sentence.

    Here's why: read the full post at the link below.

    ----

    **#Uniqueness** **#Conformity** **#Contrarian** **#Rebellion** **#Innovation** **#Curiosity** **#Differentiation** **#Misfits** **#Authenticity** **#Exponential**

    The story of Oblio has defined much of Futurist Jim Carroll’s approach to life.

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  10. "Always remember that conformity is where tomorrow's greatness goes to die." - Futurist Jim Carroll

    ----

    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
    ---

    I've long suggested that one of the best ways to align with the future is through this thinking: when everybody is running one way, run the other way!

    Be the contrarian. The hole in the bucket, the square peg with a bunch of round holes, the one who says "why not?' when everyone else is saying 'why?'

    We are on Day 17. Yesterday, we looked at the terrifying math of the future—the sheer scale of change that is coming. 1-2-4-16-64 vs. 1-2-3-45.

    When faced with that kind of overwhelming scale, the natural human instinct is to feel overwhelmed. And I am willing to admit that one reaction I see in common with all of my audiences is that this feeling is universal. I've been doing text-message-based polling from the stage for over 15 years, and one overwhelmingly consistent attitude is that people feel universally overwhelmed by the speed of the future.

    So they try to avoid it. They try to fit in. They take the cautious route.

    They choose the comfortable over discomfort.

    The result? When we feel a need for comfort, to fit in, to follow the herd instinct, we try to be like everyone else. We look for safety in numbers. Case in point: we look at our competitors and say, "Well, they are doing AI this way, so we should too." Korn Ferry made this observation about AI: "Among the most expensive keeping-up-with-the-Joneses games in corporate history."

    Need more proof? We seek out "best practices," which is usually just a fancy word for "copying the average."

    I rest my case.

    In a linear world, fitting in was a survival strategy. You survived by being a cog that fit perfectly into the machine.

    In an exponential world, conformity is a death sentence.

    Here's why: read the full post at the link below.

    ----

    **#Uniqueness** **#Conformity** **#Contrarian** **#Rebellion** **#Innovation** **#Curiosity** **#Differentiation** **#Misfits** **#Authenticity** **#Exponential**

    The story of Oblio has defined much of Futurist Jim Carroll’s approach to life.

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  11. “Your brain is built for addition. The future is built on multiplication.” - Futurist Jim Carroll

    ---

    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.

    ---

    When exponential change arrives, it never goes well.

    That's because most people fail to understand what it means and don't act, which is a problem. After all, there is a remarkably narrow window between "this will never work" and "how did we miss this?"

    We are on Day 16. Earlier in this series (go back to Day 2), we confronted the staggering velocity of change—the doubling of scientific knowledge, the acceleration of technological breakthroughs.

    But there is a massive, invisible chasm we have not yet crossed:

    It is the gap between intellectually knowing the numbers and viscerally comprehending what they mean for your reality in 36 months. It's called the scale-blindness epidemic, and why your brain cannot comprehend what is coming.

    Consider this: you can read the reports on AI growth, computing power, or synthetic biology until your eyes bleed. You can nod your head and agree that things are moving fast.

    But deep down, you don't believe it.

    Why? Because you are a human being. We are linearly wired creatures living in an exponential world. Our brains evolved to track linear threats—a lion moving across the savannah at a constant speed. We understand “1, 2, 3, 4, 5.” Slow, linear growth.

    But it seems we are biologically incapable of intuitively grasping “1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32.” Wildly fast exponential growth.

    Because of this evolutionary flaw, the vast majority of leaders suffer from "Scale-Blindness." When we look at an emerging exponential technology, our brains instinctively project its growth linearly. We do a 1-2-3-4-5 - not a 1-2-4-8-16-32. We look at what it can do today—which is usually underwhelming—and assume next year it will be maybe 10% better. And the fact is, it could be 100% better, or 1,000%, or maybe even 10,000%

    And because of our blindness, we fail to miss out on the significance of the trend.

    Think about it another way - if we see a 10-foot wave coming and prepare accordingly, completely blind to the fact that the exponential function will turn it into a 100-foot tsunami by the time it reaches shore.

    That's why principle **#16** in this series isn't about learning more facts; it's about forcing your brain to undergo a sort of exponential shock therapy so you can cure this blindness before it's too late. That's because there is comfort in incremental thinking!

    ----
    **#ScaleBlindness** **#Exponential** **#Velocity** **#Disruption** **#Innovation** **#Acceleration** **#Linear**

    Futurist Jim Carroll believes that most organizations are falling way behind when it comes to the 'acceleration gap.'

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  12. "Know this: if your goals feel 'realistic,' you are thinking too small." - Futurist Jim Carroll

    ---
    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing his end-of-2025 / introduction-to-2026 series, 26 Principles for 2026. You can follow along at 2026.jimcarroll.com. He welcomes your comments.
    ----

    We are on Day 9. You've committed to the pivot (Day 7), and you are increasing your execution velocity (Day 8). You are moving faster.

    But are you aiming high enough?

    In an exponential world, you can’t just think big - you need to think bigger!
    And so day 9 is all about aiming higher and achieving the moonshot mentality. Here's your key thought: in 2026 and beyond, the idea of being just 10% better is dead, and being 10x better is critical.

    Think about it: in a linear world, success was defined by incrementalism. Growing sales by 5%, cutting costs by 10%, or improving efficiency by 15% year-over-year was considered a victory. You achieved this by working a little harder, squeezing a little more out of things, and making safe, small, "feasible" bets.

    Realistic things.

    Things you know you could accomplish.

    In an exponential world, incrementalism is the path to irrelevance. Small steps won't work. Thinking small is a guarantee for marginal success. While you are striving for 10% growth, an exponential competitor - maybe someone leveraging AI, developing a new business model, or developing new skills - is aiming for 10x growth and will wipe you out before your five-year plan is halfway done.

    To survive in 2026, you must stop trying to improve the status quo and start trying to replace it. You need to shift from linear goal-setting to exponential ambition.

    Moonshot thinking!

    The discipline is Aiming Higher!

    As Sly and the Family Stone said - I want to take you higher! To understand the scale of ambition required for 2026, you first need to see where the trends are actually going. You cannot plan for 2030 using 2025 thinking. If you take today's shifts and extrapolate them to their 10x conclusion, the future looks radically different.

    So let me take you into my world of "Radical Extrapolation" - I'll take some trends I've covered and take them higher.

    I'm Sly.

    You're the family.

    Let's get high!

    Keep reading - go to the full post!

    ----

    **#Moonshot** **#Exponential** **#Innovation** **#10x** **#AimHigher** **#Space** **#Capital** **#Commercialization** **#Transformation** **#Breakthrough**

    One of the highlights of Jim’s career was the moment he was invited to keynote an event at NASA, with a room full of astronauts, mission directors, rocket engineers, and others, with the focus being on ‘thinking BIG’. The second highlight was when he was invited back for a repeat performance!

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/12/decodin

  13. "Stop judging the speed of your future by the slow pace of your past." - Futurist Jim Carroll

    26 Principles to Master Exponential Growth in 2026 - **#1** Temporal Literacy

    It's Day 1 of your new path for 2026! 26 days, 26 principles to get you into the exponential mindset.

    Step 1? Master "Temporal Literacy" - in which you stop judging the speed of your future by the slow pace of your past!

    The single biggest mistake you can make right now is to believe that you can just keep doing the same old things at the same old deliberate pace that worked for you yesterday.

    You can't.

    Think about it - your past career success, your accumulated knowledge, and your daily routine have all been built on a 'linear' world - one that involves a slow, steady and expected rate of change. That's gone. The world is accelerating exponentially, creating a massive Temporal Lag between the speed you move and the speed the world demands.

    Alvin Toffler called it "Future Shock." You are in the middle of that right now.

    Here's what you need to do ....read the full list for insight.

    Keep reading.....

    ----

    Futurist Jim Carroll is writing a series, 26 Principles to Master Exponential Growth in 2026. You can follow the series here: 2026.jimcarroll.com

    **#Exponential** **#Learning** **#Acceleration** **#Skills** **#Adaptation** **#Change** **#Knowledge** **#Growth** **#Future** **#Velocity**

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/11/decodin

  14. "The rate of change outside your control must be met by a greater rate of learning inside your mind!" - Futurist Jim Carroll

    Most people don't realise what is happening with the exponentiation of trends. And yet, it is and will continue to have a p[profound impact on them. That's why I'm writing this new 2026 series, launching tomorrow.

    It's best to put this into perspective in the context of the reality of trends today.

    A year ago this month, I was invited by the Office of the Prime Minister of the United Arab Emirates to address the annual AGM of the region - a room full of 700 cabinet ministers and government executives. We spent a lot of time polishing my slide deck, and here are a few key slides. (Forgive the small type - these were prepared for a really big room with a really big LED screen!)

    The first had to do with what I call 'the era of acceleration.'

    Consider these numbers:

    - Amazon Robots: from 1,000 (2012) to 75,000 ↑ Significant Increase (Volume)
    - Cost of Human Genome Sequencing: from $100 million (2001) to $200 ↓ Massive Cost Reduction
    - Solar Energy: $76 per watt (1977) to $0.20 ↓ Cost Reduction
    - 3D Printing: $50 per cm³ (2010) to $0.50 ↓ Cost Reduction
    - Battery Storage: $1,100 per kWh (2010) to <$100 ↓ Cost Reduction
    - AI Inference Cost, $20.00 / Million Tokens (Nov 2022) to $0.07 / Million Tokens (Oct 2024)
    - Access to Space (Low Earth Orbit): $54,500 per kg (Space Shuttle Era) to $2,720 per kg (Falcon 9)
    - IoT Capacity (5G), 4G: 100,000 devices per km² to 5G: 1,000,000 devices per km²
    - General knowledge doubling : 100 Years (Until 1900) to 12 Hours (Projected 2020)
    - Medical knowledge doubling time, 50 Years in 1950 to 73 Days in 2020
    - Professional skills relevance: from 30 years historically to a half-life of 6 years today

    What' the impact? Skills obsolescence, opportunity blindness, and the drag of legacy!

    Starting tomorrow, I'll be taking you on the first principle of adaptation: Temporal Literacy. This is the foundational skill for every futurist, leader, and individual aiming for reinvention. It's the ability to stop judging the future by the slow pace of the past.

    Get ready to reset your internal clock!

    ---

    Each year, leading into the New Year, Futurist Jim Carroll writes a series designed to get you into the right headspace for what's to come. This year, his "26 Principles to Master Exponential Growth" will take you further into the world of speed. The series starts tomorrow, November 20.

    **#Exponential** **#Learning** **#Acceleration** **#Skills** **#Adaptation** **#Change** **#Knowledge** **#Growth** **#Future** **#Velocity**

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/11/decodin

  15. @Artemis201 @AkaSci

    I think driven by steady reduction in cost of panels.
    China breaks more records with surge in solar and wind power | China | The Guardian share.google/tp0sLMQAncfwzYKpJ

    Not suddenly this year.
    Solar power in China - Wikipedia share.google/46zUPue2ARy2QUvB0

    This looks like an #exponential curve, up to last year.
    It'll be a #logistic curve, I suppose, but there's no indication of the flattening of the rise into an S yet.

    #PhotoVoltaics #China

  16. My wife was working through finding the derivative of the #exponential #function #exp(x) from first principles.I was made aware that she hadn’t actually seen why the number e=2.7128… was the #base the of the function and that that’s what you need to start with. In fact, that means one must actually start by finding the first differential of a general #logarithm and find #e from there. Once you’ve find the #Derivative of #lln, the #derivative of the #ExponentialFunction is straightforward. (1/2)

  17. CW: Climate change

    I like this graph
    mastodon.nz/@pezmico/110769227
    because it works even better when you consider that the rate is actually closer to #exponential.

    I always recommend #Bartlett's writing on our inability to think exponentially.
    albartlett.org/articles/art_fo

  18. #Environmental #DNA (#eDNA) is increasingly used for rapid #biodiversity assessments in a variety of contexts.

    This review paper (Shea et al. 2023) on the use of eDNA assessments in #marine #ecological #research shows just how rapidly its use is increasing – #exponential!

    More importantly, quote: "Our #analysis underscores the need to #think #critically about #data #accessibility and #usability..."

    🔗 peerj.com/articles/14993/

    🧬🦞🐟🐙🐡🐋🐚🦦🪸🦭🦈🦑🐠🧬