#predictivecoding — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #predictivecoding, aggregated by home.social.
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DATE: August 11, 2026 at 08:00PM
SOURCE: PSYPOST.ORG** Research quality varies widely from fantastic to small exploratory studies. Please check research methods when conclusions are very important to you. **
-------------------------------------------------TITLE: A new dual-process theory solves the mystery of dopamine ramps
URL: https://www.psypost.org/a-new-dual-process-theory-solves-the-mystery-of-dopamine-ramps/
Researchers have developed a new computational model to explain why dopamine levels steadily increase as individuals approach a predictable reward. By combining two distinct types of learning, the model demonstrates how the brain efficiently updates its expectations, resolving a long-standing puzzle in neuroscience. The findings were published in the journal eLife.
Dopamine is a chemical messenger in the brain associated with learning, motivation, and movement. For decades, the dominant framework in neuroscience has viewed dopamine as a signal for a reward prediction error. This error occurs when the outcome of a situation is better or worse than expected. If an animal receives an unexpected treat, dopamine neurons fire to signal a positive error. This signal helps update stored expectations in a brain region called the striatum. Over time, as a reward becomes entirely predictable, these prediction errors should drop to zero.
However, experiments measuring dopamine during spatial navigation tasks have revealed a pattern that contradicts this standard theory. As animals move closer to a known, predictable reward, their dopamine levels gradually climb in a continuous slope. Because the reward is already expected, traditional mathematical models struggle to explain why a prediction error would increase as the goal gets nearer.
Researchers Luke Priestley and Thomas Akam from the University of Oxford sought to resolve this contradiction. They built a computational model that features two separate learning processes working in tandem. The first process is the traditional, slow-learning system that relies on cached values stored in the basal ganglia. The second process is a fast, flexible system that actively infers values using an internal map or world model, likely housed in the brain’s frontal cortex.
Priestley and Akam proposed that these two systems interact in a very specific way to generate dopamine ramps. When the brain calculates a reward prediction error, it compares its current prediction against a new update target. In their model, the fast, inferred values only influence the update target. The current prediction relies entirely on the slow, cached values. Because the fast system already knows a reward is near while the slow system is still catching up, the gap between the update target and the prediction grows as the goal approaches. This growing gap produces the steady climb in dopamine.
The researchers first tested this asymmetrical dual-process model in a simulated linear track environment. They compared it against a standard model and a version where inferred values influenced both the prediction and the update target. The asymmetrical model learned the true value of the environment faster than the alternatives. It also successfully produced the ramping dopamine signals that the standard models failed to generate.
Next, Priestley and Akam simulated an environment where an artificial agent navigated between high and low rewards over thousands of trials. They modeled a previous experiment showing that dopamine ramps in mice diminish gradually after extensive training. The simulated agent replicated this long-term decline. As the slow-learning cached values eventually matched the fast-learning inferred values, the gap between them closed, causing the ramps to flatten over time.
The model also mirrored how dopamine behaves in completely novel environments. In biological experiments, animals do not show dopamine ramps the first time they explore a new maze, but the ramps appear quickly after a few successes. The simulated agents showed this exact rapid onset, demonstrating how the fast-learning internal map quickly shapes the prediction error.
The researchers then applied their model to a grid-like environment with multiple paths to a single destination. In real-world experiments, changing the amount of reward at a specific location instantly alters the dopamine ramp on the very next attempt, even if the animal takes a completely different route. The dual-process model successfully reproduced this global updating behavior. Because the fast-learning system uses a flexible mental map, it immediately applied the new reward information to all possible paths leading to that goal.
To test how unexpected events influence dopamine, the team simulated virtual reality experiments where animals were suddenly teleported closer to a goal or forced to move at different speeds. In the simulation, teleports caused sudden spikes in the simulated dopamine signal, with the size of the spike depending on how close the agent was teleported to the reward. Changing the speed of the agent altered the steepness of the ramp. These simulated responses matched actual biological recordings, supporting the idea that dopamine tracks momentary changes in expected value.
Finally, the researchers modeled spatial uncertainty by simulating a virtual reality task where the environment progressively darkened. In actual animal experiments, this darkening causes dopamine levels to rise in a hump shape rather than a steady ramp. The simulated agent produced these exact same shapes. As the visual environment darkened, the agent became less certain of its exact location, which distorted the fast system’s inferred value estimates and caused the prediction error to drop off before reaching the goal.
While the dual-process model unifies several puzzling observations, it relies on a few computational simplifications. The researchers assumed the model-based system focuses entirely on calculating the shortest path to a single, final goal. In reality, animals continue to behave and learn after a goal is reached, meaning the brain likely employs more generalized strategies.
The simulations also used a fixed parameter to arbitrate between the fast and slow learning systems. A biological brain likely adjusts this balance dynamically based on confidence, uncertainty, or past experience. The model also assumes that the distances between locations are known to the agent in advance, which may require separate navigation circuits to already be active.
Future research will need to verify the biological pathways that allow the frontal cortex to send these fast value inferences to dopamine-producing centers. By testing whether temporarily disabling specific brain circuits eliminates dopamine ramps, scientists could test if this dual-process architecture operates in living animals. Identifying these physical connections would reshape how scientists view the boundary between conscious planning and automatic habit formation in the brain.
The study, “Dopamine ramps as a normative consequence of dual-process control,” was authored by Luke Priestley and Thomas Akam.
URL: https://www.psypost.org/a-new-dual-process-theory-solves-the-mystery-of-dopamine-ramps/
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Private, vetted email list for mental health professionals: https://www.clinicians-exchange.org
Unofficial Psychology Today Xitter to toot feed at Psych Today Unofficial Bot @PTUnofficialBot
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#psychology #counseling #socialwork #psychotherapy @psychotherapist @psychotherapists @psychology @socialpsych @socialwork @psychiatry #mentalhealth #psychiatry #healthcare #depression #psychotherapist #DopamineRamps #DualProcessModel #NeuroscienceBreakthrough #PredictiveCoding #LearningSystems #ModelBasedLearning #BasalGanglia #FrontalCortex #DopamineDynamics #eLifeResearch
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DATE: August 11, 2026 at 08:00PM
SOURCE: PSYPOST.ORG** Research quality varies widely from fantastic to small exploratory studies. Please check research methods when conclusions are very important to you. **
-------------------------------------------------TITLE: A new dual-process theory solves the mystery of dopamine ramps
URL: https://www.psypost.org/a-new-dual-process-theory-solves-the-mystery-of-dopamine-ramps/
Researchers have developed a new computational model to explain why dopamine levels steadily increase as individuals approach a predictable reward. By combining two distinct types of learning, the model demonstrates how the brain efficiently updates its expectations, resolving a long-standing puzzle in neuroscience. The findings were published in the journal eLife.
Dopamine is a chemical messenger in the brain associated with learning, motivation, and movement. For decades, the dominant framework in neuroscience has viewed dopamine as a signal for a reward prediction error. This error occurs when the outcome of a situation is better or worse than expected. If an animal receives an unexpected treat, dopamine neurons fire to signal a positive error. This signal helps update stored expectations in a brain region called the striatum. Over time, as a reward becomes entirely predictable, these prediction errors should drop to zero.
However, experiments measuring dopamine during spatial navigation tasks have revealed a pattern that contradicts this standard theory. As animals move closer to a known, predictable reward, their dopamine levels gradually climb in a continuous slope. Because the reward is already expected, traditional mathematical models struggle to explain why a prediction error would increase as the goal gets nearer.
Researchers Luke Priestley and Thomas Akam from the University of Oxford sought to resolve this contradiction. They built a computational model that features two separate learning processes working in tandem. The first process is the traditional, slow-learning system that relies on cached values stored in the basal ganglia. The second process is a fast, flexible system that actively infers values using an internal map or world model, likely housed in the brain’s frontal cortex.
Priestley and Akam proposed that these two systems interact in a very specific way to generate dopamine ramps. When the brain calculates a reward prediction error, it compares its current prediction against a new update target. In their model, the fast, inferred values only influence the update target. The current prediction relies entirely on the slow, cached values. Because the fast system already knows a reward is near while the slow system is still catching up, the gap between the update target and the prediction grows as the goal approaches. This growing gap produces the steady climb in dopamine.
The researchers first tested this asymmetrical dual-process model in a simulated linear track environment. They compared it against a standard model and a version where inferred values influenced both the prediction and the update target. The asymmetrical model learned the true value of the environment faster than the alternatives. It also successfully produced the ramping dopamine signals that the standard models failed to generate.
Next, Priestley and Akam simulated an environment where an artificial agent navigated between high and low rewards over thousands of trials. They modeled a previous experiment showing that dopamine ramps in mice diminish gradually after extensive training. The simulated agent replicated this long-term decline. As the slow-learning cached values eventually matched the fast-learning inferred values, the gap between them closed, causing the ramps to flatten over time.
The model also mirrored how dopamine behaves in completely novel environments. In biological experiments, animals do not show dopamine ramps the first time they explore a new maze, but the ramps appear quickly after a few successes. The simulated agents showed this exact rapid onset, demonstrating how the fast-learning internal map quickly shapes the prediction error.
The researchers then applied their model to a grid-like environment with multiple paths to a single destination. In real-world experiments, changing the amount of reward at a specific location instantly alters the dopamine ramp on the very next attempt, even if the animal takes a completely different route. The dual-process model successfully reproduced this global updating behavior. Because the fast-learning system uses a flexible mental map, it immediately applied the new reward information to all possible paths leading to that goal.
To test how unexpected events influence dopamine, the team simulated virtual reality experiments where animals were suddenly teleported closer to a goal or forced to move at different speeds. In the simulation, teleports caused sudden spikes in the simulated dopamine signal, with the size of the spike depending on how close the agent was teleported to the reward. Changing the speed of the agent altered the steepness of the ramp. These simulated responses matched actual biological recordings, supporting the idea that dopamine tracks momentary changes in expected value.
Finally, the researchers modeled spatial uncertainty by simulating a virtual reality task where the environment progressively darkened. In actual animal experiments, this darkening causes dopamine levels to rise in a hump shape rather than a steady ramp. The simulated agent produced these exact same shapes. As the visual environment darkened, the agent became less certain of its exact location, which distorted the fast system’s inferred value estimates and caused the prediction error to drop off before reaching the goal.
While the dual-process model unifies several puzzling observations, it relies on a few computational simplifications. The researchers assumed the model-based system focuses entirely on calculating the shortest path to a single, final goal. In reality, animals continue to behave and learn after a goal is reached, meaning the brain likely employs more generalized strategies.
The simulations also used a fixed parameter to arbitrate between the fast and slow learning systems. A biological brain likely adjusts this balance dynamically based on confidence, uncertainty, or past experience. The model also assumes that the distances between locations are known to the agent in advance, which may require separate navigation circuits to already be active.
Future research will need to verify the biological pathways that allow the frontal cortex to send these fast value inferences to dopamine-producing centers. By testing whether temporarily disabling specific brain circuits eliminates dopamine ramps, scientists could test if this dual-process architecture operates in living animals. Identifying these physical connections would reshape how scientists view the boundary between conscious planning and automatic habit formation in the brain.
The study, “Dopamine ramps as a normative consequence of dual-process control,” was authored by Luke Priestley and Thomas Akam.
URL: https://www.psypost.org/a-new-dual-process-theory-solves-the-mystery-of-dopamine-ramps/
-------------------------------------------------
Private, vetted email list for mental health professionals: https://www.clinicians-exchange.org
Unofficial Psychology Today Xitter to toot feed at Psych Today Unofficial Bot @PTUnofficialBot
-------------------------------------------------
#psychology #counseling #socialwork #psychotherapy @psychotherapist @psychotherapists @psychology @socialpsych @socialwork @psychiatry #mentalhealth #psychiatry #healthcare #depression #psychotherapist #DopamineRamps #DualProcessModel #NeuroscienceBreakthrough #PredictiveCoding #LearningSystems #ModelBasedLearning #BasalGanglia #FrontalCortex #DopamineDynamics #eLifeResearch
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Predictive coding explains how the brain keeps us trapped in existing frameworks. https://hackernoon.com/discomfort-as-human-technology-a-brain-function-beyond-predictive-coding #predictivecoding
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Predictive coding explains how the brain keeps us trapped in existing frameworks. https://hackernoon.com/discomfort-as-human-technology-a-brain-function-beyond-predictive-coding #predictivecoding
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🧠 Rao & Ballard’s (1999) spatial #PredictiveCoding theory gets strong support: Zhang et al. (2025) show in mouse #VisualCortex that predictive coding is primarily spatial, not temporal. #2P #imaging of ~20,000 neurons found mismatch responses only when new spatial landmarks appeared, but not when sequences were reordered:
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Proprioception, Interoception, Exteroception: The Three Flavors of Prediction
#BrainBody #PredictiveCoding #Interoception #Proprioception #Exteroception #Allostasis #Metacognition #PerceptualControlTheory #Visceromotor #AgranularCortex #Meditation #Attention #Neuroscience #BrainPrediction #EnergyRegulation
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From Heartbeat to Gut Feeling: The Science of Interoception
#Interoception #BrainScience #Neuroscience #PredictiveCoding #AffectiveNeuroscience #Insula #Amygdala #VagusNerve #Homeostasis #MindBodyConnection #Emotion #Cognition
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Inflammation, Mood, and the Brain: The Immune–Interoception Connection
#Interoception #BrainBodyConnection #GutBrainAxis #InflammationAndMood #PredictiveCoding #VagusNerve #Neuroscience #MentalHealth #Insula #AnteriorCingulate #EmotionalRegulation #Mindfulness #Neurostimulation #EmotionalGranularity
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🧠✨ What if your AI coding assistant could predict bug risk and code quality before you even hit 'Run'?
Claude isn’t just writing code—it’s modeling you.Explore the 4-part predictive engine that powers developer productivity.
🔍 Completion accuracy
📎 Task-aware suggestions
🔄 Feedback-based refinement#ClaudeAI #PredictiveCoding #AIProductivity #DevTools #DataScience
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From Biology to Therapy: Innovative Approaches to Mental Health Based on Neuroscience
#Neuroscience #EmotionalHealth #PolyvagalTheory #BrainBodyConnection #Interoception #PredictiveCoding #EmotionRegulation #MentalHealth #SelfRegulation #NeurovisceralIntegration #Psychology #BiologyOfEmotion #Resilience #MindBody #InnovativeTherapies
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Time for a new #Introduction . I’m a Lecturer in #Neuroscience in #London at the #UniversityOfRoehampton . I study #NoiseExposure & #HearingLoss & how it affects #AuditoryProcessing , #Audiology , & #Hearing ; particularly #SpeechInNoise & #PredictiveCoding . I focus on #HiddenHearingLoss noise exposure & I’m really interested in the intersection between noise exposure & #Neurodivergent conditions like #Autism & #Schizophrenia .
My home is a #Boat & most of my pictures here involve my #Cat .
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Time for a new #Introduction . I’m a Lecturer in #Neuroscience in #London at the #UniversityOfRoehampton . I study #NoiseExposure & #HearingLoss & how it affects #AuditoryProcessing , #Audiology , & #Hearing ; particularly #SpeechInNoise & #PredictiveCoding . I focus on #HiddenHearingLoss noise exposure & I’m really interested in the intersection between noise exposure & #Neurodivergent conditions like #Autism & #Schizophrenia .
My home is a #Boat & most of my pictures here involve my #Cat .
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I guess I should probably do an #Introduction as well. I’m a #Neuroscience #Postdoc in #Spain studying #NoiseExposure & #HearingLoss & how it affects #AuditoryProcessing, #Audiology, & #Hearing; particularly #SpeechInNoise & #PredictiveCoding. I focus on #HiddenHearingLoss noise exposure & I’m really interested in the intersection between noise exposure & #Neurodivergent conditions like #Autism & #Schizophrenia.
My permanent home is a #Boat & most of my pictures here involve my #Cat.
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Was ist die neuronale Signatur von Bewusstsein? Diese Frage beschäftigt Fachleute bis heute. Eine endgültige Antwort gibt es noch immer nicht – dafür aber eine Menge Theorien.
Infografik: Die wichtigsten Bewusstseinstheorien -
Was ist die neuronale Signatur von Bewusstsein? Diese Frage beschäftigt Fachleute bis heute. Eine endgültige Antwort gibt es noch immer nicht – dafür aber eine Menge Theorien.
Infografik: Die wichtigsten Bewusstseinstheorien -
@nadel @cogneurophys
Thanks for doing this! I love this series almost as much as the sight of you following white tie dress code (!!)At the risk of seeming sycophantic, as a grad student I always appreciated your encyclopedic knowledge esp. "there's nothing new under the sun" earlier work that warrants more recognition, or historical details, a la https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hipo.23027
So I'd love to hear underappreciated or unsung heroes, esp. to counteract the Matthew effect.
more hashtag fun #episodicmemory #contextmemory #neuroanatomy #memory #neuroscience #predictiveCoding #navigation
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@nadel @cogneurophys
Thanks for doing this! I love this series almost as much as the sight of you following white tie dress code (!!)At the risk of seeming sycophantic, as a grad student I always appreciated your encyclopedic knowledge esp. "there's nothing new under the sun" earlier work that warrants more recognition, or historical details, a la https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hipo.23027
So I'd love to hear underappreciated or unsung heroes, esp. to counteract the Matthew effect.
more hashtag fun #episodicmemory #contextmemory #neuroanatomy #memory #neuroscience #predictiveCoding #navigation
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Nice #newPaper on #predictiveCoding:
Dynamic Predictive Coding: A New Model of Hierarchical Sequence Learning and Prediction in the Cortex
by:
Linxing Preston Jiang, Rajesh P. N. Rao (https://twitter.com/lpjiang97, https://twitter.com/RajeshPNRao - not on mastodon yet?)https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.06.23.497415v3.full.pdf
elegantly extends our previous work with fixed kernels which was used to understand the flash-lag effect by learning predictive filters...
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Nice #newPaper on #predictiveCoding:
Dynamic Predictive Coding: A New Model of Hierarchical Sequence Learning and Prediction in the Cortex
by:
Linxing Preston Jiang, Rajesh P. N. Rao (https://twitter.com/lpjiang97, https://twitter.com/RajeshPNRao - not on mastodon yet?)https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.06.23.497415v3.full.pdf
elegantly extends our previous work with fixed kernels which was used to understand the flash-lag effect by learning predictive filters...
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@AskPippa #predictivecoding is an interesting #neuroscience topic, and I appreciate that it was featured. I have to point out that years of direct neuronal recording (non-human animal research) preceded and prompted aspects of the models mentioned. From corollary discharge and receptive field remapping in active sensing to “look-ahead” place cell sweeps and #replay. Even the elegant @tyrell_turing work mentioned was predated by eg Gavornik and Bear.