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From Ukraine To Greenland: How Trump’s Arctic Strategy Is Rewiring Europe’s Russia Policy
From Ukraine To Greenland: How Trump’s Arctic Strategy Is Rewiring Europe’s Russia Policy
By Uriel Araujo
A “100% ready” US-Ukraine security agreement emerges as Europe faces growing pressure from Washington on Greenland. The Arctic factor adds a new layer of uncertainty, encouraging European leaders to diversify diplomatic channels. The “100% ready” deal may be only the beginning, not the conclusion, of a far more complex realignment.
When President Volodymyr Zelensky announced, recently, that a bilateral US-Ukraine security guarantees agreement is “100% ready” and awaiting only a date and venue for signature, this sounded reassuring to a war-weary public and to increasingly divided Western backers. As a matter of fact, the timing of the announcement also reflects a broader unease in Europe, sharpened also by Washington’s recent willingness to brandish coercive tools against its own allies.
The deal, as described by Ukrainian officials, focuses on post-war guarantees against renewed hostilities, rather than NATO membership. Thus far, details remain deliberately vague, with Kiev focusing on assurances before any broader settlement advances.
This US-led track in any case unfolds as Europe quietly repositions itself. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and French President Emmanuel Macron have both called for reopening channels with Moscow, with Meloni proposing a special EU envoy to ensure Europe is not sidelined. This may signal a strategic shift.
The question many are asking is whether Europe might attempt to undermine, or at least dilute, the US-Ukraine security deal, as happened during earlier negotiation efforts, including the ill-fated Istanbul talks of 2022. Russian officials have repeatedly accused European capitals of sabotaging talks, a claim echoed again in late 2025 amid renewed US mediation attempts. Yet something may be changing: Europeans increasingly understand that Trump’s second administration is pursuing an unmistakably unilateral approach across theatres, with Europe also being a target. In other words, an understanding is emerging that the real threat lies West, not East.
Here the Greenland factor enters the equation. The American threats to annex the island by force or impose sweeping tariffs on European imports are part of a broader Arctic strategy, one that exposed Europe’s vulnerability to pressure from its principal “ally” and reinforced the logic of diversifying diplomatic leverage.
Though such threats were later dialled back into a “framework” arrangement with Denmark (involving expanded US access and arms purchases), Trump’s unpredictability remains a structural problem for Europe, amid speculations about cognitive decline.
European vulnerability in Greenland is well documented: analysts have warned that the European bloc is still unprepared to defend the island, despite its growing strategic value amid Arctic militarization. Legal scholars have also noted that Trump’s threats tested the credibility of international law’s prohibition on the use of force. In a way, a “Overton Window” approach is being employed by the US President on global law.
Against this backdrop, Europe’s renewed interest in dialogue with Russia may reflect leverage-seeking behaviour, so to speak. With Washington willing to brandish tariffs and security ultimatums against allies, European leaders have incentives to diversify diplomatic options. As I’ve argued, from an European perspective, engaging Moscow, even cautiously, offers one such option, especially in energy security, reconstruction planning, and Arctic governance.
This dynamic intersects with the Trump administration’s broader peace framework circulated in the end of last year, a 28-point plan outlining limits on Ukraine’s military size, demilitarized zones, phased sanctions relief, and security guarantees from both sides. While many elements remain disputed and only partially confirmed, the mere existence of such a plan underscores the American desire for a managed exit in that theatre (which has long been a US proxy war) as Washington now pivots elsewhere. In that case, what incentive is left for Europe to continue to carry such a burden?
Europe this time is therefore unlikely to sabotage the US-Ukraine security deal outright. Instead, it will likely pursue parallel engagement, seeking a seat at the table and “insurance” against abrupt US policy shifts. Poland and the Baltic states may resist any EU envoy seen as “weak”, but Berlin and Paris appear increasingly receptive. Recent data suggest Russian oil and gas revenues have faced some downward pressure since late 2025 due to price dynamics, logistical constraints, and sanctions enforcement, even as exports continue through alternative channels. Again, from a European perspective, this mixed picture could give European powers some confidence.
In that context, renewed dialogue would not be a zero-sum exercise. For Russia, engagement with Europe offers a channel to stabilize long-term energy trade and investment planning in a fragmented but still interconnected market. For Europe, talks with Moscow are about regaining strategic agency at a moment when US policy under Trump has become too unpredictable. Sustained communication thus reduces miscalculation risks and opens space for post-conflict reconstruction frameworks. Be as it may, such engagement can be framed as risk management rather than concession. This pragmatic logic explains why calls for engagement are resurfacing across European capitals, not as an ideological shift but as an acknowledgment of geopolitical realities.
A US open occupation or annexation of Greenland would threaten not only European sovereignty but also Russia, as I’ve detailed elsewhere. This means that the American appetite for Greenland has made European and Russian strategic interests converge in the Arctic.
The most plausible scenario is thus coordinated European engagement rather than open friction. Europe will neither torpedo the US deal nor subordinate itself fully to Trump’s whims; it will hedge. Greenland, unresolved enough to resurface at any moment, adds urgency to that hedging. Trump’s threats may have receded for now, but they linger as precedent and could re-escalate at any time.
In this scenario, Europe’s possible outreach to Russia is about autonomy. It would reflect an attempt to navigate a landscape in which Washington, as a volatile “partner”, is increasingly turning into an open enemy. Whether such a European balancing act gains traction will depend on February’s negotiations and on Trump’s next move. Thus, the “100% ready” deal may be only the beginning, not the conclusion, of a far more complex Eurasian realignment.
Uriel Araujo, Anthropology PhD, is a social scientist specializing in ethnic and religious conflicts, with extensive research on geopolitical dynamics and cultural interactions.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Voice of East.
#DonaldTrump #EU #Europe #Geopolitics #Greenland #NATO #Russia #TheArctic #Ukraine #USA
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Seeing mixed opinions on whether there are higher returns for #ESG firms Please tag me in any #fintwit research that looks at the intersection of #climatechange #finance &/ #ESGfinance Thank you in advance. Have a great weekend all!
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Seeing mixed opinions on whether there are higher returns for #ESG firms Please tag me in any #fintwit research that looks at the intersection of #climatechange #finance &/ #ESGfinance Thank you in advance. Have a great weekend all!
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Who Is Annie Duke?
If you’ve ever made a financial decision with incomplete information (and you have, because everyone has), you’ve experienced exactly what Annie Duke has spent her career studying. Duke is an author, speaker, and decision science consultant whose work sits at the intersection of cognitive psychology, risk, and human behavior. Her books have become widely recommended reads for anyone trying to make smarter decisions with money, in business, and in life.
From the Poker Table to the Bestseller List
Duke was born in 1965 in Concord, New Hampshire. She attended Columbia University, where she double-majored in English and psychology as part of the first co-ed class in the school’s history. She later pursued a Ph.D. in cognitive psychology at the University of Pennsylvania on a National Science Foundation Fellowship, where her research focused on cognitive linguistics.
She left her doctoral program before completing it to move to Las Vegas and play poker professionally, a decision that would eventually shape an entirely new career. Over the next two decades, she became one of the top poker players in the world, winning more than $4 million in tournament play. In 2004, she won a World Series of Poker gold bracelet and the invitation-only WSOP Tournament of Champions, a $2 million winner-take-all event. In 2010, she won the NBC National Heads-Up Poker Championship. She retired from professional poker in 2012.
Annie Duke’s Books on Decision Making
Duke’s most well-known work is Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts, published in 2018 by Portfolio, an imprint of Penguin Random House. The book became a national bestseller and is frequently cited as one of the best books on decision making for people in finance, business, and investing.
The central idea of Thinking in Bets is that good decisions and good outcomes are not the same thing. We often judge our choices by how they turn out, but outcomes are partly determined by luck. Duke argues that the better approach is to evaluate the quality of your decision-making process rather than fixating on results. This framework is deeply relevant to investing, where market volatility can make even sound decisions look bad in the short term.
Her follow-up, How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices, published in 2020, takes a more practical approach. It functions almost like a workbook, offering frameworks and exercises to help readers improve how they evaluate options, account for their own biases, and make more confident decisions without second-guessing themselves constantly.
In 2022, Duke published Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away. The book challenges the conventional wisdom that persistence always wins. Duke makes the case that knowing when to exit a bad situation, a failing strategy, or a sunk-cost trap is a skill, not a weakness. For investors who have ever held a losing position too long because they couldn’t bring themselves to sell, the book is particularly relevant.
Why Her Work Matters for Personal Finance
Duke’s academic background in cognitive psychology gives her books a foundation that goes beyond motivational advice. She draws on behavioral science to explain why people make the decisions they do, including why we are wired to avoid losses more than we seek gains, why we remember outcomes better than we remember reasoning, and why we tend to be overconfident in our own judgment.
These are not abstract problems. They show up every time someone holds a falling stock because selling it would feel like admitting a mistake. They show up when someone avoids looking at their budget because the numbers are uncomfortable. They show up when someone keeps contributing to a financial plan that stopped making sense years ago.
Understanding these tendencies is the first step toward correcting them, which is why many financial advisors and serious investors treat Duke’s books as essential reading.
Beyond the Books
Duke is also the co-founder of the Alliance for Decision Education, a nonprofit focused on bringing decision-making skills into middle and high school curricula. She has served on the board of the Franklin Institute in Philadelphia and has spoken at conferences for organizations across the financial services industry, including Susquehanna International Group and Citibank.
She is a Special Partner focused on Decision Science at First Round Capital, a seed-stage venture fund, where she coaches founders and investors through high-stakes decisions.
Is Annie Duke Worth Reading?
If you believe that how you think matters as much as what you know, then yes. Thinking in Bets in particular has earned a place alongside the classics of behavioral finance for its clear-eyed look at uncertainty and human judgment. It won’t tell you which stocks to buy or how to build a budget. What it will do is help you understand why you make the decisions you make and how to make better ones going forward.
That kind of self-awareness is one of the most underrated tools in personal finance.
#ActiveInvesting #AllianceForDecisionEducation #AnnieDuke #Author #Biography #Books #HowToDecide #Investing #PersonalFinance #Psychology #Quit #ThinkingInBets -
the tech world is noisy right now. the real story is in the intersection.
data, customer experience, AI, and impact on the next generation aren't separate conversations. they're one.
→ AI scales whatever it learns. including the flaws.
→ ethics and cultural context aren't add-ons.
→ thoughtful beats fast. fast usually means redoing it.what questions are you asking at the crossroads?
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Today's Cancer ♋️ Moon 🌖 takes us through some crazy alignments. 💫A grand sextile happens when the planets form two intersecting triangles...
a star of david shape! ✡️
Not only that, but that same Cancer Moon forms a ➡️mystic rectangle⬅️ later in the day, followed by an opposition to Pluto. 🤯
The #oppositions these alignments create can...
#astrology #AstroVibe #AstrologyHeals #MysticRectangle #GrandSextile #CancerMoon #Pluto #CancerZodiacSign
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Today's Cancer ♋️ Moon 🌖 takes us through some crazy alignments. 💫A grand sextile happens when the planets form two intersecting triangles...
a star of david shape! ✡️
Not only that, but that same Cancer Moon forms a ➡️mystic rectangle⬅️ later in the day, followed by an opposition to Pluto. 🤯
The #oppositions these alignments create can...
#astrology #AstroVibe #AstrologyHeals #MysticRectangle #GrandSextile #CancerMoon #Pluto #CancerZodiacSign
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Today's Cancer ♋️ Moon 🌖 takes us through some crazy alignments. 💫A grand sextile happens when the planets form two intersecting triangles...
a star of david shape! ✡️
Not only that, but that same Cancer Moon forms a ➡️mystic rectangle⬅️ later in the day, followed by an opposition to Pluto. 🤯
The #oppositions these alignments create can...
#astrology #AstroVibe #AstrologyHeals #MysticRectangle #GrandSextile #CancerMoon #Pluto #CancerZodiacSign
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Cultural Fluidity A Watercolor Art Installation Inspired by Xu Zhen
Immerse yourself in a world where culture flows like water, as artist Xu Zhen takes you on a journey through his mesmerizing watercolor art installation Explore the intersection of traditional and modern cultures th...
See More Seeds: https://aidyslexic.raupulus.dev/collections/show/1143#StableDiffusion #ai #ArtificialIntelligence #art #installation #watercolor #culture #traditional #modern #Xu-Zhen #blending #technique
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https://www.alojapan.com/1485170/sinkhole-opens-up-in-western-japans-osaka-nearby-road-closed/ Sinkhole opens up in western Japan’s Osaka, nearby road closed #asia #biz #Japan #JapanBroadcastingCorporation #news #nhk #NhkWorld #NHKWORLDPREMIUM #NhkWorldTv #NHKWorld #Nuclear #Osaka #OsakaNews #PublicBroadcaster #RadioJapan #tech #world #大阪 #大阪府 A section of a road about 3 meters wide has collapsed in Osaka Prefecture, western Japan. No one has been injured. The incident occurred near an intersection on the Senrioka-Mishima route i
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https://www.alojapan.com/1485170/sinkhole-opens-up-in-western-japans-osaka-nearby-road-closed/ Sinkhole opens up in western Japan’s Osaka, nearby road closed #asia #biz #Japan #JapanBroadcastingCorporation #news #nhk #NhkWorld #NHKWORLDPREMIUM #NhkWorldTv #NHKWorld #Nuclear #Osaka #OsakaNews #PublicBroadcaster #RadioJapan #tech #world #大阪 #大阪府 A section of a road about 3 meters wide has collapsed in Osaka Prefecture, western Japan. No one has been injured. The incident occurred near an intersection on the Senrioka-Mishima route i
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"Immigration officer injured during targeted operation in Los Angeles area
A Customs and Border Protection officer was injured in a targeted immigration operation, though the extent and nature of the injuries were not immediately clear.
(. . .)
At the intersection where the incident took place, a man could be heard in a livestreamed video shouting in the background for federal agents to 'get out' of the neighborhood, while a group of onlookers gathered near police tape blocking access to the scene."
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🥳We're pleased to say our Keynote for the #NLISN26 conference is @[email protected] who'll be talking about "The 'Double Rainbow' Intersection: Neurodivergent & LGBTQIA+🧠🏳️🌈 #Librarian #LIS #LibraryWorker #Neurodiversity #Dyslexic #ADHD #Dyscalculia #Dyspraxia #Autistic #LGBT #LGBTQ
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:ecwkd7xnxmxy2xjk7jvshywc/post/3mkmv2wdmo22w -
[P] I'm curious about the intersection of the normalised monster traits of humanity and breeding. To begin, the world is clearly overpopulated, claiming otherwise is spreading wealthy whitey billionaire propaganda.
https://www.sciencealert.com/earths-population-has-surpassed-the-planets-capacity-study-suggests
The earth IS grossly overpopulated. This is science fact. So why is it denied? Why is the propaganda believed? I want to examine that a little bit.
#psychology #actuallyautistic #neurotypicals #science #childfree #overpopulation #overshoot
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I wrote about my experience as a German child in Italy, where a lack of pedagogical tools transformed a history lesson into a process of scapegoating. It’s a story about the intersection of trauma, semantic errors, and the invisible struggle of the twice-exceptional mind.
#AuDHD #Neurodivergence #2e #ActuallyAutistic #History
https://medium.com/@christian.gajewski/the-guilt-of-being-born-on-the-wrong-side-of-history-4128c9c751da?sk=5e7dcbeec4e160cfe875c2f58b9c9791 -
I wrote about my experience as a German child in Italy, where a lack of pedagogical tools transformed a history lesson into a process of scapegoating. It’s a story about the intersection of trauma, semantic errors, and the invisible struggle of the twice-exceptional mind.
#AuDHD #Neurodivergence #2e #ActuallyAutistic #History
https://medium.com/@christian.gajewski/the-guilt-of-being-born-on-the-wrong-side-of-history-4128c9c751da?sk=5e7dcbeec4e160cfe875c2f58b9c9791 -
I wrote about my experience as a German child in Italy, where a lack of pedagogical tools transformed a history lesson into a process of scapegoating. It’s a story about the intersection of trauma, semantic errors, and the invisible struggle of the twice-exceptional mind.
#AuDHD #Neurodivergence #2e #ActuallyAutistic #History
https://medium.com/@christian.gajewski/the-guilt-of-being-born-on-the-wrong-side-of-history-4128c9c751da?sk=5e7dcbeec4e160cfe875c2f58b9c9791 -
I wrote about my experience as a German child in Italy, where a lack of pedagogical tools transformed a history lesson into a process of scapegoating. It’s a story about the intersection of trauma, semantic errors, and the invisible struggle of the twice-exceptional mind.
#AuDHD #Neurodivergence #2e #ActuallyAutistic #History
https://medium.com/@christian.gajewski/the-guilt-of-being-born-on-the-wrong-side-of-history-4128c9c751da?sk=5e7dcbeec4e160cfe875c2f58b9c9791 -
I wrote about my experience as a German child in Italy, where a lack of pedagogical tools transformed a history lesson into a process of scapegoating. It’s a story about the intersection of trauma, semantic errors, and the invisible struggle of the twice-exceptional mind.
#AuDHD #Neurodivergence #2e #ActuallyAutistic #History
https://medium.com/@christian.gajewski/the-guilt-of-being-born-on-the-wrong-side-of-history-4128c9c751da?sk=5e7dcbeec4e160cfe875c2f58b9c9791 -
CW: Temas que verás por aquí - Topics you may find here
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Hablo, normalmente en serio, de gestión de #operaciones, #industria, #sostenibilidad, #economíacircular, sector #agroalimentario, #industria40, #tecnología y #diversidad. Y sus intersecciones.Y no tan en serio de actualidad.
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Tooting, mostly seriously, about #operations management, #industry, #sustainability, #circulareconomy, #agrifood, #industry40, #technology and diversity. And their intersections.Kinda seriously about breaking news.
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🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI
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🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI
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🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI
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🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI
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🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI
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🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI
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🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI
-
🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI
-
🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI
-
🧠✨ What is consciousness—and how can it be scientifically researched? ✨🧠
In our latest #Zoomposium, we talk to Dr. #LukasKob, an interdisciplinary #philosopher working at the intersection of #consciousness, #language, and #artificialintelligence.
📽️ https://youtu.be/1zUuoApblYE
📎Information: https://philosophies.de/index.php/2026/01/14/struktur-des-bewusstseins/
#PhilosophyOfMind #Structuralism #NeuralCorrelates #NCC #ArtificialConsciousness #Neuroscience #MindSciences #ComputationalPhenomenology #StructuralRealism #AGI