#moodys — Public Fediverse posts

Philippines GDP Growth Unlikely To Reach 6% In Medium Term

Several economic factors and the continued vulnerability to climate-driven shocks make it unlikely for the Philippines to achieve gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 6% in the medium term, according to a news report by BusinessWorld citing Moody’s Ratings.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of BusinessWorld. Some parts in boldface…

MOODY’S RATINGS said the Philippines’ medium-term growth outlook seems bleak as its slow  investment recovery and vulnerability to climate-driven shocks may derail its economic rebound.

In a statement following its latest rating action on the Philippines, the debt watcher said the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to hover below its pre-pandemic level of around 6% over the medium term.

“The Philippines’ medium-term growth will continue to be underpinned by favorable demographics, resilient remittances and service exports, and a gradual strengthening of investment as confidence recovers, with electronics and other goods exports providing a more marginal offset,” Moody’s Ratings said late on Monday.

“Even so, we expect medium-term potential to settle somewhat below the near-6% pace recorded before the pandemic, as investment recovers only gradually and the economy remains exposed to recurrent natural disasters and climate-related shocks,” it added.

Moody’s slashed its Philippine GDP growth forecast for this year to 3.6% from 5.5%. This falls near the bottom end of the government’s 3.5%-4.5% target for the year.

In the second quarter, GDP growth tumbled to a new post-pandemic low of 2.3%, bringing average growth to 2.6% in the first half.

The fourth consecutive quarter of slowing growth came as investments continued to reel from last year’s flood control corruption scandal, while rising prices amid the Middle East war squeezed household spending.

Moody’s Ratings noted that the Middle East war shocks and investment slump are “largely cyclical,” with an investment-driven recovery expected later this year.

“The recovery from the second half of 2026 should be led by a rebound in public investment as the government resumes stalled disbursements and normalizes spending execution,” it said.

Moody’s Ratings said that local investments should focus on public infrastructure and public-private partnerships, especially in renewable energy “as the country diversifies its energy mix in response to the recent shock.”

The government’s recent reforms should also eventually boost investment and productivity as their benefits are realized, the debt watcher said.

These include the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises to Maximize Opportunities for Reinvigorating the Economy Act, foreign investment liberalization, and allowing more private and foreign participation in sectors such as renewable energy.

By 2027, Moody’s Ratings expects GDP to expand by 5.3%, although still slower than its previous estimate of 5.6%.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Are you convinced that the economy of the Philippines really does not have enough strength to achieve 6% GDP growth anytime soon? Do you think the current economic managers know what they are doing? Do you think there will absolutely be no economic gains from the Philippines’ hosting of the 2026 ASEAN Summit?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines GDP Growth Unlikely To Reach 6% In Medium Term

Several economic factors and the continued vulnerability to climate-driven shocks make it unlikely for the Philippines to achieve gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 6% in the medium term, according to a news report by BusinessWorld citing Moody’s Ratings.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of BusinessWorld. Some parts in boldface…

MOODY’S RATINGS said the Philippines’ medium-term growth outlook seems bleak as its slow  investment recovery and vulnerability to climate-driven shocks may derail its economic rebound.

In a statement following its latest rating action on the Philippines, the debt watcher said the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to hover below its pre-pandemic level of around 6% over the medium term.

“The Philippines’ medium-term growth will continue to be underpinned by favorable demographics, resilient remittances and service exports, and a gradual strengthening of investment as confidence recovers, with electronics and other goods exports providing a more marginal offset,” Moody’s Ratings said late on Monday.

“Even so, we expect medium-term potential to settle somewhat below the near-6% pace recorded before the pandemic, as investment recovers only gradually and the economy remains exposed to recurrent natural disasters and climate-related shocks,” it added.

Moody’s slashed its Philippine GDP growth forecast for this year to 3.6% from 5.5%. This falls near the bottom end of the government’s 3.5%-4.5% target for the year.

In the second quarter, GDP growth tumbled to a new post-pandemic low of 2.3%, bringing average growth to 2.6% in the first half.

The fourth consecutive quarter of slowing growth came as investments continued to reel from last year’s flood control corruption scandal, while rising prices amid the Middle East war squeezed household spending.

Moody’s Ratings noted that the Middle East war shocks and investment slump are “largely cyclical,” with an investment-driven recovery expected later this year.

“The recovery from the second half of 2026 should be led by a rebound in public investment as the government resumes stalled disbursements and normalizes spending execution,” it said.

Moody’s Ratings said that local investments should focus on public infrastructure and public-private partnerships, especially in renewable energy “as the country diversifies its energy mix in response to the recent shock.”

The government’s recent reforms should also eventually boost investment and productivity as their benefits are realized, the debt watcher said.

These include the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises to Maximize Opportunities for Reinvigorating the Economy Act, foreign investment liberalization, and allowing more private and foreign participation in sectors such as renewable energy.

By 2027, Moody’s Ratings expects GDP to expand by 5.3%, although still slower than its previous estimate of 5.6%.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Are you convinced that the economy of the Philippines really does not have enough strength to achieve 6% GDP growth anytime soon? Do you think the current economic managers know what they are doing? Do you think there will absolutely be no economic gains from the Philippines’ hosting of the 2026 ASEAN Summit?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines GDP Growth Unlikely To Reach 6% In Medium Term

Several economic factors and the continued vulnerability to climate-driven shocks make it unlikely for the Philippines to achieve gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 6% in the medium term, according to a news report by BusinessWorld citing Moody’s Ratings.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of BusinessWorld. Some parts in boldface…

MOODY’S RATINGS said the Philippines’ medium-term growth outlook seems bleak as its slow  investment recovery and vulnerability to climate-driven shocks may derail its economic rebound.

In a statement following its latest rating action on the Philippines, the debt watcher said the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to hover below its pre-pandemic level of around 6% over the medium term.

“The Philippines’ medium-term growth will continue to be underpinned by favorable demographics, resilient remittances and service exports, and a gradual strengthening of investment as confidence recovers, with electronics and other goods exports providing a more marginal offset,” Moody’s Ratings said late on Monday.

“Even so, we expect medium-term potential to settle somewhat below the near-6% pace recorded before the pandemic, as investment recovers only gradually and the economy remains exposed to recurrent natural disasters and climate-related shocks,” it added.

Moody’s slashed its Philippine GDP growth forecast for this year to 3.6% from 5.5%. This falls near the bottom end of the government’s 3.5%-4.5% target for the year.

In the second quarter, GDP growth tumbled to a new post-pandemic low of 2.3%, bringing average growth to 2.6% in the first half.

The fourth consecutive quarter of slowing growth came as investments continued to reel from last year’s flood control corruption scandal, while rising prices amid the Middle East war squeezed household spending.

Moody’s Ratings noted that the Middle East war shocks and investment slump are “largely cyclical,” with an investment-driven recovery expected later this year.

“The recovery from the second half of 2026 should be led by a rebound in public investment as the government resumes stalled disbursements and normalizes spending execution,” it said.

Moody’s Ratings said that local investments should focus on public infrastructure and public-private partnerships, especially in renewable energy “as the country diversifies its energy mix in response to the recent shock.”

The government’s recent reforms should also eventually boost investment and productivity as their benefits are realized, the debt watcher said.

These include the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises to Maximize Opportunities for Reinvigorating the Economy Act, foreign investment liberalization, and allowing more private and foreign participation in sectors such as renewable energy.

By 2027, Moody’s Ratings expects GDP to expand by 5.3%, although still slower than its previous estimate of 5.6%.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Are you convinced that the economy of the Philippines really does not have enough strength to achieve 6% GDP growth anytime soon? Do you think the current economic managers know what they are doing? Do you think there will absolutely be no economic gains from the Philippines’ hosting of the 2026 ASEAN Summit?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

+++++

Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Moody’s Analytics Cuts Philippines 2026 GDP Growth Forecast to 3%

By citing key factors like weak consumption, Middle East oil shock and the collapse in private investment, Moody’s Analytics officially slashed its 2026 gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for the Philippines to 3%, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of BusinessWorld. Some parts in boldface…

MOODY’S ANALYTICS slashed its 2026 growth forecast for the Philippines, amid weak consumption and a collapse in private investment.

In its latest Asia-Pacific Outlook report dated Aug. 24, the analytics firm said it now sees Philippine gross domestic product (GDP) expanding by 3% this year, slower than its 4% projection in June.

“We lowered our 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3% from 4% in the June vintage after incorporating the second-quarter GDP result, which was far weaker than expected,” Moody’s Analytics Assistant Director and Economist Sarah Tan said in an e-mailed reply to questions.

The Philippine economy slumped to its worst post-pandemic growth of 2.3% in the April-to-June period, as investments and public construction continued to reel from last year’s flood control corruption scandal. Rising prices from the Middle East war-driven oil shock also strained household spending.

“The economy expanded by just 2.3% year on year, with private consumption showing notable weakness and private investment collapsing,” Ms. Tan noted. “This points to softer underlying domestic demand than we had previously anticipated.”

As of the first half of 2026, the country’s GDP growth averaged 2.6%, well below the government’s 3.5%-4.5% full-year target.

If Moody’s Analytics’ forecast holds true, the government will miss its growth target for a fourth year in a row. The economy would also further soften from last year’s post-pandemic low growth of 4.4%.

Economists earlier said that reaching even the bottom end of the government’s target entails a steep climb, as it means the economy must grow by at least 4.4% in the second half.

Moody’s Analytics sees growth recovering over the next two years to 4.6% in 2027 and 5.1% in 2028. The government wants full-year expansion to be between 5% and 6% from 2027 to 2030.

Meanwhile, GlobalSource Partners Country Analyst Diwa C. Guinigundo noted that the Philippines could face a more complicated path toward fiscal consolidation if growth remains below potential.

“Slower growth would make fiscal consolidation and debt reduction more difficult,” he said in a Viber message. “The issue is not simply that government revenues would grow more slowly; a weaker economy also means a smaller denominator for the debt-to-GDP ratio.”

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think 2026 will end up as a very disappointing year of economic growth for the Philippines? Do you think the economy of the Philippines could still fall into a recession in 2027 or in the first half of 2028? Are you convinced that the Philippines has nothing to gain economically from hosting the ASEAN Summit?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

#Google says hackers are calling financial firm employees to hack and extort victims

https://techcrunch.com/2026/08/06/google-says-hackers-are-calling-financial-firm-employees-to-hack-and-extort-victims/

#phishing #cybersecurity #finance #ApolloGlobal #Bain #Blackstone #Bridgewater #CME #KKR #Moodys #TPG #Falcon #Helix #Pink #Redact

Why Moody’s has raised China’s credit outlook amid Iran war shocks

A leading ratings agency that previously expressed concerns about China’s local debt woes has cast a vote of…
#NewsBeep #News #Economy #a #A1 #Aa1 #Aa3 #AU #Australia #Beijing #Business #China #donaldtrump #FITCH #Iran #MinistryofFinance #moodys #NationalBureauofStatistics #S&P #straitofhormuz #UnitedStates
https://www.newsbeep.com/au/636539/

Moody’s enciende alerta por déficit mayor al previsto en Chile y pone la atención en la ruta fiscal del nuevo gobierno | vía #UChileRadio

https://radio.uchile.cl/2026/02/20/moodys-enciende-alerta-por-deficit-mayor-al-previsto-en-chile-y-pone-la-atencion-en-la-ruta-fiscal-del-nuevo-gobierno/

#déficitfiscal #gobiernodeboric #javieramartínez #jorgequiroz #moodys

Moody’s keeps France’s credit rating but warns about ‘negative’ outlook.

Credit ratings agency Moody’s on Friday maintained France’s Aa3 sovereign rating but downgraded its outlook to “negative” from “stable,” warning that mounting political fragmentation could hinder efforts to rein in the country’s swelling deficit.

https://mediafaro.org/article/20251025-moodys-keeps-frances-credit-rating-but-warns-about-negative-outlook?mf_channel=mastodon&action=forward

#France #CreditRating #Economy #Moodys #Economy #Politics #BudgetDeficit

Crypto Adoption in Emerging Markets Poses Risks to Financial Resilience: Moody's - Cryptocurrency adoption in emerging markets poses risks to monetary sovereignty and finan... - https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/09/26/crypto-adoption-in-emerging-markets-poses-risks-to-financial-resilience-moody-s #emergingmarkets #stablecoins #policy #moodys #news

The Register: Moody’s raises Big Red flag over Oracle’s AI datacenter buildout blueprint. “Ratings agency Moody’s has pointed to the dangers inherent in Oracle’s $300 billion agreement with OpenAI – one of the deals contributing to a staggering $455 billion pipeline of obligations for Big Red’s cloud infrastructure.”

https://rbfirehose.com/2025/09/26/the-register-moodys-raises-big-red-flag-over-oracles-ai-datacenter-buildout-blueprint/

Moody’s Ratings eleva calificación de riesgo a Costa Rica de Ba3 a Ba2

El Ministerio de Hacienda aseguró que esta mejora es producto de la disciplina fiscal y la buena gestión de la deuda pública.
La entrada Moody’s Ratings eleva calificación de riesgo a Costa Rica de Ba3 a Ba2 aparece primero en Semanario Universidad.

#CalificaciónDeRiesgo #ElMinisterioDeHacienda #Hacienda #Moodys #País #ÚltimaHora

https://semanariouniversidad.com/pais/moodys-ratings-eleva-calificacion-de-riesgo-a-costa-rica-de-ba3-a-ba2/

Asia Morning Briefing: Architect Bets Credit Will Outshine Crypto Equities as It Builds a Web3 Moody’s - Good Morning, Asia. Here's what's making news in the markets:Welcome to Asia Morning Brie... - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/08/06/asia-morning-briefing-architect-bets-credit-will-outshine-crypto-equities-as-it-builds-a-web3-moody-s #equities #markets #credit #moodys #news

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/21/us-treasury-yields-investors-monitor-budget-bill-discussions-.html

30-year Treasury yield tops 5%, 10-year hits 4.5% on deficit concerns

#moodys #downgrades #us #credit #rating #usa #federal #debt #interest #fitch #tripleA #Dalio #markets #trump #tariffs #investors #american #consumer #retail #spending #tax #business #taxes #bonds #treasury #borrowing #costs #economy #finance #money #economics #uspol

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/mortgage-rates-jump-above-7-after-moodys-downgrade-of-u-s-credit-0d287336

Mortgage rates jump above 7% after Moody’s downgrade of U.S. credit

#us #homebuyer #mortgage #economic #uncertainty #labor #market #refinance #applications #borrowers #rates #usa #mortgage #lending #banking #bankers #lenders #residential #construction #builders #jobs 
#fanniemae #fannie #freddie #mortgages #families #economy #recession #moodys #credit #rating

https://youtu.be/dBCPVgkY6cM
⛔️🇺🇸Pending Collapse: Credit rating downgrade triggers warning signs for U.S. economy (PBS NewsHour VIDEO) #Ukraine #Mastodon #Moodys #NukesForUkraine #Germany #Washington #NYCStock #France #Italy #OSCE #PACE #CoE #SouthKorea #Press #News #Taiwan #Media #Japan #USA #US #UK #EU #NATO #UnitedStates #UnitedKingdom
#EuropeanUnion #russiaUkraineWar
#11yrInvasionofUkraine #RussiaIsATerroristState

US #stocks, #bonds & the value of the #USdollar are drifting lower following the latest reminder that the US govt seems to be hurtling toward an unsustainable mountain of #debt under #Trump.

The S&P 500 dipped 0.4% after #Moodys Ratings became the last of the 3 major #credit-rating agencies to say the US federal govt no longer deserves a top-tier “Aaa” rating. The #DowJones was down 55 points, or 0.1%, as of 11AM ET, & the #Nasdaq composite was 0.6% lower.

#economy
https://apnews.com/article/stocks-markets-moodys-trump-china-aff14c914fa270f72bc6ddac9f82e8fd

Also ich hätte die Betrügerbande schon längst runter auf B gestuft.

#AA1 #Moodys

Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating reflects growing concern over Washington’s unwillingness to confront rising debt, soaring deficits and interest costs — even as global investors keep piling into Treasuries. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2025/05/19/moodys-us-debt/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #commentary #us #debt #bonds #moodys #spglobalratings #fitchratings #ratingsagencies

@fulelo

The heavy reliance on quotes in lieu of actual analysis in this piece is as breathtaking as the debt the article seeks to discuss.

The world is at FAR more risk from the recent utterly reckless attempts to destroy the engine that might manage that debt than it is from the absolute magnitude of the debt.

As such, it doesn't seem inappropriate that the credit rating was recently lowered, but if the reason was the magnitude and if the rating is restored because the magnitude becomes less, I think that's a mistake.

And quoting the present US White House without fact-checking and analysis seems far more lazy than one would expect of the BBC.

The real damage being done to the US economy is the unforced error of attacks on people of color, which will cause vast swaths of the world to be unwilling to do any business with us, not just tourism but real business that would require visiting a country they can no longer feel safe walking the streets of.

And the unforced error of attacking education and science, which shows us to be a nation of idiots who don't know what the basis of value in any technology is, and makes our educational institutions no longer of interest to send people to.

And the unforced error of attacks on health care of myriad people, which will suck down tons of dollars on the mere maintenance of a population that might otherwise be investing in business.

And the unforced error of attacks on institutions like the CDC and the FAA and NOAA that used to literally keep people from dying in preventable ways.

And the unforced error of canceling problems that aided the rest of the world in myriad ways, destroying as much good will as possible.

And the unforced error of unstable tariff policy which showed there is no predictability to doing business with us.

I could go on.

Did I mention all of these were unforced errors? We just chose to hurt ourselves. That willingness to hurt ourselves itself sends a bad message to anyone wanting to trust us.

The present actions are like trying to bring down the debt by selling the goose that lays the golden eggs for cash.

#Moodys #CreditRating #USPolitics

Bitcoin Nears Golden Cross Weeks After 'Trapping Bears' as U.S. Debt Concerns Mount - Bitcoin's BTC price chart is echoing a bullish pattern that foreshadowed the late ... - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/05/18/bitcoin-nears-bullish-golden-cross-following-failed-death-cross-echoing-2024-pattern #technicalanalysis #markets #bitcoin #moodys #news #us

Un coup de massue pour #Trump, pour la première fois, les #USA perdent leur note triple A !
#Moodys l’a redescendue à AA1.
Les trois plus grandes agence de notation (Moody’s, Fitch et Standard and Poor’s) sont maintenant sur la même note.

#MAGA #Economie #Finance #Bourse #Dette #Politique #FuckTrump

https://www.rts.ch/info/economie/2025/article/moody-s-degrade-la-note-des-etats-unis-dette-et-deficit-en-cause-28886601.html