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#russiaukrainewar — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #russiaukrainewar, aggregated by home.social.

  1. Ukraine Brief — 2026-10-21

    Russia is degrading Ukraine's export capacity by sea and land at a cost Kallas estimates at €60 million daily, while Witkoff presents Moscow the Oslo framework. A trilateral Putin-Zelensky-Trump summit is very unlikely by November 30. High confidence reflects Russia's standing refusal and no venue. Another commercial vessel will very likely be struck off Romania or Bulgaria by November 4, and Russia will very likely strike border infrastructure on the Moldovan, Romanian or Polish frontier by late November. High confidence in both rests on established strike patterns and convergent EU and Moldovan reporting.

    Ukraine's ballistic defense depends on a U.S. warning pipeline that failed during the October 18-19 salvo. Washington or Lockheed will likely announce a Patriot interceptor sale or commitment by late November. Low confidence reflects Zelensky's statements alone. Washington's release decision, not capacity, is the constraint.

    Hungary blocked the final two EU accession clusters on October 20 after Kyiv met its minority-rights demand, leaving no stated rationale. The EU opening those clusters for Ukraine and Moldova by year-end is genuinely uncertain; the veto may require a side-deal. The Commission will likely approve the €3.7 billion tranche by mid-December. Moderate confidence rests on the Commission's on-record review. That payment does not close Ukraine's €70 billion 2027 gap.

    icbrief.org/ukraine/

  2. Olena Halushka: "Spent the entire day at the meetings without reading Trump's bs. Feeling so much better even though russia heavily bombs Kyiv with jet-powered drones today.

    Trump is a weapon of russian warfare against Ukraine."

    #Trump #DonaldTrump #RussianWarfare #WarAgainstUkraine #RussoUkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar

  3. Ukraine-Russia war live: Trump and Putin say they could attend China peace summit without Zelensky

    Zelensky travels to Norway for talks on war and security Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky is arriving in Oslo…
    #Conflict #Conflicts #War #Russia #russiaukraine #RussiaUkraineWar #RussianinvasionofUkraine #Russo-UkrainianWar #Ukraine
    europesays.com/3321318/

  4. Ukraine Brief — 2026-10-20

    Washington is co-drafting peace terms with Kyiv and Europe before presenting them to Moscow, combining new diplomatic engagement with continued withholding of military support. Witkoff will likely meet Putin by October 31, and the U.S. is unlikely to confirm delivery of NATO-funded Patriot interceptors or AIM-9X missiles by November 20. Moderate confidence in both rests on Ukrainian-side accounts without U.S. or Kremlin confirmation. Congress is very unlikely to override Trump's Graham Act waiver by year-end. High confidence reflects the signed order and absence of veto-proof margins. A Treasury notice extending relief beyond diesel would signal concessions are broadening.

    Russia will likely launch another overnight salvo of at least ten ballistic missiles within two weeks. High confidence in the salvo rests on convergent reporting across seven outlets on the October 19 wave that hit 28 substations in 11 oblasts. A mutual halt on energy strikes is unlikely by November 20; grid damage will deepen through winter absent a negotiated pause. Arson attacks on Starlink ground sites in Bulgaria and Lithuania point to an expanding sabotage campaign; the two German suspects are unlikely to be detained by November 30, leaving attribution unresolved and operators to harden sites across NATO states.

    icbrief.org/ukraine/

  5. According to Trump, "Russia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine."

    Anne Applebaum comments, "Invasion, mass murder, rape, kidnapping of children - all fine"

    Source: bsky.app/profile/did:plc:lafbr

    Not to mention that Russia consistently bombs hospitals, schools, children's parks, civilian infrastructure (apartments, power plants, etc...) and murders civilians.

    #Trump is fine with #Russia committing #WarCrimes

    #DonaldTrump #Putin #PutinsPuppet #RussiaUkraineWar #Ukraine #War #RussianWarCrimes

  6. "Yevhen had been sent to fight in the eastern region of Donetsk, but his hometown in Ukraine’s northeast was the center of another Russian military push. #Russia terrorized 👉residential areas👈 there with #drones & glide bombs that it produces in large quantities...

    In July, Russia launched a record 8,300 glide bombs. And at 9:46 p.m. on July 3, one landed in Sumy."

    #GiftLink
    nytimes.com/2026/10/13/world/e

    #Ukraine #RussiaUkraineWar #War #WarCrimes #Putin #Trump #Politics #News #Press #US #World

  7. "This summer was Ukraine’s deadliest and most violent period since the first weeks of Russia’s invasion in 2022. Russian attacks killed more than 1,100 Ukrainian civilians from June to August... Another 7,000 were wounded.

    #Russia preyed on Ukraine’s air-defense shortages, bombarding cities far from the front line with waves of #drones and ballistic missiles that it knew #Ukraine could not intercept."

    #GiftLink
    nytimes.com/2026/10/13/world/e

    #War #RussiaUkraineWar #Trump #Musk #News #US #World

  8. Zelenskyy says Russia hit Ukraine again with no “warning from partners,” U.S. delaying “vital supplies”

    Ukrainian President Zelenskyy said Monday that his country had been subjected to another night of Russian missile and…
    #Conflict #Conflicts #War #ceasefire #DonaldTrump #oilandgas #Russia #russiaukraine #RussiaUkraineWar #RussianinvasionofUkraine #Russo-UkrainianWar #sanctions #Ukraine #VladimirPutin #volodymyrzelenskyy #war
    europesays.com/3321033/

  9. Ukraine received no advance warning from its partners of a Russian ballistic missile strike overnight, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said, adding that some vital deliveries from the United States were being delayed. japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/10/ #worldnews #russia #ukraine #russiaukrainewar #volodymyrzelenskyy #us #missiles #kyiv

  10. Michael McFaul: "Trump has given Putin concession after concession: ending aid to Ukraine, keeping Ukraine out of NATO, giving Putin a red carpet summit, dissing Zelenskyy, wavering sanctions, disrupting intelligence sharing with Ukraine. And Putin has never changed his position on continuing the war. Not one inch."

    #Trump #DonaldTrump #Putin #VladimirPutin #Russia #Ukraine #Zelenskyy #Zelensky #NATO #PutinsWar #RussoUkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar #USPeaceEfforts

  11. Russian leader Vladimir Putin has reportedly proposed a summit with U.S. President Donald Trump and China's Xi Jinping to talk about ending the Ukraine war — talks that, if realized, would send shock waves across Asia. japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/10/ #asiapacific #politics #china #russia #russiaukrainewar #donaldtrump #us #vladimirputin #xijinping #taiwan #usjapanrelations

  12. RE: mastodon.social/@Infoseepage/1

    Are we moving towards a future where space itself becomes a battlefield?

    Satellite infrastructure is already critical to military operations, and now we're seeing dangerous manoeuvres involving Russian military and Western commercial satellites.

    What happens when the satellites our societies depend on become military targets?

    axios.com/2026/10/17/russia-uk

  13. Russian missiles and drones hit Kyiv overnight, killing 1 and injuring 8

    KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — Russia attacked Kyiv with ballistic missiles and drones overnight Monday, killing one person and…
    #Conflict #Conflicts #War #dronewarfare #generalnews #geopolitics #I #militaryanddefense #MilitaryTechnology #RussiaUkraineWar #russia-ukraine-war-kyiv-attack #WorldNews
    europesays.com/3319308/

  14. Ukraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv launches 1,000-drone attack after Trump accuses Zelensky of prolonging war

    Ukraine will ‘not prevail’ if Trump sides with Russia, Zelensky says Ukraine will ‘not prevail’ if Trump sides…
    #Conflict #Conflicts #War #Russia #russiaukraine #RussiaUkraineWar #RussianinvasionofUkraine #Russo-UkrainianWar #Ukraine
    europesays.com/3319306/

  15. Ukraine Brief — 2026-10-19

    Washington is constraining Ukraine's air defense and satellite connectivity, with no resolution visible before the November midterms. The US is unlikely to release additional PURL-funded Patriot missiles by November 19. Moderate confidence rests on Ukrainian-side accounts without US confirmation. Full lifting of the Starlink speed cap is unlikely in that window, leaving Kyiv unable to field interceptor drones against jet-powered Shaheds. High confidence reflects consistent official statements and SpaceX's refusal to engage Ukrainian contacts.

    Trump's Graham Act waiver leaves statutory Russia sanctions dormant; Congress is unlikely to block it by December 19, and extension of relief beyond diesel is unlikely by November 19. High confidence rests on the documented executive order and reporting showing relief limited to diesel. A Treasury notice covering gas or banking would force European counter-measures and validate Zelensky's slippery-slope warning.

    Lithuania, Poland, or NATO will likely attribute the October 19 drone explosion to Ukraine within two weeks. High confidence reflects the crisis centre head's public identification and Kyiv's expression of regret. Russia's Kosmos 2612, now station-keeping within 5 km of ICEYE-X36, is very unlikely to produce confirmed interference by November 19. The sustained proximity threatens commercial satellites supporting Ukraine; an ICEYE defensive maneuver would be the first indicator of active disruption.

    icbrief.org/ukraine/

  16. "Russia’s Defence Ministry acknowledged striking six power plants in and around Kyiv and Kharkiv.

    The Ukrainian authorities reported damaged energy infrastructure, widespread outages, and even civilian deaths.

    Whatever Moscow’s justification, the disruption to civilian life is neither theoretical nor incidental. "
    - EUvsDisinfo

    #EnergyInfrastructure #Russia #RussianAttacks #Ukraine #CivilianCasulties #CivilianInfrastructure
    #RussianTerror #RussoUkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar #EUvsDisinfo

  17. Olena Halushka: "Those who preach peace through capitulation won't tell you what russian occupation means.

    russians occupied Izyum for less than 6m.

    After liberation, we found mass graves of 447 ppl, most of whom were civilians, incl 215 women and 5 children. Bodies had multiple signs of torture."

    #RussianOccupation #Izyum #UkrainianCivilians #CivilianCasulties #torture #RussianTerror #PutinsWar #RussoUkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar

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