#macroeconomic — Public Fediverse posts

⬆️ @dbcurren.bsky.social

>> “Virtually nothing matters more to markets at present than the #AI buildout. It’s such a sudden and massive stimulus for the #US that it has shifted #macroeconomic data…without it, the US would be in #recession”

“(Credit) markets have a habit of registering doubt before broader #markets and should be heeded”

=> points to the possibility of a new financial crisis that is wider & deeper than the Telecom bust and the global financial meltdown of 2007-2008

“Virtually nothing matters more to markets at present than the #AI buildout. It’s such a sudden and massive stimulus for the #US that it has shifted #macroeconomic data. Columbia Business School’s Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh argues that without it, the US would be in #recession.”

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3msq2mo6iyk2d

“Virtually nothing matters more to markets at present than the #AI buildout. It’s such a sudden and massive stimulus for the #US that it has shifted #macroeconomic data. Columbia Business School’s Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh argues that without it, the US would be in #recession.”

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3msq2mo6iyk2d

3 Bloomberg: “ #Markets are transitioning from a flow-driven environment back to one increasingly dictated by #earnings, #corporate #demand, and the #macroeconomic backdrop,” said Citadel’s Scott Rubner.

Labor on track to win by-election in #Brisbane seat -
https://kensbookinfo.blogspot.com/p/etc.html#Australia

State drops case against #New#Mexico defense -
https://kensbookinfo.blogspot.com/p/markets.html#1

#IMF Says #Zambia Has Made Progress in Restoring #Macroeconomic -
https://kensbookinfo.blogspot.com/p/world-capitals.html#Lusaka

#Hawaiis economy darkens as surging oil prices -
https://kensbookinfo.blogspot.com/p/us-cities.html#48a

Many #Americans hold utility companies responsible -
https://kensbookinfo.blogspot.com/p/religon.html#2

View all news from the UK https://kensbookinfo.blogspot.com/2026/03/latest-kingdom.html

“Because it combines #technological waves with #macroeconomic quantities, this is such an important graph (quibbles about quantification aside)” open.substack.com/pub/adamtooz...

Global #temperature correlates strongly with extreme climatic events.

In a new paper, exploiting natural global temperature variability, researchers find that 1ºC warming reduces world #GDP by over 20% in the long run.

This implicates that the #macroeconomic damages from #climate change are an order of magnitude larger than previously thought.

https://academic.oup.com/qje/article/141/2/889/8490467?login=false

Global #temperature correlates strongly with extreme climatic events.

In a new paper, exploiting natural global temperature variability, researchers find that 1ºC warming reduces world #GDP by over 20% in the long run.

This implicates that the #macroeconomic damages from #climate change are an order of magnitude larger than previously thought.

https://academic.oup.com/qje/article/141/2/889/8490467?login=false

www.imf.org/-/media/file... " #oil shocks transmit unevenly through #labor #markets with lasting impacts extending well beyond short-term #macroeconomic fluctuations" This disruption is not a blip - horrifying impacts will continue for the poorest and most vulnerable folks for a long long time!

imf.org/-/media/files/...

www.imf.org/-/media/file... " #oil shocks transmit unevenly through #labor #markets with lasting impacts extending well beyond short-term #macroeconomic fluctuations" This disruption is not a blip - horrifying impacts will continue for the poorest and most vulnerable folks for a long long time!

imf.org/-/media/files/...

https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/wp/2025/english/wpiea2025145.pdf

" #oil shocks transmit unevenly through #labor #markets with lasting impacts across #countries #sectors and demographic groups, extending well beyond short-term #macroeconomic fluctuations"

This disruption is not a blip - horrifying impacts will continue for the poorest and most vulnerable folks for a long long time!

https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/wp/2025/english/wpiea2025145.pdf

" #oil shocks transmit unevenly through #labor #markets with lasting impacts across #countries #sectors and demographic groups, extending well beyond short-term #macroeconomic fluctuations"

This disruption is not a blip - horrifying impacts will continue for the poorest and most vulnerable folks for a long long time!

Listened to a very interesting presentation of FINGREEN #model, the under-development Finnish adaptation of the EUROGREEN #macroeconomic #sustainability #transition model. Very good to get alternatives to currently dominant and rather one-sided DSGE models! people.unipi.it/simone_dales...

EUROGREEN MODEL - Simone D'Ale...

Listened to a very interesting presentation of FINGREEN #model, the under-development Finnish adaptation of the EUROGREEN #macroeconomic #sustainability #transition model. Very good to get alternatives to currently dominant and rather one-sided DSGE models! people.unipi.it/simone_dales...

EUROGREEN MODEL - Simone D'Ale...

The model is intended to study policy interventions & their effects on Circular Economy transition, & endogenously generate scenarios of market evolution. Its outputs are passed to an Environmentally Extended Input-Output (EEIO) model, which then computes #macroeconomic and #environmental impacts.

The model is intended to study policy interventions & their effects on Circular Economy transition, & endogenously generate scenarios of market evolution. Its outputs are passed to an Environmentally Extended Input-Output (EEIO) model, which then computes #macroeconomic and #environmental impacts.

➡️ Find out more about the research mentioned in the article: #Economic uncertainty and intentions to remain #childless: #Macroeconomic worries or individual-level #economicuncertainty ?, by Ann, with Bernice Kuang and Brienna Perelli-Harris: https://www.cpc.ac.uk/res/docs/WP_109_Economic_uncertainty_and_intentions_to_remain_childless.pdf

➡️ Find out more about the research mentioned in the article: #Economic uncertainty and intentions to remain #childless: #Macroeconomic worries or individual-level #economicuncertainty ?, by Ann, with Bernice Kuang and Brienna Perelli-Harris: https://www.cpc.ac.uk/res/docs/WP_109_Economic_uncertainty_and_intentions_to_remain_childless.pdf

Wednesday, February 4, 2026

https://activitypub.writeworks.uk/2026/02/wednesday-february-4-2026/

Wednesday, February 4, 2026

https://activitypub.writeworks.uk/2026/02/wednesday-february-4-2026/

🧠#Macroeconomic income inequality, brain structure & function, and mental health." Income inequality doesn’t just shape society — it shapes the brain. Children growing up in more unequal U.S. states had thinner cortex, smaller surface area, and altered #brain connectivity https://www.nature.com/articles/s44220-025-00508-1

🧠#Macroeconomic income inequality, brain structure & function, and mental health." Income inequality doesn’t just shape society — it shapes the brain. Children growing up in more unequal U.S. states had thinner cortex, smaller surface area, and altered #brain connectivity https://www.nature.com/articles/s44220-025-00508-1

Preliminary Estimates of #Macroeconomic Costs of Cutting Federal Funding for #Science
• Budget cuts to public R&D would significantly hurt #economy in the long run
• A 25% cut to public R&D spending would reduce #GDP by approximately 3.8%
in long run. This effect is comparable to the decline in GDP during the #GreatRecession
• Cutting annual public R&D spending in half would decrease GDP by approximately 7.6%, making the average #American approximately $10,000 poorer
https://aura.american.edu/articles/report/Preliminary_Estimates_of_the_Macroeconomic_Costs_of_Cutting_Federal_Funding_for_Scientific_Research/28746446?file=53480237

Preliminary Estimates of #Macroeconomic Costs of Cutting Federal Funding for #Science
• Budget cuts to public R&D would significantly hurt #economy in the long run
• A 25% cut to public R&D spending would reduce #GDP by approximately 3.8%
in long run. This effect is comparable to the decline in GDP during the #GreatRecession
• Cutting annual public R&D spending in half would decrease GDP by approximately 7.6%, making the average #American approximately $10,000 poorer
https://aura.american.edu/articles/report/Preliminary_Estimates_of_the_Macroeconomic_Costs_of_Cutting_Federal_Funding_for_Scientific_Research/28746446?file=53480237

https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/cpus/intel-posts-flat-year-over-year-earnings-and-bleak-outlook-warns-about-macroeconomic-pressures

Intel posts flat year-over-year earnings and bleak outlook, warns about macroeconomic pressures

#Intel #INTC #nasdaq #financial #revenue #loss #macroeconomic #spending #pullbacks #competition #AMD #ARM #server #tech #technology #cio #datacenter #compute #stocks #equities #markets #stockmarket #investors #trades #trading #investing #cash #bonds #treasuries #treasury #IT #sysops #economic #economy #finance #money #earnings #trump #tariffs #business #tax #consumer #retail #spending #taxes #electronics #computing

https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/cpus/intel-posts-flat-year-over-year-earnings-and-bleak-outlook-warns-about-macroeconomic-pressures

Intel posts flat year-over-year earnings and bleak outlook, warns about macroeconomic pressures

#Intel #INTC #nasdaq #financial #revenue #loss #macroeconomic #spending #pullbacks #competition #AMD #ARM #server #tech #technology #cio #datacenter #compute #stocks #equities #markets #stockmarket #investors #trades #trading #investing #cash #bonds #treasuries #treasury #IT #sysops #economic #economy #finance #money #earnings #trump #tariffs #business #tax #consumer #retail #spending #taxes #electronics #computing

@OutOfSpace

🤷‍♀️ 🤔❓️ I don't have an answer to that. Only a personal opinion.

I believe that the #Trump #Junta wants to put the "bottom" 90% of the #US population into economic pain. For a variety of reasons. Some are outright #evil, some more connected to the general #macroeconomic situation of the #USA.

What they WANT is a managed #recession they can handle.

What (at least as I project this) they are instead GOING TO GET is a #FreeFall off a cliff.

I think they miscalculated badly here.

🙂‍↕️

@OutOfSpace

🤷‍♀️ 🤔❓️ I don't have an answer to that. Only a personal opinion.

I believe that the #Trump #Junta wants to put the "bottom" 90% of the #US population into economic pain. For a variety of reasons. Some are outright #evil, some more connected to the general #macroeconomic situation of the #USA.

What they WANT is a managed #recession they can handle.

What (at least as I project this) they are instead GOING TO GET is a #FreeFall off a cliff.

I think they miscalculated badly here.

🙂‍↕️

Integrating #macroeconomic and public #health impacts in #social planning #policies for #pandemic response, https://etidiohnew.blogspot.com/2025/01/integrating-macroeconomic-and-public.html

Integrating #macroeconomic and public #health impacts in #social planning #policies for #pandemic response, https://etidiohnew.blogspot.com/2025/01/integrating-macroeconomic-and-public.html

NEW 📰 #Investments in line with the EU's expected 2040 emission reduction goal of 90% would grow Europe's economy by 2% through 2040. We analysed the #macroeconomic impacts of #climate policy for the EU & its five biggest member states: France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Spain. 1/x

NEW 📰 #Investments in line with the EU's expected 2040 emission reduction goal of 90% would grow Europe's economy by 2% through 2040. We analysed the #macroeconomic impacts of #climate policy for the EU & its five biggest member states: France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Spain. 1/x

Canada has the most educated population in the Western hemisphere. It should be running circles around the dimwitted Americans with R&D, startup businesses, and growth. Instead, our country is run by banks, real estate, O&G, and gimmicks like Alimentation Couche-Tard. Pathetic.
#Cdnpoli #7Eleven #Japan #Canada #macroeconomic #entrepreneurship #Cdnecon #business
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/05/business/7-eleven-rejects-couch-tarde-bid.html

Canada has the most educated population in the Western hemisphere. It should be running circles around the dimwitted Americans with R&D, startup businesses, and growth. Instead, our country is run by banks, real estate, O&G, and gimmicks like Alimentation Couche-Tard. Pathetic.
#Cdnpoli #7Eleven #Japan #Canada #macroeconomic #entrepreneurship #Cdnecon #business
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/05/business/7-eleven-rejects-couch-tarde-bid.html

Binance CEO: Recent Market Declines Are Not a Long-Term Negative Trend - Binance CEO Richard Teng has addressed the recent declines in cryptocurrency and e... - https://news.bitcoin.com/binance-ceo-recent-market-declines-are-not-a-long-term-negative-trend/ #marketsandprices #cryptocurrency #federalreserve #marketdeclines #tradingvolumes #macroeconomic #geopolitical #richardteng #binanceceo #ratecuts #binance #rebound

The #ASEAN+3 #Macroeconomic #Research #Office (#AMRO) has released its latest quarterly #update of the ASEAN+3 #Regional #Economic #Outlook (#AREO), maintaining #growth #forecasts for the ASEAN+3 region at 4.4% for 2024 and 4.3% for 2025. The report #highlights that favorable #export prospects, firm #domestic demand, and the continued recovery in #tourism will bolster the #region's growth momentum. https://cnbusinessforum.com/strong-export-prospects-boost-asean3-economic-outlook-for-2024/

#Togo among #African countries to experience highest #economic #growth in 2024, #AfDB forecasts Worldwide, 20 countries are forecast to experience the strongest economic growth this year. Eleven of them are in #Africa, and Togo is one of them. This was recently disclosed by the African #Development #Bank Group ( #AfDB ) in a report titled " #Macroeconomic #Performances and #Prospects of Africa".

English https://www.togofirst.com/en/economy/2302-13522-togo-among-african-countries-to-experience-highest-economic-growth-in-2024-afdb-forecasts
French https://www-togofirst-com.translate.goog/en/economy/2302-13522-togo-among-african-countries-to-experience-highest-economic-growth-in-2024-afdb-forecasts?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=fr&_x_tr_hl=fr&_x_tr_pto=wapp

#Togo among #African countries to experience highest #economic #growth in 2024, #AfDB forecasts Worldwide, 20 countries are forecast to experience the strongest economic growth this year. Eleven of them are in #Africa, and Togo is one of them. This was recently disclosed by the African #Development #Bank Group ( #AfDB ) in a report titled " #Macroeconomic #Performances and #Prospects of Africa".

English https://www.togofirst.com/en/economy/2302-13522-togo-among-african-countries-to-experience-highest-economic-growth-in-2024-afdb-forecasts
French https://www-togofirst-com.translate.goog/en/economy/2302-13522-togo-among-african-countries-to-experience-highest-economic-growth-in-2024-afdb-forecasts?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=fr&_x_tr_hl=fr&_x_tr_pto=wapp

The Economist argues that Trump's #ForeignPolicy & #macroeconomic policies would have a significant negative impact on the #world as a whole. #Trump would almost certainly make moves to gut #NATO. And he may very well pursue another package of tax cuts for the wealthy as he did in 2017, which would spike #inflation & drag down #global #economic #markets.

However, the Economist warns that the greatest danger Trump presents is in "his own country."

#authoritarianism #MafiaState #extremism #Vote

The Economist argues that Trump's #ForeignPolicy & #macroeconomic policies would have a significant negative impact on the #world as a whole. #Trump would almost certainly make moves to gut #NATO. And he may very well pursue another package of tax cuts for the wealthy as he did in 2017, which would spike #inflation & drag down #global #economic #markets.

However, the Economist warns that the greatest danger Trump presents is in "his own country."

#authoritarianism #MafiaState #extremism #Vote

Here Are 3 Charts Supporting the Bull Case for Bitcoin - Charts related to global central banks, U.S. financial conditions and the 10-year U.S. Tr... - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2023/11/17/here-are-3-charts-supporting-the-bull-case-for-bitcoin/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=rss&utm_campaign=headlines #macroeconomic #markets #bitcoin #news

#PostGrowth Fellow Elena Hofferberth & Matthias Schmelzer illustrate the necessity for #democratic #macroeconomic #coordination, and point to places for #inspiration in transitions to a just #economy:

https://medium.com/postgrowth/why-the-coming-socio-ecological-transformation-needs-democratic-macroeconomic-coordination-0d4bdab1ca44

#PostGrowth Fellow Elena Hofferberth & Matthias Schmelzer illustrate the necessity for #democratic #macroeconomic #coordination, and point to places for #inspiration in transitions to a just #economy:

https://medium.com/postgrowth/why-the-coming-socio-ecological-transformation-needs-democratic-macroeconomic-coordination-0d4bdab1ca44

📕New article explores the link between #education & #fertility in #Europe, and how it's shaped by factors such as #family policies, #macroeconomic shocks, and changes in #gender attitudes.

By Sindhu Vasireddy, Ann Berrington, Bernice Kuang & Hill Kulu 👇👇

▶️https://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de/index.php/CPoS/article/view/505

📕New article explores the link between #education & #fertility in #Europe, and how it's shaped by factors such as #family policies, #macroeconomic shocks, and changes in #gender attitudes.

By Sindhu Vasireddy, Ann Berrington, Bernice Kuang & Hill Kulu 👇👇

▶️https://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de/index.php/CPoS/article/view/505

Bitcoin Prices Are Hot, but Here’s What Could Crush the Rally - BTC has proved incredibly resilient to the perils of the past year, including FTX’s demis... - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2023/07/05/bitcoin-prices-are-hot-but-heres-what-could-crush-the-rally/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=rss&utm_campaign=headlines #cryptolong&short #federalreserve #macroeconomic #markets #opinion #bitcoin #ether

New tech drinking game:

* Whenever someone 3+ levels above you in the org chart says "macroeconomic", take a drink.
* Whenever a company has layoffs, followed by a stock buy-back, chug.

Please sub "drink/chug" for whatever your preferred pleasant substance is. Maybe some nice tea if you don't partake.

Also adjust the "3+ levels" based on how flat your company is; I'm a senior IC and I'm 7 levels(!) below CEO.

#macroeconomic #drinking #cheers #capitalism

Seeing the Macro Forest for the Token Trees - Todd Groth of CoinDesk Indices shares some thoughts on how macro analysis works in crypto... - https://www.coindesk.com/business/2023/04/27/seeing-the-macro-forest-for-the-token-trees/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=rss&utm_campaign=headlines #macroeconomiccondition #bitcointrendindicator #cryptolong&short #macroeconomic #macrofactors #bitcoinprice #newsletters #finance #opinion #yield

Crypto Diversification Is Back in 2023 - Bitcoin can be viewed as protection from inept central banks (and, yes, a tool for specul... - https://www.coindesk.com/business/2023/01/25/crypto-diversification-is-back-in-2023/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=rss&utm_campaign=headlines #on-chainanalytics #cryptolong&short #macroeconomic #pricemovement #bitcoinprice #newsletters #finance #opinion

Crypto Long & Short: Bitcoin's 'Golden Cross' Explained - This much talked about technical indicator has value, yet doesn’t tell the whole story. - https://www.coindesk.com/business/2023/02/15/crypto-long-short-bitcoins-golden-cross-explained/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=rss&utm_campaign=headlines #coindeskmarketindex #on-chainanalytics #cryptolong&short #federalreserve #movingaverage #macroeconomic #pricemovement #bitcoinprice #jeromepowell #treasurybond #newsletters #inflation

Bitcoin price more correlated to FTX developments than macro events: Research - While inflation has an effect on the price of Bitcoin, researcher... - https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-more-correlated-to-ftx-developments-than-macro-events-research #thebitcoin-macrodisconnect #gianlucabenigo #stateofbitcoin #macroeconomic #assetclasses #chriscollar #samikassab #indicators #carlorosa #analysts #messari #bps

Bitcoin price more correlated to FTX developments than macro events: Research

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-more-correlated-to-ftx-developments-than-macro-events-research

#TheBitcoin-MacroDisconnect #GianlucaBenigo #StateofBitcoin #macroeconomic #assetclasses #ChrisCollar #SamiKassab #Indicators #CarloRosa #analysts #Messari #Bps

@darnell #AI and #Automation will eventually reduce the mundane bits in our tasks and activities. They'll not threaten the meaningful #jobs.

Only the bullshit #jobs need to be gone.

While removing/reducing the mundane helps improve #productivity in the job, the bullshit jobs negate the effect at a #macroeconomic level. 😒