home.social

#macroeconomic — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #macroeconomic, aggregated by home.social.

fetched live
  1. ⬆️ @dbcurren.bsky.social

    >> “Virtually nothing matters more to markets at present than the #AI buildout. It’s such a sudden and massive stimulus for the #US that it has shifted #macroeconomic data…without it, the US would be in #recession

    “(Credit) markets have a habit of registering doubt before broader #markets and should be heeded”

    => points to the possibility of a new financial crisis that is wider & deeper than the Telecom bust and the global financial meltdown of 2007-2008

  2. “Virtually nothing matters more to markets at present than the #AI buildout. It’s such a sudden and massive stimulus for the #US that it has shifted #macroeconomic data. Columbia Business School’s Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh argues that without it, the US would be in #recession.”

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3msq2mo6iyk2d

  3. “Virtually nothing matters more to markets at present than the #AI buildout. It’s such a sudden and massive stimulus for the #US that it has shifted #macroeconomic data. Columbia Business School’s Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh argues that without it, the US would be in #recession.”

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3msq2mo6iyk2d

  4. 3 Bloomberg: “ #Markets are transitioning from a flow-driven environment back to one increasingly dictated by #earnings, #corporate #demand, and the #macroeconomic backdrop,” said Citadel’s Scott Rubner.

  5. Geopolitical Volatility and Macroeconomic Stagnation: A Deep-Dive into May 2026 Forex Markets

    The Geopolitical Anchor and Market Stagnation In late May 2026, the global currency markets have become tethered to the mercurial developments of the Middle Eastern conflict. The p

    robotfx.org/2026/05/geopolitic

    #Geopolitical #Volatility #Macroeconomic #Robotfx

  6. “Because it combines #technological waves with #macroeconomic quantities, this is such an important graph (quibbles about quantification aside)” open.substack.com/pub/adamtooz...

  7. Global #temperature correlates strongly with extreme climatic events.

    In a new paper, exploiting natural global temperature variability, researchers find that 1ºC warming reduces world #GDP by over 20% in the long run.

    This implicates that the #macroeconomic damages from #climate change are an order of magnitude larger than previously thought.

    academic.oup.com/qje/article/1

  8. Global #temperature correlates strongly with extreme climatic events.

    In a new paper, exploiting natural global temperature variability, researchers find that 1ºC warming reduces world #GDP by over 20% in the long run.

    This implicates that the #macroeconomic damages from #climate change are an order of magnitude larger than previously thought.

    academic.oup.com/qje/article/1

  9. www.imf.org/-/media/file... " #oil shocks transmit unevenly through #labor #markets with lasting impacts extending well beyond short-term #macroeconomic fluctuations" This disruption is not a blip - horrifying impacts will continue for the poorest and most vulnerable folks for a long long time!

    imf.org/-/media/files/...

  10. www.imf.org/-/media/file... " #oil shocks transmit unevenly through #labor #markets with lasting impacts extending well beyond short-term #macroeconomic fluctuations" This disruption is not a blip - horrifying impacts will continue for the poorest and most vulnerable folks for a long long time!

    imf.org/-/media/files/...

  11. imf.org/-/media/files/publicat

    " #oil shocks transmit unevenly through #labor #markets with lasting impacts across #countries #sectors and demographic groups, extending well beyond short-term #macroeconomic fluctuations"

    This disruption is not a blip - horrifying impacts will continue for the poorest and most vulnerable folks for a long long time!

  12. imf.org/-/media/files/publicat

    " #oil shocks transmit unevenly through #labor #markets with lasting impacts across #countries #sectors and demographic groups, extending well beyond short-term #macroeconomic fluctuations"

    This disruption is not a blip - horrifying impacts will continue for the poorest and most vulnerable folks for a long long time!

  13. Listened to a very interesting presentation of FINGREEN #model, the under-development Finnish adaptation of the EUROGREEN #macroeconomic #sustainability #transition model. Very good to get alternatives to currently dominant and rather one-sided DSGE models! people.unipi.it/simone_dales...

    EUROGREEN MODEL - Simone D'Ale...

  14. Listened to a very interesting presentation of FINGREEN #model, the under-development Finnish adaptation of the EUROGREEN #macroeconomic #sustainability #transition model. Very good to get alternatives to currently dominant and rather one-sided DSGE models! people.unipi.it/simone_dales...

    EUROGREEN MODEL - Simone D'Ale...

  15. The model is intended to study policy interventions & their effects on Circular Economy transition, & endogenously generate scenarios of market evolution. Its outputs are passed to an Environmentally Extended Input-Output (EEIO) model, which then computes #macroeconomic and #environmental impacts.

  16. The model is intended to study policy interventions & their effects on Circular Economy transition, & endogenously generate scenarios of market evolution. Its outputs are passed to an Environmentally Extended Input-Output (EEIO) model, which then computes #macroeconomic and #environmental impacts.

  17. ➡️ Find out more about the research mentioned in the article: #Economic uncertainty and intentions to remain #childless: #Macroeconomic worries or individual-level #economicuncertainty ?, by Ann, with Bernice Kuang and Brienna Perelli-Harris: cpc.ac.uk/res/docs/WP_109_Econ

  18. Wednesday, February 4, 2026

    "You cannot reward monsters": US lawmakers demand increased pressure on Russia -- Russian attack shows Moscow is not serious about peace, NATO chief says -- How Soviet nostalgia and silence enable wartime complicity on Russian YouTube -- How the Kremlin drafted Russia's hackers to attack the West, leading to a rare US court case ... and more

    activitypub.writeworks.uk/2026

  19. Wednesday, February 4, 2026

    "You cannot reward monsters": US lawmakers demand increased pressure on Russia -- Russian attack shows Moscow is not serious about peace, NATO chief says -- How Soviet nostalgia and silence enable wartime complicity on Russian YouTube -- How the Kremlin drafted Russia's hackers to attack the West, leading to a rare US court case ... and more

    activitypub.writeworks.uk/2026

  20. 🧠#Macroeconomic income inequality, brain structure & function, and mental health." Income inequality doesn’t just shape society — it shapes the brain. Children growing up in more unequal U.S. states had thinner cortex, smaller surface area, and altered #brain connectivity nature.com/articles/s44220-025

  21. 🧠#Macroeconomic income inequality, brain structure & function, and mental health." Income inequality doesn’t just shape society — it shapes the brain. Children growing up in more unequal U.S. states had thinner cortex, smaller surface area, and altered #brain connectivity nature.com/articles/s44220-025

  22. US, Europe maintain cautious optimism as Japan faces hawkish outlook

    Home > Investment > US, Europe maintain cautious optimism as Japan faces hawkish outlook Both the US and European economies are practicing “cautious op…
    #Japan #JP #JapanNews #BankofJapan #economy #Europeancentralbank #FranklinTempleton #inflation #interestrates #JapanTopics #macroeconomic #news #unitedstates #USFederalReserve
    alojapan.com/1380319/us-europe

  23. alojapan.com/1380319/us-europe US, Europe maintain cautious optimism as Japan faces hawkish outlook #BankOfJapan #economy #EuropeanCentralBank #FranklinTempleton #inflation #InterestRates #Japan #JapanNews #JapanTopics #macroeconomic #news #UnitedStates #USFederalReserve Home > Investment > US, Europe maintain cautious optimism as Japan faces hawkish outlook Both the US and European economies are practicing “cautious optimism” given favourable conditions for monetary polic

  24. Preliminary Estimates of #Macroeconomic Costs of Cutting Federal Funding for #Science
    • Budget cuts to public R&D would significantly hurt #economy in the long run
    • A 25% cut to public R&D spending would reduce #GDP by approximately 3.8%
    in long run. This effect is comparable to the decline in GDP during the #GreatRecession
    • Cutting annual public R&D spending in half would decrease GDP by approximately 7.6%, making the average #American approximately $10,000 poorer
    aura.american.edu/articles/rep

  25. Preliminary Estimates of #Macroeconomic Costs of Cutting Federal Funding for #Science
    • Budget cuts to public R&D would significantly hurt #economy in the long run
    • A 25% cut to public R&D spending would reduce #GDP by approximately 3.8%
    in long run. This effect is comparable to the decline in GDP during the #GreatRecession
    • Cutting annual public R&D spending in half would decrease GDP by approximately 7.6%, making the average #American approximately $10,000 poorer
    aura.american.edu/articles/rep

  26. @OutOfSpace

    🤷‍♀️ 🤔❓️ I don't have an answer to that. Only a personal opinion.

    I believe that the #Trump #Junta wants to put the "bottom" 90% of the #US population into economic pain. For a variety of reasons. Some are outright #evil, some more connected to the general #macroeconomic situation of the #USA.

    What they WANT is a managed #recession they can handle.

    What (at least as I project this) they are instead GOING TO GET is a #FreeFall off a cliff.

    I think they miscalculated badly here.

    🙂‍↕️

  27. @OutOfSpace

    🤷‍♀️ 🤔❓️ I don't have an answer to that. Only a personal opinion.

    I believe that the #Trump #Junta wants to put the "bottom" 90% of the #US population into economic pain. For a variety of reasons. Some are outright #evil, some more connected to the general #macroeconomic situation of the #USA.

    What they WANT is a managed #recession they can handle.

    What (at least as I project this) they are instead GOING TO GET is a #FreeFall off a cliff.

    I think they miscalculated badly here.

    🙂‍↕️

  28. NEW 📰 #Investments in line with the EU's expected 2040 emission reduction goal of 90% would grow Europe's economy by 2% through 2040. We analysed the #macroeconomic impacts of #climate policy for the EU & its five biggest member states: France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Spain. 1/x

  29. NEW 📰 #Investments in line with the EU's expected 2040 emission reduction goal of 90% would grow Europe's economy by 2% through 2040. We analysed the #macroeconomic impacts of #climate policy for the EU & its five biggest member states: France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Spain. 1/x

  30. Canada has the most educated population in the Western hemisphere. It should be running circles around the dimwitted Americans with R&D, startup businesses, and growth. Instead, our country is run by banks, real estate, O&G, and gimmicks like Alimentation Couche-Tard. Pathetic.
    #Cdnpoli #7Eleven #Japan #Canada #macroeconomic #entrepreneurship #Cdnecon #business
    nytimes.com/2024/09/05/busines

  31. Canada has the most educated population in the Western hemisphere. It should be running circles around the dimwitted Americans with R&D, startup businesses, and growth. Instead, our country is run by banks, real estate, O&G, and gimmicks like Alimentation Couche-Tard. Pathetic.
    #Cdnpoli #7Eleven #Japan #Canada #macroeconomic #entrepreneurship #Cdnecon #business
    nytimes.com/2024/09/05/busines

  32. The #ASEAN+3 #Macroeconomic #Research #Office (#AMRO) has released its latest quarterly #update of the ASEAN+3 #Regional #Economic #Outlook (#AREO), maintaining #growth #forecasts for the ASEAN+3 region at 4.4% for 2024 and 4.3% for 2025. The report #highlights that favorable #export prospects, firm #domestic demand, and the continued recovery in #tourism will bolster the #region's growth momentum. cnbusinessforum.com/strong-exp

  33. The #ASEAN+3 #Macroeconomic #Research #Office (#AMRO) has released its latest quarterly #update of the ASEAN+3 #Regional #Economic #Outlook (#AREO), maintaining #growth #forecasts for the ASEAN+3 region at 4.4% for 2024 and 4.3% for 2025. The report #highlights that favorable #export prospects, firm #domestic demand, and the continued recovery in #tourism will bolster the #region's growth momentum. cnbusinessforum.com/strong-exp

  34. The Economist argues that Trump's #ForeignPolicy & #macroeconomic policies would have a significant negative impact on the #world as a whole. #Trump would almost certainly make moves to gut #NATO. And he may very well pursue another package of tax cuts for the wealthy as he did in 2017, which would spike #inflation & drag down #global #economic #markets.

    However, the Economist warns that the greatest danger Trump presents is in "his own country."

    #authoritarianism #MafiaState #extremism #Vote

  35. The Economist argues that Trump's #ForeignPolicy & #macroeconomic policies would have a significant negative impact on the #world as a whole. #Trump would almost certainly make moves to gut #NATO. And he may very well pursue another package of tax cuts for the wealthy as he did in 2017, which would spike #inflation & drag down #global #economic #markets.

    However, the Economist warns that the greatest danger Trump presents is in "his own country."

    #authoritarianism #MafiaState #extremism #Vote

  36. 📕New article explores the link between #education & #fertility in #Europe, and how it's shaped by factors such as #family policies, #macroeconomic shocks, and changes in #gender attitudes.

    By Sindhu Vasireddy, Ann Berrington, Bernice Kuang & Hill Kulu 👇👇

    ▶️comparativepopulationstudies.d

  37. New tech drinking game:

    * Whenever someone 3+ levels above you in the org chart says "macroeconomic", take a drink.
    * Whenever a company has layoffs, followed by a stock buy-back, chug.

    Please sub "drink/chug" for whatever your preferred pleasant substance is. Maybe some nice tea if you don't partake.

    Also adjust the "3+ levels" based on how flat your company is; I'm a senior IC and I'm 7 levels(!) below CEO.

    #macroeconomic #drinking #cheers #capitalism

  38. New tech drinking game:

    * Whenever someone 3+ levels above you in the org chart says "macroeconomic", take a drink.
    * Whenever a company has layoffs, followed by a stock buy-back, chug.

    Please sub "drink/chug" for whatever your preferred pleasant substance is. Maybe some nice tea if you don't partake.

    Also adjust the "3+ levels" based on how flat your company is; I'm a senior IC and I'm 7 levels(!) below CEO.

    #macroeconomic #drinking #cheers #capitalism