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#kesslereffect — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #kesslereffect, aggregated by home.social.

  1. From #SolarHam - Progression of new #Sunspot #AR4366 (not yet Earth-facing, but will be soon):

    "Sunspot Watch
    January 31, 2026 @ 04:15 UTC
    Newly assigned sunspot region 4366 continues to gradually develop as it turns into view in the northeast quadrant. It is currently producing minor C-Class flares and it is likely now a threat for a moderate M-Flare. Something to keep an eye on this weekend. Image by SDO/HMI.

    Growing Flare Threat
    January 31, 2026 @ 14:50 UTC
    AR 4366 continued to expand over the past 12 hours in both size and magnetic complexity. The region has a Beta-Delta magnetic configuration and is producing frequent mid level minor C-Flares. A moderate M-Flare will remain possible on Saturday.

    M6.6 Solar Flare
    February 1, 2026 @ 10:40 UTC
    Solar activity increases even further with an M6.6 solar flare peaking at 10:02 UTC (Feb 1). The source, AR 4366, is magnetically complex and is now a threat for an isolated X-Flare. Image below by SDO/AIA.

    High Solar Activity
    February 1, 2026 @ 16:50 UTC (UPDATED)
    What a difference a few days make on the Sun. Active sunspot region 4366 turned into a firecracker on Sunday with at least fifteen M-Class solar flares and one X-Flare (so far). Despite the brightness of these events, the mechanics have so far failed to launch any noteworthy coronal mass ejections into space and towards our planet. That could change over the next few days as the region continues to develop and currently sports a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration. More solar flares including another X-Flare will remain possible.

    [And today...]

    Impulsive X8.1 Solar Flare
    February 2, 2026 @ 00:10 UTC
    An impulsive X8.1 solar flare was just detected peaking at 23:57 UTC (Feb 1). This is the second strongest flare in terms of peak X-Ray flux of the current solar cycle. Although a bright flare, new imagery suggests that if a CME is associated, it will likely be fairly mild. Stay tuned to SolarHam where you will get the most up to date and accurate information regarding this space weather event."

    solarham.com/

    #SolarFlares #SolarCycle25 #KesslerEffect #KesslerSyndrome #XClassFlares

  2. From #SolarHam - Progression of new #Sunspot #AR4366 (not yet Earth-facing, but will be soon):

    "Sunspot Watch
    January 31, 2026 @ 04:15 UTC
    Newly assigned sunspot region 4366 continues to gradually develop as it turns into view in the northeast quadrant. It is currently producing minor C-Class flares and it is likely now a threat for a moderate M-Flare. Something to keep an eye on this weekend. Image by SDO/HMI.

    Growing Flare Threat
    January 31, 2026 @ 14:50 UTC
    AR 4366 continued to expand over the past 12 hours in both size and magnetic complexity. The region has a Beta-Delta magnetic configuration and is producing frequent mid level minor C-Flares. A moderate M-Flare will remain possible on Saturday.

    M6.6 Solar Flare
    February 1, 2026 @ 10:40 UTC
    Solar activity increases even further with an M6.6 solar flare peaking at 10:02 UTC (Feb 1). The source, AR 4366, is magnetically complex and is now a threat for an isolated X-Flare. Image below by SDO/AIA.

    High Solar Activity
    February 1, 2026 @ 16:50 UTC (UPDATED)
    What a difference a few days make on the Sun. Active sunspot region 4366 turned into a firecracker on Sunday with at least fifteen M-Class solar flares and one X-Flare (so far). Despite the brightness of these events, the mechanics have so far failed to launch any noteworthy coronal mass ejections into space and towards our planet. That could change over the next few days as the region continues to develop and currently sports a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration. More solar flares including another X-Flare will remain possible.

    [And today...]

    Impulsive X8.1 Solar Flare
    February 2, 2026 @ 00:10 UTC
    An impulsive X8.1 solar flare was just detected peaking at 23:57 UTC (Feb 1). This is the second strongest flare in terms of peak X-Ray flux of the current solar cycle. Although a bright flare, new imagery suggests that if a CME is associated, it will likely be fairly mild. Stay tuned to SolarHam where you will get the most up to date and accurate information regarding this space weather event."

    solarham.com/

    #SolarFlares #SolarCycle25 #KesslerEffect #KesslerSyndrome #XClassFlares

  3. From #SolarHam - Progression of new #Sunspot #AR4366 (not yet Earth-facing, but will be soon):

    "Sunspot Watch
    January 31, 2026 @ 04:15 UTC
    Newly assigned sunspot region 4366 continues to gradually develop as it turns into view in the northeast quadrant. It is currently producing minor C-Class flares and it is likely now a threat for a moderate M-Flare. Something to keep an eye on this weekend. Image by SDO/HMI.

    Growing Flare Threat
    January 31, 2026 @ 14:50 UTC
    AR 4366 continued to expand over the past 12 hours in both size and magnetic complexity. The region has a Beta-Delta magnetic configuration and is producing frequent mid level minor C-Flares. A moderate M-Flare will remain possible on Saturday.

    M6.6 Solar Flare
    February 1, 2026 @ 10:40 UTC
    Solar activity increases even further with an M6.6 solar flare peaking at 10:02 UTC (Feb 1). The source, AR 4366, is magnetically complex and is now a threat for an isolated X-Flare. Image below by SDO/AIA.

    High Solar Activity
    February 1, 2026 @ 16:50 UTC (UPDATED)
    What a difference a few days make on the Sun. Active sunspot region 4366 turned into a firecracker on Sunday with at least fifteen M-Class solar flares and one X-Flare (so far). Despite the brightness of these events, the mechanics have so far failed to launch any noteworthy coronal mass ejections into space and towards our planet. That could change over the next few days as the region continues to develop and currently sports a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration. More solar flares including another X-Flare will remain possible.

    [And today...]

    Impulsive X8.1 Solar Flare
    February 2, 2026 @ 00:10 UTC
    An impulsive X8.1 solar flare was just detected peaking at 23:57 UTC (Feb 1). This is the second strongest flare in terms of peak X-Ray flux of the current solar cycle. Although a bright flare, new imagery suggests that if a CME is associated, it will likely be fairly mild. Stay tuned to SolarHam where you will get the most up to date and accurate information regarding this space weather event."

    solarham.com/

    #SolarFlares #SolarCycle25 #KesslerEffect #KesslerSyndrome #XClassFlares

  4. From #SolarHam - Progression of new #Sunspot #AR4366 (not yet Earth-facing, but will be soon):

    "Sunspot Watch
    January 31, 2026 @ 04:15 UTC
    Newly assigned sunspot region 4366 continues to gradually develop as it turns into view in the northeast quadrant. It is currently producing minor C-Class flares and it is likely now a threat for a moderate M-Flare. Something to keep an eye on this weekend. Image by SDO/HMI.

    Growing Flare Threat
    January 31, 2026 @ 14:50 UTC
    AR 4366 continued to expand over the past 12 hours in both size and magnetic complexity. The region has a Beta-Delta magnetic configuration and is producing frequent mid level minor C-Flares. A moderate M-Flare will remain possible on Saturday.

    M6.6 Solar Flare
    February 1, 2026 @ 10:40 UTC
    Solar activity increases even further with an M6.6 solar flare peaking at 10:02 UTC (Feb 1). The source, AR 4366, is magnetically complex and is now a threat for an isolated X-Flare. Image below by SDO/AIA.

    High Solar Activity
    February 1, 2026 @ 16:50 UTC (UPDATED)
    What a difference a few days make on the Sun. Active sunspot region 4366 turned into a firecracker on Sunday with at least fifteen M-Class solar flares and one X-Flare (so far). Despite the brightness of these events, the mechanics have so far failed to launch any noteworthy coronal mass ejections into space and towards our planet. That could change over the next few days as the region continues to develop and currently sports a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration. More solar flares including another X-Flare will remain possible.

    [And today...]

    Impulsive X8.1 Solar Flare
    February 2, 2026 @ 00:10 UTC
    An impulsive X8.1 solar flare was just detected peaking at 23:57 UTC (Feb 1). This is the second strongest flare in terms of peak X-Ray flux of the current solar cycle. Although a bright flare, new imagery suggests that if a CME is associated, it will likely be fairly mild. Stay tuned to SolarHam where you will get the most up to date and accurate information regarding this space weather event."

    solarham.com/

    #SolarFlares #SolarCycle25 #KesslerEffect #KesslerSyndrome #XClassFlares

  5. From #SolarHam - Progression of new #Sunspot #AR4366 (not yet Earth-facing, but will be soon):

    "Sunspot Watch
    January 31, 2026 @ 04:15 UTC
    Newly assigned sunspot region 4366 continues to gradually develop as it turns into view in the northeast quadrant. It is currently producing minor C-Class flares and it is likely now a threat for a moderate M-Flare. Something to keep an eye on this weekend. Image by SDO/HMI.

    Growing Flare Threat
    January 31, 2026 @ 14:50 UTC
    AR 4366 continued to expand over the past 12 hours in both size and magnetic complexity. The region has a Beta-Delta magnetic configuration and is producing frequent mid level minor C-Flares. A moderate M-Flare will remain possible on Saturday.

    M6.6 Solar Flare
    February 1, 2026 @ 10:40 UTC
    Solar activity increases even further with an M6.6 solar flare peaking at 10:02 UTC (Feb 1). The source, AR 4366, is magnetically complex and is now a threat for an isolated X-Flare. Image below by SDO/AIA.

    High Solar Activity
    February 1, 2026 @ 16:50 UTC (UPDATED)
    What a difference a few days make on the Sun. Active sunspot region 4366 turned into a firecracker on Sunday with at least fifteen M-Class solar flares and one X-Flare (so far). Despite the brightness of these events, the mechanics have so far failed to launch any noteworthy coronal mass ejections into space and towards our planet. That could change over the next few days as the region continues to develop and currently sports a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration. More solar flares including another X-Flare will remain possible.

    [And today...]

    Impulsive X8.1 Solar Flare
    February 2, 2026 @ 00:10 UTC
    An impulsive X8.1 solar flare was just detected peaking at 23:57 UTC (Feb 1). This is the second strongest flare in terms of peak X-Ray flux of the current solar cycle. Although a bright flare, new imagery suggests that if a CME is associated, it will likely be fairly mild. Stay tuned to SolarHam where you will get the most up to date and accurate information regarding this space weather event."

    solarham.com/

    #SolarFlares #SolarCycle25 #KesslerEffect #KesslerSyndrome #XClassFlares

  6. Are We Going to Mess Up Outer Space Too?

    As nations jockey for military edge in orbit, there is a growing threat from above

    by Daniel Munro Updated 8:49, Jun. 19, 2024

    "Over the past decade, however, space has become much more contested and harder to govern. Nearly 1,000 private companies now offer space-based products and services. Expanding #SatelliteConstellations offer better internet access in remote and developing communities, enabling more people to access online health care, work remotely, and connect with family and friends. Space technologies also support better weather and climate monitoring, improve navigation and transportation logistics, and enhance agricultural productivity through the use of land- and water-quality sensors. All this has contributed to a space economy with an estimated value of $447 billion (US), on a trajectory to reach $1 trillion by 2030. And missions focused on exploration and scientific discovery are expanding—including the US-led Artemis program that aims to land human beings on the moon for the first time in over fifty years.

    "But this new space age poses substantial risks. #OrbitalDebris from inactive satellites, discarded rocket parts, and anti-satellite #weapons tests threatens the infrastructure on which our social and economic well-being now depends, as well as the lives of astronauts working on space stations. In addition to the 30,000 objects large enough to track, there are an estimated 1 million debris fragments—between one and ten centimetres in diameter—that are too small to be picked up by ground-based radar and surveillance networks. Experts put the likelihood of future collisions between these objects at near certainty, with potential for cascading and catastrophic damage including entire satellite communication systems being taken out and larger debris fragments falling to #Earth and threatening lives and #ecosystems."

    Read more:
    thewalrus.ca/mess-up-outer-spa

    #DarkSkies #DarkSkiesForAll #KesslerSyndrome #SpaceX #SpacePollution #KesslerEffect #MegaConstellation