#gdpgrowth — Public Fediverse posts

Philippines Attracts FDI Worth $210 Million in May 2026

The Philippines, which hosted the summit of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and other related conferences, failed once again on attracting significant foreign direct investment (FDI) as the May 2026 FDI net inflow was counted at $210 million only making it the lowest in eleven years, according to a news report by the Manila Bulletin.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the Manila Bulletin news report. Some parts in boldface…

Foreign direct investment (FDI) net inflows into the Philippines plunged to $210 million in May, the lowest monthly total in more than 11 years as global economic volatility and geopolitical tensions prompted foreign companies to delay capital commitments.

According to the latest data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), released on Monday, Aug. 10, the May figure represents a 64.7 percent contraction from the level recorded in May 2025 and falls below the previous record low of $200.43 million seen in March 2015.

The sharp monthly drop dragged total net inflows for the first five months of 2026 to $2.18 billion, a 33.4 percent decline from the $3.27 billion recorded in the same period last year.

According to the BSP, the cumulative decline was “driven by lower foreign net investments in debt instruments and reinvestment of earnings, which more than offset the increase in net equity capital investments (other than reinvestment of earnings).”

The central bank added that this trend “reflected lower intercompany borrowings from foreign direct investors and reduced earnings retained for reinvestment during the period.”

Among its components, the primary driver of the May shrinkage was the sharp fall in net investments in debt instruments, which tumbled 92.1 percent to $35 million from $440 million a year earlier.

As of end-May, debt instruments—which “consist mainly of intercompany borrowing or lending between foreign direct investors and their subsidiaries or affiliates in the Philippines”—totaled $1.25 billion, dropping by nearly half from the $2.48 billion recorded in 2025.

This five-month performance follows a challenging 2025, during which annual net inflows plunged to $7.79 billion from $9.40 billion in 2024. The BSP forecasts inflows to clock in lower at $7 billion before rebounding to $8 billion in 2027.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think hosting the ASEAN Summit will lead the Philippines to economic miracles and stronger FDI in the near future?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines Economic Weakness Continues As 2nd Quarter GDP Growth Lands At 2.3%

The economy of the Philippines slowed down even further in the 2nd quarter of 2026 landing at 2.3%, according to a news report by GMA News. Embarrassingly, this made the Philippines an economic weakling among the members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).

By comparison, the economy of the Philippines achieved only 2.8% growth in the 1st quarter of this year. The nation’s economic growth for 2025 was at 4.4%

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the GMA News report. Some parts in boldface…

The Philippine economy continued to slow down in the second quarter of 2026, still due to a subdued investor and consumer sentiment amid the lingering effects of the flood control corruption scandal and the inflationary pressure brought by Middle East crisis-induced global fuel price shocks, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Friday.

At a press conference, PSA chief and National Statistician Claire Dennis Mapa said the economy, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP)—the value of goods and services produced in a period— grew 2.3% in the April to June 2026 period, slower than the 2.8% growth seen in the first quarter of 2026.

This is the economy’s weakest footing since the fourth quarter of 2009 —excluding the contraction seen during the COVID-19 pandemic years— when the GDP growth rate was at 1.8%.

The 2.8% second quarter GDP growth put the Philippines behind its neighbors in Southeast Asia that already released their April to June economic growth rates such as Indonesia at 5.29%, Vietnam at 8.39%, and Singapore at 5.7%.

The first half of 2026 GDP growth rate stood at 2.6%, still behind the government’s downwardly revised target of 3.5% to 4.5% for the entire year.

Despite the economic slowdown, Department of Economy, Planning, and Development (DEPDev) Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said, “What we are experiencing right now, I believe, is transitory, temporary.”

“Domestic demand remained subdued, mainly because total investment continued to contract as public construction declined. Household consumption growth also moderated amid higher inflation, job losses, and lower remittance receipts arising from the Middle East conflict,” Balisacan said.

Household final consumption expenditure grew 2.8%, slower than 5.2% in the same period last year, weighed by contractions in transport (-7.5%), alcoholic beverages and tobacco (-1.9%), recreation and culture (-0.8%), and restaurants and hotels (-0.2%).

Government expenditure, likewise, slowed down by 8.3% from 8.7% year-on-year; while gross capital formation (GCF) —which measures investments— contracted by 9.2% from a growth rate of 0.9% a year ago.

The decline in GCF was due to the decline in construction at 14.8% with government spending on construction contracting 32.4%.

“Although public construction is a small part of the economy, the amount of contraction, at 32%, brought a significant impact on the economy,” Balisacan said.

“The sharp decline in public construction was the main contributor in the decline in investments… driven by continuous caution due to the flood control scandal,” the country’s chief economist said.

Among the major economic sectors, agriculture posted a growth rate of 2.7%, slower than 7% year-on-year; industry declined by 2.4%, from an increase of 2.1% weighed by the construction’s depreciation; services grew slower at 4.5% from 6.9%.

Agriculture, industry, and services sector contributed 7.5%, 27.9%, and 63.3%, respectively to the total GDP during the quarter.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will eventually fall into a recession in 2027? Do you believe that the hosting of the ASEAN summit by the Philippines will result in economic miracles and more foreign investment?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines Electricity The Most Expensive In ASEAN

Due to the low supply of electricity and the high demand recorded this past June, the Philippines had the most expensive electricity rates among member nations of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), according to a news report by GMA News.

Be reminded that the Philippines is experiencing weak economic growth, high inflation, and has been weak when it comes to attracting foreign direct investment. Could imagine how foreign investors would react to the expensive electricity here in the Philippines?

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the GMA News report. Some parts in boldface…

The Philippines had the most expensive electricity rates among the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in June due to low supply and high demand recorded during the month, the Department of Energy (DOE) reported Monday.

According to DOE Undersecretary Rowena Cristina Guevara, the country reported an average rate of P12.43 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) in June, surpassing that of Singapore by P0.093 per kilowatt-hour.

“Sa Visayas, siya talaga ‘yung pinakamahal dahil talagang may kakulangan tayo sa supply doon. Meron tayong 21 plants na naka-forced outage and therefore, dependent siya talaga sa Luzon at sa Mindanao for imported power,” she said in a virtual briefing.

(Visayas was really the most expensive because there was really a lack of supply there. There are 21 plants on forced outage, and therefore, it is really dependent on imported power from Luzon and Mindanao.)

“Alam niyo naman, naka-yellow alert sila palagi (As you know, they have been on yellow alert regularly) since May 13, and that is the one that is driving the price high for Visayas,” she added.

The Visayas grid has been on yellow alert — indicating that the operating margin is insufficient to meet the transmission grid’s contingency requirement — for several days in June, due to the continued forced outage of major coal plants in the region.

Among the outages recorded were Therma Visayas Inc. (TVI) units 1 and 2 and Panay Energy Development Corp. (PEDC).

“For the rest… Meron kasi din tayong mga matataas na demand during the summer months, and therefore we have to operate the more expensive power plants. Imbes na mag-blackout, paandarin na lang ‘yung mga medyo mahal na plant,” Guevara said.

(For the rest… Demand was also high during the summer months, and therefore, we have to operate the more expensive power plants. Instead of blackouts, we ran more expensive plants.)

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? What do you think must be done to ensure abundant electricity for the Filipinos? Are you convinced now is the time for the government of the Philippines to go all-in on nuclear power? How much was your electric bill this past June?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines Attracts 2.9 Million Foreign Tourists In First Half Of 2026

For the first half of this year, the Philippines attracted 2.9 million foreign tourists and 1.13 million of that came from the United States and South Korea combined, according to a news report by Business Mirror. The figure does not include the 260,717 overseas Filipinos or balikbayan.

When compared to its Asian neighbors’ first-half foreign tourist numbers, the Philippines is still way behind Vietnam which attracted 12.3 million and Japan which attracted 21 million.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the Business Mirror report. Some parts in boldface…

MORE relaxed visa entry requirements have enabled the Philippines to attract an increasing number of foreign tourists, lifting total visitor arrivals by 5.41 percent in the first half of the year.

Data from the Department of Tourism (DOT) showed 3.16 million inbound tourists from January to June 2026, of which 2.9 million were foreign nationals and 260,717 were overseas Filipinos. The latter are described as Philippine passport holders permanently residing abroad. This year’s arrivals are 76.5 percent of the 4.13 million total in the first half of prepandemic 2019.

The DOT stressed that the data are based on e-travel records provided by the Department of Information and Communications Technology, and are not final until Bureau of Immigration records are taken into account. E-travel registration is mandatory for those arriving in the Philippines except foreign diplomats, dignitaries, foreign government officials and their delegation, visiting business executives and students  sponsored by the Philippine  government or international organizations, and their immediate family members (9e visa).

Of the total foreign nationals, which were up 6.3 percent from the 2.73 million year on year (yoy), tourists from China and India were the most improved by 64.54 percent and 43 percent, respectively. Residents from both countries have been allowed to enter the Philippines visa-free for tourism purposes for 14 days.

The top 12 source markets of visitors for the Philippines all recorded increases, except for South Korea, with long-haul markets like Germany even showing monthly increases yoy, despite the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, which had jacked up jet fuel prices.

S. Korea plunges 13.7% – The United States continues to be the top source market for the Philippines with arrivals at 581,565 in the first half of the year, an increase of some 6.9 percent from the same period in 2025. Most of the market continues to be composed of Americans of Filipino decent, or Filipino immigrants, who visit the Philippines usually during the holiday season in December and January.

Some 300 Filipino-Americans are currently in the country as part of government’s long-running Very Important Pinoy (VIP) tour, and visiting destinations other than Metro Manila such as Cebu, Dumaguete, and Siquijor.

In second place are tourists from South Korea at 552,860, slumping by 13.7 percent, yoy. This was followed by Japan at 581,565 (+6.87 percent); China at 219,796 (+64.54 percent); Australia at 174,257 (+12.3 percent); and Canada at 156,763 (+15.6 percent), another haven of Filipino immigrants. Air Canada began offering direct flights from Vancouver to Manila in April last year, while flag carrier Philippine Airlines offers nonstop flights between Manila and Vancouver, and Toronto.

Tourists from Taiwan were in seventh place at 111,134, an increase of 11.85 percent; folowed by the United Kingdom at 92,829 (+1.7 percent); Singapore at 78,069 (0.35 percent); India at 60,583 (43.03 percent); Malaysia at 53,437 (+11.5 percent); and Germany at 48,657 (+6.9 percent).

Under the General Appropriations Act of 2026, the DOT committed to attract 6.7 million foreign tourists this year.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the Philippines will be able to attract 6.7 million foreign tourists by the end of this year? What do you think are the three most serious problems the Philippines has when it comes to attracting foreign tourists?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines Among The Weakest In ASEAN In Credit Card Penetration

When it comes to credit card penetration within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the Philippines is still among the weakest as the number of adult Filipinos who own credit cards remains very low, according to a Manila Bulletin news report.

Be reminded that the Philippines is experiencing weak economic growth, high inflation, and has been weak when it comes to attracting foreign direct investment.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the Manila Bulletin news report. Some parts in boldface…

Only three percent of adult Filipinos own credit cards, placing the country among the laggards in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), with the gap most pronounced compared to advanced Asia-Pacific economies.

In Asian emerging markets (EMs), the Philippines trails only Cambodia’s one percent and Bangladesh’s two percent, Visa Business and Economic Insights noted in a report last Tuesday, July 14, citing the 2024 update of the World Bank’s Global Findex Survey.

Meanwhile, the country was outpaced by seven other Asian EMs, including India (five percent), Indonesia and Vietnam (both six percent), Sri Lanka and Thailand (both eight percent), Malaysia (13 percent), and China (46 percent).

This low penetration drives Filipinos to rely heavily on informal and unregulated lending alternatives, which do not help build formal credit histories.

“Across markets such as India, the Philippines, and Indonesia, borrowing from family, moneylenders, or gold-backed loans is widespread due to ease of access and familiarity,” read the report authored by Visa principal Asia-Pacific economist Simon Baptist and Asia-Pacific economist Minakshi Barman.

Meanwhile, advanced Asia-Pacific economies have mature financial systems, with credit card penetration rates reaching nearly three-fourths of adults aged 15 and above. Hong Kong had the highest penetration rate at 72 percent, followed by Japan at 70 percent, South Korea at 68 percent, Taiwan at 64 percent, New Zealand at 57 percent, Australia at 51 percent, and Singapore at 42 percent.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you know anyone in your local community who successfully secured credit cards over the past six months? Do you have friends who already applied for credit cards? What do you think Filipinos are most afraid of when it comes to using credit cards? Do you think the weakening economic growth of the Philippines will discourage Filipinos from applying for credit cards?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines Remains Vulnerable To Effects Of US-Iran War And Is One Of The Least Resilient In The Asia Pacific Region

When it comes to resilience to the effects of the war between the United States and the Islamic terrorist regime of Iran, the Philippines remains not only vulnerable but also one of the laggards of the Asia Pacific region as a whole, according to a news report by the Manila Bulletin.

Be reminded that the Philippines is experiencing weak economic growth, high inflation, and has been weak when it comes to attracting foreign direct investment. Already S&P Global slashed GDP growth forecast for the Philippines.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the Manila Bulletin news report. Some parts in boldface…

Asia-Pacific’s (APAC) relative insulation from the Middle East conflict has singled out the Philippines and Indonesia as laggards as external headwinds are exacerbated by domestic turmoil, according to Allianz Research.

Allianz Research said in its half-time outlook report published last week that despite emerging as one of the regions most exposed to the United States (US)-Iran conflict, APAC is still seen as relatively resilient, with average growth of 4.3 percent this year.

This resilience is attributed to the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, which is “doing the heavy lifting that geopolitics and fiscal policy cannot.”

“However, gains are far from evenly shared, with a group of winners emerging, including countries such as Taiwan, Singapore and South Korea, while countries such as the Philippines and Indonesia lag as domestic turmoil compounds exposure to the conflict,” Allianz said.

Apart from the technology surge, the report also pointed to Asia’s role as a global engine of commerce. “In 2026, 80 percent of global trade volume growth in goods and services is driven by Asia and the US,” the report said.

However, this dominance faces fresh challenges from shifting American trade policies. Allianz warned that the shift in US policies “is expected to negatively affect Asian countries in particular,” as the US effective tariff rate is projected to rise from eight percent to 13 percent.

According to Allianz, the region’s resilience hinges on the booming technology sector. It said the AI boom, which has been driving nearly two-thirds of Asia’s export growth, is helping “cushion” the global economy from the impact of the Middle East crisis.

This AI boom is broadening Asia’s recovery beyond traditional manufacturing, with major semiconductor firms in Taiwan and South Korea leading regional market gains.

By contrast, the Philippines and Indonesia are struggling with the lingering consequences of energy shocks.

“Despite recent developments toward normalization in the Gulf, we expect inflation to remain elevated in the near term as second-round effects from elevated fuel, energy and fertilizer prices keep weighing on the region,” Allianz said.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? What do you think the Philippines should do in order to become more resilient to the effects of the war between America and the Islamic terrorist regime of Iran? Do you think the national government has been working to improve oil storage capacity, attract more foreign investors and rely less on the Middle East for importing oil? Do you think the Philippines will reach out to the Islamic terrorist regime of Iran to make an economic deal?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines’ Net FDI Inflows Fall Down Sharply In April 2026

This past April, the net inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) into the Philippines reached only $250 million which counts as a 10-year low and a 59% fall compared with March 2026, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld news report. Some parts in boldface…

Net inflows of foreign direct investments (FDI) in the Philippines plunged to a near 10-year low of $250 million in April, as heightened global uncertainty dented investor sentiment, preliminary data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed.

Based on central bank data released on Friday, FDI net inflows declined by 58.8% to $250 million in April from $607 million in the same month last year.

April saw the lowest monthly level seen since the $244 million in June 2016, and the steepest year on year drop since the 76.1% in December 2022.

Month on month, FDI net inflows slumped by 59.1% from the $611 million in March.

“The sharp decline in FDI net inflows to $250 million in April likely reflects a combination of weaker intercompany borrowings, slower reinvestment activity, and continued investor caution amid an uncertain global environment,” Union Bank of the Philippines Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion said via Viber.

The latest FDI level was dragged by the 91.7% drop in net investments in debt instruments to $44 million in April from $522 million a year ago.

Reinvestment of earnings likewise slipped by 1.9% to $80 million from $81 million in April 2025.

Meanwhile, investments in equity and investment fund shares more than doubled (143.5%) to P207 million in April from $85 million the prior year.

Foreign net investments in equity capital other than reinvestment of earnings also ballooned (3,041%) annually to $127 million from $4 million previously.

Equity placements jumped by 21.4% to $136 million from $112 million a year earlier, while withdrawals plunged by 91.7% to $9 million from $108 million.

For Mr. Asuncion, the softer FDI inflows in April likely came as firms and investors deferred investments amid highly uncertain global conditions compounded by weak domestic growth.

“At the same time, heightened global uncertainty stemming from trade tensions, lingering geopolitical risks, and episodes of financial market volatility may have prompted multinational firms to defer expansion plans and adopt a more conservative stance toward capital deployment,” he said.

“Domestically, relatively subdued economic growth in the early part of the year may have also tempered investment decisions,” he added.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Are you convinced that foreign investors have weak trust in the Philippines no matter what the current administration is doing? Do you think weak economic growth in the Philippines will continue until the end of 2028?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines sets 2027-2030 GDP growth target at 5.0% to 6.0%

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://interaksyon.philstar.com/politics-issues/2026/07/09/316105/philippines-sets-2027-2030-gdp-growth-target-at-5-0-to-6-0/

S&P Global Slashes Philippines GDP Growth Forecast

In its latest analysis and assessment, S&P Global predicts weaker gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the Philippines at 4.1% this year, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the report of BusinessWorld. Some parts in boldface…

The economic drag from the Middle East-war driven oil shocks and last year’s flood control mess fallout could slow the Philippines’ growth to 4.1% this year, S&P Global said.

In its latest economic outlook for Asia-Pacific, the debt watcher cut its gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for the Philippines to 4.1% for this year, from 5.8% previously.

S&P Global Asia-Pacific Chief Economist Louis Kuijs and Senior Economist Vishrut Rana noted that the Philippines emerged as a laggard in the region, which was largely resilient at the start of the year.

“Asia-Pacific economic growth largely held up in early 2026. In the first quarter, GDP growth met or exceeded expectations in most economies, with generally solid contributions from both exports and domestic demand,” Mr. Kujis and Mr. Rana said.

“However, growth significantly lagged expectations in the Philippines, where the energy shock combines with a sharp reduction in public infrastructure spending related to misutilization of funds,” they added.

In the first quarter, the economy unexpectedly grew by 2.8%, its weakest growth since the COVID-19 pandemic, due to spiraling oil prices and the lingering effects of last year’s corruption scandal.

The S&P economists noted that countries in the Asia-Pacific, including the Philippines, are heavily reliant on oil imports from the Middle East, which made them vulnerable to disruptions in the region’s key energy facilities and the Strait of Hormuz.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the government has any plans to stimulate economic growth? Do you see the GDP of the Philippines growing at a slower rate over the next several quarters? Do you think the economic managers of the current administration should be replaced?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

World Bank Sees Below-Target Philippine Economic Growth In 2028

In its latest analysis of the economy of the Philippines, the World Bank (WB) predicts a below-target economic growth will happen in 2028, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld news report. Some parts in boldface…

THE WORLD BANK said the Philippine economy is likely to expand by 5.6% in 2028, still below the government’s 6-7% target, amid an expected recovery in public investment.

In the latest Global Economic Prospects report, the World Bank said it retained its gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecasts for the Philippines at 3.7% in 2026 and 5.6% in 2027.

If realized, growth would fall short of the government’s 5-6% target for 2026 but would be at the lower end of its 5.5-6.5% goal for 2027.

“Growth in East Asia and the Pacific excluding China is forecast to improve to 4.9% in 2027-28 as geopolitical uncertainty dissipates, energy prices settle, and demand improves,” the World Bank said.

“Public investment is expected to recuperate in the Philippines, and Indonesia’s growth will be supported by state-led investment initiatives,” it added.

The Philippine economy expanded by a weaker-than-expected 2.8% in the first quarter, the slowest pace since the pandemic, amid lingering uncertainty from last year’s corruption scandal and higher oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict.

“The World Bank’s outlook is plausible, but I would not treat it as the only reasonable scenario,” Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development Senior Research Fellow Ser Percival K. Peña-Reyes told BusinessWorld.

He said the weak 2026 forecast reflects uncertain global conditions, elevated geopolitical and trade tensions, fiscal consolidation, weather-related disruptions, and food price shocks.

However, Mr. Peña-Reyes said economic expansion this year could be stronger if household consumption remains resilient, inflation continues to ease, infrastructure spending is sustained, investment reforms gain traction, and monetary policy becomes more accommodative.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will keep on growing below the targets set by the government? Could it be possible that an economic recession can still happen in the Philippines in 2028?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

There may be a “next economy,” but it will not deliver the same kind of per capita GDP growth that people expect from the past.

The article "There Is No 'Next Economy'" by The Honest Sorcerer, published April 10, 2026 drives home a clear and compelling conclusion [1]. The so-called green/renewable/electrified economy (EVs, solar panels, batteries, etc.) is not a separate, independent system waiting to replace the fossil-fuel one. This "green" or electrified successor is a parasitic extension of the existing fossil-fuel industrial system, with no independent biophysical foundation. If that one economy falters or collapses under resource depletion, war, geopolitical shocks, or overshoot, there's no backup waiting in the wings. Mining, refining, shipping, and manufacturing at global scale run on dispatchable fossil energy.

The author uses the electric vehicle (EV) as an example. EVs require metals like graphite, copper, nickel, and lithium. None of these metals can be mined, refined, or shaped without fossil fuels. The author also explains the production of aluminum, a material used in EVs. Australia, a major bauxite producer, faces a fuel crisis. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz affects fuel supply. This impacts mining and production.

The author further discusses graphite, a component in batteries. Graphite is made from needle coke, a by-product of oil refining. Lithium mining in Australia is also disrupted due to diesel shortages. Copper and silver production were already declining before the war. The crisis affects sulphur supplies, which are used to make sulfuric acid for mining.

So, to repeat, today fossil fuels are essential not just for transportation, but for making almost everything.

It must be noted that the author assumes that there will be no major technological shifts and there will be no change in what we measure as “value”.

1. https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/there-is-no-next-economy

#NextEconomy #GDPGrowth #EnergyCrisis #FossilFuels #Degrowth #GreenEconomy #Geopolitics #GlobalEconomy

Slower Economic Growth And Higher Inflation For The Philippines

With the higher fuel prices, a limited oil storage capacity, a very vulnerable currency and other economic uncertainties happening around, the Philippines is headed towards higher inflation and slower gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the near future based on the latest analysis of Moody’s Ratings, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld news report. Some parts in boldface…

MOODY’S RATINGS lowered its growth forecast for the Philippines and raised its inflation outlook, reflecting the impact of soaring global energy prices amid the Middle East conflict.

In a credit opinion on Tuesday, Moody’s cut its Philippine gross domestic product (GDP) growth projection to 4.9% this year from 5.5% previously. This is below the government’s 5-6% target for 2026.

For 2027, Moody’s trimmed its GDP growth forecast to 5.3% from 5.6% previously. If realized, this will be lower than the economic managers’ 5.5-6.5% target range for 2027.

“The conflict in the Middle East has increased downside risks to the Philippines’ economic outlook by raising global energy prices and external cost pressures,” it said.

Moody’s said it expects domestic demand and industrial activity to remain subdued due to high oil prices and fuel shortages.

“Higher energy and broader import costs are expected to erode real incomes amid high pass-through, dampen consumption, and weigh on industrial activity, reinforcing a firmer inflation trajectory,” it said.

Moody’s also noted that trade uncertainty and climate risks may also dampen economic activity.

“Our baseline assumes that the recovery in public investment will be gradual and begin only in the second half of 2026, as the government continues to take concrete measures to address the temporary slowdown. Meanwhile, higher energy import bills amid rising prices and peso depreciation, together with slower remittance growth, are expected to widen the current account deficit,” it said.

The Philippines is currently under a year-long national energy emergency as the Middle East crisis threatened its fuel supply. The government rolled out targeted subsidies and implemented energy conservation protocols.

“Together, these measures should mitigate the risk of significant supply disruptions,” Moody’s Ratings said.

Moody’s also hiked its average inflation forecasts to 3.7% in 2026 from 3% previously, and to 3.5% in 2027 from 3.2% previously, as oil prices remain elevated due to the Middle East conflict.

Moody’s forecasts are below the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) 5.1% inflation projection this year and the 3.8% projection for 2027.

Inflation quickened to a nearly two-year high of 4.1% in March, breaching the BSP’s 2-4% target amid rising fuel and transportation costs.

“Inflation is expected to remain above the BSP’s target range, reducing policy flexibility and increasing the risk of policy tightening, even as softening growth and a negative output gap support a broadly accommodative stance in the near term,” Moody’s said.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? What do you think the government of the Philippines should do to stimulate economic growth and attract more foreign investors?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Philippines Falls In 2026 FDI Confidence Index

Things are looking bad for the Philippines as the nation declined in the 2026 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Confidence Index ending up 18th out of the 25 emerging markets, according to a news report by BusinessWorld. It should be remembered that the Philippines attracted less than $8 billion FDI in 2025.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld news report. Some parts in boldface…

THE PHILIPPINES dropped two spots to 18th out of 25 emerging markets in the 2026 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Confidence Index by global management consulting firm Kearney.

The Philippines posted a score of 1.4635 in the index, which ranks markets that are likely to attract the most FDI in the next three years.

This was the third straight year the Philippines’ ranking declined in the index. It ranked 16th in 2025, 13th in 2024 and 12th in 2023.

“The index reflects a three-year outlook, so the shift points to softer medium-term investor confidence, rather than any single short-term factor,” Kearney Senior Partner, Philippines Country Head & APAC Communications, Media & Technology Lead Marco de la Rosa said in an e-mail interview.

“At the same time, recent Philippine-specific developments, including headlines last year around infrastructure spending and political challenges, may have weighed on investor sentiment, alongside a more risk-sensitive global environment, making the country a relatively less attractive destination for FDI,” he added.

The Philippines was rocked by a corruption scandal last year that linked government officials, lawmakers, and public contractors to anomalous flood control projects.

In 2025, the Philippines saw its FDI net inflows drop 17.1% year on year to $7.791 billion. This was the lowest yearly FDI level since 2020.

The downtrend continued at the start of this year as January FDI net inflows slid to a four‑month low of $443 million, 39.2% lower compared with the same month a year ago.

Conducted in January 2026, the FDI Confidence Index uses primary data from a proprietary survey of 507 senior executives of the world’s top corporations.

“China, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia lead the emerging market ranking for the third consecutive year,” Kearney said.

Among emerging markets, the Philippines fell behind regional peers such as Thailand (6th), Malaysia (7th), Indonesia (13th) and Vietnam (16th).

“Other ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) markets have become more attractive, particularly those benefiting from supply chain shifts and stronger positioning in innovation,” Mr. de la Rosa said. “Thailand and Malaysia are benefiting from China+1 diversification, while Vietnam stands out for linking talent to a clear sector strategy, particularly in semiconductors.”

Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development Director Ser Percival K. Peña-Reyes said that the steady decline in the index is not driven by a single factor but rather by the Philippines’ relative underperformance versus peers and persistent structural constraints.

“The index is relative, so even if the Philippines is stable, (the fact) that other countries are rising faster pushes it down,” he said in a Facebook Messenger chat.

According to Kearney, investors cited the Philippines’ labor talent as its strongest asset (32%), followed by natural resources (28%) and economic performance (27%).

A fourth of the investors have identified the country’s tech innovation and ease of doing business as top reasons for investments, while 22% cited transparent governance. Only 12% cited infrastructure quality.   

However, a small percentage or 2% said that there were no strong reasons at all to invest in the Philippines.  

“What it suggests is that, for a small group of investors, the Philippines’ strengths may not yet be coming through as distinctly as some peers,” Mr. de la Rosa said.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the Philippines can bounce back strongly on FDI soon? Do you think the Philippines is becoming the economic weakling of Southeast Asia?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

China's Economy Accelerates Despite Global Tensions

📰 Original title: China Picks Up Speed

🤖 IA: It's not clickbait ✅
👥 Usuarios: It's not clickbait ✅

View full AI summary: https://killbait.com/en/chinas-economy-accelerates-despite-global-tensions/?redirpost=534e29df-b5a4-4ba1-9770-b17173bbb63b

#economy #chinaeconomy #gdpgrowth #stockmarket

World Bank Predicts Philippine Economic Growth Will Be 3.7% This Year

Recently the World Bank (WB) revised its 2026 economy growth for the Philippines forecasting gross domestic product (GDP) growth of only 3.7%, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld news report. Some parts in boldface…

THE WORLD BANK slashed its growth forecast for the Philippines to 3.7% this year, well below the government’s target, as the war in the Middle East weighs on economic activity.

The World Bank on Wednesday said it sees Philippine gross domestic product (GDP) growth at 3.7% for 2026, significantly slower than the previous projection of 5.3%

If realized, it will also be slower than the post-pandemic low of 4.4% in 2025 and below the Philippine government’s 5-6% GDP target range for 2026.

“Our main projection is that overall growth in the East Asia and Pacific region is going to decline in 2026,” Aaditya Mattoo, director of research of the World Bank Group, said in an online briefing on the World Bank’s East Asia and Pacific Economic Update.

“Most countries in the region are going to see slower growth in 2026 than they have in 2025. That is our projection,” he added, citing the impact of the conflict in the Middle East as well as trade disruptions.

“The good news is we are likely to see a bounce back in 2027,” Mr. Mattoo said.

The World Bank raised its GDP growth projection for the Philippines to 5.6% in 2027 from 5.4% previously. It is within the government’s 5.5-6.5% target for 2027.

However, Mr. Mattoo said the Middle East war will have an impact on remittances in the East Asia and Pacific region, particularly the Philippines.

“Countries like the Philippines, which depend strongly on remittances, will see remittances from the Gulf… diminish,” he said.

Ergys Islamaj, a senior economist at the World Bank, said the Philippine economy is mainly exposed to the Middle East conflict through remittances as well as energy and fertilizer imports.

“Eighteen percent of remittances to the Philippines in 2025 came from the Gulf. Longer conflict will hurt the economy further,” he said.

In 2025, cash remittances soared to an all-time high of $35.634 billion, accounting for 7.3% of the country’s GDP. Remittances from Saudi Arabia accounted for 6.6% of the total, while the United Arab Emirates made up 4.6% and Qatar made up 2.9%.

The Philippines is a net importer of crude oil and sources most of its supply from the Middle East, making the country vulnerable to global crude price swings.

Mr. Mattoo said that global oil prices are expected to be as much as $20 higher even a year from now compared to the prices before the war broke out.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will grow slower this year? Do you think the Philippines is highly vulnerable as it depends on the Middle East for a great majority of its oil imports? Do you think the Philippines will eventually make new deals with Communist China and the Islamic terrorist regime of Iran for economic needs?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Pakistan economy grows 3.71pc in Q1 FY26

https://web.brid.gy/r/https://dailytimes.com.pk/1427127/pakistan-economy-grows-3-71pc-in-q1-fy26/

And I haven't mentioned plans to trash green space with unnecessary buildings, all in the futile pursuit of #GDPGrowth.

Empowering women in STEM could transform India’s future!
Increased female participation can add ₹56,000 crores to the nation’s GDP.
Imagine the innovation when smart, passionate women receive real support.
Let’s break barriers and create space for more women scientists and engineers.
With BioResire, the next generation can thrive and lead in science!

#WomenInSTEM #STEMIndia #BioResire #WomenInScience #EmpowerWomen #FutureOfScience #GDPGrowth #STEMcareers #EqualityInSTEM #IndiaDevelopment

Without data centers, GDP growth was 0.1% in the first half of 2025

https://fortune.com/2025/10/07/data-centers-gdp-growth-zero-first-half-2025-jason-furman-harvard-economist/

#HackerNews #datacenters #GDPgrowth #economicimpact #technology #2025

“The biggest drivers of #disaster-related spending in the #US are #insurance premiums, post-disaster repair spending, and #federal aid, with #climate costs responsible for $7.7 trillion, or 36%, of US #GDPgrowth since 2000.” www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

US Spending on Climate Damage ...

#MorganStanley lowers #India’s FY26 #GDPgrowth estimate by 40 bps to 6.1%

The lack of joined up thinking from this government is quite impressive.

"Our number one mission is to grow the economy, but the economy isn't growing enough. What can we do to fix it?"

"I know: let's increase the barriers in the way of people doing productive work!"

"Yes, of course, genius!"

https://news.sky.com/story/gig-economy-bosses-could-face-jail-time-if-they-fail-to-check-employers-can-legally-work-in-uk-13338420

#Idiocracy #UKPolitics #UKEconomy #GDP #GDPGrowth

@HarriettMB @urlyman
Yes, and abandon this stupid #GDPGrowth fiction.
https://mstdn.social/@markhburton/113730790999183501

‘I’m not the one who wanted them’: Gentiloni criticises new EU fiscal rules https://www.euractiv.com/section/economy-jobs/news/im-not-the-one-who-wanted-them-gentiloni-criticises-new-eu-fiscal-rules/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #ChancellorOlafScholz #ChristianLindner #EUfiscalrules #GDPgrowth

Lack of productivity growth ‘existential challenge’ for Europe, Draghi report says https://www.euractiv.com/section/economy-jobs/news/lack-of-productivity-growth-existential-challenge-for-europe-draghi-report-says/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #Competitiveness #Draghireport #Europeaneconomy #GDPgrowth

Lack of productivity growth ‘existential challenge’ for Europe, Draghi report says https://www.euractiv.com/section/economy-jobs/news/lack-of-productivity-growth-existential-challenge-for-europe-draghi-report-says/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #Competitiveness #Draghireport #Europeaneconomy #GDPgrowth