#climateattribution — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #climateattribution, aggregated by home.social.
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The report #oil companies are worried about: #Climate attribution science
Report says ability to tie weather damages to #climatechange is improving.
According to report released by the US National Academies of Science, the field of #climateattribution is growing increasingly mature and can answer some questions for us with far greater confidence than it could just a decade ago. The report also notes that there are still important limits and suggests steps to address them.
https://arstechnica.com/science/2026/07/national-academies-climate-attribution-is-maturing-but-still-has-limits/ -
Analysis: Why scientists think 100% of #globalwarming is due to humans - Carbon Brief
https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-why-scientists-think-100-of-global-warming-is-due-to-humans #climateattribution
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The report #OilCompanies are worried about: #ClimateAttribution science
New report says our ability to tie weather damages to #ClimateChange is improving.
John Timmer – Jul 17, 2026
Excerpt: "Climate change is being driven largely by the greenhouse gases we’ve pumped into the atmosphere, which trap more of the Sun’s energy there. That added energy increases the odds of extreme events: longer, more intense heat waves and droughts, interspersed with excessive precipitation. But these sorts of events have happened in the past—how can we tell if any given weather disaster has been made more likely by the climate?
"It’s a question with implications for everything from building codes to disaster preparedness. And there’s some good news: According to a report released by the US National Academies of Science on Thursday, the field of climate attribution is growing increasingly mature and can answer some questions for us with far greater confidence than it could just a decade ago. The report also notes that there are still important limits and suggests steps to address them.
"Overall, this makes it clear that climate attribution is normal, mainstream science. And the #FossilFuel industry views that as a problem, as it could make it easier to hold companies liable for damages. This has triggered a backlash that has Republicans in Congress and state governments threatening the National Academies’ funding."
#BigOil #BigOilAndGas #BigOilKnew #Oiligarchy #FossilFools #CimateCrisis #CorporateColonialism #ScienceDeniers #MakePollutersPay
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"Given the importance of these policy implications, it’s no surprise that the National Academies of Science (NAS) have been called on to weigh in on the state of the field; one of its roles has traditionally been to evaluate complex areas of science and provide a summary that policymakers can use. In fact, the NAS was asked to weigh in back in 2016, when the field was developing rapidly. A decade later, it was asked to take a look at where those developments have led.
The report provides a great overview of how attribution analysis works, where it succeeds, and what challenges keep it from being effective in some circumstances. But one of the first things it makes clear is that the field has gotten better since the NAS last checked in. “Over the past decade, advances in physical understanding—through accumulating observational and modeling evidence supporting long-standing theoretical expectations—together with improved and more sophisticated numerical models, expanded observational datasets, and advanced statistical and machine-learning techniques, have strengthened the foundation for extreme event attribution,” the report’s authors write. “This progress has led to more robust assessments and an increased ability to examine a broader range of extreme event types.”
While there have been (and continue to be) new approaches developed for answering questions, the report says that most of the work is being done within one of two frameworks. The first is called “probabilistic,” which focuses on how climate change has altered the odds of a similar event occurring. The second is termed “storyline,” and is more focused on the specifics of the weather event (to give one example, the frequency of large hailstones) as well as the atmospheric conditions that make them possible. Storylining is especially useful for events like tropical cyclones, where the frequency is rare..."
#ClimateChange #GlobalWarming #ClimateAttribution #FossilFuels #BigOil
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📌Editorial piece provides balanced, high-level view of #climateattribution
Tarsands companies pushed out #netzero pledge to 2050 -- want taxpayers to pay for carbon capture (expensive band-aid).
Canadian government's larger goal = reduce oil & gas emissions by 40% by 2030. Measures are required to improve long-term standard of health & living for everyone.
#climatecrisis #extremeheat #heatdomes #wildfires #Drought2023 are glaring 🪵🔥🏜️🚰
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Rapid climate attribution: February 2025 #floods in Queensland mostly exacerbated by human-driven climate change.
Neither Prime Minister Albanese nor Opposition Leader Dutton mentioned the 'C' word in talking about #QldFloods in parliament
#ClimateCrisis #ClimateAttribution
https://www.climameter.org/20250201-02-queensland-flood -
"Across all these cases, 74% were made more likely or severe because of #ClimateChange. This includes multiple cases where scientists found that an extreme was virtually impossible without human influence on global temperatures."
Another recent advance is “impact #attribution”, which quantifies the social, economic and/or ecological impacts arising from the influence of climate change on extreme weather."
https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/attribution-studies/index.html
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"The deadly heatwave that scorched large swaths of Mexico, Central America and the southern US in May and June was made 35 times more likely due to human-induced global heating, according to research by leading climate scientists from World Weather Attribution."
#HeatDome #Climate #ClimateAttribution #WorldWeatherAttribution
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B.C. coal mining company, Conuma Resources, fined for... 400+ violations. Repeatedly failed to follow environmental protection rules, over several years, including:
☠️ failure to monitor waste water flowing into 🐟 fish-bearing streams
☣️ failure to properly set up operations to prevent excessive amounts of dust & discharge from entering the surrounding air
Total penalties: CAD$45,850 to be paid within 30 days of receipt.
⚠️ Slap on the wrist?
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/conuma-coal-fined-fish-bearing-stream-1.7235554
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Interesting - Davide Faranda is doing #ClimateAttribution in a very different way to #WorldWeatherAttributionProject - they look only at dynamical patterns in the Reanalysis and don't run climate models.
Would be fascinating to see how the two different techniques compare.
Details on their site climameter -
#ClimateDiary Ok i am not a #ClimateAttribution scientist but i am going to go out on a limb here: climate change comes into this unprecedented flooding and we should all talk about it in these terms as we will only get more travel chaos. #Floods #Eurostar #ClimateEmergency
Eurostar cancels all today's trains after tunnel floods https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-67846863
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Another interesting subject at the #NCKF symposium: #ClimateAttribution from another brilliant #WomenInSTEM - Jordis Tradowsky from MetNorway..
Appropriate given #Copenhagen currently also experiencing #WeatherExtreme flooding of the metro..
#ClimateDiary -
💥Hawaii State Supreme Court just ruled a potentially historic and precedent-setting lawsuit to bring Big Oil case to trial: Upheld lower court ruling that rejected big 🛢️s effort to dismiss case.
👀The case will enter *full discovery* and court can finally set date to go to trial!
Fossil fuel companies will face evidence of decades-long #climatedeception campaign.
#ClimateAction #climateattribution
Read preposterous arguments of big 🛢️...
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"Taxpayers shouldn't have to foot the bill for billions of dollars in damages — #wildfires wiping out entire communities, toxic #wildfiresmoke clogging our air, deadly #heatwaves, record-breaking #droughts parching our wells."
California files lawsuit, claiming oil & gas companies deceived the public about the risks of fossil fuels.
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:micdrop:"You cannot read it without crawling out of your skin. The level of deceit is not even debatable now...deceit that's been around for 70+ years that they knowingly advanced or delayed progress and implementation to address this disease."
#ClimateChange leadership, Governor Gavin Newsom + attorney general Rob Bonta at #ClimateWeek NYC
Announced 2 climate-focused bills for major corporations to be more transparent about GHG and the financial risks
#ClimateAttribution
h/t David Fenton -
Editorial piece provides balanced, high-level view of #climateattribution
Tarsands companies pushing out #netzero pledge to 2050 -- want taxpayers to pay for carbon capture (expensive band-aid).
Canadian government's larger goal = reduce oil & gas emissions by 40% by 2030. Measures are required to improve long-term standard of health & living for everyone.
#climatecrisis #extremeheat #heatdomes #wildfires #Drought2023 are glaring 🪵🔥🏜️🚰
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The court decision reinforces the link between 🛢️ fossil fuel emissions & climate change, highlighting its dire consequences for public health & the planet. This sets a powerful precedent for global climate litigation.
🔍 Explore @SabinCenter's #climateattribution database, a repository of scientific information relevant to #climatelitigation & policy-making! 🌍📚 With 603 resources across 4 themes: #ClimateChange, Extreme Event, Impact, Source. Check it out: https://climateattribution.org 🌪️🔥🌊
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"Explicit" #fossilfuel subsidies alone have MORE THAN DOUBLED" since the last IMF assessment -- from $500 billion in 2020 to $1.3 trillion in 2022. 🛢️⛽🤑
🗺️Worth 7% of world's GDP!
#climatechange #extremeheat #wildfires #climateattribution 🔥
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📊 Our #climateattribution database is a repository of scientific information relevant to #climatelitigation & policy-making -- it contains 587 resources under 4 attribution themes:
1️⃣ #ClimateChange
2️⃣ Extreme Event
3️⃣ Impact
4️⃣ Source
To learn more visit: https://climateattribution.org
Subscribe to our quarterly newsletter here: https://columbia.us13.list-manage.com/subscribe?u=9906c7202590aac6a8bdbb7b9&id=f8294c9292
#climate #resources -
From Research To Action - The Growing Impact Of Attribution Science
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https://blog.ucsusa.org/delta-merner/from-research-to-action-the-growing-impact-of-attribution-science/ <-- shared technical article
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #climatechange #attribution #climateattribution #climateattributionscience #climatelawsuit #lawsuits #climate #weather #connections #extremeweather #naturalweatherpatterns #weatherpatterns #model #modeling #research #event #connections #science #emissions #causality #weatherforecasting #interdisciplinary #water #hydrology #drought #watersecurity #heatwaves #flood #flooding #wildfires #hurricane #cyclone #dust
#global #regional #impacts #compoundeffect -
Our #climateattribution database is a repository of scientific information relevant to #climatelitigation & policy-making -- it contains 567 resources under 4 attribution themes:
✅#ClimateChange
✅Extreme Event
✅Impact
✅Source
https://buff.ly/3kjEgCC #climate #resources