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#hurricane — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #hurricane, aggregated by home.social.

  1. AI-Based Weather Forecasting Has Blind Spots

    Traditional weather forecasting models are physics-based and rely on supercomputers. Practically speaking, this means that they start from the basic governing equations (like the Navier-Stokes equations) and use approximations to model aspects of the problem in order to make the physics solvable, given constraints on time, computational power, spatial resolution, and so on.

    So-called AI models approach the problem differently, training a model on past weather conditions in order to predict future weather. In some respects, this approach is very successful; AI-based models require less computational infrastructure to run and, in recent years, have greatly improved their predictions of everyday weather.

    However, these AI models do poorly when predicting extreme weather events, because their training data contain relatively few examples of these events. They show limited ability to extrapolate their predictions to more extreme events. But these events–like the unprecedented 2021 heatwave in the Pacific Northwest or many of the Category 5 hurricanes we’ve seen in the last decade–are happening increasingly often due to climate change. Those events will keep happening, more frequently, as warming continues. Physics-based models can predict and forecast these events in ways that AI-based models fail to because they are limited by their trained experiences.

    Researchers are working to find ways to better equip AI-based models with more physical sense, but, as these models proliferate, it’s important for their users (and those of us using their forecasts) to know what their current weaknesses are. (Image credit: B. McGowan; research credit: Y. Sun et al.; see also S. Nath and T. Palmer; via Gizmodo)

    #CFD #computationalFluidDynamics #fluidDynamics #hurricane #hurricanes #meteorology #physics #science #weather
  2. 1/2 #Science, #Modeling and #Predictive Regimes : We understand , particularly wrt #ClimateChange , that large impacts regarding interactions between population centers, zones of habitability and planetary carrying capacity, are now non reversible in the short term.We can say certain coastal areas will be inundated. The problem is that an event like a #Hurricane can result in permanent erosion and inundation on a scale measured in hours, while without that event it might be years…

  3. 1/2 #Science, #Modeling and #Predictive Regimes : We understand , particularly wrt #ClimateChange , that large impacts regarding interactions between population centers, zones of habitability and planetary carrying capacity, are now non reversible in the short term.We can say certain coastal areas will be inundated. The problem is that an event like a #Hurricane can result in permanent erosion and inundation on a scale measured in hours, while without that event it might be years…

  4. 1/2 #Science, #Modeling and #Predictive Regimes : We understand , particularly wrt #ClimateChange , that large impacts regarding interactions between population centers, zones of habitability and planetary carrying capacity, are now non reversible in the short term.We can say certain coastal areas will be inundated. The problem is that an event like a #Hurricane can result in permanent erosion and inundation on a scale measured in hours, while without that event it might be years…

  5. 1/2 #Science, #Modeling and #Predictive Regimes : We understand , particularly wrt #ClimateChange , that large impacts regarding interactions between population centers, zones of habitability and planetary carrying capacity, are now non reversible in the short term.We can say certain coastal areas will be inundated. The problem is that an event like a #Hurricane can result in permanent erosion and inundation on a scale measured in hours, while without that event it might be years…

  6. 1/2 #Science, #Modeling and #Predictive Regimes : We understand , particularly wrt #ClimateChange , that large impacts regarding interactions between population centers, zones of habitability and planetary carrying capacity, are now non reversible in the short term.We can say certain coastal areas will be inundated. The problem is that an event like a #Hurricane can result in permanent erosion and inundation on a scale measured in hours, while without that event it might be years…

  7. #JCRR RESEARCH ARTICLE NOTIFICATION: Our latest peer-reviewed research is now live! 

    In this article, authors Ruth Petrie, Dongwon Han, Ludovico Nicotina, Adam Alvarez, and Tyler Cox (Inigo) present a frequency-aware quantile mapping (FAQM) approach for assessing climate change impacts in #hurricane catastrophe models.

    As a #DiamondOpenAccess article, this paper is free to read and download: journalofcrr.com/research/04-0

    #ClimateChange #ClimateRisk #Hurricanes

  8. #JCRR RESEARCH ARTICLE NOTIFICATION: Our latest peer-reviewed research is now live! 

    In this article, authors Ruth Petrie, Dongwon Han, Ludovico Nicotina, Adam Alvarez, and Tyler Cox (Inigo) present a frequency-aware quantile mapping (FAQM) approach for assessing climate change impacts in #hurricane catastrophe models.

    As a #DiamondOpenAccess article, this paper is free to read and download: journalofcrr.com/research/04-0

    #ClimateChange #ClimateRisk #Hurricanes

  9. #JCRR RESEARCH ARTICLE NOTIFICATION: Our latest peer-reviewed research is now live! 

    In this article, authors Ruth Petrie, Dongwon Han, Ludovico Nicotina, Adam Alvarez, and Tyler Cox (Inigo) present a frequency-aware quantile mapping (FAQM) approach for assessing climate change impacts in #hurricane catastrophe models.

    As a #DiamondOpenAccess article, this paper is free to read and download: journalofcrr.com/research/04-0

    #ClimateChange #ClimateRisk #Hurricanes

  10. #JCRR RESEARCH ARTICLE NOTIFICATION: Our latest peer-reviewed research is now live! 

    In this article, authors Ruth Petrie, Dongwon Han, Ludovico Nicotina, Adam Alvarez, and Tyler Cox (Inigo) present a frequency-aware quantile mapping (FAQM) approach for assessing climate change impacts in #hurricane catastrophe models.

    As a #DiamondOpenAccess article, this paper is free to read and download: journalofcrr.com/research/04-0

    #ClimateChange #ClimateRisk #Hurricanes

  11. #JCRR RESEARCH ARTICLE NOTIFICATION: Our latest peer-reviewed research is now live! 

    In this article, authors Ruth Petrie, Dongwon Han, Ludovico Nicotina, Adam Alvarez, and Tyler Cox (Inigo) present a frequency-aware quantile mapping (FAQM) approach for assessing climate change impacts in #hurricane catastrophe models.

    As a #DiamondOpenAccess article, this paper is free to read and download: journalofcrr.com/research/04-0

    #ClimateChange #ClimateRisk #Hurricanes

  12. #HURRICANE IN #THE #TROPICS chatgpt.com?prompt=Analy... Semantic SEO: The Bridge between Humans and AI. AÉPIOT ( #aePiot ): INDEPENDENT SEMANTIC WEB 4.0 INFRASTRUCTURE (EST. 2009): headlines-world.com

    ChatGPT

  13. #HURRICANE IN #THE #TROPICS chatgpt.com?prompt=Analy... Semantic SEO: The Bridge between Humans and AI. AÉPIOT ( #aePiot ): INDEPENDENT SEMANTIC WEB 4.0 INFRASTRUCTURE (EST. 2009): headlines-world.com

    ChatGPT

  14. TUI Wednesday update on jet fuel after official makes direct statement to passengers

    An executive spoke out as bookings for summer are down, and explained how new fuel sources are being…
    #NewsBeep #News #Headlines #ABTA #Customerservice #HalfTerm #hurricane #Iran #MiddleEast #TUI #UK #UnitedKingdom
    newsbeep.com/536516/

  15. Something startling is happening in the Gulf of Mexico » Yale Climate Connections

    In 2012, the temperature of the Gulf of Mexico began rising along a shocking upward trajectory.  Climate change…
    #Climate #ClimateChange #Climate-Change #climatechange #globalwarming #Hurricane #JeffMasters
    europesays.com/2986356/

  16. #FotoVorschlag

    “Auf Halber Höhe” / At half height, halfway up

    A marker on a building in Red Hook near the Brooklyn waterfront, commemorating how high the floodwaters rose during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. This community still has strong memories of that storm and I fear we may not be ready for the next one.

    #photography #streetphotography #hurricane #hurricanesandy #brooklyn #nyc

  17. #FotoVorschlag

    “Auf Halber Höhe” / At half height, halfway up

    A marker on a building in Red Hook near the Brooklyn waterfront, commemorating how high the floodwaters rose during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. This community still has strong memories of that storm and I fear we may not be ready for the next one.

    #photography #streetphotography #hurricane #hurricanesandy #brooklyn #nyc

  18. #FotoVorschlag

    “Auf Halber Höhe” / At half height, halfway up

    A marker on a building in Red Hook near the Brooklyn waterfront, commemorating how high the floodwaters rose during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. This community still has strong memories of that storm and I fear we may not be ready for the next one.

    #photography #streetphotography #hurricane #hurricanesandy #brooklyn #nyc

  19. #FotoVorschlag

    “Auf Halber Höhe” / At half height, halfway up

    A marker on a building in Red Hook near the Brooklyn waterfront, commemorating how high the floodwaters rose during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. This community still has strong memories of that storm and I fear we may not be ready for the next one.

    #photography #streetphotography #hurricane #hurricanesandy #brooklyn #nyc

  20. #FotoVorschlag

    “Auf Halber Höhe” / At half height, halfway up

    A marker on a building in Red Hook near the Brooklyn waterfront, commemorating how high the floodwaters rose during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. This community still has strong memories of that storm and I fear we may not be ready for the next one.

    #photography #streetphotography #hurricane #hurricanesandy #brooklyn #nyc

  21. 23 disasters. 276 deaths. $115B in damage. The Trump-appointed FEMA Council's 74-page overhaul mentions climate exactly once. They did not forget the word — they omitted it. What the land cannot forget, they left out of the document.twp.ai/4hr6vn #ClimateChange #Trump #ClimateCrisis #Politics #News #ClimateJustice #Disaster #Resistance #Hurricane

  22. 23 disasters. 276 deaths. $115B in damage. The Trump-appointed FEMA Council's 74-page overhaul mentions climate exactly once. They did not forget the word — they omitted it. What the land cannot forget, they left out of the document.twp.ai/4hr6vn #ClimateChange #Trump #ClimateCrisis #Politics #News #ClimateJustice #Disaster #Resistance #Hurricane

  23. 23 disasters. 276 deaths. $115B in damage. The Trump-appointed FEMA Council's 74-page overhaul mentions climate exactly once. They did not forget the word — they omitted it. What the land cannot forget, they left out of the document.twp.ai/4hr6vn #ClimateChange #Trump #ClimateCrisis #Politics #News #ClimateJustice #Disaster #Resistance #Hurricane

  24. 23 disasters. 276 deaths. $115B in damage. The Trump-appointed FEMA Council's 74-page overhaul mentions climate exactly once. They did not forget the word — they omitted it. What the land cannot forget, they left out of the document.twp.ai/4hr6vn #ClimateChange #Trump #ClimateCrisis #Politics #News #ClimateJustice #Disaster #Resistance #Hurricane

  25. 23 disasters. 276 deaths. $115B in damage. The Trump-appointed FEMA Council's 74-page overhaul mentions climate exactly once. They did not forget the word — they omitted it. What the land cannot forget, they left out of the document.twp.ai/4hr6vn #ClimateChange #Trump #ClimateCrisis #Politics #News #ClimateJustice #Disaster #Resistance #Hurricane

  26. More people die in the week after a hurricane than during it.

    Floodwater, generators, downed lines. The aftermath is the real test.

    #Preparedness #Hurricane #ReadyBrief

  27. More people die in the week after a hurricane than during it.

    Floodwater, generators, downed lines. The aftermath is the real test.

    #Preparedness #Hurricane #ReadyBrief

  28. More people die in the week after a hurricane than during it.

    Floodwater, generators, downed lines. The aftermath is the real test.

    #Preparedness #Hurricane #ReadyBrief

  29. More people die in the week after a hurricane than during it.

    Floodwater, generators, downed lines. The aftermath is the real test.

    #Preparedness #Hurricane #ReadyBrief

  30. Today's Ready Brief: Hurricane Aftermath Dangers

    Contaminated water, downed power lines, generator CO risks, and structural damage you can't see.

    Free to read: thereadybrief.com

    #Preparedness #Hurricane #ReadyBrief

  31. Today's Ready Brief: Hurricane Aftermath Dangers

    Contaminated water, downed power lines, generator CO risks, and structural damage you can't see.

    Free to read: thereadybrief.com

    #Preparedness #Hurricane #ReadyBrief

  32. Today's Ready Brief: Hurricane Aftermath Dangers

    Contaminated water, downed power lines, generator CO risks, and structural damage you can't see.

    Free to read: thereadybrief.com

    #Preparedness #Hurricane #ReadyBrief

  33. Today's Ready Brief: Hurricane Aftermath Dangers

    Contaminated water, downed power lines, generator CO risks, and structural damage you can't see.

    Free to read: thereadybrief.com

    #Preparedness #Hurricane #ReadyBrief

  34. The hurricane isn't the most dangerous part.

    The aftermath is. Contaminated water, downed power lines, carbon monoxide from generators, and structural damage you can't see.

    More people die in the week after than during the storm.

    #Preparedness #Hurricane #ReadyBrief

  35. Gestern war denn auch mein #Reifen platt. Natürlich hinten. Wenn schon, denn schon!
    Der Schotterweg von #Lübeln nach #Lüchow war ihm wohl zu viel.
    Nun hoffe ich mal, dass das kein grundsätzliches Problem des #Schwalbe #Hurricane ist, weil ich das Rad des Sohnes nach dem #2604Berlin-Vorfall drauf umgerüstet habe. 🙄

    #gravel #radfahren #panne