#hurricane — Public Fediverse posts

#JCRR RESEARCH ARTICLE NOTIFICATION: Our latest peer-reviewed research is now live! 

In this article, authors Ruth Petrie, Dongwon Han, Ludovico Nicotina, Adam Alvarez, and Tyler Cox (Inigo) present a frequency-aware quantile mapping (FAQM) approach for assessing climate change impacts in #hurricane catastrophe models.

As a #DiamondOpenAccess article, this paper is free to read and download: https://journalofcrr.com/research/04-02-petrie-et-al/

#ClimateChange #ClimateRisk #Hurricanes

TUI Wednesday update on jet fuel after official makes direct statement to passengers

An executive spoke out as bookings for summer are down, and explained how new fuel sources are being…
#NewsBeep #News #Headlines #ABTA #Customerservice #HalfTerm #hurricane #Iran #MiddleEast #TUI #UK #UnitedKingdom
https://www.newsbeep.com/536516/

#FotoVorschlag

“Auf Halber Höhe” / At half height, halfway up

A marker on a building in Red Hook near the Brooklyn waterfront, commemorating how high the floodwaters rose during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. This community still has strong memories of that storm and I fear we may not be ready for the next one.

#photography #streetphotography #hurricane #hurricanesandy #brooklyn #nyc

#FotoVorschlag

“Auf Halber Höhe” / At half height, halfway up

A marker on a building in Red Hook near the Brooklyn waterfront, commemorating how high the floodwaters rose during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. This community still has strong memories of that storm and I fear we may not be ready for the next one.

#photography #streetphotography #hurricane #hurricanesandy #brooklyn #nyc

#FotoVorschlag

“Auf Halber Höhe” / At half height, halfway up

A marker on a building in Red Hook near the Brooklyn waterfront, commemorating how high the floodwaters rose during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. This community still has strong memories of that storm and I fear we may not be ready for the next one.

#photography #streetphotography #hurricane #hurricanesandy #brooklyn #nyc

#FotoVorschlag

“Auf Halber Höhe” / At half height, halfway up

A marker on a building in Red Hook near the Brooklyn waterfront, commemorating how high the floodwaters rose during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. This community still has strong memories of that storm and I fear we may not be ready for the next one.

#photography #streetphotography #hurricane #hurricanesandy #brooklyn #nyc

https://www.europesays.com/uk/956908/ TUI Wednesday update on jet fuel after official makes direct statement to passengers #ABTA #Business #CustomerService #HalfTerm #Hurricane #Iran #MiddleEast #TUI #UK #UnitedKingdom

63% of LGBTQ+ Christians left the church. They chose comfort over us. We build better where they refused to hold. https://twp.ai/9OWM7r #LGBTQ #Queer #ExChristian #QueerJoy #Pride#ClimateJustice #Disaster #Resistance #Hurricane

thistleandmoss.com

23 disasters. 276 deaths. $115B in damage. The Trump-appointed FEMA Council's 74-page overhaul mentions climate exactly once. They did not forget the word — they omitted it. What the land cannot forget, they left out of the document.https://twp.ai/4hr6vn #ClimateChange #Trump #ClimateCrisis #Politics #News #ClimateJustice #Disaster #Resistance #Hurricane

Gestern war denn auch mein #Reifen platt. Natürlich hinten. Wenn schon, denn schon!
Der Schotterweg von #Lübeln nach #Lüchow war ihm wohl zu viel.
Nun hoffe ich mal, dass das kein grundsätzliches Problem des #Schwalbe #Hurricane ist, weil ich das Rad des Sohnes nach dem #2604Berlin-Vorfall drauf umgerüstet habe. 🙄

#gravel #radfahren #panne

Viewing hurricane damage in Jamaica

Last week we went on a family vacation that included a stop in Falmouth, Jamaica. Falmouth is a small town on the north side of the island situated to the east of Montego Bay. This was our first visit to Jamaica.

Hurricane Melissa passed right over this region last October. This storm made landfall with 185 mph (300 km/h) sustained winds. It is tied for the strongest landfalling hurricane recorded in the Atlantic basin.

Ingalls Weather thanks the support it gets from donors. Please consider making a small donation at this link to help me pay for the website and access to premium weather data.

Hurricane Melissa was moving from south to north as it transited Jamaica so communities on the northern coast like Falmouth did not get the worst of it, but “not as bad as the worst ever” is still pretty bad when we’re discussing hurricanes.

Before I report on what I saw as we spent the day in Jamaica I want to reiterate that this was my first time in the country. I have tried to identify what was from the hurricane vs. what existed in this state before the storm, but it is inevitable that I am not 100% accurate. Still, the obvious damage I saw was something I had never experienced before.

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The first thing that stood out to me on arrival was that many of the trees were significantly defoliated. The land was still quite green but it’s clear that the tree canopy is not as dense as it once was.

Driving from Falmouth toward Montego Bay the hill is full of homes in various states of disrepair. We aren’t talking missing siding or shingles, either, but something like half of the homes didn’t have roofs and many were just concrete shells. Some were being reconstructed while others just sat in ruin.

Easily half of the homes I saw were damaged to the point that they would have been condemned in the United States or Canada but a lot of these were still occupied. I saw a few residents milling about but of course many were probably at work when I passed through during the day on a weekday.

By my visual estimate, around 90-95% of buildings showed signs of recent damage. I only saw four buildings in what I would say are in excellent condition – two KFCs, a Wendy’s, and a Scotiabank branch.

I could also pick out where the worst of the winds seemed to hit and what communities have wealthier economies. The closer we got to Montego Bay, the less severe damage we saw. Falmouth seemed like a shell of its former self, but as I understand it it was already struggling economically before Hurricane Melissa despite receiving many tourists from cruise ships.

As a meteorologist I have seen a lot of reporting on natural disasters and I have personally visited a few disaster zones myself. Aside from this, the worst I had seen was the damage caused by grapefruit size hail in Blair, Nebraska in 2014. The aftermath of that storm looked like someone had taken a machine gun to the north and west faces of every building but for the most part homes were still standing and livable.

Meteorologists and weather nerds often get accused of enjoying seeing disasters like this and “rooting” for cataclysmic storms. As a practitioner of the science it is genuinely awesome to see the power of the world around us but the cost in some cases is extreme. In an ideal world we could observe huge tornadoes on desolate plains and massive hurricanes in the middle of the ocean but the sad reality is this is rare.

Documenting and sharing the aftermath of these storms is a critical part of educating ourselves and those we speak with. The uncertainty associated with forecasting high end events like this leads to a lot of warning fatigue in at risk communities. It is difficult for communicators to balance messaging in what are relatively low likelihood events with catastrophic and deadly ramifications.

Tornadoes are notorious for this because they are quite small and short lived but this even happens with large events like hurricanes. Even in major hurricanes (category 3+), the damaging wind field can be surprisingly small. In many cases hurricane force winds will only extend tens of miles/kilometers from the center of the storm.

The evacuation zone can often be much wider, though, because we simply don’t have that level of accuracy on the hurricane’s path far enough in advance to conduct a successful evacuation of thousands of people. A shift of 20-50 miles (30-80 km) in the forecast does happen in the days leading up to hurricane landfall but if we waited until we knew exactly where it would land it would be too late to get people out.

That’s just considering the wind field. The biggest hazard from most tropical cyclones is actually flooding from heavy rainfall and that has its own difficulty in communicating. This was seen in the Pacific Northwest in March when most people had no issues but significant flooding was observed along waterways like the Walla Walla River.

This is a complex issue on the social science side as well. Evacuating is both financially and emotionally expensive. Not everyone has the means to leave their home with a few days notice and travel hundreds of miles/kilometers away. Some people will be taking unpaid time off work to do this while others have added difficulty brought on by healthcare needs.

I’m often aware of a lot of judgment thrown around during and after catastrophes like this. Some is thrown at meteorologists for perceived overhype of a storm while others who have never experienced something like this judge those who stayed behind. The world could use a lot more patience and understanding as people try to make the best decisions they can with the information they have to protect themselves and others.

Improving forecast accuracy is one of the things I’m most excited about with my new job at Windborne Systems. The weather balloon data we collect feeds into our internal model as well as to the GFS and others. We are scaling up our operation rapidly to collect more data.

Part of my role is to highlight regions where balloons are needed to get improved forecasts on upcoming major weather events. During April I helped to get balloons in the path of the low pressure system that turned into the severe weather outbreak on the Plains, a typhoon that hit Guam, and severe weather in Paraguay and Argentina. I find a lot of value in this work.

I didn’t really expect this to turn into a bit of soap box style work when I started writing this article but I think it works. Readers should note that I have a lot of work related travel coming up so this blog (and associated social media) will be a bit of a travelogue for a while as I have the opportunity to explore the world while launching weather balloons.

As I do so I hope to bring you more stories and observations from these places, as well as connections to regional climates.

Worsening ocean heat waves are 'supercharging' hurricane damage, study finds https://phys.org/news/2026-04-worsening-ocean-supercharging-hurricane.html

#ocean #environment #temperature #heat #heatwave #hurricane #hurricanes

@GetzlerChem Here it is - search for "cold wake". Mesmerising demonstration of the First Law linked to the Second. #hurricane #thermodynamics https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QD8R3fX8hSg

Devastation on the summit

The summit of Mount #Olsberg has already been ‘cleared up’ following #Hurricane #Kyrill (January 2007), but its effects are still visible.
In the centre of the picture, you can see the #summit #cross and the mountain hut, which were spared by the hurricane.

February 2008 (Hans Martin Köster)

#SGV #SGVOlsberg #SummitCross #Refuge #Clouds #BlueSky #Forest #ClimateChange #Kreuz #Gipfel #Gipfelkreuz #Wolken #BlauerHimmel #Orkan#OrkanKyrill #Wald #Forst #Klimawandel

Devastation on the summit

The summit of Mount #Olsberg has already been ‘cleared up’ following #Hurricane #Kyrill (January 2007), but its effects are still visible.
In the centre of the picture, you can see the #summit #cross and the mountain hut, which were spared by the hurricane.

February 2008 (Hans Martin Köster)

#SGV #SGVOlsberg #SummitCross #Refuge #Clouds #BlueSky #Forest #ClimateChange #Kreuz #Gipfel #Gipfelkreuz #Wolken #BlauerHimmel #Orkan#OrkanKyrill #Wald #Forst #Klimawandel

Devastation on the summit

The summit of Mount #Olsberg has already been ‘cleared up’ following #Hurricane #Kyrill (January 2007), but its effects are still visible.
In the centre of the picture, you can see the #summit #cross and the mountain hut, which were spared by the hurricane.

February 2008 (Hans Martin Köster)

#SGV #SGVOlsberg #SummitCross #Refuge #Clouds #BlueSky #Forest #ClimateChange #Kreuz #Gipfel #Gipfelkreuz #Wolken #BlauerHimmel #Orkan#OrkanKyrill #Wald #Forst #Klimawandel

Devastation on the summit

The summit of Mount #Olsberg has already been ‘cleared up’ following #Hurricane #Kyrill (January 2007), but its effects are still visible.
In the centre of the picture, you can see the #summit #cross and the mountain hut, which were spared by the hurricane.

February 2008 (Hans Martin Köster)

#SGV #SGVOlsberg #SummitCross #Refuge #Clouds #BlueSky #Forest #ClimateChange #Kreuz #Gipfel #Gipfelkreuz #Wolken #BlauerHimmel #Orkan#OrkanKyrill #Wald #Forst #Klimawandel

Devastation on the summit

The summit of Mount #Olsberg has already been ‘cleared up’ following #Hurricane #Kyrill (January 2007), but its effects are still visible.
In the centre of the picture, you can see the #summit #cross and the mountain hut, which were spared by the hurricane.

February 2008 (Hans Martin Köster)

#SGV #SGVOlsberg #SummitCross #Refuge #Clouds #BlueSky #Forest #ClimateChange #Kreuz #Gipfel #Gipfelkreuz #Wolken #BlauerHimmel #Orkan#OrkanKyrill #Wald #Forst #Klimawandel

The National Hurricane Center's #NHC Forecast Verification Report for the 2025 #Hurricane Season is published. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/pdfs/Verification_2025.pdf

✮ Swans ✮

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3/10-14/26

“Vision is the art of seeing things invisible”—Jonathan Swift

SONG OF THE WEEK: “The Sleeping Giant of Love” https://johnnyjblairsingeratlarge.bandcamp.com/track/the-sleeping-giant-of-love

#SleepingGiant #GulliversTravels #JonathanSwift #Lilliput #davidbowie #splitenz #neilfinn #denniswilson #johnnyjblair #singersongwriter #sanfrancisco #california #christianrock #artrock #poprock #alternativerock #singeratlarge #storm #hurricane #lightning #thunder #island #drums

3/10-14/26

“Vision is the art of seeing things invisible”—Jonathan Swift

SONG OF THE WEEK: “The Sleeping Giant of Love” https://johnnyjblairsingeratlarge.bandcamp.com/track/the-sleeping-giant-of-love

#SleepingGiant #GulliversTravels #JonathanSwift #Lilliput #davidbowie #splitenz #neilfinn #denniswilson #johnnyjblair #singersongwriter #sanfrancisco #california #christianrock #artrock #poprock #alternativerock #singeratlarge #storm #hurricane #lightning #thunder #island #drums

https://www.europesays.com/ro/117043/ (VIDEO) Noul Dodge Charger cu motor cu combustie, cu 6 cilindri, a fost învins detaşat de BMW M4 şi chiar Audi RS3, deşi era cel mai puternic dintre toţi | PiataAuto.md #6 #audi #bmw #charger #cilindri #combustie #detasat #dodge #hurricane #invins #m4 #motor #noul #performanta #RO #Română #Romania #Romanian #rs3 #Technology #tehnologie

Does anyone feel like the #billionaires are actually systematically culling the global population?

#Vaccine denial
#climatechange ( #drought #flood #heatwave #hurricane )
Cutting #humanitarian #aid
#armed thugs targeting people
#militarized borders that prevent people from moving to safer places
#AI #datacenters (destroying #employment)
#space (million satellites?)

It all seems to be accelerating. Are we really at the beginning of global genocide?

Does anyone feel like the #billionaires are actually systematically culling the global population? 1 #Vaccine denial 2 #climatechange ( #drought #flood #heatwave #hurricane ) 3 Cutting #humanitarian #aid 4 #armed thugs targeting people 5 Cutting #education #research #healthcare cont.

Ah yes, the riveting tale of a web developer yearning for good ol' plain text during a #hurricane, because 🌪️obviously that's the real tragedy here. Forget about food and safety, what we really need is HTML #nostalgia while we're drowning in pixels and rain. 📱💔
https://sparkbox.com/foundry/helene_and_mobile_web_performance #webdeveloper #techtragedy #plaintext #HackerNews #ngated

Küresel #sigorta sektöründe yeni eşik: #Afet kayıpları üst üste altıncı yıl 100 milyar doları aştı #Palisades #Hurricane #SonDakika #Afet #Reasürans

https://cevrehatti.com/kuresel-sigorta-sektorunde-yeni-esik-afet-kayiplari-ust-uste-altinci-yil-100-milyar-dolari-asti/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=jetpack_social

Küresel #sigorta sektöründe yeni eşik: #Afet kayıpları üst üste altıncı yıl 100 milyar doları aştı #Palisades #Hurricane #SonDakika #Afet #Reasürans

https://cevrehatti.com/kuresel-sigorta-sektorunde-yeni-esik-afet-kayiplari-ust-uste-altinci-yil-100-milyar-dolari-asti/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=jetpack_social

Küresel #sigorta sektöründe yeni eşik: #Afet kayıpları üst üste altıncı yıl 100 milyar doları aştı #Palisades #Hurricane #SonDakika #Afet #Reasürans

https://cevrehatti.com/kuresel-sigorta-sektorunde-yeni-esik-afet-kayiplari-ust-uste-altinci-yil-100-milyar-dolari-asti/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=jetpack_social

Küresel #sigorta sektöründe yeni eşik: #Afet kayıpları üst üste altıncı yıl 100 milyar doları aştı #Palisades #Hurricane #SonDakika #Afet #Reasürans

https://cevrehatti.com/kuresel-sigorta-sektorunde-yeni-esik-afet-kayiplari-ust-uste-altinci-yil-100-milyar-dolari-asti/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=jetpack_social

#Google’s new #hurricane model was breathtakingly good this season
The difference in errors between the #US #GFS model and Google’s #DeepMind is remarkable. At five days, the Google forecast had an error of 165 nautical miles compared to 360 nautical miles for the GFS model, more than twice as bad. This is the kind of error that causes forecasters to completely disregard one model in favor of another.
https://arstechnica.com/science/2025/11/googles-new-weather-model-impressed-during-its-first-hurricane-season/

Canada, US provide homes for more than 50 rescued after #Hurricane #Melissa - More than 50 struggling dogs were rescued from hard-hit communities in Jamaica’s south-western parishes in the aftermath of Hurricane Melissa, and many have since found homes outside of the island.

https://www.jamaicaobserver.com/2025/12/04/overseas-haven-dogs/?fbclid=Iwb21leAOekDZjbGNrA56P7GV4dG4DYWVtAjExAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkDDM1MDY4NTUzMTcyOAABHhNxATmiSTCC5_LH0VD3Uy4PgJj3HdpAGo8cwbCJf2efjzXGewzZKQxyvtfN_aem_b2UZKN5XTbXzze0NsfnxTw

"In the best of days, Bvlbancha Public Access (BPA) is an un-serious collaborative making obscure art on the internet to express the Indigenous Gulf South. In the worst of days, we call on the relationships and organization created through play to support mutual aid...

A storm is a disturbance, or a showering of heavy objects. BPA sees this process as uncivil and heavy. We have categorized this sweep as a storm, and storm which impacts the Indigenous Gulf South community.

We are naming it Hurricane ICE."

https://open.substack.com/pub/bvlbanchapublicaccess/p/bvlbancha-public-access-and-hurricane

#IndigenousGulf @noladon #NOLA #Bulbancha #NewOrleans #ice #hurricane #Indigenous #MigrantRights

Hurricane season ended yesterday without even one major storm making landfall in the U.S. @Grist explains the atmospheric anomaly that spared the United States, even as Hurricane Melissa wreaked havoc across the Caribbean.

https://flip.it/P51LXo

#US #Science #Meteorology #Hurricane #Storms #HurricaneMelissa #Caribbean

Forschung aktuell: Hurrikan Melissa und der Klimawandel
In diesem Radio-Feature der Sendung “Forschung aktuell” im Deutschlandfunk von Volker Mrasek durfte ich Voice-Over einsprechen. Nachzuhören in der Audiothek des Deutschlandfun
https://www.christian-michalak.de/forschung-aktuell-hurrikan-melissa-und-der-klimawandel/
#Deutschlandfunk #ChristianMichalak #Deutschlandfunk #ForschungAktuell #Hurricane #Hurrikan #Klimawandel #Melissa #Radio #Rundfunk #VoiceOver #VolkerMrasek #Wetterextreme

It’s official: Hurricane #Melissa has breached the record for strongest wind gust ever observed in a tropical cyclone worldwide. The 252mph gust as measured by dropsonde beats that of Typhoon Megi 2010’s 248 mph wind. weathernet.com/tropical/mesovortex-eye
#recordbreaking #hurricane #strongestever

New Study Links Flood Risk And Hurricane Attributes In Southwest Florida
--
https://coastalscience.noaa.gov/news/new-study-links-flood-risk-and-hurricane-attributes-in-southwest-florida/ <-- shared technical article
--
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-025-00141-z <-- shared paper
--
H/T NOAA Centers for Coastal Ocean Science
#water #hydrology #extremeweather #flood #flooding #hurricane #model #modeling #Irma #Ian #HurricaneIrma #HurricaneIan #cost #damage #infrastructure #damage #FEMA #HAZUS #Florida #CollierCounty #insurance #risk #hazard #usecase #casestudy #publicsafety #SLR #sealevel #sealevelrise #floodmodel #model #modeling #spatialanalysis #opendata #storm #stormsurge #vegetation #mangrove #NFIP #spatial #GIS #mapping
#NOAA

@sellathechemist Heat engines with the Carnot limit increasing as the temperature difference between surface and the top of the atmosphere increases.

#Hurricane #Carnot

@sellathechemist Heat engines with the Carnot limit increasing as the temperature difference between surface and the top of the atmosphere increases.

#Hurricane #Carnot

@sellathechemist Heat engines with the Carnot limit increasing as the temperature difference between surface and the top of the atmosphere increases.

#Hurricane #Carnot

@sellathechemist Heat engines with the Carnot limit increasing as the temperature difference between surface and the top of the atmosphere increases.

#Hurricane #Carnot

@sellathechemist Heat engines with the Carnot limit increasing as the temperature difference between surface and the top of the atmosphere increases.

#Hurricane #Carnot

"#Hurricane #Melissa a ‘real-time case study’ of #colonialism ’s legacies" — superinteressanter Artikel im tollen @guardian ... https://www.theguardian.com/news/2025/nov/15/hurricane-melissa-a-real-time-case-study-of-colonialisms-legacies

Why Isaiah Hartenstein wore a vintage OKC Hornets jersey https://www.rawchili.com/nba/411336/ #Angeles #Basketball #chris #ChrisPaul #City #Hartenstein #Hurricane #HurricaneKatrina #Isaiah #IsaiahHartenstein #Katrina #Lakers #Los #LosAngelesLakers #National #NationalSports #NBA #new #NewOrleansPelicans #News #Oklahoma #OklahomaCity #OklahomaCityThunder #OklahomaCity #OklahomaCityThunder #Orleans #Overall #OverallPositive #Paul #Pelicans #Positive #Sports #SportsNews #Thunder

#Hurricane #Melissa #HurricaneMelissa #Relief - 'I Love Jamaica' concerts / fundraiser

The concert at the National Stadium Car Park in Kingston, November 14 has been changed to a virtual concert and telethon on November 16

Concerts:

KOKO Camden LONDON
November 13

'Padel Up' Culver City / LOS ANGELES
November 16

‘I Love Jamaica Telethon’
November 23, from 1:00 p.m. to 7:00 p.m.

Hard Rock Stadium MIAMI
December 7

MIRAMAR Regional Park
December 7

UBS Arena NEW YORK
December 12

O2 Arena LONDON
December 21

In planning; Canada and Serbia

#30DayMapChallenge Day 10: Air 🌪️ Animated mesh layers of #hurricane tracks resembling Vincent van Gogh’s Starry Night. #HurricaneMelissa #Jamaica. Made with #QGIS. Data from #Copernicus #ECMWF