#ceum — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #ceum, aggregated by home.social.
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#TrumpeanTradeWars #TrumpTariffs
#EconomicPolicy
#CEUM(4/4)
... is president.
I've dubbed this suggestion #CEUM:https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/114237101442358153
//
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#TrumpeanTradeWars #TrumpTariffs
#EconomicPolicy
#CEUM(3/n)
...usher in a #GreatDepression2.0, if they cannot be repudiated rather sooner than later. 4 years, as during the #GreatDepression, will be ruinous for the global and the #US #economy:
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/114270346663616915
The probably even more impactful strategy is deepening economic integration between Europe and the Americas, including a #NATO based #DefenseUnion--w/o the #US while #Trump...
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#TrumpeanTradeWars #TrumpTariffs
#EconomicPolicy
#CEUM(2/n)
... withhold just critical goods reduces the pain on non-#US consumers and suppliers....
In fact, that strategy can be enhanced, targeting #MAGA donors, voters, and #RedStates.
A good example to follow for #Canada, for instance, is 👉the critical #Fertilizer ingredient for (#US) #farmers, #potash,👈 as we analyzed a few days ago:
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/114281081687968392
Like in the 1930's, these (even higher) tariffs will, IMO, usher...
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#TrumpeanTradeWars #TrumpTariffs
#EconomicPolicy
#CEUM(1/n)
A de facto "critical-minerals embargo" being imposed by #China on the #US was to be expected.
In fact, it is somewhat surprising that President #Xi did not implement it sooner, after the #US cut off high-end GPUs for #China, which are critical for the #AI race.It might even be a 👉wise strategy to counter Trump's de facto all-out global #TradeWar.👈
To...
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity(6/6)
... continues to play a key role in that. Therefore, all #Technofeudalist and authoritarian media, Social or not, and in particular #US based, should be...
placed under observation, banned if need be.
All powers and levels if government of the remain ng democratic nations must join the #Fediverse. Society must once again 👉own its social media platform 2)👈 -
@LoranJohn @kim_harding
#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity(5/n)
... conventional weapons.
As in the 1930's, a #fascist movement has been sowing division where there should be unity.
We must never forget, as in any war, the war that's being fought against #Authoritarianism is a #hybrid one.
The #FourthEstate...
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity(4/n)
.. taking a wrecking ball towards the #West.
If the rest of the 🌍 globe, in particular #CEUM, work much stronger together, there is a good chance that the #TrumpeanTariffs'-induced #GlobalDepression2.0 might yet be averted.
However, this is not only a war of trade and...
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity(3/n)
... They will seek to eliminate conflict in their international economic policies and will encourage economic collaboration between any or all of them.👈"
The #TrumpTariffs that will result in #TrumpeanTradeWars, if this collision course is maintained, are the complete opposite of what the founding fathers had in mind.
#tRump is... -
#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity(2/n)
... way before the much cited Art. 5.:
"Article 2
The Parties will contribute toward the further development of peaceful and friendly international relations by strengthening their free institutions, by bringing about a better understanding of the principles upon which these institutions are founded, 👉and by promoting conditions of stability and well-being...
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(1/n)
That sounds very reasonable to me. Including the #US, there are so many things that unite all of the #Americas and the #European continent.
Why is my two-sided approach, one ever-deepening #FTA and a #DefensUnion, for further integration in #CEUM the right approach? --Because #DefenseSpending entails enormous costs that can only be borne by thriving economies.
The founding fathers of #NATO understood this and that's why there is Art. 2,... -
#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity(2/2)
... area while adding the dimension that alwas had been missing, a #DefenseUnion, from the ashes of #NATO.
As #JustinTrudeau said, the 👉... Dumbest Trade War in History👈.
The intentional(?) destruction of the #US superpower by the #MAGAmerican Regime might yet proof a boon for a European renaissance and a more multipolar word than the autocrats Trump, Putin, Xi hoped 4
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/114117427200013920//
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity(1/2)
And #SigmarGabriel is right!
#Canada and #Mexico, while having a lot of indigenous roots, AS well as Asian and African, the majority of people have ancestral roots on the European continent and speak one of its languages.
But things should not be hastened, the #EuropeanUnion did not start as such.
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/114237101442358153
IMO, starting with a fast-track implementation of a free-trade area...
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity
#Mercantilism(8/8)
... in the interests of the state? The answer is primarily that 👉it wanted to … strengthen the state authority itself;👈 it concentrated on the power of the state … Primarily to the state’s external power, in relation to other states."
primary source:
https://fee.org/articles/mercantilism-was-monarchys-planned-economy///
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity
#Mercantilism(7/n)
... of 👉economic policy [as a conception of society in which all interests were to be made obedient to the monarch captured in the famous phrase of the #French #king, Louis XIV – ‘I am the State’]👈."
"#Mercantilism as a System of Power
What was the object of mercantilism in using economic forces...
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity
#Mercantilism(6/n)
... historian #EliHeckscher)
Why #Trump espouses it, could easily be explained by the central element of this policy introduced in the late absolutist reign of the #SunKing, #LouisXIV:
"#Mercantilism as a Conception of Society
Mercantilism revealed a fairly uniform conception of general social phenomena in the field of economics, and this, too, reacted in many ways on the...
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity
#Mercantilism(5/n)
... commodities, was the theory of the danger from which economic policy was chiefly 👉to protect a country lay in having too many goods [imported from other countries].👈
Mercantilism as a Monetary System
The👉 connection between money and goods in the mercantilist conception of economics was represented in the balance of trade theory👈 … "
("Mercantilism (1935), Swedish economic..
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity
#Mercantilism(4/n)
...commerce, and trade into directions different from how individuals in the market may have wanted to direct their own activities, the more it created incentives for “#Smuggling” – #BlackMarkets – to get around the controls."👈
The basics:
"#Mercantilism as a System of Protection
The attitude of mercantilism towards the means of supplying the wants of human beings, i.e., towards...
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity
#Mercantilism(3/n)
... of souvereign and autonomous states, while the #US will be impoverished by the economic fallout of the #TrumpTariffs. They constitue a #Mercantilist trade policy, which has historically been proven to be detrimental to its practitioners: it gives rise to #Smuggling and anarchy:
"👉The more the government’s #Mercantilist policies attempted to restrict and divert manufacturing,...
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity
#Mercantilism(2/n)
... As of #Vance"is historic speech at the #MSC this year, 👉the necesities have changed, grown exponentially 👈:
The remaining 👉#West needs a deeper (#DefenseUnion) and wider union (#CEUM):👈
https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/114117715483122573
Eventually, 👉a deeper union of the West's states will further #Democracy in the #West👈, as the hegemony of the #US is balanced by a "confederation"...
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#CdnPol #CANpol #USpol
#CETA #InfoSec #Democracy #NationalSecurity
#Mercantilism(1/n)
While I agree with the spirit of your post, the timing for the #EU deal (#CETA, if you are referring to that) predates the #Trump presidencies:
"... Officials announced the launch of negotiations on 6 May 2009 at the #Canada-#EU Summit in #Prague...."
"...#JustinTrudeau, Prime Minister of Canada, travelled to #Brussels on 30 October 2016 to sign..."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comprehensive_Economic_and_Trade_Agreement?wprov=sfla1
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(2/2)
... they all banded together and formed a new #FreeTradeArea, based on current #FTA's and, in part, a new #DefenseUnion? --I've dubbed this #CEUM for #Canada, #Europe, and #Mexico.1) The #EU's new deal with #Mercosur could also be a nice extension and would help to fend off the West's (real) #YellowPeril in the #Americas.
Once the #MAGATs are out off office again, a "sanitized" #US can join, too.
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(1/n)
I agree with both oft you: the best way to stop RhE #TrumpMuskDuumvirate to hurt all Americans but the #Technofeudalists is to cause them maximum economic pain.
Sanctions, as in the #Kremlin case, would only worsen the #TrumpeanTradeWars.
Most of the Western allies are to weak to stand up to the #OrangePeril by themselves, even the #EU.
The👉 new #Résistance must be organized internationally, like the #MAGA movement👈
What if...
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You are asking an absolutely decisive question: who can lead Europe?
Alas, so far there is no-one one the horizon. I recently phased it differently, looking at #DeGaulle's European policy:
"Alas, #Macron is no visionary, precognitive leader like Président #CharlesDeGaulle was. With today's hindsight, he rightly distrusted the #Americans:..."
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Well, #Canada is still part of a European, #UK-based #Commonwealth, for one thing.
Then, there is #CETA. And #NATO.
Maybe #EuropeanUnion might not be an appropriate term anymore, maybe #TransatlanticUnion would be more appropriate?
In fact, I favor #CEUM, for the time being.
An #FTA, similar, to how the #EuropeanCommunity got started, back in the day. -
#CEUM
#CETA #TrumpTradeWars
#GeoPol #TrumpCoup #TrumpTariffs
#USpol #CANpoli #EUpol(9/n)
...latest utterance must be viewed with suspicion:
"The Foundation for Defense of Democracies’s (#FDD) #Turkish expert #SinaCiddi writes that under President Recep Tayyip #Erdogan, 👈“#Ankara is not only distancing itself from the West, but consciously working to undermine its core security interests.” 👈...
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#CEUM
#CETA #TrumpTradeWars
#GeoPol #TrumpCoup #TrumpTariffs
#USpol #CANpoli #EUpol(8/n)
...must be revived and pursued at full speed.
Interestingly, #Ankara declared that it would like to join such a structure. Good.2)
Now is the time for huge reforms, this is a #TippingPoint in world history (#Zeitenwende.) The momentum...
...might cary the world in either direction.2) Given #Erdogan's previous behavior, the...
1)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comprehensive_Economic_and_Trade_Agreement -
#CEUM
#CETA #Turkey
#GeoPol #TrumpCoup #TrumpTariffs
#USpol #CANpoli #EUpol(7/n)
...precursors to the #EuropeanUnion, like the #EC, as well as (finally!) a #DefenseUnion, should be on the table. Non-EU neighbors, such as the #UK and #Turkey should be considered as further partners. Too many different treaties are red tape slowing down decision-making processes and thus resilience in a chaotic environment.
Concurrently, the project of a #EuropeanArmy...
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#CEUM
#CETA
#GeoPol #TrumpCoup #TrumpTariffs
#USpol #CANpoli #EUpol(6/n)
... security wise deteriorating global environment.
👉How to integrate swiftly: #CEUN👈
A new #FreeTradeArea (#FTA) encompassing #Canada, #Europe, and #Mexico could offset the #TrumpTradeWars induced #Recession going forward.
Time is of the essence.
It might be an idea to ratify #CETA and the newly renegotiated #GlobalAgreementWithMexico ASAP.
Then, a deepening of this FTA, similar to... -
#CEUM
#CETA
#GeoPol #TrumpCoup #TrumpTariffs
#USpol #CANpoli #EUpol(5/n)
... #Rejoin the #European economic block.
#Brexit, a project by international rightwing organizations, was an utter failure. To withstand a sandwiched position by/a an imperialist, expansionist #Kremlin and a likeminded #Washington (#Panama, #Canada, #Greenland,) a renewal of the "ever closer union" is of the essence.#EU processes take far too long in this rapidly changing,...
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#CEUM
#TrumpTradeWars
#CETA
#GeoPol #TrumpCoup #TrumpTariffs
#USpol #CANpoli #EUpol(4/n)
... more than make up for the #Transatlantic trade with the #US.
#CETA, the #FreeTradeAgreament, a project started in 2014, should now be rapidly brought to completion:
"As of 2023, only 17 of 27 EU countries have ratified (as did the #UnitedKingdom before leaving the #EU), and #Cyprus has voted against ratification." 1)
Also, the #UK. Must...