home.social

#geopol — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #geopol, aggregated by home.social.

fetched live
  1. #US ended one #ForeverWar in 2020 with withdrawal from Kabul and ended up in two #ForeverWars. One in #Iran and the other in #Ukraine. With no expectations that both wars will be won or will go in a direction which would be beneficial to Washington.

    Meanwhile #US now spends on interest payments an amount that is almost equal to its entire defense outlay.

    Sheesh, talk about jumping out of the frying pan into the fire.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  2. #US ended one #ForeverWar in 2020 with withdrawal from Kabul and ended up in two #ForeverWars. One in #Iran and the other in #Ukraine. With no expectations that both wars will be won or will go in a direction which would be beneficial to Washington.

    Meanwhile #US now spends on interest payments an amount that is almost equal to its entire defense outlay.

    Sheesh, talk about jumping out of the frying pan into the fire.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  3. #US ended one #ForeverWar in 2020 with withdrawal from Kabul and ended up in two #ForeverWars. One in #Iran and the other in #Ukraine. With no expectations that both wars will be won or will go in a direction which would be beneficial to Washington.

    Meanwhile #US now spends on interest payments an amount that is almost equal to its entire defense outlay.

    Sheesh, talk about jumping out of the frying pan into the fire.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  4. #US ended one #ForeverWar in 2020 with withdrawal from Kabul and ended up in two #ForeverWars. One in #Iran and the other in #Ukraine. With no expectations that both wars will be won or will go in a direction which would be beneficial to Washington.

    Meanwhile #US now spends on interest payments an amount that is almost equal to its entire defense outlay.

    Sheesh, talk about jumping out of the frying pan into the fire.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  5. #US ended one #ForeverWar in 2020 with withdrawal from Kabul and ended up in two #ForeverWars. One in #Iran and the other in #Ukraine. With no expectations that both wars will be won or will go in a direction which would be beneficial to Washington.

    Meanwhile #US now spends on interest payments an amount that is almost equal to its entire defense outlay.

    Sheesh, talk about jumping out of the frying pan into the fire.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  6. 🦅 The US government just banned Roombas

    「 It’s not coming for your existing Roomba, and companies can keep importing and selling already approved ones. But the government claims that future foreign robots pose a national security risk, and even robovac companies are suddenly being asked to commit to US manufacturing 」

    theverge.com/policy/972312/us-

    #china #robots #tradewar #geopol

  7. 🦅 The US government just banned Roombas

    「 It’s not coming for your existing Roomba, and companies can keep importing and selling already approved ones. But the government claims that future foreign robots pose a national security risk, and even robovac companies are suddenly being asked to commit to US manufacturing 」

    theverge.com/policy/972312/us-

    #china #robots #tradewar #geopol

  8. 🦅 The US government just banned Roombas

    「 It’s not coming for your existing Roomba, and companies can keep importing and selling already approved ones. But the government claims that future foreign robots pose a national security risk, and even robovac companies are suddenly being asked to commit to US manufacturing 」

    theverge.com/policy/972312/us-

    #china #robots #tradewar #geopol

  9. 🦅 The US government just banned Roombas

    「 It’s not coming for your existing Roomba, and companies can keep importing and selling already approved ones. But the government claims that future foreign robots pose a national security risk, and even robovac companies are suddenly being asked to commit to US manufacturing 」

    theverge.com/policy/972312/us-

    #china #robots #tradewar #geopol

  10. #NATO Article 6 excludes #US Pacific territories, like Guam, Hawaii from its ambit. It also excludes all French and British possessions in South America, Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean, like French Guiana, Diego Garcia, New Caledonia and others. So if any of these territories were to be attacked, #Article5 of NATO cannot be invoked.

    Ergo if US goes to war with #China NATO will not help.
    If #Guam is obliterated then Article 5 cant be invoked
    If #Hawaii is nuked.............

    #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  11. #NATO Article 6 excludes #US Pacific territories, like Guam, Hawaii from its ambit. It also excludes all French and British possessions in South America, Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean, like French Guiana, Diego Garcia, New Caledonia and others. So if any of these territories were to be attacked, #Article5 of NATO cannot be invoked.

    Ergo if US goes to war with #China NATO will not help.
    If #Guam is obliterated then Article 5 cant be invoked
    If #Hawaii is nuked.............

    #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  12. #NATO Article 6 excludes #US Pacific territories, like Guam, Hawaii from its ambit. It also excludes all French and British possessions in South America, Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean, like French Guiana, Diego Garcia, New Caledonia and others. So if any of these territories were to be attacked, #Article5 of NATO cannot be invoked.

    Ergo if US goes to war with #China NATO will not help.
    If #Guam is obliterated then Article 5 cant be invoked
    If #Hawaii is nuked.............

    #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  13. #NATO Article 6 excludes #US Pacific territories, like Guam, Hawaii from its ambit. It also excludes all French and British possessions in South America, Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean, like French Guiana, Diego Garcia, New Caledonia and others. So if any of these territories were to be attacked, #Article5 of NATO cannot be invoked.

    Ergo if US goes to war with #China NATO will not help.
    If #Guam is obliterated then Article 5 cant be invoked
    If #Hawaii is nuked.............

    #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  14. #Ukraine by striking shipping in #Caspian Sea showed what the Ukraine war is all about. In case of #Taiwan contingency #China will loose access to sea. It will need Oil, Gas, metals, food, etc. which can be met easily by Russia and Central Asia. With Ukraine in NATO, supply from Caspian Sea, Caucuses, Central Asia and Iran can be interdicted.

    It is a double pincer movement against China, from the western direction

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  15. #Ukraine by striking shipping in #Caspian Sea showed what the Ukraine war is all about. In case of #Taiwan contingency #China will loose access to sea. It will need Oil, Gas, metals, food, etc. which can be met easily by Russia and Central Asia. With Ukraine in NATO, supply from Caspian Sea, Caucuses, Central Asia and Iran can be interdicted.

    It is a double pincer movement against China, from the western direction

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  16. #Ukraine by striking shipping in #Caspian Sea showed what the Ukraine war is all about. In case of #Taiwan contingency #China will loose access to sea. It will need Oil, Gas, metals, food, etc. which can be met easily by Russia and Central Asia. With Ukraine in NATO, supply from Caspian Sea, Caucuses, Central Asia and Iran can be interdicted.

    It is a double pincer movement against China, from the western direction

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  17. #Ukraine by striking shipping in #Caspian Sea showed what the Ukraine war is all about. In case of #Taiwan contingency #China will loose access to sea. It will need Oil, Gas, metals, food, etc. which can be met easily by Russia and Central Asia. With Ukraine in NATO, supply from Caspian Sea, Caucuses, Central Asia and Iran can be interdicted.

    It is a double pincer movement against China, from the western direction

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol

  18. #Ukraine crossed a Rubicon by striking shipping in Caspian Sea. This action has potential to turn two regional conflicts into a global conflict. If this reckless strike is not repudiated and invalidated this will set a precedent for China and Russia. Both of them will use this as a precedent to attack any shipping. Globally.

    Dont sleep walk into a June-1914 Sarajevo situation.

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #WWIII #WW3

  19. #Ukraine crossed a Rubicon by striking shipping in Caspian Sea. This action has potential to turn two regional conflicts into a global conflict. If this reckless strike is not repudiated and invalidated this will set a precedent for China and Russia. Both of them will use this as a precedent to attack any shipping. Globally.

    Dont sleep walk into a June-1914 Sarajevo situation.

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #WWIII #WW3

  20. #Ukraine crossed a Rubicon by striking shipping in Caspian Sea. This action has potential to turn two regional conflicts into a global conflict. If this reckless strike is not repudiated and invalidated this will set a precedent for China and Russia. Both of them will use this as a precedent to attack any shipping. Globally.

    Dont sleep walk into a June-1914 Sarajevo situation.

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #WWIII #WW3

  21. #Ukraine crossed a Rubicon by striking shipping in Caspian Sea. This action has potential to turn two regional conflicts into a global conflict. If this reckless strike is not repudiated and invalidated this will set a precedent for China and Russia. Both of them will use this as a precedent to attack any shipping. Globally.

    Dont sleep walk into a June-1914 Sarajevo situation.

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #WWIII #WW3

  22. Diplomacy is back. Talks are on going. Updated #MOU may be out soon. Or interpretation of the #MoU will be clarified. As long as bombs are not falling, drones are not flying, missiles are not being launched that is a good thing. A welcome development.

    #US is back to blockading #Iran. Not clear on how the Caspian Sea coast will be blockaded.

    Meanwhile strait of #Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb are blocked.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #GeoPolitics

  23. Diplomacy is back. Talks are on going. Updated #MOU may be out soon. Or interpretation of the #MoU will be clarified. As long as bombs are not falling, drones are not flying, missiles are not being launched that is a good thing. A welcome development.

    #US is back to blockading #Iran. Not clear on how the Caspian Sea coast will be blockaded.

    Meanwhile strait of #Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb are blocked.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #GeoPolitics

  24. Diplomacy is back. Talks are on going. Updated #MOU may be out soon. Or interpretation of the #MoU will be clarified. As long as bombs are not falling, drones are not flying, missiles are not being launched that is a good thing. A welcome development.

    #US is back to blockading #Iran. Not clear on how the Caspian Sea coast will be blockaded.

    Meanwhile strait of #Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb are blocked.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #GeoPolitics

  25. Diplomacy is back. Talks are on going. Updated #MOU may be out soon. Or interpretation of the #MoU will be clarified. As long as bombs are not falling, drones are not flying, missiles are not being launched that is a good thing. A welcome development.

    #US is back to blockading #Iran. Not clear on how the Caspian Sea coast will be blockaded.

    Meanwhile strait of #Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb are blocked.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #GeoPolitics

  26. #GeoPol #GulfWar

    PS:

    "#Greece has deployed a U.S.-made #Patriot air ​defence ​battery, operated ⁠by #Greek personnel, in #SaudiArabia since ​2021 under an agreement ​to ⁠help protect the kingdom's energy infrastructure.
    Saturday's interception was the second time ⁠that ​Greek personnel had operated ​the system."

    reuters.com/business/aerospace

    Cc @newsguyusa

  27. #GeoPol #GulfWar

    PS:

    "#Greece has deployed a U.S.-made #Patriot air ​defence ​battery, operated ⁠by #Greek personnel, in #SaudiArabia since ​2021 under an agreement ​to ⁠help protect the kingdom's energy infrastructure.
    Saturday's interception was the second time ⁠that ​Greek personnel had operated ​the system."

    reuters.com/business/aerospace

    Cc @newsguyusa

  28. #GeoPol #GulfWar

    PS:

    "#Greece has deployed a U.S.-made #Patriot air ​defence ​battery, operated ⁠by #Greek personnel, in #SaudiArabia since ​2021 under an agreement ​to ⁠help protect the kingdom's energy infrastructure.
    Saturday's interception was the second time ⁠that ​Greek personnel had operated ​the system."

    reuters.com/business/aerospace

    Cc @newsguyusa

  29. #GeoPol #GulfWar

    PS:

    "#Greece has deployed a U.S.-made #Patriot air ​defence ​battery, operated ⁠by #Greek personnel, in #SaudiArabia since ​2021 under an agreement ​to ⁠help protect the kingdom's energy infrastructure.
    Saturday's interception was the second time ⁠that ​Greek personnel had operated ​the system."

    reuters.com/business/aerospace

    Cc @newsguyusa

  30. #Iran is connected to #Russia via Caspian Sea and Caucasus corridor. #Iran is connected by land to #China via Central Asia and Russia.

    If the expectation is to repeat the playbook used to overthrow Saddam's #Iraq i.e. degrade Iran over a period of a decade via sanctions and No Fly Zones so that the next US president can invade Iran easily, then that might not work

    Meanwhile strait of #Hormuz is closed.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #Geopol #Geopolitic

  31. #Iran is connected to #Russia via Caspian Sea and Caucasus corridor. #Iran is connected by land to #China via Central Asia and Russia.

    If the expectation is to repeat the playbook used to overthrow Saddam's #Iraq i.e. degrade Iran over a period of a decade via sanctions and No Fly Zones so that the next US president can invade Iran easily, then that might not work

    Meanwhile strait of #Hormuz is closed.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #Geopol #Geopolitic

  32. #Iran is connected to #Russia via Caspian Sea and Caucasus corridor. #Iran is connected by land to #China via Central Asia and Russia.

    If the expectation is to repeat the playbook used to overthrow Saddam's #Iraq i.e. degrade Iran over a period of a decade via sanctions and No Fly Zones so that the next US president can invade Iran easily, then that might not work

    Meanwhile strait of #Hormuz is closed.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #Geopol #Geopolitic

  33. #Iran is connected to #Russia via Caspian Sea and Caucasus corridor. #Iran is connected by land to #China via Central Asia and Russia.

    If the expectation is to repeat the playbook used to overthrow Saddam's #Iraq i.e. degrade Iran over a period of a decade via sanctions and No Fly Zones so that the next US president can invade Iran easily, then that might not work

    Meanwhile strait of #Hormuz is closed.

    #IranWar #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #Geopol #Geopolitic

  34. The #MoU has been merely suspended. It has not been nullified. It has not been annulled. It has not been revoked.

    Since the #MoU has not been abrogated, expect #US and #Iran to return back to its essence in a few weeks. Once the munitions have been exhausted.

    That is the upside. The downside? Economically things are going to get bad. Very bad. For all. Not end of world type bad. Nor global conflict.

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopol #Geopolitics #Geopolitic

  35. The #MoU has been merely suspended. It has not been nullified. It has not been annulled. It has not been revoked.

    Since the #MoU has not been abrogated, expect #US and #Iran to return back to its essence in a few weeks. Once the munitions have been exhausted.

    That is the upside. The downside? Economically things are going to get bad. Very bad. For all. Not end of world type bad. Nor global conflict.

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopol #Geopolitics #Geopolitic

  36. The #MoU has been merely suspended. It has not been nullified. It has not been annulled. It has not been revoked.

    Since the #MoU has not been abrogated, expect #US and #Iran to return back to its essence in a few weeks. Once the munitions have been exhausted.

    That is the upside. The downside? Economically things are going to get bad. Very bad. For all. Not end of world type bad. Nor global conflict.

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopol #Geopolitics #Geopolitic

  37. The #MoU has been merely suspended. It has not been nullified. It has not been annulled. It has not been revoked.

    Since the #MoU has not been abrogated, expect #US and #Iran to return back to its essence in a few weeks. Once the munitions have been exhausted.

    That is the upside. The downside? Economically things are going to get bad. Very bad. For all. Not end of world type bad. Nor global conflict.

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopol #Geopolitics #Geopolitic

  38. The economies of the world will suffer due to closure of Strait of #Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb. Impact is on energy, microchips, semiconductors, agriculture and normal average people.

    There is a dire need for alternatives to Strait of #Hormuz. Pipelines and rail links to ports of #Oman, #UAE and South Yemen. Also pipelines and rail links to the Mediterranean coast of #Egypt and #Syria.

    #IranWar #EndlessWars #EndlessWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #Geopolitic #Bypass

  39. The economies of the world will suffer due to closure of Strait of #Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb. Impact is on energy, microchips, semiconductors, agriculture and normal average people.

    There is a dire need for alternatives to Strait of #Hormuz. Pipelines and rail links to ports of #Oman, #UAE and South Yemen. Also pipelines and rail links to the Mediterranean coast of #Egypt and #Syria.

    #IranWar #EndlessWars #EndlessWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #Geopolitic #Bypass

  40. #MoU has been suspended but not abrogated. That is a crucial and significant development.

    There was a misunderstanding between the parties about what is there in MoU. While differences are sorted out, strait of #Hormuz remains closed. Maybe #BabElMandeb strait will be closed too.

    Both the #US and #Iran are not bound by the MoU. They will be bound to the agreement which comes out of the MoU

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #GeoPolitics #Geopolitic

  41. #MoU has been suspended but not abrogated. That is a crucial and significant development.

    There was a misunderstanding between the parties about what is there in MoU. While differences are sorted out, strait of #Hormuz remains closed. Maybe #BabElMandeb strait will be closed too.

    Both the #US and #Iran are not bound by the MoU. They will be bound to the agreement which comes out of the MoU

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #GeoPolitics #Geopolitic

  42. #MoU has been suspended but not abrogated. That is a crucial and significant development.

    There was a misunderstanding between the parties about what is there in MoU. While differences are sorted out, strait of #Hormuz remains closed. Maybe #BabElMandeb strait will be closed too.

    Both the #US and #Iran are not bound by the MoU. They will be bound to the agreement which comes out of the MoU

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #GeoPolitics #Geopolitic

  43. #MoU has been suspended but not abrogated. That is a crucial and significant development.

    There was a misunderstanding between the parties about what is there in MoU. While differences are sorted out, strait of #Hormuz remains closed. Maybe #BabElMandeb strait will be closed too.

    Both the #US and #Iran are not bound by the MoU. They will be bound to the agreement which comes out of the MoU

    #IranWar #ForeverWar #ForeverWars #EndlessWar #EndlessWars #Geopolitics #GeoPol #GeoPolitics #Geopolitic

  44. @guardian

    #HPsCommentary
    #WarInGaza #Palestine #Religion
    #Israel #GeoPol

    (6/n)

    ... for anyone living today.
    (There are no Stargates or Warp Drives.)

    So, if there is to be a future for humanity, there is only one way this might and well for all of us:

    All the alleged perpetrators of war crimes or crimes against humanity (and hopefully soon #Ecocide) must be tried at the #Hague.

    The alternatives all entail a breakdown of society as we know it. .which...

  45. @guardian

    #HPsCommentary
    #WarInGaza #Palestine #Religion
    #Israel #GeoPol

    (6/n)

    ... for anyone living today.
    (There are no Stargates or Warp Drives.)

    So, if there is to be a future for humanity, there is only one way this might and well for all of us:

    All the alleged perpetrators of war crimes or crimes against humanity (and hopefully soon #Ecocide) must be tried at the #Hague.

    The alternatives all entail a breakdown of society as we know it. .which...

  46. @guardian

    #HPsCommentary
    #WarInGaza #Palestine #Religion
    #Israel #GeoPol

    (6/n)

    ... for anyone living today.
    (There are no Stargates or Warp Drives.)

    So, if there is to be a future for humanity, there is only one way this might and well for all of us:

    All the alleged perpetrators of war crimes or crimes against humanity (and hopefully soon #Ecocide) must be tried at the #Hague.

    The alternatives all entail a breakdown of society as we know it. .which...

  47. @guardian

    #HPsCommentary
    #WarInGaza #Palestine #Religion
    #Israel #GeoPol

    (6/n)

    ... for anyone living today.
    (There are no Stargates or Warp Drives.)

    So, if there is to be a future for humanity, there is only one way this might and well for all of us:

    All the alleged perpetrators of war crimes or crimes against humanity (and hopefully soon #Ecocide) must be tried at the #Hague.

    The alternatives all entail a breakdown of society as we know it. .which...

  48. @guardian

    #HPsCommentary
    #WarInGaza #Palestine #Religion
    #Israel #GeoPol

    (5/n)

    ... astronomer and #Nobel Prize laureate said in a long 2025 #ORF interview:

    "...the way things are currently progressing, humanity will not even make it to #Mars [let alone to an extrasolar planet, as #Longtermists crave.]

    Like me, he's completely opposed to a "Planet B" approach, meaning, if we wreck Earth 🌍, we can just settle some other planet.
    This will not happen, with almost 100% certainty not...

  49. @guardian

    #HPsCommentary
    #WarInGaza #Palestine #Religion
    #Israel #GeoPol

    (5/n)

    ... astronomer and #Nobel Prize laureate said in a long 2025 #ORF interview:

    "...the way things are currently progressing, humanity will not even make it to #Mars [let alone to an extrasolar planet, as #Longtermists crave.]

    Like me, he's completely opposed to a "Planet B" approach, meaning, if we wreck Earth 🌍, we can just settle some other planet.
    This will not happen, with almost 100% certainty not...

  50. @guardian

    #HPsCommentary
    #WarInGaza #Palestine #Religion
    #Israel #GeoPol

    (5/n)

    ... astronomer and #Nobel Prize laureate said in a long 2025 #ORF interview:

    "...the way things are currently progressing, humanity will not even make it to #Mars [let alone to an extrasolar planet, as #Longtermists crave.]

    Like me, he's completely opposed to a "Planet B" approach, meaning, if we wreck Earth 🌍, we can just settle some other planet.
    This will not happen, with almost 100% certainty not...

  51. @guardian

    #HPsCommentary
    #WarInGaza #Palestine #Religion
    #Israel #GeoPol

    (5/n)

    ... astronomer and #Nobel Prize laureate said in a long 2025 #ORF interview:

    "...the way things are currently progressing, humanity will not even make it to #Mars [let alone to an extrasolar planet, as #Longtermists crave.]

    Like me, he's completely opposed to a "Planet B" approach, meaning, if we wreck Earth 🌍, we can just settle some other planet.
    This will not happen, with almost 100% certainty not...