#bayes — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #bayes, aggregated by home.social.
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Hehehehe, we got another reviewer confused by our use of a 89% credible interval.
Cue the beauty of prime numbers! And it is my co-author's birth year, I am so happy that I can put this in the answer 😅! -
Hehehehe, we got another reviewer confused by our use of a 89% credible interval.
Cue the beauty of prime numbers! And it is my co-author's birth year, I am so happy that I can put this in the answer 😅! -
Hehehehe, we got another reviewer confused by our use of a 89% credible interval.
Cue the beauty of prime numbers! And it is my co-author's birth year, I am so happy that I can put this in the answer 😅! -
Hehehehe, we got another reviewer confused by our use of a 89% credible interval.
Cue the beauty of prime numbers! And it is my co-author's birth year, I am so happy that I can put this in the answer 😅! -
Hehehehe, we got another reviewer confused by our use of a 89% credible interval.
Cue the beauty of prime numbers! And it is my co-author's birth year, I am so happy that I can put this in the answer 😅! -
Monument du #cinéma #français, la #comédienne #NathalieBaye est morte
#RIP Nathalie #Bayes
Nous nous souviendrons de toi, de ta gentillesse, et de ton humanismehttps://www.france24.com/fr/france/20260418-actrice-nathalie-baye-est-morte-cannes-laura-smet-cinema
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Monument du #cinéma #français, la #comédienne #NathalieBaye est morte
#RIP Nathalie #Bayes
Nous nous souviendrons de toi, de ta gentillesse, et de ton humanismehttps://www.france24.com/fr/france/20260418-actrice-nathalie-baye-est-morte-cannes-laura-smet-cinema
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Monument du #cinéma #français, la #comédienne #NathalieBaye est morte
#RIP Nathalie #Bayes
Nous nous souviendrons de toi, de ta gentillesse, et de ton humanismehttps://www.france24.com/fr/france/20260418-actrice-nathalie-baye-est-morte-cannes-laura-smet-cinema
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Monument du #cinéma #français, la #comédienne #NathalieBaye est morte
#RIP Nathalie #Bayes
Nous nous souviendrons de toi, de ta gentillesse, et de ton humanismehttps://www.france24.com/fr/france/20260418-actrice-nathalie-baye-est-morte-cannes-laura-smet-cinema
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Monument du #cinéma #français, la #comédienne #NathalieBaye est morte
#RIP Nathalie #Bayes
Nous nous souviendrons de toi, de ta gentillesse, et de ton humanismehttps://www.france24.com/fr/france/20260418-actrice-nathalie-baye-est-morte-cannes-laura-smet-cinema
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Monument du #cinéma #français, la #comédienne #NathalieBaye est morte #RIP Nathalie #Bayes Nous nous souviendrons de toi, de ta gentillesse, et de ton humanisme www.france24.com/fr/france/20...
Monument du cinéma français, l... -
Monument du #cinéma #français, la #comédienne #NathalieBaye est morte #RIP Nathalie #Bayes Nous nous souviendrons de toi, de ta gentillesse, et de ton humanisme www.france24.com/fr/france/20...
Monument du cinéma français, l... -
Returning to Bayesian computation now after some time away, I was delighted to see active work on JAGS 5.0!
https://sourceforge.net/projects/mcmc-jags/
#Bayes #JAGS -
Returning to Bayesian computation now after some time away, I was delighted to see active work on JAGS 5.0!
https://sourceforge.net/projects/mcmc-jags/
#Bayes #JAGS -
Returning to Bayesian computation now after some time away, I was delighted to see active work on JAGS 5.0!
https://sourceforge.net/projects/mcmc-jags/
#Bayes #JAGS -
Returning to Bayesian computation now after some time away, I was delighted to see active work on JAGS 5.0!
https://sourceforge.net/projects/mcmc-jags/
#Bayes #JAGS -
🤔 Ah, yet another "innovative" tool promising to fix your #non-deterministic #bugs by throwing #Bayes at #Git like it's some kind of magic wand. 🔮 Because clearly, what we all need in our #debugging toolbox is more statistical hand-waving and fewer #practical #solutions. 😂
https://github.com/hauntsaninja/git_bayesect #innovative #tools #HackerNews #ngated -
🤔 Ah, yet another "innovative" tool promising to fix your #non-deterministic #bugs by throwing #Bayes at #Git like it's some kind of magic wand. 🔮 Because clearly, what we all need in our #debugging toolbox is more statistical hand-waving and fewer #practical #solutions. 😂
https://github.com/hauntsaninja/git_bayesect #innovative #tools #HackerNews #ngated -
🤔 Ah, yet another "innovative" tool promising to fix your #non-deterministic #bugs by throwing #Bayes at #Git like it's some kind of magic wand. 🔮 Because clearly, what we all need in our #debugging toolbox is more statistical hand-waving and fewer #practical #solutions. 😂
https://github.com/hauntsaninja/git_bayesect #innovative #tools #HackerNews #ngated -
🤔 Ah, yet another "innovative" tool promising to fix your #non-deterministic #bugs by throwing #Bayes at #Git like it's some kind of magic wand. 🔮 Because clearly, what we all need in our #debugging toolbox is more statistical hand-waving and fewer #practical #solutions. 😂
https://github.com/hauntsaninja/git_bayesect #innovative #tools #HackerNews #ngated -
🤔 Ah, yet another "innovative" tool promising to fix your #non-deterministic #bugs by throwing #Bayes at #Git like it's some kind of magic wand. 🔮 Because clearly, what we all need in our #debugging toolbox is more statistical hand-waving and fewer #practical #solutions. 😂
https://github.com/hauntsaninja/git_bayesect #innovative #tools #HackerNews #ngated -
You're probably familiar with git bisect, which lets you find a commit that introduces a change in behavior via binary search (`git bisect`). But what if the change in behavior is non-deterministic?
`git bayesect` is a generalization of git bisect that uses Bayesian inference to solve this problem. If your code has started gaslighting you, give it a try!
https://hauntsaninja.github.io/git_bayesect.html #git #bayes
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You're probably familiar with git bisect, which lets you find a commit that introduces a change in behavior via binary search (`git bisect`). But what if the change in behavior is non-deterministic?
`git bayesect` is a generalization of git bisect that uses Bayesian inference to solve this problem. If your code has started gaslighting you, give it a try!
https://hauntsaninja.github.io/git_bayesect.html #git #bayes
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You're probably familiar with git bisect, which lets you find a commit that introduces a change in behavior via binary search (`git bisect`). But what if the change in behavior is non-deterministic?
`git bayesect` is a generalization of git bisect that uses Bayesian inference to solve this problem. If your code has started gaslighting you, give it a try!
https://hauntsaninja.github.io/git_bayesect.html #git #bayes
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You're probably familiar with git bisect, which lets you find a commit that introduces a change in behavior via binary search (`git bisect`). But what if the change in behavior is non-deterministic?
`git bayesect` is a generalization of git bisect that uses Bayesian inference to solve this problem. If your code has started gaslighting you, give it a try!
https://hauntsaninja.github.io/git_bayesect.html #git #bayes
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You're probably familiar with git bisect, which lets you find a commit that introduces a change in behavior via binary search (`git bisect`). But what if the change in behavior is non-deterministic?
`git bayesect` is a generalization of git bisect that uses Bayesian inference to solve this problem. If your code has started gaslighting you, give it a try!
https://hauntsaninja.github.io/git_bayesect.html #git #bayes
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🖤💙 Oh, how nice! The International Labour Organization provided the recording of my yesterday's seminar on my new forecasting system for labour market outcomes and my R package bpvars I developed for them! It's all very good 🤍
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🖤💙 Oh, how nice! The International Labour Organization provided the recording of my yesterday's seminar on my new forecasting system for labour market outcomes and my R package bpvars I developed for them! It's all very good 🤍
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🖤💙 Oh, how nice! The International Labour Organization provided the recording of my yesterday's seminar on my new forecasting system for labour market outcomes and my R package bpvars I developed for them! It's all very good 🤍
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🖤💙 Oh, how nice! The International Labour Organization provided the recording of my yesterday's seminar on my new forecasting system for labour market outcomes and my R package bpvars I developed for them! It's all very good 🤍
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My friend Jay Wren recommended a book yesterday at lunch:
"Thinking, Fast and Slow"
by Daniel Kahnemanhttps://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman
A recommendation from Jay is an insta-buy. I got it as an audio-book (because of my commute).
It is not **at all** what I was expecting! I guess I thought maybe I was expecting something like a "self-help" book or the like. No. This is **not** a book aimed at a broad audience. This is a book aimed at people who understand (at least a bit about) probability and bias and category theory and ... What I'm saying is: it's not fluff. It's genuine knowledge aimed square at me. Jay's recommendation was on the money.
I wouldn't hand this to my MIL (it's past her at this point). I wouldn't hand it to my wife (she's certainly smart enough, but I don't think it falls in her circle of interest). I absolutely **would** recommend it to **you**, or to anyone in my circle of friends.
Go have some fun!
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My friend Jay Wren recommended a book yesterday at lunch:
"Thinking, Fast and Slow"
by Daniel Kahnemanhttps://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman
A recommendation from Jay is an insta-buy. I got it as an audio-book (because of my commute).
It is not **at all** what I was expecting! I guess I thought maybe I was expecting something like a "self-help" book or the like. No. This is **not** a book aimed at a broad audience. This is a book aimed at people who understand (at least a bit about) probability and bias and category theory and ... What I'm saying is: it's not fluff. It's genuine knowledge aimed square at me. Jay's recommendation was on the money.
I wouldn't hand this to my MIL (it's past her at this point). I wouldn't hand it to my wife (she's certainly smart enough, but I don't think it falls in her circle of interest). I absolutely **would** recommend it to **you**, or to anyone in my circle of friends.
Go have some fun!
-
My friend Jay Wren recommended a book yesterday at lunch:
"Thinking, Fast and Slow"
by Daniel Kahnemanhttps://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman
A recommendation from Jay is an insta-buy. I got it as an audio-book (because of my commute).
It is not **at all** what I was expecting! I guess I thought maybe I was expecting something like a "self-help" book or the like. No. This is **not** a book aimed at a broad audience. This is a book aimed at people who understand (at least a bit about) probability and bias and category theory and ... What I'm saying is: it's not fluff. It's genuine knowledge aimed square at me. Jay's recommendation was on the money.
I wouldn't hand this to my MIL (it's past her at this point). I wouldn't hand it to my wife (she's certainly smart enough, but I don't think it falls in her circle of interest). I absolutely **would** recommend it to **you**, or to anyone in my circle of friends.
Go have some fun!
-
My friend Jay Wren recommended a book yesterday at lunch:
"Thinking, Fast and Slow"
by Daniel Kahnemanhttps://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman
A recommendation from Jay is an insta-buy. I got it as an audio-book (because of my commute).
It is not **at all** what I was expecting! I guess I thought maybe I was expecting something like a "self-help" book or the like. No. This is **not** a book aimed at a broad audience. This is a book aimed at people who understand (at least a bit about) probability and bias and category theory and ... What I'm saying is: it's not fluff. It's genuine knowledge aimed square at me. Jay's recommendation was on the money.
I wouldn't hand this to my MIL (it's past her at this point). I wouldn't hand it to my wife (she's certainly smart enough, but I don't think it falls in her circle of interest). I absolutely **would** recommend it to **you**, or to anyone in my circle of friends.
Go have some fun!
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UPDATE: THIS DID NOT CONSISTENTLY WORK--some model objects still corrupted.
Went through some agony learning saveRDS() does not preserve all parts of a cmdstan_model object. The model information is corrupted upon re-importing it with readRDS(). I have to use the qs_save() from the qs2 📦 for a save that preserves the model info. #rstats #bayes #mcmc
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UPDATE: THIS DID NOT CONSISTENTLY WORK--some model objects still corrupted.
Went through some agony learning saveRDS() does not preserve all parts of a cmdstan_model object. The model information is corrupted upon re-importing it with readRDS(). I have to use the qs_save() from the qs2 📦 for a save that preserves the model info. #rstats #bayes #mcmc
-
UPDATE: THIS DID NOT CONSISTENTLY WORK--some model objects still corrupted.
Went through some agony learning saveRDS() does not preserve all parts of a cmdstan_model object. The model information is corrupted upon re-importing it with readRDS(). I have to use the qs_save() from the qs2 📦 for a save that preserves the model info. #rstats #bayes #mcmc
-
UPDATE: THIS DID NOT CONSISTENTLY WORK--some model objects still corrupted.
Went through some agony learning saveRDS() does not preserve all parts of a cmdstan_model object. The model information is corrupted upon re-importing it with readRDS(). I have to use the qs_save() from the qs2 📦 for a save that preserves the model info. #rstats #bayes #mcmc
-
UPDATE: THIS DID NOT CONSISTENTLY WORK--some model objects still corrupted.
Went through some agony learning saveRDS() does not preserve all parts of a cmdstan_model object. The model information is corrupted upon re-importing it with readRDS(). I have to use the qs_save() from the qs2 📦 for a save that preserves the model info. #rstats #bayes #mcmc
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BREAKING: Henceforth, I shall be using a new technique, “division”, to determine how much an item costs per count or unit weight.
This advance is a radical and exciting departure from the current method, counting on my fingers and toes.
🤦🏼 🤦🏼 🤦🏼
These f-ing morons.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DTdoFw7kciA/?igsh=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ==
(For those unfamiliar, #Bayes was an 18th c. British #mathematician who developed an equation that has been used for centuries to calculate the probability of an event given what we already know. For example: if you get a medical test with 80% accuracy, and it returns positive, what is the chance you actually have the tested condition? Not 80%, as you may assume. The answer depends on the likelihood of developing that condition in the first place, and then applying the likelihood that the test is correct. Bayes’ theorem is pervasive in #medicine and many other disciplines, and not recently discovered by nut job RFK Jr. and his empty-headed lackeys.)
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BREAKING: Henceforth, I shall be using a new technique, “division”, to determine how much an item costs per count or unit weight.
This advance is a radical and exciting departure from the current method, counting on my fingers and toes.
🤦🏼 🤦🏼 🤦🏼
These f-ing morons.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DTdoFw7kciA/?igsh=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ==
(For those unfamiliar, #Bayes was an 18th c. British #mathematician who developed an equation that has been used for centuries to calculate the probability of an event given what we already know. For example: if you get a medical test with 80% accuracy, and it returns positive, what is the chance you actually have the tested condition? Not 80%, as you may assume. The answer depends on the likelihood of developing that condition in the first place, and then applying the likelihood that the test is correct. Bayes’ theorem is pervasive in #medicine and many other disciplines, and not recently discovered by nut job RFK Jr. and his empty-headed lackeys.)
-
BREAKING: Henceforth, I shall be using a new technique, “division”, to determine how much an item costs per count or unit weight.
This advance is a radical and exciting departure from the current method, counting on my fingers and toes.
🤦🏼 🤦🏼 🤦🏼
These f-ing morons.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DTdoFw7kciA/?igsh=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ==
(For those unfamiliar, #Bayes was an 18th c. British #mathematician who developed an equation that has been used for centuries to calculate the probability of an event given what we already know. For example: if you get a medical test with 80% accuracy, and it returns positive, what is the chance you actually have the tested condition? Not 80%, as you may assume. The answer depends on the likelihood of developing that condition in the first place, and then applying the likelihood that the test is correct. Bayes’ theorem is pervasive in #medicine and many other disciplines, and not recently discovered by nut job RFK Jr. and his empty-headed lackeys.)
-
BREAKING: Henceforth, I shall be using a new technique, “division”, to determine how much an item costs per count or unit weight.
This advance is a radical and exciting departure from the current method, counting on my fingers and toes.
🤦🏼 🤦🏼 🤦🏼
These f-ing morons.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DTdoFw7kciA/?igsh=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ==
(For those unfamiliar, #Bayes was an 18th c. British #mathematician who developed an equation that has been used for centuries to calculate the probability of an event given what we already know. For example: if you get a medical test with 80% accuracy, and it returns positive, what is the chance you actually have the tested condition? Not 80%, as you may assume. The answer depends on the likelihood of developing that condition in the first place, and then applying the likelihood that the test is correct. Bayes’ theorem is pervasive in #medicine and many other disciplines, and not recently discovered by nut job RFK Jr. and his empty-headed lackeys.)
-
BREAKING: Henceforth, I shall be using a new technique, “division”, to determine how much an item costs per count or unit weight.
This advance is a radical and exciting departure from the current method, counting on my fingers and toes.
🤦🏼 🤦🏼 🤦🏼
These f-ing morons.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DTdoFw7kciA/?igsh=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ==
(For those unfamiliar, #Bayes was an 18th c. British #mathematician who developed an equation that has been used for centuries to calculate the probability of an event given what we already know. For example: if you get a medical test with 80% accuracy, and it returns positive, what is the chance you actually have the tested condition? Not 80%, as you may assume. The answer depends on the likelihood of developing that condition in the first place, and then applying the likelihood that the test is correct. Bayes’ theorem is pervasive in #medicine and many other disciplines, and not recently discovered by nut job RFK Jr. and his empty-headed lackeys.)