#laplace โ Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #laplace, aggregated by home.social.
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๐๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ-๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐๐ถ๐ท๐ป๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ ๐๐๐บ๐ฏ๐ผ
Jumbo stopt 'op middellange termijn' met het verkopen van La Place-producten in zijn winkels. In Jumbo-winkels zijn nu tientallen producten van La Place te koop, waaronder koffiebonen, slagroom, worstenbroodjes en luxe broodbeleg, zoals pastrami en truffelsalami.
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๐๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ-๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐๐ถ๐ท๐ป๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ ๐๐๐บ๐ฏ๐ผ
Jumbo stopt 'op middellange termijn' met het verkopen van La Place-producten in zijn winkels. In Jumbo-winkels zijn nu tientallen producten van La Place te koop, waaronder koffiebonen, slagroom, worstenbroodjes en luxe broodbeleg, zoals pastrami en truffelsalami.
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๐๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ-๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐๐ถ๐ท๐ป๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ ๐๐๐บ๐ฏ๐ผ
Jumbo stopt 'op middellange termijn' met het verkopen van La Place-producten in zijn winkels. In Jumbo-winkels zijn nu tientallen producten van La Place te koop, waaronder koffiebonen, slagroom, worstenbroodjes en luxe broodbeleg, zoals pastrami en truffelsalami.
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๐๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ-๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐๐ถ๐ท๐ป๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ ๐๐๐บ๐ฏ๐ผ
Jumbo stopt 'op middellange termijn' met het verkopen van La Place-producten in zijn winkels. In Jumbo-winkels zijn nu tientallen producten van La Place te koop, waaronder koffiebonen, slagroom, worstenbroodjes en luxe broodbeleg, zoals pastrami en truffelsalami.
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๐๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ-๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐๐ถ๐ท๐ป๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ ๐๐๐บ๐ฏ๐ผ
Jumbo stopt 'op middellange termijn' met het verkopen van La Place-producten in zijn winkels. In Jumbo-winkels zijn nu tientallen producten van La Place te koop, waaronder koffiebonen, slagroom, worstenbroodjes en luxe broodbeleg, zoals pastrami en truffelsalami.
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ยซ Une premiรจre historique ยป : la Vieille Bourse de Lille transformรฉe en dancefloor pour la fรชte de la Musique
La mairie de Lille autorise une soirรฉe musicale inรฉdite dans la Vieille Bourse, avec sรฉcuritรฉ renforcรฉe, afin deโฆ
#Lille #FR #France #Actu #News #Europe #EU #actu #Actualitรฉs #djset #europe #Fรชtedelamusique #FloSax #Hauts-de-France #laplace #LeBibiโs #patrimoinelillois #QLN #Rรฉpubliquefranรงaise #Soirรฉemusicale #VieilleBourse
https://www.europesays.com/fr/1012622/ -
https://www.europesays.com/fr/1012622/ ยซ Une premiรจre historique ยป : la Vieille Bourse de Lille transformรฉe en dancefloor pour la fรชte de la Musique #actu #Actualitรฉs #DjSet #EU #europe #FรชteDeLaMusique #FloSax #FR #France #HautsDeFrance #LaPlace #LeBibiโs #Lille #News #PatrimoineLillois #QLN #RรฉpubliqueFranรงaise #SoirรฉeMusicale #VieilleBourse
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https://www.europesays.com/africa/202891/ Notre semaine culturelle dรฉbute avec ยซโHaรฏti meets Africaโยป ร Paris #AfricanCultureFestival #Afrique #BongeziweMabandla #Concerts #FoireDeParis #FrancisMercier #LaPlace #LumumbaAwards #Paris #SemaineCulturelle #VillageTalentsD'Afrique #Zรฉnith
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https://www.europesays.com/afrique/84397/ Notre semaine culturelle dรฉbute avec ยซโHaรฏti meets Africaโยป ร Paris #AfricanCultureFestival #Afrique #BongeziweMabandla #concerts #FoireDeParis #FrancisMercier #LaPlace #LumumbaAwards #Paris #SemaineCulturelle #VillageTalentsD'Afrique #Zenith
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Happy birthday Pierre-Simon, marquis de Laplace (23 March 1749 โ 5 March 1827), French mathematical physicist (who incidentally, did invaluable work in geophysics). He was pretty hard-headed and probably didnโt really have any imaginary friends, but nonetheless Laplaceโs Demon is my 3rd in the series of Imaginary Friends of Science. ๐งต
โ
https://minouette.etsy.com/listing/74889917#linocut #printmaking #histsci #Laplace #LaplacesDemon #physics #determinism #ImaginaryFriends #Science #mastoArt
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Happy birthday Pierre-Simon, marquis de Laplace (23 March 1749 โ 5 March 1827), French mathematical physicist (who incidentally, did invaluable work in geophysics). He was pretty hard-headed and probably didnโt really have any imaginary friends, but nonetheless Laplaceโs Demon is my 3rd in the series of Imaginary Friends of Science. ๐งต
โ
https://minouette.etsy.com/listing/74889917#linocut #printmaking #histsci #Laplace #LaplacesDemon #physics #determinism #ImaginaryFriends #Science #mastoArt
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Happy birthday Pierre-Simon, marquis de Laplace (23 March 1749 โ 5 March 1827), French mathematical physicist (who incidentally, did invaluable work in geophysics). He was pretty hard-headed and probably didnโt really have any imaginary friends, but nonetheless Laplaceโs Demon is my 3rd in the series of Imaginary Friends of Science. ๐งต
โ
https://minouette.etsy.com/listing/74889917#linocut #printmaking #histsci #Laplace #LaplacesDemon #physics #determinism #ImaginaryFriends #Science #mastoArt
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Happy birthday Pierre-Simon, marquis de Laplace (23 March 1749 โ 5 March 1827), French mathematical physicist (who incidentally, did invaluable work in geophysics). He was pretty hard-headed and probably didnโt really have any imaginary friends, but nonetheless Laplaceโs Demon is my 3rd in the series of Imaginary Friends of Science. ๐งต
โ
https://minouette.etsy.com/listing/74889917#linocut #printmaking #histsci #Laplace #LaplacesDemon #physics #determinism #ImaginaryFriends #Science #mastoArt
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Happy birthday Pierre-Simon, marquis de Laplace (23 March 1749 โ 5 March 1827), French mathematical physicist (who incidentally, did invaluable work in geophysics). He was pretty hard-headed and probably didnโt really have any imaginary friends, but nonetheless Laplaceโs Demon is my 3rd in the series of Imaginary Friends of Science. ๐งต
โ
https://minouette.etsy.com/listing/74889917#linocut #printmaking #histsci #Laplace #LaplacesDemon #physics #determinism #ImaginaryFriends #Science #mastoArt
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Episode 5 of โA Small Taste from My New Bookโ is out!
Explore the beauty of asymptotic analysis, Laplace integrals, and contour integration.
https://cortexdrifter.blogspot.com/2025/12/a-small-taste-from-my-new-book-episode-5.html
If youโre passionate about deep mathematical understanding, check out my books:
๐ The Riemann Hypothesis Revealed
๐ The Essential Transform Toolkit
Both are available on Amazon and written to make advanced concepts accessible and rigorous.
Letโs keep the conversation going, whatโs your favorite contour trick?
#Mathematics #ComplexAnalysis #Laplace #Asymptotics #MathBooks #AcademicMastodon -
Episode 5 of โA Small Taste from My New Bookโ is out!
Explore the beauty of asymptotic analysis, Laplace integrals, and contour integration.
https://cortexdrifter.blogspot.com/2025/12/a-small-taste-from-my-new-book-episode-5.html
If youโre passionate about deep mathematical understanding, check out my books:
๐ The Riemann Hypothesis Revealed
๐ The Essential Transform Toolkit
Both are available on Amazon and written to make advanced concepts accessible and rigorous.
Letโs keep the conversation going, whatโs your favorite contour trick?
#Mathematics #ComplexAnalysis #Laplace #Asymptotics #MathBooks #AcademicMastodon -
Episode 5 of โA Small Taste from My New Bookโ is out!
Explore the beauty of asymptotic analysis, Laplace integrals, and contour integration.
https://cortexdrifter.blogspot.com/2025/12/a-small-taste-from-my-new-book-episode-5.html
If youโre passionate about deep mathematical understanding, check out my books:
๐ The Riemann Hypothesis Revealed
๐ The Essential Transform Toolkit
Both are available on Amazon and written to make advanced concepts accessible and rigorous.
Letโs keep the conversation going, whatโs your favorite contour trick?
#Mathematics #ComplexAnalysis #Laplace #Asymptotics #MathBooks #AcademicMastodon -
Episode 5 of โA Small Taste from My New Bookโ is out!
Explore the beauty of asymptotic analysis, Laplace integrals, and contour integration.
https://cortexdrifter.blogspot.com/2025/12/a-small-taste-from-my-new-book-episode-5.html
If youโre passionate about deep mathematical understanding, check out my books:
๐ The Riemann Hypothesis Revealed
๐ The Essential Transform Toolkit
Both are available on Amazon and written to make advanced concepts accessible and rigorous.
Letโs keep the conversation going, whatโs your favorite contour trick?
#Mathematics #ComplexAnalysis #Laplace #Asymptotics #MathBooks #AcademicMastodon -
Hors Bordeaux tasting notes: Italy and Spain (reds)
As the first wine releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the Italian and Spaniโฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #mediterranean #MediterraneanDiet #MediterraneanFood #MediterraneanWine #SpanishWine #Bordeaux #finewine #HorsBordeaux2025 #italy #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #spain #spanishwine #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2400462/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-italy-and-spain-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux tasting notes: Italy and Spain (reds)
As the first wine releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the Italian and Spaniโฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #mediterranean #MediterraneanDiet #MediterraneanFood #MediterraneanWine #SpanishWine #Bordeaux #finewine #HorsBordeaux2025 #italy #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #spain #spanishwine #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2400462/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-italy-and-spain-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux tasting notes: Italy and Spain (reds)
As the first wine releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the Italian and Spaniโฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #mediterranean #MediterraneanDiet #MediterraneanFood #MediterraneanWine #SpanishWine #Bordeaux #finewine #HorsBordeaux2025 #italy #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #spain #spanishwine #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2400462/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-italy-and-spain-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux tasting notes: Italy and Spain (reds)
As the first wine releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the Italian and Spanish red wines rolling out in the September campaign. โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #MediterraneanWine #SpanishWine #Bordeaux #finewine #HorsBordeaux2025 #italy #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #spain #spanishwine #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2400462/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-italy-and-spain-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux tasting notes: Italy and Spain (reds)
As the first wine releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the Italian and Spanish red wines rolling out in the September campaign. โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #MediterraneanWine #SpanishWine #Bordeaux #finewine #HorsBordeaux2025 #italy #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #spain #spanishwine #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2400462/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-italy-and-spain-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux tasting notes: Italy and Spain (reds)
As the first wine releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the Italian and Spanish red wines rolling out in the September campaign. โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #MediterraneanWine #SpanishWine #Bordeaux #finewine #HorsBordeaux2025 #italy #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #spain #spanishwine #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2400462/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-italy-and-spain-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux tasting notes: Italy and Spain (reds)
As the first wine releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the Italian and Spanish red wines rolling out in the September campaign. โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #MediterraneanWine #SpanishWine #Bordeaux #finewine #HorsBordeaux2025 #italy #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #spain #spanishwine #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2400462/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-italy-and-spain-reds/ -
https://www.europesays.com/fr/521648/ En mรฉmoire du 13-Novembre, les Parisiens invitรฉs ร un ยซ geste ยป place de la Rรฉpublique #actu #ActuParis #Actualitรฉs #ActualitรฉsParis #EU #europe #FR #France #JardinDuSouvenir #LaPlace #LePrรฉsidentDeLaRรฉpublique #News #NewsParis #Paris #ParisNews #PlaceDeLaRรฉpublique #RรฉpubliqueFranรงaise
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Almaviva achieves โnatural balanceโ in challenging 2023 release
Inspired by France but made in Chile, Almaviva unites Old and New Worlds in one label. At a recent London masterclass, โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #FrenchWine #Frenchwine #Almaviva #CabernetSauvignon #Carmenere #Chile #finewine #francais #france #French #frenchwine #LaPlace #Maipo #masterclass #Partnercontent #PuenteAlto #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2360803/almaviva-achieves-natural-balance-in-challenging-2023-release/ -
Almaviva achieves โnatural balanceโ in challenging 2023 release
Inspired by France but made in Chile, Almaviva unites Old and New Worlds in one label. At a recent London masterclass, โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #FrenchWine #Frenchwine #Almaviva #CabernetSauvignon #Carmenere #Chile #finewine #francais #france #French #frenchwine #LaPlace #Maipo #masterclass #Partnercontent #PuenteAlto #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2360803/almaviva-achieves-natural-balance-in-challenging-2023-release/ -
Almaviva achieves โnatural balanceโ in challenging 2023 release
Inspired by France but made in Chile, Almaviva unites Old and New Worlds in one label. At a recent London masterclass, โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #FrenchWine #Frenchwine #Almaviva #CabernetSauvignon #Carmenere #Chile #finewine #francais #france #French #frenchwine #LaPlace #Maipo #masterclass #Partnercontent #PuenteAlto #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2360803/almaviva-achieves-natural-balance-in-challenging-2023-release/ -
Almaviva achieves โnatural balanceโ in challenging 2023 release
Inspired by France but made in Chile, Almaviva unites Old and New Worlds in one label. At a recent London masterclass, โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #FrenchWine #Frenchwine #Almaviva #CabernetSauvignon #Carmenere #Chile #finewine #francais #france #French #frenchwine #LaPlace #Maipo #masterclass #Partnercontent #PuenteAlto #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2360803/almaviva-achieves-natural-balance-in-challenging-2023-release/ -
When I was a child, I thought the world had things that were true and things that were false, i.e., things were "black and white".
Things happened to me, including reading "Gรถdel, Escher, Bach: an Eternal Golden Braid" #Godel #GodelEscherBach, and I realized "Oh! Thereโs a gray area! (and not only that, the very edges of the gray area are fuzzy!"
And then I learned about #Bayes (and #Laplace) and realized: "Oh shit! Itโs **all** gray!"
It feels like you **know** some things to be true because have assigned them such high probabilities. So high, they seem certain. Sorry. Itโs not actually 1. And always remember: probability is what you **know**; reality is outside of that (just like "is your blue the same as my blue?"). Yes! Your model is good enough to navigate the world and make good decisions; but absolutely donโt confuse that with having no room left to learn.
I know I said this in a weird way, but keep growing.
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When I was a child, I thought the world had things that were true and things that were false, i.e., things were "black and white".
Things happened to me, including reading "Gรถdel, Escher, Bach: an Eternal Golden Braid" #Godel #GodelEscherBach, and I realized "Oh! Thereโs a gray area! (and not only that, the very edges of the gray area are fuzzy!"
And then I learned about #Bayes (and #Laplace) and realized: "Oh shit! Itโs **all** gray!"
It feels like you **know** some things to be true because have assigned them such high probabilities. So high, they seem certain. Sorry. Itโs not actually 1. And always remember: probability is what you **know**; reality is outside of that (just like "is your blue the same as my blue?"). Yes! Your model is good enough to navigate the world and make good decisions; but absolutely donโt confuse that with having no room left to learn.
I know I said this in a weird way, but keep growing.
-
When I was a child, I thought the world had things that were true and things that were false, i.e., things were "black and white".
Things happened to me, including reading "Gรถdel, Escher, Bach: an Eternal Golden Braid" #Godel #GodelEscherBach, and I realized "Oh! Thereโs a gray area! (and not only that, the very edges of the gray area are fuzzy!"
And then I learned about #Bayes (and #Laplace) and realized: "Oh shit! Itโs **all** gray!"
It feels like you **know** some things to be true because have assigned them such high probabilities. So high, they seem certain. Sorry. Itโs not actually 1. And always remember: probability is what you **know**; reality is outside of that (just like "is your blue the same as my blue?"). Yes! Your model is good enough to navigate the world and make good decisions; but absolutely donโt confuse that with having no room left to learn.
I know I said this in a weird way, but keep growing.
-
When I was a child, I thought the world had things that were true and things that were false, i.e., things were "black and white".
Things happened to me, including reading "Gรถdel, Escher, Bach: an Eternal Golden Braid" #Godel #GodelEscherBach, and I realized "Oh! Thereโs a gray area! (and not only that, the very edges of the gray area are fuzzy!"
And then I learned about #Bayes (and #Laplace) and realized: "Oh shit! Itโs **all** gray!"
It feels like you **know** some things to be true because have assigned them such high probabilities. So high, they seem certain. Sorry. Itโs not actually 1. And always remember: probability is what you **know**; reality is outside of that (just like "is your blue the same as my blue?"). Yes! Your model is good enough to navigate the world and make good decisions; but absolutely donโt confuse that with having no room left to learn.
I know I said this in a weird way, but keep growing.
-
Thereโs a strong urge to believe what you wish instead of what you can prove. Computer rumors are a great example. Many rumors have no basis other than being a feature someone wants. They call it "wish casting".
We want the world to be black and white. Some given statement is either true or false. But itโs not. Gรถdel #Godel describes at least three states: true, false, and unprovable (e.g., the statement "This statement is false". Canโt be true or false; itโs unprovable. Maybe thereโs a better name.)
But itโs worse than that.
In science, a theory isnโt true โฆ itโs just the best explanation we have so far. The whole endeavor of science is to keep finding better explanations. To make good decisions you donโt need the absolute best explanation, just one good enough to guide you to beneficial choices. (I said "prove" before, but to be more accurate I should be talking not about what you can prove, but about what you canโt disprove.)
#Bayes (really #Laplace) says a given notion isnโt true, itโs actually true-with-some-probability. Each new thing you observe impacts that #Probability. This is the actual math behind the #ScientificMethod. And itโs the truth of the world. Your beliefs must adapt to your observations, constantly, forever.
If you have unshakable faith in some set of "facts", youโre probably doing it wrong. Even when youโre right, you could be righter.
Of course, if you donโt adjust your beliefs with new input, if you donโt test, if you have "facts" instead of "very probable theories". If you believe things because of how strongly the person who convinced you believed instead of what they could actually show you. If you believe simply because thatโs what your parents taught you. Then, well, you **might** be right (even a stopped clock is right twice a day). But at best youโre not going to make good decisions for yourself, and at worst youโre going to try to tell others what to do based on an inaccurate understanding.
Itโs messy; and thatโs just how it is.
-
Thereโs a strong urge to believe what you wish instead of what you can prove. Computer rumors are a great example. Many rumors have no basis other than being a feature someone wants. They call it "wish casting".
We want the world to be black and white. Some given statement is either true or false. But itโs not. Gรถdel #Godel describes at least three states: true, false, and unprovable (e.g., the statement "This statement is false". Canโt be true or false; itโs unprovable. Maybe thereโs a better name.)
But itโs worse than that.
In science, a theory isnโt true โฆ itโs just the best explanation we have so far. The whole endeavor of science is to keep finding better explanations. To make good decisions you donโt need the absolute best explanation, just one good enough to guide you to beneficial choices. (I said "prove" before, but to be more accurate I should be talking not about what you can prove, but about what you canโt disprove.)
#Bayes (really #Laplace) says a given notion isnโt true, itโs actually true-with-some-probability. Each new thing you observe impacts that #Probability. This is the actual math behind the #ScientificMethod. And itโs the truth of the world. Your beliefs must adapt to your observations, constantly, forever.
If you have unshakable faith in some set of "facts", youโre probably doing it wrong. Even when youโre right, you could be righter.
Of course, if you donโt adjust your beliefs with new input, if you donโt test, if you have "facts" instead of "very probable theories". If you believe things because of how strongly the person who convinced you believed instead of what they could actually show you. If you believe simply because thatโs what your parents taught you. Then, well, you **might** be right (even a stopped clock is right twice a day). But at best youโre not going to make good decisions for yourself, and at worst youโre going to try to tell others what to do based on an inaccurate understanding.
Itโs messy; and thatโs just how it is.
-
Thereโs a strong urge to believe what you wish instead of what you can prove. Computer rumors are a great example. Many rumors have no basis other than being a feature someone wants. They call it "wish casting".
We want the world to be black and white. Some given statement is either true or false. But itโs not. Gรถdel #Godel describes at least three states: true, false, and unprovable (e.g., the statement "This statement is false". Canโt be true or false; itโs unprovable. Maybe thereโs a better name.)
But itโs worse than that.
In science, a theory isnโt true โฆ itโs just the best explanation we have so far. The whole endeavor of science is to keep finding better explanations. To make good decisions you donโt need the absolute best explanation, just one good enough to guide you to beneficial choices. (I said "prove" before, but to be more accurate I should be talking not about what you can prove, but about what you canโt disprove.)
#Bayes (really #Laplace) says a given notion isnโt true, itโs actually true-with-some-probability. Each new thing you observe impacts that #Probability. This is the actual math behind the #ScientificMethod. And itโs the truth of the world. Your beliefs must adapt to your observations, constantly, forever.
If you have unshakable faith in some set of "facts", youโre probably doing it wrong. Even when youโre right, you could be righter.
Of course, if you donโt adjust your beliefs with new input, if you donโt test, if you have "facts" instead of "very probable theories". If you believe things because of how strongly the person who convinced you believed instead of what they could actually show you. If you believe simply because thatโs what your parents taught you. Then, well, you **might** be right (even a stopped clock is right twice a day). But at best youโre not going to make good decisions for yourself, and at worst youโre going to try to tell others what to do based on an inaccurate understanding.
Itโs messy; and thatโs just how it is.
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Thereโs a strong urge to believe what you wish instead of what you can prove. Computer rumors are a great example. Many rumors have no basis other than being a feature someone wants. They call it "wish casting".
We want the world to be black and white. Some given statement is either true or false. But itโs not. Gรถdel #Godel describes at least three states: true, false, and unprovable (e.g., the statement "This statement is false". Canโt be true or false; itโs unprovable. Maybe thereโs a better name.)
But itโs worse than that.
In science, a theory isnโt true โฆ itโs just the best explanation we have so far. The whole endeavor of science is to keep finding better explanations. To make good decisions you donโt need the absolute best explanation, just one good enough to guide you to beneficial choices. (I said "prove" before, but to be more accurate I should be talking not about what you can prove, but about what you canโt disprove.)
#Bayes (really #Laplace) says a given notion isnโt true, itโs actually true-with-some-probability. Each new thing you observe impacts that #Probability. This is the actual math behind the #ScientificMethod. And itโs the truth of the world. Your beliefs must adapt to your observations, constantly, forever.
If you have unshakable faith in some set of "facts", youโre probably doing it wrong. Even when youโre right, you could be righter.
Of course, if you donโt adjust your beliefs with new input, if you donโt test, if you have "facts" instead of "very probable theories". If you believe things because of how strongly the person who convinced you believed instead of what they could actually show you. If you believe simply because thatโs what your parents taught you. Then, well, you **might** be right (even a stopped clock is right twice a day). But at best youโre not going to make good decisions for yourself, and at worst youโre going to try to tell others what to do based on an inaccurate understanding.
Itโs messy; and thatโs just how it is.
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Hors Bordeaux Tasting notes: France (reds)
dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the French wines (red) from the Loire, Burgundy, รฎle de France, the Rhรดne and the Occitanie that aโฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #FrenchWine #Frenchwine #Bordeaux #Burgundy #finewine #francais #france #French #frenchwine #HorsBordeaux2025 #รฎle-de-france #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #Loire #Occitanie #theRhรดne #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2295075/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-france-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux Tasting notes: France (reds)
dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the French wines (red) from the Loire, Burgundy, รฎle de France, the Rhรดne and the Occitanie that aโฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #FrenchWine #Frenchwine #Bordeaux #Burgundy #finewine #francais #france #French #frenchwine #HorsBordeaux2025 #รฎle-de-france #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #Loire #Occitanie #theRhรดne #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2295075/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-france-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux Tasting notes: France (reds)
dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the French wines (red) from the Loire, Burgundy, รฎle de France, the Rhรดne and the Occitanie that aโฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #FrenchWine #Frenchwine #Bordeaux #Burgundy #finewine #francais #france #French #frenchwine #HorsBordeaux2025 #รฎle-de-france #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #Loire #Occitanie #theRhรดne #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2295075/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-france-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux Tasting notes: France (reds)
dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the French wines (red) from the Loire, Burgundy, รฎle de France, the Rhรดne and the Occitanie that aโฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #FrenchWine #Frenchwine #Bordeaux #Burgundy #finewine #francais #france #French #frenchwine #HorsBordeaux2025 #รฎle-de-france #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #Loire #Occitanie #theRhรดne #Wine
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2295075/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-france-reds/ -
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https://www.europesays.com/uk/399636/ Hors Bordeaux Tasting notes: France (reds) #Bordeaux #Burgundy #EU #Europe #FineWine #France #รleDeFrance #LaPlace #LaPlaceDeBordeaux #Loire #Occitanie #TheRhรดne #Wine
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Australia and New Zealand (reds) https://www.byteseu.com/1347585/ #Australia #bordeaux #cloudburst #CraggyRange #FineWine #Italy #JimBarryWines #LaPlace #LaPlaceDeBordeaux #NewZealand #Penfolds #UK #wine #Wynns
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Hors Bordeaux Tasting notes: Chile and Argentina (reds)
As the first wines releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the South American wines rolling out in the September โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #Argentinewine #Argentina #ArgentinianWine #Bordeaux #Chile #finewine #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #Wine #WinesfromArgentina #WinesofArgentina
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2265938/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-chile-and-argentina-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux Tasting notes: Chile and Argentina (reds)
As the first wines releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the South American wines rolling out in the September โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #Argentinewine #Argentina #ArgentinianWine #Bordeaux #Chile #finewine #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #Wine #WinesfromArgentina #WinesofArgentina
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2265938/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-chile-and-argentina-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux Tasting notes: Chile and Argentina (reds)
As the first wines releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the South American wines rolling out in the September โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #Argentinewine #Argentina #ArgentinianWine #Bordeaux #Chile #finewine #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #Wine #WinesfromArgentina #WinesofArgentina
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2265938/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-chile-and-argentina-reds/ -
Hors Bordeaux Tasting notes: Chile and Argentina (reds)
As the first wines releases start to hit La Place de Bordeaux, dbโs Bordeaux correspondent Colin Hay gives his verdict on the South American wines rolling out in the September โฆ
#dining #cooking #diet #food #Argentinewine #Argentina #ArgentinianWine #Bordeaux #Chile #finewine #LaPlace #laplacedebordeaux #Wine #WinesfromArgentina #WinesofArgentina
https://www.diningandcooking.com/2265938/hors-bordeaux-tasting-notes-chile-and-argentina-reds/ -
https://www.europesays.com/uk/391645/ Hors Bordeaux tasting notes: Italy and Spain (reds) #Bordeaux #EU #Europe #FineWine #Italy #LaPlace #LaPlaceDeBordeaux #Spain #Wine
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'How good is your Laplace approximation of the Bayesian posterior? Finite-sample computable error bounds for a variety of useful divergences', by Mikoลaj J. Kasprzak, Ryan Giordano, Tamara Broderick.
http://jmlr.org/papers/v26/24-0619.html
#bayesian #posterior #laplace -
'How good is your Laplace approximation of the Bayesian posterior? Finite-sample computable error bounds for a variety of useful divergences', by Mikoลaj J. Kasprzak, Ryan Giordano, Tamara Broderick.
http://jmlr.org/papers/v26/24-0619.html
#bayesian #posterior #laplace -
'How good is your Laplace approximation of the Bayesian posterior? Finite-sample computable error bounds for a variety of useful divergences', by Mikoลaj J. Kasprzak, Ryan Giordano, Tamara Broderick.
http://jmlr.org/papers/v26/24-0619.html
#bayesian #posterior #laplace
