#processtracing — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #processtracing, aggregated by home.social.
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🧠🏔️ I’m sharing presentations from the Society for Judgment and Decision Making conference in #Denver at the URL below:
https://bsky.app/profile/byrdnick.com/post/3m6agtctbhc2b
My poster is about #argumentMapping and #learningScience. You will also find presentations about how to advance #cogSci with #AI tools, do #ProcessTracing in #Qualtrics without #coding, and avoid backfiring in #healthcare #nudges.
Follow to fight FOMO and enjoy #openAccess conferencing.
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🐢 Oh, look! Another #GitHub repository promising to revolutionize the world with "Process Tracing" while actually just tracing lines of code into a maze of #mediocrity. 👨💻✨ Who knew that "writing better code with AI" meant getting lost in a labyrinth of settings and security prompts? 🙄🔍
https://github.com/oils-for-unix/oils/wiki/Process-Tracing-Projects #ProcessTracing #AIcode #TechHumor #HackerNews #ngated -
Do reflection test solutions actually involve reflection?
Our think-aloud studies found they usually do (https://doi.org/10.14264/0f12c1c), but Ryan Jesson found that solution-prompting insight is often unconscious or spontaneous.
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#AI reasoning models may seem to reason reflectively when they say things like, "Let me rethink that".
But do these "reflective" phrases predict better reasoning performance?
Not in #Deepseek R1 Zero: https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2503.20783
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Why can economic #inequality depress the #minimumWage?
An is-ought #fallacy?
From over 135,000 people in #protests, experiments, and #processTracing studies, scientists found that people seemed to infer what people OUGHT to earn from what they DO earn.
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Do people vacillate more before or after they can decide?
In this paper, most vacillations occurred before people could decide about logic or moral problems, except maybe for moral dilemmas.
Check out the #processTracing method: https://doi.org/10.1017/jdm.2024.15
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Want more evidence that mathematical and verbal reflection tests could be measuring somewhat distinct psychological processes?
🤓 Stimulating right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) often impacted performance on the numeric cognitive reflection tests (including a base rate neglect task), but not the verbal cognitive reflection tests (N = 48): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36078
#neuroscience #processTracing #decisionScience #psychology #measurement #assessment
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We didn’t find that thinking aloud disrupted decisions, but will it disrupt athletic performance?
Researchers had 8 trained cyclists and 8 untrained people do a baseline time trial, another time trial, and one more time trial while thinking aloud about exertion and emotion (with a cognitive test before and after each trial).
The abstract suggests no athletic or cognitive differences were detected.
Paywalled article: https://journalofsportbehavior.org/index.php/JSB/article/view/256
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Can we automate transcript analysis (e.g., from think-aloud recordings, online chats, etc.)?
Huang et al. coded transcripts from med. students who made diagnoses while thinking aloud.
Eight machine learning algorithms seemed to predict most of the variance between correct and incorrect diagnoses from linguistic features of the transcripts!
The future of text analysis may be bright!
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12528-024-09404-6
#dataAnalysis #automation #ML #AI #processTracing #Medicine #decisionScience
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Just published:
Why Incorporate the ECHR? The Domestic Incentives of Human Rights Commitment
International Studies Quarterly
https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae039#humanrights #echr #ecthr #sweden #denmark #processtracing #IHRL
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More than 20 years in the making!
In 2002, Kahneman and Frederick informally reported "the bat and ball problem".
In 2023, Meyer and Frederick report 59 studies of the problem in just 9 pages: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2023.105380
5 initial take-aways and 2 things I like about this paper: https://byrdnick.com/archives/25863/the-bat-and-ball-problem-20-years-later
#CognitiveScience #DecisionScience #JDM #DualProcessTheory #psychology #psychometrics #economics #finance #heuristicsAndBiases #processTracing #deepScience #standardization
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How do we know what participants thought when we presented our stimuli?
#ProcessTracing can reveal what people saw (e.g., eye-tracking), consciously thought (e.g., concurrent think-aloud), etc.
Combining those two methods revealed:
(1) thinking aloud didn't impact gaze or word count
(2) retrospective think-aloud left out thoughts that were mentioned concurrently
(3) retrospective think-aloud introduced thoughts unmentioned concurrently -
What else can #psychology's #thinkAloud studies do? Design #AI!
Recording people think out loud inspired distinctions between three different types of questions: surface, testing, and deep.
So they made a series of modules (QASA) corresponding to each type: associative selection, rationale generation, and systematic composition.
The results? QASA "outperform[ed] the state-of-the-art #InstructGPT by a big margin."
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How can we detect the methods people use to make decisions?
Wanying Jia and colleagues tried asking participants: "May I ask what method you took to choose the answer...?"
- Responses revealed 3 methods
- #EEG patterns differed between themAuthors conclude that this "new" method can be used to study "the interaction between the intuition-based 'fast' ...and the analysis-based 'slow' system[s] in ...decision-making"
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Another cool process tracing paper in the same issue as our "Tell Us What You Really Think" shows how
- attention shifts to the crucial task element just before "Aha!" moments of insight
- "explicit hints" move attention to yield insight
- LINEAR statistical models overlook this attention/insight!https://doi.org/10.3390/jintelligence11050086
#DecisionScience #CogSci #ProcessTracing #Insight #Psychology #Statistics #DataScience #DataAnalysis #R #noxp
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Now that we've published "Tell Us What You Really Think", I can share its video presentation (9.5 minutes): https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=2UyY6FC2p4A&feature=youtu.be
If you are looking for video presentations of my other papers, check out the "My Research" playlist on my YouTube Channel or look for the links on my CV on my website.
#CogSci #Psychology #DecisionScience #DualProcessTheory #ReflectiveReasoning #ProcessTracing #xPhi #Philosophy
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In 3 priming experiments about politics, morality, and race, "behavior was most often guided by either deliberate cognition or else …unspecified processes" (rather than "prime-related automatic cognition").
Authors think that #ProcessDissociation is key to revealing this pattern (previews from the #OpenAccess paper in pictures): https://sociologicalscience.com/articles-v10-4-118/
#DualProcessTheory #ProcessTracing #Research #Methods #Sociology
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@dsquintana man - they really should change this ugly cover design #hardcover #rocks #processtracing
