home.social

#julian — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #julian, aggregated by home.social.

  1. #CAwx #ChadCrilley

    From Chad Crilley on FB: (9/23/26) Wednesday FULL forecast - Polo expected to make landfall in Baja California Sur as a hurricane. Major coastal impacts possible in Southern California, including more beach erosion.

    On Tuesday, Hurricane Polo broke records and became one of the strongest storms ever recorded on the planet. With so much energy being used at once, Polo has inevitably weakened some and is now a Cat 4 storm.

    #HurricanePolo is expected to move away from the Mexican coastline over the next few days and move west-northwest before making a sharp turn to the north and then east, with a possible landfall in Baja California Sur as a Cat 2 storm on Monday or Tuesday.

    As this happens, we are watching the upper-air pattern closely. A ridge of high pressure over central Mexico and a trough of low pressure digging into the West look to be the primary steering current for Polo.

    Interestingly, the trough may help pull in moisture to #SoCal, with a chance of rain now in the forecast for Monday.

    No doubt, the biggest local impact will be the increase in surf and possibility for coastal flooding and erosion next week. Some of the erosion could be significant. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Trackingthetropics #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Bralwey #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

    FYI
    @ai6yr @uccawx

  2. #CAwx #ChadCrilley

    From Chad Crilley on FB: (9/23/26) Wednesday FULL forecast - Polo expected to make landfall in Baja California Sur as a hurricane. Major coastal impacts possible in Southern California, including more beach erosion.

    On Tuesday, Hurricane Polo broke records and became one of the strongest storms ever recorded on the planet. With so much energy being used at once, Polo has inevitably weakened some and is now a Cat 4 storm.

    #HurricanePolo is expected to move away from the Mexican coastline over the next few days and move west-northwest before making a sharp turn to the north and then east, with a possible landfall in Baja California Sur as a Cat 2 storm on Monday or Tuesday.

    As this happens, we are watching the upper-air pattern closely. A ridge of high pressure over central Mexico and a trough of low pressure digging into the West look to be the primary steering current for Polo.

    Interestingly, the trough may help pull in moisture to #SoCal, with a chance of rain now in the forecast for Monday.

    No doubt, the biggest local impact will be the increase in surf and possibility for coastal flooding and erosion next week. Some of the erosion could be significant. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Trackingthetropics #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Bralwey #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

    FYI
    @ai6yr @uccawx

  3. #CAwx #ChadCrilley

    From Chad Crilley on FB: (9/23/26) Wednesday FULL forecast - Polo expected to make landfall in Baja California Sur as a hurricane. Major coastal impacts possible in Southern California, including more beach erosion.

    On Tuesday, Hurricane Polo broke records and became one of the strongest storms ever recorded on the planet. With so much energy being used at once, Polo has inevitably weakened some and is now a Cat 4 storm.

    #HurricanePolo is expected to move away from the Mexican coastline over the next few days and move west-northwest before making a sharp turn to the north and then east, with a possible landfall in Baja California Sur as a Cat 2 storm on Monday or Tuesday.

    As this happens, we are watching the upper-air pattern closely. A ridge of high pressure over central Mexico and a trough of low pressure digging into the West look to be the primary steering current for Polo.

    Interestingly, the trough may help pull in moisture to #SoCal, with a chance of rain now in the forecast for Monday.

    No doubt, the biggest local impact will be the increase in surf and possibility for coastal flooding and erosion next week. Some of the erosion could be significant. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Trackingthetropics #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Bralwey #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

    FYI
    @ai6yr @uccawx

  4. #CAwx #ChadCrilley

    From Chad Crilley on FB: (9/23/26) Wednesday FULL forecast - Polo expected to make landfall in Baja California Sur as a hurricane. Major coastal impacts possible in Southern California, including more beach erosion.

    On Tuesday, Hurricane Polo broke records and became one of the strongest storms ever recorded on the planet. With so much energy being used at once, Polo has inevitably weakened some and is now a Cat 4 storm.

    #HurricanePolo is expected to move away from the Mexican coastline over the next few days and move west-northwest before making a sharp turn to the north and then east, with a possible landfall in Baja California Sur as a Cat 2 storm on Monday or Tuesday.

    As this happens, we are watching the upper-air pattern closely. A ridge of high pressure over central Mexico and a trough of low pressure digging into the West look to be the primary steering current for Polo.

    Interestingly, the trough may help pull in moisture to #SoCal, with a chance of rain now in the forecast for Monday.

    No doubt, the biggest local impact will be the increase in surf and possibility for coastal flooding and erosion next week. Some of the erosion could be significant. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Trackingthetropics #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Bralwey #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

    FYI
    @ai6yr @uccawx

  5. #CAwx #ChadCrilley

    From Chad Crilley on FB: (9/23/26) Wednesday FULL forecast - Polo expected to make landfall in Baja California Sur as a hurricane. Major coastal impacts possible in Southern California, including more beach erosion.

    On Tuesday, Hurricane Polo broke records and became one of the strongest storms ever recorded on the planet. With so much energy being used at once, Polo has inevitably weakened some and is now a Cat 4 storm.

    #HurricanePolo is expected to move away from the Mexican coastline over the next few days and move west-northwest before making a sharp turn to the north and then east, with a possible landfall in Baja California Sur as a Cat 2 storm on Monday or Tuesday.

    As this happens, we are watching the upper-air pattern closely. A ridge of high pressure over central Mexico and a trough of low pressure digging into the West look to be the primary steering current for Polo.

    Interestingly, the trough may help pull in moisture to #SoCal, with a chance of rain now in the forecast for Monday.

    No doubt, the biggest local impact will be the increase in surf and possibility for coastal flooding and erosion next week. Some of the erosion could be significant. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Trackingthetropics #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Bralwey #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

    FYI
    @ai6yr @uccawx

  6. #CAwx

    From Chad Crilley: THURSDAY STORMS: While the chances are not off the charts, it looks like we could squeeze out a little rainfall Thursday in the mountains and desert floors.

    As an area of low pressure passes near #SoCal, our flow will turn briefly out of the south, helping to draw in moisture. It's not true monsoon moisture, but the setup is similar.

    Storms look isolated, (20-30%) but any storm that organizes may produce brief heavy rain and gusty winds. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Bralwey #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

  7. #CAwx

    From Chad Crilley: THURSDAY STORMS: While the chances are not off the charts, it looks like we could squeeze out a little rainfall Thursday in the mountains and desert floors.

    As an area of low pressure passes near #SoCal, our flow will turn briefly out of the south, helping to draw in moisture. It's not true monsoon moisture, but the setup is similar.

    Storms look isolated, (20-30%) but any storm that organizes may produce brief heavy rain and gusty winds. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Bralwey #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

  8. #CAwx

    From Chad Crilley: THURSDAY STORMS: While the chances are not off the charts, it looks like we could squeeze out a little rainfall Thursday in the mountains and desert floors.

    As an area of low pressure passes near #SoCal, our flow will turn briefly out of the south, helping to draw in moisture. It's not true monsoon moisture, but the setup is similar.

    Storms look isolated, (20-30%) but any storm that organizes may produce brief heavy rain and gusty winds. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Bralwey #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

  9. #ElNino #ChadCrilley #SoCal

    From Chad Chrilley Weather SoCal on FB: 2026 EL NIÑO NOW THE STRONGEST ON RECORD: Here is some interesting news to pass along to you...this year's El Niño is now the strongest ever recorded in global history.

    Sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are now 3.05 degrees Celsius warmer than normal, which surpasses the previous record by 0.3 degrees Celsius. The previous record was set in 2015, which, if you remember, was somewhat of an unremarkable El Niño year for Southern California.

    I would caution you not to assume anything other than this regarding the news...

    Weird things are going to happen with our weather this winter. It's pretty much a guarantee. We are already beginning to feel the effects of El Niño. What is not a guarantee is the frequency or intensity of storms that pass through our region. With that being said, major coastal erosion is a big concern of mine this winter. And with El Niño present, historically, that also could mean a wetter-than-normal winter.

    Now is a great time to start making preparations for the "just in case." Whether that means cleaning the gutters, changing your tires, having an evacuation plan in case of flooding, or knowing your home's beach erosion risk, now is the time to do it while it is still sunny.

    #Sandiegowx #ElNino #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Brawley #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

  10. #ElNino #ChadCrilley #SoCal

    From Chad Chrilley Weather SoCal on FB: 2026 EL NIÑO NOW THE STRONGEST ON RECORD: Here is some interesting news to pass along to you...this year's El Niño is now the strongest ever recorded in global history.

    Sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are now 3.05 degrees Celsius warmer than normal, which surpasses the previous record by 0.3 degrees Celsius. The previous record was set in 2015, which, if you remember, was somewhat of an unremarkable El Niño year for Southern California.

    I would caution you not to assume anything other than this regarding the news...

    Weird things are going to happen with our weather this winter. It's pretty much a guarantee. We are already beginning to feel the effects of El Niño. What is not a guarantee is the frequency or intensity of storms that pass through our region. With that being said, major coastal erosion is a big concern of mine this winter. And with El Niño present, historically, that also could mean a wetter-than-normal winter.

    Now is a great time to start making preparations for the "just in case." Whether that means cleaning the gutters, changing your tires, having an evacuation plan in case of flooding, or knowing your home's beach erosion risk, now is the time to do it while it is still sunny.

    #Sandiegowx #ElNino #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Brawley #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

  11. #ElNino #ChadCrilley #SoCal

    From Chad Chrilley Weather SoCal on FB: 2026 EL NIÑO NOW THE STRONGEST ON RECORD: Here is some interesting news to pass along to you...this year's El Niño is now the strongest ever recorded in global history.

    Sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are now 3.05 degrees Celsius warmer than normal, which surpasses the previous record by 0.3 degrees Celsius. The previous record was set in 2015, which, if you remember, was somewhat of an unremarkable El Niño year for Southern California.

    I would caution you not to assume anything other than this regarding the news...

    Weird things are going to happen with our weather this winter. It's pretty much a guarantee. We are already beginning to feel the effects of El Niño. What is not a guarantee is the frequency or intensity of storms that pass through our region. With that being said, major coastal erosion is a big concern of mine this winter. And with El Niño present, historically, that also could mean a wetter-than-normal winter.

    Now is a great time to start making preparations for the "just in case." Whether that means cleaning the gutters, changing your tires, having an evacuation plan in case of flooding, or knowing your home's beach erosion risk, now is the time to do it while it is still sunny.

    #Sandiegowx #ElNino #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Brawley #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

  12. #ElNino #ChadCrilley #SoCal

    From Chad Chrilley Weather SoCal on FB: 2026 EL NIÑO NOW THE STRONGEST ON RECORD: Here is some interesting news to pass along to you...this year's El Niño is now the strongest ever recorded in global history.

    Sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are now 3.05 degrees Celsius warmer than normal, which surpasses the previous record by 0.3 degrees Celsius. The previous record was set in 2015, which, if you remember, was somewhat of an unremarkable El Niño year for Southern California.

    I would caution you not to assume anything other than this regarding the news...

    Weird things are going to happen with our weather this winter. It's pretty much a guarantee. We are already beginning to feel the effects of El Niño. What is not a guarantee is the frequency or intensity of storms that pass through our region. With that being said, major coastal erosion is a big concern of mine this winter. And with El Niño present, historically, that also could mean a wetter-than-normal winter.

    Now is a great time to start making preparations for the "just in case." Whether that means cleaning the gutters, changing your tires, having an evacuation plan in case of flooding, or knowing your home's beach erosion risk, now is the time to do it while it is still sunny.

    #Sandiegowx #ElNino #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Brawley #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside

  13. #ElNino #ChadCrilley #SoCal

    From Chad Chrilley Weather SoCal on FB: 2026 EL NIÑO NOW THE STRONGEST ON RECORD: Here is some interesting news to pass along to you...this year's El Niño is now the strongest ever recorded in global history.

    Sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are now 3.05 degrees Celsius warmer than normal, which surpasses the previous record by 0.3 degrees Celsius. The previous record was set in 2015, which, if you remember, was somewhat of an unremarkable El Niño year for Southern California.

    I would caution you not to assume anything other than this regarding the news...

    Weird things are going to happen with our weather this winter. It's pretty much a guarantee. We are already beginning to feel the effects of El Niño. What is not a guarantee is the frequency or intensity of storms that pass through our region. With that being said, major coastal erosion is a big concern of mine this winter. And with El Niño present, historically, that also could mean a wetter-than-normal winter.

    Now is a great time to start making preparations for the "just in case." Whether that means cleaning the gutters, changing your tires, having an evacuation plan in case of flooding, or knowing your home's beach erosion risk, now is the time to do it while it is still sunny.

    #Sandiegowx #ElNino #Imperialcountywx #Julian #Pinevalley #Alpine #Brawley #Elcentro #Encinitas #Oceanside