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#cawx — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #cawx, aggregated by home.social.

  1. #CAwx #MTR #graphicast
    ⚠️Hazardous beach conditions return Friday morning and continue through Monday evening due to an increased risk of sneaker waves and strong rip currents. If going to the beach this weekend, know what to do if stuck in a rip current and remember to never turn your back on the ocean. #CAwx

  2. #CAwx #SGX #graphicast
    Good chances for measurable (>= 0.01") spotty precipitation over the weekend, but uncertainty lingers about how much precipitation can be expected.

  3. NHC now saying Tropical Storm Marie probably heading farther out into the Pacific. #TropicalStormMarie #TropicalWx #Tropics #CAwx

  4. #CAwx #EKA #graphicast
    A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of Del Norte and Humboldt Counties from 5 AM to 8 PM today. Gusty south winds of up to 50 mph are possible along coastal headlands and the in the higher elevations, especially above 1500 ft.

  5. #CAwx
    Alongside slight chances for isolated mountain thunderstorms on Thursday, periods of moderate rainfall will be possible across the higher elevations north of Interstate 80.

  6. #CAwx
    Gusty south to west winds are expected today and Thursday as unsettled weather persists. Breezy onshore winds then continue into the weekend.

  7. #CAwx
    Isolated thunderstorm chances are return to the area on Thursday, with highest thunderstorm potential across the northern Sacramento Valley and surrounding terrain.

  8. #NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for La Paz, AZ; Yuma, AZ; Imperial, CA #CAwx
    The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no
    longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining
    road closures.

  9. #CAwx #LOX #graphicast
    South to southeast swells from tropical system Marie will bring larger surf and strong rip currents to the area, especially for south facing beaches for Labor Day Weekend. Suggested actions: If you plan to visit a beach, go where there are lifeguards on duty. Stay back from the water’s edge, Never turn your back to the ocean, Stay off rocks and jetties, and Always swim near a lifeguard.

  10. #NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for La Paz, AZ; Yuma, AZ; Imperial, CA #CAwx
    FFWPSR

    The National Weather Service in Phoenix has issued a

    * Flash Flood Warning for...
    Western Yuma County in southwestern Arizona...
    Southwestern La Paz County in west central Arizona...
    Southeastern Imperial County in southeastern California...

    * Until 1000 PM MST /1000 PM PDT/.

    * At 707 PM MST /707 PM PDT/, local law enforcement reported
    thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between
    1 and 1.75 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts
    up to 0.5 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is
    ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

    HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
    flash flooding.

    SOURCE...California Highway Patrol reported flooding along I-8 near
    Ogilby Rd.

    IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
    urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

    * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
    Mainly rural areas of Western Yuma, Southwestern La Paz and
    Southeastern Imperial Counties.

    This includes CA Interstate 8 between mile markers 83 and 92.

    This includes the following streams and drainages...
    Marcus Wash, Colorado River, Picacho Wash, Unnamed Wash, Little
    Picacho Wash, Mission Wash, Ferguson Wash, Senator Wash, Carrizo
    Wash and Araz Wash.

  11. NWS Los Angeles:

    "...Needless to say, the weather for the upcoming Labor Day weekend
    may by highly dynamic. A minor change in the track of Marie could
    result in significant changes to the current forecast. So, given
    the uncertainty with this pattern, stay tuned and monitor the
    latest forecasts...."

    forecast.weather.gov/product.p

    #TropicalStormMarie #tropicalwx #tropics #CAwx

  12. Boy, those ensemble members are a little bit of this, a little bit of that (half say west, half say north). The middle is in between, where none of them think the hurricane will go, lol. Wait and see. I guess I can wait a few days to decide on the "put stuff out of the rain" #Marie #TropicalWx #CAwx

  13. Boy, those ensemble members are a little bit of this, a little bit of that (half say west, half say north). The middle is in between, where none of them think the hurricane will go, lol. Wait and see. I guess I can wait a few days to decide on the "put stuff out of the rain" #Marie #TropicalWx #CAwx

  14. Boy, those ensemble members are a little bit of this, a little bit of that (half say west, half say north). The middle is in between, where none of them think the hurricane will go, lol. Wait and see. I guess I can wait a few days to decide on the "put stuff out of the rain" #Marie #TropicalWx #CAwx

  15. Boy, those ensemble members are a little bit of this, a little bit of that (half say west, half say north). The middle is in between, where none of them think the hurricane will go, lol. Wait and see. I guess I can wait a few days to decide on the "put stuff out of the rain" #Marie #TropicalWx #CAwx

  16. Boy, those ensemble members are a little bit of this, a little bit of that (half say west, half say north). The middle is in between, where none of them think the hurricane will go, lol. Wait and see. I guess I can wait a few days to decide on the "put stuff out of the rain" #Marie #TropicalWx #CAwx

  17. #CAwx #LOX #graphicast
    High Chance: Large waves & strong rip currents for holiday beachgoers
    If planning a beach trip, head to one with lifeguards on duty.

    Moderate Chance: Impactful coastal flooding for south facing shores
    Heed any advice from local emergency officials.
    Moderate Chance: Light rain impacting outdoor holiday events
    Start making backup plans for wet events, especially Sunday-Tuesday.

    Low Chance: Moderate to heavy rain wi

  18. #CAwx #EKA #graphicast
    Early season rains can result in very slick roadways. Oil sitting on the roadway, built-up during the drier summer weather, makes the road especially slippery at the onset of rainfall. Take your time - slow down!

  19. ooh, I do believe we had some actual precipitation; the ground is damp. And that sure looks like rainfall (or at last mistfall) across the valley against the slopes of Sonoma Mountain.

    #CAwx #sonomaCounty

  20. NWS Los Angeles:

    Labor Day Weekend Weather Scenario

    High Chance - Large waves & strong rip currents for holiday beachgoers If planning a beach trip, make sure to include one with lifeguards on duty.

    Moderate Chance - Impactful coastal flooding for south facing shores Heed any advice from local emergency officials.

    Low Chance - Gusty offshore winds with wildfire risks & downed trees Continue to monitor the forecast and advice from local officials.

    Low Chance - Widespread moderate to heavy rain with flooding Continue to monitor the forecast and advice from local officials.

    #CAwx #LosAngeles #TSMarie #TropicalWx #Tropics

  21. Tropical Storm Marie formed overnight... looks like the path is now not heading into Los Angeles, but offshore. Still, unusual to have something become a hurricane this close! On eof those GEFS tracks (outlier) goes over my house, lol. #TropicalStormMarie #CAwx #TropicalWx #tropics

  22. Spaghetti plots on the not-yet formed cyclone. It's definitely headed up the coast, but then everything diverges as to which way it turns after a few days... (as expected). #CAwx #hurricane

  23. NWS Phoenix on this whole thing:

    "....LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
    Forecast concern is increasing for the potential of tropical moisture surging northward into the region as early as Thursday night into Friday, but more so for the coming weekend. NHC shows a
    tropical disturbance currently near 10N and 107W with a 90% chance of cyclone formation this week and likely tracking
    northward off the coast of Baja by Friday into the weekend. There is still a lot of uncertainty with this potential tropical system, but model guidance has been coming to a bit better consensus the last several model runs. Roughly 90% of the GEFS and EPS members now show PWATs increasing to 1.8-2.2" over portions of our area by Friday or Saturday. Given this likely increase in moisture, PoPs have gone up starting Friday and continue through
    the weekend. It will likely be at least 2 or 3 more days until we have a good idea on what would likely happen late this week...."

    forecast.weather.gov/product.p

    #CAwx #hurricane #AZwx

  24. NWS San Diego, however, has a very different forecast, saying there's very little chance of a tropical impact in SoCal (interesting to see they are diverging on this, significantly):

    "....the evolution of this large upper trough and embedded shortwaves will play a pivotal role in the steering flow of a potential tropical cyclone. This potential storm is currently only Invest 95E as a cluster of disorganized thunderstorms off the far southern Mexican coast. There remains a significant amount of uncertainty in the expected evolution of this system, especially as a storm has yet to officially develop. The current spread of the grand ensemble favors 2 main clusters, one with a more westward track out to sea, and the other as a more northward track which could bring any remnants towards southern California. Latest ensembles are favoring more of the westward track, with only a ~5% chance of more direct/significant impacts to the region. Despite this uncertainty and the potential track of this storm, chances of precipitation increase as early as
    Saturday evening with the potential for an influx of tropical moisture aloft. ..."

    forecast.weather.gov/product.p

    #CAwx #hurricane #tropicalwx

  25. NWS Los Angeles: " The wind story is similar, with a low but non- zero chance of strong east to northeast winds causing fire and downed tree concerns. With all that said, this is definitely a period to
    monitor with a range of outcomes on the table. Due to the rarity of this storm, expecting there to be a lot of uncertainty even as we get to the weekend, but hopefully some details will come more into focus by mid-week once the storm actually form."

    #CAwx #Hurricane

  26. From NWS Los Angeles about possible hurricane impacts here:

    ".LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...31/606 PM.

    Little change expected on Friday compared to the first half of the
    week.

    All eyes remain focused on the Labor Day holiday weekend period. A
    Hurricane is likely to develop by Wednesday or Thursday from the clump of clouds currently just off the Baja coast. Once it forms, it will likely move to the northwest through Saturday and towards southern California. The big question is where will it head after Saturday. Some deterministic models, like the current GFS, keeps the storm moving northward and right through southern California by Monday or Tuesday. Others, like the deterministic ECMWF, show the storm turning to the west and never even sniffing California.
    These are just two of many projections, but they do represent the two extreme scenarios between a major rain and wind event and little to nothing. Peering into the ensemble solutions, they suggest that the heavy rain scenario is the least likely outcome (5-10% of the 100 projections have 2+ inches of rain), but there are a fair number of solutions showing light to moderate rain (mostly under 1 inch) which would likely have minimal impacts. The completely dry scenario comprises 20-30% of the solutions. Which means in terms of rain, the most likely outcome is for some light to moderate rain impacting the holiday weekend. As far as timing is concerned, there is a small chance of showers starting as early as Saturday, with also a small potential for monsoonal thunderstorms over the mountains and deserts. From Sunday into Monday night, rain chances are somewhat higher."

    #CAwx #Hurricane

  27. Brr. Feels like summer's over, here in NorCal.

    (spoiler alert: it's not, we'll get some more hot days eventually. But this week is going to be pretty cool)

    #norCal #wx #CA #CAwx #sonomaCounty