#imperialcountywx — Public Fediverse posts

#CAwx #ChadCrilley @ai6yr @cookiesinheaven @uccawx

From Meteorologist Chad Crilley on FB: (11/12/26) Thursday FULL Forecast - Rain, Wind, and High Surf Return as Winter-Like Pattern Arrives

A pattern chance has started across So Cal as clouds return this afternoon and temperatures begin to fall. Several Pacific storm systems are lined up over the next week, bringing multiple rounds of rain, gusty winds, elevated surf, and eventually some mountain snow.

Our first system arrives late tonight into Friday morning, bringing scattered showers and the potential for a few thunderstorms along the coast. One thing I'm watching closely is the difference between our relatively warm ocean temperatures and the much cooler air moving overhead. This could help create enough instability for thunderstorms to develop, particularly over the coastal waters and nearby coastal communities. Any stronger cells could produce brief heavy downpours, lightning, gusty winds, and possibly small hail.

A second system quickly follows Friday evening into Saturday morning. This one looks to bring more widespread light to moderate rainfall across the coast, valleys, and mountains. Gusty westerly winds will also develop, particularly across the mountains and deserts.

A High Surf Advisory goes into effect Friday afternoon and continues through Sunday morning. West-northwest swells will build through Saturday, producing surf potentially reaching 7-9 feet. Dangerous rip currents and hazardous swimming conditions are expected, especially along west-facing beaches.

Sunday should provide a temporary break before another Pacific storm arrives Monday into Tuesday. This system could bring another round of widespread beneficial rainfall, gusty winds, and noticeably cooler temperatures. Snow levels will also begin dropping as colder air moves into the region, bringing the possibility of snow over our highest mountain elevations.

Yet another Pacific trough could impact Southern California around next Thursday or Friday. Confidence in the exact timing and strength remains lower this far out, but the overall pattern continues to favor unsettled conditions.

Temperatures will also take a noticeable tumble as we head into next week, with highs potentially running 5-10 degrees below average. #Socalwx #Sandeigowx #Imperialcountywx #Brawley #Elcentro #Julian #Pinevalley #Oceanside

#CAwx #ChadCrilley @ai6yr @cookiesinheaven @uccawx

From Meteorologist Chad Crilley on FB: (11/10/26) Tuesday FULL Forecast - Active Storm Track Targets So Cal, Season Changing Pattern Change

BIG changes are coming to Southern California's weather pattern. After a week of unusually warm temperatures, offshore winds, and relatively quiet weather, we are finally seeing signs of a much more active Pacific storm track developing with a wet weekend ahead.

Another warm to hot day is expected across San Diego and Imperial Counties Wednesday, with temperatures remaining well above average. Some coastal communities will continue running 10–15 degrees warmer than normal before a significant cooldown begins Thursday.

FRIDAY & SATURDAY | FIRST STORM ARRIVES

Our first Pacific storm system is expected to arrive Friday into Saturday, bringing increasing clouds, cooler temperatures, and periods of rainfall across San Diego County.

Rainfall totals remain uncertain, but measurable precipitation is becoming increasingly likely. The exact track of the low-pressure system will determine how much rain we receive, with some locations potentially seeing more than others.

Gusty winds will also develop across the mountains and deserts, with gusts of 35–45 mph possible and locally stronger winds through our mountain passes.

NEXT WEEK | MORE STORMS POSSIBLE

What has my attention even more is the pattern developing BEHIND couple of systems.

Long-range guidance continues to suggest a broader trough settling over the western United States, opening the door for additional Pacific storms to move into California.

After a possible break Sunday, another round of rainfall could arrive Monday into Tuesday. There is still uncertainty regarding the strength and timing of these systems, but confidence is growing in a much more unsettled pattern.

🍂 A SEASON-CHANGING PATTERN SHIFT

This is a pretty significant departure from the weather we've experienced recently. The persistent ridge responsible for our warmth and offshore winds is breaking down, allowing cooler Pacific air and a more active storm track to take over.

For Imperial County, rainfall chances will depend heavily on the tracks of these systems, although cooler temperatures and gusty winds are also expected. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Imperialcountywx #Oceanside #Encinitas #Bralwey #Elcentro