#CAwx #ChadCrilley @ai6yr @cookiesinheaven @uccawx
From Meteorologist Chad Crilley on FB: (11/10/26) Tuesday FULL Forecast - Active Storm Track Targets So Cal, Season Changing Pattern Change
BIG changes are coming to Southern California's weather pattern. After a week of unusually warm temperatures, offshore winds, and relatively quiet weather, we are finally seeing signs of a much more active Pacific storm track developing with a wet weekend ahead.
Another warm to hot day is expected across San Diego and Imperial Counties Wednesday, with temperatures remaining well above average. Some coastal communities will continue running 10–15 degrees warmer than normal before a significant cooldown begins Thursday.
FRIDAY & SATURDAY | FIRST STORM ARRIVES
Our first Pacific storm system is expected to arrive Friday into Saturday, bringing increasing clouds, cooler temperatures, and periods of rainfall across San Diego County.
Rainfall totals remain uncertain, but measurable precipitation is becoming increasingly likely. The exact track of the low-pressure system will determine how much rain we receive, with some locations potentially seeing more than others.
Gusty winds will also develop across the mountains and deserts, with gusts of 35–45 mph possible and locally stronger winds through our mountain passes.
NEXT WEEK | MORE STORMS POSSIBLE
What has my attention even more is the pattern developing BEHIND couple of systems.
Long-range guidance continues to suggest a broader trough settling over the western United States, opening the door for additional Pacific storms to move into California.
After a possible break Sunday, another round of rainfall could arrive Monday into Tuesday. There is still uncertainty regarding the strength and timing of these systems, but confidence is growing in a much more unsettled pattern.
🍂 A SEASON-CHANGING PATTERN SHIFT
This is a pretty significant departure from the weather we've experienced recently. The persistent ridge responsible for our warmth and offshore winds is breaking down, allowing cooler Pacific air and a more active storm track to take over.
For Imperial County, rainfall chances will depend heavily on the tracks of these systems, although cooler temperatures and gusty winds are also expected. #Socalwx #Sandiegowx #Imperialcountywx #Oceanside #Encinitas #Bralwey #Elcentro