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#enso — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #enso, aggregated by home.social.

  1. sailing-dulce.nl/home/article- #enso #JamesHansen #IPCC #worstcasescenario #bureaubuitenland #dodenherdenking Maandag 04-05-2026 Alle modellen voor de prognose van de ontwikkeling van de ENSO in de Stille Oceaan voorspellen nog steeds een sterke El Niño in de tweede helft van het jaar. Plus 2,5 graden van het oceaanwater in de RONI-index (Relative Oceanic Nino Index). Nog hogere anomalieën worden af en toe genoemd. Of het een sterke El Niño gaat worden of zelfs een Super-El-Niño van +3,5 - 4 graden..

  2. Latest forecast data reveals a faster transition to a Super El Niño in 2026, bringing a high-impact summer season with significant changes to the global jet stream and regional temperature forecasts over North America and Europe#elnino #ENSO #europe #forecast #summer #unitedstates
    Summer 2026 Forecast Shift: New Data Shows a Stronger El Niño Impact Than Previously Expected
  3. RE: mamot.fr/@bonpoteofficiel/1164

    J'ai vu passer hier une publication disant que l'enfer El Niño de 2026 commencera au mois de mai ('sais pu si j'ai partagé) et le mois de mai c'est dans 4 jours => en #Inde c'est aujourd'hui.

    #ENSO #canicules #rechauffement #DystrophisationMondiale #Climat

  4. ENSO-neutral conditions are present and are favored through April-June 2026 (80% chance). In May-July 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (61% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

    #ENSO #ElNino

    cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana

  5. A potentially record-breaking Super El Niño is developing for 2026, triggering a weather shift that will redefine global patterns, hurricane tracks, and the upcoming winter season across the United States and Canada#elnino #ENSO #europe #forecast #summer #unitedstates #weather #winter
    Latest Forecasts Show a Super El Niño Event Developing, Bringing a Global Weather Disruption in 2026/2027
  6. An acceleration in human-caused global warming could see the Paris Agreement’s 1.5C limit breached before 2030

    Record-high temperatures in recent years have led scientists to ask whether #GlobalWarming is accelerating.
    The authors of the new study decided to use two different statistical approaches to test whether they can identify a “statistically significant” acceleration in global warming from the long-term temperature record.
    The “noise” from natural drivers of temperature change, such as #ENSO can make it tricky to spot underlying trends. However, Foster tells Carbon Brief that after removing the influence of natural variability, “acceleration is easy to prove statistically – some might even say it becomes obvious”.
    Both tests find that

    --> warming is accelerating

    with more than 98% confidence for each of the five datasets. When the same tests were run on the unadjusted data, they failed to reach even 95% confidence, showing the importance of removing natural variability from the warming signal, according to the study authors.

    carbonbrief.org/pace-of-global

    #ClimateScience
    #ClimateCrisis

  7. A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with ENSO-neutral favored through May-July 2026 (55% chance). In June-August 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (62% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

    #LaNina #ENSO #ElNino

    cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana

  8. A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with ENSO-neutral favored through May-July 2026 (55% chance). In June-August 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (62% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

    #LaNina #ENSO #ElNino

    cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana

  9. A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with ENSO-neutral favored through May-July 2026 (55% chance). In June-August 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (62% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

    #LaNina #ENSO #ElNino

    cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana

  10. A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with ENSO-neutral favored through May-July 2026 (55% chance). In June-August 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (62% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

    #LaNina #ENSO #ElNino

    cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana

  11. A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with ENSO-neutral favored through May-July 2026 (55% chance). In June-August 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (62% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

    #LaNina #ENSO #ElNino

    cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana

  12. Análisis meteorológico detallado sobre el debilitamiento de La Niña, la transición a condiciones neutrales del ENSO y el aumento de probabilidades de El Niño a finales de 2026.

    #LaNiña #ENSO #ElNiño #Tutiempo

    tutiempo.net/noticias/transici

  13. Häppchen #Klimawissen: Wie beeinflusst der #Klimawandel das Wetterphänomen #ElNiño? 🌍🔥

    Wird es durch die Erwärmung extremer und unberechenbarer? Mehr über die weltweiten Auswirkungen von #ENSO und die möglichen Risiken für unsere Zukunft im Beitrag.

    oekologisch-unterwegs.de/klima

    #Wetter #Extremwetter #LaNiña #Klimaforschung #GlobaleErwärmung #Naturphänomene