#enso — Public Fediverse posts

#FYI #AmericanResiliency #EmilySchoerning #resilience #TimesOfChange #ENSO #SuperElNino

Dr. Emily Schoerning summarizing what we currently know about the developing #ElNino

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuluSRZ-6Bo

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

I'm old enough to recollect "super El Niño" being applied to the 1982-83 El Niño in that time. But in the technical terminology, it was "very strong" rather than "strong", for which there are technical definitions. "super", "mega", etc, are not technically defined in El Niño terminology.

#elNino
#ENSO
#wx

https://www.europesays.com/at/160367/ Wetterphänomen: 2026 steuert auf einen El Niño zu #ElNiño #ENSO #Erde/Umwelt #Erderwärmung #Klima #klimawandel #Nachrichten #News #ozeane #Pazifik #Schlagzeilen #Welt #Wetter #Wetterphänomene #World #WorldNews

Earth’s distance from the Sun found to dramatically alter seasons

A strip of cool water stretches west from South America along the equator, helping set the pace for…
#NewsBeep #News #US #USA #UnitedStates #UnitedStatesOfAmerica #Space #climatemodels #Earth-sundistance #elnino #ENSO #orbitaleccentricity #Pacificcoldtongue #paleoclimate #PlanetaryScience #Research #Science #seasonalcycle #seasons #SpaceNews #tropicalPacific #UCBerkeley
https://www.newsbeep.com/us/512944/

Earth’s distance from the Sun found to dramatically alter seasons

A strip of cool water stretches west from South America along the equator, helping set the pace for…
#NewsBeep #News #US #USA #UnitedStates #UnitedStatesOfAmerica #Space #climatemodels #Earth-sundistance #elnino #ENSO #orbitaleccentricity #Pacificcoldtongue #paleoclimate #PlanetaryScience #Research #Science #seasonalcycle #seasons #SpaceNews #tropicalPacific #UCBerkeley
https://www.newsbeep.com/us/512944/

https://www.europesays.com/uk/814128/ Earth’s distance from the Sun found to dramatically alter seasons #ClimateModels #EarthSunDistance #ElNiño #ENSO #OrbitalEccentricity #PacificColdTongue #paleoclimate #PlanetaryScience #Research #Science #SeasonalCycle #seasons #Space #SpaceNews #TropicalPacific #UCBerkeley #UK #UnitedKingdom

Earth’s distance from the Sun found to dramatically alter seasons

A strip of cool water stretches west from South America along the equator, helping set the pace for…
#NewsBeep #News #Space #AU #Australia #climatemodels #Earth-sundistance #ElNiño #ENSO #orbitaleccentricity #Pacificcoldtongue #paleoclimate #PlanetaryScience #research #Science #seasonalcycle #seasons #SpaceNews #tropicalPacific #UCBerkeley
https://www.newsbeep.com/au/528524/

Earth’s distance from the Sun found to dramatically alter seasons

A strip of cool water stretches west from South America along the equator, helping set the pace for…
#NewsBeep #News #Space #AU #Australia #climatemodels #Earth-sundistance #ElNiño #ENSO #orbitaleccentricity #Pacificcoldtongue #paleoclimate #PlanetaryScience #research #Science #seasonalcycle #seasons #SpaceNews #tropicalPacific #UCBerkeley
https://www.newsbeep.com/au/528524/

Earth’s distance from the Sun found to dramatically alter seasons

A strip of cool water stretches west from South America along the equator, helping set the pace for…
#NewsBeep #News #Space #climatemodels #Earth-sundistance #ElNiño #ENSO #orbitaleccentricity #Pacificcoldtongue #paleoclimate #PlanetaryScience #research #Science #seasonalcycle #seasons #SpaceNews #tropicalPacific #UCBerkeley #UK #UnitedKingdom
https://www.newsbeep.com/uk/465506/

https://www.europesays.com/ie/375324/ Earth’s distance from the Sun found to dramatically alter seasons #ClimateModels #EarthSunDistance #Éire #ElNiño #ENSO #IE #Ireland #OrbitalEccentricity #PacificColdTongue #paleoclimate #PlanetaryScience #Research #Science #SeasonalCycle #Seasons #Space #SpaceNews #TropicalPacific #UCBerkeley

RE: https://mamot.fr/@bonpoteofficiel/116471957314380093

J'ai vu passer hier une publication disant que l'enfer El Niño de 2026 commencera au mois de mai ('sais pu si j'ai partagé) et le mois de mai c'est dans 4 jours => en #Inde c'est aujourd'hui.

#ENSO #canicules #rechauffement #DystrophisationMondiale #Climat

RE: https://mastodon.social/@weatherwest/116564630132541872

#DanielSwain #WeatherWest #OfficeHours #ElNino #ENSO

Was waiting for this! Deep dive by Dr. Daniel Swain on the expected #SuperElNino

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://mastodon.social/@weatherwest/116564630132541872

#DanielSwain #WeatherWest #OfficeHours #ElNino #ENSO

Was waiting for this! Deep dive by Dr. Daniel Swain on the expected #SuperElNino

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://mastodon.social/@weatherwest/116564630132541872

#DanielSwain #WeatherWest #OfficeHours #ElNino #ENSO

Was waiting for this! Deep dive by Dr. Daniel Swain on the expected #SuperElNino

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://mastodon.social/@weatherwest/116564630132541872

#DanielSwain #WeatherWest #OfficeHours #ElNino #ENSO

Was waiting for this! Deep dive by Dr. Daniel Swain on the expected #SuperElNino

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://mastodon.social/@weatherwest/116564630132541872

#DanielSwain #WeatherWest #OfficeHours #ElNino #ENSO

Was waiting for this! Deep dive by Dr. Daniel Swain on the expected #SuperElNino

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

O.O "+3°C or higher (+5.4F) anomalies" #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #ElNino #SuperElNino #climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:iczg6a2i3etk5bscga6uv6od/post/3mle3rqoamk2f

O.O "+3°C or higher (+5.4F) anomalies" #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #ElNino #SuperElNino #climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:iczg6a2i3etk5bscga6uv6od/post/3mle3rqoamk2f

O.O "+3°C or higher (+5.4F) anomalies" #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #ElNino #SuperElNino #climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:iczg6a2i3etk5bscga6uv6od/post/3mle3rqoamk2f

O.O "+3°C or higher (+5.4F) anomalies" #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #ElNino #SuperElNino #climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:iczg6a2i3etk5bscga6uv6od/post/3mle3rqoamk2f

O.O "+3°C or higher (+5.4F) anomalies" #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #ElNino #SuperElNino #climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:iczg6a2i3etk5bscga6uv6od/post/3mle3rqoamk2f

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/116497046533644769

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ElNino
#SuperElNino #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #EarthEnegyImbalance

Paul on a new physics analysis by #JamesHansen et al., how and why 2026 will be the hottest year (up to now)

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/116497046533644769

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ElNino
#SuperElNino #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #EarthEnegyImbalance

Paul on a new physics analysis by #JamesHansen et al., how and why 2026 will be the hottest year (up to now)

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/116497046533644769

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ElNino
#SuperElNino #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #EarthEnegyImbalance

Paul on a new physics analysis by #JamesHansen et al., how and why 2026 will be the hottest year (up to now)

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/116497046533644769

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ElNino
#SuperElNino #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #EarthEnegyImbalance

Paul on a new physics analysis by #JamesHansen et al., how and why 2026 will be the hottest year (up to now)

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://mastodon.social/@paulbeckwith/116497046533644769

#FYI #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #ElNino
#SuperElNino #GodzillaElNino #ENSO #EarthEnegyImbalance

Paul on a new physics analysis by #JamesHansen et al., how and why 2026 will be the hottest year (up to now)

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

#ENSO #ElNino #GodzillaElNino

#RowanHooper #PennySarchet and #AlecLuhn discussing the emerging #SuperElNino

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=97veCsQgvNk

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

#ENSO #ElNino #GodzillaElNino

#RowanHooper #PennySarchet and #AlecLuhn discussing the emerging #SuperElNino

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=97veCsQgvNk

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

#ENSO #ElNino #GodzillaElNino

#RowanHooper #PennySarchet and #AlecLuhn discussing the emerging #SuperElNino

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=97veCsQgvNk

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

#ENSO #ElNino #GodzillaElNino

#RowanHooper #PennySarchet and #AlecLuhn discussing the emerging #SuperElNino

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=97veCsQgvNk

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

#ENSO #ElNino #GodzillaElNino

#RowanHooper #PennySarchet and #AlecLuhn discussing the emerging #SuperElNino

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=97veCsQgvNk

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

#FYI #HerbSimmens #ClimateEmergencyForum #PaulBeckwith #ENSO #ElNino #superElNino "..even a “moderate” El Niño has already pushed global temperatures above 1.5°C" www.youtube.com/watch?v=vo2e... #climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:zk2tz5ifoakuzti253pnad72/post/3mju2lrete22c

Super El Niño Ahead?

#FYI #HerbSimmens #ClimateEmergencyForum #PaulBeckwith #ENSO #ElNino #superElNino "..even a “moderate” El Niño has already pushed global temperatures above 1.5°C" www.youtube.com/watch?v=vo2e... #climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:zk2tz5ifoakuzti253pnad72/post/3mju2lrete22c

Super El Niño Ahead?

#FYI #HerbSimmens #ClimateEmergencyForum #PaulBeckwith #ENSO #ElNino #superElNino "..even a “moderate” El Niño has already pushed global temperatures above 1.5°C" www.youtube.com/watch?v=vo2e... #climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:zk2tz5ifoakuzti253pnad72/post/3mju2lrete22c

Super El Niño Ahead?

Hope you have had a great weekend. Here is Teal Circle Abstract, newly added to my collection: https://1-lisas-baker.pixels.com/featured/teal-circle-abstract-lisa-s-baker.html

#art #artwork #wallart #arte #mastoart #mastodonart #fediart #abstract #abstractart #painting #wallart #homedecor #beautiful #pretty #brushstrokes #painting #creativetoots #buyintoart #artbooster #artmatters #decor #whismical #vibrant #artforsale #artforhome #mastodon #fediverse #bold #enso #geometric #shapes #sunday

Northern Hemisphere Wintertime Teleconnections from the 2023–24 El Niño Offset by Background SST Trends
--
https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0227.1 <-- shared paper
--
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108946 <-- shared paper
--
#USA #Canada #NorthAmerica #Mexico #NorthernEurope #PacificOcean #ElNiño #ElNino #pluvial #precipitation #rainfall #snow #weather #climate #humanimpacts #model #modeling #spatial #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #atmosphere #extremeweather #CONUS #California #atmosphericriver #AtlanticOcean #IndianOcean #tropical #ENSO #winter #ocean #trend #teleconnections #seasurfacetemperature #SST #atmospheric #climatechange #natural #anthropogenic #noaa #NSF
#NationalCenterforAtmosphericResearch

https://sailing-dulce.nl/home/article-9256 #enso #JamesHansen #IPCC #worstcasescenario #bureaubuitenland #dodenherdenking Maandag 04-05-2026 Alle modellen voor de prognose van de ontwikkeling van de ENSO in de Stille Oceaan voorspellen nog steeds een sterke El Niño in de tweede helft van het jaar. Plus 2,5 graden van het oceaanwater in de RONI-index (Relative Oceanic Nino Index). Nog hogere anomalieën worden af en toe genoemd. Of het een sterke El Niño gaat worden of zelfs een Super-El-Niño van +3,5 - 4 graden..

Changing Intensity Of Hydroclimatic Extreme Events Revealed By GRACE And GRACE-FO
--
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-023-00040-5 <-- shared paper
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #water #hydrology #watersecurity #pluvials #flood #flooding #drought #climatechange #events #climate #extremeweather #mitigation #model #modeling #global #remotesensing #gischat #GRACE #GRACEFO #satellite #extremeevents #pluvial #temperature #wet #dry #extremes #intensity #ENSO #surfacetemperatures #climatecrisis #climatezone #spatialanalysis #hydroclimate #spatiotemporal #corrleation #rainfall #precipitation
[some images courtesy of NYT]

#FYI #HerbSimmens #ClimateEmergencyForum #PaulBeckwith #ENSO #ElNino #superElNino

"...even a “moderate” El Niño has already pushed global temperatures above 1.5°C"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vo2eSm_PF1w

#climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis #ClimateBreakdown #ClimateDisruption #globalWarming #globalHeating #ExtremeWeather #polycrisis

#vereinfachteSprache

El Niño wird durch den #Klimawandel extremer.

Was ist das überhaupt? El Niño ist ein natürliches Wetterphänomen. Dabei wird die Oberfläche des Wassers im mittleren und östlichen Pazifischen Ozean viel wärmer als normal. Also grob zwischen #Südamerika und #Australien. Das beeinflusst das Wetter in vielen Regionen der Welt. Und wie wirkt sich nun die globale Erwärmung darauf aus? Mehr dazu im Artikel.

https://www.oekologisch-unterwegs.de/klimawissen-vereinfachte-sprache/894-das-wetterphaenomen-el-nino-wird-durch-den-klimawandel-extremer-vereinfachte-sprache.html

#ElNiño #Extremwetter #ENSO

« Méditation ». Encre de Chine sur papier. 27,5 x 27,5 cm. #chrystellelamoureux #chl #meditation #zen #zenart #enso #art #artist #artlovers #artlover #artlover🎨

New #ENSO piece in #Sheffield

It may be titled "Liminal"

ENSO-neutral conditions are present and are favored through April-June 2026 (80% chance). In May-July 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (61% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

#ENSO #ElNino

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

An acceleration in human-caused global warming could see the Paris Agreement’s 1.5C limit breached before 2030

Record-high temperatures in recent years have led scientists to ask whether #GlobalWarming is accelerating.
The authors of the new study decided to use two different statistical approaches to test whether they can identify a “statistically significant” acceleration in global warming from the long-term temperature record.
The “noise” from natural drivers of temperature change, such as #ENSO can make it tricky to spot underlying trends. However, Foster tells Carbon Brief that after removing the influence of natural variability, “acceleration is easy to prove statistically – some might even say it becomes obvious”.
Both tests find that

--> warming is accelerating

with more than 98% confidence for each of the five datasets. When the same tests were run on the unadjusted data, they failed to reach even 95% confidence, showing the importance of removing natural variability from the warming signal, according to the study authors.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/pace-of-global-warming-has-nearly-doubled-since-2015-study-says/

#ClimateScience
#ClimateCrisis

A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with ENSO-neutral favored through May-July 2026 (55% chance). In June-August 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (62% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

#LaNina #ENSO #ElNino

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

@paulhbeckwith.bsky.social #PaulBeckwith video lecture & literature review #accelerated #heating #ENSO Paul & Sir Isaac Newton ESP helping us look down surprised mid-air above the creek :/ www.youtube.com/watch?v=aX3f... #climate #ClimateScience #climatechange #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis

Global Warming is Accelerating...

#accelerated #heating #ENSO #globalWarming #globalHeating #ClimateScience

Original open access article

Foster & Rahmstorf 06 March 2026 Geophys Res Lett 53(5):e2025GL118804

Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL118804