#stagflation — Public Fediverse posts

No i dupło...

US Inflation readings decided to take a trip to the moon.

#USEconomy #USInflation #Inflation #Recession #Stagflation

No i dupło...

US Inflation readings decided to take a trip to the moon.

#USEconomy #USInflation #Inflation #Recession #Stagflation

No i dupło...

US Inflation readings decided to take a trip to the moon.

#USEconomy #USInflation #Inflation #Recession #Stagflation

No i dupło...

US Inflation readings decided to take a trip to the moon.

#USEconomy #USInflation #Inflation #Recession #Stagflation

No i dupło...

US Inflation readings decided to take a trip to the moon.

#USEconomy #USInflation #Inflation #Recession #Stagflation

@the_intellectualist_official I feel sorry for all the #MAGA morons whose ‘rolling coal’ monster trucks guzzle diesel gas.

Not! 😂

#FelonsCrusade in #Iran 👉 #Trumpcession and #Stagflation.

@the_intellectualist_official I feel sorry for all the #MAGA morons whose ‘rolling coal’ monster trucks guzzle diesel gas.

Not! 😂

#FelonsCrusade in #Iran 👉 #Trumpcession and #Stagflation.

https://www.europesays.com/people/112080/ Jimmy Carter: The 39th President of the United States #1976Election #1980Election #atlanta #AyatollahKhomeini #CampDavidAccords #CaterCenter #georgia #GeorgiaStateSenate #GeraldFord #GovernorOfGeorgia #HabitatForHumanity #IranHostages #JimmyCater #NobelPrize #Plains #POTUS #PresidentOfTheUnitedStates #RonaldReagan #RosalynnCarter #Seawolf #stagflation #TheWhiteHouse #USNavalAcademy #WalterMondale

@FluentInFinance finding the tipping points and how all the stats interrelate is important as is historical data #stagflation

@FluentInFinance finding the tipping points and how all the stats interrelate is important as is historical data #stagflation

RE: https://flipboard.com/@kpbspublicmedia/podcasts-a8519fk1z/-/a-ZJpvKt6nRyGXJwqRwHn_Cg%3Aa%3A3137301314-%2F0

The #Trump taint of #Stagflation is in the air, where more tourists used to be.

#FelonsCrusade #TrumpDidThat #GasPrices

RE: https://flipboard.com/@kpbspublicmedia/podcasts-a8519fk1z/-/a-ZJpvKt6nRyGXJwqRwHn_Cg%3Aa%3A3137301314-%2F0

The #Trump taint of #Stagflation is in the air, where more tourists used to be.

#FelonsCrusade #TrumpDidThat #GasPrices

I identify as "Hedgefund Manager"

My Pronouns are : Investors/Analyst/Portfolio Manager/Hedgefund Manager 😅🤞

#JSE #SARB #SADC #SouthAfrica #TFSA #Investing #Macro #Stagflation #Finance #KhumoSolutions #NASDAQ #DXY #TradingForex

Economy Of The Philippines Expected To Rebound In 2nd Half Of 2026

While the economists of a particular university predict slower economic growth for the Philippines this year, the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) see the national economy growing stronger in the 2nd half of this year, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld report. Some parts in boldface…

THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY could grow by around 5% in the second half of the year, driven by base effects and an expected acceleration in government infrastructure spending, according to the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P).

“Growth could recover to around 5% in the second half on base effects and a ramp-up in National Government infrastructure spending,” UA&P said in its The Market Call report this month.

Government officials earlier signaled a pickup in disbursements and project implementation as agencies roll out catch-up programs.

UA&P cautioned, however, that growth will remain subdued in the first half amid unresolved issues surrounding last year’s flood control scandal and elevated oil prices.

“Weak gross domestic product growth and faster inflation will weigh on the economy in the first half amid the unresolved flood control scandal and high oil prices from the Middle East conflict,” it said.

“Flip-flopping US-Iran talks may keep fuel prices elevated, hitting the Philippines harder than its ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) peers,” it added.

The Philippine economy expanded by a slower-than-expected 2.8% in the first quarter. This was below the government’s target range of 5-6% for the year.

For the entire year of 2026, UA&P said growth will be slow “but pose some resilience in the face of near-term global and local headwinds that will likely moderate activity in the first half of the year.”

“While cautious business sentiment and lingering geopolitical uncertainties may weigh on household and investment spending, the domestic economy continues to benefit from strong structural drivers such as steady household consumption, a healthy labor market, and sustained remittance inflows,” it added.

Meanwhile, UA&P said that it expects inflation to accelerate further amid second-round effects from the oil shock, “but likely not to (reach) double digits year on year.”

Inflation accelerated to 7.2% in April, marking the second consecutive month that it settled above the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) 2%-4% target. It also breached the BSP’s 5.6%-6.4% forecast for the month.

“The BSP took on a more hawkish tone because of above-estimate inflation, raising rates and its inflation forecast to 6.3% for 2026,” it said.

“We likewise see above-target inflation for the rest of 2026, with the possibility of double-digit inflation rates due to base and second-round effects creeping into succeeding readings,” it added.

As inflation is expected to settle above the target for the rest of the year, UA&P expects the BSP to further tighten.

“Our outlook pencils in 75 basis points (bps) more of rate hikes for this year, bringing the policy rate to 5.25%, especially as the April inflation reading trumped even the BSP’s upper inflation bound,” it said.

The central bank last month raised rates for the first time in nearly two years by 25 bps to 4.5%, with BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. saying the Monetary Board remains open to extending the tightening cycle to anchor inflation expectations.

NO STAGFLATION – Despite weaker growth and high inflation, UA&P said the country is not experiencing stagflation.

“Despite inflation negative commentary from some analysts, the Philippine economy is not in stagflation mode,” it said.

“Inflation, while elevated, will continually trek downwards after a peace deal gets signed, and growth will return when infrastructure spending resumes along with consumer and business confidence,” it added.

Meanwhile, the peso remains under pressure as crude oil prices surge.

“The peso-dollar rate remained under pressure amid the rebound in crude oil prices (i.e., close to $100/barrel for West Texas Intermediate, and $110/barrel for Brent) in April,” it said.

On Tuesday, the local currency closed P61.56 versus the greenback, weakening by 9.5 centavos from its P61.465 finish on Monday.

UA&P said it expects bonds with longer tenors to deliver higher returns amid elevated interest rates, after investors cautiously returned to the local bond market in April.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will truly rebound in the 2nd half of this year? What do you think will help boost the national economy apart from foreign investments?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

+++++

Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Economy Of The Philippines Expected To Rebound In 2nd Half Of 2026

While the economists of a particular university predict slower economic growth for the Philippines this year, the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) see the national economy growing stronger in the 2nd half of this year, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld report. Some parts in boldface…

THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY could grow by around 5% in the second half of the year, driven by base effects and an expected acceleration in government infrastructure spending, according to the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P).

“Growth could recover to around 5% in the second half on base effects and a ramp-up in National Government infrastructure spending,” UA&P said in its The Market Call report this month.

Government officials earlier signaled a pickup in disbursements and project implementation as agencies roll out catch-up programs.

UA&P cautioned, however, that growth will remain subdued in the first half amid unresolved issues surrounding last year’s flood control scandal and elevated oil prices.

“Weak gross domestic product growth and faster inflation will weigh on the economy in the first half amid the unresolved flood control scandal and high oil prices from the Middle East conflict,” it said.

“Flip-flopping US-Iran talks may keep fuel prices elevated, hitting the Philippines harder than its ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) peers,” it added.

The Philippine economy expanded by a slower-than-expected 2.8% in the first quarter. This was below the government’s target range of 5-6% for the year.

For the entire year of 2026, UA&P said growth will be slow “but pose some resilience in the face of near-term global and local headwinds that will likely moderate activity in the first half of the year.”

“While cautious business sentiment and lingering geopolitical uncertainties may weigh on household and investment spending, the domestic economy continues to benefit from strong structural drivers such as steady household consumption, a healthy labor market, and sustained remittance inflows,” it added.

Meanwhile, UA&P said that it expects inflation to accelerate further amid second-round effects from the oil shock, “but likely not to (reach) double digits year on year.”

Inflation accelerated to 7.2% in April, marking the second consecutive month that it settled above the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) 2%-4% target. It also breached the BSP’s 5.6%-6.4% forecast for the month.

“The BSP took on a more hawkish tone because of above-estimate inflation, raising rates and its inflation forecast to 6.3% for 2026,” it said.

“We likewise see above-target inflation for the rest of 2026, with the possibility of double-digit inflation rates due to base and second-round effects creeping into succeeding readings,” it added.

As inflation is expected to settle above the target for the rest of the year, UA&P expects the BSP to further tighten.

“Our outlook pencils in 75 basis points (bps) more of rate hikes for this year, bringing the policy rate to 5.25%, especially as the April inflation reading trumped even the BSP’s upper inflation bound,” it said.

The central bank last month raised rates for the first time in nearly two years by 25 bps to 4.5%, with BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. saying the Monetary Board remains open to extending the tightening cycle to anchor inflation expectations.

NO STAGFLATION – Despite weaker growth and high inflation, UA&P said the country is not experiencing stagflation.

“Despite inflation negative commentary from some analysts, the Philippine economy is not in stagflation mode,” it said.

“Inflation, while elevated, will continually trek downwards after a peace deal gets signed, and growth will return when infrastructure spending resumes along with consumer and business confidence,” it added.

Meanwhile, the peso remains under pressure as crude oil prices surge.

“The peso-dollar rate remained under pressure amid the rebound in crude oil prices (i.e., close to $100/barrel for West Texas Intermediate, and $110/barrel for Brent) in April,” it said.

On Tuesday, the local currency closed P61.56 versus the greenback, weakening by 9.5 centavos from its P61.465 finish on Monday.

UA&P said it expects bonds with longer tenors to deliver higher returns amid elevated interest rates, after investors cautiously returned to the local bond market in April.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will truly rebound in the 2nd half of this year? What do you think will help boost the national economy apart from foreign investments?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

+++++

Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Economy Of The Philippines Expected To Rebound In 2nd Half Of 2026

While the economists of a particular university predict slower economic growth for the Philippines this year, the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) see the national economy growing stronger in the 2nd half of this year, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the BusinessWorld report. Some parts in boldface…

THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY could grow by around 5% in the second half of the year, driven by base effects and an expected acceleration in government infrastructure spending, according to the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P).

“Growth could recover to around 5% in the second half on base effects and a ramp-up in National Government infrastructure spending,” UA&P said in its The Market Call report this month.

Government officials earlier signaled a pickup in disbursements and project implementation as agencies roll out catch-up programs.

UA&P cautioned, however, that growth will remain subdued in the first half amid unresolved issues surrounding last year’s flood control scandal and elevated oil prices.

“Weak gross domestic product growth and faster inflation will weigh on the economy in the first half amid the unresolved flood control scandal and high oil prices from the Middle East conflict,” it said.

“Flip-flopping US-Iran talks may keep fuel prices elevated, hitting the Philippines harder than its ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) peers,” it added.

The Philippine economy expanded by a slower-than-expected 2.8% in the first quarter. This was below the government’s target range of 5-6% for the year.

For the entire year of 2026, UA&P said growth will be slow “but pose some resilience in the face of near-term global and local headwinds that will likely moderate activity in the first half of the year.”

“While cautious business sentiment and lingering geopolitical uncertainties may weigh on household and investment spending, the domestic economy continues to benefit from strong structural drivers such as steady household consumption, a healthy labor market, and sustained remittance inflows,” it added.

Meanwhile, UA&P said that it expects inflation to accelerate further amid second-round effects from the oil shock, “but likely not to (reach) double digits year on year.”

Inflation accelerated to 7.2% in April, marking the second consecutive month that it settled above the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) 2%-4% target. It also breached the BSP’s 5.6%-6.4% forecast for the month.

“The BSP took on a more hawkish tone because of above-estimate inflation, raising rates and its inflation forecast to 6.3% for 2026,” it said.

“We likewise see above-target inflation for the rest of 2026, with the possibility of double-digit inflation rates due to base and second-round effects creeping into succeeding readings,” it added.

As inflation is expected to settle above the target for the rest of the year, UA&P expects the BSP to further tighten.

“Our outlook pencils in 75 basis points (bps) more of rate hikes for this year, bringing the policy rate to 5.25%, especially as the April inflation reading trumped even the BSP’s upper inflation bound,” it said.

The central bank last month raised rates for the first time in nearly two years by 25 bps to 4.5%, with BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. saying the Monetary Board remains open to extending the tightening cycle to anchor inflation expectations.

NO STAGFLATION – Despite weaker growth and high inflation, UA&P said the country is not experiencing stagflation.

“Despite inflation negative commentary from some analysts, the Philippine economy is not in stagflation mode,” it said.

“Inflation, while elevated, will continually trek downwards after a peace deal gets signed, and growth will return when infrastructure spending resumes along with consumer and business confidence,” it added.

Meanwhile, the peso remains under pressure as crude oil prices surge.

“The peso-dollar rate remained under pressure amid the rebound in crude oil prices (i.e., close to $100/barrel for West Texas Intermediate, and $110/barrel for Brent) in April,” it said.

On Tuesday, the local currency closed P61.56 versus the greenback, weakening by 9.5 centavos from its P61.465 finish on Monday.

UA&P said it expects bonds with longer tenors to deliver higher returns amid elevated interest rates, after investors cautiously returned to the local bond market in April.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will truly rebound in the 2nd half of this year? What do you think will help boost the national economy apart from foreign investments?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

+++++

Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Wir haben jetzt offiziell #Stagflation in #Deutschland und das hat nichts, aber auch gar nichts, und ich betone noch einmal ganz dringend - NICHTS, damit zu tun, dass unendliches Wachstum in einem endlichen System unmöglich ist.

Es sind bloß temporär etwas schlechte Bedingungen gerade.

Was einzig und alleine die Schuld dieser faulen, arbeitenden Bevölkerung ist. Die auch noch auf diesen absurd unnötigen "Sozialausgaben" besteht.

Während #DieReichen darben & leiden.

https://youtu.be/2R9WpIEqk6A?is=mP1kWgewjq4ERPUO

🙄

Wir haben jetzt offiziell #Stagflation in #Deutschland und das hat nichts, aber auch gar nichts, und ich betone noch einmal ganz dringend - NICHTS, damit zu tun, dass unendliches Wachstum in einem endlichen System unmöglich ist.

Es sind bloß temporär etwas schlechte Bedingungen gerade.

Was einzig und alleine die Schuld dieser faulen, arbeitenden Bevölkerung ist. Die auch noch auf diesen absurd unnötigen "Sozialausgaben" besteht.

Während #DieReichen darben & leiden.

https://youtu.be/2R9WpIEqk6A?is=mP1kWgewjq4ERPUO

🙄

Economic Warning Signs In The Philippines Grow

With weak economic growth and high inflation already happening, the future is looking dark for the economy of the Philippines and there are warning signs growing, according to a news report by Malaya Business Insight.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the Malaya Business Insight report. Some parts in boldface…

The Philippines is not yet in stagflation, economists said, but slowing growth, high inflation, weak public spending, and the Middle East oil shock are pushing parts of the economy closer to danger.

Michael Ricafort, chief economist at Rizal Commercial Banking Corp., said some weaker sectors may already be feeling near-stagflation conditions.

“Near stagflation conditions for some vulnerable, already weak industries. But stronger ones are more insulated,” Ricafort said.

His comment followed President Marcos Jr.’s statement that potential stagflation is among the concerns keeping the government “awake at night” as officials try to contain prices of basic goods and keep the economy running.

Jonathan Ravelas, senior adviser at Reyes Tacandong & Co., said the country is still not in stagflation, although the risks are rising.

“There are potential stagflation risks, but we’re not yet there,” Ravelas said at the weekly Pandesal Forum in Quezon City on Wednesday.

He said unemployment remains below its long-term average, while the economy continues to post positive growth despite the slowdown.

“If we talk about the average unemployment rate in the Philippines since the 1960s, it’s 7.5 percent. Right now, our numbers are between 5 percent and 5.3 percent,” Ravelas said.

Inflation, however, remains a major threat. Ravelas said consumer prices could climb to 8 percent to 9 percent toward the end of the year, with households likely to feel the sharpest impact from higher fuel, food, and transport costs.

He said the stagflation concern recalls the oil shocks of the 1970s, when energy disruptions pushed prices sharply higher while economic activity weakened.

Ravelas said the more immediate challenge is reviving spending, particularly government spending, to keep growth from losing further momentum.

He said the economy is still feeling the effects of last year’s flood-control scandal, which disrupted public works and slowed disbursements, while the inflationary impact of the US-Iran conflict has added pressure.

Restraining spending now, he said, would be like “shooting ourselves on our foot” because it would further weaken recovery.

“We need to be able to work on improving consumption,” Ravelas said.

He also said the government must convince the public that it is acting decisively to stabilize prices.

“When it comes to fighting inflation, we need to show our countrymen, from a government perspective, that prices are stable. That would be a good opportunity so that they will believe the government is doing something,” he said.

Ravelas noted the country should also invest in upskilling workers to improve employment prospects.

Given the inflation pressure, he said the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas is likely to take a defensive policy stance and raise interest rates by 50 to 75 basis points, although it must balance inflation control with the need to support growth.

A separate report from the De La Salle University Carlos L. Tiu School of Economics said inflation is being driven mainly by fuel, as higher energy costs feed into transport, logistics, and production.

“Fuel costs have more than doubled since the war began, pushing inflation sharply higher from May through August 2026. We expect inflation to peak at around 8 percent in August,” economists Jesus Felipe, Mariel Monica Sauler, Gerome Vedeja, political scientist Susan Kurdli, and research assistant Seth Paolo Paden said in the school’s May economic report.

They said the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has also cut off roughly a third of global fertilizer supply, keeping inflation elevated through the end of 2026.

By early 2027, the report said, energy and fertilizer pressures are expected to ease, with inflation likely to return to the BSP’s 2 percent to 4 percent target band by April 2027 and settle at around 2.8 percent in 2028.

The DLSU economists said the current inflation surge is a supply shock caused by war-related disruptions in global energy and food markets, making interest rate increases an imperfect response.

“Higher interest rates will neither bring oil prices down nor reopen the Strait of Hormuz. What they will do is make borrowing more expensive, slow investment, and constrict household spending,” they said.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will eventually fall into a state of stagflation this year? How are you dealing with the higher costs of living nowadays?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

+++++

Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

Economic Warning Signs In The Philippines Grow

With weak economic growth and high inflation already happening, the future is looking dark for the economy of the Philippines and there are warning signs growing, according to a news report by Malaya Business Insight.

To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the Malaya Business Insight report. Some parts in boldface…

The Philippines is not yet in stagflation, economists said, but slowing growth, high inflation, weak public spending, and the Middle East oil shock are pushing parts of the economy closer to danger.

Michael Ricafort, chief economist at Rizal Commercial Banking Corp., said some weaker sectors may already be feeling near-stagflation conditions.

“Near stagflation conditions for some vulnerable, already weak industries. But stronger ones are more insulated,” Ricafort said.

His comment followed President Marcos Jr.’s statement that potential stagflation is among the concerns keeping the government “awake at night” as officials try to contain prices of basic goods and keep the economy running.

Jonathan Ravelas, senior adviser at Reyes Tacandong & Co., said the country is still not in stagflation, although the risks are rising.

“There are potential stagflation risks, but we’re not yet there,” Ravelas said at the weekly Pandesal Forum in Quezon City on Wednesday.

He said unemployment remains below its long-term average, while the economy continues to post positive growth despite the slowdown.

“If we talk about the average unemployment rate in the Philippines since the 1960s, it’s 7.5 percent. Right now, our numbers are between 5 percent and 5.3 percent,” Ravelas said.

Inflation, however, remains a major threat. Ravelas said consumer prices could climb to 8 percent to 9 percent toward the end of the year, with households likely to feel the sharpest impact from higher fuel, food, and transport costs.

He said the stagflation concern recalls the oil shocks of the 1970s, when energy disruptions pushed prices sharply higher while economic activity weakened.

Ravelas said the more immediate challenge is reviving spending, particularly government spending, to keep growth from losing further momentum.

He said the economy is still feeling the effects of last year’s flood-control scandal, which disrupted public works and slowed disbursements, while the inflationary impact of the US-Iran conflict has added pressure.

Restraining spending now, he said, would be like “shooting ourselves on our foot” because it would further weaken recovery.

“We need to be able to work on improving consumption,” Ravelas said.

He also said the government must convince the public that it is acting decisively to stabilize prices.

“When it comes to fighting inflation, we need to show our countrymen, from a government perspective, that prices are stable. That would be a good opportunity so that they will believe the government is doing something,” he said.

Ravelas noted the country should also invest in upskilling workers to improve employment prospects.

Given the inflation pressure, he said the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas is likely to take a defensive policy stance and raise interest rates by 50 to 75 basis points, although it must balance inflation control with the need to support growth.

A separate report from the De La Salle University Carlos L. Tiu School of Economics said inflation is being driven mainly by fuel, as higher energy costs feed into transport, logistics, and production.

“Fuel costs have more than doubled since the war began, pushing inflation sharply higher from May through August 2026. We expect inflation to peak at around 8 percent in August,” economists Jesus Felipe, Mariel Monica Sauler, Gerome Vedeja, political scientist Susan Kurdli, and research assistant Seth Paolo Paden said in the school’s May economic report.

They said the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has also cut off roughly a third of global fertilizer supply, keeping inflation elevated through the end of 2026.

By early 2027, the report said, energy and fertilizer pressures are expected to ease, with inflation likely to return to the BSP’s 2 percent to 4 percent target band by April 2027 and settle at around 2.8 percent in 2028.

The DLSU economists said the current inflation surge is a supply shock caused by war-related disruptions in global energy and food markets, making interest rate increases an imperfect response.

“Higher interest rates will neither bring oil prices down nor reopen the Strait of Hormuz. What they will do is make borrowing more expensive, slow investment, and constrict household spending,” they said.

Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think the economy of the Philippines will eventually fall into a state of stagflation this year? How are you dealing with the higher costs of living nowadays?

You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

+++++

Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

In their final act on the national stage, the #boomer generation left the #USA with a #supplyshock, #joblessness and #stagflation. And never once did their #dunningkruger diminish, so there will be no apology, no introspection. Only surprise that we are not enthusiastically supporting funding for their statues. #boomers

In their final act on the national stage, the #boomer generation left the #USA with a #supplyshock, #joblessness and #stagflation. And never once did their #dunningkruger diminish, so there will be no apology, no introspection. Only surprise that we are not enthusiastically supporting funding for their statues. #boomers

“It looks…as if Donald Trump has managed to create the kind of environment that we had at the end of the 1970s stagflation, which means that this is going to be really, really ugly and that we are going to be paying the price for these misadventures for years to come.”
—Paul Krugman
https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-whiff-of-stagflation-150
#trump #stagflation

“It looks…as if Donald Trump has managed to create the kind of environment that we had at the end of the 1970s stagflation, which means that this is going to be really, really ugly and that we are going to be paying the price for these misadventures for years to come.”
—Paul Krugman
https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-whiff-of-stagflation-150
#trump #stagflation

Ruh-roh!

The #FelonsCrusade in #Iran has increased fears of persistent #inflation in the #UnitedStates.

To sell 30-year #UnitedStates #treasury Bills (and pay the Trump-inflated federal debt), their yield has been pushed to levels not seen since the year before the 2008 Financial Crisis. https://edition.cnn.com/2026/05/19/business/30-year-treasury-yield-bond-record

Buckle-up for #stagflation courtesy of the current #kakistocracy in #USpol.

Ruh-roh!

The #FelonsCrusade in #Iran has increased fears of persistent #inflation in the #UnitedStates.

To sell 30-year #UnitedStates #treasury Bills (and pay the Trump-inflated federal debt), their yield has been pushed to levels not seen since the year before the 2008 Financial Crisis. https://edition.cnn.com/2026/05/19/business/30-year-treasury-yield-bond-record

Buckle-up for #stagflation courtesy of the current #kakistocracy in #USpol.

Stagflation fears intensify as March CPI surges to 3.3%, signaling rising inflation amid slowing growth. Mixed economic signals create uncertainty for policymakers and investors. #Stagflation #Economics

Stagflation fears intensify as March CPI surges to 3.3%, signaling rising inflation amid slowing growth. Mixed economic signals create uncertainty for policymakers and investors. #Stagflation #Economics

Worst-case, a dreaded term could apply to the 2026 energy shock. #1973Araboilshock #Block1 #Fed #KevinWarsh #MiddleEast #Oilshock #Stagflation
https://iwpost.com/worst-case-a-dreaded-term-could-apply-to-the-2026-energy-shock/?fsp_sid=7907

https://www.europesays.com/ie/473746/ Ray Dalio Warns Money Printing Could Spark a Financial Crisis, Stagflation #Business #Currency #Economy #Éire #EndResult #FinancialCrisis #Gold #HighDeficit #HotInflation #IE #Ireland #market #RayDalio #RecentYear #scenario #stagflation #US #wealth #World #WorryingSign

https://www.europesays.com/people/57988/ ECB warns of risks from Mideast war as it holds rates | News #2021–2023InflationSurge #afp #banking #CentralBank #ChristineLagarde #EconomicProblems #Economics #economies #Economy #EconomyOfEurope #EuropeanCentralBank #eurozone #Finance #Inflation #interest #InterestRate #MacroeconomicPolicy #MacroeconomicProblems #macroeconomics #MonetaryEconomics #money #PoliticalEconomy #PublicEconomics #SchoolsOfEconomicThought #stagflation #WorldEconomy

🇺🇸 𝐖𝐞𝐥𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐞 𝐓𝐨 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐠𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐔𝐒𝐀!

#stagflation #inflation #stagnation #business #businessnews
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXb0Dc1__EU&list=PLVz16niX2rGe3-uBlgX5ZNiH4PNaa3kwa&index=1&pp=iAQBsAgC

🇺🇸 𝐖𝐞𝐥𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐞 𝐓𝐨 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐠𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐔𝐒𝐀!

#stagflation #inflation #stagnation #business #businessnews
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXb0Dc1__EU&list=PLVz16niX2rGe3-uBlgX5ZNiH4PNaa3kwa&index=1&pp=iAQBsAgC

Market Talk: Europe must get its ‘act together’

European Economic Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis warned that the Iran war is fueling stagflation pressures across the bloc. Carsten Brzeski from ING told Reuters that Europe needs structural reforms and a long-term strategy to bolster resilience. #News #Reuters #Newsfeed #stagflation #europeanunion #europe #iranwar Read the story here: 👉 Subscribe: Keep up with the latest news from around the world: Follow Reuters on…

https://fllics.com/en/video/market-talk-europe-must-get-its-act-together/

Market Talk: Europe must get its ‘act together’

European Economic Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis warned that the Iran war is fueling stagflation pressures across the bloc. Carsten Brzeski from ING told Reuters that Europe needs structural reforms and a long-term strategy to bolster resilience. #News #Reuters #Newsfeed #stagflation #europeanunion #europe #iranwar Read the story here: 👉 Subscribe: Keep up with the latest news from around the world: Follow Reuters on…

https://fllics.com/en/video/market-talk-europe-must-get-its-act-together/

“14.30 AEST
Of course the #RBA did… against the better judgement of economists who are not died-in-the-wool #NeoLiberals. This rise will do nothing to stop inflation due to Stupid #tRump and his mate #Netanyahu military fling. The underlying inflation does not warrant this (according to Greg Jerocho — one of the more sensible economist driven by facts rather than mad theories). Further more, the lasat #CashRate rise has yet to show its effect on the economic numbers FFS.

“RBA raises interest rates for third time in 2026
reported by Luca Ittimani

The Reserve Bank has increased its official interest rate to 4.35%, as prices rise at their fastest pace since 2023.

The RBA’s board today hiked rates for a third consecutive meeting in 2026 after increases in February and March. Rates are now back where they were at the start of 2025, with each of that year’s three rate cuts now unwound.

Today’s hike was widely expected, picked by most economists surveyed by Bloomberg. But financial markets had not fully priced in an increase, with some thinking the RBA might wait and see what the federal government does with its budget next week.” (Source: The Guardian Live)

#AusPol #Economy #Inflation #Stagflation #Recession #MonetaryPolicy

“14.30 AEST
Of course the #RBA did… against the better judgement of economists who are not died-in-the-wool #NeoLiberals. This rise will do nothing to stop inflation due to Stupid #tRump and his mate #Netanyahu military fling. The underlying inflation does not warrant this (according to Greg Jerocho — one of the more sensible economist driven by facts rather than mad theories). Further more, the lasat #CashRate rise has yet to show its effect on the economic numbers FFS.

“RBA raises interest rates for third time in 2026
reported by Luca Ittimani

The Reserve Bank has increased its official interest rate to 4.35%, as prices rise at their fastest pace since 2023.

The RBA’s board today hiked rates for a third consecutive meeting in 2026 after increases in February and March. Rates are now back where they were at the start of 2025, with each of that year’s three rate cuts now unwound.

Today’s hike was widely expected, picked by most economists surveyed by Bloomberg. But financial markets had not fully priced in an increase, with some thinking the RBA might wait and see what the federal government does with its budget next week.” (Source: The Guardian Live)

#AusPol #Economy #Inflation #Stagflation #Recession #MonetaryPolicy

https://www.europesays.com/people/54176/ ECB warns of risks from Mideast war as it holds rates | National #2021–2023InflationSurge #afp #banking #CentralBank #ChristineLagarde #EconomicProblems #Economics #economies #Economy #EconomyOfEurope #EuropeanCentralBank #eurozone #Finance #Inflation #interest #InterestRate #MacroeconomicPolicy #MacroeconomicProblems #macroeconomics #MonetaryEconomics #money #PoliticalEconomy #PublicEconomics #SchoolsOfEconomicThought #stagflation #WorldEconomy

@rms it turns out he is smarter than the average bear or maybe just lucky, the war in iran was a culmination of a 20 yr proxy war, he may have made it worse but if it wraps up without any more conflict then it is just up to ukraine to regain all territory and the world is hunky dory? we could only wish that both conflicts cease asap; ukraine could be 2 more years #stagflation #fed policy #global fundamentals

https://www.europesays.com/people/52519/ ECB warns of risks from Mideast war as it holds rates | National #2021–2023InflationSurge #afp #banking #CentralBank #ChristineLagarde #EconomicProblems #Economics #economies #Economy #EconomyOfEurope #EuropeanCentralBank #eurozone #Finance #Inflation #interest #InterestRate #MacroeconomicPolicy #MacroeconomicProblems #macroeconomics #MonetaryEconomics #money #PoliticalEconomy #PublicEconomics #SchoolsOfEconomicThought #stagflation #WorldEconomy

https://www.europesays.com/people/52277/ ECB warns of risks from Mideast war as it holds rates | National #2021–2023InflationSurge #afp #banking #CentralBank #ChristineLagarde #EconomicProblems #Economics #economies #Economy #EconomyOfEurope #EuropeanCentralBank #eurozone #Finance #Inflation #interest #InterestRate #MacroeconomicPolicy #MacroeconomicProblems #macroeconomics #MonetaryEconomics #money #PoliticalEconomy #PublicEconomics #SchoolsOfEconomicThought #stagflation #WorldEconomy

This Is Apocalyptic Brent Crude just hit $120ish / barrel. Thanks, Trump. #BrentCrude #BondYields #Iran #StraitOfHormuz #ETTD #fertilizer #shortages #OilPrice #EnergyShock #Stagflation youtube.com/watch?v=dESB...

THIS IS APOCALYPTIC

This Is Apocalyptic Brent Crude just hit $120ish / barrel. Thanks, Trump. #BrentCrude #BondYields #Iran #StraitOfHormuz #ETTD #fertilizer #shortages #OilPrice #EnergyShock #Stagflation youtube.com/watch?v=dESB...

THIS IS APOCALYPTIC

🇺🇸 𝐖𝐞𝐥𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐞 𝐓𝐨 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐠𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐔𝐒𝐀!

#stagflation #inflation #stagnation #tariffs #risingprices

https://thebusinessbehindthenews.com/p/welcome-to-stagflation-usa

🇺🇸 𝐖𝐞𝐥𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐞 𝐓𝐨 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐠𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐔𝐒𝐀!

#stagflation #inflation #stagnation #tariffs #risingprices

https://thebusinessbehindthenews.com/p/welcome-to-stagflation-usa

A true American patriot would never sue the US gov.'t as a sitting president. Dead giveaway - he's an absolute POS:
https://apnews.com/article/trump-treasury-irs-lawsuit-tax-whistleblower-c710244db618b066f3070a65e75820a5
#trump
#cmdrbonespurs
#trumpstein
#donold
#trumpsteinclass
#trumpcrimefamily
#inflation
#taxation
#stagflation
#uspol
#uspolitics
#war
#medicare
#medicaid
#childcare
#daycare
#reproductiverights
#allpowertothepeople

A true American patriot would never sue the US gov.'t as a sitting president. Dead giveaway - he's an absolute POS:
https://apnews.com/article/trump-treasury-irs-lawsuit-tax-whistleblower-c710244db618b066f3070a65e75820a5
#trump
#cmdrbonespurs
#trumpstein
#donold
#trumpsteinclass
#trumpcrimefamily
#inflation
#taxation
#stagflation
#uspol
#uspolitics
#war
#medicare
#medicaid
#childcare
#daycare
#reproductiverights
#allpowertothepeople

A true American patriot would never sue the US gov.'t as a sitting president. Dead giveaway - he's an absolute POS:
https://apnews.com/article/trump-treasury-irs-lawsuit-tax-whistleblower-c710244db618b066f3070a65e75820a5
#trump
#cmdrbonespurs
#trumpstein
#donold
#trumpsteinclass
#trumpcrimefamily
#inflation
#taxation
#stagflation
#uspol
#uspolitics
#war
#medicare
#medicaid
#childcare
#daycare
#reproductiverights
#allpowertothepeople

#trump #cmdrbonespurs #trumpstein #donold #trumpsteinclass #trumpcrimefamily #inflation #taxation #stagflation #uspol #uspolitics #war #medicare #medicaid #childcare #daycare #reproductiverights #allpowertothepeople #nopowertothepigs #eattherich

#trump #cmdrbonespurs #trumpstein #donold #trumpsteinclass #trumpcrimefamily #inflation #taxation #stagflation #uspol #uspolitics #war #medicare #medicaid #childcare #daycare #reproductiverights #allpowertothepeople #nopowertothepigs #eattherich