#aspi — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #aspi, aggregated by home.social.
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The reduction in Taiwan's special defence budget will impede its plans for a porcupine strategy as a key part of maintaining deterrence against threats from China
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A new report by ASPI about why Taiwan matters to Australia and the world
"Taiwan is not a peripheral issue. It sits at the intersection of global trade, advanced technology, democratic values and regional security. What happens there will shape Australia’s prosperity, security and way of life for decades."
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/taiwan-matters-australia-needs-to-understand-why/
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There has been an almost complete cessation of PLA air activity in the Taiwan Strait over the past ten days. The reasons for this are unclear
"Ultimately, the temporary absence of PLA aircraft should not be interpreted as a reduction in Beijing’s pressure on Taiwan. It is more likely a short-term anomaly within a broader pattern of sustained coercion."
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Beijing's attempts to coerce Japan over Taiwan has "demonstrated the diminishing returns of coercion against politically confident middle powers."
"By dramatically escalating public criticism against Japan in a single year, Beijing has elevated Tokyo’s prominence in Taiwan-related security debates rather than diminishing it."
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The Chinese party-state is intensifying its lawfare campaign. The number of Taiwanese nationals arrested and detained in China has increased while there has also been an increase in transnational repression
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/an-army-of-lawyers-is-advancing-taiwan-is-the-target/
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute research reveals how Chinese vision-language models systematically embed political censorship across multiple architectural layers. Testing of Qwen, Ernie, GLM, and DeepSeek shows 70%+ refusal rates for sensitive topics via certain providers, with language-dependent filtering that reshapes historical narratives.
#SecurityLand #GeoSphere #ASPI #Research #Australia #China #AI #LLM #Qwen #DeepSeek
Read More: https://www.security.land/china-ai-surveillance-censorship-aspi-report/
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China domina el 90 % de los campos clave de la investigación tecnológica global
Un nuevo informe internacional revela un giro histórico en la competencia científica mundial, con Beijing a la cabeza en la mayoría de las tecnologías consideradas estratégicas. Por Alina C. Galifante para NLI La radiografía más reciente de la investigación en ciencia y tecnología mundial muestra un cambio estructural de enorme magnitud: China figura como líder en casi el 90 % de las tecnologías consideradas cruciales para el futuro económico, industrial y estratégico global. […] -
New ASPI report: How China’s new AI systems are reshaping human rights
"This report reveals new ways that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is using large language models (LLMs) and other AI systems to automate censorship, enhance surveillance and pre‑emptively suppress dissent."
https://www.aspi.org.au/report/the-partys-ai-how-chinas-new-ai-systems-are-reshaping-human-rights/
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New report from ASPI - "Australian public and institutional responses to Taiwan Strait crises"
"Australian public understanding of Taiwan’s strategic importance remains limited and fragmented, with media coverage often lacking depth and being reactive rather than proactive. This creates challenges for mobilising national support and preparing for contingencies."
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#neurospicy #aspi and the emoji #spoon
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Scamland Myanamar: How Conflict and Crime Syndicates Built A Global Fraud Industry
Wild, wild stuff.
Scams at industrial scale - whole newly built compounds devoted to using enslaved trafficked workers.
Footprint of the new compounds is expanding at some 13.5 acres a month.
An area containing some scam centres was captured by anti-government forces.
And some 40,000 enslaved workers returned to China.
#KyarPhyant = Scam compound
#NathanRuser #Burma #Myanamar #ASPI
https://aspi.s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/02101857/Scamland-Myanmar.pdf -
The Thailand-Cambodia border conflict was the result of months of build up, particularly on the Cambodian side. OSINT analysis by Nathan Ruser at ASPI
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The final part of ASPI's series wargaming scenarios in a China-Taiwan conflict
Most importantly, the conclusion suggests how Taiwan's partners can prevent these scenarios
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-scenarios-4-the-catastrophe/
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The Taiwan scenarios 3: Day zero
"Each of China’s four main options to force unification carries a different tempo, level of visibility and escalation risk. But a common thread of Taiwanese response runs through all four: tailored resilience, surprising readiness and firm refusal to surrender."
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-scenarios-3-day-zero/
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Warning signs that China would be seeking to escalate its actions against Taiwan
"In all scenarios, the opening signs will likely include new rhetoric, possibly portraying Taiwan as having crossed a red line. A spike in cyberattacks and information operations, including information operations within China, designed to project and amplify those claims, would also be a likely sign common to all scenarios."
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-scenarios-2-warning-signs/
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ASPI has wargamed four scenarios which Beijing could use to attempt to annex Taiwan.
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-taiwan-scenarios-1-subversion-quarantine-blockade-invasion/
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China's blacklist of Taiwanese political leaders is a sign of the intensification of its lawfare campaign targeting Taiwan's democracy
"This hotline is a sign that Beijing is attempting to weaponise legal intimidation at scale."
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The latest edition of ASPI's State of the Strait tracking China's campaign of coercion against Taiwan
"As Taipei reinforces its defences against Beijing’s overt and covert pressure, China shows no sign of relenting—relying both on symbolic punishments and effective grey-zone tactics to sustain its campaign of coercion."
https://open.substack.com/pub/stateofthestrait/p/lai-bolsters-internal-security-against
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Taiwan's President Lai faces domestic political challenges as well as external pressure from China. He has still been able to maintain public support and implemented new national security measures, writes Mark Harrison
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-lai-ching-te-government-shifts-gears/
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The latest edition of ASPI's State of the Strait tracking China's campaign of multi-domain coercion against Taiwan
The big news this week is former Taiwan president Tsai Ing-wen's visit to Europe. It's a good opportunity for Taiwan to promote counter-narratives of democracy and international cooperation
https://open.substack.com/pub/stateofthestrait/p/former-taiwan-president-tsai-ing
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The latest edition of ASPI's State of the Strait tracking China's campaign of multi-domain coercion against Taiwan
China is continuing to block Taiwan's efforts to attend the World Health Assembly in Geneva later this month. Taiwan has been blocked from the WHA since 2017
https://open.substack.com/pub/stateofthestrait/p/taiwan-fights-for-a-voice-at-the
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Du fragst wie alt? So alt:
(Wer das noch gebrauchen kann, darf sich bei mir melden)
#10base2 #din #nonlegacy #ultrawide #aspi #u3w #vintagecomputing
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The latest edition of ASPI's State of the Strait notes the increase in espionage cases in Taiwan, many of which involve military or ex-military personnel
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The latest edition of ASPI's State of the Strait tracking all forms of coercion used by China against Taiwan
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ASPI has launched State of the Strait, a weekly report on Substack, to track all the forms of coercion China is using against Taiwan
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/to-counter-chinas-coercion-of-taiwan-we-must-track-it-better/
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Surprise, surprise! there is now a mature voice writing about strategic issues from an Australian perspective (no, not #aspi )
https://strategicanalysis.org/the-facts-have-changed-has-the-australian-government-noticed/
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@davidonformosa Also worth noting that #ASPI themselves are facing significant budget cuts in #Australia. 🤦♂️️
For now they're probably the most well-informed organization in the world to shine light on China's global influence operations.
The Chinese regime would naturally like to see them disbanded altogether.
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Some China-related NGOs face imminent closure as a result of the freezing of USAID funds
"In many cases, these organisations provide our last window into what is actually happening in China. They do the painstaking and often personally risky work of tracking Chinese media censorship, tallying local protests, uncovering human rights violations, documenting the Uyghur genocide, and supporting what remains of civil society in China."
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Guten Morgen, beste Timeline der Welt!
Umzug ist geschafft. Nun noch einrichten, Ihr wisst schon, dies das.
Das Ganze macht bei mir ganz schön Veranstaltung im Kopf, mehr als gedacht. Mir als #Aspi fällt so etwas unglaublich schwer.
Dafür habe ich aber Frau Lùmmel und die Hunde, Kontinuität ist extrem wichtig.
Internetanschluss gibt es erst näxte Woche, Mobilfunk ist auch scheiße, deshalb seht es mir nach, wenn ich mich noch weniger zu Wort melde, als ohnehin schon 😁
Habt einen netten Tag mit vielen kleinen Mirakeln und bitte bleibt/ werdet gesund! -
@nulleric well, I just had a quick google search and I found #Adaptec documentation for #ASPI.
So I'm wondering if I could interface that using #OpenWatcom and a simple text UI...
I've never done low level #SCSI programming, but I should have an Adaptec card somewhere and I could rip out my #BlueSCSI out of my mac...
Should be an interesting little project,, but I don't know when I might find some time for that...