#rulesbasedorder — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #rulesbasedorder, aggregated by home.social.
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I think it is important for anyone looking to understand the world we live in to have not only an #OpenMind, but to be able to see things from another perspective. So here is an interesting summary of where this world of ours might be in the next 10 years, written by Thomas des Garets Geddes, of crystal ball gazing from the #Chinese perspective (Source: Sinification on substack Follow the link to the article in James Farqharsan’s restack here. https://substack.com/@jamesfarquharson186716 )
1. US–China bipolarity will become firmly entrenched. The US will maintain an overall lead, dominating cyberspace, services and international influence, whilst China will dominate the physical economy, manufacturing and military scale.
2. Middle powers, including the EU and India, will reject ideological camps in favour of pragmatic, “issue-based alignment” [问题性结盟], navigating between the two superpower ecosystems.
3. Fuelled by populism, trade protectionism and the normalisation of “might makes right”, the current “counter-globalisation order” [逆全球化秩序] will reach its peak during the second Trump administration.
4. By 2035, prolonged political fragmentation and widespread popular dissatisfaction with almost two decades of counter-globalisation will generate global demand for a new international order grounded in basic moral principles.
5. AI-driven excess production and entrenched protectionism will fracture global markets, pushing states towards “club-style” coordination and cause a long-term shift away from the dollar towards gold and other currencies.
6. Cyberspace will supersede physical territory as the primary geopolitical arena, stratifying the globe into three tiers: intelligent technology standard-setters (the US and China), innovators and AI application economies.
7. The mutual estrangement of the US and Chinese R&D sectors will result in two distinct global digital standards and market spheres, while also reflecting a pattern of “homogenised development” [同质性发展] as the US increasingly mimics Chinese industrial policy.
8. The growing lethality of intelligent weapons, combined with nuclear deterrence, will constrain major powers to cyber operations. Yet the lower immediate lethality of such operations may increase the frequency of unmanned cyberattacks and conflict.
9, China should transition its diplomatic focus to cyberspace, encouraging enterprises to “go out” [走出去] via a “produce locally, consume locally” [当地生产当地消费] model to bypass protectionism and internationalise its tech standards.
10. To secure its global standing and achieve “high-quality opening up” [高水平对外开放], China must actively mitigate domestic populist currents and attract foreign research talent through institutional reform.#InternationalRelations #Economics #RulesBasedOrder #China
#GeoPolitics #SuperPowers #Ideology #Politics #ProfYanXuetong -
I think it is important for anyone looking to understand the world we live in to have not only an #OpenMind, but to be able to see things from another perspective. So here is an interesting summary of where this world of ours might be in the next 10 years, written by Thomas des Garets Geddes, of crystal ball gazing from the #Chinese perspective (Source: Sinification on substack Follow the link to the article in James Farqharsan’s restack here. https://substack.com/@jamesfarquharson186716 )
1. US–China bipolarity will become firmly entrenched. The US will maintain an overall lead, dominating cyberspace, services and international influence, whilst China will dominate the physical economy, manufacturing and military scale.
2. Middle powers, including the EU and India, will reject ideological camps in favour of pragmatic, “issue-based alignment” [问题性结盟], navigating between the two superpower ecosystems.
3. Fuelled by populism, trade protectionism and the normalisation of “might makes right”, the current “counter-globalisation order” [逆全球化秩序] will reach its peak during the second Trump administration.
4. By 2035, prolonged political fragmentation and widespread popular dissatisfaction with almost two decades of counter-globalisation will generate global demand for a new international order grounded in basic moral principles.
5. AI-driven excess production and entrenched protectionism will fracture global markets, pushing states towards “club-style” coordination and cause a long-term shift away from the dollar towards gold and other currencies.
6. Cyberspace will supersede physical territory as the primary geopolitical arena, stratifying the globe into three tiers: intelligent technology standard-setters (the US and China), innovators and AI application economies.
7. The mutual estrangement of the US and Chinese R&D sectors will result in two distinct global digital standards and market spheres, while also reflecting a pattern of “homogenised development” [同质性发展] as the US increasingly mimics Chinese industrial policy.
8. The growing lethality of intelligent weapons, combined with nuclear deterrence, will constrain major powers to cyber operations. Yet the lower immediate lethality of such operations may increase the frequency of unmanned cyberattacks and conflict.
9, China should transition its diplomatic focus to cyberspace, encouraging enterprises to “go out” [走出去] via a “produce locally, consume locally” [当地生产当地消费] model to bypass protectionism and internationalise its tech standards.
10. To secure its global standing and achieve “high-quality opening up” [高水平对外开放], China must actively mitigate domestic populist currents and attract foreign research talent through institutional reform.#InternationalRelations #Economics #RulesBasedOrder #China
#GeoPolitics #SuperPowers #Ideology #Politics #ProfYanXuetong -
I think it is important for anyone looking to understand the world we live in to have not only an #OpenMind, but to be able to see things from another perspective. So here is an interesting summary of where this world of ours might be in the next 10 years, written by Thomas des Garets Geddes, of crystal ball gazing from the #Chinese perspective (Source: Sinification on substack Follow the link to the article in James Farqharsan’s restack here. https://substack.com/@jamesfarquharson186716 )
1. US–China bipolarity will become firmly entrenched. The US will maintain an overall lead, dominating cyberspace, services and international influence, whilst China will dominate the physical economy, manufacturing and military scale.
2. Middle powers, including the EU and India, will reject ideological camps in favour of pragmatic, “issue-based alignment” [问题性结盟], navigating between the two superpower ecosystems.
3. Fuelled by populism, trade protectionism and the normalisation of “might makes right”, the current “counter-globalisation order” [逆全球化秩序] will reach its peak during the second Trump administration.
4. By 2035, prolonged political fragmentation and widespread popular dissatisfaction with almost two decades of counter-globalisation will generate global demand for a new international order grounded in basic moral principles.
5. AI-driven excess production and entrenched protectionism will fracture global markets, pushing states towards “club-style” coordination and cause a long-term shift away from the dollar towards gold and other currencies.
6. Cyberspace will supersede physical territory as the primary geopolitical arena, stratifying the globe into three tiers: intelligent technology standard-setters (the US and China), innovators and AI application economies.
7. The mutual estrangement of the US and Chinese R&D sectors will result in two distinct global digital standards and market spheres, while also reflecting a pattern of “homogenised development” [同质性发展] as the US increasingly mimics Chinese industrial policy.
8. The growing lethality of intelligent weapons, combined with nuclear deterrence, will constrain major powers to cyber operations. Yet the lower immediate lethality of such operations may increase the frequency of unmanned cyberattacks and conflict.
9, China should transition its diplomatic focus to cyberspace, encouraging enterprises to “go out” [走出去] via a “produce locally, consume locally” [当地生产当地消费] model to bypass protectionism and internationalise its tech standards.
10. To secure its global standing and achieve “high-quality opening up” [高水平对外开放], China must actively mitigate domestic populist currents and attract foreign research talent through institutional reform.#InternationalRelations #Economics #RulesBasedOrder #China
#GeoPolitics #SuperPowers #Ideology #Politics #ProfYanXuetong -
I think it is important for anyone looking to understand the world we live in to have not only an #OpenMind, but to be able to see things from another perspective. So here is an interesting summary of where this world of ours might be in the next 10 years, written by Thomas des Garets Geddes, of crystal ball gazing from the #Chinese perspective (Source: Sinification on substack Follow the link to the article in James Farqharsan’s restack here. https://substack.com/@jamesfarquharson186716 )
1. US–China bipolarity will become firmly entrenched. The US will maintain an overall lead, dominating cyberspace, services and international influence, whilst China will dominate the physical economy, manufacturing and military scale.
2. Middle powers, including the EU and India, will reject ideological camps in favour of pragmatic, “issue-based alignment” [问题性结盟], navigating between the two superpower ecosystems.
3. Fuelled by populism, trade protectionism and the normalisation of “might makes right”, the current “counter-globalisation order” [逆全球化秩序] will reach its peak during the second Trump administration.
4. By 2035, prolonged political fragmentation and widespread popular dissatisfaction with almost two decades of counter-globalisation will generate global demand for a new international order grounded in basic moral principles.
5. AI-driven excess production and entrenched protectionism will fracture global markets, pushing states towards “club-style” coordination and cause a long-term shift away from the dollar towards gold and other currencies.
6. Cyberspace will supersede physical territory as the primary geopolitical arena, stratifying the globe into three tiers: intelligent technology standard-setters (the US and China), innovators and AI application economies.
7. The mutual estrangement of the US and Chinese R&D sectors will result in two distinct global digital standards and market spheres, while also reflecting a pattern of “homogenised development” [同质性发展] as the US increasingly mimics Chinese industrial policy.
8. The growing lethality of intelligent weapons, combined with nuclear deterrence, will constrain major powers to cyber operations. Yet the lower immediate lethality of such operations may increase the frequency of unmanned cyberattacks and conflict.
9, China should transition its diplomatic focus to cyberspace, encouraging enterprises to “go out” [走出去] via a “produce locally, consume locally” [当地生产当地消费] model to bypass protectionism and internationalise its tech standards.
10. To secure its global standing and achieve “high-quality opening up” [高水平对外开放], China must actively mitigate domestic populist currents and attract foreign research talent through institutional reform.#InternationalRelations #Economics #RulesBasedOrder #China
#GeoPolitics #SuperPowers #Ideology #Politics #ProfYanXuetong -
I don't like the regime in Iran, but must stop bending the facts: Russia illegally invaded Ukraine. Israel & US illegally started a war on Iran. Is have illegally invaded Gaza & Lebanon. If we mean something by the #RulesBasedOrder it has to apply to all in equal measure! US & Israel >
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5ba3zjugf4kis434frdolgr3/post/3mhxyetbgks2a -
While the slavery UN resolution passed by a healthy 123 in for it, 3 against and 52 abstaining.
The three actively against were Israel, Argentina and the US.
The 52 abstain was made up primarily of the European block with a notable supporter of reparations, Ukraine, not having much to say on this clear and present need for reparations.
The "rules based order" at work I guess
#EU #Europe #Slavery #AfricanDiaspora #Reparations #Ukraine #NAFO #Ghana #EUPol #RulesBasedOrder
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What I don't understand about articles like this:
Why isn't an #EU that forcefully takes the position that this violates #internationalwar, tharulesbasedorder to conduct business according to int. law, that will react to actors & threats not adhering to int. law accordingly and therefore stay out of this considered a viable end state?
https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-middle-east-iran-war-security-defense-energy/ #Iran #USA #rulesbasedorder
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Ii object to our governments blaming rules they put in place following WWII to prevent wars for current wars. It is not following their rules that creates problems but their breaching them and wanting to avoid responsibility for them. Do the crime you too must do the time. #RulesBasedOrder
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#Australia’s shameless support for the #US attack on #Iran makes us gullible, duplicitous, or both.
The ease and speed with which Australia, along with #Britain and #Canada, fell in behind #Trump’s #attack on Iran was startling.
For a country that is constantly trumpeting the essentiality of the #international #rulesbasedorder in preserving global peace and stability, Australia is #shameless in its ability to slide into the #American slipstream. #auspol #Albanese
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CW: Israel-Iran War
If Israel and the US can bomb Iran because they don't like Iran, then why can't Russia bomb Ukraine because they don't like Ukraine?
You either have rules about such things, or you don't.
And call me old fashioned if you like, but I would rather live in a world where we have rules.
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Supporting ‘illegal aggression’ against #Iran ‘the worst thing’ #Australia could do, international law experts say.
Ben Saul says ‘rolling over’ after #Israel & #US #attack is counterproductive for middle powers because it #undermines #rulesbasedorder. #auspol #USPol
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The world is having to rethink rapidly its alliances, structures, organisations, and loyalties in the face of #Trump and the ongoing implosion of the #US.
This is not something that the US can recover from. After all of this, they can't just #elect someone different and expect the world to give it back the trust it has proven it is so unworthy of now.
The times, they are a-changin'.
They will require many countries, to work together in new and creative ways, collectively as well as individually, to stand up to the intolerable bully that is the murderous US.
Make no mistake, it is not just Trump that is the problem. Trump was elected BECAUSE the US is in the state it is.
They have no right to #hegemony or to consider themselves exceptional, unless perhaps exceptionally awful.
The #American experiment has failed, and for too long they have bullied the world into their lie of their fair so-called rules-based order. That lie is now destroyed.It is time for us all to establish a new future, one of cooperation, peace, and prosperity. It is time for us to set aside the endless demands of the belligerent US, and escape from its violent oppression.
"Now heaven and hell grapple on our backs and all our old pretense is ripped away. Aye, and God's icy wind will blow."
-- The Crucible, Arthur Miller."There is a world elsewhere."
-- Coriolanus, Shakespeare.#USA #MAGA #rulesBasedOrder #europe #africa #china #russia #middleeast #japan #australia #canada #war #peace #putin #xijinping #starmer #uk
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Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney’s speech at World Economic Forum in Davos
At Davos, Mark Carney warns the rules-based order has ruptured, urges middle powers to stop pretending, build shared resilience, and wield values-based realism to confront great-power coercion.
#CanadaForeignPolicy #Davos #democracy #EconomicCoercion #geopolitics #GlobalGovernance #GlobalOrder #GlobalSouth #GreatPowerRivalry #HumanRights #InternationalRelations #MarkCarney #MiddlePowers #Multilateralism #ProgressiveForeignPolicy #RulesBasedOrder #StrategicAutonomy #SustainableDevelopment #TradePolicy #ValuesBasedRealism #WorldEconomicForum https://wp.me/p1OjMZ-oCV -
As the world inches back to a pre-WW2 order, the 'middle powers' face a grave new challenge
#power #democracy #RulesBasedOrder #greatpowers #trump #carney #nato #un #us #Europe #newworldorder #middlepowers
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Surely Corporal Bonespurs claiming #NATO countries were minor and cowardly contributors in the Afghanistan conflict is a red line. The pushback by sane nations surely moves up a notch.
The balance of status-quo trade vs the economic pain of a restructuring needs a rethink.
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Over his decades in public life, #Trump has never been one for niceties. But even by his standards, the tumult of the past week stood out because it crystallized his determination to erase the #RulesBasedOrder that has governed #US #ForeignPolicy — & by extension most of the Western world — since WWII.
#MafiaState #imperialism #sovereignty #geopolitics #NewWorldOrder #economy #law #InternationalLaw #authoritarianism #autocracy #dictatorship #tyranny #MadKing
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Watching Mark Carney give his speech Canada's path forward • La voie que le Canada a choisie.
As an American watching our autohegemoncide, seeing us hurting our closest friends, I am glad for the clarity of this speech.
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Watching @[email protected] give his speech Canada's path forward • La voie que le Canada a choisie. As an American watching our autohegemoncide, seeing us hurting our closest friends, I am glad for the clarity of this speech. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ve4F... #CApol #WEF #RulesBasedOrder
Canada's path forward • La voi... -
“Every day, we are reminded that…. the rules-based order is fading. That the strong can do what they can, and the weak must suffer what they must.”
#rulesbasedorder #canada #Internationaltrade -
one of the useful facets of drawing your line in the sand is that one strong puff of wind can erase that line such that you can pretend it was never really there
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Biden's policy towards Israel "made Democrats hypocrites when defending a #RulesBasedOrder, racial equality, and democracy. It alienated elements of their base and placed them out of step with younger voters. And in an age of authoritarianism, fealty to an Israeli strongman who routinely humiliated them made Democrats appear weak":
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/01/opinion/democrats-israel.html "
It is past time for Democrats to stop supporting this Israeli government."
#WarCrimes #genocide #HumanRights #politics -
At the same time, ambitious #judges are overreaching [?] & cynical actors are using the global #courts to wage #lawfare, undermining their institutional authority & even the concept of a #RulesBasedOrder [🚨]. In short, when people complain that the #LawsOfWar are often ignored, they are right.
#law #ICC #ICJ #InternationalLaw #HumanitarianLaw #CrimesAgainstHumanity #WarCrimes #geopolitics
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Many supporters of global rules are in despair. “I cannot remember a time when I was more concerned about the state of international humanitarian law,” says Michael Schmitt, a law professor at the University of Reading & former American Air Force officer. “And I go back a ways.”
#law #LawsOfWar #InternationalLaw #HumanitarianLaw #ICC #ICJ #CrimesAgainstHumanity #WarCrimes #geopolitics #RulesBasedOrder #NewWorldOrder
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The International Criminal Court (#ICC), which prosecutes people for the vilest offences, such as #CrimesAgainstHumanity, is investigating a dozen conflicts & has issued arrest warrants for 30 big-time defendants who are still at large. The International Court of Justice (#ICJ), which settles disputes between countries, is ordering mighty armies to stop fighting.
#law #LawsOfWar #InternationalLaw #WarCrimes #geopolitics #RulesBasedOrder #NewWorldOrder
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The #LawsOfWar Are Being Largely Ignored
#International #courts have never been busier. Conflicts are more common than at any point since 1945. Ever more #civilians are being bombed, #starved & #raped by men with guns. These are the curses that the laws of war were invented to prevent, & that international courts are meant to punish & deter.
#law #InternationalLaw #ICC #ICJ #CrimesAgainstHumanity #WarCrimes #geopolitics #RulesBasedOrder #NewWorldOrder
https://www.economist.com/international/2025/08/05/why-the-laws-of-war-are-widely-ignored -
"Israel’s genocide and apartheid supported by the US, UK, Germany and other Western states is threatening the existence of the Palestinian people in our homeland while simultaneously destroying the multilateral system based on the rule of international law. The joint statement of the Hague Group Emergency Conference, initiated and signed by Global South countries, if translated into action provides a defence of both: the inalienable rights of the Palestinian people and the system of international law put in place since the Second World War. The statement marks a shift away from rhetorical support and politically stagnant processes, toward a principled, action-oriented approach grounded in the rights of the Palestinian people: the right to self-determination, to return, to reparations, to freedom and equality."
https://www.thepipd.com/actions/palestinian-civil-society-joint-statement-in-response-to-the-statement-on-the-conclusion-of-the-emergency-conference-on-palestine/
#Israel-Palestine #genocide #apartheid #RulesBasedOrder #justice -
"Wealthy, industrialised nations of the global North, such as the United States and Germany, are responsible for 90% of excessive levels of carbon dioxide emissions, and could be liable to pay a total of $170 trillion in compensation or reparations ..."
This shines a new light on a #RulesBasedOrder, the pressures against participating and ... what else?
#AusPol #ClimateChange #FossilFuelExports
https://goodlife.leeds.ac.uk/related-research/atmospheric-appropriation/
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@xanlopez.xyz I don't believe it's a binary thing, whether it exists or not, rather there are forces that seek to weaken it and forces that seek to strengthen it.
#RulesBasedOrder
#rulesbasedworldorder
#RulesBasedInternationalOrder -
If anyone ever did anything as awful as walking up to Penny Wong and punching her in the face, I would obviously defend that person's right to defend themselves from her, and would urge de-escalation, urge restraint, urge dialogue and diplomacy.
