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#economiccoercion — Public Fediverse posts

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  1. The Geopolitical Storm Is Closer Than India Thinks, It Must Prepare To Hit Back At Economic Coercion

    Storm clouds are gathering over the Indian political economy, both internally and externally. The external clouds are more…
    #Politics #China-PakistanNexus #economiccoercion #geopolitics #UStarrifs
    europesays.com/3283722/

  2. China's Economic Coercion Erodes Sovereign Decision Space

    Ten years on, a resounding endorsement of a landmark arbitral award has been issued by 14 governments, including global powers like Australia, Japan, the UK, and the US, alongside a united statement from the European Union, yet a deafening silence from others raises questions about the complex forces at play.

    osintsights.com/chinas-economi

    #Geopolitics #EconomicCoercion #China #NationalSecurity #SovereignDecisionSpace

  3. Canada Faces Economic Pressure as Trade Dispute Escalates with U.S.

    📰 Original title: Carney Warned About Economic Coercion. Now Trump Is Testing The Canadian Prime Minister

    🤖 IA: It's clickbait ⚠️
    👥 Users: It's clickbait ⚠️

    View full AI summary en.killbait.com/canada-faces-e

    #trade #tradewar #canadausrelations #economiccoercion

  4. Von der Leyen unveils major EU support initiatives in strategic trip to Armenia

    European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced the EU’s widespread support for Armenia during her visit to…
    #Economy #Armenia #Azerbaijan #economiccoercion #EconomyofEU #EconomyoftheEU #EUeconomy #Europe #pashinyan #southcaucasus #theeu #tradetariffs #UrsulavonderLeyen
    europesays.com/3104295/

  5. Pressure Without Paper

    By Cliff Potts, CSO, and Editor-in-Chief of WPS News
    Baybay City, Leyte, Philippines — June 16, 2026

    The Mechanism Being Examined

    Not all leverage is written into contracts.

    This essay examines political and economic pressure exercised outside formal agreements, particularly through trade restrictions, regulatory slowdowns, and selective enforcement framed as routine market behavior.

    These actions are often described as “commercial responses.” In practice, they function as informal enforcement tools.

    How Informal Pressure Works

    Unlike contract clauses, informal pressure leaves little paper.

    Common mechanisms include:

    • sudden customs delays
    • selective safety or quality inspections
    • suspension of imports citing technical reasons
    • regulatory reviews targeting specific firms or sectors
    • licensing slowdowns without clear explanation

    Individually, these actions can appear benign. Collectively, they send a clear signal.

    Compliance is rewarded. Resistance is punished.

    Why This Is Effective

    Informal pressure works because it is:

    • deniable
    • reversible
    • difficult to litigate
    • costly to challenge

    Affected governments and firms must choose between economic pain now or political concessions later. There is rarely a neutral option.

    Unlike tariffs or sanctions, these measures often avoid formal dispute mechanisms and fall into gray zones of trade governance.

    What the Record Shows

    In multiple documented cases, trade restrictions or regulatory actions have followed:

    • diplomatic disputes
    • security cooperation with rival states
    • criticism of Chinese domestic or foreign policy
    • changes in investment or procurement decisions

    The timing is often the evidence.

    When pressure appears shortly after political disagreement and disappears after accommodation, the pattern becomes hard to ignore.

    Who Bears the Cost

    The immediate costs fall on:

    • exporters and producers
    • workers in affected industries
    • regional economies dependent on trade

    Over time, the cost shifts to governments forced to factor political retaliation into economic planning.

    That is leverage achieved without rewriting a single contract.

    Why This Matters for the Philippines

    The Philippines is deeply integrated into regional trade networks.

    Selective enforcement or regulatory pressure can affect:

    • agricultural exports
    • manufacturing supply chains
    • tourism flows
    • port operations

    When economic access becomes conditional on political alignment, sovereignty narrows quietly.

    Why This Fits the Pattern

    Informal pressure complements formal contract design.

    When renegotiation is constrained and contracts are opaque, off-contract pressure fills the gaps. Together, they form a coercive ecosystem that operates without open confrontation.

    This is not unique to China. What distinguishes China is the scale, coordination, and persistence of these methods.

    What Comes Next

    The next essay will examine technology transfer and joint-venture requirements—how access to markets has been tied to the surrender of intellectual property and technical know-how.

    The record continues.

    For more social commentary, please see Occupy 2.5 at https://Occupy25.com

    This essay will be archived as part of the ongoing WPS News Monthly Brief Series available through Amazon.

    References (APA)

    Evenett, S. J., & Fritz, J. (2021). Going it alone? Trade policy after globalization. CEPR Press.

    Farrell, H., & Newman, A. (2019). Weaponized interdependence. International Security, 44(1), 42–79.

    World Trade Organization. (2023). World trade report: Trade resilience and policy uncertainty. WTO.

    #china #economicCoercion #governance #IndoPacificTrade #politicalLeverage #tradePressure #WPSNews
  6. HCSS at GLOBSEC | Europe’s Pivot: Converting Economic Weight into Geopolitical Clout

    On Friday, May 22, HCSS strategic analysts Irina Patrahau and Benedetta Girardi will be co-hosting the GLOBSEC 2026…
    #Europe #EU #BenedettaGirardi #coercion #criticalcupplychain #economiccoercion #economicsecurity #economics #europeanautonomy #EuropeanUnion #geo-economics #geoeconomics #globsec #irinapatrahau #Sanctions #Supplychains #systemiccompetition
    europesays.com/europe/48995/

  7. Australia's Grey-Zone Vulnerability Exposes Thinking Gap

    The rules-based international order has always been more myth than reality - and Australia is already living in the grey zone, where state actors are quietly buying up land, stealing intellectual property, and wielding economic and digital influence to get their way. From farm land grabs to disinformation campaigns, this…

    osintsights.com/australias-gre

    #GreyZoneVulnerability #NationalSecurity #Geopolitics #EconomicCoercion #Disinformation

  8. Davos Shock: Mark Carney Urges Nations to Break Free From U.S. Coercion

    At Davos, Mark Carney delivers a historic rebuke of Trump’s America, calling on nations to break free from coercion and rebuild multilateral trust.

    #CanadaPolitics #Davos #democracy #EconomicCoercion #globalDecoupling #IndependentMedia #MarkCarney #MiddlePowers #Multilateralism #ProgressivePolitics #TrumpForeignPolicy #USDecline #WorldEconomicForum wp.me/p1OjMZ-oDg
  9. Current U.S. Foreign Policy and Its Impact on Canada: An Expert Perspective

    Author(s): Scott Douglas Jacobsen

    Publication (Outlet/Website): The Good Men Project

    Publication Date (yyyy/mm/dd): 2025/07/07

    Defense expert Anthony Cowden outlines the current U.S. administration’s foreign policy as a return to “Primacy” and a tripartite world ruled by the U.S., Russia, and China. This policy shift has led to strained relations with Canada, particularly through tariff-based economic coercion and disrespectful rhetoric framing Canada as the “51st state.” Violations of the USMCA and unilateral policy declarations by the President have eroded diplomatic trust. Canada, under Prime Minister Mark Carney, is now pivoting east and west to diversify trade, signaling a significant shift in North American economic and strategic alignment.

    Scott Douglas Jacobsen: What is the current U.S. administration’s approach to foreign policy?

    Anthony Cowden: The current U.S. administration approach to foreign policy can be summarized as a “return to Primacy” (1) and “rule by great powers” (2). The U.S. administration believes that the U.S. retains a singular position as the most powerful nation in the world, and is able to set “…norms of behaviour, determining when those norms have been breached, and action to enforce them.”(1) Ironically, as I have noted previously, “…the U.S. is rapidly shedding both its security and economic partners, so while it will still be a great power, the US will never again be as powerful in absolute terms as it is today.” (2). Current U.S. foreign policy actions seem to suggest that the U.S envisions a world not guided by past principals of liberal internationalism, but instead a “…a tripartite world ruled by three great powers – the United States, Russia, and China – each with their own sphere of influence.” (2) 

    (1) https://www.lowyinstitute.org/archive/what-primacy-exactly
    (2)https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2025/03/31/a_tripartite_word__sort_of_1100856.html

    Jacobsen: You mentioned economic coercion to pressure Canada. What is the form of coercion perceived by Canadian policymakers?

    Cowden: The economic coercion that the U.S. is currently employing against Canada is, of course, tariffs. Despite the fact that the current President negotiated the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) in 2018, the administration has turned its back on that agreement in a campaign to, at the very least, intimidate and cow Canadian leadership. It is not yet clear if this administration will expand its coercive efforts beyond tariff policy.

    A parenthetical note about U.S. administration policies regarding the USMCA: since the U.S. has violated the USMCA with respect to economic relations with both Canada and Mexico, it is not clear why any nation would believe that the U.S. would honor any future trade agreement made with this administration. At the very least, considering the wide range of restrictive tariffs this administration has imposed on nations around the world, and the time it takes to negotiate and enact lasting trade policies, it suggests that trade policy with the U.S. will be in flux for the entirety of the second trump administration.

    Jacobsen: What actions by the U.S. administration damaged diplomatic rapport with Canada?

    Cowden: The U.S. administration has damaged diplomatic rapport with Canada in a number of ways. One way was violating the terms of the USMCA in levying restrictive tariffs on Canada. While many of those tariffs have been rolled back, tariffs on aluminum, steel and oil (for example) are still in place. Another way is to belittle the previous Prime Minister by referring to him as a “governor”, implying he was only the leader of a future U.S. state, not the elected head of state of a sovereign nation. Given that nation is the closest ally and economic partner of the United States, this statement was viewed as being deeply offensive. Finally, the most egregious action has been to state that the U.S. seeks to make Canada the 51st state through economic coercion. For some reason this administration does not recognize the importance of national sovereignty under international law, or its relationship to national pride, security, and autonomy. 

    A parenthetical note about U.S. policy: when the President says something, that is U.S. policy. Normally, presidential statements of any import are preceded by consideration through the interagency process. In this process, the applicable departments of the U.S. government staff the issue at hand, considering all the known and anticipated ramifications of a proposed policy, often with consultation with Congress, before it is announced by the president. No such process exists under the current administration; in this administration, the president makes statements, either through executive orders, interviews, or posts on social media (one of which, Truth Social, he owns), and that constitutes U.S. policy. Of particular note, there appears to be no real effort to engage Congress in any way, even to enact legislation to implement policies that require legislation.

    Jacobsen: How is Canada evolving its response to unreliability in U.S. treaty obligations?

    Cowden: I have not been following Canadian political efforts closely, but I would note that the newly elected Prime Minister, Mark Carney, has been the leader of two national banking systems, and is as well-equipped as any head of government to engage in and craft economic policy. I have predicted for some time that Canada would be looking both east to Europe and west to Asia to diversify its economic relationships so that it is not as economically reliant on the USMCA. (3) 

    (3) https://www.reuters.com/world/canada-pm-carney-uk-pm-starmer-agree-strengthen-defense-commercial-ties-call-2025-05-12/

    Jacobsen: Canada is treated as a ’51st state.’ What are the rhetorical, symbolic, or policy, motives for this?

    Cowden: With regard to Canada’s response to the unreliability of U.S. treaty obligations, see my previous reply. I would add that my understanding is that currently, oil pipelines that move oil from Canada’s western provinces to its eastern maritime provinces dip down into the U.S., but that a previously planned, but later cancelled, project to build a pipeline across Ontario will be re-started. This would allow Canada to easily ship western oil to eastern seaports without relying on U.S. oil pipeline infrastructure. This would allow Canada to more easily export oil to other markets without going through the U.S.

    Jacobsen: How will North American strategic and economic stability be impacted by the current trends in U.S.-Canada relations?

    Cowden: Incredible as it is to say, the motivation for U.S. policy to pursue making Canada the 51st state of the United States appears to be that the president himself does not view Canadian sovereignty as being legitimate, right, or necessary.

    If current trends in U.S.-Canada relations continue, it will negatively affect the national wealth of both the U.S. and Canada. I believe permanent damage has been done to the U.S.-Canada economic, diplomatic, security, and popular relationship. Canadian citizens, arguably the most polite and accommodating people in the world, are seriously upset with current U.S. policy. Canada now knows that the U.S. political process can elect a president willing to violate his own trade agreements and other international norms, standards, rules and laws in dealing with other nations, including its closest (literally!) economic, diplomatic, and security ally, partner, and friend.

    Jacobsen: Thank you for the opportunity and your time, Anthony.

    Last updated May 3, 2025. These terms govern all In Sight Publishing content—past, present, and future—and supersede any prior notices. In Sight Publishing by Scott Douglas Jacobsen is licensed under a Creative Commons BY‑NC‑ND 4.0; © In Sight Publishing by Scott Douglas Jacobsen 2012–Present. All trademarks, performances, databases & branding are owned by their rights holders; no use without permission. Unauthorized copying, modification, framing or public communication is prohibited. External links are not endorsed. Cookies & tracking require consent, and data processing complies with PIPEDA & GDPR; no data from children < 13 (COPPA). Content meets WCAG 2.1 AA under the Accessible Canada Act & is preserved in open archival formats with backups. Excerpts & links require full credit & hyperlink; limited quoting under fair-dealing & fair-use. All content is informational; no liability for errors or omissions: Feedback welcome, and verified errors corrected promptly. For permissions or DMCA notices, email: [email protected]. Site use is governed by BC laws; content is “as‑is,” liability limited, users indemnify us; moral, performers’ & database sui generis rights reserved.

    #CanadianSovereignty #EconomicCoercion #StrategicRealignment #USPrimacy #USMCAViolations

  10. G7 Nations Discuss Countering China’s ‘Economic Coercion’ - The Group of Seven (G7) countries are discussing ways to counter China’s “economic... - news.bitcoin.com/g7-nations-di #economiccoercion #economics #china #g7

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