#pollsters — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #pollsters, aggregated by home.social.
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This is an example of #journalism feeding #farright
#journalist & #pollsters are promoting LIES
Indeed, everything is NOT a question of opinion
#farright is promoting that their opinions are acceptable as opinions despite the TRUTH, then wants to IMPOSE a TRUTH unrelated & contrary to solid facts
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:ye3qdusvqb7yd7xk6wjgf6sy/post/3mrciqyhnuk24 -
Steady decline in #Putin's ratings is sending a message, just not the kind #polls in #democracies are designed to capture
As #Kremlin's grip over internet tightens , #pro-war military #bloggers, state-approved “opposition” parties & even #influencers railed against #online #crackdown
State-linked #pollsters report Putin's approval rating has steadily declined, reaching its lowest point during the all-out invasion of Ukraine.
https://kyivindependent.com/russias-online-crackdown-reveals-rift-in-kremlin/
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For everyone hoping Dems have a plan
just got this political text
How do you manage to fuck this up so badly?
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#Swiss #voters back electronic #identity cards in close #vote | #Switzerland | The Guardian
#Pollsters confounded by 50.4% support for e-IDs after forecasting stronger backing for ‘yes’ vote
#eid #id #identification -
Doesn't sound like the #pollsters asked respondents if they liked #anarchism
https://share.google/bcvynjafj4oAukW3X #bernie #aoc #mamdani -
@Waitnwallflower @noondlyt
(con't) THIS time...No experts. No promise to get Mexico to pay for a wall. Has "concepts of a plan" to replace ObamaCare after 8 years. He's nominating incompetent unqualified sycophants to fill every job, and his only pledge appears to be a promise to go after all of his enemies (a list that includes the entire #ForthEstate, #pollsters who said he was behind, and the #FBI.) #DisasterPresidency #TeamOfSycophants
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@GreenFire
#pollsters answer to those who pay the piper. #ClimateScience professionals answer to their colleagues for their findings -
#TurningPoint in US #Senate elections this year is expected to be hidden dynamic of "undecided" voters...Most are likely leaning to become #TrumpVoters according to #WSJ.
In #Ohio 78% of so called "undecided" voters lean #Trump, in AZ 77% ... these are likely #voters that oft have no idea who the candidates for the upper chamber are, but will end up following #DJT recommendations.
Seasoned Political #Pollsters expect #UndecidedVoters could take the #GOP #Trumpmentum from a 51-seat majority to more comfortable 53 or more in #USSenate #2024election.
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/expect-the-gop-to-win-big-in-the-senate-secret-weapon-trump-voters-election-578d3764?st=sHjyMt&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink #GiftLink #WSJ #SharedLink
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@MHowell
Wasn't me, but I don't doubt it.As I've said repeatedly: "It's a #dangerous game The #Media and #pollsters are playing, hyping a close race.
B/c if we do see a lopsided win, it only feeds into The #Cult's narrative that "the election was stolen."
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@gemelliz There was a great Macleans magazine bullseye data visualization in 2021 comparing Canadian pollsters biases or ‘House effects’ against actual election outcomes. (Unfortunately, the image of the visualization doesn’t load anymore but the text remains.)
Angus Reid was the significant outlier - here’s the Macleans commentary: “We see here the opposite tendency of IRG: Virtually all of Angus Reid’s polls are located in the upper-left quadrant, meaning high CPC and low LPC numbers compared to the poll average. This also shows a systematic house effect. Of note: In the last two federal elections, the Angus Reid Institute was well within the margin of error away from the final CPC result (but it underestimated the Liberal vote.) And interestingly, the measurable tilt towards the federal conservatives does not translate into a noticeable skew in Angus Reid’s provincial polls.”
https://macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/federal-election-2021-know-your-pollsters/
338.com gives Angus Reid a B+ middle of the pack rating based on recent provincial elections. With a C on the election in Quebec though, any of their national poll results have to be doubtful, so Macleans 2021 analysis appears to hold.
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Watch Out #Pollsters, #Youth #Voters Prioritize Stopping #Trump
https://crooksandliars.com/2023/11/watch-out-pollsters-youth-voters
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one that could embolden #politicians of any ideological stripe to disregard the #law.
Those fears, however, may be premature.
A new, broader survey of #Republican voters suggests that the #indictments have, in fact, dented #Trump’s advantage in the #primary. The study was designed by a group of university researchers who argue that #pollsters have been asking the wrong questions to assess how the indictments have affected #GOP voters.
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#Republicans’ #fixation on #trans #issues could #backfire, #pollsters say. #Analysts say both parties must #WalkAFineLine on the #issue to win #voters
https://rollcall.com/2023/03/31/republicans-fixation-on-trans-issues-could-backfire-pollsters-say/
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NO, we did NOT just get proof that #Biden’s approval numbers are way off.
We got proof that:
1) Many who aren't thrilled with Biden like the GOP even less.
2) #Pollsters ask bad questions. They should ask "who do you like better/worse."
https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/did-we-just-get-proof-that-joe-bidens-approval-rating-numbers-are-way-off/47796