#technologicalprogress — Public Fediverse posts

Tech Troubleshooting in Space – Econlib

When astronaut Christina Koch, the first woman to fly around the moon, reported an issue from space that…
#NewsBeep #News #Technology #CA #Canada #happiness #technologicalprogress
https://www.newsbeep.com/ca/610169/

https://www.europesays.com/ie/439791/ Tech Troubleshooting in Space – Econlib #Éire #happiness #IE #Ireland #TechnologicalProgress #Technology

https://www.europesays.com/dk/61017/ Watch: Robot chasing wild boars in Warsaw goes viral. Internet says ‘Future looking wild’ #AIRobotUsefulnessDebate #HumanoidRobotWarsawViralVideo #HumanoidRobots #Poland #RobotChasingWildBoarsReactions #RoboticsMarketingStunt #TechnologicalProgress #UnitreeG1RobotPoland #UrbanSpaces #ViralTechVideos #ViralVideo #Warsaw #WarsawBoarProblem #WildBoars

Watch: Robot chasing wild boars in Warsaw goes viral. Internet says ‘Future looking wild’

A viral video showing a humanoid robot chasing wild boars in Warsaw has tri…
#Poland #Polska #PL #Europe #Europa #EU #Warsaw #AIrobotusefulnessdebate #humanoidrobotWarsawviralvideo #humanoidrobots #robotchasingwildboarsreactions #roboticsmarketingstunt #technologicalprogress #UnitreeG1robotPoland #urbanspaces #viraltechvideos #viralvideo #Warsawboarproblem #wildboars
https://www.europesays.com/poland/1698/

“ #Advancedeconomies expand and remain #competitive not through additional #labor inputs but through #capital deepening, #technologicalprogress, and #totalfactorproductivity #growth.” www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a...

A Stronger Work Ethic Won’t Fi...

“ #Advancedeconomies expand and remain #competitive not through additional #labor inputs but through #capital deepening, #technologicalprogress, and #totalfactorproductivity #growth.” www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a...

A Stronger Work Ethic Won’t Fi...

“ #Advancedeconomies expand and remain #competitive not through additional #labor inputs but through #capital deepening, #technologicalprogress, and #totalfactorproductivity #growth.” www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a...

A Stronger Work Ethic Won’t Fi...

“ #Advancedeconomies expand and remain #competitive not through additional #labor inputs but through #capital deepening, #technologicalprogress, and #totalfactorproductivity #growth.” www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a...

A Stronger Work Ethic Won’t Fi...

“ #Advancedeconomies expand and remain #competitive not through additional #labor inputs but through #capital deepening, #technologicalprogress, and #totalfactorproductivity #growth.” www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a...

A Stronger Work Ethic Won’t Fi...

Elon Musk Says SpaceX’s Starship Is ‘One of the Most Profound Things’ In Human History and as Important as the Development of Life Itself

Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk has built a reputation for framing technological progress in long time horizons, often empha…
#NewsBeep #News #Space #AU #Australia #ElonMusk #industrialcapability #KatieMillerPodcast #majordevelopments #partiallyreusable #Reusability #rocketdesign #Science #SpaceX #Starship #technologicalprogress
https://www.newsbeep.com/au/355820/

https://www.europesays.com/ie/238660/ Elon Musk Says SpaceX’s Starship Is ‘One of the Most Profound Things’ In Human History and as Important as the Development of Life Itself #Éire #ElonMusk #IE #IndustrialCapability #Ireland #KatieMillerPodcast #MajorDevelopments #PartiallyReusable #Reusability #RocketDesign #Science #Space #SpaceX #Starship #TechnologicalProgress

Elon Musk, Jensen Huang to talk AI at US-Saudi investment forum

By David Shepardson WASHINGTON (Reuters) –Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk and Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang will take…
#NewsBeep #News #Artificialintelligence #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #CA #Canada #DavidShepardson #DonaldTrump #ElonMusk #JensenHuang #MohammedbinSalman #SaudiArabia #SaudiCrownPrince #technologicalprogress #Technology #WhiteHouse
https://www.newsbeep.com/ca/293062/

https://www.europesays.com/ie/188340/ Elon Musk, Jensen Huang to talk AI at US-Saudi investment forum #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #ArtificialIntelligence #Éire #IE #Ireland #Nvidia #TechnologicalProgress #Technology

Economist Mohamed El-Erian says AI’s ‘rational bubble’ could still end in tears

Artificial intelligence may be the hottest trade on Wall Street — but that doesn’t mean it won’t end…
#NewsBeep #News #Economy #Artificialintelligence #Business #CA #Canada #Investors #mohamedel-erian #PresidentObama #rationalbubble #technologicalprogress
https://www.newsbeep.com/ca/280686/

People who rail against technological progress, Bitcoin, artificial intelligence, and other current developments remind me of those who mocked Galileo, demonized electricity, and considered the steam engine uncontrollable.
These are all things that no one questions today.

Just sit back and accept that life continues to evolve—and yes, often unpredictably and in leaps and bounds.

#technologicalprogress #AI #Bitcoin

People who rail against technological progress, Bitcoin, artificial intelligence, and other current developments remind me of those who mocked Galileo, demonized electricity, and considered the steam engine uncontrollable.
These are all things that no one questions today.

Just sit back and accept that life continues to evolve—and yes, often unpredictably and in leaps and bounds.

#technologicalprogress #AI #Bitcoin

People who rail against technological progress, Bitcoin, artificial intelligence, and other current developments remind me of those who mocked Galileo, demonized electricity, and considered the steam engine uncontrollable.
These are all things that no one questions today.

Just sit back and accept that life continues to evolve—and yes, often unpredictably and in leaps and bounds.

#technologicalprogress #AI #Bitcoin

People who rail against technological progress, Bitcoin, artificial intelligence, and other current developments remind me of those who mocked Galileo, demonized electricity, and considered the steam engine uncontrollable.
These are all things that no one questions today.

Just sit back and accept that life continues to evolve—and yes, often unpredictably and in leaps and bounds.

#technologicalprogress #AI #Bitcoin

People who rail against technological progress, Bitcoin, artificial intelligence, and other current developments remind me of those who mocked Galileo, demonized electricity, and considered the steam engine uncontrollable.
These are all things that no one questions today.

Just sit back and accept that life continues to evolve—and yes, often unpredictably and in leaps and bounds.

#technologicalprogress #AI #Bitcoin

Oh goody 🙄
#technologicalprogress #MonstersOfTheId #becausewecan #notbecauseweshould
https://www.csoonline.com/article/3698516/chatgpt-creates-mutating-malware-that-evades-detection-by-edr.html
>Mutating, or polymorphic, malware can be built using the ChatGPT API at runtime to effect advanced attacks that can evade endpoint detections and response (EDR) applications.

Oh goody 🙄
#technologicalprogress #MonstersOfTheId #becausewecan #notbecauseweshould
https://www.csoonline.com/article/3698516/chatgpt-creates-mutating-malware-that-evades-detection-by-edr.html
>Mutating, or polymorphic, malware can be built using the ChatGPT API at runtime to effect advanced attacks that can evade endpoint detections and response (EDR) applications.

Oh goody 🙄
#technologicalprogress #MonstersOfTheId #becausewecan #notbecauseweshould
https://www.csoonline.com/article/3698516/chatgpt-creates-mutating-malware-that-evades-detection-by-edr.html
>Mutating, or polymorphic, malware can be built using the ChatGPT API at runtime to effect advanced attacks that can evade endpoint detections and response (EDR) applications.

Oh goody 🙄
#technologicalprogress #MonstersOfTheId #becausewecan #notbecauseweshould
https://www.csoonline.com/article/3698516/chatgpt-creates-mutating-malware-that-evades-detection-by-edr.html
>Mutating, or polymorphic, malware can be built using the ChatGPT API at runtime to effect advanced attacks that can evade endpoint detections and response (EDR) applications.

Oh goody 🙄
#technologicalprogress #MonstersOfTheId #becausewecan #notbecauseweshould
https://www.csoonline.com/article/3698516/chatgpt-creates-mutating-malware-that-evades-detection-by-edr.html
>Mutating, or polymorphic, malware can be built using the ChatGPT API at runtime to effect advanced attacks that can evade endpoint detections and response (EDR) applications.

Our World Is Changing Ever Faster: What This Means For Our Survival
#Science #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #ChatGPT #ChatGPT3 #Change #ClimateChange #EV #Finance #Banking #OnlineLearning #PersonalHealth #Robots #Survival #TechnologicalProgress #Survival
https://the-14.com/our-world-is-changing-ever-faster-what-this-means-for-our-survival/

Our World Is Changing Ever Faster: What This Means For Our Survival
#Science #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #ChatGPT #ChatGPT3 #Change #ClimateChange #EV #Finance #Banking #OnlineLearning #PersonalHealth #Robots #Survival #TechnologicalProgress #Survival
https://the-14.com/our-world-is-changing-ever-faster-what-this-means-for-our-survival/

For nearly a quarter of a century I have been studying Earth's #climate history, hoping that providing natural records to contrast with abrupt #AnthropogenicClimateChange would cause action. It hasn't. Nothing has. During this quarter century, the work of me and many, many others has largely been ignored because we didn't want to change the way we live. We live on the crest of a wave of #TechnologicalProgress, and we just can't fathom living in harmony with our planet.
https://journa.host/@therockyfiles/109525894829623553

For nearly a quarter of a century I have been studying Earth's #climate history, hoping that providing natural records to contrast with abrupt #AnthropogenicClimateChange would cause action. It hasn't. Nothing has. During this quarter century, the work of me and many, many others has largely been ignored because we didn't want to change the way we live. We live on the crest of a wave of #TechnologicalProgress, and we just can't fathom living in harmony with our planet.
https://journa.host/@therockyfiles/109525894829623553

For nearly a quarter of a century I have been studying Earth's #climate history, hoping that providing natural records to contrast with abrupt #AnthropogenicClimateChange would cause action. It hasn't. Nothing has. During this quarter century, the work of me and many, many others has largely been ignored because we didn't want to change the way we live. We live on the crest of a wave of #TechnologicalProgress, and we just can't fathom living in harmony with our planet.
https://journa.host/@therockyfiles/109525894829623553

For nearly a quarter of a century I have been studying Earth's #climate history, hoping that providing natural records to contrast with abrupt #AnthropogenicClimateChange would cause action. It hasn't. Nothing has. During this quarter century, the work of me and many, many others has largely been ignored because we didn't want to change the way we live. We live on the crest of a wave of #TechnologicalProgress, and we just can't fathom living in harmony with our planet.
https://journa.host/@therockyfiles/109525894829623553

For nearly a quarter of a century I have been studying Earth's #climate history, hoping that providing natural records to contrast with abrupt #AnthropogenicClimateChange would cause action. It hasn't. Nothing has. During this quarter century, the work of me and many, many others has largely been ignored because we didn't want to change the way we live. We live on the crest of a wave of #TechnologicalProgress, and we just can't fathom living in harmony with our planet.
https://journa.host/@therockyfiles/109525894829623553

Just to call out a couple of examples above: the Hyperloop and Airships.

The Hyperloop is based on vacuum-train designs dating to the nineteenth century. There was actually a pretty big engineering proposal in the 1970s. It largely concluded that costs, risks, and engineering challenges would be really high.

Airships are another concept that gets trotted out every decade or so --- I've seen four or five revivals of interest. And there's been some real progress ---- we're no longer literally sewing together gasbags from oxgut (as was the case with the Zeppelins). We've got modern synthetics which are extremely thin, strong, and nonpermeable. Better living through plastics ...

But ...

... airships have other tremendous challenges:

• Rather than floating on a fluid, as with marine ships, or generating dynamic lift as with airplanes, airships are suspended in a fluid like a submarine. And it turns out that that neutral buoyancy is difficult to maintain and tends to compound on itself. A ship, as it settles deeper in the water wants to rise more. An airship as it sinks or climbs, wants to sink or climb more.

• Unloading cargo must be balanced by either loading ballast or venting lifting gas. Depending on your lifting gas that's expensive dangerous or both.

• Airships fly low and slow. They're most efficient within only a few thousand feet of the ground, which is where most weather and turbulence are. Jet airliners are popular, amongst other reasons because they fly above the weather, most of the time.

• Airship's structures must be extremely light but face tremendous forces. They're far more susceptible to high winds than rigid airplane fuselage and wing assemblies are.

• Neal Stephenson "Diamond Age" vacuum airships ... simply are not possible with any known structures we have. So hydrogen and helium are the best lifting gasses we'll get, and those are barely sufficient for even noncommercial applications.

TL;DR: airships are hard, and face tremendous challenges. The opportunities for advance are ... fairly slim. Better approaches exist for most transport cases (trains, marine cargo), and in the few cases airships might offer some benefits ... those are still fairly slight.

So again, see the questions in the prior toot and keep them in mind.

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Edits: tyops and speling. 2022-11-21

4/end/

Just to call out a couple of examples above: the Hyperloop and Airships.

The Hyperloop is based on vacuum-train designs dating to the nineteenth century. There was actually a pretty big engineering proposal in the 1970s. It largely concluded that costs, risks, and engineering challenges would be really high.

Airships are another concept that gets trotted out every decade or so --- I've seen four or five revivals of interest. And there's been some real progress ---- we're no longer literally sewing together gasbags from oxgut (as was the case with the Zeppelins). We've got modern synthetics which are extremely thin, strong, and nonpermeable. Better living through plastics ...

But ...

... airships have other tremendous challenges:

• Rather than floating on a fluid, as with marine ships, or generating dynamic lift as with airplanes, airships are suspended in a fluid like a submarine. And it turns out that that neutral buoyancy is difficult to maintain and tends to compound on itself. A ship, as it settles deeper in the water wants to rise more. An airship as it sinks or climbs, wants to sink or climb more.

• Unloading cargo must be balanced by either loading ballast or venting lifting gas. Depending on your lifting gas that's expensive dangerous or both.

• Airships fly low and slow. They're most efficient within only a few thousand feet of the ground, which is where most weather and turbulence are. Jet airliners are popular, amongst other reasons because they fly above the weather, most of the time.

• Airship's structures must be extremely light but face tremendous forces. They're far more susceptible to high winds than rigid airplane fuselage and wing assemblies are.

• Neal Stephenson "Diamond Age" vacuum airships ... simply are not possible with any known structures we have. So hydrogen and helium are the best lifting gasses we'll get, and those are barely sufficient for even noncommercial applications.

TL;DR: airships are hard, and face tremendous challenges. The opportunities for advance are ... fairly slim. Better approaches exist for most transport cases (trains, marine cargo), and in the few cases airships might offer some benefits ... those are still fairly slight.

So again, see the questions in the prior toot and keep them in mind.

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Edits: tyops and speling. 2022-11-21

4/end/

Just to call out a couple of examples above: the Hyperloop and Airships.

The Hyperloop is based on vacuum-train designs dating to the nineteenth century. There was actually a pretty big engineering proposal in the 1970s. It largely concluded that costs, risks, and engineering challenges would be really high.

Airships are another concept that gets trotted out every decade or so --- I've seen four or five revivals of interest. And there's been some real progress ---- we're no longer literally sewing together gasbags from oxgut (as was the case with the Zeppelins). We've got modern synthetics which are extremely thin, strong, and nonpermeable. Better living through plastics ...

But ...

... airships have other tremendous challenges:

• Rather than floating on a fluid, as with marine ships, or generating dynamic lift as with airplanes, airships are suspended in a fluid like a submarine. And it turns out that that neutral buoyancy is difficult to maintain and tends to compound on itself. A ship, as it settles deeper in the water wants to rise more. An airship as it sinks or climbs, wants to sink or climb more.

• Unloading cargo must be balanced by either loading ballast or venting lifting gas. Depending on your lifting gas that's expensive dangerous or both.

• Airships fly low and slow. They're most efficient within only a few thousand feet of the ground, which is where most weather and turbulence are. Jet airliners are popular, amongst other reasons because they fly above the weather, most of the time.

• Airship's structures must be extremely light but face tremendous forces. They're far more susceptible to high winds than rigid airplane fuselage and wing assemblies are.

• Neal Stephenson "Diamond Age" vacuum airships ... simply are not possible with any known structures we have. So hydrogen and helium are the best lifting gasses we'll get, and those are barely sufficient for even noncommercial applications.

TL;DR: airships are hard, and face tremendous challenges. The opportunities for advance are ... fairly slim. Better approaches exist for most transport cases (trains, marine cargo), and in the few cases airships might offer some benefits ... those are still fairly slight.

So again, see the questions in the prior toot and keep them in mind.

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Edits: tyops and speling. 2022-11-21

4/end/

Just to call out a couple of examples above: the Hyperloop and Airships.

The Hyperloop is based on vacuum-train designs dating to the nineteenth century. There was actually a pretty big engineering proposal in the 1970s. It largely concluded that costs, risks, and engineering challenges would be really high.

Airships are another concept that gets trotted out every decade or so --- I've seen four or five revivals of interest. And there's been some real progress ---- we're no longer literally sewing together gasbags from oxgut (as was the case with the Zeppelins). We've got modern synthetics which are extremely thin, strong, and nonpermeable. Better living through plastics ...

But ...

... airships have other tremendous challenges:

• Rather than floating on a fluid, as with marine ships, or generating dynamic lift as with airplanes, airships are suspended in a fluid like a submarine. And it turns out that that neutral buoyancy is difficult to maintain and tends to compound on itself. A ship, as it settles deeper in the water wants to rise more. An airship as it sinks or climbs, wants to sink or climb more.

• Unloading cargo must be balanced by either loading ballast or venting lifting gas. Depending on your lifting gas that's expensive dangerous or both.

• Airships fly low and slow. They're most efficient within only a few thousand feet of the ground, which is where most weather and turbulence are. Jet airliners are popular, amongst other reasons because they fly above the weather, most of the time.

• Airship's structures must be extremely light but face tremendous forces. They're far more susceptible to high winds than rigid airplane fuselage and wing assemblies are.

• Neal Stephenson "Diamond Age" vacuum airships ... simply are not possible with any known structures we have. So hydrogen and helium are the best lifting gasses we'll get, and those are barely sufficient for even noncommercial applications.

TL;DR: airships are hard, and face tremendous challenges. The opportunities for advance are ... fairly slim. Better approaches exist for most transport cases (trains, marine cargo), and in the few cases airships might offer some benefits ... those are still fairly slight.

So again, see the questions in the prior toot and keep them in mind.

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Edits: tyops and speling. 2022-11-21

4/end/

Just to call out a couple of examples above: the Hyperloop and Airships.

The Hyperloop is based on vacuum-train designs dating to the nineteenth century. There was actually a pretty big engineering proposal in the 1970s. It largely concluded that costs, risks, and engineering challenges would be really high.

Airships are another concept that gets trotted out every decade or so --- I've seen four or five revivals of interest. And there's been some real progress ---- we're no longer literally sewing together gasbags from oxgut (as was the case with the Zeppelins). We've got modern synthetics which are extremely thin, strong, and nonpermeable. Better living through plastics ...

But ...

... airships have other tremendous challenges:

• Rather than floating on a fluid, as with marine ships, or generating dynamic lift as with airplanes, airships are suspended in a fluid like a submarine. And it turns out that that neutral buoyancy is difficult to maintain and tends to compound on itself. A ship, as it settles deeper in the water wants to rise more. An airship as it sinks or climbs, wants to sink or climb more.

• Unloading cargo must be balanced by either loading ballast or venting lifting gas. Depending on your lifting gas that's expensive dangerous or both.

• Airships fly low and slow. They're most efficient within only a few thousand feet of the ground, which is where most weather and turbulence are. Jet airliners are popular, amongst other reasons because they fly above the weather, most of the time.

• Airship's structures must be extremely light but face tremendous forces. They're far more susceptible to high winds than rigid airplane fuselage and wing assemblies are.

• Neal Stephenson "Diamond Age" vacuum airships ... simply are not possible with any known structures we have. So hydrogen and helium are the best lifting gasses we'll get, and those are barely sufficient for even noncommercial applications.

TL;DR: airships are hard, and face tremendous challenges. The opportunities for advance are ... fairly slim. Better approaches exist for most transport cases (trains, marine cargo), and in the few cases airships might offer some benefits ... those are still fairly slight.

So again, see the questions in the prior toot and keep them in mind.

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Edits: tyops and speling. 2022-11-21

4/end/

Basically, when you see a novel concept publicised, ask:

• Is this really new?
• Has it been tried before?
• If so why wasn't it adopted then?
• Have those blockers been removed, or ...
• Has some new benefit / capability been introduced?

If there has been some remarkable breakthrough or progress then the concept might have legs. Often, though, there hasn't and it doesn't. It turns out that real progress is hard. Not impossible, but much of the easy stuff has already been tried.

3/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Basically, when you see a novel concept publicised, ask:

• Is this really new?
• Has it been tried before?
• If so why wasn't it adopted then?
• Have those blockers been removed, or ...
• Has some new benefit / capability been introduced?

If there has been some remarkable breakthrough or progress then the concept might have legs. Often, though, there hasn't and it doesn't. It turns out that real progress is hard. Not impossible, but much of the easy stuff has already been tried.

3/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Basically, when you see a novel concept publicised, ask:

• Is this really new?
• Has it been tried before?
• If so why wasn't it adopted then?
• Have those blockers been removed, or ...
• Has some new benefit / capability been introduced?

If there has been some remarkable breakthrough or progress then the concept might have legs. Often, though, there hasn't and it doesn't. It turns out that real progress is hard. Not impossible, but much of the easy stuff has already been tried.

3/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Basically, when you see a novel concept publicised, ask:

• Is this really new?
• Has it been tried before?
• If so why wasn't it adopted then?
• Have those blockers been removed, or ...
• Has some new benefit / capability been introduced?

If there has been some remarkable breakthrough or progress then the concept might have legs. Often, though, there hasn't and it doesn't. It turns out that real progress is hard. Not impossible, but much of the easy stuff has already been tried.

3/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Basically, when you see a novel concept publicised, ask:

• Is this really new?
• Has it been tried before?
• If so why wasn't it adopted then?
• Have those blockers been removed, or ...
• Has some new benefit / capability been introduced?

If there has been some remarkable breakthrough or progress then the concept might have legs. Often, though, there hasn't and it doesn't. It turns out that real progress is hard. Not impossible, but much of the easy stuff has already been tried.

3/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Back to Urshel's wall-builder: if we've had 3-D structural extrusion construction techniques for nearly a century ... what's kept it from being adopted?

Circular buildings aren't all that practical.

The concretes formed aren't especially strong. Note that the structure is not reinforced.

Building systems still need to be incorporated: plumbing, wastewater, electrical, gas, HVAC, and these days, comms. Two hundred years ago, in many places even less than a century ago, static structures without any services were possible. Today for the most part they're not. (Those services also tend to reduce the lifespan of structures, though they make them far more useful.) Modular and component construction is still flexible, inexpensive and useful. It also generally results in designs which can be further adapted and modified.

2/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Back to Urshel's wall-builder: if we've had 3-D structural extrusion construction techniques for nearly a century ... what's kept it from being adopted?

Circular buildings aren't all that practical.

The concretes formed aren't especially strong. Note that the structure is not reinforced.

Building systems still need to be incorporated: plumbing, wastewater, electrical, gas, HVAC, and these days, comms. Two hundred years ago, in many places even less than a century ago, static structures without any services were possible. Today for the most part they're not. (Those services also tend to reduce the lifespan of structures, though they make them far more useful.) Modular and component construction is still flexible, inexpensive and useful. It also generally results in designs which can be further adapted and modified.

2/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Back to Urshel's wall-builder: if we've had 3-D structural extrusion construction techniques for nearly a century ... what's kept it from being adopted?

Circular buildings aren't all that practical.

The concretes formed aren't especially strong. Note that the structure is not reinforced.

Building systems still need to be incorporated: plumbing, wastewater, electrical, gas, HVAC, and these days, comms. Two hundred years ago, in many places even less than a century ago, static structures without any services were possible. Today for the most part they're not. (Those services also tend to reduce the lifespan of structures, though they make them far more useful.) Modular and component construction is still flexible, inexpensive and useful. It also generally results in designs which can be further adapted and modified.

2/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Back to Urshel's wall-builder: if we've had 3-D structural extrusion construction techniques for nearly a century ... what's kept it from being adopted?

Circular buildings aren't all that practical.

The concretes formed aren't especially strong. Note that the structure is not reinforced.

Building systems still need to be incorporated: plumbing, wastewater, electrical, gas, HVAC, and these days, comms. Two hundred years ago, in many places even less than a century ago, static structures without any services were possible. Today for the most part they're not. (Those services also tend to reduce the lifespan of structures, though they make them far more useful.) Modular and component construction is still flexible, inexpensive and useful. It also generally results in designs which can be further adapted and modified.

2/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

Back to Urshel's wall-builder: if we've had 3-D structural extrusion construction techniques for nearly a century ... what's kept it from being adopted?

Circular buildings aren't all that practical.

The concretes formed aren't especially strong. Note that the structure is not reinforced.

Building systems still need to be incorporated: plumbing, wastewater, electrical, gas, HVAC, and these days, comms. Two hundred years ago, in many places even less than a century ago, static structures without any services were possible. Today for the most part they're not. (Those services also tend to reduce the lifespan of structures, though they make them far more useful.) Modular and component construction is still flexible, inexpensive and useful. It also generally results in designs which can be further adapted and modified.

2/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

The related concept here is that when people tout some "new" breakthrough especially in energy systems, but also in transport (airships <cough> hyperloop <cough>), a lot of materials stuff, a fair bit of medicine, most everything in nanotech, etc., I have to reluctantly point out that *much of this has already been significantly tried.

That's not to say that there aren't areas of tremendous progress, though much of that is in silicon. I've been looking somewhat casually at Nobel awards in chemistry, physics, and medicine, and noticing some patterns. Physics, for example, sees far less particle awards (as was the case from say, 1920--1970, excepting the Higgs Boson in 2013), and far more in various sorts of detectors and sensors --- we're getting a lot better at observing hard-to-detect things: very far, very faint, very small, or different modalities (e.g., gravity waves). Medicine is far less about procedures (e.g., organ transplants) and far more about how body systems work, with a lot of work on endocrine and neurotransmitters, as well as some genetics and viral diseases.

And there can be cumulative advances in multiple fields which bring about threshold breakthroughs. EV's are a case in point: battery, battery management, motors, materials (especially rare earth magnets in motors, but also structural members), precision machining ... all come together to make possible what wasn't previously. Reusable rockets are another example of multiple technologies coming together to make possible what was previously only a dream. AI would be a third case: faster machines, larger memories, absolute gobs of data.

Though you've also got to ask yourself "to what end".

1/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

The related concept here is that when people tout some "new" breakthrough especially in energy systems, but also in transport (airships <cough> hyperloop <cough>), a lot of materials stuff, a fair bit of medicine, most everything in nanotech, etc., I have to reluctantly point out that *much of this has already been significantly tried.

That's not to say that there aren't areas of tremendous progress, though much of that is in silicon. I've been looking somewhat casually at Nobel awards in chemistry, physics, and medicine, and noticing some patterns. Physics, for example, sees far less particle awards (as was the case from say, 1920--1970, excepting the Higgs Boson in 2013), and far more in various sorts of detectors and sensors --- we're getting a lot better at observing hard-to-detect things: very far, very faint, very small, or different modalities (e.g., gravity waves). Medicine is far less about procedures (e.g., organ transplants) and far more about how body systems work, with a lot of work on endocrine and neurotransmitters, as well as some genetics and viral diseases.

And there can be cumulative advances in multiple fields which bring about threshold breakthroughs. EV's are a case in point: battery, battery management, motors, materials (especially rare earth magnets in motors, but also structural members), precision machining ... all come together to make possible what wasn't previously. Reusable rockets are another example of multiple technologies coming together to make possible what was previously only a dream. AI would be a third case: faster machines, larger memories, absolute gobs of data.

Though you've also got to ask yourself "to what end".

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#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

The related concept here is that when people tout some "new" breakthrough especially in energy systems, but also in transport (airships <cough> hyperloop <cough>), a lot of materials stuff, a fair bit of medicine, most everything in nanotech, etc., I have to reluctantly point out that *much of this has already been significantly tried.

That's not to say that there aren't areas of tremendous progress, though much of that is in silicon. I've been looking somewhat casually at Nobel awards in chemistry, physics, and medicine, and noticing some patterns. Physics, for example, sees far less particle awards (as was the case from say, 1920--1970, excepting the Higgs Boson in 2013), and far more in various sorts of detectors and sensors --- we're getting a lot better at observing hard-to-detect things: very far, very faint, very small, or different modalities (e.g., gravity waves). Medicine is far less about procedures (e.g., organ transplants) and far more about how body systems work, with a lot of work on endocrine and neurotransmitters, as well as some genetics and viral diseases.

And there can be cumulative advances in multiple fields which bring about threshold breakthroughs. EV's are a case in point: battery, battery management, motors, materials (especially rare earth magnets in motors, but also structural members), precision machining ... all come together to make possible what wasn't previously. Reusable rockets are another example of multiple technologies coming together to make possible what was previously only a dream. AI would be a third case: faster machines, larger memories, absolute gobs of data.

Though you've also got to ask yourself "to what end".

1/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm

The related concept here is that when people tout some "new" breakthrough especially in energy systems, but also in transport (airships <cough> hyperloop <cough>), a lot of materials stuff, a fair bit of medicine, most everything in nanotech, etc., I have to reluctantly point out that *much of this has already been significantly tried.

That's not to say that there aren't areas of tremendous progress, though much of that is in silicon. I've been looking somewhat casually at Nobel awards in chemistry, physics, and medicine, and noticing some patterns. Physics, for example, sees far less particle awards (as was the case from say, 1920--1970, excepting the Higgs Boson in 2013), and far more in various sorts of detectors and sensors --- we're getting a lot better at observing hard-to-detect things: very far, very faint, very small, or different modalities (e.g., gravity waves). Medicine is far less about procedures (e.g., organ transplants) and far more about how body systems work, with a lot of work on endocrine and neurotransmitters, as well as some genetics and viral diseases.

And there can be cumulative advances in multiple fields which bring about threshold breakthroughs. EV's are a case in point: battery, battery management, motors, materials (especially rare earth magnets in motors, but also structural members), precision machining ... all come together to make possible what wasn't previously. Reusable rockets are another example of multiple technologies coming together to make possible what was previously only a dream. AI would be a third case: faster machines, larger memories, absolute gobs of data.

Though you've also got to ask yourself "to what end".

1/

#TechnologicalProgress #Breakthroughs #Realism #CurbYourEnthusiasm