Want to understand 2026 midterm early voting data accurately? G. Elliott Morris is launching an early voting blog, using individual-level voter data to predict turnout shifts more precisely than traditional methods. Explore these invaluable election insights and bookmark their new blog: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-early-vote-blog #EarlyVoting #Midterms2026 #ElectionAnalysis #VoterData
#electionanalysis — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #electionanalysis, aggregated by home.social.
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Want deeper insight into the midterms? G. Elliott Morris and David Nir are inviting Founding Members of The Downballot and Strength In Numbers to a private pre-election briefing on Oct 27. They'll cover key metrics, forecasts, and poll uncertainty for the final week. Find out how to join and RSVP here: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-10-08-join-our-private-pre-election-briefing #Midterms #ElectionAnalysis
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G. Elliott Morris explores: are state polls wrong? He shows election 'fundamentals' strongly back current state polls hinting at a blue wave, challenging ideas that past errors mean future bias. See why these indicators suggest a blue wave: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-10-04-sunday-roundup-polls-fundamentals-senate-blue #ElectionAnalysis #PoliticalData #Polls G. Elliott Morris offers great insights!
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Paul Krugman, G. Elliott Morris, and David Nir highlight surprising signals that midterms could deliver a Democratic wave. Recent polling and primary turnout suggest voters are expressing regret over President Trump's unkept promises, while an economic "vibecession" fueled by high diesel prices and backlash against power-hungry AI data centers is driving discontent with Republican stances. Their conversation reveals an evolving landscape that defies conventional forecasts. Read the full discussion at the link below.
https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-midterms
#Midterms #ElectionAnalysis -
G. Elliott Morris reveals election handicappers misread midterms! His analysis shows "toss-up" races historically break for the out-party, significantly underestimating Democrats' House win probability. A more probable Democratic majority is suggested by this insight. Dive into the full analysis: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-09-18-race-raters-lagging-midterms #ElectionAnalysis #Midterms #HouseRaces
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https://www.europesays.com/videos/93001/ Swedish far-right eyes role in government • FRANCE 24 English #CentreLeft #CrimeAndSecurity #democracy #ElectionAnalysis #ElectoralTrends #Europe #EuropePolitics #FarRight #FarRightSurge #FRANCE24 #FRANCE24English #FRANCE24 #FRANCE24English #immigration #MigrationDebate #NordicPolitics #OpinionPolls #PoliticalShift #StockholmUniversity #Sweden #SwedenDemocrats #SwedenElection #SwedishPolitics #VoterConcerns #ZethIsaksson
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https://www.europesays.com/videos/92915/ Sweden election: A turning point for the far right? • FRANCE 24 English #2022Election #CentreLeft #democracy #ElectionAnalysis #ElectionCampaign #EuropePolitics #FarRight #FarRightSurge #FRANCE24 #FRANCE24English #FRANCE24 #FRANCE24English #GeneralElection #GovernmentCoalition #MarkusKarlssonBourrioux #NordicPolitics #OpinionPolls #PoliticalShift #Sweden #SwedenDemocrats #SwedenElection #SwedishPolitics #TV4News #voting
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GOP Midterm Anxiety Grows as Texas Senate Race Forces Massive New Spending
Texas was supposed to be safe Republican territory. Now GOP groups are spending tens of millions there as the fight for House and Senate control intensifies.
#2026Election #2026Midterms #BattlegroundStates #campaignSpending #Congress #DemocraticParty #DonaldTrump #electionAnalysis #HouseElections #JamesTalarico #JohnThune #KenPaxton #MAGAInc #politicalAdvertising #RepublicanParty #SenateElections #SenateLeadershipFund #texasPolitics #TexasSenateRace #voterTurnout https://wp.me/p1OjMZ-pbJ -
G. Elliott Morris challenges assumptions: Think low-turnout voters are always MAGA? Think again! His analysis shows these voters, even Trump supporters, prioritize affordability and often disapprove of Trump’s presidential performance on prices. Discover more about this crucial insight: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-09-11-low-turnout-maga-no #PoliticalScience #VoterBehavior #ElectionAnalysis. Thank you for this valuable article, G. Elliott Morris!
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G. Elliott Morris and David Nir reveal a critical misstep! Republicans are misreading low-turnout voters, whose analysis shows these voters are more anti-Trump and focused on affordability, not "Trumpapalooza." This strategy risks backfiring for the GOP. Dive deeper into their analysis: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/republicans-who-think-trumpapalooza #Politics #VoterBehavior #ElectionAnalysis
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G. Elliott Morris asks, what truly decides a razor-thin election? The 2024 election's extreme closeness means a single point margin makes nearly every factor a plausible cause. This overdetermined outcome makes clear why analyses often reaffirm prior beliefs. Read more: #ElectionAnalysis #PoliticalScience #2024Election https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-05-29-dnc-autopsy-few-more-thoughts
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Read the DNC's 2024 autopsy obtained by CNN
https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/21/politics/read-full-dnc-2024-autopsy-cnn
#HackerNews #DNC2024 #autopsy #CNN #politics #electionanalysis
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Did the DNC miss the *real* reason for 2024 losses? G. Elliott Morris argues their autopsy overlooked high inflation and unavoidable anti-incumbent sentiment as key drivers. Vice President Harris's performance aligned with fundamental economic factors, suggesting the report misplaces blame on campaign tactics over structural issues. Read his sharp analysis here: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-dnc-autopsy-omits-the-biggest #ElectionAnalysis #DNC #Inflation #PoliticalScience
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G. Elliott Morris offers an insightful analysis: are Republicans facing a harsh reality about voter sentiment? His data suggests GOP losses in 2026 stem from voters disliking Trump's agenda and real vote-switching in states like New Jersey and Virginia, not merely turnout issues. Read Morris's full breakdown here: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-04-28-no-turnout-wont-save-republicans-this-fall #VoterData #Midterms2026 #ElectionAnalysis
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Central Committee Meeting of CPI–ML Begins in Patna.
https://aliyesha.com/sub/articles/news/display/bh_cpiml_post_election_meeting
#bihar #patna #india #news #press #CPIML #BiharElections #ElectionAnalysis #JEEViKA #PoliticalReview #IndiaPolitics #ElectionIrregularities #CashTransfers #SIRInfluence
Enjoy tracker free reading with us. #privacy #privacymatters
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Hàng loạt cuộc bầu cử quan trọng trên khắp nước Mỹ sẽ diễn ra, phản ánh tâm lý cử tri sau gần một năm ông Trump bước vào nhiệm kỳ hai, với những trận quyết định ở Hạ viện, Thượng viện và ghế thống đốc. #MidtermElections #USPolitics #TrumpSecondTerm #ElectionAnalysis #BầuCửMỹ #NhiệmKỳHaiTrump #PhânTíchBầuCử #ChínhTrịMỹ
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After the results, Chirag’s ambition to become Chief Minister may awaken once again.
https://aliyesha.com/sub/articles/news/display/bh_rise_chirag_paswan_nda
#bihar #patna #india #news #press #politics #NDA #jdubihar #LJP #LJPRV #chiragpaswan #ChiefMinisterAmbitions #ElectionAnalysis #PoliticalStrategy #Bihar2025 #elections2025
Enjoy tracker free reading with us. #privacy #privacymatters
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Less about Trump’s ‘win’ and more about Dems’ loss. With 10M fewer Dems voting in 2024 vs. 2020, it’s clear low turnout sealed this result. The path forward: re-engage the base. #LowTurnout #2024Takeaways #ElectionAnalysis #NotAWin https://buff.ly/3OnP0vb
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Looking at the numbers, it’s clear #Trump2024 wasn’t won by a GOP groundswell. Dems lost over 10M votes from 2020—Trump actually gained only 600k more. This was a turnout loss, not a Trump victory. #ElectionAnalysis #NotAWin #LostMomentum #DemocraticDropOff #TurnoutMatters https://buff.ly/3OnP0vb
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As the dust settles after the General Election, what happened in Northern Ireland and why does it matter?
I take a look at some of the key themes emerging from the results in my latest article for the Centre on Constitutional Change ✍️
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India heads to the polls for the third phase of #GeneralElection2024 today. Citizens across India are evaluating party manifestos and promises on tech policies and rights. 🗳️
Dive into @sflcin comprehensive analysis for insights into the tech policy landscape.
You can read the full analysis here: sflc.in/comparing-the-2024-lok-sabha-election-manifestos-from-the-perspective-of-technology-rights-and-gig-workers/
#SFLCin #TechPolicy #ElectionAnalysis #Elections2024 #GeneralElectionN0W
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Let’s Face It: Trump’s Iowa Result Was Pretty Weak
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/lets-face-it-trumps-iowa-result-was-pretty-weak
#TrumpIowaResult #WeakIowaResult #IowaPolitics #Trump2024 #ElectionAnalysis #PoliticalAnalysis #Politics #News