Initial draft of part 3 in the recommendation series: We've gone from 'characterise' → 'recommend' → (now) 'predict’.
SHOW ME WHAT YOU GOT (Part 3): Predict
https://mostlylucid.net/blog/show-me-what-you-got-part3-predict
This shows how to use ML-adjacent techniques to predict destinations based on current behaviour and changes in behaviour. This allows you to begin to predict what a user may wind up doing, a system is starting to break, or tone in a conversation is drifting into dangerous territory.
I also show what *prediction* means in ML/adaptive systems – and that it's only ever as good as the data you collect.
Part 4 is 'intervention’, where I cover experimentation in recommendation systems, allowing automated A/B 'product improvement' suggestions, etc.
As ever, open to work – see the site! https://mostlylucid.net/resumes
#opentowork