#savanta β Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #savanta, aggregated by home.social.
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LONDON OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 36% (-7)
π΅ Conservatives: 24% (+3)
βͺ Reform UK: 13% (+4)
π Liberal Democrats: 12% (+1)
π’ Green Party: 12% (+2)Conducted 30 October - 11 November 2024. Changes with 2024 general election.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #London
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LONDON OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 36% (-7)
π΅ Conservatives: 24% (+3)
βͺ Reform UK: 13% (+4)
π Liberal Democrats: 12% (+1)
π’ Green Party: 12% (+2)Conducted 30 October - 11 November 2024. Changes with 2024 general election.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #London
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GB SNAP BUDGET OPINION POLL
Snap opinion polling* on the budget by #Savanta:
Increased NHS funding:
ππΌ Support: 71%
ππΌ Oppose: 15%Raising minimum wage:
ππΌ Support: 69% (Nice)
ππΌ Oppose: 14%Fuel duty freeze:
ππΌ Support: 63%
ππΌ Oppose: 14%Rise in employer NI contributions:
ππΌ Support: 37%
ππΌ Oppose: 33%Increasing bus fare cap:
ππΌ Support: 23%
ππΌ Oppose: 52%Polling on 30 October 2024.
* Immediate reactions often change significantly after a few weeks.
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GB SNAP BUDGET OPINION POLL
Snap opinion polling* on the budget by #Savanta:
Increased NHS funding:
ππΌ Support: 71%
ππΌ Oppose: 15%Raising minimum wage:
ππΌ Support: 69% (Nice)
ππΌ Oppose: 14%Fuel duty freeze:
ππΌ Support: 63%
ππΌ Oppose: 14%Rise in employer NI contributions:
ππΌ Support: 37%
ππΌ Oppose: 33%Increasing bus fare cap:
ππΌ Support: 23%
ππΌ Oppose: 52%Polling on 30 October 2024.
* Immediate reactions often change significantly after a few weeks.
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GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY
The worst 5 pollsters for accuracy were (in descending order):
NCP (#NCP)
Savanta (#Savanta)
Redfield & Wilton (#RedfieldWilton)
Opinium (#Opinium)
People Polling (#PeoplePolling) -
GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY
The worst 5 pollsters for accuracy were (in descending order):
NCP (#NCP)
Savanta (#Savanta)
Redfield & Wilton (#RedfieldWilton)
Opinium (#Opinium)
People Polling (#PeoplePolling) -
All the other MRP polls were pretty far off the mark, but the wooden spoon goes to #Savanta who were absolutely miles off the mark across the board:
π΄ Labour: -105
π΅ Conservatives: +68
π Liberal Democrats: +22
π‘ SNP: +1
βͺ Reform UK: +5
π» Plaid Cymru: 0
π’ Greens: +4They also had terrible accuracy for individual seats and the worst website writeup:
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All the other MRP polls were pretty far off the mark, but the wooden spoon goes to #Savanta who were absolutely miles off the mark across the board:
π΄ Labour: -105
π΅ Conservatives: +68
π Liberal Democrats: +22
π‘ SNP: +1
βͺ Reform UK: +5
π» Plaid Cymru: 0
π’ Greens: +4They also had terrible accuracy for individual seats and the worst website writeup:
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 39% (=)
π΅ Conservatives: 20% (-4)
βͺ Reform UK: 17% (+4)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
π’ Green Party: 5% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 2% (-1)Labour lead of 19 points.
Conducted 2-3 July 2024. Changes with 28-30 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 39% (=)
π΅ Conservatives: 20% (-4)
βͺ Reform UK: 17% (+4)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
π’ Green Party: 5% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 2% (-1)Labour lead of 19 points.
Conducted 2-3 July 2024. Changes with 28-30 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π‘ SNP: 34% (=)
π΄ Labour: 31% (-3)
π΅ Conservatives: 15% (+1)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
βͺ Reform UK: 6% (=)
π’ Greens: 3% (+1)Conducted 28 June - 2 July 2024. Changes with 21-26 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #GE2024
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π‘ SNP: 34% (=)
π΄ Labour: 31% (-3)
π΅ Conservatives: 15% (+1)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
βͺ Reform UK: 6% (=)
π’ Greens: 3% (+1)Conducted 28 June - 2 July 2024. Changes with 21-26 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #GE2024
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LONDON OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 49% (-6)
π΅ Conservatives: 19% (-3)
βͺ Reform UK: 11% (+3)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
π’ Green Party: 6% (+1)
β« Others: 5% (+4)Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 10-18 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #London #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024
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LONDON OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 49% (-6)
π΅ Conservatives: 19% (-3)
βͺ Reform UK: 11% (+3)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
π’ Green Party: 6% (+1)
β« Others: 5% (+4)Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 10-18 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #London #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024
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2ND SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention from a Scotland poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 34% (-4)
π‘ SNP: 34% (+1)
π΅ Conservatives: 14% (-1)
π Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)
β« Others: 10% (+3)Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 14-18 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #GE2024
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2ND SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention from a Scotland poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 34% (-4)
π‘ SNP: 34% (+1)
π΅ Conservatives: 14% (-1)
π Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)
β« Others: 10% (+3)Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 14-18 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention from poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 42% (+2)
π΅ Conservatives: 19% (-2)
βͺ Reform UK: 16% (+2)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (-2)
π’ Green Party: 5% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 23 points.
Conducted 19-21 June 2024. Changes with 14-16 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention from poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 42% (+2)
π΅ Conservatives: 19% (-2)
βͺ Reform UK: 16% (+2)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (-2)
π’ Green Party: 5% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 23 points.
Conducted 19-21 June 2024. Changes with 14-16 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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Projected national voteshare from the #Savanta MRP above:
π΄ Labour: 44%
π΅ Conservatives: 23%
βͺ Reform UK: 13%
π Liberal Democrats: 12%
π’ Green Party: 4%
π‘ SNP: 3%#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #MRP #GE2024
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Projected national voteshare from the #Savanta MRP above:
π΄ Labour: 44%
π΅ Conservatives: 23%
βͺ Reform UK: 13%
π Liberal Democrats: 12%
π’ Green Party: 4%
π‘ SNP: 3%#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #MRP #GE2024
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MRP OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster seats projection from MRP poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 516 (+314)
π΅ Conservatives: 53 (-312)
π Liberal Democrats: 50 (+39)
π‘ SNP: 8 (-40)
π» Plaid Cymru: 4 (=)
π’ Green Party: 0 (-1)
βͺ Reform UK: 0 (=)Conducted 7-18 June 2024. Changes with 2019 general election result.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #PlaidCymru #MRP #GE2024
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MRP OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster seats projection from MRP poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 516 (+314)
π΅ Conservatives: 53 (-312)
π Liberal Democrats: 50 (+39)
π‘ SNP: 8 (-40)
π» Plaid Cymru: 4 (=)
π’ Green Party: 0 (-1)
βͺ Reform UK: 0 (=)Conducted 7-18 June 2024. Changes with 2019 general election result.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #PlaidCymru #MRP #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 40%
π΅ Conservatives: 21%
βͺ Reform UK: 14%
π Liberal Democrats: 11%
π’ Green Party: 4%
π‘ SNP: 3%Labour lead of 22 points.
Conducted 14-16 June 2024. Last poll was on 7-11 June 2024 but methodology has since switched to a localised mock ballot paper, so figures aren't directly comparable.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 40%
π΅ Conservatives: 21%
βͺ Reform UK: 14%
π Liberal Democrats: 11%
π’ Green Party: 4%
π‘ SNP: 3%Labour lead of 22 points.
Conducted 14-16 June 2024. Last poll was on 7-11 June 2024 but methodology has since switched to a localised mock ballot paper, so figures aren't directly comparable.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: GB OPINION POLL: SAVANTA
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 46% (+2)
π΅ Conservatives: 21% (-4)
βͺ Reform UK: 13% (+3)
π Liberal Democrats: 11% (+2)
π’ Green Party: 5% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 2% (-2)Labour lead of 25 points.
Conducted 12-14 June 2024. Changes with 7-9 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: GB OPINION POLL: SAVANTA
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 46% (+2)
π΅ Conservatives: 21% (-4)
βͺ Reform UK: 13% (+3)
π Liberal Democrats: 11% (+2)
π’ Green Party: 5% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 2% (-2)Labour lead of 25 points.
Conducted 12-14 June 2024. Changes with 7-9 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 44% (-2)
π΅ Conservatives: 25% (-1)
βͺ Reform UK: 10% (-1)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
π’ Green Party: 4% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 3% (+1)Labour lead of 19 points.
Conducted 7-9 June 2024. Changes with 5-7 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 44% (-2)
π΅ Conservatives: 25% (-1)
βͺ Reform UK: 10% (-1)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
π’ Green Party: 4% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 3% (+1)Labour lead of 19 points.
Conducted 7-9 June 2024. Changes with 5-7 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 46% (+4)
π΅ Conservatives: 26% (-2)
βͺ Reform UK: 11% (+2)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (+1)
π’ Green Party: 3% (-1)
π‘ SNP: 2% (-1)Labour lead of 20 points.
Conducted 5-7 June 2024. Changes with 31 May - 2 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 46% (+4)
π΅ Conservatives: 26% (-2)
βͺ Reform UK: 11% (+2)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (+1)
π’ Green Party: 3% (-1)
π‘ SNP: 2% (-1)Labour lead of 20 points.
Conducted 5-7 June 2024. Changes with 31 May - 2 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Holyrood constituency voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π‘ * National Party: 35% (=)
π΄ * Labour: 34% (-1)
π΅ * Conservatives: 17% (-1)
π * Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
β« Other: 6% (+1)* Scottish
Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Holyrood constituency voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π‘ * National Party: 35% (=)
π΄ * Labour: 34% (-1)
π΅ * Conservatives: 17% (-1)
π * Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
β« Other: 6% (+1)* Scottish
Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Holyrood regional voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π‘ * National Party: 30% (+4)
π΄ * Labour: 29% (-3)
π΅ * Conservatives: 18% (=)
π’ * Green Party: 10% (-1)
π * Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
β« Other: 4% (=)* Scottish
Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Holyrood regional voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π‘ * National Party: 30% (+4)
π΄ * Labour: 29% (-3)
π΅ * Conservatives: 18% (=)
π’ * Green Party: 10% (-1)
π * Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
β« Other: 4% (=)* Scottish
Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 37% (=)
π‘ SNP: 33% (=)
π΅ Conservatives: 17% (=)
π Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)Labour lead of 4 points.
Conducted 24-28 May 2024. Changes with 3-8 May 2024.
This is what we call 'a very boring poll', but the consistency tells a story of its own.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 37% (=)
π‘ SNP: 33% (=)
π΅ Conservatives: 17% (=)
π Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)Labour lead of 4 points.
Conducted 24-28 May 2024. Changes with 3-8 May 2024.
This is what we call 'a very boring poll', but the consistency tells a story of its own.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 37% (+2)
π‘ SNP: 33% (-2)
π΅ Conservatives: 17% (-2)
π Liberal Democrats: 7% (+1)Labour lead of 4 points.
Conducted 3-8 May 2024. Changes with 6-11 October 2023.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #Scotland #scotpol
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 37% (+2)
π‘ SNP: 33% (-2)
π΅ Conservatives: 17% (-2)
π Liberal Democrats: 7% (+1)Labour lead of 4 points.
Conducted 3-8 May 2024. Changes with 6-11 October 2023.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #Scotland #scotpol
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 43% (-1)
π΅ Conservatives: 27% (+1)
π Liberal Democrats: 11% (+1)
βͺ Reform UK: 9% (-1)
π’ Greens: 4% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 16 points.
Conducted 3-5 May 2024. Changes with 26-28 April 2024.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 43% (-1)
π΅ Conservatives: 27% (+1)
π Liberal Democrats: 11% (+1)
βͺ Reform UK: 9% (-1)
π’ Greens: 4% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 16 points.
Conducted 3-5 May 2024. Changes with 26-28 April 2024.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK
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A clear 'house effect' difference between #Savanta and #YouGov for #London mayoral polling is that the latter has Reform and Others doing much better than the former, though the former also has the Lib Dems and Greens doing much better. It'll be interesting to see who is closest on Friday, but both of them show that Labour has a clear lead, well beyond the margin for error, so I don't think the outcome is in any doubt.
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A clear 'house effect' difference between #Savanta and #YouGov for #London mayoral polling is that the latter has Reform and Others doing much better than the former, though the former also has the Lib Dems and Greens doing much better. It'll be interesting to see who is closest on Friday, but both of them show that Labour has a clear lead, well beyond the margin for error, so I don't think the outcome is in any doubt.
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LONDON OPINION POLL
London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Sadiq Khan (Labour): 42% (-4)
π΅ Susan Hall (Conservative): 32% (-1)
π Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (+1)
π’ ZoΓ« Garbett (Green): 8% (+1)
βͺ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 3% (-1)
β« Others: 3% (+1)Sadiq Khan leads by 10 points.
Conducted 16-30 April 2024. Changes with 8-17 April 2024.
#ukpolitics #london #SadiqKhan #conservative #labour #GreenParty #LibDems #ReformUK #polling
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LONDON OPINION POLL
London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Sadiq Khan (Labour): 42% (-4)
π΅ Susan Hall (Conservative): 32% (-1)
π Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (+1)
π’ ZoΓ« Garbett (Green): 8% (+1)
βͺ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 3% (-1)
β« Others: 3% (+1)Sadiq Khan leads by 10 points.
Conducted 16-30 April 2024. Changes with 8-17 April 2024.
#ukpolitics #london #SadiqKhan #conservative #labour #GreenParty #LibDems #ReformUK #polling
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This now looks very similar to the results of the (corrected) #Savanta poll last week. A much more modest (but beyond the margin of error) Labour lead. Should be interesting to see what happens next week.
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UK OPINION POLL
Poll by #Savanta. Headline Wesminster voting intention:
π΄ Labour: 43% (=)
π΅ Conservatives: 27% (+2)
βͺ Reform UK: 10% (+1)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
π’ Green 4% (=)
π‘ SNP 2% (-1)Labour lead of 16 points.
Conducted 19-21 April 2024. Changes with 12-14 April 2024.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK
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UK OPINION POLL
Poll by #Savanta. Headline Wesminster voting intention:
π΄ Labour: 43% (=)
π΅ Conservatives: 27% (+2)
βͺ Reform UK: 10% (+1)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
π’ Green 4% (=)
π‘ SNP 2% (-1)Labour lead of 16 points.
Conducted 19-21 April 2024. Changes with 12-14 April 2024.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK
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ANALYSIS
One thing that's quite apparent when comparing #Savanta polls with #RedfieldWilton polls is that the former shows a lot less support for Reform UK and a lot more for the Conservatives than the latter. These are what we call 'house effects'. They can't both be right, and possibly neither of them are. The only way to tell will be looking at the election results in a fortnight's time and seeing who called it best, but worth bearing in mind if you're poll watching rn.
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CORRECTED WEST MIDLANDS OPINION POLL
#Savanta have admitted a weighting error with their West Midlands mayoral poll last week and have published a corrected version:
π΄ Richard Parker (Labour) 41%
π΅ Andy Street (Conservative) 38%
βͺ Elaine Williams (Reform UK) 6%
π Sunny Virk (Liberal Democrat) 5%
π’ Siobhan Harper-Nunes (Green) 5%Labour lead by 3 points. Conducted 10-14 April 2024.
#ukpolitics #westmidlands #conservative #labour #greenparty #libdems #ReformUK #polling
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OPINION POLL ANALYSIS
Last week we saw two very different West Midlands mayoral polls by #Savanta and #RedfieldWilton. Savanta had Conservatives winning, Redfield had Labour winning.
An absolutely first class piece of digging by ElectionMapsUK on twitter has found the likely culprit; Savanta incorrectly weighted their results by the West Midlands region rather than by the West Midlands mayoral area:
https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1782360305437147340
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OPINION POLL ANALYSIS
Last week we saw two very different West Midlands mayoral polls by #Savanta and #RedfieldWilton. Savanta had Conservatives winning, Redfield had Labour winning.
An absolutely first class piece of digging by ElectionMapsUK on twitter has found the likely culprit; Savanta incorrectly weighted their results by the West Midlands region rather than by the West Midlands mayoral area:
https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1782360305437147340
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LONDON OPINION POLL
London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Sadiq Khan (Labour): 50% (-1)
π΅ Susan Hall (Conservative): 26% (-1)
π Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (-)
π’ ZoΓ« Garbett (Green): 9% (+1)
βͺ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 2% (-)Sadiq Khan leads by 24%.
Conducted 5-8 April 2024. Changes with 8-12 March 2024.
#ukpolitics #london #sadiqkhan #conservative #labour #greenparty #libdem #ReformUK #polling
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LONDON OPINION POLL
London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Sadiq Khan (Labour): 50% (-1)
π΅ Susan Hall (Conservative): 26% (-1)
π Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (-)
π’ ZoΓ« Garbett (Green): 9% (+1)
βͺ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 2% (-)Sadiq Khan leads by 24%.
Conducted 5-8 April 2024. Changes with 8-12 March 2024.
#ukpolitics #london #sadiqkhan #conservative #labour #greenparty #libdem #ReformUK #polling
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OPINION POLL
Poll by #Savanta. Headline voting intention:
π΄ Labour: 42% (-3)
π΅ Conservatives: 27% (+3)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (-)
βͺ Reform UK: 10% (-2)
π’ Green 4% (+1)
π‘ SNP 3% (-)Labour lead of 15 points.
Conducted 5-7 April 2024. Changes with 25-27 March 2024.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK
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OPINION POLL
Poll by #Savanta. Headline voting intention:
π΄ Labour: 42% (-3)
π΅ Conservatives: 27% (+3)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (-)
βͺ Reform UK: 10% (-2)
π’ Green 4% (+1)
π‘ SNP 3% (-)Labour lead of 15 points.
Conducted 5-7 April 2024. Changes with 25-27 March 2024.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK
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Less than half of public trust police in wake of scandals, new poll shows | The Independent
#Police
#Trust
#PolicingByConsent
#Scandals
#Carmichael
#LibDems
#MET
#Rowley
#Vetting
#LondonAssemblyPoliceAndCrimeCommittee
#Savanta
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/public-trust-police-scandals-poll-b2315537.html -
Less than half of public trust police in wake of scandals, new poll shows | The Independent
#Police
#Trust
#PolicingByConsent
#Scandals
#Carmichael
#LibDems
#MET
#Rowley
#Vetting
#LondonAssemblyPoliceAndCrimeCommittee
#Savanta
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/public-trust-police-scandals-poll-b2315537.html