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  1. LONDON OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 36% (-7)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 24% (+3)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 13% (+4)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (+1)
    🟒 Green Party: 12% (+2)

    Conducted 30 October - 11 November 2024. Changes with 2024 general election.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #London

  2. LONDON OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 36% (-7)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 24% (+3)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 13% (+4)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (+1)
    🟒 Green Party: 12% (+2)

    Conducted 30 October - 11 November 2024. Changes with 2024 general election.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #London

  3. GB SNAP BUDGET OPINION POLL

    Snap opinion polling* on the budget by #Savanta:

    Increased NHS funding:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 71%
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 15%

    Raising minimum wage:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 69% (Nice)
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 14%

    Fuel duty freeze:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 63%
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 14%

    Rise in employer NI contributions:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 37%
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 33%

    Increasing bus fare cap:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 23%
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 52%

    Polling on 30 October 2024.

    * Immediate reactions often change significantly after a few weeks.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling

  4. GB SNAP BUDGET OPINION POLL

    Snap opinion polling* on the budget by #Savanta:

    Increased NHS funding:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 71%
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 15%

    Raising minimum wage:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 69% (Nice)
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 14%

    Fuel duty freeze:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 63%
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 14%

    Rise in employer NI contributions:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 37%
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 33%

    Increasing bus fare cap:
    πŸ‘πŸΌ Support: 23%
    πŸ‘ŽπŸΌ Oppose: 52%

    Polling on 30 October 2024.

    * Immediate reactions often change significantly after a few weeks.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling

  5. @svgeesus

    GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY

    The worst 5 pollsters for accuracy were (in descending order):

    NCP (#NCP)
    Savanta (#Savanta)
    Redfield & Wilton (#RedfieldWilton)
    Opinium (#Opinium)
    People Polling (#PeoplePolling)

    #ukpol #ukpolitics #ge2024 #electionresults #polling

  6. @svgeesus

    GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY

    The worst 5 pollsters for accuracy were (in descending order):

    NCP (#NCP)
    Savanta (#Savanta)
    Redfield & Wilton (#RedfieldWilton)
    Opinium (#Opinium)
    People Polling (#PeoplePolling)

    #ukpol #ukpolitics #ge2024 #electionresults #polling

  7. All the other MRP polls were pretty far off the mark, but the wooden spoon goes to #Savanta who were absolutely miles off the mark across the board:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: -105
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: +68
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: +22
    🟑 SNP: +1
    βšͺ Reform UK: +5
    🌻 Plaid Cymru: 0
    🟒 Greens: +4

    They also had terrible accuracy for individual seats and the worst website writeup:

    savanta.com/knowledge-centre/v

    #ukpol #ukpolitics #ge2024 #electionresults #polling #MRP

  8. All the other MRP polls were pretty far off the mark, but the wooden spoon goes to #Savanta who were absolutely miles off the mark across the board:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: -105
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: +68
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: +22
    🟑 SNP: +1
    βšͺ Reform UK: +5
    🌻 Plaid Cymru: 0
    🟒 Greens: +4

    They also had terrible accuracy for individual seats and the worst website writeup:

    savanta.com/knowledge-centre/v

    #ukpol #ukpolitics #ge2024 #electionresults #polling #MRP

  9. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 39% (=)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 20% (-4)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 17% (+4)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
    🟒 Green Party: 5% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 2% (-1)

    Labour lead of 19 points.

    Conducted 2-3 July 2024. Changes with 28-30 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  10. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 39% (=)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 20% (-4)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 17% (+4)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
    🟒 Green Party: 5% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 2% (-1)

    Labour lead of 19 points.

    Conducted 2-3 July 2024. Changes with 28-30 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  11. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    🟑 SNP: 34% (=)
    πŸ”΄ Labour: 31% (-3)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 15% (+1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 6% (=)
    🟒 Greens: 3% (+1)

    Conducted 28 June - 2 July 2024. Changes with 21-26 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #GE2024

  12. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    🟑 SNP: 34% (=)
    πŸ”΄ Labour: 31% (-3)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 15% (+1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 6% (=)
    🟒 Greens: 3% (+1)

    Conducted 28 June - 2 July 2024. Changes with 21-26 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #GE2024

  13. LONDON OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 49% (-6)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 19% (-3)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 11% (+3)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
    🟒 Green Party: 6% (+1)
    ⚫ Others: 5% (+4)

    Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 10-18 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #London #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024

  14. LONDON OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 49% (-6)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 19% (-3)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 11% (+3)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
    🟒 Green Party: 6% (+1)
    ⚫ Others: 5% (+4)

    Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 10-18 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #London #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024

  15. 2ND SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention from a Scotland poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 34% (-4)
    🟑 SNP: 34% (+1)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 14% (-1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)
    ⚫ Others: 10% (+3)

    Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 14-18 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #GE2024

  16. 2ND SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention from a Scotland poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 34% (-4)
    🟑 SNP: 34% (+1)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 14% (-1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)
    ⚫ Others: 10% (+3)

    Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 14-18 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #GE2024

  17. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention from poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 42% (+2)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 19% (-2)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 16% (+2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-2)
    🟒 Green Party: 5% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 3% (=)

    Labour lead of 23 points.

    Conducted 19-21 June 2024. Changes with 14-16 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  18. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention from poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 42% (+2)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 19% (-2)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 16% (+2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-2)
    🟒 Green Party: 5% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 3% (=)

    Labour lead of 23 points.

    Conducted 19-21 June 2024. Changes with 14-16 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  19. Projected national voteshare from the #Savanta MRP above:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 44%
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 23%
    βšͺ Reform UK: 13%
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12%
    🟒 Green Party: 4%
    🟑 SNP: 3%

    Details: savanta.com/knowledge-centre/v

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #MRP #GE2024

  20. Projected national voteshare from the #Savanta MRP above:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 44%
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 23%
    βšͺ Reform UK: 13%
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12%
    🟒 Green Party: 4%
    🟑 SNP: 3%

    Details: savanta.com/knowledge-centre/v

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #MRP #GE2024

  21. MRP OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster seats projection from MRP poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 516 (+314)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 53 (-312)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 50 (+39)
    🟑 SNP: 8 (-40)
    🌻 Plaid Cymru: 4 (=)
    🟒 Green Party: 0 (-1)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 0 (=)

    Conducted 7-18 June 2024. Changes with 2019 general election result.

    Details: savanta.com/knowledge-centre/v

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #PlaidCymru #MRP #GE2024

  22. MRP OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster seats projection from MRP poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 516 (+314)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 53 (-312)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 50 (+39)
    🟑 SNP: 8 (-40)
    🌻 Plaid Cymru: 4 (=)
    🟒 Green Party: 0 (-1)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 0 (=)

    Conducted 7-18 June 2024. Changes with 2019 general election result.

    Details: savanta.com/knowledge-centre/v

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #PlaidCymru #MRP #GE2024

  23. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 40%
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 21%
    βšͺ Reform UK: 14%
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11%
    🟒 Green Party: 4%
    🟑 SNP: 3%

    Labour lead of 22 points.

    Conducted 14-16 June 2024. Last poll was on 7-11 June 2024 but methodology has since switched to a localised mock ballot paper, so figures aren't directly comparable.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  24. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 40%
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 21%
    βšͺ Reform UK: 14%
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11%
    🟒 Green Party: 4%
    🟑 SNP: 3%

    Labour lead of 22 points.

    Conducted 14-16 June 2024. Last poll was on 7-11 June 2024 but methodology has since switched to a localised mock ballot paper, so figures aren't directly comparable.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  25. CW: GB OPINION POLL: SAVANTA

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 46% (+2)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 21% (-4)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 13% (+3)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (+2)
    🟒 Green Party: 5% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 2% (-2)

    Labour lead of 25 points.

    Conducted 12-14 June 2024. Changes with 7-9 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  26. CW: GB OPINION POLL: SAVANTA

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 46% (+2)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 21% (-4)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 13% (+3)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (+2)
    🟒 Green Party: 5% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 2% (-2)

    Labour lead of 25 points.

    Conducted 12-14 June 2024. Changes with 7-9 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  27. CW: GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 44% (-2)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 25% (-1)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 10% (-1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
    🟒 Green Party: 4% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 3% (+1)

    Labour lead of 19 points.

    Conducted 7-9 June 2024. Changes with 5-7 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  28. CW: GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 44% (-2)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 25% (-1)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 10% (-1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
    🟒 Green Party: 4% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 3% (+1)

    Labour lead of 19 points.

    Conducted 7-9 June 2024. Changes with 5-7 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  29. CW: GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 46% (+4)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 26% (-2)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 11% (+2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (+1)
    🟒 Green Party: 3% (-1)
    🟑 SNP: 2% (-1)

    Labour lead of 20 points.

    Conducted 5-7 June 2024. Changes with 31 May - 2 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  30. CW: GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 46% (+4)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 26% (-2)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 11% (+2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (+1)
    🟒 Green Party: 3% (-1)
    🟑 SNP: 2% (-1)

    Labour lead of 20 points.

    Conducted 5-7 June 2024. Changes with 31 May - 2 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  31. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Holyrood constituency voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    🟑 * National Party: 35% (=)
    πŸ”΄ * Labour: 34% (-1)
    πŸ”΅ * Conservatives: 17% (-1)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
    ⚫ Other: 6% (+1)

    * Scottish

    Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol

  32. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Holyrood constituency voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    🟑 * National Party: 35% (=)
    πŸ”΄ * Labour: 34% (-1)
    πŸ”΅ * Conservatives: 17% (-1)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
    ⚫ Other: 6% (+1)

    * Scottish

    Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol

  33. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Holyrood regional voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    🟑 * National Party: 30% (+4)
    πŸ”΄ * Labour: 29% (-3)
    πŸ”΅ * Conservatives: 18% (=)
    🟒 * Green Party: 10% (-1)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
    ⚫ Other: 4% (=)

    * Scottish

    Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol

  34. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Holyrood regional voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    🟑 * National Party: 30% (+4)
    πŸ”΄ * Labour: 29% (-3)
    πŸ”΅ * Conservatives: 18% (=)
    🟒 * Green Party: 10% (-1)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
    ⚫ Other: 4% (=)

    * Scottish

    Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol

  35. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 37% (=)
    🟑 SNP: 33% (=)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 17% (=)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)

    Labour lead of 4 points.

    Conducted 24-28 May 2024. Changes with 3-8 May 2024.

    This is what we call 'a very boring poll', but the consistency tells a story of its own.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol

  36. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 37% (=)
    🟑 SNP: 33% (=)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 17% (=)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)

    Labour lead of 4 points.

    Conducted 24-28 May 2024. Changes with 3-8 May 2024.

    This is what we call 'a very boring poll', but the consistency tells a story of its own.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol

  37. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 37% (+2)
    🟑 SNP: 33% (-2)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 17% (-2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (+1)

    Labour lead of 4 points.

    Conducted 3-8 May 2024. Changes with 6-11 October 2023.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #Scotland #scotpol

  38. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 37% (+2)
    🟑 SNP: 33% (-2)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 17% (-2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (+1)

    Labour lead of 4 points.

    Conducted 3-8 May 2024. Changes with 6-11 October 2023.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #Scotland #scotpol

  39. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 43% (-1)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 27% (+1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (+1)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 9% (-1)
    🟒 Greens: 4% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 3% (=)

    Labour lead of 16 points.

    Conducted 3-5 May 2024. Changes with 26-28 April 2024.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK

  40. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 43% (-1)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 27% (+1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (+1)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 9% (-1)
    🟒 Greens: 4% (+1)
    🟑 SNP: 3% (=)

    Labour lead of 16 points.

    Conducted 3-5 May 2024. Changes with 26-28 April 2024.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK

  41. A clear 'house effect' difference between #Savanta and #YouGov for #London mayoral polling is that the latter has Reform and Others doing much better than the former, though the former also has the Lib Dems and Greens doing much better. It'll be interesting to see who is closest on Friday, but both of them show that Labour has a clear lead, well beyond the margin for error, so I don't think the outcome is in any doubt.

    #ukpolitics

  42. A clear 'house effect' difference between #Savanta and #YouGov for #London mayoral polling is that the latter has Reform and Others doing much better than the former, though the former also has the Lib Dems and Greens doing much better. It'll be interesting to see who is closest on Friday, but both of them show that Labour has a clear lead, well beyond the margin for error, so I don't think the outcome is in any doubt.

    #ukpolitics

  43. LONDON OPINION POLL

    London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Sadiq Khan (Labour): 42% (-4)
    πŸ”΅ Susan Hall (Conservative): 32% (-1)
    🟠 Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (+1)
    🟒 Zoë Garbett (Green): 8% (+1)
    βšͺ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 3% (-1)
    ⚫ Others: 3% (+1)

    Sadiq Khan leads by 10 points.

    Conducted 16-30 April 2024. Changes with 8-17 April 2024.

    #ukpolitics #london #SadiqKhan #conservative #labour #GreenParty #LibDems #ReformUK #polling

  44. LONDON OPINION POLL

    London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Sadiq Khan (Labour): 42% (-4)
    πŸ”΅ Susan Hall (Conservative): 32% (-1)
    🟠 Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (+1)
    🟒 Zoë Garbett (Green): 8% (+1)
    βšͺ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 3% (-1)
    ⚫ Others: 3% (+1)

    Sadiq Khan leads by 10 points.

    Conducted 16-30 April 2024. Changes with 8-17 April 2024.

    #ukpolitics #london #SadiqKhan #conservative #labour #GreenParty #LibDems #ReformUK #polling

  45. This now looks very similar to the results of the (corrected) #Savanta poll last week. A much more modest (but beyond the margin of error) Labour lead. Should be interesting to see what happens next week.

  46. UK OPINION POLL

    Poll by #Savanta. Headline Wesminster voting intention:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 43% (=)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 27% (+2)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 10% (+1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
    🟒 Green 4% (=)
    🟑 SNP 2% (-1)

    Labour lead of 16 points.

    Conducted 19-21 April 2024. Changes with 12-14 April 2024.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK

  47. UK OPINION POLL

    Poll by #Savanta. Headline Wesminster voting intention:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 43% (=)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 27% (+2)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 10% (+1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
    🟒 Green 4% (=)
    🟑 SNP 2% (-1)

    Labour lead of 16 points.

    Conducted 19-21 April 2024. Changes with 12-14 April 2024.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK

  48. ANALYSIS

    One thing that's quite apparent when comparing #Savanta polls with #RedfieldWilton polls is that the former shows a lot less support for Reform UK and a lot more for the Conservatives than the latter. These are what we call 'house effects'. They can't both be right, and possibly neither of them are. The only way to tell will be looking at the election results in a fortnight's time and seeing who called it best, but worth bearing in mind if you're poll watching rn.

    #ukpolitics #polling

  49. CORRECTED WEST MIDLANDS OPINION POLL

    #Savanta have admitted a weighting error with their West Midlands mayoral poll last week and have published a corrected version:

    πŸ”΄ Richard Parker (Labour) 41%
    πŸ”΅ Andy Street (Conservative) 38%
    βšͺ Elaine Williams (Reform UK) 6%
    🟠 Sunny Virk (Liberal Democrat) 5%
    🟒 Siobhan Harper-Nunes (Green) 5%

    Labour lead by 3 points. Conducted 10-14 April 2024.

    #ukpolitics #westmidlands #conservative #labour #greenparty #libdems #ReformUK #polling

  50. OPINION POLL ANALYSIS

    Last week we saw two very different West Midlands mayoral polls by #Savanta and #RedfieldWilton. Savanta had Conservatives winning, Redfield had Labour winning.

    An absolutely first class piece of digging by ElectionMapsUK on twitter has found the likely culprit; Savanta incorrectly weighted their results by the West Midlands region rather than by the West Midlands mayoral area:

    twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/sta

    #ukpolitics #polling #westmidlands #conservatives #labour

  51. OPINION POLL ANALYSIS

    Last week we saw two very different West Midlands mayoral polls by #Savanta and #RedfieldWilton. Savanta had Conservatives winning, Redfield had Labour winning.

    An absolutely first class piece of digging by ElectionMapsUK on twitter has found the likely culprit; Savanta incorrectly weighted their results by the West Midlands region rather than by the West Midlands mayoral area:

    twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/sta

    #ukpolitics #polling #westmidlands #conservatives #labour

  52. LONDON OPINION POLL

    London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Sadiq Khan (Labour): 50% (-1)
    πŸ”΅ Susan Hall (Conservative): 26% (-1)
    🟠 Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (-)
    🟒 Zoë Garbett (Green): 9% (+1)
    βšͺ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 2% (-)

    Sadiq Khan leads by 24%.

    Conducted 5-8 April 2024. Changes with 8-12 March 2024.

    #ukpolitics #london #sadiqkhan #conservative #labour #greenparty #libdem #ReformUK #polling

  53. LONDON OPINION POLL

    London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:

    πŸ”΄ Sadiq Khan (Labour): 50% (-1)
    πŸ”΅ Susan Hall (Conservative): 26% (-1)
    🟠 Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (-)
    🟒 Zoë Garbett (Green): 9% (+1)
    βšͺ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 2% (-)

    Sadiq Khan leads by 24%.

    Conducted 5-8 April 2024. Changes with 8-12 March 2024.

    #ukpolitics #london #sadiqkhan #conservative #labour #greenparty #libdem #ReformUK #polling

  54. OPINION POLL

    Poll by #Savanta. Headline voting intention:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 42% (-3)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 27% (+3)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (-)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 10% (-2)
    🟒 Green 4% (+1)
    🟑 SNP 3% (-)

    Labour lead of 15 points.

    Conducted 5-7 April 2024. Changes with 25-27 March 2024.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK

  55. OPINION POLL

    Poll by #Savanta. Headline voting intention:

    πŸ”΄ Labour: 42% (-3)
    πŸ”΅ Conservatives: 27% (+3)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (-)
    βšͺ Reform UK: 10% (-2)
    🟒 Green 4% (+1)
    🟑 SNP 3% (-)

    Labour lead of 15 points.

    Conducted 5-7 April 2024. Changes with 25-27 March 2024.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK