#savanta — Public Fediverse posts

LONDON OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 36% (-7)
🔵 Conservatives: 24% (+3)
⚪ Reform UK: 13% (+4)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (+1)
🟢 Green Party: 12% (+2)

Conducted 30 October - 11 November 2024. Changes with 2024 general election.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #London

GB SNAP BUDGET OPINION POLL

Snap opinion polling* on the budget by #Savanta:

Increased NHS funding:
👍🏼 Support: 71%
👎🏼 Oppose: 15%

Raising minimum wage:
👍🏼 Support: 69% (Nice)
👎🏼 Oppose: 14%

Fuel duty freeze:
👍🏼 Support: 63%
👎🏼 Oppose: 14%

Rise in employer NI contributions:
👍🏼 Support: 37%
👎🏼 Oppose: 33%

Increasing bus fare cap:
👍🏼 Support: 23%
👎🏼 Oppose: 52%

Polling on 30 October 2024.

* Immediate reactions often change significantly after a few weeks.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling

@svgeesus

GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY

The worst 5 pollsters for accuracy were (in descending order):

NCP (#NCP)
Savanta (#Savanta)
Redfield & Wilton (#RedfieldWilton)
Opinium (#Opinium)
People Polling (#PeoplePolling)

#ukpol #ukpolitics #ge2024 #electionresults #polling

All the other MRP polls were pretty far off the mark, but the wooden spoon goes to #Savanta who were absolutely miles off the mark across the board:

🔴 Labour: -105
🔵 Conservatives: +68
🟠 Liberal Democrats: +22
🟡 SNP: +1
⚪ Reform UK: +5
🌻 Plaid Cymru: 0
🟢 Greens: +4

They also had terrible accuracy for individual seats and the worst website writeup:

https://savanta.com/knowledge-centre/view/savantas-first-mrp-of-election-campaign-predicts-labour-on-for-majority-of-382/

#ukpol #ukpolitics #ge2024 #electionresults #polling #MRP

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 39% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 20% (-4)
⚪ Reform UK: 17% (+4)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (+1)
🟡 SNP: 2% (-1)

Labour lead of 19 points.

Conducted 2-3 July 2024. Changes with 28-30 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

🟡 SNP: 34% (=)
🔴 Labour: 31% (-3)
🔵 Conservatives: 15% (+1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
⚪ Reform UK: 6% (=)
🟢 Greens: 3% (+1)

Conducted 28 June - 2 July 2024. Changes with 21-26 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #GE2024

LONDON OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 49% (-6)
🔵 Conservatives: 19% (-3)
⚪ Reform UK: 11% (+3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
🟢 Green Party: 6% (+1)
⚫ Others: 5% (+4)

Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 10-18 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #London #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024

2ND SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention from a Scotland poll by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 34% (-4)
🟡 SNP: 34% (+1)
🔵 Conservatives: 14% (-1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)
⚫ Others: 10% (+3)

Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 14-18 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #GE2024

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention from poll by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 42% (+2)
🔵 Conservatives: 19% (-2)
⚪ Reform UK: 16% (+2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-2)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (+1)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)

Labour lead of 23 points.

Conducted 19-21 June 2024. Changes with 14-16 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

Projected national voteshare from the #Savanta MRP above:

🔴 Labour: 44%
🔵 Conservatives: 23%
⚪ Reform UK: 13%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12%
🟢 Green Party: 4%
🟡 SNP: 3%

Details: https://savanta.com/knowledge-centre/view/savantas-first-mrp-of-election-campaign-predicts-labour-on-for-majority-of-382/

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #MRP #GE2024

MRP OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster seats projection from MRP poll by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 516 (+314)
🔵 Conservatives: 53 (-312)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 50 (+39)
🟡 SNP: 8 (-40)
🌻 Plaid Cymru: 4 (=)
🟢 Green Party: 0 (-1)
⚪ Reform UK: 0 (=)

Conducted 7-18 June 2024. Changes with 2019 general election result.

Details: https://savanta.com/knowledge-centre/view/savantas-first-mrp-of-election-campaign-predicts-labour-on-for-majority-of-382/

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #PlaidCymru #MRP #GE2024

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 40%
🔵 Conservatives: 21%
⚪ Reform UK: 14%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11%
🟢 Green Party: 4%
🟡 SNP: 3%

Labour lead of 22 points.

Conducted 14-16 June 2024. Last poll was on 7-11 June 2024 but methodology has since switched to a localised mock ballot paper, so figures aren't directly comparable.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Holyrood constituency voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

🟡 * National Party: 35% (=)
🔴 * Labour: 34% (-1)
🔵 * Conservatives: 17% (-1)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
⚫ Other: 6% (+1)

* Scottish

Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.

#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Holyrood regional voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

🟡 * National Party: 30% (+4)
🔴 * Labour: 29% (-3)
🔵 * Conservatives: 18% (=)
🟢 * Green Party: 10% (-1)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
⚫ Other: 4% (=)

* Scottish

Scottish National Party lead of 1 point.

#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #Scotland #scotpol

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 37% (=)
🟡 SNP: 33% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 17% (=)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)

Labour lead of 4 points.

Conducted 24-28 May 2024. Changes with 3-8 May 2024.

This is what we call 'a very boring poll', but the consistency tells a story of its own.

#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 37% (+2)
🟡 SNP: 33% (-2)
🔵 Conservatives: 17% (-2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (+1)

Labour lead of 4 points.

Conducted 3-8 May 2024. Changes with 6-11 October 2023.

#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #SNP #Scotland #scotpol

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Savanta:

🔴 Labour: 43% (-1)
🔵 Conservatives: 27% (+1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 9% (-1)
🟢 Greens: 4% (+1)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)

Labour lead of 16 points.

Conducted 3-5 May 2024. Changes with 26-28 April 2024.

#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK

A clear 'house effect' difference between #Savanta and #YouGov for #London mayoral polling is that the latter has Reform and Others doing much better than the former, though the former also has the Lib Dems and Greens doing much better. It'll be interesting to see who is closest on Friday, but both of them show that Labour has a clear lead, well beyond the margin for error, so I don't think the outcome is in any doubt.

#ukpolitics

LONDON OPINION POLL

London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:

🔴 Sadiq Khan (Labour): 42% (-4)
🔵 Susan Hall (Conservative): 32% (-1)
🟠 Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (+1)
🟢 Zoë Garbett (Green): 8% (+1)
⚪ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 3% (-1)
⚫ Others: 3% (+1)

Sadiq Khan leads by 10 points.

Conducted 16-30 April 2024. Changes with 8-17 April 2024.

#ukpolitics #london #SadiqKhan #conservative #labour #GreenParty #LibDems #ReformUK #polling

UK OPINION POLL

Poll by #Savanta. Headline Wesminster voting intention:

🔴 Labour: 43% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 27% (+2)
⚪ Reform UK: 10% (+1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
🟢 Green 4% (=)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)

Labour lead of 16 points.

Conducted 19-21 April 2024. Changes with 12-14 April 2024.

#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK

OPINION POLL ANALYSIS

Last week we saw two very different West Midlands mayoral polls by #Savanta and #RedfieldWilton. Savanta had Conservatives winning, Redfield had Labour winning.

An absolutely first class piece of digging by ElectionMapsUK on twitter has found the likely culprit; Savanta incorrectly weighted their results by the West Midlands region rather than by the West Midlands mayoral area:

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1782360305437147340

#ukpolitics #polling #westmidlands #conservatives #labour

LONDON OPINION POLL

London Mayoral voting intention by #Savanta:

🔴 Sadiq Khan (Labour): 50% (-1)
🔵 Susan Hall (Conservative): 26% (-1)
🟠 Rob Blackie (Liberal Democrats): 10% (-)
🟢 Zoë Garbett (Green): 9% (+1)
⚪ Howard Cox (Reform UK): 2% (-)

Sadiq Khan leads by 24%.

Conducted 5-8 April 2024. Changes with 8-12 March 2024.

#ukpolitics #london #sadiqkhan #conservative #labour #greenparty #libdem #ReformUK #polling

OPINION POLL

Poll by #Savanta. Headline voting intention:

🔴 Labour: 42% (-3)
🔵 Conservatives: 27% (+3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (-)
⚪ Reform UK: 10% (-2)
🟢 Green 4% (+1)
🟡 SNP 3% (-)

Labour lead of 15 points.

Conducted 5-7 April 2024. Changes with 25-27 March 2024.

#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK

Less than half of public trust police in wake of scandals, new poll shows | The Independent
#Police
#Trust
#PolicingByConsent
#Scandals
#Carmichael
#LibDems
#MET
#Rowley
#Vetting
#LondonAssemblyPoliceAndCrimeCommittee
#Savanta
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/public-trust-police-scandals-poll-b2315537.html