#redfieldwilton — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #redfieldwilton, aggregated by home.social.
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GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY
The worst 5 pollsters for accuracy were (in descending order):
NCP (#NCP)
Savanta (#Savanta)
Redfield & Wilton (#RedfieldWilton)
Opinium (#Opinium)
People Polling (#PeoplePolling) -
SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Holyrood constituency voting intention by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 * Scottish Labour: 34% (+2)
🟡 * National Party: 33% (=)
🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (-3)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 8% (-1)
⚪ Reform UK: 6% (+2)
🟢 * Greens: 3% (+1)
🟤 Alba Party: 1% (-1)* Scottish
Conducted 26-27 June 2024. Changes with 1-2 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty #GE2024
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Holyrood list voting intention by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 * Scottish Labour: 34% (+6)
🟡 * National Party: 27% (-4)
🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (-1)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (=)
🟢 * Greens: 8% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 6% (=)
🟤 Alba Party: 1% (-3)* Scottish
Conducted 26-27 June 2024. Changes with 1-2 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty #GE2024
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 38% (-1)
🟡 SNP: 32% (+3)
🔵 Conservatives: 11% (-6)
⚪ Reform UK: 8% (+4)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (-1)
🟢 Greens: 3% (=)
🟤 Alba Party: 1% (=)Conducted 26-27 June 2024. Changes with 1-2 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 42% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 19% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 18% (-1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 23 points.
Conducted 26-27June 2024. Changes with 21-24 June 2024.
Details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-26-27-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #RedfieldWilton
🔴 Labour: 42% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 19% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 18% (=)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (+1)
🟢 Green Party: 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 23 points.
Conducted 21-24 June 2024. Changes with 19-20 June 2024.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-21-24-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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WALES WESTMINSTER OPINION POLL
Welsh Westminster voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 46% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 17% (-1)
🔵 Conservatives: 15% (-3)
🌼 Plaid Cymru: 11% (-3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (+2)
🟢 Green Party: 4% (=)Labour lead of 29 points.
Conducted 19-20 June 2024. Changes with 5-7 June 2024.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-welsh-westminster-and-senedd-voting-intention-19-20-june-2024
#ukpolitics #ukpol #walespol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #PlaidCymru #GreenParty #ReformUK #wales #cymru #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL OF UNDECIDED VOTERS
Polling by #RedfieldWilton of how currently undecided voters voted back in 2019:
🔵 Conservatives: 46%
⚫ Didn't vote: 34%
🔴 Labour: 6%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 6%
🟤 Other: 3%
🟢 Green Party: 2%
🟡 SNP: 2%
⚪ Brexit Party: 1%Conducted 14-17 June 2024.
Details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/a-look-at-undecided-voters-14-17-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 42% (-1)
⚪ Reform UK: 19% (+1)
🔵 Conservatives: 18% (=)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 23 points.
Conducted 19-20 June 2024. Changes with 14-17 June 2024.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-19-20-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: NORTHERN ENGLAND OPINION POLLING
Regional figures from the #RedfieldWilton megapoll.
North East:
🔴 Labour: 48%
⚪ Reform UK: 21%
🔵 Conservatives: 12%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12%
🟢 Green Party: 6%North West:
🔴 Labour: 50%
⚪ Reform UK: 20%
🔵 Conservatives: 18%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 8%
🟢 Green Party: 3%Yorks/Humber:
🔴 Labour: 42%
⚪ Reform UK: 22%
🔵 Conservatives: 21%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10%
🟢 Green Party: 5%#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024
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CW: LONDON OPINION POLLING
Taking the regional figures from the #RedfieldWilton megapoll.
London:
🔴 Labour: 44%
🔵 Conservatives: 22%
⚪ Reform UK: 15%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 14%
🟢 Green Party: 5%#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024 #London
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CW: ENGLISH MIDLANDS OPINION POLLING
Taking the regional figures from the #RedfieldWilton megapoll.
West Midlands:
🔴 Labour: 51%
🔵 Conservatives: 19%
⚪ Reform UK: 16%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7%
🟢 Green Party: 5%East Midlands:
🔴 Labour: 43%
⚪ Reform UK: 19%
🔵 Conservatives: 17%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 15%
🟢 Green Party: 6%#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024
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CW: SOUTHERN ENGLAND POLLING
Taking the regional figures from the #RedfieldWilton megapoll.
South East:
🔴 Labour: 41%
🔵 Conservatives: 21%
⚪ Reform UK: 18%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 16%
🟢 Green Party: 5%South West:
🔴 Labour: 29%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 24%
🔵 Conservatives: 18%
⚪ Reform UK: 15%
🟢 Green Party: 5%Eastern:
🔴 Labour: 43%
⚪ Reform UK: 26%
🔵 Conservatives: 19%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 8%
🟢 Green Party: 4%#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024
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CW: GB OPINION MEGAPOLL: REDFIELD WILTON
Headline Westminster voting intention by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 43% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 18% (+1)
🔵 Conservatives: 18% (=)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 25 points.
Conducted 14-17 June 2024. Changes with 12-13 June 2024.
Details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-14-17-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: GB OPINION POLL: Redfield Wilton
Headline Westminster voting intention by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 42% (-3)
🔵 Conservatives: 18% (-1)
⚪ Reform UK: 17% (=)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 13% (+3)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 20 points.
Conducted 12-13 June 2024. Changes with 7-10 June 2024.
Conducted before the Labour manifesto launch. Looks like the LDs got a definite manifesto boost.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 45% (+3)
🔵 Conservatives: 19% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 17% (=)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (-2)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 26 points.
Conducted 7-10 June 2024. Changes with 5-6 June 2024.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-7-10-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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CW: WALES/CYMRU OPINION POLL
Welsh Westminster voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 45% (+2)
⚪ Reform UK: 18% (+3)
🔵 Conservatives: 18% (-1)
🌼 Plaid Cymru 11% (-3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 5% (+2)
🟢 Green Party: 4% (-2)Labour lead of 27 points.
Conducted 5-7 June 2024. Changes with 18-19 May 2024.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-welsh-westminster-and-senedd-voting-intention-5-7-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #PlaidCymru #GreenParty #ReformUK #wales #cymru #GE2024
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 39% (+1)
🟡 SNP: 29% (-2)
🔵 Conservatives: 17% (+3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 4% (=)
🟢 Scottish Greens: 3% (-1)
🟤 Alba Party: 1% (=)Labour lead of 10 points.
Conducted 1-2 June 2024. Changes with 8-9 May 2024.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/scottish-independence-referendum-westminster-voting-intention-1-2-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #AlbaParty #scotpol #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
One final result from that #RedfieldWilton megapoll:
Who would make the best Prime Minister?
🔴 Keir Starmer: 46% (+1)
🔵 Rishi Sunak: 26% (=)
⚫ Don't know: 28% (-1)It's worth noting that this question in opinion polls has often been a more accurate guide to general election outcomes than voting intention questions have been.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-31-may-2-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #KeirStarmer #RishiSunak #SNP #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Some further results from that #RedfieldWilton megapoll.
How 2019 Conservative voters now say they would vote:
🔵 Conservatives: 42%
🔴 Labour: 21%
⚪ Reform UK: 19%
⚫ Other: 6%How undecided voters say they're leaning:
⚫ Not voting: 27%
🔵 Conservatives: 24%
🔴 Labour: 20%
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9%
🟤 Other: 9%
⚪ Reform UK: 6%
🟢 Green Party: 4%Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-31-may-2-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention. Another mega-poll of 10k people by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 46% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 20% (-3)
⚪ Reform UK: 14% (+1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (+1)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)
🟡 SNP: 2% (-1)
⚫ Other: 2% (-1)Labour lead of 26 points.
Conducted 31 May - 2 June 2024. Changes with 25-27 May 2024.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-31-may-2-june-2024/
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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POLLING FORECAST
Prompted by a conversation in my replies earlier, I am proud to announce the first episode of the Polling Forecast, which is an opinion polling parody of the BBC's Shipping Forecast.
Listen here to the polling forecast for the regions of England:
https://funk.gravitywell.xyz/library/250750a1-4277-4b53-b8e5-f249656b42c3/tracksAudio generated using AI (Philemon voice) from ElevenLabs, with a script written by me using numbers from the 27 May #RedfieldWilton poll.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #GE2024 #shitposting #PollingForecast
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GB OPINION MEGA-POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton of 12,000 people:
🔴 Labour: 46% (+1)
🔵 Conservatives: 23% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 13% (+1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)
🟠 SNP: 3% (+1)Labour lead of 26 points.
Conducted 25-27 May 2024. Changes with 19 May 2024.
Go have a read of the regional and demographic breakdowns!
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-25-27-may-2024
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
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WALES OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 43% (+3)
🔵 Conservatives: 19% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 15% (-3)
🌼 Plaid Cymru: 14% (=)
🟢 Greens: 6% (+2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 3% (-3)Labour lead of 24 points.
Conducted 18-19 May 2024. Changes with 22-23 April 2024.
#ukpolitics #walespol #wales #cymru #polling #Labour #PlaidCymru #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #GE2024
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 45% (+3)
🔵 Conservatives: 23% (+2)
⚪ Reform UK: 12% (-3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (-2)
🟢 Greens: 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP: 2% (-1)Labour lead of 22 points.
Conducted 19 May 2024. Changes with 12 May 2024.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-19-may-2024/
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 42% (-2)
🔵 Conservatives: 21% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 15% (=)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (+3)
🟢 Greens: 6% (+1)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)Labour lead of 21 points.
Conducted 12 May 2024. Changes with 5 May 2024.
Full details: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-12-may-2024/
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Holyrood constituency voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 * Labour: 35% (+3)
🟡 * National Party: 33% (-1)
🔵 * Conservatives: 15% (-6)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (+3)
⚪ Reform UK: 3% (=)
🟢 * Greens: 3% (+1)
🟤 Alba Party: 1% (-1)* Scottish
Scottish Labour lead of 2 points.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Holyrood regional voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 * Labour: 33% (+4)
🟡 * National Party: 27% (+1)
🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (-3)
🟢 * Greens: 9% (=)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 5% (=)
🟤 Alba Party: 3% (=)* Scottish
Scottish Labour lead of 6 points.
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #RedfieldWilton:
🔴 Labour: 38% (+5)
🟡 SNP: 31% (-1)
🔵 Conservatives: 14% (-3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 4% (-1)
🟢 Greens: 4% (+2)
🟤 Alba Party: 1% (-1)Labour lead of 7 points; largest since June 2014.
Conducted 8-9 May 2024. Changes with 6-7 April 2024.
Full writeup: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/scottish-independence-referendum-westminster-voting-intention-8-9-may-2024/
#ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol