#predictit — Public Fediverse posts

CFTC eyeing Polymarket, betting platforms amid elections, says chair - If an offshore entity’s “footprint” in the US is big enough, they must r... - https://cointelegraph.com/news/cftc-eyes-offshore-firms-that-break-commodities-laws #commoditieslaws #offshorecompany #publicinterest #rostinbehnam #polymarket #predictit #kalshi

‘Explosion’ in election gambling will harm public interest: CFTC - The US commodities regulator says prediction markets can be vulnerable t... - https://cointelegraph.com/news/cftc-predictions-marketsmarket-manipulation #predictionsmarkets #marketmanipulation #kalshiexllc #polymarket #predictit #betting #kalshi #appeal #court #law

Polymarket Wager Shows Trump Taking the Lead in Nail-Biting 2024 Election Bet - On Aug. 22, 2024, Polymarket odds showed former President Donald Trump leading in ... - https://news.bitcoin.com/polymarket-wager-shows-trump-taking-the-lead-in-nail-biting-2024-election-bet/ #predictionmarkets #presidentialrace #politicalnews #2024election #kamalaharris #bettingodds #donaldtrump #polymarket #predictit #harris #trump #news

Harris (light blue) took the lead over Trump (dark blue) on #PredictIt with high volume on July 31.

Do you think this is pricing in Trump’s racist comments in front of SBJ or something more fundamental?

Harris vs. Trump: Polls Show Tight Race as Betting and Prediction Markets Favor Trump - After Kamala Harris announced her candidacy for the U.S. presidency in the 2024 el... - https://news.bitcoin.com/harris-vs-trump-polls-show-tight-race-as-betting-and-prediction-markets-favor-trump/ #presidentialrace #bettingmarkets #politicalodds #predictit.org #2024election #kamalaharris #donaldtrump #swingstates #polymarket #harris #polls #trump #news

At the start of the RNC last week, #PredictIt was forecasting a 69% chance that Trump would be the next President.

Those odds not only fell over the course of the RNC, their fall accelerated since Biden's withdrawal.

Current predictions stand at 59%.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

Trump’s Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71% - Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, ... - https://news.bitcoin.com/trumps-election-odds-continue-to-surge-post-assassination-attempt-polymarket-bets-hit-71/ #assassinationattempt #predictionmarkets #politicalbetting #2024election #electionodds #kamalaharris #polymarket #predictit #joebiden #trump #news

Biden’s reelection odds brush single digits on Polymarket - Former U.S. President Donald Trump is still in the lead at odds at 61%, ... - https://cointelegraph.com/news/biden-usa-election-odds-drop-below-10-percent-prediction-market #predictionsmarkets #presidentialdebate #kamalaharris #gavinnewsom #polymarket #republican #predictit #democrat

39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting - Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on w... - https://news.bitcoin.com/39-chance-of-dropping-out-joe-bidens-debate-stumbles-fuel-prediction-market-betting/ #predictionmarkets #democraticparty #2024election #bettingodds #donaldtrump #polymarket #predictit #joebiden #debate #biden #trump #news

PolitiFi memecoins tank amid Trump vs Biden presidential debate - The Jeo Boden memecoin was hardest hit, falling over 53% from its 24-hou... - https://cointelegraph.com/news/politifi-memecoins-fall-double-digits-amid-trump-biden-debate #presidentialdebate #politifimemecoin #presidentialodds #predictit #trump #boden #maga #data

U.S. CFTC Proposes Ban on Political Event Contracts - The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a formal rejection of event... - https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/05/10/us-cftc-proposes-ban-on-political-event-contracts/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=rss&utm_campaign=headlines #commodityfuturestradingcommission #predictionmarkets #regulations #polymarket #predictit #policy #kalshi #news

Well after today's AZ Supreme Court decision, that's another $100 into #PredictIt on the AZ Senate election. Should be pretty easy money.

U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets - U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Rostin Behnam said his agency will propos... - https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/03/12/us-cftcs-behnam-says-agency-writing-new-policy-on-prediction-markets/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=rss&utm_campaign=headlines #commodityfuturestradingcommission #predictionmarkets #regulations #polymarket #predictit #policy #kalshi #news

Anyone else on #PredictIt? Reply with your free money positions.

I’m interested in the forecasts for this wannabe Ubermensch to get bored with the “social infrastructure”.

It’s a toy which he drives like a McLaren with Peter Thiel in the passenger seat.

How long before finally filing bankruptcy for #MySpaceX?

That isn’t a #PredictIt market?

https://mashable.com/article/x-premium-twitter-blue-subscriptions-creator-monetization-program

CFTC to Review Prediction Market Kalshi’s Contracts to Bet on Control of Congress - The Commodity Futures Trading Commission will decide on June 26 whether to start a formal... - https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/06/16/cftc-to-review-prediction-market-kalshis-contracts-to-bet-on-control-of-congress/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=rss&utm_campaign=headlines #commodityfuturestradingcommission #predictionmarkets #regulations #polymarket #predictit #betting #policy #news

I don't know if this is a problem for all of #Disqus, or just a problem at #PredictIt, but any post on PredictIt that contains a link to mastodon.social is being automatically flagged as spam.

@Gargron

Today is the day people who are good at trading political event contracts get told they are a winner every year. This year I’ve earned a 1099 for #PredictIt and #Kalshi. I generally bring old school value investing strategies to get me consistent but moderate returns.
This year was pretty good for me. besides hitting nearly every 2022 election market and I called a quarter of negative growth for 2022Q1 publicly with analysis when it was valued at 7-9%, a major long shot

@AnarchoNinaWrites
Who wants to bet on an election at realistic Vegas odds? A service like PredictIt lets you take MAGA money at whatever odds a QAnon cultist is willing to take. (Sadly, PredictIt is being shut down by the feds.)

#PredictIt