#polymarket — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #polymarket, aggregated by home.social.
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New York Times: Dozens of Polymarket Bets Show Signs of Insider Trading, The Times Finds. This link goes to a gift article. “A New York Times examination found that more than 80 Polymarket users have placed bets with suspicious characteristics, including 38 whose well-timed wagers have drawn little or no public attention. They won money across nearly 30 topics dating back to at least 2024, […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/05/14/new-york-times-dozens-of-polymarket-bets-show-signs-of-insider-trading-the-times-finds/ -
New York Times: Dozens of Polymarket Bets Show Signs of Insider Trading, The Times Finds. This link goes to a gift article. “A New York Times examination found that more than 80 Polymarket users have placed bets with suspicious characteristics, including 38 whose well-timed wagers have drawn little or no public attention. They won money across nearly 30 topics dating back to at least 2024, […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/05/14/new-york-times-dozens-of-polymarket-bets-show-signs-of-insider-trading-the-times-finds/ -
New York Times: Dozens of Polymarket Bets Show Signs of Insider Trading, The Times Finds. This link goes to a gift article. “A New York Times examination found that more than 80 Polymarket users have placed bets with suspicious characteristics, including 38 whose well-timed wagers have drawn little or no public attention. They won money across nearly 30 topics dating back to at least 2024, […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/05/14/new-york-times-dozens-of-polymarket-bets-show-signs-of-insider-trading-the-times-finds/ -
New York Times: Dozens of Polymarket Bets Show Signs of Insider Trading, The Times Finds. This link goes to a gift article. “A New York Times examination found that more than 80 Polymarket users have placed bets with suspicious characteristics, including 38 whose well-timed wagers have drawn little or no public attention. They won money across nearly 30 topics dating back to at least 2024, […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/05/14/new-york-times-dozens-of-polymarket-bets-show-signs-of-insider-trading-the-times-finds/ -
New York Times: Dozens of Polymarket Bets Show Signs of Insider Trading, The Times Finds. This link goes to a gift article. “A New York Times examination found that more than 80 Polymarket users have placed bets with suspicious characteristics, including 38 whose well-timed wagers have drawn little or no public attention. They won money across nearly 30 topics dating back to at least 2024, […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/05/14/new-york-times-dozens-of-polymarket-bets-show-signs-of-insider-trading-the-times-finds/ -
🎲 Most Polymarket Users Lose Money, While Top 1% Claim 76.5% of Gains, Study Finds - Slashdot
｢ just 1,200 people took more than half the profits — $591 million, or more than $100,000 each. ["The top 1% of users capture 76.5% of all trading gains," the researchers write.] When you dabble in prediction markets, you're competing against these sophisticated players who consistently win ｣
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🎲 Most Polymarket Users Lose Money, While Top 1% Claim 76.5% of Gains, Study Finds - Slashdot
｢ just 1,200 people took more than half the profits — $591 million, or more than $100,000 each. ["The top 1% of users capture 76.5% of all trading gains," the researchers write.] When you dabble in prediction markets, you're competing against these sophisticated players who consistently win ｣
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🎲 Most Polymarket Users Lose Money, While Top 1% Claim 76.5% of Gains, Study Finds - Slashdot
｢ just 1,200 people took more than half the profits — $591 million, or more than $100,000 each. ["The top 1% of users capture 76.5% of all trading gains," the researchers write.] When you dabble in prediction markets, you're competing against these sophisticated players who consistently win ｣
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🎲 Most Polymarket Users Lose Money, While Top 1% Claim 76.5% of Gains, Study Finds - Slashdot
｢ just 1,200 people took more than half the profits — $591 million, or more than $100,000 each. ["The top 1% of users capture 76.5% of all trading gains," the researchers write.] When you dabble in prediction markets, you're competing against these sophisticated players who consistently win ｣
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🎲 Most Polymarket Users Lose Money, While Top 1% Claim 76.5% of Gains, Study Finds - Slashdot
｢ just 1,200 people took more than half the profits — $591 million, or more than $100,000 each. ["The top 1% of users capture 76.5% of all trading gains," the researchers write.] When you dabble in prediction markets, you're competing against these sophisticated players who consistently win ｣
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https://www.europesays.com/iran/112853/ Dozens of Polymarket Bets Show Signs of Insider Trading, The Times Finds #CommodityFuturesTradingCommission #ComputersAndTheInternet #Coplan #DefenseAndMilitaryForces #InsiderTrading #Iran #KalshiInc #MichaelS #Polymarket(AdventureOneQSSInc) #RegulationAndDeregulationOfIndustry #Selig #Shayne #SocialMedia #VirtualCurrency
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Polymarket promo code NYPMAX: Deposit $20, get $20 for NBA Championship markets https://www.rawchili.com/nba/733442/ #Basketball #Betting #BettingPromos #NBA #NbaBetting #NBAPlayoffs2026 #Oklahoma #OklahomaCity #OklahomaCityThunder #OklahomaCity #OklahomaCityThunder #Polymarket #Sports #SportsBetting #Thunder
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Perfect Timing, Big Payouts: Insider Trading Red Flags Emerge on #Polymarket
Dozens of long-shot bets on Polymarket, from the war with Iran to the cryptocurrency market, have defied the odds, according to a New York Times examination.
13 users wagered $140,000 that Israel would strike Iran by the end of that week, even as the odds suggested that an attack was unlikely. Seven of the accounts had been opened just days earlier.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/13/technology/polymarket-insider-trading.html
https://archive.ph/YRTNo
#predictionmarkets -
Perfect Timing, Big Payouts: Insider Trading Red Flags Emerge on #Polymarket
Dozens of long-shot bets on Polymarket, from the war with Iran to the cryptocurrency market, have defied the odds, according to a New York Times examination.
13 users wagered $140,000 that Israel would strike Iran by the end of that week, even as the odds suggested that an attack was unlikely. Seven of the accounts had been opened just days earlier.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/13/technology/polymarket-insider-trading.html
https://archive.ph/YRTNo
#predictionmarkets -
Perfect Timing, Big Payouts: Insider Trading Red Flags Emerge on #Polymarket
Dozens of long-shot bets on Polymarket, from the war with Iran to the cryptocurrency market, have defied the odds, according to a New York Times examination.
13 users wagered $140,000 that Israel would strike Iran by the end of that week, even as the odds suggested that an attack was unlikely. Seven of the accounts had been opened just days earlier.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/13/technology/polymarket-insider-trading.html
https://archive.ph/YRTNo
#predictionmarkets -
Perfect Timing, Big Payouts: Insider Trading Red Flags Emerge on #Polymarket
Dozens of long-shot bets on Polymarket, from the war with Iran to the cryptocurrency market, have defied the odds, according to a New York Times examination.
13 users wagered $140,000 that Israel would strike Iran by the end of that week, even as the odds suggested that an attack was unlikely. Seven of the accounts had been opened just days earlier.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/13/technology/polymarket-insider-trading.html
https://archive.ph/YRTNo
#predictionmarkets -
Perfect Timing, Big Payouts: Insider Trading Red Flags Emerge on #Polymarket
Dozens of long-shot bets on Polymarket, from the war with Iran to the cryptocurrency market, have defied the odds, according to a New York Times examination.
13 users wagered $140,000 that Israel would strike Iran by the end of that week, even as the odds suggested that an attack was unlikely. Seven of the accounts had been opened just days earlier.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/13/technology/polymarket-insider-trading.html
https://archive.ph/YRTNo
#predictionmarkets -
Perun on how insider trading destroys your military
#Perun #geopolitics #podcast #military #InsiderTrading #Polymarket
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Perun on how insider trading destroys your military
#Perun #geopolitics #podcast #military #InsiderTrading #Polymarket
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Perun on how insider trading destroys your military
#Perun #geopolitics #podcast #military #InsiderTrading #Polymarket
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Perun on how insider trading destroys your military
#Perun #geopolitics #podcast #military #InsiderTrading #Polymarket
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Perun on how insider trading destroys your military
#Perun #geopolitics #podcast #military #InsiderTrading #Polymarket
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NPR: Campaign staffers tell NPR they make ‘thousands’ betting on their own candidates. “For this campaign staffer, the method was simple. First, they’d receive a tip on an unreleased poll and compare it with the odds on a prediction market, like PredictIt or Polymarket. If the poll reported their candidate had a better chance of winning than the prediction markets, they’d use this edge to buy […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/05/10/npr-campaign-staffers-tell-npr-they-make-thousands-betting-on-their-own-candidates/ -
"On the 21st floor of a gleaming skyscraper in the heart of the upscale Punta Pacifica neighborhood here is the official corporate office of Polymarket, the wildly popular prediction market site that has flourished in President Trump's second term.
Polymarket, which is worth an estimated $15 billion, moved to its Panama base following scrutiny from American regulators. If Polymarket users have a legal dispute, the company's terms of service states it will be resolved in a closed-door arbitration process in Panama.
But when NPR recently visited the law office listed as its home base in Panamanian government documents, there was no sign of Polymarket, nor the entity it does business as in Panama, Adventure One QSS Inc.
Instead, a nondescript corporate lobby opened into a large space with about a dozen unoccupied computer stations positioned in the middle of the room. An office worker said the attorney who runs the firm, Mario García de Paredes, was not available. The worker had never heard of Polymarket or Adventure One.
Public records show that Polymarket is far from alone in using this Panama City law office as a headquarters in an office park known as the Oceania Business Plaza. So do at least 15 other cryptocurrency companies, including Helix, Drift Protocol, Goldfinch and Parti, a crypto-based prediction market live-streaming site that partners with Polymarket, according to publicly available corporate records.
Court filings show the law office also did work for FTX, the now-collapsed exchange whose founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, was handed a 25-year prison sentence in the fraud scandal that took down the crypto empire. In a bankruptcy document detailing unpaid FTX debts, the law office is listed as being owed $13,889."
https://www.npr.org/2026/05/05/nx-s1-5807918/polymarket-panama-prediction-market
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"On the 21st floor of a gleaming skyscraper in the heart of the upscale Punta Pacifica neighborhood here is the official corporate office of Polymarket, the wildly popular prediction market site that has flourished in President Trump's second term.
Polymarket, which is worth an estimated $15 billion, moved to its Panama base following scrutiny from American regulators. If Polymarket users have a legal dispute, the company's terms of service states it will be resolved in a closed-door arbitration process in Panama.
But when NPR recently visited the law office listed as its home base in Panamanian government documents, there was no sign of Polymarket, nor the entity it does business as in Panama, Adventure One QSS Inc.
Instead, a nondescript corporate lobby opened into a large space with about a dozen unoccupied computer stations positioned in the middle of the room. An office worker said the attorney who runs the firm, Mario García de Paredes, was not available. The worker had never heard of Polymarket or Adventure One.
Public records show that Polymarket is far from alone in using this Panama City law office as a headquarters in an office park known as the Oceania Business Plaza. So do at least 15 other cryptocurrency companies, including Helix, Drift Protocol, Goldfinch and Parti, a crypto-based prediction market live-streaming site that partners with Polymarket, according to publicly available corporate records.
Court filings show the law office also did work for FTX, the now-collapsed exchange whose founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, was handed a 25-year prison sentence in the fraud scandal that took down the crypto empire. In a bankruptcy document detailing unpaid FTX debts, the law office is listed as being owed $13,889."
https://www.npr.org/2026/05/05/nx-s1-5807918/polymarket-panama-prediction-market
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"On the 21st floor of a gleaming skyscraper in the heart of the upscale Punta Pacifica neighborhood here is the official corporate office of Polymarket, the wildly popular prediction market site that has flourished in President Trump's second term.
Polymarket, which is worth an estimated $15 billion, moved to its Panama base following scrutiny from American regulators. If Polymarket users have a legal dispute, the company's terms of service states it will be resolved in a closed-door arbitration process in Panama.
But when NPR recently visited the law office listed as its home base in Panamanian government documents, there was no sign of Polymarket, nor the entity it does business as in Panama, Adventure One QSS Inc.
Instead, a nondescript corporate lobby opened into a large space with about a dozen unoccupied computer stations positioned in the middle of the room. An office worker said the attorney who runs the firm, Mario García de Paredes, was not available. The worker had never heard of Polymarket or Adventure One.
Public records show that Polymarket is far from alone in using this Panama City law office as a headquarters in an office park known as the Oceania Business Plaza. So do at least 15 other cryptocurrency companies, including Helix, Drift Protocol, Goldfinch and Parti, a crypto-based prediction market live-streaming site that partners with Polymarket, according to publicly available corporate records.
Court filings show the law office also did work for FTX, the now-collapsed exchange whose founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, was handed a 25-year prison sentence in the fraud scandal that took down the crypto empire. In a bankruptcy document detailing unpaid FTX debts, the law office is listed as being owed $13,889."
https://www.npr.org/2026/05/05/nx-s1-5807918/polymarket-panama-prediction-market
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"On the 21st floor of a gleaming skyscraper in the heart of the upscale Punta Pacifica neighborhood here is the official corporate office of Polymarket, the wildly popular prediction market site that has flourished in President Trump's second term.
Polymarket, which is worth an estimated $15 billion, moved to its Panama base following scrutiny from American regulators. If Polymarket users have a legal dispute, the company's terms of service states it will be resolved in a closed-door arbitration process in Panama.
But when NPR recently visited the law office listed as its home base in Panamanian government documents, there was no sign of Polymarket, nor the entity it does business as in Panama, Adventure One QSS Inc.
Instead, a nondescript corporate lobby opened into a large space with about a dozen unoccupied computer stations positioned in the middle of the room. An office worker said the attorney who runs the firm, Mario García de Paredes, was not available. The worker had never heard of Polymarket or Adventure One.
Public records show that Polymarket is far from alone in using this Panama City law office as a headquarters in an office park known as the Oceania Business Plaza. So do at least 15 other cryptocurrency companies, including Helix, Drift Protocol, Goldfinch and Parti, a crypto-based prediction market live-streaming site that partners with Polymarket, according to publicly available corporate records.
Court filings show the law office also did work for FTX, the now-collapsed exchange whose founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, was handed a 25-year prison sentence in the fraud scandal that took down the crypto empire. In a bankruptcy document detailing unpaid FTX debts, the law office is listed as being owed $13,889."
https://www.npr.org/2026/05/05/nx-s1-5807918/polymarket-panama-prediction-market
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"On the 21st floor of a gleaming skyscraper in the heart of the upscale Punta Pacifica neighborhood here is the official corporate office of Polymarket, the wildly popular prediction market site that has flourished in President Trump's second term.
Polymarket, which is worth an estimated $15 billion, moved to its Panama base following scrutiny from American regulators. If Polymarket users have a legal dispute, the company's terms of service states it will be resolved in a closed-door arbitration process in Panama.
But when NPR recently visited the law office listed as its home base in Panamanian government documents, there was no sign of Polymarket, nor the entity it does business as in Panama, Adventure One QSS Inc.
Instead, a nondescript corporate lobby opened into a large space with about a dozen unoccupied computer stations positioned in the middle of the room. An office worker said the attorney who runs the firm, Mario García de Paredes, was not available. The worker had never heard of Polymarket or Adventure One.
Public records show that Polymarket is far from alone in using this Panama City law office as a headquarters in an office park known as the Oceania Business Plaza. So do at least 15 other cryptocurrency companies, including Helix, Drift Protocol, Goldfinch and Parti, a crypto-based prediction market live-streaming site that partners with Polymarket, according to publicly available corporate records.
Court filings show the law office also did work for FTX, the now-collapsed exchange whose founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, was handed a 25-year prison sentence in the fraud scandal that took down the crypto empire. In a bankruptcy document detailing unpaid FTX debts, the law office is listed as being owed $13,889."
https://www.npr.org/2026/05/05/nx-s1-5807918/polymarket-panama-prediction-market
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Polymarket és un problema, les pantalles no – programa 663
Parlem de què és #Polymarket i els problemes associats a les apostes descontrolades i comentem si les #pantalles són o no un perill per als #menors, a l'aula i fora.
#Podcast #Tecnologia #Català #Educació
https://mossegalapoma.cat/polymarket-es-un-problema-les-pantalles-no-programa-663/
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Wall Street Journal: Why almost everyone loses—except a few sharks—on prediction markets . This is an MSN-syndicated version of the article and has no paywall. “Kalshi and its competitor Polymarket advertise themselves as life-changing tools for regular people—implying everyone has a fair chance to score. ‘I was about to be unable to pay my rent, but I got two years of rent through […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2026/05/07/wall-street-journal-why-almost-everyone-loses-except-a-few-sharks-on-prediction-markets/ -
https://www.europesays.com/africa/222151/ Hantavirus outbreak on cruise ship prompts urgent health alert for South African flight passengers #4z132 #Airlink #andes #antarctica #Argentina #AscensionIsland #CaboVerde #DepartmentOfHealth #Hantavirus #iol #Johannesburg #passenger #polymarket #SouthAfrica #SouthAfrican #SouthAmerica #SouthAtlantic #SouthGeorgia #StHelenaIsland #ushuaia #WorldHealthOrganization
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https://www.europesays.com/people/59731/ House urged to pass prediction market ban following Senate action #ChuckSchumer #Congress #DonaldTrumpJr #InsiderTrading #Legislation #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #regulation #Senate
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https://www.europesays.com/people/59255/ House urged to pass prediction market ban following Senate action #ChuckSchumer #Congress #DonaldTrumpJr #InsiderTrading #Legislation #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #regulation #Senate
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Five shameless moments of Iran war opportunism & grifting
As the U.S. blockade on the Strait of Hormuz threatens an already tenuous ceasefire between the U.S. and…
#NewsBeep #News #BreakingNews #atlantic-council #breakingnews #enewsletter #Iran #iranwar #Polymarket #prediction-markets #Trump #trump-sons #weapons-contractors
https://www.newsbeep.com/523037/ -
"A hairdryer was allegedly used to rig Polymarket bets on the weather at Charles de Gaulle airport in Paris, according to a report by The Telegraph. French authorities note that the official temperature readings at the airport spiked twice in the past month, reaching levels much higher than expected. On both occasions, gamblers on Polymarket appear to have walked away with thousands upon thousands of dollars by betting on those temperature fluctuations.
The gambling site relies on readings from temperature sensors, and the one at Charles de Gaulle airport is on a public road. This makes it easy to access. The operating theory is that someone snuck in and used a battery-powered hairdryer to bring the recorded temperature up well beyond the actual heat outside.
Meanwhile, the Polymarket page indicated less than a one percent chance of the airport exceeding a particular temperature. Successful bets on these fluctuations netted an unknown user around $34,000."
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"A hairdryer was allegedly used to rig Polymarket bets on the weather at Charles de Gaulle airport in Paris, according to a report by The Telegraph. French authorities note that the official temperature readings at the airport spiked twice in the past month, reaching levels much higher than expected. On both occasions, gamblers on Polymarket appear to have walked away with thousands upon thousands of dollars by betting on those temperature fluctuations.
The gambling site relies on readings from temperature sensors, and the one at Charles de Gaulle airport is on a public road. This makes it easy to access. The operating theory is that someone snuck in and used a battery-powered hairdryer to bring the recorded temperature up well beyond the actual heat outside.
Meanwhile, the Polymarket page indicated less than a one percent chance of the airport exceeding a particular temperature. Successful bets on these fluctuations netted an unknown user around $34,000."
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"A hairdryer was allegedly used to rig Polymarket bets on the weather at Charles de Gaulle airport in Paris, according to a report by The Telegraph. French authorities note that the official temperature readings at the airport spiked twice in the past month, reaching levels much higher than expected. On both occasions, gamblers on Polymarket appear to have walked away with thousands upon thousands of dollars by betting on those temperature fluctuations.
The gambling site relies on readings from temperature sensors, and the one at Charles de Gaulle airport is on a public road. This makes it easy to access. The operating theory is that someone snuck in and used a battery-powered hairdryer to bring the recorded temperature up well beyond the actual heat outside.
Meanwhile, the Polymarket page indicated less than a one percent chance of the airport exceeding a particular temperature. Successful bets on these fluctuations netted an unknown user around $34,000."
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"A hairdryer was allegedly used to rig Polymarket bets on the weather at Charles de Gaulle airport in Paris, according to a report by The Telegraph. French authorities note that the official temperature readings at the airport spiked twice in the past month, reaching levels much higher than expected. On both occasions, gamblers on Polymarket appear to have walked away with thousands upon thousands of dollars by betting on those temperature fluctuations.
The gambling site relies on readings from temperature sensors, and the one at Charles de Gaulle airport is on a public road. This makes it easy to access. The operating theory is that someone snuck in and used a battery-powered hairdryer to bring the recorded temperature up well beyond the actual heat outside.
Meanwhile, the Polymarket page indicated less than a one percent chance of the airport exceeding a particular temperature. Successful bets on these fluctuations netted an unknown user around $34,000."
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"A hairdryer was allegedly used to rig Polymarket bets on the weather at Charles de Gaulle airport in Paris, according to a report by The Telegraph. French authorities note that the official temperature readings at the airport spiked twice in the past month, reaching levels much higher than expected. On both occasions, gamblers on Polymarket appear to have walked away with thousands upon thousands of dollars by betting on those temperature fluctuations.
The gambling site relies on readings from temperature sensors, and the one at Charles de Gaulle airport is on a public road. This makes it easy to access. The operating theory is that someone snuck in and used a battery-powered hairdryer to bring the recorded temperature up well beyond the actual heat outside.
Meanwhile, the Polymarket page indicated less than a one percent chance of the airport exceeding a particular temperature. Successful bets on these fluctuations netted an unknown user around $34,000."
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NPR finds "no sign" of Polymarket at its Panama HQ address
https://www.npr.org/2026/05/05/nx-s1-5807918/polymarket-panama-prediction-market
#HackerNews #NPR #Polymarket #Panama #news #predictionmarket #investigation
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https://www.fogolf.com/1245081/hes-trending-up-adam-scott-is-our-polymarketlivetrade-pick-this-week/ He’s trending up. Adam Scott is our @polymarketLiveTrade pick this week. #AdamScott #DanOnGolf #DanRapaport #Golf #PGAOfficialWorldGolfRanking #PGARanking #PgaTour #polymarket #prediction #ProShop #skratch #trading
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https://www.fogolf.com/1245081/hes-trending-up-adam-scott-is-our-polymarketlivetrade-pick-this-week/ He’s trending up. Adam Scott is our @polymarketLiveTrade pick this week. #AdamScott #DanOnGolf #DanRapaport #Golf #PGAOfficialWorldGolfRanking #PGARanking #PgaTour #polymarket #prediction #ProShop #skratch #trading
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"John Pederson, 33, couldn’t work. The former Outback Steakhouse line cook was recovering from a car crash and running out of money. Kalshi, the prediction market, promised a quick way to fix that. He took out a variable-interest loan and started betting.
At first, it worked. Pederson turned about $2,000 into close to $8,000 by betting on daily snowfall totals in Detroit, where he lives. He parlayed that into $41,000 by trading on sports, using a strategy he developed with the help of AI, according to a Wall Street Journal review of his account records.
Then he placed his most audacious bet yet: All $41,000 that a celebrity would say a particular word on TV. He lost it all.
Pederson isn’t alone in walking away empty-handed from the bet-on-anything markets, which cover sports, celebrities, news and more.Kalshi and its competitor Polymarket advertise themselves as life-changing tools for regular people—implying everyone has a fair chance to score. “I was about to be unable to pay my rent, but I got two years of rent through Kalshi’s predictions,” gushed one woman in a Kalshi ad on TikTok.
But for most users the reality is nothing like that.
Instead, casual traders are bleeding cash while a small number of sophisticated pros—including trading firms with access to vast streams of data—eat their lunch, according to a Journal analysis of platform data and interviews with traders.
On Polymarket, the Journal found, 67% of profits go to just 0.1% of accounts. That means less than 2,000 accounts netted a total of nearly half a billion dollars. The Journal analyzed 1.6 million Polymarket accounts that have traded since November 2022. There are at least 2.3 million total accounts on the site."
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/polymarket-kalshi-betting-profits-prediction-markets-eb23ac11
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Why Almost Everyone Loses—Except a Few Sharks—on #PredictionMarkets
A WSJ analysis shows a small number of accounts on #Polymarket and #Kalshi—often pros using data-driven algorithmic trading—take home most of the winnings
On Polymarket, the Journal found, 67% of profits go to just 0.1% of accounts. That means less than 2,000 accounts netted a total of nearly half a billion dollars.
On Kalshi, too, losers vastly outnumber winners.
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/polymarket-kalshi-betting-profits-prediction-markets-eb23ac11
https://archive.is/20260504142441/https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/polymarket-kalshi-betting-profits-prediction-markets-eb23ac11 -
Its about time BatMan!
The U.S. Senate unanimously passed a resolution on April 30 prohibiting its members, staff, and officials from participating in prediction market. This rule change took effect immediately to address insider trading concerns. Momentum is building in the House of Representative to issue a similar ban. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/30/senate-prediction-markets-trading-ban-kalshi-polymarket.html #PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #PolyMarket #Betting #Gambling #InsiderTrading #USSenate #US House #Congress
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Prediction Markets sind mehr als ein Blick in die Glaskugel: Tatsächlich ermöglichen sie präzise Vorhersagen – nicht zuletzt jedoch durch Insiderinformationen. In einem Interview meiner Kollegin Anna Maria Huber ordnet Finanzexperte Jürgen Huber von der @uniinnsbruck die Bedeutung und Gefahren von Prognosemärkten wie #Polymarket und #Kalshi ein.
👉 https://www.uibk.ac.at/de/newsroom/2026/zwischen-insiderhandel-und-informationsaggregation/
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Someone allegedly used a hairdryer to rig Polymarket weather bets
#HackerNews #hairdryer #Polymarket #weatherbets #bettingfraud #technology #news
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🎲 𝐓𝐡𝐞 $1 𝐓𝐫𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐃𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐫 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐍𝐨𝐛𝐨𝐝𝐲'𝐬 𝐓𝐚𝐥𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐀𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐭
#predictionmarkets #polymarket #kalshi #ShayneCoplan #LuanaLopesLara #TarekMansour
